XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context
Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation.
On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion.
The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts:
📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov
Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump
Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook
Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes
Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech
U.S. Unemployment Rate
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Initial Jobless Claims
➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View
Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume.
The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation.
The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal.
Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control.
Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps.
🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan
BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday)
Buy 4046–4048
SL: 4039
TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125
✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift.
SELL (Scalping Only)
Sell 4146–4148
SL: 4154
TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110
✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch
4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation
4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news
🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook
If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward:
4146 → 4187 → 4210+
The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
Goldtrading
Gold Recovers, Targeting FVG & Liquidity Zone 4.20x📊 Market Structure
Gold has completed a deep decline from the 4,20x zone and continuously created bearish BoS, indicating sellers controlled the period from 14–18/11.
However, a significant sign appeared when:
Price created an Order Block at 4,008 USD
Then surged to create a Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe
The market maintained higher lows on the intraday structure
This indicates that selling momentum has weakened, and buyers are starting to rebuild a short-term bullish structure.
Currently, the price is approaching the Supply & Resistance zone at 4,086 USD – the zone confirming the strength of the BUY side.
If the price decisively breaks this zone, the next targets are clear:
FVG 4,150 USD
Liquidity Zone 4,202 USD – where old peak liquidity is concentrated
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block: 4,000 – 4,009 USD → the main reversal zone of the current rally
• Supply & Resistance: 4,078 – 4,086 USD → trend confirmation point
• FVG Zone: 4,132 – 4,150 USD → zone where a corrective reaction may occur
• Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,195 – 4,205 USD → target of large capital flows
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY according to structure
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following
Activated when price breaks and retests the 4,086 USD zone:
Entry: 4,086 – 4,090
SL: 4,058
TP1: 4,132
TP2: 4,150
TP3: 4,202
→ This is the highest probability setup: a new uptrend is forming + retesting the invalidated supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup 2 – Deep Retracement (safer)
If the price is rejected at 4,086 and returns to test the lower zone:
Entry: 4,050 – 4,058 (Premium Zone on chart)
SL: 4,028
TP: 4,086 → 4,132 → 4,150
→ This setup offers a higher R:R, suitable for patient traders.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – For intraday only
If the price hits FVG 4,150 and shows strong rejection signals:
Entry: 4,148–4,150
SL: 4,160
TP: 4,130 → 4,100
→ Not for swing traders. This is merely a technical reaction at the FVG zone.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend of the day leans towards recovery – expanding towards upper liquidity.
As long as the price remains above 4,008 USD, the BUY side will continue to lead the market.
“Follow the structure, follow the liquidity — the market never lies.” ⚜️
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯
Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend.
📰 Macro – News Context
After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility.
President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors.
👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support.
📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile
Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150.
H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries.
Volume Profile & Liquidity:
The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests.
VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper.
Upside liquidity:
Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading)
1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend
Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster)
SL: 4073
TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175
💡 Notes:
Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering.
Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection.
2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones
Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone).
Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone).
These are only for scalping, so:
Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15).
Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news.
✅ Summary
Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone.
Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175.
So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first?
👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
Gold Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders: Reversal Signal!After a short-term corrective decline, the $4,000 level has triggered strong BUY momentum, creating a clear price rebound at the end of yesterday's session. The increase in buying volume indicates that the BUY side is returning to the market after several sessions of being pushed down.
📊 Prominent Technical Structure
On the 2H chart, gold is completing the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern – one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns.
• Head: liquidity bottom at 4,00x
• Two shoulders: forming symmetrically with good bounce
• Neckline: area 4,101–4,102, currently a key resistance
Price is likely to:
1️⃣ Slightly adjust to the neckline area or BUY ZONE 4,044–4,046
2️⃣ Retest – Accumulate – Confirm breakout
3️⃣ Break out towards 4,146 → 4,187 when the pattern is complete
🎯 Short-term Expectations
Volatility may increase ahead of upcoming economic data, so the reasonable strategy remains:
✅ Prioritize BUY according to the pattern
• Wait for retest of neckline or area 4,044–4,046
• Observe confirmation force (Volume – Momentum – Rejection)
• Target towards 4,146 → 4,187 if the pattern is activated
⚠️ Note
– The reversal trend is only truly confirmed when the price clearly breaks the 4,101–4,102 area.
– Market sentiment currently leans towards recovery, but clear signals are needed before entering large (long-term HOLD) positions.
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$.
With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1)
Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed.
