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Bullish pennant teases Gold buyers despite latest inactionGold price remains lackluster within a three-week-old trading range, struggling to extend the weekly rebound by the press time. However, a gradually firming RSI (14) line joins the bullish MACD signals and a one-week-long bull pennant to keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful. That said, the aforementioned trading range’s top surrounding $2,188 guards the immediate upside of the bullion ahead of the stated pennant’s peak of near $2,195, quickly followed by the $2,200 threshold. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,200, the odds of witnessing a new all-time high, currently around $2,222, can’t be ruled out. In that case, $2,265 could gain the buyer’s attention ahead of the $2,300 round figure. Alternatively, a downside break of $2,165 will defy the bullish pennant chart formation and could quickly fetch the Gold price toward the previously mentioned trading range’s bottom of near $2,146-42. In a case where the XAUUSD drops beneath the $2,142 support, an ascending support line stretched from mid-February, close to the $2,100 psychological magnet at the latest, will be crucial to watch. Should the bullion remain weak past $2,100, the late December 2023 peak surrounding $2,090 will be the last defense of the Gold buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, Gold price remains bullish unless breaking $2,090 support even if the upside room appears limited ahead of the key US data, namely the US GDP and Core PCE Price Index.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
200-SMA tests AUDUSD rebound from six-week-old supportAUDUSD struggles to defend the week-start recovery from an ascending support line stretched from early February as traders await the key US Durable Goods Orders and the Aussie inflation data, scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair jostles with the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6555. It’s worth noting that the market’s cautious mood joins the sluggish MACD and steady RSI (14) line to raise doubts about the quote’s further upside. Even if the buyers manage to cross the key SMA hurdle, an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6635-40 will be a tough nut to crack for them before retaking control. Meanwhile, AUDUSD sellers should wait for the aforementioned data, as well as the pair’s daily closing beneath the multi-day-old support line, close to 0.6515 by the press time, before entering. Even so, the monthly low of 0.6477 and February’s bottom of 0.6442 will challenge the quote’s downside. Following that, the bears could gain a free hand in targeting the 0.6400 round figure and the late 2023 swing low of near 0.6270. Overall, AUDUSD pares recent losses ahead of the key data/events but the recovery appears less convincing.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY eases from key resistance, focus on US, Japan inflationUSDJPY remains pressured towards 151.00 while keeping the previous day’s U-turn from a five-month-old horizontal resistance zone amid Monday’s sluggish Asian session. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the RSI (14) line’s divergence with the latest high in prices. However, the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s successful trading above the resistance-turned-support line stretched from mid-November 2023, close to 150.30 by the press time, challenge the pair sellers. Even if the quote drops below 150.30, the 150.00 psychological magnet and January’s high of 148.80 will test the bears before directing them toward the 200-SMA support of 146.70. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair buyers need to provide a daily closing beyond the multiple tops marked since October 2023 near the 151.90-70 region to retake control. Even so, the year 2022 peak of around 151.95 and the 152.00 threshold will challenge the Yen pair buyers before directing prices toward the tops marked in 1990 around 155.80 and 160.40. In doing so, the quote will also need to jostle with the 160.00 round figure. Apart from the multiple hurdles toward the north, the US Core PCE Price Index and Japan’s Tokyo CPI also act as the key challenges for the pair buyers to tackle to keep the reins. Overall, the USDJPY buyers need strong catalysts to defend the latest run-up.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD sellers should keep eyes on 0.6510 and Fed talksAUDUSD stays on the way to posting a second consecutive weekly loss while reversing the post-FOMC rally. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays a U-turn from an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6640 amid a pullback in the RSI (14) line from overbought territory and a looming bear cross on the MACD. Also keeping the pair sellers hopeful is the clear downside break of the 200-SMA, close to 0.6545 at the latest. It’s worth noting, however, that an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, near 0.6510 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Following that, the yearly bottom surrounding 0.6440 and the previous yearly trough surrounding 0.6270 will lure the pair sellers. Meanwhile, AUDUSD buyers remain off the grid below 0.6640 but an intermediate recovery can’t be ruled out if the quote manages to stay beyond the 200-SMA level of 0.6545. That said, the pair’s successful trading above 0.6640 allows it to cross the 0.6700 round figure while 0.6730 and 0.6780 could challenge the bulls afterward. In a case where the buyers keep the reins past 0.6780, the late 2023 swing high of near 0.6870 seems a welcome level for them. Overall, AUDUSD is likely to witness further downside but the room toward the south appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls keep eyes on 1.2900 and BoEGBPUSD bulls take a breather at a weekly high, after rising the most in a fortnight the previous day, as traders await the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcements on Thursday. Also important will be the preliminary UK S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for March. That said, the quote’s successful break of a two-week-old descending resistance line, now support, as well as the 50-SMA, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a horizontal resistance area comprising tops marked since March 08, close to 1.2820-25, will join the overbought RSI line to challenge the Pound Sterling’s further upside. In a case where the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2825, the odds of witnessing a quick run-up toward the monthly high surrounding 1.2900 can’t be ruled out. On the flip side, the 50-SMA and the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line could restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair to around 1.2760 and 1.2740 respectively. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and a five-week-old rising trend line, near 1.2670 by the press time, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable sellers. Should the quote remain bearish past 1.2670, the monthly low of around 1.2600 and the previous monthly bottom surrounding 1.2520 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt allowed GBPUSD to cross the short-term upside hurdle and lure the buyers ahead of the key UK PMIs and the BoE monetary policy decisions. It’s worth noting that the BoE isn’t expected to offer any change in the current monetary policy but can push back the rate cut bias toward late 2024 and help the British Pound (GBP) to defend the latest run-up.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold grinds within $15 trading range as Fed decision loomsGold price licks its wounds around the mid-$2,100s while portraying a choppy move between the one-week-old descending resistance line and $2,148 support confluence comprising the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the previous yearly high. In doing so, the XAUUSD depicts the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important monetary policy decision from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) while consolidating the previous weekly loss, the first in four. It’s worth noting that the overbought RSI (14) line and an impending bear cross on the MACD favor downside bias for the precious metal. In that case, a daily closing beneath $2,148 becomes necessary for the sellers to retake control. Following that, the late December 2023 peak of around $2,090 will be a quick favorite for the bears before the tops marked during early 2024 around $2,065. It’s worth noting that the $2,100 round figure also acts as a downside filter for the bullion. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $2,163 could quickly propel the Gold price toward the recent all-time high of near $2,195. Should the quote remain firmer past $2,195, the $2,200 round figure will challenge the XAUUSD bulls. It should be observed that an upward-sloping resistance line from May 2023 also highlights the $2,200 threshold as an important hurdle toward the north. Overall, the Gold price is likely to depict a downside move unless the US Federal Reserve (Fed) disappoints the US Dollar bulls by resisting the hawkish performance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD AnalysisFOREXCOM:GBPUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
by Phinics
EURUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.0930EURUSD floats above 100-SMA on early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in three. However, the quote remains well below the key resistance confluence surrounding 1.0930, which comprises the 50-SMA, the bottom line of a monthly bullish channel and a downward-sloping trend line from November 29. It’s worth noting that the RSI rebound from the oversold territory allows the Euro pair to lick its wounds but the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the key upside hurdle keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the quote crosses the 1.0930 resistance, a fortnight-old rising trend line and the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.1050 and 1.1130 in that order, will test the pair buyers. On the contrary, the 100-SMA and a 13-day-old horizontal support zone, respectively near 1.0870 and 1.0830, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the early November swing high of around 1.0750 will act as the final defense of the Euro buyers before opening the door for the bears to aim for the October swing high of around 1.0670. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0670, it becomes vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0515. Overall, EURUSD bears are in command despite the pair’s latest consolidation. However, the RSI conditions and this week’s US jobs report will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD licks its wounds with eyes on ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s PowellEURUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the weekly low, snapping a two-day losing streak, as the pair traders await speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, scheduled late Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair reverses pullback from a five-month-old horizontal resistance as the RSI (14) line returns to normal territory after a brief move in the overbought region. However, the bearish MACD signals and failure to cross the key resistance area surrounding 1.1010-1000 push sellers toward a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside, near 1.0860 at the latest. It should be noted, though, that a convergence of the 200-SMA and previous resistance line stretched from late September, close to 1.0820-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair bears, a break of which will enable them to poke the mid-September peak of near 1.0700. Meanwhile, the late August swing high of 1.0945 and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of near 1.0960 restrict the immediate upside of EURUSD. Following that, the aforementioned resistance region surrounding 1.1010-1000 will regain the market’s attention. In a case where the Euro buyers manage to keep the reins past 1.1000, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.1000 will act as the final defense of the bears before directing prices toward the yearly high of 1.1275 marked in July. Overall, EURUSD is likely to stay pressured but the bears shouldn’t be hopeful of further downside unless they witness a sustained trading below 1.0820-15.
