GOLD sideway waiting for positive signsGold price remains well above key short-term support around $1,897, including one-week Fibonacci 38.2%.
Also, setting a solid floor for XAU/USD is a convergence of the 5-DMA and the previous monthly low, around $1,905.
It is worth noting that the one-day 161.8% and 61.8% one-week Fibonacci join S2 one day of the Pivot Point to add strength to the $1,905 support.
Meanwhile, the one-day 61.8% Fibonacci, the Bollinger middle band above the one-hour high and the previous weekly high together limit the Gold Price's immediate upside near $1,920.
In the event that the bulls break through the $1,920 barrier, Gold Price will rally towards the one-week 161.8% Fibonacci match, the one-day R3 of the Pivot Point and the 4-hour 200-SMA, near $1,937. can be excluded.
Goldtrading
Gold 03/08 Triple bottom patternThe dollar rose past the Fitch cut, taking support from much stronger-than-expected payrolls data released by ADP. The reading followed data earlier this week that showed some signs of a U.S. manufacturing and construction recovery.
The data spurred bets that the Federal Reserve will have enough economic headroom to hike rates further and keep them there - a scenario that bodes poorly for gold and metal markets.
At the 45m frame, we can see a triple bottom formation. we can hit short, I will place a buy order at the 1931-1934 support zone.
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Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week? Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week?
For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941.
The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold.
On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks.
Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks.
Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
GOLD before FOMC - Waiting for a nice BreakNow, the focus is entirely on the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, for any further signals on the direction of US interest rates.
This trend indicates that gold will come under more pressure in the coming months, although expectations of a potential recession in the US have also boosted some safe-haven demand for the yellow metal.
Gold is waiting for a break out of the 1931.5$ price zone to break out to find the target of 1940$ and 1950$ in the near term. If implementing Break out strategy. Pay attention to the nearest resistance around 1924$
SELL GOLD zone at: $1937 - $1940 - $ SL $1945
SELL GOLD zone at: $1925 - $1928 SL - $1932 (small lot)
Based on technical analysis indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 with strong resistance zone $1940 - $1943
XAUUSD (Gold ) Analysis for next week 17 April - 21 AprilWe can see the gold the retesting the yesterday high's again , it may be just a bull trap before dropping to test the HKEX:2000 on the daily bear flag or dropping below that can swing the reversal to supports at TSE:1980 and then $1950. It can form the M here or if it broken can test ath of TSE:2070 which is much less likely as it may go to test TADAWUL:2100 psychological levels . If you see rejection here around TADAWUL:2050 - TSE:2055 , then definitely it may retest at HKEX:2007 or HKEX:2000 today .
Trade accordingly
#Gold #XAUUSD downward movement potential with risk:reward= 5.2 #Gold #XAUUSD downward movement potential with risk:reward= 5.2
Analysis of Gold spot/US Dollar i.e XAUUSD
Time frame:15 minutes
What is the analysis?
Break out on the upper side and reach the target. MACD Is crossing below zero, so we can expect a downtrend movement with risk:Reward=5.2.Sell at 2020 with SL 2035 and target 1871.
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NOTE: Published Ideas are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
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