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XAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–FiboAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–Fibo 🔍 Market Context (SMC) The price has formed an upward BOS, confirming the short-term trend still belongs to the BUY side. The current decline is just a technical pullback to rebalance the cash flow, there is no bearish CHoCH → no reason to reverse the bias. OB is below the current price, so this area is Demand (Buy Zone), 🟢 Primary Scenario – BUY according to Demand + GAP + Fibo • Confluence Buy Zone: Demand / Bullish OB + GAP (iFVG) + Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → price range: 4.40x – 4.39x • Entry Logic: The price retraces to the GAP not fully filled, coinciding with the Fibo retracement of the upward BOS → high probability of a BUY reaction. • Target: TP1: nearest previous peak TP2: expand according to structure if there is a continued BOS • Invalidation: M30 candle closes below the entire Demand / GAP area → cancel the BUY scenario ⚠️ Secondary Scenario – Not prioritized If the price does not retrace to GAP – Fibo but continues sideways or breaks the peak → stay out, do not chase BUY without a proper pullback. 📌 Summary • Trend: Bullish after BOS • Optimal BUY point: Demand + GAP + Fibo (0.5–0.618) • Only SELL when there is a clear bearish CHoCH (currently none)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAUUSD M30 – Pullback BUY according to OB + GAP + Fibo🔎 Market Structure (SMC) • Price has clearly BOS increased, confirming the short-term trend is still bullish • Currently, the price is moving on an upward trendline, the decline is just a technical pullback • No CHoCH decrease has appeared → no reversal signal yet 🟢 Key BUY Zone (Confluence Zone) • Bullish OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618: 4,416 – 4,397 • This is a valid demand zone because: OB is below the price Coincides with the Fibo retracement of the BOS move Located above the HL structure 👉 Prioritize BUY when the price retraces to this zone and a clear price reaction appears (reject / engulf / hold bottom). 🟡 Deep BUY Zone – GAP / FVG • FVG – GAP not yet filled: 4,348 – 4,332 • This is a deep liquidity zone, only activated when: The OB above is breached The price has not yet broken the large frame upward structure 👉 Used for patient BUY, no FOMO. 🎯 Targets (Liquidity above) • TP1: 4,490 • TP2: 4,514 • TP3: 4,533 – 4,553 (Liquidity Sell $$$) ❌ Invalidation • Price closes M30 below the entire GAP zone (4,332) → Upward structure is broken, canceling the entire BUY scenario 📌 Quick Summary • Bias: Bullish – Buy the dip • Main BUY zone: OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618 • Deep BUY: FVG / GAP • Do not SELL against the trend when there is no CHoCH decrease
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Retrace to Supply, Await Next Move Reaction◆ Market Context (M30) After the previous sharp decline, gold has formed an upward CHoCH and upward BOS, confirming a short-term recovery. The price is currently approaching the upper Supply zone, where strong selling pressure was previously observed. ◆ Structure & Flow (SMC) • The nearest bottom is held firm at Demand / OB, indicating that buying flow is still effective. • The current upward move is characterized by recovery + rebalancing, not a breakout of a major trend. • The upper Supply zone is the area to watch for price reaction to confirm the next direction. ◆ Key Levels • Supply Zone: ~4,390 – 4,401 • Buy Fibo (scalp / pullback): ~4,345 – 4,350 (Fibo 0.5) • Demand / OB: ~4,305 – 4,315 • Upper Liquidity: ~4,430+ ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1 – BUY pullback (priority when structure holds) • Price retraces to 4,345 – 4,350 • Price holding reaction / candle rejecting decline appears • Target: 4,390 → 4,430 • Invalid: M30 closes below 4,315 ➤ Scenario 2 – SELL reaction at Supply (short-term) • Price hits 4,390 – 4,401 but does not break • Rejection / breakdown appears on M5–M15 • Target: 4,350 → 4,320 • This is a counter-trend scalp, not the main trend. ◆ Summary • Short-term bias: Sideway → Slightly Bullish, prioritize BUY on retrace. • Upper Supply is the decisive zone: strong break → continued rise, rejection → technical correction. • Avoid FOMO in the middle range, wait for price to reach confluence zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAUUSD Pullback – Monitor Supply Before Next MoveMarket Context (Short-Term) Gold has printed a strong bearish impulse, followed by a technical pullback phase. The current upside move is corrective in nature, driven by liquidity rebalancing, not a confirmed trend reversal. Market Structure & Price Action Short-term structure remains bearish with lower highs in place. The ongoing recovery is a pullback within a bearish leg, not a new bullish trend. No valid bullish