Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback.
Sellers flex muscles
Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices.
Key technical levels to watch
In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers.
On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls.
Bulls run out of steam
Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
Gold
Gold is in correction Gold price facing resistance at Fibonacci golden zone (2733-39: marked with red zone) and now moving towards the support area (green zone : at Wednesday low), under PDH and under resistance trendline sell is good towards the support area where price seems to be completing H&S formation and the neckline is at 2708-10 area, if price breakdown from H&S formation a good correction is expected.
On buying side we have to wait for breakout at PDH and breakout on the resistance trendline (Why Buying? because buying is still good if we go through the footprint chart ,if we watch last two days delta , the delta is negative but not strong enough to justify any deep correction as of now).
Gold : Finally taking a breakAs discussed in yesterday's gold update that gold was due for a correction , accordingly we have seen a good correction in yesterday's trading session. Last day price close with a bearish Engulfing candle from a key level (Weekly R1) and now the major support as per volume (2738-40) is going to act as resistance area, also if we draw Fibonacci levels for last day candle we have now to major resistance in higher side for gold, one is at 2733 and another is 2739, so for intraday under these levels we can look for sell opportunities and we can look 2700 or low as our target .CPR is also descending today , any breach from PDL can result in continuation into lower side.
Gold Intraday PlanGold prices extended gains in yesterday trading session for the fifth day out of the last six and reached an all-time high at 2,748, just below of the psychological 2,750 mark. Geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue to lower borrowing costs are helping gold bulls right now.
As per price action gold price Invalidated the Gravestone doji pattern that was formed in Monday trading session and sustaining the price over to major support area 2738-40 (As visible on Volume profile).Today price opened with small gap down which is indication that the current over extended bull run is somewhat exhausting and need a break/ pause ,so selling with calculated risk is seems to be favourable at current elevated levels and if price breakdown this support area on volume profile then we can expect a good correction towards 2700 or low.
Gold : Due for correctionGold prices hit another record high during US session, yet it paused its advance amid elevated US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar (But gold ignored the DXY move completely in last week).
On daily close as per price action we can see a gravestone doji which can open door for correction. So for today the plan is to sell under last day high , we can sell near CPR area(2722-2727) or wait for pullback to daily R1(2735) for possible sell opportunities, On lower side as you can see that price is currently in over elevated region and price did not tested the weekly pivot(2694) , so first we can expect a test at weekly pivot for this correction and then we have to watch how price going to react there .
GOLD | XAUUSD Chart PatternGold has been in a good uptrend in every new session it makes new all time high so at this point i think we should wait for pullback and then enter to gain profit , 2716-2713 is the good support zone if price is rejected at this zone then we should go long , wait for candlestick pattern for better entry.
Gold renews all-time high within bullish channel, $2,750 eyedGold prices soared to a record $2,710, marking four days of gains as investors flock to safety. Despite a stronger US dollar, gold has remained within a rising trend channel for the past three months.
Caution Ahead
While the bulls celebrate breaking through a three-week-old resistance level, the momentum indicators suggest a potential pullback. With the RSI nearing overbought territory, we might see a brief dip before another surge in prices.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold’s next challenges lie at the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the bullion’s September-October moves, respectively near $2,711 and $2,736, especially amid nearly overbought RSI conditions. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the $2,736 hurdle, the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding $2,750 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. A breakthrough there could spark a rally towards the psychological $3,000 mark, with potential resistance around $2,800 and $2,900.
On the contrary, Gold’s price has solid support at the $2,700 level and the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension around $2,686. If it falls below these, watch for a key support zone near $2,665, where the late September resistance and the 10-day EMA converge. Should XAUUSD bears keep the reins past $2,665, the channel’s bottom line of near $2,630 will be the last defense of the buyers.
