Gold : More room for correction/ DeclineSo finally gold entered into correction phase and seems like there is more room for decline in this correction cycle :
Today CPR is descending and the last day candle is a good bearish candle and as discussed in yesterdays update the area around 2620-30 is a support zone with high volume and price is currently tested this zone and bouncing on Intra day but in Higher side we have descending CPR + Dynamic Trend Line resistance + FIB Resistance zone (2655-2662 for current cycle till last day), so under these resistance we can still look for sell opportunities towards weekly S1(2616) or low near 2600.
Currently I am watching chart on FXCM data feed and there maybe difference in levels that I am sharing : Let me know in if you see some changes /difference.
Gc!!
Gold Coming at a Important Price LevelGold is Giving Contradicting Signals at The Moment :
Bullish Case :
1. COT Reports are Bullish
2. Weekly Momentum is Still Bullish
Bearish Case :
1. Decline on Daily Chart Looks 5 Wave
2. Daily Momentum is Still Bearish
What to do then?
1. On Weekly Charts 1650-1675 Area is Very Crucial- It has horizontal solid Support Line, My Channel Bottom and 200 week MA support
2. It may just go Below 1670 to complete ABC Structure
3. So watch this area carefully - Make or Break for gold
4. BUT looking at COT Reports, i will be biased for Longs and wait for Daily Momentum to turn UP.
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
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Gold - Conflicting SignalsBullish COT. Diverging but still Weak Momentum trying to turn positive.
The green technical area barely trying to hold itself.
SILVER (posted) looking much stronger.
Huge selling behind the present down move.
With these conflicting, confusing and diverging signals, perhaps Silver will provide a much clearer future direction for precious Metals Complex.
If interested in trading Gold, keep a closer watch on silver as to their clearer direction
Gold Long Or Short ???The Critical Price Zone support holding till now.
But the price action is not very encouraging for LONGS.
Start thinking about going LONG Gold, only when it trades above 1200 Level DECISIVELY.
BUT IN THAT CASE DO WITH VERY STRICT STOP LOSS as there is still very large selling in the background.
Gold at Crucial LevelWith Positive Divergences and Buying by Commercials (Last weeks data, this weeks awaited), I am Expecting the Current Price Area to Hold and Arrest The Downtrend. If that happens, I had Given The Upward Projection Target.
But if the current zone does not hold and give up, i have given the further Support Areas (H&S targets).
But that will invalidate the upward Target for the time being.
Looking at the Indicators, the Present Zone Should Hold.
Lets Watch Closely...