GBPUSD
GBP/USD Faces Risk of Correction After Short-Term PeakGBP/USD is currently trading around 1.32206 after reaching a short-term peak at 1.32653.
The main support level is at 1.31958, and if this level is not maintained, the price may correct to lower levels around 1.32232.
The EMA 34 (1.31474) and EMA 89 (1.31174) still indicate a short-term uptrend, but selling pressure is also starting to form.
Economic news from the UK and the US will be the key factors influencing the next move of this currency pair.
GBPUSD Faces Resistance at 1.32112 USD, Awaiting CorrectionCurrently, GBPUSD is trading around 1.31552 USD after breaking out of the descending price channel. The key resistance at 1.32112 USD presents a significant challenge for the upward trend.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines indicate that the short-term upward trend remains intact, though a correction may occur as the price reaches this resistance level.
Upon hitting this resistance, the price may pull back to 1.31537.
Investors are awaiting the upcoming Fed meeting and key economic data from the UK, both of which will significantly impact the future trend of GBPUSD.
GBPUSD Hits Resistance at 1.32180 USD, Support at 1.30302 USDGBPUSD is trading around 1.31449 USD after recovering from the support level at 1.30302 USD, facing resistance at 1.32180 USD.
The EMA 34 and 89 lines indicate that the upward momentum is still intact, but a short-term correction is possible.
If the price fails to break through this key resistance, it could drop to the minor resistance at 1.31043 USD, and then further decline to the support level of 1.30302 USD.
GBPUSD: Sellers need confirmation from 1.3050 and UK/US dataGBP/USD remains flat at its lowest level in three weeks, ending a two-day losing streak. As traders await crucial economic data from the UK and the US, the Pound Sterling is testing a resistance level from late December 2023, which is now providing immediate support.
GBPUSD bears flex muscles…
Despite a long-standing resistance-turned-support line and upcoming data challenges, recent technical signals suggest further declines. Monday’s close below the 20-day moving average (SMA) and bearish MACD signals indicate potential further downside. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not yet oversold, keeping sellers hopeful.
Technical levels to watch…
Firstly, the resistance-turned-support line surrounding 1.3050 restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate downside. Following that, the quote’s quick decline to the 1.3000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. However, March’s peak of around 1.2890 and the 1.2800 round figure will precede the 200-SMA level of 1.2720 to challenge the Cable bears afterward.
For buyers, a positive shift in UK data and a daily close above the 20-SMA at 1.3090 are needed to consider entering. Even so, a slew of resistances near 1.3150 and 1.3180 could test the pair’s following advances ahead of directing the bulls toward the recent peak surrounding 1.3265 and then to the 1.3300 threshold.
Consolidation expected…
Overall, the GBP/USD may see further declines if the economic data from the UK remains weak and US inflation data improves, unless the upcoming reports provide an unexpected boost.
GBPUSD: Resistance at 1.32225, Strong Support at 1.30969The chart shows GBPUSD facing strong resistance at 1.32225, tested multiple times but not yet broken, as indicated by the red arrows.
Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 confirm that the long-term uptrend remains intact, despite the price temporarily correcting towards the support zone.
The two key support levels are Support 1 at 1.30969 and Support 2 at 1.31182, with price responding well, showing strong buying pressure.
GBPUSD is likely to fluctuate within the range of 1.3050 - 1.3250 before a clearer trend emerges. If it breaks above the 1.32225 resistance, the pair could continue to rise.
The slight decrease in the UK's GDP may put short-term pressure on the GBP. However, the Bank of England (BoE) potentially raising interest rates adds uncertainty and volatility to the GBPUSD pair.
GBP/USD Testing 1.31700 Resistance: Rise or Pullback?The chart shows GBP/USD was in a downtrend within a price channel but has now recovered and broken out of it.
Key support lies around 1.30800, which the price might revisit if it fails to break the current resistance.
Key resistance is at 1.31700. If this level is broken, GBP/USD could continue its upward trend.
If the price breaks the 1.31700 resistance, investors may consider buying, with a near-term target of 1.31464 or higher.
Regarding news: Economic data from the UK and US will have a significant impact on this pair. Interest rate decisions and employment reports from both countries will be key short-term drivers.
GBPUSD: Awaiting Rate Hike Signals, Trend Reversal RiskGBPUSD is currently in a short-term uptrend. The EMA 34 is above the EMA 89, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the market.
The chart shows that the EMA 34 remains above the EMA 89, but if there is a downward correction, the EMA 34 could potentially cross below the EMA 89, signaling a bearish trend.
The RSI (14) is currently at 52-54, suggesting that upward momentum remains but is close to the overbought region. If it surpasses 70, there might be a correction or a bearish reversal.
If the price fails to break through the resistance level of 1.32800, GBPUSD might revisit the support level of 1.30600.