Buyers are likely to stay in control despite a potential pullback
While a short-term pullback in gold prices appears overdue, the overall bullish trend is expected to hold strong due to global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Gold above 2700Gold breakout psychological level of 2700 and now trading above this level after Chinese data ;as per my view buying at these elevated levels is risky (Same goes with sell also : sell is also risky but with proper MM sell seems to be more favorable as per volume distribution ) : So my plan is to sell at every Intra day resistance as per Pivots (R1:2702,R2:2711,R3:2725 and weekly R3: 2734).
Gold again reached at All time High : What next?As expected and as shared on daily updates ,we have seen a good bullish rally on gold again and gold re-tested the ATH level and now facing resistance on Intraday but there is no big indication of good rejection at ATH level: CPR is very extreme today and gold price still showing strength. Today we have some high impact data in US session that can generate good volatility
For today:
For Buy:
We will wait for breakout above 2685 and on breakout we can look for buy on Intraday towards 2700,
For Sell; Price need to see a good decline first /close on H4 and bears at least need to push the price under 2660 (Daily S1 for today) and then only we can look for sell opportunities on Intraday.
Gold Seems BullishGold is currently in consolidation range which seems to be 2668.00 to 2677.100 if it breaks the level of 2677.100 then we can see the levels of 2685 which was the last high and if it hovers there then it will break the resistance level , if price comes to support zone of 2668 to 2666 then we have to wait for the price action confirmation.
All eyes on GoldAs discussed in yesterday's update gold is still looking good to more higher and gold is following that statement perfectly , as you can see on hourly chart after a small pullback in yesterday trading session gold price took support at weekly pivot (2640) and after that price moving in higher side, for today also the CPR relation is positive and gold price is taking support on CPR area and we can expect continuation in higher side , weekly R1 is at 2677 and at that level we can expect another small pullback and then price can continue in higher side towards 2685 or higher level, there is no sign of good reversal so we have to wait for higher levels for any selling opportunities , the only limiting factor that currently stopping the gold bulls is strong dollar Index chart, but I think DXY is also due for correction which can help gold bulls to make a good move in higher side : overall the scenario is still favourable for buying on Intraday .
BTC & Gold Price Action Analysis | Key Levels and Trade SetupsIn today’s video, I dive into the latest price action analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold. We’ll be breaking down key support and resistance levels, identifying potential breakout zones, and discussing trade setups you can keep an eye on.
Thank you for watching! If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like the video and subscribe to the channel for more in-depth market analysis and swing trade ideas. Your support helps me continue bringing you high-quality content every week!
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and let me know which asset you’re keeping an eye on this week.
Happy trading!
#BTC #Gold #PriceAction #TradingAnalysis #Forex #SwingTrading
Gold : Still looking goodDespite the strong Dollar Index gold doing good and currently trading near to All time high and still looking good to go higher, on technical basis also, If we watch the daily CPR formation , CPR is ascending for today also + gold price trading above weekly pivot (2640),So technically the price is still favourable for bulls and we can expect continuation in higher side as per this formation, yesterdays decline/ correction was not convincing enough for bears and I think it is normal corrective structure after a bullish structure and this correction can add more fuel for incoming bullish structure at least towards 2685.
In Lower side we have to watch weekly Pivot as major Level for continuation or reversal point .
XAUUSD’s Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
"Gold's Danger Zones: Are You Prepared for the Next Move?"Gold Trading Analysis: Key Levels for Your Strategy
In this analysis, we focus on two critical levels for gold trading: 2665.624 and 2670.240. These levels are your danger zones, and you should only use them on the 15-minute timeframe.
Here’s how to approach it:
1. Breakout and Retest: Whenever you see a breakout at these levels on the 15-minute chart, wait for a retest before entering. This increases your chances of a successful trade.
2. Set Your Targets: After entry, aim for the next level as your profit target and enjoy the gains!
3. Avoid Large Candle Breakouts: If there’s a breakout with a large candle on the 15-minute timeframe, exercise caution. Such breakouts can lead to bigger stop-losses, increasing the risk of getting stopped out.
Your feedback is crucial! If you find my analysis helpful and are making profits by following these levels, please comment and let me know. Your support motivates me to provide more insights, so share how much profit you’ve made using these strategies!
Gold: Bulls seek $2,647 breakout and US data validationGold prices continue to recover after the US inflation data, despite staying within a two-week bearish trend. Early Friday, buyers look forward to the first readings of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Consumer Inflation Expectations for October, along with the September Producer Price Index (PPI).
Bulls brace for fresh record high
Whether it's the US Dollar's muted reaction to better-than-forecast Consumer Price Index (CPI), optimism around potential stimulus from China, or expectations of softer US data, gold prices aim for a fresh all-time high. Technically, the recent breakout above the 100-SMA, bullish MACD signals, and a positive RSI (14) reinforce the upward momentum.
Technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, $2,647 gains immediate attention as it comprises the top of the bearish channel, a break of which will defy the fortnight-long bearish chart pattern. Following that, the precious metal’s quick jump toward the all-time high surrounding $2,685 can’t be ruled out. Moreover, a clear breakout past $2,685 would signal strong momentum for gold buyers, potentially paving the way for a rise beyond the $2,700 mark.
On the downside, the 100-SMA at $2,636 provides immediate support for gold prices, alongside an upward-sloping trend line from early August near the $2,600 mark. If XAUUSD falls below $2,600, the focus will shift to the bottom of the bearish channel and the 200-SMA, which are near $2,595 and $2,580, respectively. Notably, if prices break below $2,580, gold could enter a short-term bearish trend, potentially targeting the $2,540-$2,530 range.
Upside looks promising
With expectations of lower Fed rates and potential softness in upcoming US data, combined with bullish technical indicators, gold prices seem poised for upward movement. This bullish outlook could change only if the US statistics challenge the likelihood of two more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would negatively impact the US Dollar—an outcome that appears unlikely.
Gold : Ready for another rallyAs discussed since the beginning of this week that every Dip is a buying opportunity on gold, gold seems to following that and yesterday trading session after CPI numbers gold printed a good positive day closing and now trading above weekly S1 , Weekly S1 was acting as resistance on Intra day.
For today the daily CPR relation is positive and price opened with a little gap on CPR (Virgin CPR) this is indication that price is in good bullish momentum right now and if price hold above weekly S1 (2626) then bulls can target weekly pivot on Intra day (2650). .
GOLD & BTC Price Action Analysis | Key Levels & Breakout InsightIn this video, we analyze the price action of Gold and Bitcoin, focusing on key levels and potential breakout opportunities. Using weekly time frame analysis, we'll discuss significant trends, support, resistance levels, and market behavior. Stay tuned for valuable insights that can help guide your trading decisions.
#GoldPriceAction #BitcoinAnalysis #BTC #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #PriceActionTrading #BreakoutStrategy #AlzubairFX #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #TradingInsights #HindiTrading
EURJPY LONGFOREXCOM:EURJPY
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold after FOMC and before CPIYesterday, Gold traded Sideways to bearish and closed the day in the red zone near the price of 2610. On Hourly chart price seems to be forming a new sideways range near to psychological support. On the hourly chart, gold is still trading below the weekly pivot and bulls need to claim this level to see higher price .
The FOMC’s Minutes published yesterday showed that some officials would’ve preferred a 25 bps cut, though all participants favored lowering interest rates. Regarding the Fed’s dual mandate in both cases, almost all officials saw inflation risks tilted to the downside, while risks to the labor market were on the upside. Following the data, the CME FedWatch Tool shows odds for a 25 bps interest rate cut were lowered from 85.2% a day ago to 75.9%. This means that some market participants positioned themselves toward the Fed holding rates unchanged, with odds at 24.1%, up from 14.8% on Tuesday. and for fundamentals now we have to shift focus to release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
For Intra day price is trading near to weekly pivot( Watch weekly S2 and S3 for possible reversal )and it is a good idea to look for buy for a swing trade with calculated risks.