XAUUSD prediction based on elliott wave..buy on dipXAUUSD in 5th wave on downside in a ending diagnol.
Downside support 2488-2485
upside immediate resistance 2407 and 2415
Post 5th wave on downside expecting impulse wave to start on upside..
so now be cautious in getting trap at lower levels..
Disclaimer : study is only for educational purpose and no trading recommendation.
Goldprice
#XAUUSD/H4 Crossing the peak area, accumulating or adjusting?Trading trend analysis for the week of September 2 - September 6, 2024:
As per our daily analysis, the gold price is currently moving within the sideways range of 2490 - 2530, and there are no signs of a breakout from this area yet. However, the new week will bring the "FED interest rate decision," which could be significant news that helps break this sideways range. My prediction is that September will be a very challenging month for trading due to the poor W and M candle patterns.
The trading trend for next week will be BUY.
Key price areas to note:
BUY zone: 2480 - 2485, 2490 - 2495, 2510 - 2515.
SELL zone: 2526 - 2531, 2537 - 2542, 2548 - 2553.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2490 - 2492
SL 2487
TP 2495 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2483 - 2485
SL 2480
TP 2490 - 2500 - 2515 - 2537.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2539 - 2541
SL 2544
TP 2535 - 2525 - 2500 - 2465.
Current Gold Movement AnalysisGold structure in the Asian session on August 29.
After bouncing from the support zone of 2495 as analyzed yesterday. Gold was strongly pushed back above yesterday's resistance zone of 2511. The 2511 zone unexpectedly became an important support zone of today's session and then the resistance level of 2518 became a trading price range for gold in the Asian session to the European session. With the strong pulling force here, it can be seen that gold is ready to create a new ATH today if gold does not have the pulling force to the 2485 area.
Pay attention to trading in the 2818-2511 zone in the Asian session
Trading gold signals 28/8☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices lost steam amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Wednesday. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could help limit losses. In addition, US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium last week, signaling that it was "time" to start cutting interest rates, could support the precious metal as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets.
Investors will pay closer attention to speeches by Fed officials Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic on Wednesday for some hints on the path of US interest rates. Attention will also turn to preliminary data on US annualised GDP for the second quarter (Q2) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, due on Thursday and Friday. Better-than-estimated results could lift the US Dollar (USD) and limit upside in USD-denominated Gold prices.
☘️Technical analysis
Gold is retreating from the closing level of 2424, currently gold is approaching the important area of 2509. When breaking this area, lower areas can pay attention to trading in the European session around 2503-2495. Today, the main plan is to wait for buying to break ATH. On the contrary, if the price pushes to 09 and does not break, you can buy in the 09 area. If you cannot break this area in the European session, you can close the order. The candle closes above 2020 after the European session ends, consider finding a recovery point for DCA to buy the target to break ATH.
Wish you a successful transaction.
SELL scalp zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
SELL zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551
BUY scalp zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
Gold XAUUSD corrective patternXauusd made high near 2532 where impulse 5 wave completed..
and started corrective wave w-x-y (double correction done) and made low near 2470 near the channel bottom support.
If it sustains inside the channel with bullish candle formation above 2480 than expect one more move up for wave X towards 2490-2495
now stay cautious in shorting near the channel support.. it can be trap if profit booking follows.
golden ratio level 2470 if broken than downside 2460-2455
Disclaimer.. Study is only for educational purpose and no trading advise
GOLD UPDATE INTRADAY TODAY
#Gold Range Prediction from Today 23/08/2024 is as under.
Gold Spot : 2480$-2530$
Gold INR : 71200-72250
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
Gold Analysis August 16Fundamental Analysis
The US economic data was stronger than expected and the market is anticipating that these data could affect the extent of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The US dollar and US bond yields rose, making it difficult for gold prices to rise.
The latest data released by the US showed that the core consumer price index (CPI) in July, which is a price index excluding food and energy costs, fell to its lowest level since early 2021 compared to the same period last year. This shows that inflationary pressures have eased, supporting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next month.
In particular, a report from the US Department of Labor showed that the number of new Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week fell to a one-month low.
As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold prices tend to rise when interest rates fall. As inflation slows, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut will increase, further boosting the appeal of gold. Additionally, gold purchases by central banks around the world have also become a reliable support for gold prices.
Apart from monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty has also been a major factor driving demand for gold. Tensions in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have increased the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight failure near the $2,470 resistance level makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for any further gains. With the daily chart oscillations holding in positive territory, Gold could then aim to break above the all-time highs around the $2,483-$2,484 zone hit in July and conquer the psychological $2,500 mark. A sustained strength above the latter would confirm a breakout above a month-old trading range and could be viewed as a fresh trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for a further near-term upside move.
On the downside, the $2,447-2,445 horizontal zone now looks to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,430-2,429 zone and the weekly low, around $2,424. Some follow-through selling could leave Gold vulnerable to further weakness below $2,400.
Resistance: 2475 - 2488 - 2500 -2509
Support: 2438 - 2333 - 2426 - 2421
Price ranges to note:
SELL zone 2473 - 2475 stoploss 2479
SELL zone 2498 - 2500 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2438 - 2436 stoploss 2432
BUY zone 2426 - 2324 stoploss 2420
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M Sell Projection 06.08.24Overall, selling gold provides a dependable and efficient means to secure liquidity, address immediate financial needs, and make the most of a valuable and universally accepted asset. Urgent Cash Needs: Life throws curveballs. Unexpected expenses, medical bills, or emergencies can necessitate quick cash.
Bullish on Gold Gold screaming Buy Buy Buy
From 26th July'24
Time to buy the Dip in Gold Due to Slash in Custom Duty by the Government.
Buy on Dips strategy is good to go for Long term Investing This is the right time for Gold lovers to invest as Daily Timeframe Charts suggest the Fall in Gold prices are Done.
The bottom is made to be precise.
Buy Signal also generated on Silver too.
Gold Consolidating for a Robust UptrendOn Weekly Basis:
GOLD took a support at 1640 (inverted head) on weekly charts (October, 2022) after it made a peak at 2035 (August, 2020) and correcting nearly 50%. It tried to pierce the daily top of 2070 twice after peaking in August,2020. It means it made a triple top which could mean a bear market for GOLD instead it made an inverted head at 1640 and shoulder pattern between 2010 to 2035. 50% retracement has been completed 1640, starting from 1190 and completing at 2035. The year 2024 is the fourth year of consolidation in GOLD. The resistance at 2035 has been broken and remaining in medium term consolidation pattern between 1980 to 2075. Currently 200 DMA is at 1966 with an uptrend.
Fresh new Wave may start in near future by the time 200 DMA move above 2000 level. One can be optimistic and it provides a good choice to buy at current level with a minimum bold target of 2950, which becomes a strong buy from long term point of view. It has come out of oversold position to neutral zone. RSI was oversold in October, 2023. Now it has broken out of the long-term channel of 4 years and continuously trading above the upper line of the channel at an all-time high with minor blip down.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
XAUUSD wave analysisXauusd currently near the resistance of 2365-2370
Two scenario from here :
Bullish scenario :
XAUUSD after making low of 2286 moving 3-3-3 waves till now
(a) wave completed from 2286 to 2368 (moved in 3 zigzag move up)
(b) wave completed from 2368 to 2293 (moved in 3 zigzag move down)
now
(c) wave started from 2293 to till now made high near 2365 ( internal wave a=wave b target done .
wave (c) can be 3 zigzag move abc which seems completed or it can be 3-3-5 up move
if wave (c) is in 5 wave than upside target is 2393.
Bearish scenario:
XAUUSD after making low of 2286 than moving 3-3-3-3-3 waves in triangle pattern.
of which wave abc completed
and wave d can be down in zigzag move for target of 2320-2310
Note : if it is bullish than gold should not go below 2340.
for bearish scenario one should wait for sturcture to change from HH-HL TO LH-LL
3th JULY GOLD PREDICTIONTrading Strategy for Gold
Sell Entry Point:
Entry Range: 2336 - 2340
Stop Loss (SL):
Above: 2340 (suggested precise level: 2342 to give some buffer for volatility)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 2330
TP2: 2325
TP3: 2320
Execution Plan
Market Analysis:
Trend: Sideways movement between 2320 - 2340.
Catalyst: Awaiting nonfarm payroll news this week.
Entry Strategy:
Sell Orders: Place sell orders within the 2336 - 2340 range.
Volume Allocation: Consider splitting your position into smaller orders to average into the range.
Stop Loss Management:
SL Placement: Set your stop loss above the 2340 level. A precise level like 2342 ensures some buffer against minor price fluctuations.
Take Profit Strategy:
TP1: Set for 2330 to secure partial profit.
TP2: Set for 2325 for further profit taking if the price continues to move down.
TP3: Final TP at 2320 to maximize profit if the price reaches the lower end of the range.
Risk Management:
Ensure your position size respects your risk management rules.
Avoid over-leveraging to manage potential volatility around the nonfarm payroll announcement.
Monitoring:
Stay updated with news and market sentiment leading up to the nonfarm payroll release.
Be prepared to adjust your strategy if there are significant market movements or news developments.
Summary
Sell at 2336-2340
Stop Loss: 2342
Take Profits: 2330 (TP1), 2325 (TP2), 2320 (TP3)
XAUUSD - Gold prices increased slightly at the end of the week⏩XAUUSD news to pay attention to this week are: Unemployment Claims, Retail Sales m/month, Unemployment Claims, PMI....
This week, the gold market is expected to be quiet without important economic data. Investor concerns will turn to developments and interest rate decisions of major central banks in Europe, including the Swiss Central Bank and the Bank of England.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2342, SL: 2346
🟢BUY GOLD: 2308 - 2305, SL: 2301
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2340
📉 Breakout below: 2312
🔼Support: 2312 - 2305 - 2291
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2340
Everyone, let's have the information to have a plan to safely evaluate the market. Wishing everyone a lucky new week
Gold Price: Potential Downturn Ahead as Market Signals ShiftThis chart tracks the price movements of Gold in USD per ounce over a four-hour timeframe, as of June 13, 2024. Here’s a simple breakdown:
1. **Current Price**: Gold is trading at around $2,301.84.
2. **Resistance Levels**: There are significant resistance points where selling pressure is high at around $2,340, $2,380, and $2,420. These levels are where the price struggles to go higher.
3. **Support Levels**: On the downside, there are support levels around $2,220 and $2,180, where buying interest might help keep the price from falling further.
4. **Trend**: The price has been generally moving up since early May, as shown by the upward trend line. However, there have been recent signs of this trend reversing.
5. **Market Signals**:
- The chart shows points labeled 'CHOCH' (Change of Character) and 'BOS' (Break of Structure), which mark key changes in price trends.
- The latest signals suggest that the market is turning bearish, indicating a possible decline in prices.
6. **Volume**: High trading volumes are noted around the resistance levels, indicating strong selling activity.
7. **Predicted Movement**: An arrow on the chart indicates that the price might drop soon, potentially reaching the support levels at $2,220 or $2,180.
In essence, the chart suggests that gold prices could be heading downwards in the near future, given the recent shift in market sentiment and strong resistance at higher price levels.
10th JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONTo create a more refined predictive analysis for gold prices, incorporating a specific target price (TP) of $2288 and a risk-to-reward ratio (R
) of 1:3, we'll follow these steps:
Model Refinement: Adjust the model or its predictions to better align with financial strategy goals, specifically targeting the $2288 price level.
Risk-Reward Analysis: Set up a trading strategy that maintains a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. This implies for every dollar risked, three dollars are expected as a reward. This will help in setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Sell Zone Entry: Incorporate the provided sell zone of $2308 to $2315 to evaluate when might be an optimal time to sell based on the predicted market movement.
Stop-Loss Calculation: Using the risk-reward ratio, calculate the stop-loss position. If the target price (TP) is $2288, a 1:3 ratio means that the stop-loss should be set at a price that is one third the distance to the TP below the entry point.
5th JUNE GOLD ANALYSISFor a refined analysis of gold trading, considering the given sell zones, we can focus on two specific strategies that traders can deploy: a reactive approach where traders wait for the zones to activate before selling, and a proactive approach where traders set limit orders in advance. Here’s how each can be implemented effectively:
Strategy 1: Reactive Selling Strategy
Sell Zone 1: 2347-2354
Sell Zone 2: 2358-2364
Overview :
This strategy involves waiting for the price of gold to enter the specified sell zones before executing a sell order. Traders monitor the market actively and react once the conditions align.
Execution :
Monitoring: Traders need to keep a close eye on gold prices as they approach the sell zones. This can be facilitated through real-time price alerts.
Confirmation : Once the price enters a sell zone, look for technical confirmation of a price reversal, such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, hanging man) or technical indicators like the RSI turning downwards from overbought conditions.
Sell Execution: Execute the sell order only after confirming that the price is likely to decline, ensuring it's not merely touching the zone before a further upward movement.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the highest point of the sell zone to minimize losses if the price unexpectedly rises.
Profit Targets: Determine exit points either at a fixed profit target or at the next significant support level lower than the sell zones.
Strategy 2: Proactive Limit Order Strategy
Sell Zone 1: 2347-2354
Sell Zone 2: 2358-2364
Overview:
This strategy uses limit orders set at predefined prices within the sell zones, allowing traders to automatically enter trades without needing to monitor prices continuously.
Execution :
Setting Limit Orders: Place sell limit orders at the higher end of each sell zone (e.g., 2354 and 2364) to capture the initial reversal momentum.
Volume and Momentum Analysis: Before setting the orders, analyze historical volume and momentum data to ensure these points have previously acted as strong resistance levels.
Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss orders just above the sell zones to protect against breakout risks.
Automatic Execution: Since this strategy doesn't require continuous monitoring, it is suitable for traders who cannot watch the markets at all times. However, periodic checks are recommended to adjust the orders based on recent market behavior.
Profit Targets: Set automatic take-profit levels based on historical support levels or predetermined profit goals.
Risk Management
Both strategies require careful risk management. It's vital to:
Determine the size of the trade based on a percentage of the total trading capital to avoid significant impacts from a single trade.
Use a risk-reward ratio that justifies the potential risk, typically no less than 1:2.
Be aware of market news and economic events that could influence gold prices drastically, adjusting strategies as needed.
Conclusion
By using these strategies, traders can optimize their trading approach based on their ability to monitor the markets and their risk tolerance. The reactive strategy is ideal for those who can actively manage their trades, while the proactive strategy suits those needing a more set-and-forget approach. Both strategies leverage the defined sell zones to maximize potential returns while minimizing risks, accommodating different trading styles and schedules.
XAU- Gold price today: Gold fallsGold dropped to around $2,330 per ounce on Thursday due to increasing US Treasury yields and demand for the greenback following hawkish remarks from Fed officials. Fed Atlanta President Bostic expressed uncertainty about reaching 2% inflation and highlighted significant price gains.
Gold moves towards 2350, passing through the lowest bottom of wave 3, but the candlesticks in H4 are leading to a situation where wave 5 is not completed and opens a double bottom pattern. It is easy to break out when the price surpasses the 2361 area
SELL GOLD: 2373 - 2375 , SL: 2379
BUY GOLD: 2317 - 2315, SL: 2311
(scalping)
Breakout & retest:
- Breaking and closing on: 2354 - 2361 - 2374
- Break and close below: 2335 - 2328 - 2315
Support: 2328 - 2316 - 2307 - 2300 - 2290
Resistance: 2350 - 2365 - 2378 - 2384
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
29th MAY GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Price Movement
Support Zone: 2348 - 2343
Resistance Level: 2370
Correction Phase: 2348 - 2343
The gold price is expected to correct downwards to the support zone between 2348 and 2343.
Reasons for Correction:
Profit-taking by short-term traders.
Testing previous support levels to establish a stronger base for the next upward move.
The gold price is currently undergoing a correction phase within the support zone of 2348 - 2343. It is expected to rebound and test the resistance at 2370 if the technical indicators align with the bullish scenario. Continuous monitoring of the moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume will provide insights into the strength and direction of the next price movement.
This analysis should be supplemented with up-to-date market news and fundamental factors that could impact gold prices, such as economic data releases and geopolitical developments.
GOLDBEES | Investment OpportunityDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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