break of structure has been confirmed on the intraday timeframe. Key Technical Zones Supply / Sell Reaction Zone: 4,401 – 4,462 → Major distribution area. Expect selling pressure and potential bearish reaction. Intermediate Resistance: 4,348 – 4,350 → Current reaction zone where price may consolidate or fake-break before the next move. Demand / Buy Zones: 4,322 – 4,326 4,285 – 4,290 → Liquidity-rich demand areas where the pullback may complete. Primary Scenario (MMF Bias) Price continues to retrace into the 4,40x supply zone, shows rejection or bearish confirmation, then rotates lower toward the demand zones below. Alternative Scenario If price accepts above 4,401 with strong bullish displacement and clean structure, the pullback could extend toward the higher supply near 4,46x. Flow & Macro Considerations Early-year liquidity remains thin, increasing the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides. Patience is required—wait for price reaction at key zones rather than chasing momentum. Conclusion Bias remains bearish-to-neutral while below supply. Focus on price reaction at key zones, not direction. Let the market reveal intent.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD liquidity grab done, awaiting next move.Market Context (Intraday) Gold has just completed a sharp sell-off, breaking below the previous structure and sweeping sell-side liquidity. The strong bearish displacement suggests a stop-hunt and rebalancing phase, not a clean trend continuation yet. Current price action shows consolidation after liquidity absorption. Technical Structure Market is trading below the descending trendline, keeping short-term pressure bearish. A clear liquidity sweep occurred below 4,321, followed by a weak rebound. Price is now reacting inside a key rebalancing zone, where both buyers and sellers may reposition. Key Levels to Watch Sell Reaction Zone: 4,455 – 4,460 → Strong supply + trendline resistance. Expect rejection if price rallies here. Mid Resistance / Decision Zone: 4,390 – 4,395 → Intraday flip zone. Failure here keeps bearish bias intact. Buy Zone (Liquidity): 4,245 – 4,255 → Major demand + sell-side liquidity. Area to watch for potential bullish reaction. Scenarios Bearish Scenario: If price fails below 4,390, expect continuation toward 4,320 → 4,250 to complete liquidity collection. Bullish Recovery Scenario: A strong reaction from 4,245–4,255 followed by acceptance above 4,395 could open a recovery move toward 4,455+. Macro Notes With year-end positioning and lower liquidity conditions, price is likely to be driven by liquidity hunts rather than clean trends. Avoid chasing moves; focus on reactions at key zones. Bias Neutral to bearish intraday, until price shows a clear acceptance above resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Bullish structure intact, Buy pullbackGold remains within a mid-term ascending channel. After a strong bullish impulse, the price is currently in a technical rebalancing phase, not a trend reversal. The recent pullback is viewed as liquidity absorption, preparing for the next expansion. Structure & Order Flow (MMF / SMC) Overall market structure stays Higher High – Higher Low. Price has reacted clearly from the lower Demand / Order Block, confirming buyer presence. Buy-side liquidity remains above, acting as the next upside magnet. Key Technical Levels Primary BUY Zone: 4,485 – 4,490 Secondary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,483 (OB + trendline confluence) Resistance / Target 1: 4,520 Target 2 (Liquidity Zone): 4,560 – 4,590 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario: Wait for the price to pull back into BUY zones, look for reaction / minor BOS, then follow the bullish trend. Alternative Scenario: If the price holds above 4,500 and breaks strongly above 4,520, wait for a retest to continue BUY positions. Invalidation: A clear H1 close below 4,480 invalidates the bullish setup and requires reassessment. Summary The dominant bias remains bullish continuation. Best strategy is to buy on pullbacks, stay patient, and avoid chasing price at premium levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD: Buy now as it accumulates below resistance!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend. After the previous BOS increase, the market is currently accumulating just below the Resistance area, indicating that buyers are still in control but need more liquidity before expanding the range. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The current structure is still Higher High – Higher Low, with no bearish CHoCH. • Prices are compressing just below the Resistance Zone ~4,518, indicating the possibility of sweeping liquidity in both directions before a breakout. • Below exists Buy-side Liquidity + FVG, which is a good support area for the trend continuation scenario. ◆ Key Levels on the chart • Resistance Zone: ~4,518 • Buy Liquidity: 4,501 – 4,492 • FVG Buy: ~4,465 • Invalid bullish structure: M30 closes below 4,465 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1 – BUY pullback (priority) • Wait for the price to retrace to 4,501 – 4,492 (Buy Liquidity) • If there is a price holding reaction → continue to BUY according to the trend • Targets: 4,518 → 4,540+ • SL: below 4,465 ➤ Scenario 2 – BUY deep at FVG • In case the price sweeps more strongly to ~4,465 (FVG Buy) • This is the last defense area for buyers in the current structure • Expect a rebound to the old peak area ➤ Scenario 3 – Break & Continue • If the price breaks decisively above 4,518 and holds • Watch for a retest to BUY according to the expanding wave ◆ Summary • Main bias: Bullish. • Strategy: Buy the dip, do not SELL without a bearish CHoCH. • Important observation areas: 4,501 – 4,492 – 4,465. • Break above 4,518 will open a new upward phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Bullish trend, focus on Buying the DipMarket Context Gold remains in a bullish environment, trading within an ascending structure. The recent pullback appears to be a technical retracement after an impulsive move, not a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed continue to weigh on the USD, keeping gold supported on dips. This backdrop favors trend-following BUY strategies rather than aggressive SELLs. Technical Structure (H1) Overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low Price is holding above the ascending trendline No confirmed bearish Break of Structure Current phase = rebalancing / pullback within uptrend Key Zones on Chart OBS BUY Zone: 4,483 – 4,475 Deeper Support: 4,457 Near Resistance: 4,515 Upper Resistance / Target: 4,534 Major Supply: 4,566 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation BUY Wait for price to pull back into the OBS BUY zone (4,483 – 4,475) Look for bullish reaction / structure hold on lower timeframes This zone aligns with demand + trend support Targets TP1: 4,515 TP2: 4,534 TP3: 4,566 (expect reaction / profit-taking) Alternative Scenario If price breaks above 4,534 with acceptance → Expect a push toward 4,566, but avoid chasing at premium Invalidation A H1 close below 4,457 would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias to neutral. Summary Gold remains bullish as long as structure support holds. The priority is to buy pullbacks at key demand zones, manage risk near resistance, and avoid emotional entries at the highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Buy at FVG + Fibo, sell at Upper Liquidity◆ Market Context (M30) Gold maintains an upward trend with previous BOS movements. After the push to the nearest peak, the price is undergoing a technical correction to rebalance liquidity before choosing the next direction. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The current decline is a pullback, with no bearish CHoCH confirming a reversal. • The retracement area coincides with FVG + Fibo (0.5–0.618) → potential BUY reaction zone. • Above exists Liquidity $$$ (Sell) – a target to attract liquidity if the price surges. ◆ Key Levels • FVG – Fibo BUY: 4,466 – 4,461 • Liquidity SELL: ~4,584 • Intermediate resistance: 4,524 • Invalid bullish: H1/M30 closes below 4,455 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – BUY Pullback (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,466–4,461 • Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low • Targets: 4,524 → 4,584 • SL: below 4,455 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles • Follow the trend, take partial profits at 4,524 ➤ Scenario C – SELL Reaction (short-term) • When price hits Liquidity ~4,584 • Only SELL if a clear rejection appears (wick/engulfing) ◆ Summary • Main bias: Bullish. • Strategy: Buy the dip, avoid counter-trend SELL without CHoCH. • Decision zone: 4,466–4,461 | Target: 4,524 → 4,584.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
Bullish Trend Intact, Focus on Buy-the-Dip Market ContextGold continues to trade firmly within an ascending channel, maintaining its bullish momentum after the latest impulsive move. The market is currently in a technical pullback phase, which is considered healthy within an uptrend rather than a sign of reversal. On the fundamental side, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates keep pressure on the USD, providing ongoing support for gold. As long as this macro backdrop remains unchanged, downside moves are expected to stay corrective. Technical Structure (H1) Bullish market structure remains valid (Higher Highs & Higher Lows) Price is holding above the ascending trendline No confirmed bearish break of structure Overall bias remains bullish continuation Key Price Zones Primary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,470 (Trendline support + demand zone + structure support) Deeper Support: 4,444 Upside Targets / Resistance: 4,512 → 4,563 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY If price pulls back into 4,480 – 4,470 and holds on H1 → Look for BUY setups aligned with the main trend This zone represents a high-probability area for smart money re-entry Targets TP1: 4,512 TP2: 4,563 Scale out near major resistance areas Alternative Scenario If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,500 → Wait for a break & retest before considering continuation BUYs Avoid chasing price near the upper resistance zone Invalidation A H1 close below 4,444 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and require reassessment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD: Buy on pullback in strong upward trend!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold is in a clear upward trend, demonstrated by a series of consecutive BOS and gradually higher lows/highs. After a strong push, the price is currently consolidating sideways in the premium area, indicating the market is pausing before choosing the next direction. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The upward structure remains intact, with no bearish CHoCH appearing. • The current adjustment area is the Buy Zone – where the price previously created a BOS. • This sideways movement is rebalancing, often a precursor to the next upward move if support is not broken. ◆ Key Levels • Buy Zone: 4,476 – 4,464 • Invalid upward: clear break below 4,464 • Upper targets: ▪ 4,531 ▪ 4,565 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for a pullback or hold within Buy Zone 4,476 – 4,464 • Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low • Targets: ▪ 4,531 ▪ 4,565 • SL: below 4,464 ➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue • If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles • Follow the trend, manage orders partially at target levels ➤ Scenario C – Defensive • If 4,464 is clearly broken • Short-term upward structure invalidated → stay out and wait for a new setup ◆ Summary • Main trend: Strong bullish. • Priority strategy: BUY with the trend, do not SELL against it. • Decision area: 4,476 – 4,464. • Next targets: 4,531 → 4,565.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL). • The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure. • The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends. • No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario. ◆ Key Levels • Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417 • FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374 • Deep OB: ~4,339 • Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo) • Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL • Targets: ▪ 4,397 ▪ 4,417 (peak) ▪ extend if peak is broken ➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback • If 4,374 is breached • Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction • Only BUY with structural confirmation ➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue • If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397 • Follow the trend towards 4,417+ • Avoid FOMO at premium ◆ Summary • Context: pullback in an uptrend. • Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339. • Upper target: 4,417. • Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Intact, Buy Pullbacks Into DemandMarket Context Gold continues to trade firmly within a rising trend channel, confirming that bullish momentum remains in control. The latest impulse leg successfully broke above the previous consolidation range, signaling strong participation from smart money. From a macro perspective, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance and move toward rate cuts next year continue to support gold. As a result, current pullbacks are viewed as technical rebalancing, not trend reversal. Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term) Market structure remains Higher Highs – Higher Lows Price is holding above the ascending trendline Current price action shows a pullback / rebalancing phase after expansion No confirmed bearish BOS at this stage Key Technical Zones Upper liquidity / resistance: 4,410 – 4,420 Intermediate resistance: 4,374 – 4,384 Primary BUY pullback zone: 4,350 – 4,355 Deeper demand / trend defense: 4,330 – 4,335 Trading Plan – MMF Logic Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer waiting for price to pull back into 4,350 – 4,355 Look for price acceptance / selling pressure absorption Expect continuation toward the upside with trend momentum Target references: TP1: 4,374 TP2: 4,384 TP3: 4,410+ Alternative Scenario If price fails to pull back deeply and holds above 4,362, wait for a break & retest to rejoin the trend Avoid chasing price in premium zones Invalidation Level A confirmed H1 close below 4,330 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest broader consolidation. Summary Gold remains structurally bullish. The current correction is a healthy pullback after expansion, not a reversal. Bias stays BUY on dips, focusing on discounted zones aligned with the dominant flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD | Awaiting Reaction at OB + Fibo to Confirm Next Move◆ Market Context (M30) The price is maintaining an uptrend with a supporting trendline. After a strong push creating a short-term peak, the market enters a pullback to rebalance. The current decline has not broken the upward structure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rapid decline creates an OB + Fibo Sell zone ~4,335 (retesting the premium area). • The price has reacted at the trendline ~4,315, indicating that buying pressure still protects the structure. • Liquidity above 4,367 – 4,372 remains → potential for liquidity draw if the trend continues. ◆ Key Levels • OB + Fibo Sell: ~4,335 • Trendline / Support: ~4,315 • Liquidity (upper target): 4,367 → 4,372 • Invalid uptrend: clear break below trendline ~4,315 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Await price reaction around the trendline ~4,315 • Condition: candles rejecting decline / maintaining higher lows • Targets: ▪ 4,335 ▪ 4,367 → 4,372 (Liquidity) ➤ Scenario B – Short-term Sell • If the price retraces to OB + Fibo ~4,335 but does not break • Observe rejection signals to SELL back to 4,315 • Only a scalp against the main trend ➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive) • If the trendline ~4,315 is decisively broken • Stay out / wait for a new CHoCH before BUYing again ◆ Summary • Context: pullback within an uptrend. • Decision zones: 4,315 (trendline) and 4,335 (OB + Fibo). • Upper target: 4,367 → 4,372. • Avoid FOMO; prioritize BUYing pullbacks according to the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAUUSD M45: SELL at OB 4.331–4.339, BUY at 4.306–4.3121) Market Context (M45) – SMC & Price Structure The spike up followed by a strong sell-off is a liquidity event (liquidity sweep), creating a clear bearish displacement. After the sell-off, the price is retracing in a pullback/retest manner → prioritize the strategy “SELL retracement at supply zone,” or “BUY reaction at demand zone” if there is a sweep down. 2) Key Levels Liquidity Sell (liquidity peak): 4.367.982 OB Bearish (Sell Zone): 4.331.123 – 4.338.610 Liquidity Support (Demand): 4.312.463 – 4.306.358 Current reference price: ~4.326 (currently in the middle of the range, not an optimal entry point) 3) Trading Plan Scenario A – SELL at OB Bearish (priority) If the price retraces to the 4.331 – 4.339 zone and shows rejection signals: pinbar / shadow downward engulfing or bearish ChoCH on M15–M45 Then prioritize SELL following the retracement in the short-term bearish structure. Reference targets: TP1: 4.312 TP2: 4.306 Invalidation: M45 candle closes firmly above 4.339 and holds → stop the SELL idea. Scenario B – BUY at Liquidity Support (reversal scenario) If the price is pulled down to the 4.312 – 4.306 zone and shows signs of sweep + reclaim (piercing down then closing back up the zone). Upon confirmation, watch for BUY retracement. Reference targets: TP1: 4.331 TP2: 4.339 Note: if the price touches the OB Bearish again without breaking it, prioritize closing and observing the reaction. Scenario C – Sweep up to Liquidity Sell 4.368 then reverse If the price breaks above OB Bearish and continues to run liquidity up to 4.368. The 4.368 zone is suitable for finding a sell reaction (only SELL with confirmation signals). 4) News on 18/12 affecting gold On 18/12, there is US CPI (November): the most impactful news on gold as it directly affects interest rate expectations, yields, and USD. On the same day, there are usually Initial Jobless Claims and activity indicators (e.g., Philly Fed), which can easily create short-term spikes for XAUUSD. After the CPI day, the market often exhibits liquidity sweeps on both ends before choosing a direction → avoid FOMO, prioritize trading at the right zone. 5) Quick Conclusion Short-term bias: prioritize SELL retracement at OB 4.331–4.339 until the price strongly reclaims above. Defensive scenario: BUY reaction at 4.312–4.306 if there is a sweep + confirmation. Avoid entering trades in the middle of the range; wait for “right zone – right signal.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Liquidity Grab Completed, Waiting for Pullback to ContinueMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, sweeping buy-side liquidity above the previous highs. After this expansion, price is now entering a short-term consolidation / pullback phase, which is expected behavior following a liquidity grab rather than a full trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed stance continue to limit downside pressure on Gold, keeping the broader bias supported despite intraday corrections. Technical Structure (Short-Term) The larger structure remains bullish Recent move shows a liquidity grab at the highs, followed by rejection Current price action suggests rebalancing into demand zones No confirmed bearish market structure shift so far Key Technical Zones Upper Resistance / Sell Reaction: 4,360 – 4,365 Intraday Resistance: 4,333 – 4,336 Buy Zone (Pullback Area): 4,300 – 4,305 Deeper Demand / Liquidity Support: 4,275 – 4,280 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Expect price to retrace into 4,300 – 4,305 or deeper toward 4,280 Look for bullish reaction / stabilization to rejoin the trend Upside targets: TP1: 4,323 TP2: 4,335 TP3: 4,360+ (liquidity) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 4,323 and breaks higher directly, wait for a clean retest before considering continuation setups. Avoid chasing price at premium levels. Invalidation A sustained break and H1 close below 4,275 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario and shift focus to deeper consolidation. Summary Gold remains in a bullish environment, with current weakness viewed as a technical pullback after liquidity grab. Bias remains buy-the-dip, prioritizing patience and confirmation at key demand zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD| Bullish Structure Holds, Buy Pullbacks for ContinuationGold remains in a well-defined bullish channel. After a strong impulsive move, price is now undergoing a technical pullback / rebalancing phase, which is normal behavior within a healthy uptrend. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations continue to support Gold, keeping downside moves corrective rather than trend-reversing. Technical Structure (Short-Term) Bullish market structure remains intact (Higher High – Higher Low) Current pullback is occurring within the discount zone of the ascending channel No confirmed bearish break of structure at this stage Upside liquidity remains stacked above recent highs Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Preferred BUY zone: 4,303 – 4,320 Condition: price holds above support and maintains HL structure Targets: TP1: 4,335 TP2: 4,345 TP3: 4,359 (buy-side liquidity) Alternative Scenario If price does not pull back deeply and breaks above 4,335, wait for a clean retest to continue BUY setups. Invalidation A H1 close below 4,280 invalidates the short-term bullish bias and cancels BUY setups. Summary The short-term bias for Gold remains bullish. Priority remains buying pullbacks within the channel, avoiding FOMO at premium prices and waiting for price to return to key liquidity zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Distribution at the Top, Sell on Rallies Market ContexAfter a strong bullish impulse, Gold is now showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper liquidity zone. Price failed to sustain above the recent high and has started to rotate lower, suggesting a distribution phase rather than continuation. From a macro perspective, although expectations around Fed policy remain mixed, short-term positioning looks crowded on the buy side, increasing the probability of a corrective move to rebalance liquidity. Technical Structure (M30–H1) Price rejected sharply from the 4,348 supply / liquidity zone A lower high has formed under descending trendline resistance Market is trading below key intraday structure, signaling bearish pressure Current price action favors a sell-the-rally approach Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – SELL Continuation Preferred SELL zone: 4,300 – 4,306 Confirmation: bearish rejection / weak bullish momentum Targets: TP1: 4,281 TP2: 4,269 TP3: 4,248 Extended target: 4,219 (major demand + channel support) Invalidation A clean break and hold above 4,348 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. In that case, stand aside and wait for new structure confirmation. MMF Perspective At premium levels, risk favors patience over chasing buys. The focus now is on capital protection and selling rallies, waiting for price to reach deeper demand zones before considering any new bullish setups. Bias today: Bearish below 4,348 – Sell rallies, manage risk strictly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Confirmed, Buy on PullbacksMarket Context Gold remains firmly bullish, continuing to trade within a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the market is now entering a technical pullback phase to rebalance liquidity, which is a healthy behavior in a trending market rather than a sign of reversal. From a macro perspective, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY strategies. Technical Structure (H1) • Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows • Price is reacting at key confluence zones (trendline support + demand + Fibonacci) • No confirmed bearish structure break at this stage Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY • Preferred BUY zone: 4,296 – 4,292 • Stop Loss: below 4,286 Targets: TP1: 4,327 TP2: 4,348 TP3: Extension if bullish momentum continues → Strategy: wait for pullbacks into key demand zones. No FOMO chasing at highs. Alternative Scenario • If price breaks and closes clearly below 4,241, short-term bullish structure weakens • Stand aside and wait for a new structure confirmation MMF Perspective In a bullish market, the goal is not to predict the top, but to buy pullbacks at high-probability zones with favorable risk–reward. As long as price holds above key supports, the primary bias remains BUY.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAUUSD Bullish Confirmation Buy the PullbackGold has delivered a clear bullish structure break and is currently holding firmly inside an ascending trend channel. The recent impulsive move confirms strong participation from smart money, while the current price action reflects a healthy pullback–continuation phase, not a reversal. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations and a lower-rate outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY setups. 📊 Market Structure & MMF Flow (H1) • Bullish structure is confirmed with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. • Price is retracing toward demand zones to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion. • No bearish structure break has appeared so far. 💎 Key Levels – MMF Style • Primary Buy Zone: 4,268 • Deep Buy Zone: 4,238 – 4,219 • Upside Targets: TP1 4,305 → TP2 4,324 🎯 Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario – Trend BUY Alternative Scenario – Continuation above 4,305 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias Bullish above 4,238 Invalidation below 4,219
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Market Accumulating Liquidity, Two Clear Scenarios for TodayGold continues to move within a bullish structure, but short-term order flow shows distribution inside the OBS Sell Zone 4,236. Price is currently trapped in the middle of the range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity sweep before choosing its next direction. Fundamentally, expectations of a dovish Fed still support gold on deeper pullbacks — but intraday, the two MMF flow setups are extremely clear. 📊 Technical Outlook (MMF Flow – H1) 🔸 OBS SELL ZONE: 4,236 • Strong reaction on first touch → supply confirmed • Downtrend line converges here → high probability of liquidity traps 🔸 OBS BUY ZONE: 4,197 • First key demand zone below • Aligned with channel support → likely bullish reaction 🔸 Sell-side Liquidity: 4,181 • If price sweeps this area → ideal reversal point 🔸 Premium SELL Reaction Zone: 4,284 • If gold expands upward → priority area for distribution / short-term correction 🎯 Two Main MMF Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL reaction → BUY trend continuation • Price retests 4,236 • Bearish reaction → pushes price toward 4,197 – 4,181 • Reversal signal appears • Targets: 4,236 → 4,284 ➡️ This is the cleanest play following today’s liquidity flow. Scenario 2 – Direct bullish expansion • Price breaks and closes above 4,236 • Retests this zone • Expands toward 4,284 ➡️ Requires strong bullish momentum — no confirmation, no trade. 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias • Bullish as long as price holds above 4,197 • Neutral → Bearish only if price closes below 4,181 (failed liquidity sweep) The market is preparing for a breakout — let liquidity do its job before choosing direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone. • The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections. • Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum. • If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated. ◆ Important Price Zones Resistance (selling zone): • 4,211 • 4,219 Short-term support: • 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB) Deeper support – Liquidity Pool: • 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken) ◆ Main Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192 • Wait for reversal signals at the support zone • Recovery targets: ▪ 4,211 ▪ 4,219 • If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this. ➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support • Short-term upward structure invalidated • Prioritize following the downtrend • Next targets: ▪ 4,173 ▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities ➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break: • Monitor rejection patterns • This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow ◆ Summary • The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control. • The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength. • If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173. • If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1