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LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend EmergingHello traders, gold has just formed a new structure as it began a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a clear bearish Dow structure is developing, indicating potential medium-term sustainability. Most buy-side liquidity has already been cleared, which makes the chances of a strong recovery quite low – except for a brief FVG right after the news. However, given overall market sentiment, trading activity in that phase was not significant. The gap formation signals that sellers are now confident in taking control after the Fed’s statement. The current decline could push gold towards the 363x region, and possibly as far as 361x. A key confirmation level remains at the strong support of 3651, where price previously bounced more than 20 dollars immediately after the news. Trading plan for today: Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615 Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660 Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD for today – use it as a reference for your own trading decisions. If you find this analysis helpful, do follow me for more gold trading scenarios and daily insights.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H) • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703) Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660) Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630) Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based) 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665) • Entry: 3,674 – 3,665 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,685 o TP2: 3,695 o TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638) • Entry: 3,636 – 3,638 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,655 o TP2: 3,670 o TP3: 3,680+ 👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694) • Entry: 3,696 – 3,694 • Stop Loss: 3,703 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,690 o TP2: 3,685 o TP3: 3,680 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC 📊 Market Context Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range. The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation. Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC. 🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS. Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited). Liquidity Pools: Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone). Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone). 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones 3,686.88 (Immediate resistance) 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone) Support / Buy Zones 3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest) 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone) ✅ Priority Scenario – BUY Entry 1 Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest) SL: 3,661 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 2 Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) SL: 3,648 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 3 Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity) SL: 3,618 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade) If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns. Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears. SL: 3,730 TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely. Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk. Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells). Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
BTCUSD 4.5R sell side beautiful scenarioBTCUSD is in range from last 5 days but now it is showing Smart Money’s interest. And it appears a down side trade is being developed as it has swept upside liquidity and forming CISD after displacement. 1. It has taken upside liquidity. 2. Formed CISD after displacement. 3. It has formed FVG and BPR on 1h time frame and price is inside POI. 4. POI is created inside OTE zone confirming good RnR. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS/TS in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 4.5R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PShort
by hari_log
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sorry I am late in giving the signal but I will say that manipulation in XAU/USD is at extreme level. Keep portfolio at least $1000. Take buy position in XAU/USD as much as possible. Not more than $3630.00. Target 1 3353.00 Target 2 3358.00 Target 3 3365.00 Target 4 3372.00 SL 3630.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
2
Gold - Buy near 3640, target 3657-3674Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, gold prices saw a wild swing throughout the day due to the CPI. Gold initially fell, breaking support at a low near 3613. Buying activity took off immediately on the data. Today, we're still looking for volatility. Keeping in mind the broader trend, buying into volatility is more likely to follow a pullback. Furthermore, this volatility has broken through the previous downtrend channel. Today marks the weekly close, and barring any major surprises, the weekly chart will likely close positive. Next week, gold will continue to reach new highs, and a break of 3700 is imminent. The daily moving average has already crossed the K-line, making further volatility less likely. Focus on buying into the upside today. Consider buying opportunities in the Asian session first. The chart shows support near 3640, the primary support level for the day. Today, we'll target 3640 for buy orders, keeping an eye on resistance at 3657. If it breaks through and then retraces in the Asian session, we can buy directly. The recent trend in gold requires aggressive buying, otherwise it's often difficult to find significant support. Since it's Friday, gold is unlikely to behave normally, so we must be wary of unusual fluctuations. Support is at 3640 and 3629, while resistance is at 3657 and 3674. 