Gold grinds between 50-EMA and 200-EMA ahead of crucial weekGold braces for the first weekly gain in five but stays within the key moving average envelope as traders eye Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony and the US NFP data, up for release in the next week. It’s worth noting, however, that the bears appear to run out of steam, per the RSI and MACD conditions. As a result, a clear upside break of the 50-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around $1,845 by the press time, could convince the buyers to retake control. Though, multiple hurdles around $1,865 and $1,890 might challenge the XAUUSD run-up before the metal can regain $1,900.
Meanwhile, a surprise downturn remains unimpressive beyond the 200-EMA level surrounding $1,803. Also acting as an extra filter to the south is the $1,800 threshold. In a case where the Gold price remains bearish past $1,800, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s run-up from last November to February 2023, around $1,747, will gain the market’s attention. It should be noted that the late November low of $1,727 may act as the last resort for the buyers before totally giving up control during the metal’s weakness past $1,747.
Overall, the Gold price remains sidelined but the downside momentum gains less acceptance ahead of an important week.
Gold
Gold pokes key support surrounding $1,820Gold extends the early February fall towards two-month-old horizontal support near $1,825-23, despite posting the indecisive closing in the last week. The bearish bias also gains strength from the clear downside break of an ascending trend line from early November and the 50-DMA, as well as the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) hints at the grinding of the metal prices near the stated crucial support. Should the quote drops below $1,820, early December peak near $1,810 and the $1,800 round figure may probe the gold sellers before directing them to the 200-DMA support level of around $1,775. It’s worth noting that the November 2022 high of $1,786 acts as an extra filter toward the south.
Meanwhile, the 50-DMA and the previous support line from the last November, respectively around $1,860 and $1,883, could challenge the Gold price recovery. Following that, the $1,900 round figure will be important to the metal buyers. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past $1,900, the monthly high of $1,960 and the late March 2022 top near $1,966 should challenge the run-up targeting the $2,000 psychological magnet.
Overall, Gold is likely to decline further only if it manages to break the $1,820 level.
Gold may correct soon! Key highlights:
- Possible selling climax at previous ATH.
- ATH acting as a resistance.
- Buyers seem to be exhausted.
- Monthly demand zone 50-52k.
- May head towards the demand zone in the next 2 quarters.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
Mind Numbing Consolidation PhaseMy overall view is still Bullish on gold Xau , but until that CPI report confirms softer inflation gold is going to hover into this downward consolidation which the institutions gonna pick up liquidity from as well as retail traders , we did stupendous profit this week next week we'll arrive with more precise ideas and profits happy weekend everyone!
Gold sellers need confirmation from $1,860 to keep controlGold bears remain unconvinced as they retreat from the key support, despite pulling back the metal from a multi-month high the last month. While the downbeat RSI conditions challenge the latest bearish momentum, MACD seems to help XAUUSD sellers as they try to break the 11-week-old support line near $1,860. It should be observed that the 50-DMA level surrounding $1,848 acts as an extra filter towards the south before directing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the bullion’s run-up from September 2022 to February 2023, near $1,827. In a case where the commodity price remains bearish past $1,827, the $1,800 round figure and the 200-DMA level near $1,776 will be in the spotlight.
Alternatively, recovery moves could aim for the $1,900 threshold to convince the Gold buyers. Following that, $1,930 and $1,945 may probe the upside momentum ahead of aiming for the latest swing top near $1,960. Should the precious metal remains firmer past $1,960, March 2022 peak surrounding $1,966 may act as a validation point for the rally targeting the $2,000 psychological magnet.
Overall, the Gold price is on the cusp of turning bearish but the sellers should wait for a clear downside break of $1,860.
#Gold Breakout ? #Analysis of momentum and #Trend #PriceActionsHii
This is my analysis on gold
first i used green monthly trend line if it breaks market will go down . if comes toward the mean of the line or say pullback in uptrend is consider .
and price touches red color resistance zone almost 6 times . if it breaks and retrace is consider as perfect breakout . so wait for breakout .
and i use Hikanashi to show u momentum . in candlestick it is not seen easly .
.sry i am late but i post same thing in mind chat
Thank u
XAUUSD 4HDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
Gold is still bullishAs predicted earlier gold is on a bullish run which had a deep correction down to 1910. Price continues to trade above 1920 which will act as a pivot point for the current trading setup. sAME RISK MANAGEMENT HAS TO APPLY IN THIS SETUO AS WE TARGET A BULLISG=H TREND TOWARDS 1950 and 2000 Q1
Rising wedge confirmation lures Gold bears on Fed dayAfter pleasing buyers for six consecutive weeks, Gold prices are finally on the bear’s radar even after bouncing off $1,900 round figure the previus day. The rising wedge confirmation and bearish MACD signals do favor the metal sellers ahead of the key event. However, the downbeat RSI and a likely dovish rate hike challenge the downside bias. That said, a horizontal area comprising the early month levels surrounding $1,865 appears as the immediate target during the metal’s further declines. Though, the 200-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from late November 2022, respectively near $1,862 and $1,855 could please the metal sellers during the theoretical target surrounding $1,825.
Meanwhile, Gold’s recovery remains unconvincing below the stated wedge’s lower line, around $1,928 at the latest. Even so, the monthly high near $1,950 and the bearish formation’s top line, close to $1,960, might challenge the quote’s further advances. Additionally acting as an upside filter is the late March 2022 peak surrounding $1,966. In a case where the bullion stays firmer past $1,966, the odds of witnessing a rally towards the April 2022 high near $1,998 and then to the $2,000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.
To sum up, Gold is ready to pare the recent rally but it all depends upon how well the Fed manages to entertain the Dollar bulls.
XAUUSDDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
Gold about to go longFollowing the current bullish trend, the minor bearish wave on lower timeframes is coming to a halt. Gold is supported by the strong level at 1920 and 1900 respectively, which will be enough volume to see it soar towards 1953 and 1980, the remaining porting of q1 2023. We will have to wait and see how these two support levels behave before entering long and daily levels falling below 1900 will invalidate the bullish momentum at least for q1. Fundamentals will aid in deciding an optimum trade entry long. Today is the last trading day for January, you might want to follow the W1 close and hunt for safe entries before NFP next month.
XAUUSDDefinitely looking to trade some gold this week, We've entered the regional supply region, I believe price will seek the institutional safe heaven of 1900.000 in order to collect balance.
Price is currently trapped within the 2h liquidity pool within 1930, let's see how the market develops on the opening.
RR potential 1:16
XAUUSD 15M PROJECTIONDISCLAIMER: The Company accepts no accountability or obligation for your trading and speculation results, and you consent to hold the Company innocuous for any such outcomes or misfortunes. We are not financial advisers or account managers; We are Forex traders. The recordings on this channel are rigorously for educational and amusement purposes. Trading Forex implies dangers, and you can lose all your venture ; consequently, you exclusively must take a chance.
XAUUSD (GOLD)#XAUUSD ANALYSIS.. In xauusd(gold) there is no fresh entry market are move in 1922 to 1934 zone may be market are making exhaustion move so wait for break this level 1922 zone or 1934 zone... If the market break 1934 zone then buy First target 1937,1940,1946. If the market break 1922 zone then we can go for sell First target 1918,1916,1911
Gold is in Short-term Bearish TrendThe price reacted drastically in its pursuit to cross 1950. After the positive economic data, it's retesting 1928, 1920. If the decline continues it might cross 1912-15 zone and drop to 1902 and further 1886 levels. The larger trend is Bullish. We should wait out for the price to react at our areas, reversal might take place. This retracement could be the part of correction after flight in recent weeks.