by MTradingGlobal
Reversal Chart Pattern: WedgeWhat this chart pattern shows us is a loss of trend strength and a deceleration in price movement. The most achievable projection for setting our take profit will be the maximum width of the pattern, which occurs at the beginning of it. Alternatively, you can take the level that marks the start of the correction as a profit-taking point. As for the stop-loss level, it will depend on the type of entry made in the trade, whether it's a high-risk entry or a reduced-risk entry. (Like any other pattern or indicator, this one provides a signal of a possible market move. Therefore, the greater the number of confluences, the higher the probability that the observed scenario will occur). 💼💹 (🇮🇳)
Education
by FinanzasTip
Candlestick pattern: 1 Hour RetraceThe 1 Hour Retrace pattern is a candlestick formation with great potential for success and strength. This pattern originates after a false breakout of the level in which the price is contained, for example, in a channel. The beginning of this pattern occurs when one of the candles breaks outside the levels that contain the price and, subsequently, the next candle forcefully returns inside the pattern, closing within it. This indicates a false breakout and that the new price direction was incorrect. The stronger the candle on the return, the higher the probability that the price will swing back to the previous levels before the false breakout.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by FinanzasTip
Candlestick pattern: Bullish Triple FormationThe 'Bullish Triple Formation' is a pattern in which two large bullish candles appear, separated by three small bearish candles. These three bearish candles make new lows and are contained within the body of the first large bullish candle. This pattern occurs in an uptrend and is interpreted as a correction of the trend after an upward impulse, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish movement thereafter. It's important to note that this pattern may have variations, as instead of three candles correcting the first large bullish candle, there can be two or more than three. The reliability of this pattern is high; however, it is still a single signal that should be accompanied by others to increase the probability of success in our analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FinanzasTip
Metrics: Expected Value (EV)Expected Value (EV) is a statistical concept that indicates whether our trading system or strategy will yield positive, negative, or neutral results in the medium or long term. It is based on previous results. As we know, past performance does not guarantee future results, but it helps us get an idea of how it might work and allows us to base our decisions on objective terms. The formula for calculating Expected Value (EV) is as follows: Expected Value (EV) = (Win Rate * Average Win) - (Loss Rate * Average Loss) When interpreting the result, it indicates whether you will gain or lose in the medium or long term per unit of currency at risk. An example: A trader achieves an expected value of 0.5 with their trading operations. This means that every time they risk 1€ in the market, they gain 0.5€ in profit.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by FinanzasTip
Candlestick pattern: Confirmed HammerA Hammer candlestick is a single-candle reversal pattern that indicates a potential change in the trend direction. These candles are typically characterized by a high or low that is significantly distant from the closing price, with the shadow being at least twice the size of the body. Like any candlestick pattern or analysis tool, its reliability increases with the presence of more confluences or signals. Therefore, in this case, we choose to trade this pattern when the confirmation criteria are met. However, in practice, there may be other factors to consider that could influence the decision to enter or not enter a trade. Additionally, there is another type of confirmation for this pattern. The most secure confirmation (but with less projection) would be to wait for the candle following the Hammer to close above it (in the case of a reversal to the upside). This would indicate that the rejection of continuing the current trend is genuine and that a change in direction is more likely.
PEPPERSTONE:CRYPTO30Education
by FinanzasTip
VIX vs S&P500The VIX index (officially known as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility Index), developed by CBOE in 1993, is calculated based on the implied volatility of call and put options on the S&P500; index (SPX) over a 30-day period. The theory behind the volatility index is that if investors believe the market is going to decline, they will hedge their portfolios by buying puts (the right to sell an asset at a predetermined price before a specific expiration date). Conversely, if traders are bullish, they may not want to hedge against potential downturns. This index shows a negative correlation with the S&P500.; When there is high volatility, the VIX reaches high values and is often accompanied by declines in the S&P500;, indicating fear and pessimism in the market. These events often lead to significant movements in the stock markets. Conversely, when the VIX is at lows, there is confidence in the market and movements are smoother. Relevant VIX levels: VIX<20: Investor confidence. Often coincides with bullish periods for the S&P500.; 2030: Increased investor pessimism or fear. High volatility and the potential for significant downward corrections in the prices of the S&P500; and major stock indices.
TVC:VIXEducation
by FinanzasTip
USDJPY Downtrend AnalysisTrade Analysis : Swing USDJPY Downtrend Trendline analysis on USDJPY Trend Identification: Swing Downtrend USDJPY. Support/Resistance Levels: Identify key levels on the chart for potential entry and exit points. Price Behavior: Daily Bullish pullback with market structure. Targets: T1 = 143.375, T2 - 143.00. Check for Entry and Stop-loss. Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. Confirmation Indicators: Support/Resistance Levels, Higher High, Higher Lows. Conclusion: Based on the chart analysis of , USDJPY is Downtrend has been identified. Combine this analysis with thorough research and risk management strategies to make well-informed trading decisions. Avoid counter-trend trading. Happy trading! (Note: Trading is subject to market risk. This is analysis not an trade idea for trade.)
Short
by TraderJaggu