Goldprice
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Is Gold HH confirmed ?Gold is trading at record high with no sign of bearishness expecting Gold to go Higher High . But we have very important fed minute ahead FOMC , If Fed cuts rate by more than 0.5% will see atleast 2621-2650 and further even 2700.
This idea is valid only if it not breaks 2600 Levels
If rate cuts by only 0.25% we will see some correction but its a buy on every dips market .
Check my 4H analysis too which already shared.
Disclaimer : Trading involves a significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors , This idea is meant for education purpose only , do your own research before risking your account.
xauusd wave C ... is buying opportunity ??XAUUSD in ABC corrective wave where
wave B retaced 100% of wave A.. and took lot of time to complete.
now expecting wave C to take lesser time to complete.
Wave C down in progress where minimum target of 2502 low made..
important support zone to watch is 2504-2500.
if broken than more down side possible 2490-85
Will be looking for buying opportunity if bullish candlestick pattern formed.
Disclaimer : study is educational
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDGOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Latest gold analysis☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal.
That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. The opposite direction is the 2470-2460 2433 area playing an important support role.
🌸Trading signal
SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511
BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479
BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
#XAUUSD/H1 Strong upward momentum, establishing a new peak.Trading trend analysis for September 9, 2024:
After creating a candle wick on the M timeframe, the gold price has closed with a strong wick on the D and W timeframes. The gold price has not yet surpassed the peak of 2531; however, it is certain that the gold price will exceed this peak to reach levels of 2538-2542, 2548-2553, or 2565-2570.
The trading trend will be BUY.
Key price zones to note:
BUY zone: 2482-2485 and 2494-2496.
SELL zone: 2505-2508 and 2522-2525.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2482 - 2484
SL 2479
TP 2490 - 2500 - 2510 - 2525.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2494 - 2496
SL 2491
TP 2500 - 2505 - 2515 - 2525.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2523 - 2525
SL 2528
TP 2520 - 2515 - 2505 - 2495.
XAUUSD (Gold) seek and Destroy FridayToday on Friday key news : Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate
XAUUSD made seek and destroy ICT pattern.
This pattern is known for stop loss hunting pattern as per ICT
As per Elliott wave in smaller timeframe..
it has made 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave
from 2471 to 2529
and now doing zig zag A-B-C corrective moves.
Disclaimer : study in only for educational purpose
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks.
Technical Analysis
Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold.
Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x.
Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555
Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
XAUUSD - Accumulation , Manipulation and Distribution
Today before "ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: news
big players took the advantage of news and followed
ICT PO3 pattern which is
ACCUMULATION
MANIPULATION
DISTRIBUTION
ICT power of three is the strategy which exposes the smart money traps for retail traders.
ICT power of 3 concept is also known as AMD setup because of the three main concepts accumulation, manipulation and distribution.
Accumulation phase is when market ranges near important level and smart money accumulate their positions in this area.
Manipulation phase, as obvious from the name, is to manipulate the retail traders. After accumulation smart money moves the market in opposite direction .
Distribution phase is the real move. After manipulating retail traders smart money add their positions toward the real direction of market hence moving market opposite to retail mindset.
In above chart i tried to show this po3 strategy developed by ICT .
Before the red folder news market was ranging.. post that big players
manipulated towards the order block and made high 2523..
and started distribution and till now made low near 2504.
Elliott wave and ICT concepts are very easy to learn if one keeps positive mindset of learning.
Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose
XAUUSD elliott wave analysis.. Buy on DipYesterday ISM Manufacturing PMI data given a dip near 2473
where it seems that xauusd completed its last leg of 5th wave of Y.
Now breaking out from the channel and 2-4 trendline will give more strength for
upmove..
Important level to watch 2496.. bulls need to sustain
upside immediate resistance 2507-09 and 2532
downside support 2473-2470
Disclaimer : study is for educational purpose
XAUUSD prediction based on elliott wave..buy on dipXAUUSD in 5th wave on downside in a ending diagnol.
Downside support 2488-2485
upside immediate resistance 2407 and 2415
Post 5th wave on downside expecting impulse wave to start on upside..
so now be cautious in getting trap at lower levels..
Disclaimer : study is only for educational purpose and no trading recommendation.
#XAUUSD/H4 Crossing the peak area, accumulating or adjusting?Trading trend analysis for the week of September 2 - September 6, 2024:
As per our daily analysis, the gold price is currently moving within the sideways range of 2490 - 2530, and there are no signs of a breakout from this area yet. However, the new week will bring the "FED interest rate decision," which could be significant news that helps break this sideways range. My prediction is that September will be a very challenging month for trading due to the poor W and M candle patterns.
The trading trend for next week will be BUY.
Key price areas to note:
BUY zone: 2480 - 2485, 2490 - 2495, 2510 - 2515.
SELL zone: 2526 - 2531, 2537 - 2542, 2548 - 2553.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2490 - 2492
SL 2487
TP 2495 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2483 - 2485
SL 2480
TP 2490 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2539 - 2541
SL 2544
TP 2535 - 2525 - 2500 - 2465.
Current Gold Movement AnalysisGold structure in the Asian session on August 29.