3640 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: The CPI estimate was 2.7%, while the market expected 2.9%, and the price also reached 2.9%. Both market expectations and results were higher than the estimate, which would have weighed on gold in the long term. However, gold did not fall, but instead surged. Trading Recommendations: Gold - Buy near 3640, target 3657-3674
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
How long can the gold "carnival" last?Market News: Spot gold maintained its overnight volatile trend in early Asian trading on Friday (September 12), currently trading around $3,636/oz. International gold prices fluctuated sharply due to the impact of US CPI and initial jobless claims data. London gold prices rebounded sharply after a sharp drop, paring most of the day's losses and ultimately closing slightly lower. Weak employment and a decline in the PPI have reinforced market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. With interest rate expectations shifting toward easing, gold is expected to maintain its strength, but key factors remain in the Fed's policy stance following the meeting. The Fed's monetary policy direction remains the strongest indicator for the gold market, and current market consensus sees a rate cut next week as a certainty. Focus on the UK's July GDP data and the US University of Michigan's preliminary September Consumer Confidence Index on August 8 this trading day, and monitor geopolitical developments. Technical Analysis: Weaker-than-expected inflation and initial jobless claims data reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut. The US dollar index fell in response, ultimately closing down 0.31. Technically, the daily chart showed alternating bearish and bearish trends, with the price closing above the 5-day moving average. Yesterday, support was found again after testing 3612/15. The 10/7-day moving averages moved up to 3690/16, and the RSI indicator was converging above the 70 level. From a 4-hour perspective, support is currently focused around 3610-15. Buying on intraday dips to this level will continue to support the bullish trend. The short-term buying barrier remains at 3600. If the daily chart stabilizes above this level, continue buying on dips. On the 4-hour chart, the price has retreated to the middle Bollinger Band at 3630, converging with the moving average. The RSI indicator is trading above its mid-axis. On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing, the RSI is flattening, and the moving averages are converging. The main trading strategy for Friday's pullback remains to buy at low prices. The weekly chart forecasts another bullish candlestick pattern. However, gold prices are trapped within a wide, volatile short-term structural channel, with high-priced selling participating. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3620-3623, stop loss at 3612, target at 3640-3660; Short-term gold: Sell at 3657-3660, stop loss at 3669, target at 3630-3610; Key points: First support level: 3628, second support level: 3615, third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3658, second resistance level: 3667, third resistance level: 3680
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we placed a sell order at 3655, then sold all our profits at 3646 in the US market. Yesterday's market saw a surge followed by a decline. The market fluctuations we predicted in yesterday's blog post were all correct. Gold is currently fluctuating at a high level in the short term. In this market, there are opportunities for buying and selling if you capitalize on the market's rhythm. Today, I predict gold will continue to fluctuate and correct before the CPI data is released. Capitalizing on this rhythm, both buying and selling are possible. Today, we are focusing on 3620. If this level breaks, we will consider a short position. Otherwise, we are looking for high-level fluctuations. The long-term trend is still a buy. We made it clear yesterday that long-term trends require time and space to develop. Yesterday's small positive close on the daily chart confirms our analysis. The 5-day moving average is beginning to rise. The volatility will not last long, and results will be seen soon. During the Asian session, we're focusing on the strong support band of 3620-3625. This level is also a buying opportunity for a rebound. Resistance is at 3657, yesterday's rebound high. We anticipate the market to fluctuate within this range. A break above 3657 will open up further upside, and a pullback could be considered a buying opportunity. Volatility occurs when a surge reaches resistance, and further gains are more likely after the volatility ends. Support is 3620-3625, with strong support at 3600. Resistance is at 3647 and 3657, with 3647 being the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: The most important CPI data this week will be released today. The recent surge in gold prices is driven by increased market expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This