XAU/USD Range Market – Sell from PremiumGold is currently trading in a clear ranging (TR) environment after the recent bullish expansion. On the H1 timeframe, price has reacted from the premium zone near the previous highs, while liquidity remains stacked below the range.
🔻 Sell Scenario:
Price is expected to react from the 4303 – 4306 resistance zone, aligned with prior distribution and rejection. This area favors short-term sell opportunities while the market remains inside the range.
🔺 Buy Scenario:
The 4247 – 4245 zone represents a liquidity pocket below the major value area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup. With a tight stop-loss, buy limit orders are valid if price sweeps liquidity and shows reaction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 4303 – 4306
Support / Liquidity: 4247 – 4245
As long as price stays within the range, sell from premium and buy from discount remains the primary strategy. Always respect stop-loss levels and manage risk accordingly.
Goldsell
XAUUSD ANALYSISI am posting a chart of XAUUSD this is the possible outcomes of the wave as per myview
3rd wave is completed and the current xauusd is in correction we can see abc correction on longterm as per trukit last wave now we can see trendline liquidity is need to be taken and in upcoming days we can see gold around 3820 from we can see 4-5wave as per my view.
Thanks
XAUUSD (H1) – Friday Weekend
Lana prioritizes the adjustment phase towards the POC area, looking to Sell in the liquidity zone 💛
Quick Summary
Context: Friday, the market often tends to take profits and sweep liquidity before the week closes
Monitoring Frame: H1
Main Viewpoint: Prioritize a decrease during the day (adjustment phase)
Key Point to Note: 4308 has reacted multiple times, a sensitive point in the structure
Market Context
The weekend is usually a time when the cash flow is “lighter” and price behavior tends to lean towards profit-taking. Therefore, an adjustment phase to gain more liquidity is the scenario Lana prioritizes today.
From a medium-term perspective, some large institutions still maintain a positive view on gold. However, in intraday trading, Lana still prioritizes following the current price behavior and trading according to the liquidity zone.
Technical View H1
On H1, the price is fluctuating around the accumulation zone, and the POC/VAL area indicates this is a market zone that has been “back and forth” for quite a while. When the price returns to these areas, there is usually a clear reaction.
The 4308 area is noteworthy because the price has reacted multiple times, so this is a point that could determine whether the adjustment phase continues.
Today's Trading Scenario
Main Scenario – Sell at POC/VAL area (large liquidity)
Sell: 4335 – 4340
Lana prioritizes waiting for the price to rebound to this area to sell according to the adjustment phase. This is a large liquidity zone, suitable for finding a downward reaction during the day.
Alternative Scenario – Buy scalping at near support
Buy: 4284 – 4289
This Buy order is only for scalping when the price hits the support area and a bounce reaction appears. If the market continues to be weak, Lana will not hold the Buy for too long.
Session Notes
If the price continues to be rejected around resistance areas and cannot surpass the supply zone, the adjustment scenario will have an advantage.
For Friday, Lana prioritizes light trading, quick closing, avoiding holding positions too long over the weekend.
Lana's Notes 🌿
Each scenario is just a probability. Lana always sets a stop loss first, chooses the appropriate volume, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting area.
GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution.
Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower.
The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase.
If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at:
4022 (clean sell-side pocket)
3998 (final downside liquidity target)
XAUUSD Short | 15m |Gold revisited the upper band of the intraday structure and showed clear signs of weakening momentum. Price failed to sustain above the model’s trailing zone, indicating a shift from short-term accumulation to distribution.
The short entry was executed as price broke back below the cloud, supported by a clean loss of intrabalance strength.
Stop is placed above the most recent structural failure.
Primary target sits near the liquidity cluster around 4175.
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉
🔍 Key Technical Insights
Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255
Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌
Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area
Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Area Sticker
TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯
TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰
📌 TP1 is your high-probability target
📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️
📌 Trade Setup Idea
📍 Sell Entry Zone:
➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout)
🎯 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸
🧭 Overall Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻
Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧
Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025
“Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.”
A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT
Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement.
Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align.
Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs.
🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY
🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction)
Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply)
Stop Loss (SL) 4185
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node)
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support)
Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level)
🔍 Why this setup?
Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted.
Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal.
Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply.
🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary)
Entry Zone 4157 – 4158
SL 4163
TP 4100 – 4105
✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone.
🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan)
Trigger Break and hold above 4185
Entry Breakout Buy above 4190
SL 4175
TP 4220
Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout.
🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR
Level Description
4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell
4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG)
4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area
4100 Micro support + Bull trap
4040 SSL – liquidity target
📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT
M5–M30 Footprints:
Massive seller imbalances from 4175+
Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion
Volume Profile:
High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance
Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone
Delta:
Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias
💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt.
🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken.
🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs.
🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY
"The chart speaks in structure,
The volume whispers the truth,
But the orderflow shouts the conviction."
📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040
📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers
Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained.
The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone)
Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction.
Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance.
Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone.
The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger.
Important liquidity zones:
4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone.
4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario.
4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers.
Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111
📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK
Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority)
Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone.
Entry: 4100–4111
SL: 4090
TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187
Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom.
Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom)
Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate.
Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break)
SL: 4120
TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032
Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100.
🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise
According to the latest data from CME Watch:
54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps
45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates
The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting.
In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation.
⚠️ Invalidation Conditions
Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades.
Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups.
What scenario are you preparing for the new week?
Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone.
🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment.
🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30).
🌐 Macro Context
The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin.
The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View)
Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones.
Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone.
🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point.
If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
BTC is forming a 3R sell scenario.....BTC is in downtrend in daily timeframe and shown sniper delivery, now it is in pullback mode. We may anticipate a good short term trade around 102000 RDRB level
1. Price is continuously crating BOSs..
2. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
3. RSI has already shown bearish divergence on hourly TF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
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Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4000 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3990 – 3960, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 3990 – 4000.
📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔸 Sell Zone: 4000 – 4003
🎯 Targets: 3990, 3980 and 3970
🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4012 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum.
📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4012
💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4045 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3980 – 4045, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 4035 – 4045.
📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔸 Sell Zone: 4035 – 4045
🎯 Targets: 4021 and 4012
🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4051.5 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum.
📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4051.5
💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Dual-phase trading — shorting the drop, then switching to long Gold is currently trading near $4,040, and my short-term outlook is bearish, followed by a strong bullish reversal in the coming sessions.
I expect prices to decline first toward the $3,800–$3,750 zone, which aligns with key support and previous demand levels. This correction phase would complete a healthy market reset before a potential major rally begins.
Once price stabilizes around $3,800, I anticipate a sharp reversal and breakout move toward $4,200+, possibly extending higher if momentum builds.
📊 My Plan:
Bias: Bearish first → then Bullish
Short-Term Target: $3,800–$3,750
Reversal Zone: Accumulate longs near $3,800
Upside Target: $4,200+
Invalidation: Below $3,740 (on 4H closing)
This setup favors patience and dual-phase trading — shorting the drop, then switching to long for the rebound.
XAUUSD – Bearish scenario activatedXAUUSD – Bearish scenario activated: watch for sell retest at 4,303–4,305, deep buy at 4,208–4,210 🟡
Gold just hit a historic peak at 4,381 but the subsequent sharp drop opens up the risk of a short-term correction. On H1, the price is blocked by the descending trendline and the sell zone cluster at 4,30x; below are liquidity zones and the bottom trendline waiting to be retested.
Quick chart insights
The structure shifts to a descending triangle pullback after breaking the upward momentum.
Sell zone 4,303–4,305 coincides with the descending trendline + thick volume (VP).
Below 4,26x is Liquidity Buy; deeper is the 4,208–4,210 mark near FE 4.236 and the trendline base — the final “shakeout” zone before recovery.
Trading plan (if–then)
Sell retest (priority in weak rebound)
Entry: 4,305–4,303
SL: 4,310
TP: 4,287 → 4,260 → 4,242 → 4,220
Condition: rebound to 4,30x and appearance of rejection/engulfing candle on H1 below the descending trendline.
Deep buy (liquidity sweep + bounce back)
Entry: 4,210–4,208
SL: 4,204
TP: 4,225 → 4,242 → 4,270 → 4,298
Condition: deep shakeout to 4,21x, appearance of pin bar/absorbing volume at the bottom trendline.
Invalidation
Sell scenario invalidated if H1 closes above 4,310.
Buy scenario invalidated if H1 closes below 4,204 (risk of deeper trendline range).