After bouncing from the support zone of 2495 as analyzed yesterday. Gold was strongly pushed back above yesterday's resistance zone of 2511. The 2511 zone unexpectedly became an important support zone of today's session and then the resistance level of 2518 became a trading price range for gold in the Asian session to the European session. With the strong pulling force here, it can be seen that gold is ready to create a new ATH today if gold does not have the pulling force to the 2485 area.
Pay attention to trading in the 2818-2511 zone in the Asian session
Trading gold signals 28/8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices lost steam amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Wednesday. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could help limit losses. In addition, US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium last week, signaling that it was "time" to start cutting interest rates, could support the precious metal as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets.
Investors will pay closer attention to speeches by Fed officials Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic on Wednesday for some hints on the path of US interest rates. Attention will also turn to preliminary data on US annualised GDP for the second quarter (Q2) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, due on Thursday and Friday. Better-than-estimated results could lift the US Dollar (USD) and limit upside in USD-denominated Gold prices.
☘️Technical analysis
Gold is retreating from the closing level of 2424, currently gold is approaching the important area of 2509. When breaking this area, lower areas can pay attention to trading in the European session around 2503-2495. Today, the main plan is to wait for buying to break ATH. On the contrary, if the price pushes to 09 and does not break, you can buy in the 09 area. If you cannot break this area in the European session, you can close the order. The candle closes above 2020 after the European session ends, consider finding a recovery point for DCA to buy the target to break ATH.
Wish you a successful transaction.
SELL scalp zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
SELL zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551
BUY scalp zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
Gold XAUUSD corrective patternXauusd made high near 2532 where impulse 5 wave completed..
and started corrective wave w-x-y (double correction done) and made low near 2470 near the channel bottom support.
If it sustains inside the channel with bullish candle formation above 2480 than expect one more move up for wave X towards 2490-2495
now stay cautious in shorting near the channel support.. it can be trap if profit booking follows.
golden ratio level 2470 if broken than downside 2460-2455
Disclaimer.. Study is only for educational purpose and no trading advise
GOLD UPDATE INTRADAY TODAY
#Gold Range Prediction from Today 23/08/2024 is as under.
Gold Spot : 2480$-2530$
Gold INR : 71200-72250
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
Gold Analysis August 16Fundamental Analysis
The US economic data was stronger than expected and the market is anticipating that these data could affect the extent of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The US dollar and US bond yields rose, making it difficult for gold prices to rise.
The latest data released by the US showed that the core consumer price index (CPI) in July, which is a price index excluding food and energy costs, fell to its lowest level since early 2021 compared to the same period last year. This shows that inflationary pressures have eased, supporting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next month.
In particular, a report from the US Department of Labor showed that the number of new Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week fell to a one-month low.
As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold prices tend to rise when interest rates fall. As inflation slows, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut will increase, further boosting the appeal of gold. Additionally, gold purchases by central banks around the world have also become a reliable support for gold prices.
Apart from monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty has also been a major factor driving demand for gold. Tensions in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have increased the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight failure near the $2,470 resistance level makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains. With the daily chart oscillations holding in positive territory, Gold could then aim to break above the all-time highs around the $2,483-$2,484 zone hit in July and conquer the psychological $2,500 mark. A sustained strength above the latter would confirm a breakout above a month-old trading range and could be viewed as a fresh trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,447-2,445 horizontal zone now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,430-2,429 zone and the weekly low, around $2,424. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below $2,400.
Resistance: 2475 - 2488 - 2500 -2509
Support: 2438 - 2333 - 2426 - 2421
Price ranges to note:
SELL zone 2473 - 2475 stoploss 2479
SELL zone 2498 - 2500 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2438 - 2436 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M Sell Projection 06.08.24Overall, selling gold provides a dependable and efficient means to secure liquidity, address immediate financial needs, and make the most of a valuable and universally accepted asset. Urgent Cash Needs: Life throws curveballs. Unexpected expenses, medical bills, or emergencies can necessitate quick cash.
Bullish on Gold Gold screaming Buy Buy Buy
From 26th July'24
Time to buy the Dip in Gold Due to Slash in Custom Duty by the Government.
Buy on Dips strategy is good to go for Long term Investing This is the right time for Gold lovers to invest as Daily Timeframe Charts suggest the Fall in Gold prices are Done.
The bottom is made to be precise.
Buy Signal also generated on Silver too.
Gold Consolidating for a Robust UptrendOn Weekly Basis:
GOLD took a support at 1640 (inverted head) on weekly charts (October, 2022) after it made a peak at 2035 (August, 2020) and correcting nearly 50%. It tried to pierce the daily top of 2070 twice after peaking in August,2020. It means it made a triple top which could mean a bear market for GOLD instead it made an inverted head at 1640 and shoulder pattern between 2010 to 2035. 50% retracement has been completed 1640, starting from 1190 and completing at 2035. The year 2024 is the fourth year of consolidation in GOLD. The resistance at 2035 has been broken and remaining in medium term consolidation pattern between 1980 to 2075. Currently 200 DMA is at 1966 with an uptrend.
Fresh new Wave may start in near future by the time 200 DMA move above 2000 level. One can be optimistic and it provides a good choice to buy at current level with a minimum bold target of 2950, which becomes a strong buy from long term point of view. It has come out of oversold position to neutral zone. RSI was oversold in October, 2023. Now it has broken out of the long-term channel of 4 years and continuously trading above the upper line of the channel at an all-time high with minor blip down.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.