XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Overview🔍 Current Market Position
Price: $3,358.125
Currently near resistance zone ($3,420–$3,470)
Historical reaction in this zone shows multiple rejections 🛑
📌 Key Levels
🔺 Resistance Point: ~$3,420–$3,470
Rejected here 3 times ➡️ strong supply zone
🔻 Support Level: ~$3,150
Past price bounced here multiple times 🟠
💪 Strong Support: ~$2,950
Major bounce seen in early May 👊
🧭 Pattern Outlook
Repeated resistance test 🔁 ➡️ potential double/triple top
📉 Blue arrow suggests bearish projection towards $3,050–$2,950
If support at $3,150 fails 🔓, expect deeper drop to strong support
🔮 Forecast
🔽 Bearish Bias
High chance of reversal from resistance
Target: $3,050 and possibly $2,950 🎯
⚠️ Watch for
Price Action at Resistance: Rejection = short opportunity 🔧
Break of $3,150 Support: May accelerate bearish move 🧨
📌 Summary:
Market shows clear resistance rejection history. If it plays out again, we may see a strong drop toward lower support zones. Ideal for short setups 📉💼
Goldsell
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/R(Sell) setup.
Entry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
GOLD - XAU/USD Technical Analysis for the Week of May 5–9, 2025Technical Analysis
a. Price Structure and Trend
Trend: Gold remains in a broader uptrend within an ascending channel on higher timeframes (weekly / Monthly ), but it’s currently in a corrective phase after failing to sustain above $3,500. The price is testing key support levels.
Recent Price Action: Gold broke below $3,300 and tested a weekly low of $3,260 before recovering slightly. It’s now consolidating near $3,315, with a potential triangle pattern forming, indicating compression before a breakout.
b. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
$3,227: to $3,163 a critical dynamic support. A sustained break below could signal further downside.
Resistance Levels:
$3,384–$3,348: Immediate resistance, previously a support level. A close above could signal a bullish reversal.
$3,400–$3,500: A major Weakly resistance zone, aligning with the recent breakdown level and psychological resistance.
GOLD correction is coming (-8% fall)As per my analysis, gold is consolidating for days.
Even though currency move higher but gold didn't.
Trump tarriffs are cooling down , so gold will fall nearly -8% which is 3050 area.
Maybe it can fall below 3000 dollars per ounce.
Maybe next month dollar index may retrace a bit from the current fall.
So from all this information, I conclude GOLD may fall for couple of weeks.
This is for education purpose only.
Do your own research. Thanks for reading, leave your comment.
Gold Elliot Wave Counts - Possibility 1 (Weekly 5th done)There are two possibilities in Gold. Sharing my favored possibility here. Will share possibility 2 in another post.
Gold went up on account of multiple reasons, key of which being de-dollarization and buying by Non US countries.
However, my sense is that the spike in price was on account of trades from institutions, which will get unwound when price starts correcting and fuel the correction on the way down.
The move in last 2 weeks was a typical parabolic move, which should mark the capitulation.
Hence, look for correction of entire leg up from Oct 22 bottom.
Targets: 0.236: $2056, 0.382: $2781
Probable Risk: The last move from April lows was just 1 of 5. Hence keeping SL of current high is important.
Breaking 3150 (0.618 of the move from April) should give us more confident that 5 is done.
GOLD (XAUUSD) 15-Min Chart – Bearish Reversal Setup with Key EntPrice: $3,232.02 (at time of chart)
Trend: Price is consolidating near a resistance area after an upward move, with potential for a reversal.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
📈 Entry Point: $3,241.88
(Marked for a potential short entry)
🔻 EA Target Point (Take Profit): $3,187.70
This is the target for the short position; aligns with a strong previous demand zone and near the 200 EMA.
⛔ Stop Loss Zone: Above $3,243.48
Purple zone indicates the invalidation area for the short trade.
📉 Resistance Point: $3,229.87
(Red line, also the 30 EMA) – Important level where price is currently hovering.
🔵 Confirm Target Points: $3,223.04 & $3,218.25
Zones to watch for confirmation of downward momentum.
📘 EMA (30): $3,229.87
Acts as short-term dynamic resistance.
📘 EMA (200): $3,182.40
Acts as major support and long-term trend indicator. Also very close to the target area.
💡 Trade Idea Summary
Strategy: Short (Sell) from the resistance/entry point around $3,241.88.
Target: $3,187.70
Stop Loss: Above $3,243.48
Risk-Reward Ratio: Solid (approx. 1:2+ based on visual range)
🔎 Additional Notes
Price is testing resistance after forming a potential double top or lower high.
A breakdown below $3,223 could confirm bearish continuation.
Watch for confirmation candles on 15m or 1h before entering
Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Short Setup: Bearish Reversal from ResistaEntry Point: $3,127.10
Stop Loss: $3,141.53
Target Point (Take Profit): $3,080.62
Technical Indicators:
EMA 30 (red line): $3,111.98 – showing short-term trend
EMA 200 (blue line): $3,056.92 – showing long-term trend
Setup Explanation:
This is a short/sell setup based on the following:
The price action has hit a resistance zone near $3,127 and shows signs of rejection.
The setup assumes that the price will reverse from this zone and head lower.
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio appears decent, aiming for a move of about -1.45% (-$45.34).
Current Status:
Price is currently around $3,119.69, below the entry point.
A slight bounce
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown:
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Key Points in the Analysis:
1. Current Price:
XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart.
2. Trend:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook.
Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033).
EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum.
3. Rejection Zone:
Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”.
Price failed to break above this zone multiple times.
4. Breakout Pattern:
Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns.
A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward.
5. Target Zone:
Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615.
Price is expected to move down to this level.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move.
Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone
Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone)
Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200)
Confluence Factors:
EMA 200 rejection
Bearish RSI divergence
Repeated supply rejection
Breakout from bear flag structures
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) bearish rejected fvg analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to be a bearish setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown
Key Elements:
1. Price Channel Break & CHoCH:
The price was in a rising channel.
A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred after the price broke below the structure, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
There's a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) highlighted in the yellow box around the 3,047–3,075 level.
The expectation is that price may retrace into this FVG before continuing downward.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone:
A major demand zone or target point is marked around 2,940, indicating a potential bearish move of around -148 points (~4.8%) from the FVG.
4. EMA & RSI:
200 EMA is around 3,047, acting as dynamic resistance now.
RSI is below 40 and trending down, showing bearish momentum with slight bullish divergence, hinting at a short retracement before another drop.
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Summary of the Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Trade Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone (~3,047–3,075).
Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or rejections).
Enter short with a target at 2,940, stop above FVG.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Setup – Potential Drop to $2,991This is a trading setup for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a potential bearish move.
Analysis:
Key Indicators:
200 EMA (blue line) at 3,019.55: Acting as a resistance level.
30 EMA (red line) at 3,017.45: Providing short-term trend guidance.
Price Action & Structure:
The price previously rejected from a resistance zone (purple area) and started forming lower highs.
Repeated bearish patterns suggest another potential drop.
The chart highlights measured moves of previous declines (-30.62, -24.75), indicating a possible repeat of the pattern.
Trade Setup:
Bearish Outlook: Price is expected to drop towards the target point at 2,991.43.
Entry: Near the break of the lower trendline in the ascending wedge.
Target: 2,991.43 (marked as "TARGET POINT").
Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement above recent highs.
Conclusion:
If price respects the pattern, a downward move is likely.
A confirmed break below support could accelerate the drop.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Outlook: Key Levels to WatchBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 🗺️
This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing potential areas of resistance, support, and liquidity zones. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Analysis of the Chart:
1. Resistance Level (3,023-3,030 zone)
The price has reacted multiple times (red arrows), indicating strong selling pressure.
A fair value gap (FVG) is present, suggesting potential mitigation before further movement.
2. Current Price (3,011.76)
The price is trending downward after rejecting the resistance level.
It is approaching the diamond zone, a potential short-term support before continuation.
3. Key Support Levels:
Diamond Zone (~3,000 region)
Could cause a temporary bounce before further decline.
Order Block (~2,952-2,938 zone)
This is a strong demand zone and a potential target area for price action.
4. Target Levels:
The analyst expects a downward move toward 2,952, aligning with a liquidity grab scenario.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 44.27, suggesting bearish momentum, with the possibility of further downside.
A break below 40 RSI may confirm more selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risk Management Considerations:
Entry: A possible short entry could be around the FVG level (~3,020-3,030) if price retraces.
Stop Loss: Above 3,035 to avoid being trapped in a fake breakout.
Take Profit: Around 2,952-2,938 as per the target point.
USD Update & Impact on Gold:
If USD strengthens, gold may drop further due to their inverse correlation.
Key upcoming economic data (interest rate decisions, inflation reports) could increase volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
xau/usd short now Hello! Here is an effective strategy for short selling in gold (XAUUSD), including entry price, exit price, and stop loss. This strategy is designed for today's intraday trading, so that you can take advantage of the market dip.
Entry, Exit, and Stop Loss for Short Selling
Entry Price (Sell Level):
When gold is between 3037-3039, short sell (i.e. sell).
Example: If gold is at 3038, then sell here.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss at 3042. If gold moves above this level, close the position to minimize losses.
Example: Sold at 3038 and gold moves up to 3042, then close the position to avoid losses.
Exit Price (Profit Target):
Close your position gradually and take profit at the following levels:
1st Target: 3034
2nd Target: 3025
3rd Target: 3015
4th Target: 3005
Example: If gold falls to 3034, take some profit; If it falls to 3025, take more profit.
Strategy Summary
Entry Price: 3037-3039
Stop Loss: 3042
Exit Price: 3034, 3025, 3015, 3005
This strategy will help you profit from the fall in gold prices. Watch the market carefully and do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital. Good luck!
GOLD TRDAING POINT UPDTAE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list time post signals 💯 reached target point 3059. ). Analysis update on gold. Gold look 👀 patterns chart 📉 sellers recover and strong 💪. 30M time frame 🖼️ looking short trend 📉 target 🎯 point 3001 that entry buying said good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 3042 + 3046
Key Support level 3006 - 3001
Mr SMC Trading point
Palee support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 Update Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders. ) a little. Analysis setup for buying said FVG level support level 🎚️. Fisrt entry 3037 + 3060 next entry level support level 3025. Target point 3060 ) that is rejected point below 👇 trend 📉 update you next analysis) good luck 💯💯🤞
Key Resistance level 3055+ 3060
Key Support 3025 - 3019
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold - Sell !!!!Gold is trying to cross the resistance line and its too much of bullishness could be easy bull trap. Technically Fib levels are indicating possibility of a correction now. Entering after a correction is safer now. This could be off man out opinion. But as per chart its resistance area now.
"Gold Price Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone Resistance (~3,004.973): Price is currently testing this resistance area, which could lead to a potential rejection.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support Level (~2,949.378 - 2,945.323): This area is marked as a potential support zone where price might find buying interest.
EMA 200 Support (2,945.323): A critical dynamic support level that aligns with the FVG zone.
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red Line - 2,990.457): Short-term trend indicator.
EMA 200 (Blue Line - 2,945.323): Long-term trend indicator.
Price Action & Prediction:
The price is in the supply zone resistance and could potentially reject downwards.
The blue projected path suggests a pullback to the FVG support zone before a possible rebound.
If price breaks below this support, further downside could be expected.
Potential Trade Idea:
Short Setup: If rejection occurs at resistance, a short trade targeting the FVG/EMA 200 support could be considered.
Long Setup: If price reaches the FVG zone and finds support, a long position targeting previous highs could be a strategy.
Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Analysis – Bearish Reversal from ResistThis chart is a 15-minute timeframe analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) using TradingView. Here's the breakdown of the analysis:
Key Levels & Setup:
Entry Zone (ENTRE): Around 3,004.172 - 3,003.999
Stop Loss (SL): 3,010.919 - 3,010.746 (Above the resistance zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2,995.869
TP2: 2,987.219
TP3: 2,980.646
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
EMA 30 (Red Line): 2,992.313 (Short-term trend)
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 2,978.242 (Long-term trend)
Market Structure & Trade Idea:
The price is near a resistance zone (purple area), indicating a potential short-selling opportunity.
If the price fails to break above the resistance and reverses, it could drop toward the take profit levels.
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable, with the stop loss set just above resistance.
A break below the 30 EMA could further confirm bearish momentum toward 200 EMA.
Trade Execution Plan:
Short Entry: If the price respects the resistance area and starts to reject downward.
Stop Loss: Above the resistance at 3,010.919.
Take Profits: TP1, TP2, and TP3 as per the marked levels.
Conclusion:
Bearish Setup: If price rejects resistance.
Bullish Risk: If price breaks above resistance and holds, the trade setup is invalid.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis Bearish Breakdown Towards Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis – Bearish Setup📉
Key Observations:
1.Rising Wedge Breakdown:
- The price has been moving within an ascending channel(EA TRADE LINE).
- A potential breakdown is forming as the price approaches resistance.
EMA Levels:
-30 EMA (Red, 2,986.22: The price is hovering near this level, showing potential weakness.
-200 EMA (Blue, 2,950.00) This is the first major support level in case of a decline.
3. Bearish Projection:
- A break below current leve could trigger a sharp drop.
- The **target zone is around 2,902.73 – 2,902.41, aligning with prior support.
4. Risk Management:
Stop-loss (Red Zone): Placed above 2,990.86 to protect against invalidation.
Take-Profit (Green Zone):Set near 2,902, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio
Conclusion:
-Bearish Bias: A drop seems likely if the price fails to reclaim higher levels.
Confirmation Needed A clean break of 2,980 could accelerate the move.
-Risk Facto If price reclaims 2,990+, the bearish setup might be invalid.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHPATIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders list time post signals Hit sucksfully My target point ) Now Gold making choch FVG level) FVG level 2897 + 2906 down 👇 👎 trend 📉 point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2868- 2859 first. Hit sucksfully FVG level that take entry ☺️ 🥂 good luck 🤞
Key Resistance level 2897 + 2906
Key Support level 2868- 2859
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)