Gold Faces Strong Selling Pressure, Heading Towards Key SupportGold is facing strong selling pressure below a descending trendline defined by lower highs. All three approaches to this trendline were rejected, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
With the current selling pressure, I think there is a high possibility that the price will continue its downtrend and head towards a strong support zone around $2,650/ounce. If this support zone is broken, the downtrend could push the price further down, towards $2,620 or even lower.
Gold-trading
Gold Price Tests Upward Channel SupportLooking at the current gold price chart, I see that the price is in a stable upward channel, with support near the 34-day EMA and the lower trend line. Gold is currently correcting near the lower boundary of the channel around $2,670, and this could be a key point to watch to see if the price bounces.
If the price holds and recovers from this area, I think the next target would be the $2,800 area at the upper boundary of the channel.
Gold Price Plunges Under Pressure From Rising USD and US StocksThe current chart shows that gold prices are under great pressure as the USD Index surged to 105.12, making the USD stronger. This has reduced the attractiveness of gold to international investors. In addition, optimism about the US economic outlook under President Donald Trump and expectations that the FED will pause interest rate cuts have also contributed to the decline in gold prices.
The next important support level is at the $2,620/ounce area, a price level that has previously produced a rebound. If the price falls to this level, this could be the point where traders wait to see if there is enough buying pressure to create a temporary recovery. However, if the price breaks the $2,620 level, the price is likely to continue to fall further, towards lower support levels such as $2,600 or $2,580/ounce.
Given the current economic factors and the growth outlook of the USD, gold may continue to be under pressure in the coming time, especially when the demand for holding USD is still increasing.
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher.
Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah.
At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in.
Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices.
Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains.
However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
XAUUSD is looking for DOWN.Gold is seeking for Big Players to short and to trap buyers from here. Retailers are trying to push gold above 1980 and even above 2000 but they(MM) have some other plans. Retailers did not come out from the mindset of buying, but there is still a chance for buyers if war escalates.
Fundamentally and Technically gold is down.
Stay updated!!
Breakout in #GOLD Futures#Gold Futures, 1D
CMP : Rs. 47248
Analysis : Gave a nice pattern breakout & retest towards 20/50 EMA, after bounce the resistance can be face near Rs.48350 zone, if sustain above this level then Rs.50,000 level can be seen (+5%) from CMP
#NoTradingAdvice, it's just my analysis & view
Technical Analysis: Bullish flag on weekly chart favors gold buyAlthough gold prices paid a little heed to the Brexit deal announcement and the US stimulus news, bullish flag formation on the weekly play as well as the metal’s sustained trading above 50-SMA keeps the buyers hopeful. That said, the latest consolidation of a bull-run from August 2018 needs to stay beyond the pattern support near $1738. Though, a pullback to the 50-SMA level of $1780 can entertain short-term sellers. Also acting as the strong support are upward sloping trend line from May 2019 and August 2018, respectively around $1620 and $1510. In a case where the bullion breaks the 28-month-old support line around $1510, bears might not hesitate to challenge the early 2019 peak surrounding $1346.
On the contrary, fresh buying will wait for a clear break above the stated flag’s upper line, at $1925 now. Following that, November high near $1965 and the $2000 round-figure may offer an intermediate halt before challenging the 2020 landmark of $2075. It should, however, be noted that the uptrend past-$2075 will aim for the theoretical target of bullish flag confirmation, closer to $3000. Overall, the gold buyers have an upper hand while heading into 2021. However, expected receding of the coronavirus (COVID-19) fears and solutions of the major problems, namely Brexit, US stimulus, may offer initial pullback to the yellow metal.
Gold’s weekly outlook: May 13-17Gold continued to consolidate in $15 range but this time the expansion was on the upside unlike the previous weeks, finally closing with gains of $7. The uptrend was halted as the price action created a double top formation directly inverse to previous week’s double bottom formation which continue to suggest the trend still remains bearish in-spite of favorable fundamentals which failed to keep the price at higher levels.
On the chart –
Gold remained rangebound unable to break through the flag even after having a fairly good week after nearly a month. The closing still remains the key indicator of a bear market consolidation given the price action. We have 2 scenarios –
1. Bulls still remain on sidelines as they failed to build on the gains.
2. Gold closed below the support, till this is respected it can move towards $1284. If this is taken out it can fall to $1273. And if this is breached it can slide towards $1260.
Bullish views remain dull unless gold breaks through the flag on upside.
Bearish view – Bears were able to to bring the price down from highs comfortably with fundamentals mostly against them indicating the metal is having selling pressure at the highs. For bears to continue having the trend in their favor they need to stop the price from breaking out from the flag with next major support seen near $1236-$1240.
On larger terms, Gold continues to remain bearish and prices are expected to head lower.
Possible trades are on both sides, gold can be bought once it breaks out of the flag or at the bottom of the flag/channel.
Gold can be sold under $1277 for the targets of $1273 and $1260 with a stop loss placed above $1289. Longer term target $1248.
A sell-on-rallies can be useful under current scenario.
Gold’s weekly outlook: May 06-10Gold continued to trade in the defined range similar to the previous week ending with cuts of more than $6. The week saw gold getting battered towards the low again as the Fed’s policy outcome was dovish for the dollar. The week again has important fundamental news majorly the U.S – China trade talks which is presumed to be at the last level of round of talks. Gold failed to create a new high even after having a positive opening rather it closed below the support again allowing the bearish trend to get stronger on every passing week.
On the chart –
Gold moved in a range showing indications of bear market consolidation as it was unable to breach highs or lows of previous week. The pattern breakdown was again retested and yet again confirmed solidifying the bearish trend. We have 2 scenarios –
1. Bulls continue to remain unwanted as the breakdown continues excepting scalp trading.
2. Gold closed below the support, till this is held it can move towards $1273. Once this is breached it can slide to $1260. If this fails to hold it can fall to $1248.
Bullish bets remain unattractive as breakdown continues, they only come in contention once a breakout on upside happens.
Bearish view – Bears resumed the attack after a week as they pushed the price back towards the low but failed to register a new one. The bearish bets saw a massive surge once the high of the previous week was respected and the price reversed. For bears, the technicals remain in their favor as the breakdown continues allowing room for further downside with the next crucial support area being $1236-$1240.
On larger terms, Gold remains bearish and prices are expected to head lower.
Possible trades are on both sides, gold can be bought once it breaks out of the flag or at the bottom of the flag/channel.
Gold can be sold under $1278 for the targets of $1273 and $1260 with a stop loss placed above $1289. Longer term target $1248.
A sell-on-rallies can be useful under current scenario.
Gold’s weekly outlook: April 29 – May 03Gold made a new low before settling near the highs for the week. Again it was a $20-$22 ranged week where gold posted gains of $13 which can be considered as a retracement from the lows as prevailing situations did not alter much to enable a shift in the trend. The week has important fundamental events with the spotlight on Fed’s interest rate decision which will generate lot of volatility with large moves expected on either side. Still the trend remains in the favor of bears till a breakout happens on the upside.
On the chart –
Gold made lower highs and lower lows formation again indicating the strength on the upside might be limited. The pattern breakdown continues to play as it was retested again in the last week and got respected. We have 2 scenarios –
1. Bulls remain sidelined as they failed to breakout excepting scalp trades though the closing can be eyed upon as a first mark towards bullishness.
2. Gold closed below the support, till this is respected it can move towards $1284. If this is taken out it can fall to $1273. And if this is breached it can slide towards $1260.
Bullish view – Bulls can have some cheer as they finally had a good week and the closing was on their favor though lot has to be done to get the trend back to bull. Breakout is required for bulls to over power bears again.
Bearish view – Bears can also have some cheer as they created a new low but failed to hang on to it. The formation of lower highs and lower lows continue to aid the bears to keep the trend intact. The pattern breakdown continues and new lows can be expected till it is respected with next major support area being $1236-$1240.
On larger terms, Gold remains bearish and prices are expected to head lower.
Possible trades are on both sides, gold can be bought once it breaks out of the flag or at the bottom of the flag/channel.
Gold can be sold under $1284 for the targets of $1273 and $1260 with a stop loss placed above $1296.
A sell-on-rallies can be useful under current scenario.