Regarding news: Investors are awaiting interest rate signals from the Fed; if rates are increased, the USD will strengthen, putting downward pressure on GBPUSD. The BoE also faces pressure to adjust rates due to high inflation and the challenging economic conditions in the UK.
GBPUSD: Falling wedge teases buyers ahead of UK/US dataThe GBPUSD currency pair is currently at its lowest point in over a week as traders wait for important data releases on Wednesday. This data includes the UK’s S&P Global/CIPS PMIs for August and the US Factory Orders and JOLTS Job Openings for July. The Pound Sterling has recently broken below a key support level comprising a one-month-old ascending trend line, which has now become resistant.
Bullish technical formation, bumpy road to south challenge GBPUSD bears
Despite the recent decline, the GBPUSD pair is holding up well due to a bullish pattern known as a falling wedge and several support levels. The MACD indicator also shows a decreasing bearish trend, which could help GBP/USD buyers. Additionally, the RSI indicator suggests there isn’t strong market support for the current downtrend.
Technical levels to watch
While the short-term falling wedge restricts the GBPUSD pair’s immediate moves between 1.3080 and 1.3120, the support-turned-resistance line from early August and a seven-week-long horizontal region act as additional trading filters around 1.3150 and 1.3050-35 respectively.
Apart from that, the 50-SMA and 200-SMA could challenge the momentum traders around 1.3170 and 1.2935 in that order.
In a case where the GBPUSD pair remains firmer past 1.3170, it will refresh the yearly high while aiming for the falling wedge confirmation’s theoretical target surrounding 1.3300.
Alternatively, a downside break of the 200-SMA support of 1.2935 will make the Cable pair vulnerable to slump toward mid-August swing low near 1.2800.
Looking forward…
In the short term, GBPUSD might continue to trend lower, but the bears are losing momentum. Any disappointment in US data could quickly bring buyers back into the market, especially given the bullish technical indicators.
GBPUSD hovers at 29-month high on UK Bank HolidayGBPUSD licks its wounds at the highest level since March 2022 as the overbought RSI line jostles with an upside break of the ascending resistance line, now support around 1.3060. This breakout, along with strong MACD signals and a weaker US Dollar, could push the pair towards the 1.3440 level, where it meets the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement from May 2021 to September 2022. However, reaching the 1.3620 resistance level might be challenging for buyers.
On the flip side, the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line puts a floor under the GBPUSD prices around 1.3060. That said, the 1.3000 psychological magnet also acts as a short-term support for the Cable pair traders to watch. In a case where the Pound Sterling bears keep the reins past 1.3000, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the Golden Fibonacci Ratio, near 1.2780, quickly followed by the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) surrounding 1.2730, will act as the final defenses of the buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is gearing up to test a long-term resistance line. With the UK on holiday and a cautious market awaiting US inflation data, the pair might pause its advance early this week.
GBPUSD buyers can ignore pullback from one-month highGBPUSD snaps a three-day winning streak by easing from its highest level in a month as the US Dollar licks its wounds at the multi-month low. Despite this retreat, the Cable pair is still trading within a long-term upward trend channel and above important support levels. The positive signals from the RSI and MACD suggest that the Pound Sterling could still rise. The immediate support is a 10-day-old rising support line surrounding 1.2880, with further support at 1.2800 from the 50-SMA. If the price drops further, the next supports are at 1.2675 (200-SMA) and 1.2450 (trend channel bottom).
On the upside, the GBPUSD pair’s ability to break through the yearly high and the upper trend channel near 1.3045-50 will be tested to keep buyers on the table. The 1.3000 level is also a key resistance point, with the potential to push towards 1.3100 and the mid-2023 peak of around 1.3145 later on.
Overall, GBPUSD remains an appealing option for buyers, even if short-term gains slow down.
DXY 1 D - ANALYSIS 10 AUG 2024
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GBPUSD bounces off 100-SMA but bears stay hopefulThe GBPUSD saw its first daily gain in three days on Wednesday, bouncing back from the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This move shows the 100-SMA support level at 1.2682 is holding strong, and the descending RSI (14) indicates the downtrend is weak. However, the Pound Sterling’s continued dip below the 50-SMA and previous support level near 1.2785-2800, along with bearish MACD signals, keep sellers hopeful. If the price stays above 1.2800, the March peak around 1.2900 and the top of a 10-month-old upward trend channel near 1.3030 will be challenging for buyers.
On the other hand, the 100-SMA and 200-SMA are limiting the GBPUSD's short-term decline, with support around 1.2680 and 1.2650. After that, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels from the pair's July-October 2023 drop, near 1.2590 and 1.2455, will be key for sellers. Overall, Pound Sterling buyers can stay in control as long as the 10-month-long upward trend channel, which ranges from 1.3030 to 1.2440, remains intact.
In summary, GBPUSD is expected to test the sellers, but for the bullish trend to continue, it needs to stay above 1.2800.