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XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market. The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone. 📊 Technical Structure Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom. Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher. Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum. Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave. 🎯 Market Outlook Priority scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD. 2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction. Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone. Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure. Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government. But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it. 📌 Why this zone matters right now Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure. Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery. The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion. The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases. 🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight) Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase. Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls. 🔶 MMF BUY Zone $4,179 → $4,165 Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg. 🔼 Bullish Targets • $4,207 (liquidity tap) • $4,228 (Fibo 1.618) • $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone) 🧠 Key Takeaway As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Pauses Below $4,000 as Markets Digest Hawkish Fed Tone🔍 Market Context Gold struggles to find direction in early Asia, hovering just below the $4,000 psychological level after the Fed’s hawkish remarks dampened bullish momentum. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that another rate cut this year is “not a given”, keeping yields supported and safe-haven demand balanced. Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, signalling cooling momentum but not enough to alter the Fed’s cautious stance. With odds of a December rate cut near 70%, gold remains trapped between policy uncertainty and soft macro sentiment. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Price is consolidating within a tight structure between 3,963$ and 4,024$, showing compression before a potential expansion move. The 3,984$–3,963$ zone acts as short-term liquidity support, aligning with the rising intraday trendline. Key Levels • 💎 Liquidity Support: 3,963$ – 3,984$ • 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 4,024$ • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ (liquidity sweep + expansion zone) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,923$, bias shifts to neutral A clean breakout above 4,024$ could trigger a move toward 4,046$, while failure to hold above 3,963$ may invite another liquidity grab before buyers re-enter. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money remains patient. As long as 3,963$ holds, dips are seen as accumulation rather than weakness. But conviction only returns when liquidity confirms above 4,024$ — that’s where momentum aligns with intent. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity doesn’t chase price — it creates the path for it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets: – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket. – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders! Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter. The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone? 1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions: 🐻 Bearish Catalyst: Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold. 🐂 Bullish Support: Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply. 🎯 Outlook: Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals. 📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait The market is approaching a major confluence zone: SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance. Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down. 3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057 Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest) Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, showing caution as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid easing U.S.–China trade tensions. Currently, the price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating below the psychological $4,000 mark. 💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15) Gold continues trading in a short-term ascending channel, showing a corrective recovery inside a larger downtrend. Immediate Support Zones: • 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone • 3,918 → Structural invalidation area Resistance & Key Reaction Levels: • 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term resistance • 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence) 📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085–4,102. 📍If it rejects near 4,094–4,102, a correction toward 3,961–3,937 is likely. 🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead Markets expect a 25bps rate cut. A hawkish tone from Powell may pressure Gold, while a dovish one could send it above $4,100. 🧭 Summary Gold keeps a short-term bullish bias but remains fragile ahead of FOMC. Expect volatility around 4,000–4,100; key reactions near 4,094–4,102 will decide the next move. 🛡 Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD DIVE—Sniping the $405x Dip Before FOMC!Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is correcting sharply, dropping 1.10% towards $4,065. This weakness is driven by trade optimism, but the underlying Fed rate cut expectation keeps our BUY ON DIPS strategy highly profitable! 🧠 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (MIND) Bears' Power: Trade optimism is pushing safe-haven assets down. Sellers are targeting the recent uptrend structure. Bulls' Anchor: Weak US inflation data means a Fed rate cut is almost certain (25 bps expected). This long-term USD weakness acts as a floor for Gold. Action Bias: BUY THE DIP at critical Fibo supports, anticipating the Fed decision to fuel the next rally. 📊 KEY LEVELS & ACTION ZONES (H1) We are using the Fibo retracement from the recent high to define our optimal entry points. 🎯 SELL TARGET / CEILING: $4,164.938 (Zone 416x). This is the immediate resistance and the ultimate target for the Long trade. 🔥 HIGH-CONVICTION BUY ZONE: $4,048.493 (Fibo 0.5 Zone 405x). The optimal entry to maximize risk/reward. Strategy: Wait for a clean tag and H1/M30 reversal signal here. ⚡️ SCALP BUY REACT ZONE: $4,077.605 (Zone 407x). A quick bounce area for aggressive buyers. ❌ INVALIDATION: SL must be placed safely below the 0.618 Fibo level of the 405x zone. 📈 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (DIP BUY) Entry Focus: Prioritize the $4,048.493 (405x) Fibo Zone for a high-quality Long entry. SL Placement: Strict SL below the 0.618 Fibo of the 405x zone. TP Target: Aim for the recent high at $4,164.938 (416x). 💬 TRADER'S QUESTION The drop is here! Are you buying the aggressive 407x level or patiently waiting for the optimal 405x Fibo zone before the expected Fed cut rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Awaits FOMC Breakout While Holding Key Liquidity BaseMarket Overview: Gold remains trapped in a tight range as traders weigh optimism from US–China trade progress against cautious expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting. The macro picture feels balanced: risk sentiment improves, yet the weaker USD and lingering Fed cut expectations quietly support the metal. In essence, gold isn’t trending — it’s coiling. Liquidity is being built, not lost. Every test of 4,050–4,060 shows strong absorption, while short-term sellers are still defending the 4,186–4,260 region. The market is waiting for a trigger, and the FOMC might be the one that decides which side breaks first. Technical Structure (H1) Price continues to respect the ascending support trendline from 4,003 and the neckline resistance near 4,107. This structure has the DNA of a compression model — narrowing volatility, thinning liquidity, preparing for expansion. If the support at 4,050 holds, a retest of 4,107 → 4,186 remains likely before the next decision point. Conversely, a liquidity sweep under 4,002 could form the last dip before a bigger rally unfolds. Key Structural Levels: Support / Accumulation Zone: 4,058 – 4,050 Mid-Level Pivot / Neckline: 4,107 Upper Supply Zone: 4,186 – 4,260 Deep Liquidity Pool: 4,002 – 3,930 MMFLOW Perspective: For now, gold is accumulating energy — this is not a breakout market, it’s a build-up market. Price action above 4,050 still favours the bulls, but conviction will only return once we see a clean break beyond 4,186. Ahead of FOMC, patience is strategy. The next wave won’t come from guessing policy — it’ll come from reading the flow once volatility hits. Summary: Gold’s structure remains stable — liquidity is concentrated below 4,050, and compression continues within the 4,060–4,186 band. Bias stays neutral-to-bullish as long as the liquidity base holds. 📊 What’s your take? Will the FOMC spark the breakout, or is gold just reloading for the next wave? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for institutional flow analysis and smart money structure updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebounds as CPI Cools and USD WeakensMarket Overview: Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals. CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November. As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart. Technical Outlook (H2): The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg. Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. Key Technical Levels: Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002 Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940 Resistance / Neckline: 4,211 Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342 Trading Plan – MMFLOW View 🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play) Entry: 4,058 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,035 Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260 🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario) Entry: 4,002 – 3,930 Stop Loss: 3,915 Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211 Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues. 🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade) Entry: 4,260 – 4,342 Stop Loss: 4,355 Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 Weekly Bias & Summary: With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle. However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week. 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse: Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks. The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices. This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave. If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261. But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction. 📊 Technical Outlook (M30) Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance. Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion. Key Structure Zones: Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style 🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060 Stop Loss: ₹4,045 Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155 Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation. 🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020 Stop Loss: ₹4,005 Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150 If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow. 🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend. The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056. A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush. ⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms. 📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
$4,005 BROKEN! GOLD READY FOR CPI COLLAPSEFranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan (H1 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has attracted sellers and is now trading below $4,100. With the US CPI release looming, the DOWNSIDE BREAKDOWN is our highest conviction scenario! 1. Market Snapshot Current State: Gold is consolidating in a Sideway Zone between $4,159 (Resistance) and $4,005 (Critical Support). Pressure: The recent break below $4,100$ and the recovering USD are key bearish factors. The Catalyst: US CPI today. A hot inflation print will fuel the USD and shatter the $4,005$ floor. Dominant Risk: Break below $4,005.438$ confirms the major bearish trend targeting $3,889$. 2. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) 💰 We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support. Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005.438$. (Wait for H1 close confirmation). STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159.686$. Placed safely above the Sideway Resistance. TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,938.128 (Fibo Target). TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.330 (Ultimate Structural Target). 3. Contingency Scenario (LONG) ⬆️ Activate LONG: Only if Gold decisively breaks $4,159.686$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,237.334. Note: High-risk counter-trend trade, likely requiring a major negative surprise from the CPI report. Community Interaction 🚀 The CPI is coming! Will the data be hot enough to smash $4,005$? Or is the Sideway Zone here to stay? Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment. On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet. During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand. Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone. If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart. Technical Outlook (M30): Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline. The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction. Key Levels: CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055 Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115 Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot) Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263 Trading Plan: 🔹BUY Setup #1 💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018 ❌Stop Loss: 4,010 ✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100 ⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support) 🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play) 🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051 ❌Stop Loss: 4,043 ✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150 ⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base. 🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone) 📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265 ❌Stop Loss: 4,273 ✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200 ⭐️Summary: Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction. The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback. Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds. 📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade! 1. Sharp Technical Analysis The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone". Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$). Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance). Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout. Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION! 2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor. Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support. 3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support. Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level. STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance. TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target. TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target. Contingency Scenario (LONG) Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127. Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify. Community Interaction 🚀 Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$? Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level. Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery. Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside. Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term. Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction: REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200: This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry. REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310: This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally. 2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE): This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry: ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090: This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone. Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area. Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD PULLBACK: $4330 SLIDE! Sniping the Fibo BUY Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: USD Stability Triggers Profit-Taking Gold is extending its corrective slide from the all-time high zone, hitting around $4,331 - $4,330. Primary Headwind: The US Dollar (USD) attracted buyers for three consecutive days, causing stability which triggered profit-taking in the overbought Gold market. Long-Term Support: DXY trades slightly negatively due to the US government shutdown and trade tensions, keeping the long-term bullish outlook intact. Technical Bias: The market is in a deep correction/profit-taking phase. Our focus is strictly on finding the FIBO BUY REACT ZONES to join the underlying bullish trend. DO NOT CHASE THE SELL MOVE. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the current corrective structure and the Fibo/Volume zones defined on image_ddd575.png, we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are current resistance areas for short-term rejection or supply zone testing: REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 4340 - 4320: Current resistance. Look for a SCALP SELL opportunity if the price rejects this zone. REACTION SELL ZONE - Big Volume for Sell Side 435x: Major supply/liquidity zone if price attempts a deeper retracement. 2. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the most critical Fibo support zones for initiating Long entries: REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265: The first crucial Fibo Retracement support. REACTION BUY ZONE - Big Volume For Buy Side 4230 - 4220: The high-volume demand zone and optimal entry point for the major Long trade. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 4270 - 4265 or 4230 - 4220. Long Entry: Execute the BUY entry only upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15). Scalp SELL Action: If the price strongly rejects the 4340 - 4320 zone, a quick SCALP SELL targeting the nearest BUY ZONE can be considered. Targets (TP): Aim for the highs and the 435x Sell Zone for the Longs. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. DO NOT OVERLEVERAGE in this corrective phase. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD. According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend. However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week. A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices. 🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone. Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure. The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers. ⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View) 🔼BUY SCALP 📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume) ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+ 🔼BUY ZONE (Swing) ✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258 ❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252 ✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+ 📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260. Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities. ⚡️Key MMFlow Zones CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360 ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448 Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305 End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260 Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380 🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading