Gold sideway this weekAt the end of last week's session, GOLD continued to maintain a downtrend and fell around the 1933 - 1935 area. If we now label the wave, we can take the starting point of this downtrend at the 1963 - 1965 area, because Before that, there was a quick recovery that ended and created a downward structure afterward.
If we take the peak of wave 1 at 1933 - 1935, the price has now completed 4 large waves (Red Label) with wave 3 being an extended wave form. This morning, the wave 4 structure is forming at 1939 - 1942 and begins. Selling pressure appears again in this area, so the probability that this evening, the downtrend will continue to form.
With the trading strategy, we can wait to sell around the 1939 - 1942 area with a short-term target at 1933 - 1935. However, with this strong selling pressure, it is likely that the price will further decrease to the 1919 - 1924 area.
Goldtradingstrategy
XAUUSD-Gold analysis-The Gold is not able to hold the 2000 mark, and after making the triple top, which is the bearish sign, now lands below the 1950 psychological level
-The LTP is 1937, which means again it will touch the previous week's low, which is near 1900-1880
-There is a slight bounce change near 1911-1905 for 1940-1950, but this is a short opportunity if the price remains intact at that level.
-The Fibonacci, 50 % of the uptrend, is near 1910-1908, so the chance is a slight dead cat bounce for the selling opportunity
- For long trade will near 1900-1980 with good risk reward
-Every rise is a short opportunity for sale if the price does not break the 1960 close.
GOLD AT 60,000 , WHATS NEXT ??Short Recap - Gold had good rally from 6th oct , to the upside from 56500 to 61250
Currently - price is hovering around the higher time frame bearish order block which is resulting a resistance phase to gold price from (61500 to 60500 zone)
there is been a internal CHOC (trend change) from bullish to bearish
although the bearish continous will be confirmed if price breakdown and close below 60200 - 60,000
What to do -
after the break and close of 60,000 short trade can enter with quick targets
as this could be pullback on major time frame
where as those willing to go long will need to wait for specific levels
consider 58250-58000 zone as a value buying zone
this can be tracked based on price shifting the stucture from lower low and lower high towards higher high to higher low as Long Indication
XAUUSD Short Term IdeaShort Position with SL and 3 TPs.
All ideas are my own analysis. For educational Purpose only. Any Loss on taking this trade is not my responsibility. Taking position off my idea is own responsibility, Users are responsible for their our actions. Tip: Always trade with Risk Management
XAUUSD : XAUUSD trading strategy today Currently, gold is still fully above the H4 framework price increase channel. Unless gold breaks out of the upward price channel, the trend for gold will still be up. Conversely, if gold breaks out of an upward price channel, the trend will be bearish. On the daily chart, the histogram is still rising and no such deviation is seen on the daily chart. Even though the stochastic has been in overbought territory for a long time and the RSI is in overbought territory, gold is still likely to move higher. There are signs that gold is not going down. On the H4 chart, the histogram starts to get shorter. Stochastic has moved out of overbought territory. Gold is very likely to have a correction rhythm in the coming days and then accumulate and move higher. There is some news today, but it doesn't have much of an impact on gold, gold could fall to the 1991-1986 range, buy in that range and limit your losses from 1985-1984. can. Currently, gold is moving sideways around his 2004 to his 1989 . We can still surf.
Gold Trade Idea Gold Update
- Since my last post Gold did follow my plan and led to a significant move to the upside.
- Remember we don't trade any patterns my conviction was based on merging Fundamentals along with technical analysis.
- The Global Scenario for gold looks bullish and commodities overall will remain bullish in a market where we have chances of the war getting escalated.
- DXY too will be important to be observed before trading Commodities because DXY has stayed calm since 3 weeks.
- Trading aggressively this week will only result in leaked gains and losses.
- The mentioned Red Zone will be an important area to catch a gold short ONLY if you see a good rejection or else let it hover around. (2100-2150 is a strong supply zone).
GOLD today. Continues to draw in safe haven investments🌷US Dollar, Treasury Yields, Israel, Federal Reserve, GVZ Index - Talking Points
- Gold prices appear to be comfortably above the USD level during Wednesday's trading session
- Treasury yields after hitting new highs again but gold seems unaffected by that
- The US dollar has been volatile despite global instability. Will XAUUSD continue to rise?
🌷World gold price stood at 1,937 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of 22 USD/ounce compared to the same hour yesterday morning. The precious metal is holding its position high as a haven despite US government bond yields rising to multi-year highs.
🌷Two-year Treasury notes traded at 5.24% for the first time since 2006 on strong economic data. US retail sales in September exceeded forecasts, causing Treasury bond yields to increase. The US Dollar rose against the British Pound, Yen and Canadian Dollar, but remained mostly stable elsewhere. RBA signals a more hawkish stance on the Australian Dollar.
🌷The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has supported gold as a safe-haven asset, despite the usual challenge posed by rising returns on low-risk assets such as Treasury bonds. Resolution of the situation seems distant as it continues to develop.
🌷The XAUUSD market will continue to attract safe haven flows due to the Israel-Hamas conflict. If there are signs that the Fed is nearing the end of this rate hike cycle, that would be good for gold, even if we don't get any rate cuts anytime soon. It is forecasted that gold will fluctuate in the range of 1,900 USD/ounce until there is some ceasefire or the conflict subsides.
Plan trading
SELL GOLD 1951-1953
SL 1955
TP 1940
BUY GOLD 1935-1937
SL 1932
TP 1950
gold next support level 57460 - 56300??* IM NOT IN FAVOUR TO SHORT INSTEAD WAIT FOR VALUE BUYING AREA*
gold has breached all of its recent support and this fall looks like free fall maybe because of dxy rising
57460 and 56300 will be very important level base on previous trend low to recent high fib retracement of 0.6 and 0.7 golden zones are appearing on exactly on our fair value area
WILL UPDATE FURTHER ON EVERY MAJOR MOVE
The return of GOLDGold price (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $1,885 region, or over a two-week high and settled near the lower end of its daily range on Thursday. Consumer prices in the United States (US) rose more than expected in September and lifted expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates higher for longer. This led to the sharp overnight rise in the US Treasury bond yields and triggered a massive US Dollar (USD) short-covering rally, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor exerting pressure on the precious metal.
XAUUSD Analysis-The gold price last week retraced after the NFP data and took the demand zone of the last swing low area which is near 1808-1805
-Before going upside the gold needed to retrace the same demand zone from 1812-1816
-Need to break the near resistance which is 1837-1844.
-For the breakout long 1846.800 SL 1837.300 TGT 1877.500
-The near support is 1812-1816
Gold Mini Important Support and Resistance Level For 11-Oct-2023The Marked area's are major support and resistance level for Banknifty Intraday, also called PAM Areas.
When price come to these area we can expect either reversal or breakout from the given area's.
So planning a good trade will occur only in the marked areas, when price is in middle, we have to wait for the price comes to the marked PAM Areas
GOLD MISS LEADING ? AND FOMOThis recent up move is just a pullback
which did not retested out ob
it is heading back to retracement area of 0.7 and 0.5 lvl
but for short time gold is like to hover within 0.5 - 0.7 level (59665 - 59385)
and there after there is resistance above at 60150
cant fit in with good risk to reward for investing or value buying
better to avoid fomo
59970 and 58000 remains out intact buying area with small after this trigger
will update further after new moves
Gold This Week Overview till 22nd September
Gold prices are expected to trade in a range of 56,000-58,500 rupees per 10 grams this week, with a downside bias. The US Federal Reserve's commitment to a more aggressive monetary policy stance is likely to weigh on gold prices in the near term. However, gold could find some support from a weaker rupee and rising geopolitical tensions.
If gold reaches between 58600-58500 then we can plan long for +900 points
GOLD SHORTSEPT #7
Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Pressure is increasingly weighing on gold pricesXAU/USD ended Wednesday's trading session at its lowest price in three weeks, hitting a new low of $1,905 as the inflationary backdrop in the US continued to frustrate gold investors.
Gold continues to be rejected from $1,940.00 after last week's action saw the yellow metal fall back as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) continued to trouble scarf on the Gold chart. The precious metal has broken away from yearly highs above $2,060.00.
The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6% in August, up sharply from 0.2% the previous month, and inflation concerns weighed on XAU/USD. Annual CPI increased 3.7% compared to market estimates of 3.6%.
Rising inflation in the US is causing the market to reassess the possibility that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates further, although the Fed seeks to keep interest rates stable at its interest rate meeting next week.
Gold price forecast todayGold prices ended five straight days of decline, trading higher at around $1,920, up 0.20% in Thursday's Asian session. However, precious metals are facing downward pressure as traders consider the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will increase interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) until the end of 2023. .
Hawkish sentiment surrounding the Fed's policy decision at the upcoming September meeting continues to support US Treasury interest rates. This strengthens investors' confidence in the US Dollar (USD). The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.28%, up 0.05% at press time. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is around 104.80, measuring the value of the Greenback against six major currencies.
Gold is waiting to accumulateGold yesterday opened the weekly trading session with an upward trend from 1916 to 1930 when the USD experienced declines and corrections after the Bank of Japan's move caused the market to increase expectations for the future. The Yen negative interest rate period will soon end.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to around 104.60, trying to offset losses thanks to positive developments in United States (US) bond yields. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.30% at the time of writing.
Strong economic data in August put pressure on gold prices. Although the labor market has shown weakness over the past few weeks, it recently experienced a pullback with two strong reports including the ISM Services PMI and Initial Jobless Claims, both all exceeded market expectations. As long as data continues to show a mixed outlook, market participants can expect prices to stabilize
GOLD long setup (check the description)we have captured the down trend since the beinginng on trend change
currently price has breached some fair value area and ob's from medium time frame
as i have captured the big trend personally i wont be shorting instead will wait for my buying zone
58810 and 58665 is new current resistace
58275 and 58120 is the level where price would like wick this level to sweep the liquidity and stop loss of remaining buyers
there after 58090 - 57970 would be the non mitigated old order block where there will be order and we can new buying from this level
57650 to 57875 will be last demand zone for gold where it will be value zone for buyers
Gold price increased in the Asian and European trading session🍀Gold price trades higher around $1,930 a troy ounce, rebounding from the losses registered in the previous week. The pullback in the USD is providing support in strengthening the prices of Gold, which could be attributed to the lower likelihood of the US Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in the upcoming September.
🍀Gold price increased in today's Asian and European trading session. continuously increased from 1919 price after opening to 1930. We can wait to catch a rebound from gold
🍀Interesting knowledge about trading
Trading is not as interesting as many people think.
Trading is a boring job!
With repeated actions that are not allowed to bring emotions into it!