Key levels to watch (easy to view on mobile)
Resistance: 4,303–4,305 • 4,320–4,325 (descending trendline)
Support: 4,260–4,255 • 4,242 • 4,210–4,208 • 4,200
Expected move: rebound to 4,30x → sell down to 4,26x/4,24x; sweep 4,21x → bounce back to 4,27x–4,29x.
Quick context (macro)
Expectations of Fed rate cuts + geopolitical risks keep the major trend upward, but post-ATH often sees short-term sell-offs to rebalance positions.
Monitor USD/yield fluctuations: a strong USD will support the sell retest scenario; a cooling USD creates opportunities for rebounds from buy zones.
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”; prioritise trading around key zones 🟡
Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session – a time typically lacking volume, resulting in a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The larger trend remains bullish, but short-term risks of a deep pullback are present before the European–American markets engage.
The accompanying image shows:
Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 uptrend channel → quickly fell to the mid-channel zone.
Thick Volume Profile cluster around 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below lies VAL ~4,025.
Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; grey boxes indicate buy zones at 4,075 and 4,056.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160.
Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL).
Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025.
Trading Scenarios
SELL retest (reaction, higher risk)
Entry: 4,143
SL: 4,150
TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050
Idea: activate only upon clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1).
BUY at POC zone
Entry: 4,075
SL: 4,067
TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155
BUY scalping (shallow pullback)
Entry: 4,056
SL: 4,049–4,050
TP: 4,075 → 4,089
Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this zone breaks, prioritise waiting for a failed retest to consider selling with the continued downtrend.
Practical Notes
The range is currently very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks more likely.
After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position.
Sell orders are merely reaction trades at 4.14x; prioritise buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 upon confirmation signals.
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar)
Market Structure:
Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone.
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs.
POI (Point of Interest) Zones:
High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse.
Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding.
Current Price Action:
Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI.
The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside.
Target Zone:
The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs.
Bias:
Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds.
Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEADGOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEAD
🔍 Technical Overview
Current Price: Around $4,036 – $4,040
Trendline: A key uptrend line (blue) has been broken, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone: Between $4,058 – $4,062, marked by red arrows 🚫
Support Zone: Near $3,930 – $3,940, highlighted by the purple box 🟪
📊 Market Structure
The market recently made a lower high formation after failing to break above $4,062, indicating bearish divergence.
Multiple rejection candles at the resistance zone confirm selling pressure 💣.
The blue projection lines suggest a potential bearish retracement back toward the support zone around $3,930.
🧭 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
🔺 Resistance 4,058 – 4,062 Double top zone, strong sellers present
⚖️ Mid-Level 4,000 Psychological round number, interim support
🟣 Support 3,930 – 3,940 Major buying interest, possible reversal zone
📉 Expected Price Action
🔻 Scenario 1 (Primary):
Price may retest $4,050 – $4,060 resistance area, form another rejection, and drop toward $3,940 support.
Potential short entry near $4,050 – $4,060
Target $3,940
Stop loss above $4,070
🔄 Scenario 2 (Alternative):
If the price holds above $4,060, a breakout could trigger a bullish continuation toward $4,100+.
🧠 Trader’s Insight
⚠️ Bearish bias remains valid while below $4,060.
🕒 Watch for price reaction around the trendline retest and confirmation candles (bearish engulfing or pin bars).
📈 Smart traders might wait for confirmation below $4,000 before adding short positions.
💬 Summary
➡️ Bias: Bearish below $4,060
➡️ Target: $3,940
➡️ Invalidation: Break and close above $4,070
📍 “Trendlines break fast, but support zones hold stronger — trade smart, not fast.”
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend
Hello Trader,
Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself.
On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week.
Basic Outlook
Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues.
This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty.
Technical Outlook
The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week.
If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860.
If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1.
MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal.
Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout.
Trading Scenario for Next Week
Buying Scenario (priority):
Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment).
SL: below 3640.
TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822.
Selling Scenario at Resistance:
Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance).
SL: above 3840.
TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720.
Conclusion
In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders.
Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations.
Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone,
Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8.
Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!
DXY/GOLD RATIO ANALYSIS The DXY/Gold ratio has been in a persistent downtrend, now testing deep lows. Momentum shows early signs of stabilizing, with RSI near oversold and MACD flattening.
⚖️ A rebound here could mean relative strength shifting back toward the Dollar over Gold. Keep an eye on follow-through.






