CPI may be the final reference data the Fed uses. Trading Recommendation: Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Analysis of subsequent gold price trendsMarket News: Spot gold saw slight gains in early Asian trading on Thursday (September 11th), currently trading around $3,545 per ounce. International gold prices continued their strong performance. Amidst softening US inflation data and widespread market bets that the Federal Reserve will initiate an interest rate cut next week, spot gold prices are approaching all-time highs, with related gold stocks and mining company indices simultaneously reaching record closing highs. The current strength in the gold market stems from a combination of weak US economic data, geopolitical risks, and the Federal Reserve's policy shift. While gold prices may fluctuate in the short term due to CPI data, the overall bull market is firmly in place, with a year-to-date gain of over 39% suggesting further upside potential. Gold prices continue to approach record highs, driven by unexpectedly weak inflation data, market confidence in an imminent Fed rate cut, and increased safe-haven demand. Industry analysts predict that if the Federal Reserve embarks on an easing cycle, gold will likely continue to attract investors, potentially reaching $3,900 per ounce by the end of the year. Technical Analysis: Gold has entered a period of volatile adjustment. Yesterday, it fell before rising, consolidating in a wide range around 3620/3660. Technically, the weekly and daily charts remain within a buying trend channel. The daily chart retraced its course below 3620 before stabilizing and rising strongly above 3658, closing above 3640. The daily chart closed with another positive candlestick pattern. The moving averages remain upward, with the 5-day MA moving average moving up to 3626. The hourly Bollinger Bands are converging, with the moving averages converging. The RSI indicator is retracing to its mid-50 level. On the four-hour chart, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. Technically, gold trading continues to see wide range-bound adjustments, with buyers buying at low prices and selling high. Fundamentals: Today's US PPI inflation data will be a key focus! Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3627-3630, stop loss at 3618, target at 3660-3680; Short-term gold: Sell at 3660-3663, stop loss at 3672, target at 3630-3610; Key points: First support level: 3626, Second support level: 3612, Third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3666, Second resistance level: 3680, Third resistance level: 3696
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 3643, 3635, 3642, and 3651. Yesterday's strategy was to maintain a bullish outlook. Gold surged and then retreated, with the daily chart closing at a tombstone, signaling new short-term resistance. Many investors believe this is a top, but the current top still needs to be confirmed. The broader trend indicators and pattern are still bullish. On the daily chart, a break below 3600 today will not change the strength of the daily chart and the candlestick pattern. Therefore, it's too early to call a top. This weekly rally is a weekly one, and a top requires time and space to be established. Today, we'll focus on a correction and volatility. Don't insist on buying today, but consider selling opportunities. After all, a correction isn't a one-sided rally, and there's plenty of room for subsequent fluctuations. The above analysis chart represents our estimated correction. Focus on 3649 in the Asian session. If it fails to break above, we'll look for strong support below and then rally again. If the market defies our guidance and rises directly, we can consider buying at this point. However, yesterday's high of 3674 was also a selling zone. Today, we need to observe the market and adjust our strategy accordingly. Regardless of fluctuations, the overall trend remains bullish. Currently, there's no sign of a break below major support. The first major support is at 3600. We'll focus on its gains and losses today. Minor support lies at 3620 and 3630, while resistance lies at 3649 and 3658. The dividing line between strength and weakness lies at 3649. Fundamental Analysis： Today, focus on the EIA crude oil inventory data. The CPI will be released tomorrow, and this week's major move will also be tomorrow. Trading Recommendations： Gold: Sell near 3649, target 3620-3600 Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Global central banks are buying gold! Gold prices are soaring!Market News: In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 9), spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels, currently trading around $3,636 per ounce. London gold prices, like a runaway force, broke through the $3,600 per ounce mark and ultimately reached a new all-time high of $3,647. This was primarily due to the US non-farm payroll data released last week, which fell far short of expectations, reinforcing the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week, with a 10% chance of a 50 basis point reduction. In addition to monetary policy expectations, continued gold purchases by global central banks have provided solid support for the international gold market. Meanwhile, global political dynamics are also fueling gold's upward trend. Any rapid rise in asset prices is accompanied by increased volatility. When positive news is fully digested by the market, be wary of the possibility of a volatile pullback triggered by profit-taking by long positions. Investors await Wednesday's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Thursday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy path. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release revised non-farm payroll figures this trading day, which investors should pay close attention to. Furthermore, investors should monitor news related to the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical situation. Technical Analysis: Gold's trend-buying structure remains intact, reaching a new all-time high of 3646. The daily chart is currently moving upwards along the 5-day moving average, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages opening at 3524 and 3570, respectively. The RSI indicator has reached the overbought zone at the high 80s, prompting caution for a pullback and correction. The recent consecutive gains require some technical adjustments, so we should remain cautious about overly bullish gold prices and remain wary of potential pullbacks. Looking at the 4-hour gold chart, short-term support is currently focused on the 3610 level, with particular attention focused on the 3575-83 support level. This level also serves as a strong short-term buying zone. Continued buying at this level within the day maintains a bullish outlook. As long as the daily chart does not break below this level, buying at lower prices on a pullback is the primary strategy. The 4-hour moving average remains upward, with prices within an ascending channel and within the upper Bollinger Band. The RSI is at a high of 80. Gold's technical outlook remains bullish, and the key trading strategy remains to buy on dips (short-term buying) and sell on highs (swing trading). Be wary of potential pullbacks after overbought conditions. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3610-3613, stop loss at 3600, target at 3640-3660; Short-term gold: Sell at 3667-3670, stop loss at 3679, target at 3620-3600; Key points: First support level: 3620, second support level: 3613, third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3640, second resistance level: 3655, third resistance level: 3678
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold's historic rally continues!Market News: In early Asian trading on Monday (September 8), spot gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range, currently trading around $3,597/oz. Influenced by exceptionally weak US non-farm payroll data, spot gold prices surged, reaching $3,600/oz in London, a record high. The market now believes there is approximately a 10% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Investors should be wary of the risk of a significant rate cut at this meeting. From a broader perspective, the fundamentals of international gold are exceptionally strong. Non-yielding gold has stood out in an environment of low interest rates and high uncertainty. This rally is not a flash in the pan; it is built on a solid foundation of multiple factors, including a weak US dollar and expectations of a global economic slowdown. Another major pillar of gold's gains is continued central bank buying. In addition to domestic US economic factors, international geopolitical turmoil has also provided strong support for gold. Gold traders are focused on this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. If progress is made in combating inflation, this will strengthen the case for a rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting. Market sentiment for rate cuts has reached its limit. A slight rise in the CPI may lead to temporary caution in international gold prices, but the overall bull market remains intact. Technical Analysis: Non-farm payroll data fueled gold buying, extending the trend structure and reaching a new all-time high. Spot gold prices hit another all-time high, posting their strongest single-week gain. Weak US non-farm payroll data further heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut, and amidst growing global economic uncertainty, gold's strong rally has gained new momentum. The weekly chart showed a strong bullish trend. After seven consecutive daily gains, the eighth candlestick formed a small bearish retracing line, retracing to the 3516 level. After a correction, the 5-day moving average regained support. Following Friday's positive non-farm payroll data, gold once again broke through its all-time high, reaching the 3600 mark, driven by the convergence of technical and fundamental factors. The daily candlestick structure remains a buy signal! Price is trading within the upper Bollinger Band, with the RSI nearing the 80-day mark. The latest 10/7-day moving averages are moving upward to 3498/35. The daily and weekly trends remain bullish, but the RSI is approaching overbought territory, prompting caution for potential corrections. On the four-hour chart, price is trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages remaining upward, maintaining its upward trend. The trading strategy for gold at the start of the week continues to be primarily buy-on-low. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3572-3575, stop loss at 3564, target at 3600-3620; Short-term gold sell at 3636-3639, stop loss at 3648, target at 3590-3570; Key Points: First Support Level: 3572, Second Support Level: 3555, Third Support Level: 3538 First Resistance Level: 3600, Second Resistance Level: 3616, Third Resistance Level: 3636
