XAUUSD – New York Session Outlook (End of Week Setup)
Gold is currently testing the highs for the third time, but a fresh ATH this week seems increasingly unlikely. The ideal sell zone has already been tapped, leaving limited upside momentum in the short term.
Following today’s economic data, trading volume has remained muted, suggesting the market is waiting for clearer waves before committing further positions. Yesterday’s sharp drop already flushed out many short-term traders, which may keep activity lighter into the weekly close.
⚖️ Trading Plan – New York Session
For today’s US session, preference is given to short positions ahead of the weekly candle close:
Sell Entry: Around current levels (3,88x) or ideally at 3,890
Stop Loss: Strictly above the ATH
Take Profit: Targeting a deeper correction towards the 3,83x area into weekly close
📊 Market View
Momentum has clearly slowed, with repeated rejections around the highs.
Short-term volume remains thin, so expect choppy price action before any decisive move.
Patience will be key – look for small price reactions to refine entries.
📌 Conclusion: End-of-week price action looks tilted towards a corrective pullback rather than a breakout. For the New York session, selling rallies remains the higher-probability play.
Good luck with your trades, and trade safe! 🚀
Goldsell
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend
Hello Trader,
Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself.
On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week.
Basic Outlook
Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues.
This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty.
Technical Outlook
The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week.
If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860.
If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1.
MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal.
Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout.
Trading Scenario for Next Week
Buying Scenario (priority):
Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment).
SL: below 3640.
TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822.
Selling Scenario at Resistance:
Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance).
SL: above 3840.
TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720.
Conclusion
In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders.
Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations.
Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone,
Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8.
Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!
DXY/GOLD RATIO ANALYSIS The DXY/Gold ratio has been in a persistent downtrend, now testing deep lows. Momentum shows early signs of stabilizing, with RSI near oversold and MACD flattening.
⚖️ A rebound here could mean relative strength shifting back toward the Dollar over Gold. Keep an eye on follow-through.
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4Technical Analysis
After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold could not sustain the upward momentum and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure indicates that the correction phase is extending, with price likely to retest key support areas below.
On the chart, the support zones at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as intermediate levels. If these zones fail to hold, selling pressure may push price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the major support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone at 3,579–3,560.
The RSI is currently hovering around 45–50, suggesting momentum is tilted towards a corrective move rather than a strong uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
SELL Setup (preferred):
Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone
SL: above 3,675
Targets: 3,633–3,632-3,626-3,614–3,612-3,579–3,560
BUY Setup (short-term / scalping):
Entry: consider buys around 3,626–3,625 support
SL: below 3,618
Targets:3,633-3,645-3,650
Key Levels to Watch
3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG post-FOMC.
3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a break below confirms extended bearish pressure.
3,612: Key level for deciding near-term direction.
3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4.
Traders may keep these levels on watch and align positions accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Buying is slow and weak.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday, we planned to buy gold at 3531, and the blog post clearly stated buying at 3526. Almost all of the purchases were made at the lowest point. Gold surged to 3578 in the European and American trading sessions, closing with a strong positive daily candlestick pattern. However, gold plummeted in the Asian session, giving back all of yesterday's gains in just a few hours. Does this signal a topping? A technical pullback after a significant surge is normal, but the magnitude of the pullback has disrupted the short-term buying structure, allowing gold to re-enter a new pattern. This week is a data week, and the further into the future, the more critical the market for gold. I believe the current sharp drop is merely profit-taking ahead of the data releases, and it's not yet a definitive peak signal. The overall trend should continue to be buying today. Don't blindly buy in the Asian session. Consider selling on a short-term rebound. The 3526 level has been broken. This level is the hourly low and also the daily support level. A break of this level indicates a weakening trend. Another level is the 5-day moving average of the daily chart, 3508-3500. A significant drop below this level would confirm a short-term Yin-enclosing Yang pattern, potentially signaling the start of a major correction. We can buy and sell intraday, capitalizing on this trend. Furthermore, the 4-hour chart's consecutive reversals into the red are causing market confusion.
Support is 3508-3500, while resistance lies at 3566, 3553, and 3542. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3526.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today we will have ADP employment and unemployment benefit data.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480
Gold - Bearish ? Double Top with RSI DivergenceGold was bullish only due to empty words from Trump saying no gold in US, its missing, no one audited for 40 years, no doors and no windows in the store house etc etc. He never took efforts to go and check it or ask for audit report. so in my view its empty words from Trump. It must have helped Russia to offload its tons and tons of Gold accumulated long before the war, Thats the biggest gift Trump given to Putin to book profits in Gold. It has formed double top with clear Bearish Divergence in RSI. In my view its a Sell now and many be buy at lower levels later. No war, no covid and why any one hold Gold at these very high price ?
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Key Points:
Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG).
Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 3,356
TP2: 3,375
TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance)
Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245.
Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362.
Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
Gold price drops with FOMC today: 3342Plan XAU day: 30 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain confined within a narrow range around the $3,325 level during the Asian session on Wednesday, struggling to extend the previous day's modest gains. Persistent market caution ahead of a pivotal central bank event lends some support to the safe-haven precious metal. In addition, a slight retreat in the US Dollar (USD) from a more than one-month high reached on Tuesday could provide an added boost to gold prices.
That said, upside potential appears limited, as investors exhibit restraint and await further clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory before making directional commitments. Meanwhile, the prevailing consensus that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period is likely to prevent a significant USD pullback. Coupled with renewed trade optimism, these factors may continue to cap any meaningful gains in the XAU/USD pair
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price accumulated and compressed since the beginning of the week. Waiting for today's interest rate announcement. Decreased back to 3300.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3342 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
GOLD SELL RECOMMENDATION (XAU/USD)🔴 GOLD SELL RECOMMENDATION (XAU/USD)
🕒 Timeframe: 15 minutes (M15)
📆 Date: July 16, 2025
✅ Trade Parameters:
Sell Entry Zone: 3,341 – 3,342 USD/oz
Stop Loss (SL): 3,351 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,307 USD
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price is retracing to test a dynamic resistance zone, near the 200 EMA and upper Bollinger Band.
A bearish candle with high volume signals a potential return of selling pressure.
The 3,341–3,342 zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement from the recent move, a strong confluence for a sell setup.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio is approximately 1:3.5, indicating a favorable trade.
📌 Suggested Strategy:
Sell within the 3341–3342 range. Place a stop loss at 3351 and target 3307 for take profit. Once the price moves halfway to the target, consider trailing your stop to breakeven to secure profits.
fl me and ytb
XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
GOLD (XAU/USD) SELL TRADE SETUP – #2✅ GOLD (XAU/USD) SELL TRADE SETUP – #2
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Date: July 8–9, 2025
🔽 Trade Details:
Entry Zone: 3,329 – 3,330 USD/oz (key resistance zone with confluence from MA20, MA89 & trendline retest)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,336 USD (above major resistance and MA89)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,200 USD
TP2: 3,180 USD
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price is rejecting the resistance zone around 3,330 where:
MA89 is acting as dynamic resistance
Previous swing highs provide strong resistance
Broken trendline is being retested from below
Volume shows an increase in selling activity at resistance
Price action suggests a weakening bullish momentum and likely continuation to the downside
🧭 Trade Plan:
Watch for rejection patterns around 3,329–3,330
Enter short with confirmation (reversal candles or rejection wicks)
SL strictly at 3,336 to avoid fakeouts
Take partial profit at TP1, hold remainder for TP2
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) and the specified data, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is not explicitly provided, but the entry price is set at 3,336.00. The chart suggests a potential resistance zone near this level, with a recent uptrend showing signs of exhaustion.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,336.00, aligning with the specified entry price where the price may face rejection due to resistance.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,346.00, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is 10.00 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,331.00, a conservative target 5.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,326.00, a mid-range target 10.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,321.00, a deeper target 15.00 points below the entry, aligning with a potential support zone.
Price Action: The chart indicates a peak near the entry level, with a bearish reversal signal suggested by the candlestick pattern and resistance line.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.00 points) compared to the take profit levels (5.00 to 15.00 points) offers a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 2 and 3 provide a 1:1 and 1:1.5 ratio, respectively, making this a balanced short-term trade.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,336.00, with a stop loss at 3,346.00 and take profit levels at 3,331.00, 3,326.00, and 3,321.00. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a downtrend, and be cautious of a potential upward move if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) and the specified data, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is not explicitly provided, but the entry price is set at 3,336.00. The chart suggests a potential resistance zone near this level, with a recent uptrend showing signs of exhaustion.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,336.00, aligning with the specified entry price where the price may face rejection due to resistance.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,346.00, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is 10.00 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,331.00, a conservative target 5.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,326.00, a mid-range target 10.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,321.00, a deeper target 15.00 points below the entry, aligning with a potential support zone.
Price Action: The chart indicates a peak near the entry level, with a bearish reversal signal suggested by the candlestick pattern and resistance line.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.00 points) compared to the take profit levels (5.00 to 15.00 points) offers a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 2 and 3 provide a 1:1 and 1:1.5 ratio, respectively, making this a balanced short-term trade.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,336.00, with a stop loss at 3,346.00 and take profit levels at 3,331.00, 3,326.00, and 3,321.00. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a downtrend, and be cautious of a potential upward move if the price breaks above the stop loss level.