The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected.
Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones:
3,945$ → first liquidity cluster
3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand
Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion.
🎯 Key Scenarios
1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario)
If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into:
3,945$
3,876$
This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$.
2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce
If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks:
A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$,
Then 4,053$ (POC)
And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction.
Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure.
❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens)
H4 acceptance above 4,098$
→ would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction.
⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight
Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet.
The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns.
“Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 17/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone.
The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market.
The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone.
📊 Technical Structure
Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom.
Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher.
Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum.
Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave.
🎯 Market Outlook
Priority scenario for the day:
1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD.
2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone.
3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone.
🧠 Analyst’s View
The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction.
Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone.
Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave.
🛡️ Risk Note
The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure.
Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behaviour is common during phases like:
Financial Crisis 2008
Early pandemic panic 2020
Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction!
Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure.
If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak.
Strong Resistance:
4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise.
4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction.
Important Support:
4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline.
4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs.
Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction.
📈 Daily Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority)
Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support)
SL: 4120
TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x.
Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend)
Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest
Entry: 4174–4176
SL: 4182
TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110
Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order.
Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest)
Entry: 4212–4216
SL: 4202
TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285
🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans
President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…).
Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs.
This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term.
⚠️ Invalidation Condition
H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100.
H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout.
Which price area are you observing?
Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1)
Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides.
Key observations from MMFlow structure:
• Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area)
4,174 – 4,159
→ Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential.
→ If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup.
• Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line
4,207 – 4,212
→ This is the key breakout ceiling.
→ A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave.
• Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target)
4,244 – 4,252
→ Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style)
🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias)
Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159
SL: below 4,150
TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+
Why?
This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload.
🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest)
Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212
Entry: Retest of 4,207
SL: below retest wick
TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252
Why?
Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs.
🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred)
Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection.
Entry: 4,207 – 4,212
SL: above 4,220
TP: 4,174 → 4,159
Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish.
🧠 MMFlow Insight
The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Prepares for New ExpansionWave⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/13/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a short correction at the start of the week, gold has clearly formed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute chart, indicating that bullish momentum has returned.
This morning's Asian session witnessed a strong recovery from the Support Zone, confirming that buying pressure remains dominant in the current structure.
The market is approaching the “expansion phase” – where prices typically expand to seek liquidity above.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block 1 (4,208 USD): a short-term support area, likely to serve as a retest point after the expansion move.
Order Block 2 (4,184 USD): confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618, a deep equilibrium zone within the bullish structure.
Support Zone: the main foundation of the medium-term uptrend, still being preserved.
Extension Levels:
• 4,249 USD → first expansion target.
• 4,267 USD → intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,292 USD → maximum expansion target within the current cycle.
🎯 Market Outlook
Today's scenario leans towards a continuation bullish direction:
1️⃣ Price may technically correct to the OB 4,208 or 4,184 USD area.
2️⃣ Upon a bullish reaction, the market is likely to expand to 4,267 – 4,292 USD, where short-term selling liquidity is concentrated.
3️⃣ Losing the 4,184 USD level will temporarily shift the structure to rebalancing (sideways).
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in the “expansion reaccumulation” phase, meaning after attracting liquidity below, prices begin to expand following the main trend.
Continuous BOS signals indicate that buyers are reasserting control.
As long as prices remain above the 4,184 USD area, the intraday bias remains predominantly bullish.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is expanding rapidly, so pullback reactions to the OB area may be highly volatile.
Let your trade ideas run and let's observe together.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci perspective on the upward wave: watch for sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick context: News of the US government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market may test the price gap areas (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 structure: The rise after breakout is running along the short-term upward trendline; the old triangle peak becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this opens the path for higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – a zone prone to rejection/short reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upwards.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for the buyback scenario in line with the trend.
Invalidation point: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 upward structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritise when a clear rejection candle/lower wick appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell scalp at extended resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick scalp; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on break & hold of 4215 (break & retest)
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retests holding 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the latest updates.
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government.
But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it.
📌 Why this zone matters right now
Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure.
Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery.
The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion.
The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases.
🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight)
Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase.
Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls.
🔶 MMF BUY Zone
$4,179 → $4,165
Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg.
🔼 Bullish Targets
• $4,207 (liquidity tap)
• $4,228 (Fibo 1.618)
• $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone)
🧠 Key Takeaway
As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5💛 XAUUSD – REFERENCE SCENARIO FOR 13/11 – TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently trading around the 4210 region, indicating that the upward momentum has slowed after two strong days of gains.
According to Elliott wave, wave 5 may not have ended yet, and this region is becoming a strong resistance – where prices can accumulate or adjust at any moment.
Besides technical factors, political news from the US President's administration is causing significant USD fluctuations, leading to a wide range of gold movements in the short term. Therefore, today it is crucial to prioritise risk management and monitor price reactions in the 4210–4260 region.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 chart, gold is approaching the resistance area of 4210–4260, which also coincides with the 0.236 Fibonacci and the previous FVG zone.
🟣 The bearish view (ABC correction) will be confirmed when the price breaks below 4180 – targeting an adjustment to 4120–4050.
🔹 The bullish view remains valid if the price closes the H4 candle above 4212, in which case the trend could extend to 4250–4280.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (on breakout)
Entry: 4230–4232 | SL: 4225
TP: 4165 – 4190 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (reaction at resistance)
Entry: 4265–4267 | SL: 4273
TP: 4249 – 4215 – 4200
⚠️ Important Note
Closely monitor reactions at the levels: 4246 – 4212 – 4260 – 4280.
USD is highly volatile due to political factors, which may cause rapid fluctuations in gold.
🌷 Gold is at a crucial transition zone – Elliott wave 5 may soon end or expand further 💛
Be patient for clear confirmation, as at this stage, even a small deviation can change the entire price structure.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to keep updated with daily gold insights with me ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today
Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025
Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for.
Technical Analysis
Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling.
Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction.
FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound.
VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections.
POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected.
Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension).
Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects.
Trading Scenarios
Buy shallow pullback (trend-following)
Entry: 4083–4085
SL: 4077
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166
Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile
Entry: 4025–4028
SL: 4020
TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112
Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume.
Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4135–4140
SL: 4148
TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090
Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140.
H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990.
Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe).
Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING ON TUESDAY 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold continues its upward momentum in the first two days of the week, supported by the cash distribution policy for low-income individuals and the reopening moves by the US government under President Trump.
These factors are putting downward pressure on the USD, helping gold prices maintain a short-term upward trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
🟣 Currently, the price is touching the VAH area according to the Volume Profile and showing a slight reaction – however, the support trendline around 4110–4113 remains an ideal buying zone to continue following the trend.
🔹 The 4200–4203 area (Fibonacci Extension 2.618) coincides with the strong resistance of H4, likely to see a short adjustment reaction before continuing to extend to the 43xx area.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
💖 BUY Scenario (priority trend-following)
Entry: 4110–4113 | SL: 4106
TP: 4132 – 4150 – 4175 – 4200 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4207
TP: 4188 – 4165 – 4148
⚠️ Important Notes
Prioritise buying according to the main upward trend, especially when the price reacts at the H4 trendline.
Sell orders are only for short-term reactions, and profits should be secured early when the first TP is reached.
USD volatility remains a key factor to closely monitor this week.
🌷 Conclusion
The upward trend of gold is still maintained 💛
Be patient and wait for the price to react at the 4110–4113 area to buy according to the trend, and take advantage of pullbacks at resistance to manage orders effectively.
If you find this useful, don't forget to 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context
Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$.
The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar.
Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week.
If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure)
Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest)
• 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone)
• ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure.
The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps.
The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.”
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions.
Macro Summary
Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend.
Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the most recent up wave:
The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone.
Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame.
The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points.
However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline.
From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely.
💹 2. Technical Analysis
📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one.
🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction.
🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area.
💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region.
Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region.
Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛
Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context
Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported.
This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor.
From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive.
As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg.
📊 Technical Structure (H4)
The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area)
• 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone)
• ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower.
The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection.
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term.
Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held.
Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move**
Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone.
The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken.
If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend.
However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond.
**Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish
**Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100
* Support: $3,886 – $3,614
**Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
LiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrendLiamTrading – Gold confirms medium-term uptrend
Gold has officially broken the downward trendline, confirming the transition phase to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying power, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macro – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase gold purchases significantly in September, totalling 39 tonnes, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil – for the first time this year – added 15 tonnes of gold to its national reserves.
Since the beginning of the year, the net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tonnes, clearly reflecting the trend of moving away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for the medium and long-term uptrend of gold.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the downward trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive zone; if surpassed and held, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is giving clear signals of establishing a medium-term uptrend, supported by buying flows from central banks. Traders should prioritise buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.






