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
2
Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620Gold Market Analysis: Friday's gold buying was strong again, driven by two factors: a pre-existing buying trend, and the disappointing non-farm payroll data, which bolstered gold's safe-haven appeal. We also placed buy orders at 3544. Before the non-farm payroll report, the price broke through 3561 again, and all of our buy orders were profitable. The weekly chart ultimately closed with a large, clear bullish candlestick. The buying trend is undeniable. I've always adhered to the principle of not speculating on tops or trends; we aim to follow them, not fight them. Currently, both indicators and patterns clearly indicate a buying trend. This week, we'll focus on the gains and losses of 3523 on the weekly chart. Unless it breaks, it's difficult to call a top, nor will it disrupt the buying pattern. Let's look for buying opportunities in the Asian session. First, focus on support at 3578-3572. 3578 represents the previous top of the pattern and also serves as a minor short-term support level. The low point of Friday's correction from the high was 3572, indicating this level has become a new minor support level. Consider buying at this level in the Asian session. Slightly stronger support is the 1H support at 3562, also the daily moving average. Buying here is certain to trigger another rebound. Friday's gains were quite significant, and with the 3600 mark approaching, we predict either a pullback and subsequent rally, or a direct break below 3600. A direct decline is unlikely. For the first option, wait for a buying opportunity; for the second option, consider buying directly. Support is 3578-3572, strong support is 3562, resistance is 3500, and the strength-weakness dividing line is 3562. Fundamental Analysis: Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs mean a weakening economy, which in turn leads to a rise in gold prices. This week, we'll keep an eye on the CPI. Trading Recommendations: Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Analysis of subsequent gold price trends!Market News: In early Asian trading on Wednesday (September 10), London gold prices fluctuated downward, currently trading around $3,621 per ounce. After hitting a record high of $3,674, the spot price plummeted nearly $50, ultimately ending the day in the red. International gold prices have recently seen a sharp rise, with some investors taking profits ahead of the release of key US inflation data, triggering a pullback from their highs. Although the revised employment data released by the US Department of Labor fell short of market expectations, gold buyers took advantage of the opportunity to take profits. The rebound of the US dollar index from a seven-week low and US Treasury yields from a near five-month low also made gold buyers cautious. Furthermore, the continued rise of US stocks to new record highs has slightly weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Investors are currently awaiting US producer price data (PPI) to be released on Wednesday and consumer price data (CPI) to be released on Thursday, hoping for clues on further interest rate cuts before next week's Federal Reserve meeting. These data are expected to provide new guidance for gold prices. Technical Analysis: Gold closed with an inverted hammer candlestick pattern on the daily chart. After hitting a record high of 3674 following yesterday's US market data, the price, as expected, capitalized on the data to drive selling, resulting in the largest single-day correction since August 20th. The daily chart currently maintains an ascending channel buying trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain open and rising to 3550/3590, while the New York closing price remains above the 5-day moving average of 3605. After the RSI indicator on the four-hour chart reached overbought levels above 80, gold prices followed the expected surge and then retreat to a correction, falling back to 3623 in late trading. However, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. The main strategy for gold trading today is to see wide range fluctuations, with selling high and buying low as a strategy. The initial intraday range is 3610/3660. Overall, gold is expected to experience repeated high-level fluctuations in the short term, and any strong rebound may not be sustainable. If this week's correction breaks below the strong support of $3,600 and further declines, we will need to adjust our strategy! Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3,603-3,606, stop loss at 3,595, target at 3,640-3,660; Short-term gold sell at 3,650-3,653, stop loss at 3,662, target at 3,620-3,600; Key Points: First Support Level: 3,612, Second Support Level: 3,603, Third Support Level: 3,590 First Resistance Level: 3,650, Second Resistance Level: 3,663, Third Resistance Level: 3,676
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
1
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,636 – 3,634 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,650 TP2: 3,665 TP3: 3,680+ 👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test • Entry: 3,594 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,610 TP2: 3,625 TP3: 3,640+ 👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,687 – 3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,694 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,655 TP3: 3,640 👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader