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XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited. Market sentiment is shaped by: A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1) Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones. Key Levels to Watch Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137 Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118 Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090 Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193 Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below. 🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias) Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand. BUY: 4,115 – 4,118 SL: 4,103 TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170 BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090 SL: 4,070 TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193 Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area. Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only) Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance. SELL: 4,156 – 4,170 SL: 4,177 TP: 4,145 → 4,131 This is not the main bias today. ⚜️ MMF Trading View Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal. As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact. “In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.” Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Positional Long with SL#Gold Positional Trade Outlook Gold is currently pulling back after a sharp rally, offering #positional traders an opportunity to build entries gradually with the target upto prev ATH or rejection. Price is approaching key demand zones, so follow a scaled stop-loss (SL) structure to manage risk effectively. Consider building positions in phases as price reacts to each support level: SL1: 4,008 – Early protective stop for light entries SL2: 3,930 – Medium-risk level for second build-up SL3: 3,886 – Deep stop for long-term positional holds Stick to disciplined risk management, add positions only on confirmations, and allow the trend structure to guide your exposure.
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by earnwhileulearn
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Uptrend, Monitor Reaction at FvG⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 25/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After breaking the downtrend structure and creating consecutive bullish CHoCH, gold is maintaining above the Break–FvG zone at 4,107 USD, indicating that buying pressure is still controlling the recovery phase. The price is in a reaccumulation phase after the break, and it is likely to need a short pullback to "gain momentum" towards the extended resistance zone above. 📊 Technical Structure FvG Zone (4,107 USD): newly formed balance zone – acts as the main BUY Zone, where price reactions can be observed for quick scalping opportunities. Break Structure: confirms active buying flow after a series of CHoCH, shifting short-term bias to bullish. Target Expansion: the 4,188 → 4,228 USD range is an extended resistance band, coinciding with Fibonacci 1.272–1.618. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Main Support (Support Zones): • 4,067 USD – technical balance bottom, the last defense zone. • 4,084 USD – secondary support, confluence with Fibo 0.382. • 4,107 USD – main FvG zone, monitor reaction for buy scalp. • 4,131 USD – dynamic support in the recovery cycle. 🔴 Resistance (Resistance Zones): • 4,155 – 4,165 USD → intermediate resistance zone, potential short-term profit-taking when price reacts. • 4,188 USD → confluence with Fibo 1.272 – short-term SELL Zone. • 4,203 – 4,211 USD → extended supply zone, monitor reaction before the US session. • 4,228 USD → extended resistance, the final target of the current uptrend. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price may retest the FvG zone – 4,107 USD, then bounce to test resistances 4,155 → 4,188 → 4,228.  – Prioritize monitoring reactions – quick scalping at resistance zones, avoid holding long positions as price approaches 4,211–4,228. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:  – If price closes below 4,107 USD, it may reopen the lower balance zone around 4,067 USD. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market structure leans towards bullish continuation, but the upper zone is approaching a dense resistance cluster – suitable for reactive trading strategies:  → Observe reactions at each zone to "scalp with the flow," rather than trying to hold the trend. As long as price maintains above 4,107 USD, the priority remains buy-the-dip – take-profit-on-resistance. 🛡️ Risk Note Short-term volatility is expanding – clear candle reaction confirmation is needed before taking action. Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs as USD Softens Ahead of Fed CutsGold continues to trade firmly near recent highs as the USD weakens amid growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The earlier pullback was mostly driven by stronger risk appetite in equities, not by gold weakness itself — meaning the macro bullish backdrop remains intact. With markets now pricing: 76% chance of a December rate cut, and almost 90 bps of cuts by end-2026, the broader environment continues to favour upside on dips. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Style (H1/H2) Price has respected the ascending trendline drawn from the early-week swing low and is now pushing above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,132 – 4,149 (Fibo 0.382–0.618 + demand) BUY Zone 2: Trendline retest area Target Zone: 4,188 – 4,195 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extension) Structure is currently bullish, with clear higher highs and higher lows. A retracement into 4,14x before continuation higher is the most probable scenario. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan (Intraday) Primary Setup – BUY Dip Continuation BUY: 4,132 – 4,149 SL: 4,121 TP: → 4,168 → 4,185 → 4,192 – major extension target Alternative Scenario – Break & Hold Above 4,170 If price consolidates above 4,170, expect a direct push toward 4,19x without a deep pullback. Bearish Scenario (Low probability for now) Only valid if price breaks below trendline + closes under 4,128. Target would be a deeper correction toward 4,10x — but this is not the base case. 🧠 MMF View Gold’s structure + macro narrative → bullish trend intact. The market is clearly positioning ahead of possible December policy easing — dips into 4,13x–4,14x remain attractive opportunities. “In a rate-cut environment, gold tends to trend — the only task is to buy from strength, not chase.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Watch for Pullback to 4,150-4,130⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 26/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong upward trend and breaking the resistance zone of 4,096 USD, gold enters a technical correction phase to reaccumulate liquidity. The price is currently fluctuating around the 4,150 USD area, serving as a crucial pivot to confirm whether the bullish structure will continue or require a deeper retracement. 📊 Technical Structure 4,150 USD (Mid Support): quick reaction zone, potential for short-term buy orders (scalp). OB (4,130 USD): priority BUY Zone, confluence with 0.5 Fibo – main rebalancing area. Support Base (4,096 USD): Break–Resistance zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish trend structure. Target Expansion: 4,181 → 4,202 → 4,211 → 4,235 – 4,242 USD. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support Zones: • 4,096 USD – main structural base. • 4,130 USD – main OB (priority BUY). • 4,150 USD – intraday pivot, quick reaction for scalping. 🔴 Resistance Zones: • 4,181 USD – short-term resistance. • 4,202 USD – intermediate balancing zone. • 4,211 USD – expansion zone (1.272 Fibo). • 4,235 – 4,242 USD – extended supply zone (1.618), prone to profit-taking reactions. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price lightly pulls back to the 4,150 USD area, potential for quick reaction.  – If it breaks through 4,150, the 4,130 USD (OB) zone will be the balancing point for a stronger recovery.  – Expansion targets: 4,181 → 4,211 → 4,242 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario:  – If the price breaks below 4,096 USD, the short-term bullish structure becomes invalid, shifting to a neutral state. 🧠 Analyst’s View 4,150 USD is the "stepping stone" between the OB zone and short-term resistance – where the market decides to continue or accumulate deeper. A reasonable strategy is to monitor quick reactions at 4,150 (scalp) and prioritize clear buy opportunities at 4,130 (OB) if the price retraces deeply. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is rebalancing within an uptrend – avoid hasty actions without clear candle or cash flow confirmation. Analysis is technical & educational, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2) 1. Structure Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation. Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure. 2. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone) Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension) 3. Expected Price Action After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected. A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg. As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact. 🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122 SL: 4,107 TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195 BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100 SL: 4,082 TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195 If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible. Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection Selling is not preferred in the current structure. Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1. 🧠 MMFLOW VIEW Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside. “In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Under Heavy Pressure, 4,000$ Break Looks ImminentGold continues to slide as the US Dollar strengthens, fueled by resilient US data. With markets waiting for the final week of November and the upcoming FOMC decision, safe-haven flows remain weak—making XAU/USD extremely vulnerable to further downside. 📊 Technical Outlook – H1/H30 The short-term structure remains clearly bearish: 1️⃣ Trend Bias: Bearish Price keeps rejecting the descending trendline. Every pullback is shallow and absorbed quickly by intraday supply zones. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance / Supply Zones: 4,078 – 4,089 4,104 (major confluence: Fibo + H1 supply) Support / Liquidity Targets: 4,023 – 4,013 3,989 – 3,975 → major liquidity zone (high reaction probability) 3️⃣ Scenarios to Watch 🔻 Scenario 1 — Continuation Drop (Primary Bias) Break below 4,044 → targets 4,023, then the liquidity sweep at 3,99x – 3,97x. 🔄 Scenario 2 — Pullback Before Drop Retracement to 4,054 – 4,078 → rejection → continuation lower. 🔺 Scenario 3 — Deeper Recovery (Low Probability) Only valid if price closes above 4,104, unlocking a move toward 4,13x – 4,15x. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan SELL – Trend-Following (Primary) Sell Zone 1: 4,054 – 4,078 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,023 → 4,013 → 3,99x Sell Zone 2: 4,089 – 4,104 SL: 4,112 TP: 4,054 → 4,023 BUY – Only as a Reaction Trade (Liquidity Sweep) Buy Zone: 3,99x – 3,97x SL: 3,955 TP: 4,023 → 4,054 ⚠️ Buy setups are counter-trend and require strong confirmation. Primary bias remains SELL as long as price stays below 4,104. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View Gold is being pushed toward the psychological 4,000$ support. A clean break could trigger a broader bearish expansion into 3,98x – 3,95x. With month-end positioning, FOMC expectations, and shifting Fed sentiment, volatility is likely to increase sharply. Stay with the trend—SELL the rallies. BUY only at deep liquidity zones with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Near Breakdown – Bears Eying Liquidity SweepGold remains under pressure after a stronger-than-expected NFP print reduced near-term Fed rate-cut expectations. The USD stays moderately supported, while weak risk sentiment keeps gold in a cautious, defensive phase. 📊 Technical Snapshot (H1–M30) Price continues to reject the descending trendline and the supply zone 4,054–4,078. Lower highs structure intact → bearish momentum remains dominant. Liquidity pockets sit at 4,013 and especially 3,989, a key downside magnet. Any pullback toward 4,054 is likely just a retest before continuation lower. 🎯 MMF Intraday Plan Primary Bias: SELL – follow the trend Sell 4,054–4,078 SL: 4,090 TP: 4,013 → 3,989 → 3,975 Countertrend BUY (only at deep liquidity): Buy 3,985–3,990 SL: 3,972 TP: 4,013 → 4,054 ⚡️ MMF View As long as price stays below the trendline and lower-high structure, gold remains in distribution. A sweep of the 3,99x liquidity zone is highly likely before any meaningful reversal can form.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold in Downtrend, Waiting for Demand Surge⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/20/2025 🔍 Market Context After the technical rebound at the beginning of the week, gold returns to adjust within the descending channel pattern, indicating that short-term upward momentum is temporarily weakening. The current structure reflects a rebalancing state after the price was rejected at the 4,127 USD supply zone – coinciding with the 30-minute frame Supply Zone. However, the Demand Zone below still plays an important role in maintaining the medium-term upward structure. 📊 Technical Structure Supply Zone (4,127 USD): main resistance area, confluence with the nearest peak – where the price was strongly rejected during the Asian session. OB Bearish (4,106 USD): short-term supply area, highly likely to be retested after completing the adjustment phase. Demand Zone (4,013 USD): main support area in the descending channel, also the confluence point between the channel boundary and the lower liquidity zone. Liquidity Sweep: signal indicating that lower liquidity has been absorbed, opening up the possibility of forming a higher low. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price continues to fluctuate within the descending channel, retesting the 4,013 USD Demand Zone. 2️⃣ If a clear price reaction occurs, the market is likely to break the channel, opening up a technical rebound to OB Bearish 4,106 USD or Supply Zone 4,127 USD. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,013 USD area will temporarily invalidate the rebound structure, bringing the price back to a lower balance area around 3,990 USD. 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in a corrective pullback phase – where the market needs to regenerate liquidity before forming a new expansion wave. A reasonable scenario is sweep – retest – expansion: sweep lower liquidity, retest the supply area, then determine the main trend for the end of the week. Buyers still have a slight advantage as long as the Demand Zone is maintained. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a phase of market liquidity accumulation, fluctuations may be erratic.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Inverse H&S Forming, Gold Eyes Bullish Reversal🔍 Market Context Early today, Gold dropped nearly 70 points, but immediately rebounded strongly from 4040, signaling aggressive BUY interest and a clear rejection of downside continuation. On the H2 chart, XAU/USD is shaping a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern — a classic reversal structure that often precedes a strong bullish expansion. The macro layer for today is packed with high-impact catalysts: 📌 Key Data & Events – 20 Nov Speech by U.S. President Donald Trump Barkin (2027 FOMC voter) speaks on economic outlook Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Minutes Williams (permanent FOMC voter) speech U.S. Unemployment Rate Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Initial Jobless Claims ➡️ A heavy news lineup capable of triggering high volatility and validating (or rejecting) the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis – MMF View Gold bounced sharply from BUY ZONE 4044–4046 with strong volume. The market structure is creating a complete Inverse H&S formation. The Neckline Zone 4101–4111 is the key breakout level — clearing this zone opens the door for a full bullish reversal. Trendline compression + liquidity sweeps show buyers gaining control. Strategy for today: BUY bias. SELL only for quick scalps. 🎯 MMF Daily Trading Plan BUY (Priority Setup – Swing / Intraday) Buy 4046–4048 SL: 4039 TP: 4060 → 4085 → 4100 → 4125 ✔️ BUY aligns with the reversal pattern + fresh liquidity shift. SELL (Scalping Only) Sell 4146–4148 SL: 4154 TP: 4132 → 4120 → 4110 ✔️ SELL only if price taps liquidity at upper supply and rejects clearly. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch 4101 – 4111 – 4142 → liquidity clusters + breakout confirmation 4029 → major support in case volatility spikes from news 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Outlook If Gold holds its corrective pullback and breaks above the Neckline (4101–4111), we may see a strong continuation toward: 4146 → 4187 → 4210+ The Inverse H&S on H2 is a powerful bullish setup — smart positioning favors building long exposure and holding into high-impact events.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders: Reversal Signal!After a short-term corrective decline, the $4,000 level has triggered strong BUY momentum, creating a clear price rebound at the end of yesterday's session. The increase in buying volume indicates that the BUY side is returning to the market after several sessions of being pushed down. 📊 Prominent Technical Structure On the 2H chart, gold is completing the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern – one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns. • Head: liquidity bottom at 4,00x • Two shoulders: forming symmetrically with good bounce • Neckline: area 4,101–4,102, currently a key resistance Price is likely to: 1️⃣ Slightly adjust to the neckline area or BUY ZONE 4,044–4,046 2️⃣ Retest – Accumulate – Confirm breakout 3️⃣ Break out towards 4,146 → 4,187 when the pattern is complete 🎯 Short-term Expectations Volatility may increase ahead of upcoming economic data, so the reasonable strategy remains: ✅ Prioritize BUY according to the pattern • Wait for retest of neckline or area 4,044–4,046 • Observe confirmation force (Volume – Momentum – Rejection) • Target towards 4,146 → 4,187 if the pattern is activated ⚠️ Note – The reversal trend is only truly confirmed when the price clearly breaks the 4,101–4,102 area. – Market sentiment currently leans towards recovery, but clear signals are needed before entering large (long-term HOLD) positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market. The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone. 📊 Technical Structure Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom. Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher. Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum. Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave. 🎯 Market Outlook Priority scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD. 2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction. Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone. Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure. Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government. But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it. 📌 Why this zone matters right now Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure. Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery. The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion. The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases. 🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight) Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase. Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls. 🔶 MMF BUY Zone $4,179 → $4,165 Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg. 🔼 Bullish Targets • $4,207 (liquidity tap) • $4,228 (Fibo 1.618) • $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone) 🧠 Key Takeaway As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Pauses Below $4,000 as Markets Digest Hawkish Fed Tone🔍 Market Context Gold struggles to find direction in early Asia, hovering just below the $4,000 psychological level after the Fed’s hawkish remarks dampened bullish momentum. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that another rate cut this year is “not a given”, keeping yields supported and safe-haven demand balanced. Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, signalling cooling momentum but not enough to alter the Fed’s cautious stance. With odds of a December rate cut near 70%, gold remains trapped between policy uncertainty and soft macro sentiment. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Price is consolidating within a tight structure between 3,963$ and 4,024$, showing compression before a potential expansion move. The 3,984$–3,963$ zone acts as short-term liquidity support, aligning with the rising intraday trendline. Key Levels • 💎 Liquidity Support: 3,963$ – 3,984$ • 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 4,024$ • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ (liquidity sweep + expansion zone) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,923$, bias shifts to neutral A clean breakout above 4,024$ could trigger a move toward 4,046$, while failure to hold above 3,963$ may invite another liquidity grab before buyers re-enter. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money remains patient. As long as 3,963$ holds, dips are seen as accumulation rather than weakness. But conviction only returns when liquidity confirms above 4,024$ — that’s where momentum aligns with intent. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity doesn’t chase price — it creates the path for it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets: – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket. – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders! Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter. The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone? 1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions: 🐻 Bearish Catalyst: Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold. 🐂 Bullish Support: Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply. 🎯 Outlook: Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals. 📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait The market is approaching a major confluence zone: SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance. Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down. 3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057 Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest) Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo