LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900
Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive point in the market.
Trend & Trendline
On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. The price continuously bounces off the lower trendline and expands its range towards the upper boundary.
The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as a dynamic support. If the price breaks below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered.
The upper trendline is currently “pressing” the price right at the 3897–3900 area, confluencing with the 2.618 Fibonacci. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback.
Volume Profile & Liquidity
The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating significant capital is positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when the price corrects.
The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if a strong breakdown occurs from the current trendline.
Reference Trading Scenarios
Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833
Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890
Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850
Conclusion
The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If the price is rejected here, we might witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risks carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
Goldlong
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD):
Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
A direct continuation higher from current levels.
A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925.
Fundamental Analysis:
Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Plan
📌 Macro Background
Gold prices continue to receive support from the decline in US interest rates and the weakening of the USD.
The DXY index decreased by 0.27% to 97.91, reducing the strength of the greenback.
The 10-year US Treasury yield fell by 3 basis points to 4.141%.
Real yield decreased to 1.761%, providing support for gold as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
These factors reinforce the upward trend, although in the short term, gold may still experience adjustments to attract more capital flow.
📈 Technical Structure
The H4 frame shows that gold is maintaining a strong upward momentum, however, the RSI has moved deeply into the overbought zone.
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 – Sell Scalping
Entry: 3,879 – 3,882
SL: 3,890
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,836 → 3,810
👉 Suitable for short-term orders when the price reacts at high resistance.
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,805 – 3,808
SL: 3,799
TP: 3,822 → 3,840 → 3,873 → 3,898
👉 Buy in line with the main trend when the price adjusts to the nearby support zone.
🟢 Scenario 3 – Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Support)
Entry: 3,745 – 3,742
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,765 → 3,780 → 3,798 → 3,820 → 3,850
👉 This is a value buy zone if the market adjusts strongly, suitable for short swings.
📊 Summary
The major trend of gold remains bullish, supported by the weakening USD and declining US yields.
In the short term, be aware of the potential for technical adjustments from the resistance 3,879 – 3,882.
Priority strategy: Buy on adjustments, Sell only for quick scalping.
📌 Note: Strict capital management, adhere to stop-loss to preserve profits when unexpected fluctuations from US news occur.
XAUUSD – Will ATH Diminish Gold's Value?Hello Traders,
Gold once accounted for up to 21% of total global assets, but now this figure is only about 5%. Two perspectives are clearly visible:
Gold is gradually losing its relative importance in the financial system.
The total value of global assets has increased significantly (the denominator has expanded), causing gold's proportion to decrease, while the absolute value of gold still plays an important role.
Technical Analysis
In today's Asian session, gold continues to set higher price levels, indicating a very strong upward momentum.
The upward price channel on H1 has touched the upper boundary, showing slight hesitation, but the main trend remains bullish.
The H1 and H4 frames maintain strong buying pressure, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards buyers, ready to push prices to higher levels.
According to Elliott Wave, the price is currently in wave 5 (market sentiment wave). The current task is to observe the reaction when this wave completes, to prepare for the ABC correction cycle.
Regarding Fibonacci, the next important resistance area is at 3880, where a bearish reaction is likely to occur.
Trading Scenario
Sell (at Fibo resistance 3880):
Entry: 3880
SL: 3886
TP: 3866 – 3850 – 3835
Buy (trend-following preferred):
Entry: 3813 – 3816
SL: 3809
TP: 3828 – 3843 – 3860 – 3878
👉 Note: Smaller frames H1 – M15 will provide additional confirmation signals to optimize entry points.
Conclusion
The bullish trend of gold is still prioritized, wave 5 is not yet complete, and the scenario aiming for 4000 – 4050 is entirely feasible.
Short-term selling at strong resistance areas can be considered, but risk management must be tight.
Traders need to closely follow support – resistance areas in smaller frames to maximize profits.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes and to discuss more scenarios in the community.
Gold 1H – Will the Breakout from Range Sustain?Gold on the 1H timeframe has broken out of its previous consolidation range and is now testing a premium supply zone near 3828–3826. The structure shows a clear BOS after the range, supported by strong bullish momentum. However, engineered liquidity sweeps remain likely before the market establishes sustained direction.
From the macro side, today’s headlines highlight persistent inflation worries and a stronger U.S. dollar as traders anticipate upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Geopolitical tensions in energy markets have also underpinned safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold price action.
This alignment of macro drivers and technical liquidity pools suggests two tactical scenarios: fading rejections at supply while preparing to buy dips into the defined demand zone.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3828–3826 (SL 3835): Premium supply zone with upside liquidity sweep potential, offering downside targets at 3810 → 3790 → 3775.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3757–3759 (SL 3750, Demand Zone): Discount demand area aligned with BOS, with upside targets at 3765 → 3780 → 3795+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3828–3826)
• Entry: 3828–3826
• Stop Loss: 3835
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3810
TP2: 3790
TP3: 3775
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3757–3759)
• Entry: 3757–3759
• Stop Loss: 3750
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3765
TP2: 3780
TP3: 3795+
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains volatile after breaking out of consolidation. Expect engineered sweeps into both supply and demand zones before directional clarity develops. With macro headlines keeping the dollar firm and inflation risks alive, traders should watch for sharp intraday reversals:
• Fade supply rejections if momentum stalls at 3828–3826.
• Buy dips into demand if liquidity is swept cleanly around 3757–3759.
The broader narrative supports a two-sided strategy until the Fed provides clearer guidance.
XAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATHXAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATH, target 3840
Hello Trader,
Right at the start of the week, gold has set a new ATH, affirming the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. In the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait to buy at key support zones, with a target towards 3840.
Basic Context
This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a US Government shutdown might delay this crucial report.
The US fiscal year runs from 1/10 to 30/9. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without funding will have to cease operations.
In the absence of important economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty.
Technical View
The price has broken out and created an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 zone currently being strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology).
The 3770 – 3773 zone is near support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying.
MACD on H1 shows buying momentum is maintained, but a correction is needed for price balance before breaking higher.
Trading Strategy
Short-term Sell (at resistance):
Entry: 3837 – 3840
SL: 3844
TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770
Note: This is only a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly.
Preferred Buy (trend-following):
Entry: 3770 – 3773
SL: 3766
TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838
Conclusion
This week, gold still prioritises the Buy strategy at support zones. The main target is towards 3840, an important resistance zone and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario remains waiting for a correction to buy up.
Follow me for short-term scenario updates during the week, especially as news and US fiscal policy changes can significantly impact gold.
Silver Bullish Breakout on Monthly & Weekly CharPattern Formed: Symmetrical Triangle (Long-Term Consolidation)
Breakout Type: Bullish Breakout on Monthly & Weekly Chart
Volume Confirmation: Strength in breakout with price expansion
Measured Move Target: ~$44 (based on triangle height projection)
Immediate Resistance Zone: $44.11 (Historical supply zone)
Support Levels Post-Breakout:
Immediate Support: $34.78
Strong Support: $33.28
Back to 4H Frame – Fed & Inflation Shape Gold PathGold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating near premium supply after multiple liquidity sweeps. Recent U.S. inflation data kept the dollar resilient, while traders anticipate upcoming Fed commentary for clearer policy direction. Price rejected from the 3,795 supply pocket and is now retracing toward discount demand zones. Market structure suggests engineered sweeps below support before bullish continuation into Q4.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,692 – 3,694 (SL 3,685): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab, ideal for continuation longs.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,795 – 3,797 (SL 3,804): Premium supply pocket where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,692 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,715
TP2: 3,740
TP3: 3,760+
👉 Smart money may engineer a sweep below 3,694 before reversing higher. Watch for bullish rejection patterns at demand.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Supply Reaction
• Entry: 3,795 – 3,797
• Stop Loss: 3,804
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,765
TP3: 3,750
👉 Short-term liquidity scalp opportunity against trend. Valid if price fails to break above breakout point.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish medium-term, but intraday sweeps into demand zones are expected as Fed officials continue to push cautious monetary guidance. Liquidity hunts around 3,795 supply and 3,694 demand will likely define the week’s volatility before a decisive breakout.
Traders Watch Gold Surge Ahead of Fed’s Next MoveGold 1H – Consolidation Before Fed Clarity
Gold on the 1H timeframe is currently trading around 3,746, moving within a well-defined consolidation range. Price action highlights a premium supply zone at 3,775–3,773 and a discount demand zone at 3,723–3,725. The market structure shows earlier signs of BOS and ChoCH, with engineered liquidity sweeps becoming evident. A potential Mitigation → Expansion sequence is in play, where a liquidity grab near discount demand could fuel a bullish leg toward premium supply.
From a macro perspective, today’s headlines underscore the cautious stance across financial markets as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming guidance. Lingering inflationary concerns, coupled with speculation around the timing of future rate cuts, have kept volatility elevated. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand for gold, adding an extra layer of support at discount levels.
This combination of technical liquidity zones and macro uncertainty sets the stage for tactical plays: fading moves into the supply zone while remaining prepared for dip-buying opportunities at defined demand areas.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,775–3,773 (SL 3,782): Supply zone coinciding with a buy-side liquidity pool above 3,780, offering downside targets at 3,760 → 3,745 → 3,730.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3,723–3,725 (SL 3,718): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab potential, with upside targets at 3,745 → 3,760 → 3,775+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3,775–3,773)
• Entry: 3,775–3,773
• Stop Loss: 3,782
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,760
TP2: 3,745
TP3: 3,730
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3,723–3,725)
• Entry: 3,723–3,725
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,745
TP2: 3,760
TP3: 3,775+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With the Fed’s next move looming, traders should anticipate engineered sweeps into both premium and discount liquidity pools before the market establishes clearer direction. The tactical edge comes from aligning intraday setups with liquidity hunts:
• Fade supply at 3,775–3,773 if rejection confirms.
• Buy dips into 3,723–3,725 if liquidity is swept cleanly.
The broader narrative of inflation concerns, dollar sensitivity, and safe-haven flows reinforces the case for two-sided opportunities. Expect gold to remain volatile within this consolidation range, with sharp moves likely as liquidity is targeted ahead of Fed clarity.
Wave 5 is about to start – today just time your Buy right!📊 Wave Perspective
The market is still following the scenario of one more wave 5 increase.
It is expected that on Friday morning, the price may move around 3765 to confirm the continuation trend.
After confirmation, there will be 2 important zones to time your Buy for the big wave.
✅ Trading Plan
Zone 1: High Entry – Main Priority
Entry: 3749 – 3751
SL: 3746
TP: 3792
This is the first buying point, suitable for those who want to enter the wave early following the trend.
Zone 2: Backup Entry – Last Support
Entry: 3738 – 3736
Maximum SL: 3730
TP: 3792
This is a strong support zone, if the price breaks zone 1, this will be the "timing" zone to re-enter.
Note: Since this is a backup entry, reduce Lot size, widen SL a bit, and tighten SL when the price matches to optimize risk.
📌 Capital Management Note
Every order must comply with SL to avoid risks.
Prioritize entering orders according to the big wave plan, avoid FOMO.
EA setup: should be set to Only Buy according to the upward wave perspective.
Analysis perspective is for reference only, combine with personal view before entering orders.
🎯 Expectation
If the scenario is correct, the price may complete wave 5 at target 3792.
Upon reaching TP, partial take profit can be done to secure profits.
GOLD TREND TODAY - Support and Resistance - Simple Analysis📈 Trend & Market Structure
XAUUSD
Gold is still in a clear uptrend, respecting higher highs and higher lows on H4.
Recent breakout structures (BOS) confirm bullish order flow, but price is approaching a liquidity zone near $3,800.
On the downside, unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and Order Blocks (OB) remain potential buy zones if price retraces.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3800 – 3830
Support: 3765 – 3760 – 3755
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3715 – 3712
📌 Trade Ideas
🔴 SELL Setup (Countertrend / Scalping)
Entry: 3855 – 3858
Stop Loss: 3863
Take Profit:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3840
TP3: 3820
TP4: 3800
Open TP: 3780
🟢 BUY Setup (Trend-following / SMC zones)
Entry: 3715 – 3712 (Liquidity + Strong OB)
Stop Loss: 3705
Take Profit:
TP1: 3725
TP2: 3735
TP3: 3755
TP4: 3775
Open TP: 3800
🎯 Strategy Note
Main bias: Look for buys on retracements in line with the uptrend.
Shorts at 3855 – 3858 are countertrend scalps only; use tight stops.
Apply scalping entries once price reacts at the defined S/R levels with confirmation (candlestick rejection, BOS, or volume shift).
Always use SL/TP for risk management.
⚡ Gold remains bullish overall; the plan favors buy opportunities from demand zones, while countertrend shorts should be quick and managed tightly.
Gold 1H – Inflation Worries & Risk Sentiment Guide MovesGold on the 1H chart is hovering near 3,753 after multiple BOS confirmations, holding a firm bullish bias yet approaching premium resistance. Liquidity sits above 3,787–3,785, while fresh demand zones are placed at 3,725–3,723 and deeper at 3,688–3,686.
Today’s narrative around sticky U.S. inflation expectations and renewed geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe is boosting safe-haven appetite. Still, intraday price action suggests possible liquidity sweeps into resistance before price retraces back towards demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,787–3,785 (SL 3,794): Premium resistance where liquidity runs may spark short-term selling towards 3,780 → 3,775 → 3,770.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,723 (SL 3,718): Pullback demand aligned with structure, favouring longs towards 3,740 → 3,755 → 3,770+.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,688–3,686 (SL 3,680): Deeper discount demand area, attractive for positional buys targeting 3,700 → 3,715 → 3,730+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback Demand (3,725–3,723)
• Entry: 3,725–3,723
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Targets:
TP1: 3,740
TP2: 3,755
TP3: 3,770+
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,688–3,686)
• Entry: 3,688–3,686
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,700
TP2: 3,715
TP3: 3,730+
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep (3,787–3,785)
• Entry: 3,787–3,785
• Stop Loss: 3,794
• Targets:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,775
TP3: 3,770
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🔑 Strategy Note
Rising inflation concerns and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are keeping gold buyers in play. However, smart money could drive engineered stop-hunts near premium resistance before retracements set in. The bias remains buy-on-dips around key supports, while short-term scalps against liquidity sweeps near 3,787–3,785 should be approached with caution. Volatility is expected as markets digest U.S. inflation updates and risk headlines.
BUYER FOMO: BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD
Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS
Absolutely that up first down after:
1. Market Context (H1)
Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS).
The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone.
Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise.
Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps.
2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing
Zone: 3693 – 3695.
Stoploss: 3685.
TP1: 3715.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R ratio: ~1:3.
Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER
Zone: 3669 – 3670.
Stoploss: 3660.
TP1: 3710.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R: ~1:4.
Entry 3: Final FVG
Zone: 3650 – 3655.
Stoploss: 3640.
TP: 3710 – 3720.
This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed.
3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp)
Entry Sell
Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity).
Stoploss: 3757.
TP1: 3730 – 3735.
TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong).
Confirmation required on M5/M15:
MSS down.
Bearish engulfing.
Long wick rejection.
4. Capital Management
Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account.
Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%.
Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp.
If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run.
5. Notes
Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells.
Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750.
The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase.
Trading Scenario
Buy aligned with the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689)
• Entry: 3,687–3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,695
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,715+.
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656)
• Entry: 3,654–3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,647
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,700+
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718)
• Entry: 3,718–3,716
• Stop Loss: 3,725
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,710
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,690.
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🔑 Strategy Note
The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery.
The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.
GOLD – Breakout / Swept High – Where to BUY?1. Market Overview
Gold prices are consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after showing a short-term bearish structure.
On the H1 chart, we can see clear supply and demand zones:
• Liquidity Buy Zone near 3640 (potential demand area).
• Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The broader higher-timeframe trend is still bullish, but in the near term the market is retesting liquidity levels.
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2. Key Levels & Zones
• Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → important support.
• Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
• Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
• Long-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
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3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (with trend)
• Wait for price to revisit the Liquidity Buy Zone (3640 – 3645).
• If bullish reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing candle, etc.), consider entering a Long position.
🎯 Targets:
• Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
• Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (higher high).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
• If price pushes into the Sell Scalp Zone (3670 – 3680) and faces strong rejection → take a Short scalp.
• 🎯 Target: 3640 – 3645.
⚠ Note: Shorts go against the main bullish trend, so they should be managed quickly and not held for long.
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4. Trade Management Notes
• Focus on Long trades near support, as higher timeframe bias is still bullish.
• Short positions should only be taken as scalp setups near resistance.
• Risk control: limit risk to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding trades against the main trend.
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📌 Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance zone.
• A successful breakout may lead price towards 3700+.
• Otherwise, the market is likely to dip back into 3640 before starting the next bullish leg.
GOLD - Breakout / Swept High appear - Where to BUY ? 🟡 OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Daily Plan – September 19, 2025
1. Market Overview
Price is consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after forming a short-term bearish structure.
On H1, several supply & demand zones are highlighted:
Liquidity Buy Zone around 3640 (potential demand).
Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but in the short term, the market is retesting liquidity areas.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → key support.
Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
Longer-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (trend-aligned)
Wait for price to retest Liquidity Buy zone 3640 – 3645.
If reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing, etc.), consider opening Long.
Targets:
Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (HH).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
If price retraces into Sell Scalp Zone 3670 – 3680 and shows strong rejection → Short scalp opportunity.
Target: 3640 – 3645.
Note: Short trades are counter-trend, so manage quickly.
4. Trade Management Notes
Prioritize Longs from support zones since the higher-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Shorts should only be seen as short-term scalp opportunities near resistance.
Risk management: limit to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding against the main trend.
📌 Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance area. A successful breakout could target 3700+. Otherwise, the market is likely to revisit 3640 before launching the next bullish leg.
Gold Chart Analysis and Price PredictioinGold Chart Analysis and Price Prediction
The Gold Chart is seen to to making Cup and Handle pattern which indicates a bullish sign. Market completely absorbed FED interest cut decisions. Even though in the FED press meet he signed uncertainty in further anticipated rate cuts, Gold is showing bullish sign. A probable break out could be witness after 23 Sepetember'2025.






















