Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Goldtradingidea
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, showing caution as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid easing U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, the price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating below the psychological $4,000 mark.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues trading in a short-term ascending channel, showing a corrective recovery inside a larger downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085–4,102.
📍If it rejects near 4,094–4,102, a correction toward 3,961–3,937 is likely.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect a 25bps rate cut. A hawkish tone from Powell may pressure Gold, while a dovish one could send it above $4,100.
🧭 Summary
Gold keeps a short-term bullish bias but remains fragile ahead of FOMC.
Expect volatility around 4,000–4,100; key reactions near 4,094–4,102 will decide the next move.
🛡 Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930
• Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
GOLD DIVE—Sniping the $405x Dip Before FOMC!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is correcting sharply, dropping 1.10% towards $4,065. This weakness is driven by trade optimism, but the underlying Fed rate cut expectation keeps our BUY ON DIPS strategy highly profitable!
🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (MIND)
Bears' Power: Trade optimism is pushing safe-haven assets down. Sellers are targeting the recent uptrend structure.
Bulls' Anchor: Weak US inflation data means a Fed rate cut is almost certain (25 bps expected). This long-term USD weakness acts as a floor for Gold.
Action Bias: BUY THE DIP at critical Fibo supports, anticipating the Fed decision to fuel the next rally.
📊 KEY LEVELS & ACTION ZONES (H1)
We are using the Fibo retracement from the recent high to define our optimal entry points.
🎯 SELL TARGET / CEILING: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the ultimate target for the Long trade.
🔥 HIGH-CONVICTION BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). The optimal entry to maximize risk/reward.
Strategy: Wait for a clean tag and H1/M30 reversal signal here.
⚡️ SCALP BUY REACT ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). A quick bounce area for aggressive buyers.
❌ INVALIDATION: SL must be placed safely below the 0.618 Fibo level of the 405x zone.
📈 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (DIP BUY)
Entry Focus: Prioritize the $4,048.493 (405x) Fibo Zone for a high-quality Long entry.
SL Placement: Strict SL below the 0.618 Fibo of the 405x zone.
TP Target: Aim for the recent high at $4,164.938 (416x).
💬 TRADER'S QUESTION
The drop is here! Are you buying the aggressive 407x level or patiently waiting for the optimal 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse:
Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks.
The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices.
This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave.
If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261.
But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30)
Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance.
Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion.
Key Structure Zones:
Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level
Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style
🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base
Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Stop Loss: ₹4,045
Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155
Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation.
🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup
Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Stop Loss: ₹4,005
Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150
If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow.
🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View
Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend.
The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056.
A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush.
⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.
📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD.
According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend.
However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week.
A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices.
🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook
Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone.
Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure.
The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers.
⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View)
🔼BUY SCALP
📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume)
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+
🔼BUY ZONE (Swing)
✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+
📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260.
Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities.
⚡️Key MMFlow Zones
CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360
ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448
Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305
End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260
Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias
Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations
Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380
🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
XAUUSD PLAN | When balanced breaks, strength leaves its mark.🔍 Market Context
After setting a short-term peak at the 4,385 – 4,372 USD zone, gold has entered a strong technical correction phase, with a series of consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure.
The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption, indicating that buyers might return at discounted price zones.
💎 Technical Analysis
Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish .
FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → a price imbalance zone left in the downtrend, possibly where the price may retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support zone where new buying liquidity appears.
Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return.
Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the last defensive zone for the main upward trend.
Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance zone, likely to react if the price retraces.
The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, with insufficient signals to reverse the trend.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD
Entry: 4,222 – 4,203
SL: 4,185
TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372
✅ Condition: Strong rejection candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) appears at the support zone or small reversal BoS.
➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD
Entry: 4,260 – 4,285
SL: 4,300
TP: 4,222 → 4,203
✅ Condition: Strong bearish candle or rejection signal appears at the FVG zone.
➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance zone.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone.
If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone.
Keep moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity remains noisy.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline .
The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues.
If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed.
Technical Sell at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if a clear rejection appears.
🔥 “When the market is unbalanced, the strongest side will leave a mark – and this time, the mark is around the 4,220 USD zone.”
4,200 or 4,285? Gold’s Next Move Decides It All📊 Market Overview
Gold remains under pressure at the start of the week, trading below last week’s record highs, after a sharp correction from the 4,380s down to the 4,240 zone.
Investor sentiment is cautious as the market navigates a mix of uncertain U.S. economic data, a still-closed U.S. government, and renewed geopolitical tensions across multiple regions — all of which are fueling both fear and indecision in the market.
During early Asian hours, gold showed a mild recovery but continues to move sideways in a tight consolidation range, reflecting indecisive liquidity buildup before the next major move.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold is consolidating between short-term support near 4,206–4,204 and resistance around 4,285–4,287.
Liquidity has started to cluster above and below the current range, suggesting that a breakout is imminent.
The 4,166 – 4,140 region remains a major Smart Money re-entry zone, aligned with the CP BUY ZONE + OBS demand block.
On the upside, 4,313 – 4,342 stands as a key supply zone where large sellers previously stepped in.
Until price breaks out decisively, traders should expect choppy intraday conditions with limited follow-through.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE (Liquidity Re-entry Zone)
Zone: 4,206 – 4,204
SL: 4,200
TP: 4,210 – 4,215 – 4,220 – 4,230 – 4,240 – 4,250 – ???
🔴 SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
Zone: 4,285 – 4,287
SL: 4,292
TP: 4,280 – 4,275 – 4,270 – 4,260 – 4,250 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If gold sustains above the 4,200 – 4,210 support area, a short-term rebound toward 4,270 – 4,285 can be expected.
Breaking above 4,287 would open room toward 4,313 – 4,342 (OBS Sell Zone), where Smart Money may begin distributing again.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 4,200 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,166 – 4,140 (CP BUY ZONE).
This would still represent a healthy correction within the broader bullish macro structure.
⚡️ MMFLOW Insights
Market remains neutral-to-bullish, but current movement reflects accumulation within a compression range.
Sideway structure indicates the market is loading liquidity for the next impulsive leg.
Patience is key — traders should wait for clean breakout confirmations before scaling positions.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Use tight Stop Losses — gold’s volatility remains unpredictable during macro uncertainty.
✅ Avoid over-leveraging while price stays inside the sideway channel.
✅ Focus on reaction zones (CP, OBS, and liquidity sweeps) for precise entries.
🧭 Quick Summary
Gold trades sideways below record highs.
Key support: 4,206 – 4,204, key resistance: 4,285 – 4,287.
Short-term bias: Range-bound with bullish undertone.
Best approach: Buy dips at liquidity zones; wait for breakout confirmation before trend trades.
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview
Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish.
Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold:
💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year.
⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness.
These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View)
Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239.
Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend.
Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔵 BUY Setup 1
Zone: 4,184 – 4,182
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ???
🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace)
Zone: 4,148 – 4,146
SL: 4,140
TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200
🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity
Zone: 4,230 – 4,234
SL: 4,238
TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View
📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction.
We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone).
From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE.
In short:
The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding.
Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range.
The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment.
If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions.
However, traders should:
✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs.
✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones.
✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering.
⚡️ Summary
Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction.
Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again.
After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context:
Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown.
Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset.
During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154.
As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241.
Key Zones to Watch:
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242
ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200
OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139
Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.141 – 4.139
SL: 4.134
TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.114 – 4.112
SL: 4.106
TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150
🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 4.240 – 4.242
SL: 4.248
TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200
Summary:
The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone.
Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand.
Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions.
📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
m15 timeframe sees gold drop sharply by 50 points 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just reached an all-time high (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD mark, following a steep upward rally over several sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of structure (BoS) – a sign that the upward momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , and this is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price zone that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deeper demand zone, large liquidity confluence, possibly becoming the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD zone without surpassing it,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone at 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario suits short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, initiate a trend-following buy order .
Target: zone 4,125 → 4,145 USD or the previous peak at 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone does not hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD zone will be an ideal area for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritise trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when price reacts at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed bullish signal.
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context:
Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172.
The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD.
Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier.
Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas.
Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones.
End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170
Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135
CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054
OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005
Trading Plan:
🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play):
Entry: 4,134 – 4,136
Stop Loss: 4,142
Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ???
🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone):
Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence)
Stop Loss: 4,044
Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ???
Summary:
Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact.
A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery.
Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.
XAU/USD – Liquidity Cleared, Gold Reloads for the Next Breakout🔍 Market Context
This morning, gold price (XAU/USD) experienced a classic liquidity sweep :
The price surpassed the previous high of 4058 , touched 4060 , wicked strongly , and short-term corrected – a textbook “liquidity hunt” by major funds.
After this drop, the price recovered back to the old ATH zone (4055 – 4060) .
This indicates that short-term sellers have weakened , and buyers are reclaiming the crucial structure zone .
Therefore, selling strategy is no longer optimal , instead, the market is preparing for a re-accumulation – next breakout.
💎 Technical Analysis
Current ATH: 4060 USD
Previous High: 4058 USD
This morning's liquidity sweep “cleared out” liquidity above, paving the way for a re-accumulation phase before the next rise.
The zone 4048 – 4052 is acting as a retest zone – if it holds, this could be the “launchpad” for a breakout to higher price zones.
Overall Structure: still bullish , no signs of medium-term reversal.
⚙️ Key Price Zones
Retest Zone: 4048 – 4052 → support zone after the sweep, where the price might bounce back.
Breakout Zone: 4065 – 4070 → zone confirming buyers regain dominance.
Extended Target: 4090 – 4100 USD.
Invalidation Zone: below 4040 USD → if breached, the short-term bullish structure will weaken.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Buy Continuation Scenario – Buy with the main trend
Wait for the price to retest the 4048 – 4052 zone , observe bullish candle reactions or confirmation signals (Engulfing, Rejection).
Open a buy order upon confirmation of holding the support zone.
Target: 4065 → 4090 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4040 USD.
➡️ This is a trend-following scenario, with the highest probability when the market has completed the liquidity sweep and is re-accumulating.
2️⃣ Buy Breakout Scenario – Buy on confirmed breakout
If the price breaks and closes above 4065 , it signals that major funds have returned.
Open buy stop or limit retest breakout around 4065 – 4070.
Extended Target: 4090 → 4100 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4050 USD.
➡️ This scenario suits momentum traders, avoiding the risk of “fake breakout” by waiting for clear confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not sell against the trend at the ATH zone, as liquidity above has been taken.
Maintain reasonable volume when trading around the peak zone.
Prioritize buying when there is confirmation of the bullish structure holding the 4050 zone .
💬 Conclusion
This morning's liquidity sweep has shaken out weak hands , while helping gold pave the way for the next rise .
Currently, the price is re-accumulating around the old peak zone 4055 – 4060 , and if the zone 4048 – 4052 continues to hold, there is a high possibility that gold will break out to the 4090 – 4100 USD zone in the upcoming sessions.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Wait to buy at the support zone or buy when the price breaks above 4065.
Avoid selling against the trend now – the risk is very high as major funds have shifted to the accumulation phase.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview:
Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets.
Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold.
Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls.
Near-Term Outlook:
As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone.
A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
Important Levels:
Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037
Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095
Support: 4,010 – 4,000
Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126
Trading Plan:
🔹 Buy Setup #1
Entry: 4,039 – 4,037
Stop Loss: 4,032
Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070
🔹 Buy Setup #2
Entry: 4,017 – 4,015
Stop Loss: 4,010
Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060
🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,095
Stop Loss: 4,100
Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060
Summary:
Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020.
Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move.
Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward.
📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight.
The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market:
🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions.
💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold.
Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone.
📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance.
After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term.
The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch
Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033
Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912
Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878
💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios
🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910
🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905
✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ???
Trading View:
The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high.
A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone.
However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation.
🧭 MMFLOW Insight
Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative:
U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved.
Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens.
Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments.
✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels.
✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed.
📍 Summary
Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones.
Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse.
Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context
Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance.
Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold.
Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt.
All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones.
Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term.
Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG.
Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone).
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002
SL: 3996
TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984
SL: 3980
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Note
The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps.
Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context
After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions.
Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact.
Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by:
🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions,
💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle,
🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation,
⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand.
Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support.
4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries.
3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area.
4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area.
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008
SL: 4002
TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982
SL: 3978
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ????
✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092
SL: 4098
TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals.
Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely.
Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates.
✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend.
The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982,
with upside targets toward 4060–4090,
and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear.
💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET
Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buy Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards.
Upside Targets:
Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main Trend: Bullish.
Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend.
Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your views in the comments below!
👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context
Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022).
However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000.
Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders.
Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark.
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910.
SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity.
Psychological resistance: ₹4000.
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933
SL: ₹3927
TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ???
✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995
SL: ₹4000
TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below.
1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂
Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure).
Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave."
2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐
To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones:
Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone.
Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave.
3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯
Once we have a buying position, where will our target be?
Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits.
Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves.
Summary & Advice
Main trend: UP.
Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones.
Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG).
Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target).
Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN?
Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities!
👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market📊 Market Context
Gold has once again set a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, showing no signs of losing bullish momentum. The surge is fueled by strong FOMO buying flows, as traders continue to pile into safe-haven assets.
Concerns about a possible US government shutdown and renewed discussions around tariff policies have weighed on the dollar, while expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts keep gold supported. Meanwhile, Fed speeches and incoming US data remain key drivers that could inject short-term volatility, but the broader bullish narrative remains intact.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price is firmly holding above the 3800 psychological level, confirming the breakout.
Buy zones remain intact at 3790–3792 and 3784–3782, with solid demand expected on any dip.
Sell liquidity sits around 3823–3825, where short-term profit-taking or traps may emerge before the next leg higher.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3823–3825
Support / Buy Zones: 3790–3792, 3784–3782
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3790–3792
SL: 3786
TP: 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3784–3782
SL: 3778
TP: 3790 - 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - 3840 - ???
SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Zone): 3823–3825
SL: 3830
TP: 3818 - 3814 - 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Beware of liquidity sweeps near 3823–3825 before continuation higher.
Fed comments and macro data may cause sudden spikes — adjust risk accordingly.
Stick to confirmation entries around zones to avoid being trapped by false moves.
✅ Summary
Gold is riding strong FOMO-driven bullish momentum, printing new highs above 3800. Main bias: buy on dips at 3790–3782, while monitoring short-term sell liquidity at 3823–3825 for potential pullbacks. The broader trend remains bullish, so patience and disciplined entries will be key.
XAUUSD – Trading Plan: Gold Awaits PCE Catalyst📊 Market Context
Gold remains in consolidation mode after a sharp run earlier this week, holding steady below 3750. The market is now laser-focused on the US Core PCE Index, which could provide fresh direction for both the dollar and precious metals. With US yields stabilising and risk sentiment shifting, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact — but traders are weighing whether the recent pullback is a healthy correction or the start of a deeper retracement.
Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop continues to offer underlying support, while positioning in ETFs and futures suggests investors are cautious, awaiting clearer signals from the Fed. The upcoming data will likely decide whether gold breaks higher towards fresh highs or retests deeper liquidity zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price capped near short-term resistance at 3770–3772.
Immediate supports are 3741 and 3722, with deeper demand zones at 3690–3688 and 3670–3668.
The structure indicates possible liquidity sweeps before a decisive move.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3770–3772
Support / Buy Zones: 3690–3688, 3670–3668
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3690–3688
SL: 3684
TP: 3695 - 3700 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668
SL: 3664
TP: 3675 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700 - 3710 - ???
SELL ZONE: 3770–3772
SL: 3777
TP: 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Watch for false breakouts at 3770–3772 before reversal.
PCE release may inject volatility across gold and USD pairs.
Position sizing and risk control are crucial into data.
✅ Summary
Gold is at a crossroads — safe-haven demand is still supportive, but technical resistance near 3770 remains a hurdle. Core strategy: buy dips into 3690–3670 zones, while staying cautious of short-term sell setups at 3770–3772. Manage exposure, wait for confirmation, and be prepared for volatility once PCE data hits.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and next-level trade setups.






















