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Banknifty is at a key support level—will it rebound? In recent months, the bank index has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. After reaching an all-time peak close to 53,350 (specifically at 50,358), the bank index experienced a correction. At present, the index is hovering around a significant support level of 49,750, which also aligns with the trendline support visible on the chart. There is a strong expectation that the bank index will bounce back from this point and resume its upward trend. However, if this support is broken, the next level to watch will be around 46,000 to 46,300. To regain its bullish momentum, the index must overcome the immediate resistance located between 53,000 and 53,350.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
NATCO PHARMA: A Multiyear Breakout Set to Double Your Investment Investment Advice by Goodluck Capital (SEBI Registered) Buy Natco Pharma NSE:NATCOPHARM Buy Range- 1210 - 1220 Target- 1950 - 1960 Potential Return- 60-62% Approx investment period 12 - 14 months TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NSE:NATCOPHARM (1) Back in 2017, Natco Pharma encountered several rejections around the 1,050 level, leading to a subsequent decline. (2) The 500 level has emerged as a crucial support point, allowing the stock to bounce back from this threshold. (3) Although the stock made an attempt to surpass its trendline resistance in July 2021, it ultimately fell short, resulting in another correction before finding support at the 500 level once more. (4) Since March 2023, the stock has been on an upward trajectory, successfully breaking through the resistance level in July 2024. Following this significant multi-year breakout , there is a strong expectation that the stock will remain above the breakout zone, paving the way for a robust upward rally. ● ENTRY & EXIT LEVELS - Look for the best buy levels between 1,210 and 1,220, as this is also the breakout level. However, if the stock begins to consolidate at that level and subsequently breaks out, the upper boundary of this consolidation could present another lucrative entry point. - Based on the chart analysis, it appears that there is a 60% upside potential for this stock, hovering around the 1,950-1,960 level. Moreover, there is a possibility that the stock may surpass this level. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS NSE:NATCOPHARM ● PE RATIO - The stock's current PE stands at 16.9, slightly higher than the 1-year median PE of 14.2 but lower than the 5-year median PE of 26.3. - With an industry PE of 36.6, the stock appears undervalued. ● PB RATIO - The present PB ratio for this stock stands at 3.96, indicating a slightly high valuation but not reaching overvalued territory. ● DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO - The company's debt to equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that it is nearly debt-free. ● PROFIT & LOSS ANALYSIS - Over the last three years, this stock has experienced a remarkable compounded annual sales growth rate of 25%. - The cumulative profit increase over the past three years has been an impressive 49%, indicating a strong upward trend. - The profit margin has seen a significant boost, rising to 44% from 35% YoY. - The EPS growth for FY24 is remarkable, soaring to 77.5 compared to just 39 in FY23. ● CASH FLOW ANALYSIS - There is a substantial increase in operating cash flow, jumping by almost 43% to 1,212 crore from 849 crore in FY23. ● SHAREHOLDING PATTERN - The promoters have consistently held their stakes at 49.71% over the past three quarters. - Over the last four quarters, FIIs have been steadily increasing their investments, in contrast to DIIs who have been offloading their stakes.
NSE:NATCOPHARMLong
by GoodluckCapital
5
Big Breakout Alert! Negative Momentum in GODREJPROP & ESCORTSGODREJPROP The stock's price has been following an upward trend within a parallel channel. Recently, the stock broke through the lower boundary of the channel with a powerful bearish candle. With pessimistic market sentiment, it is anticipated that the stock price will continue to correct, presenting a chance to take a short position. ESCORTS Following the emergence of the bullish Pole & Flag pattern, the stock experienced a significant upward surge backed by robust momentum. After reaching an all-time high close to the 4,400 level, the stock retraced and eventually formed a Double Top pattern signaling a potential bearish trend. A recent breach of the pattern's neckline to the downside suggests further downside potential for the stock.
NSE:GODREJPROPShort
by GoodluckCapital
DIVISLAB and CHAMBLFERT showing high rise in Future OIDIVISLAB The price has been stuck in a tight range for over a year. Then it broke through its resistance level. Since then, the price has stayed above that point and is rising steadily. A breakout has occurred, and the stock price continues to climb CHAMBLFERT The stock price was gradually rising within a parallel channel. After breaking out of the channel, there was a significant price surge followed by a period of consolidation. Now, the price is attempting to surpass its resistance and continue moving upwards.
NSE:DIVISLABLong
by GoodluckCapital
Realty & Auto: Massive sell-off opens up a chance for shorting!REALTY Following an impressive bull run, the index has begun to consolidate and has taken the shape of a Rounding Top pattern. With significant selling pressure, the index is currently hovering around its trendline support level, which also happens to be the neckline of the Rounding Top pattern. If the trendline is breached, we could potentially witness a correction in the real estate sector. This sell-off presents an opportunity to take short positions in stocks like DLF, Godrej Properties etc. AUTO The automotive industry has experienced a significant increase and is one of the key sectors contributing to the strong rally of Nifty. Following a period of consolidation, a breakout occurred but the index encountered a notable rejection at its all-time high. Following a significant gap, the auto index dropped and is anticipated to decline even further. Given this situation, there is a chance to open short positions in certain stocks such as M&M, Escorts etc.
NSE:CNXREALTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Pharma: Displaying Strength at the Summit(1) The price has been consistently trending upwards over the past year. (2) Following the breakout of the Pole & Flag pattern, the price surged sharply. (3) Subsequently, the price entered an accumulation phase and began consolidating within a Box pattern, which is a positive sign after a strong rally. (4) After 3 months of consolidation, the price finally broke out and started moving upwards. (5) The price is currently at its all-time high and appears poised to continue rising.
NSE:CNXPHARMA
by GoodluckCapital
4
ICICIPRULI & DEEPAKNTR - Breakthrough of the Rounding Bottom ICICI PRUDENTIAL The stock experienced an upward trend, forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern that suggested a bearish outlook. Following a breakdown, the stock price fell sharply and entered a consolidation phase. During this period, the stock exhibited progressively smaller price fluctuations, establishing a series of consolidation bases, each one tighter than the last, formation of a Volatility Contraction Pattern. After breaking through this phase, the price reached an all-time high and is now set to climb even further. DEEPAK NITRITE During the upward trend, the stock price established a Pole & Flag pattern, signaling a continuation of the trend. However, following the breakout, the price underwent a significant consolidation phase, resulting in the formation of a Rounding Bottom pattern. Recently, a breakout has taken place, indicating that the price is poised for an upward movement.
NSE:ICICIPRULILong
by GoodluckCapital
1
Breakout Stocks to Keep An Eye On - Nykaa & Balrampur ChiniNYKAA The stock had been experiencing a significant consolidation period, during which it created an Ascending Triangle pattern. Following a breakout, the price initially surged but encountered resistance around the 195 level, leading to a sharp pullback. Subsequently, the stock price began to rise again but met resistance at the 187 level this time. After a brief consolidation, it developed a Cup & Handle pattern. Recently, a powerful breakout occurred, backed by substantial trading volume, indicating that the price is poised for a significant upward movement. BALRAMPUR CHINI The stock price experienced a significant pullback after it fell below the Rising Wedge pattern. Following this, it entered a prolonged consolidation period, during which it developed an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. After the breakout, the price initially soared but underwent a brief consolidation once more before breaking out again. This movement also marks a breakout from the Rounding Bottom pattern, suggesting substantial upside potential for the stock.
NSE:NYKAALong
by GoodluckCapital
Momentum Trading Picks - Alembic Pharma & Quess Corp.Alembic Pharma The stock encountered several rejections around the 1,130 level, leading to a significant correction in price. Eventually, it found support near the 460 level and began to climb upwards. During this upward movement, a Bullish Pole & Flag pattern emerged in the stock price chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the trend. Following a breakout, the price trended upwards with a minor pullback before recently achieving a breakthrough with strong volume support. Quess Corp The price had been trending upwards within a parallel channel until it broke below, leading to a correction. After that, the stock underwent a consolidation phase before gradually moving upwards. A reversal in the downtrend was indicated by the formation of an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern during this period. The recent strong breakout suggests that the price is poised to continue its upward movement.
NSE:APLLTDLong
by GoodluckCapital
4
Get ready for a price surge with Dr Reddy & TTK Prestige!DRREDDY After the market crash in March 2020, the stock began a steady upward movement and formed a Bullish Pennant pattern. After breaking out, the price surged and encountered resistance multiple times near the 5,550 level. Consequently, the stock price experienced a significant drop and entered a prolonged consolidation phase. During this phase, an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern emerged on the chart. Most recently, a breakout has occurred, causing the stock to move higher. TTKPRESTIG The stock price has developed a Head & Shoulder pattern on the weekly chart. After the pattern breakdown, the price underwent a significant consolidation period and created a Double Bottom pattern, suggesting a potential reversal in the trend. By breaking above the pattern's neckline, the price is now moving upwards with a substantial potential for gains.
NSE:DRREDDYLong
by GoodluckCapital
ONGC Witnesses a Multiyear Breakout - What's Next? When analyzing the monthly chart, it's clear that the stock price has experienced numerous fluctuations. In June '14, the stock reached a high near 315 level before taking a sharp downturn. By March 2020, the stock price had plummeted to just 50 INR. However, from that point, the stock began a strong upward movement with significant volume increase. An ascending triangle pattern appeared on the chart, and the price successfully broke through the pattern to continue its upward trend. Ultimately, the stock managed to surpass its previous resistance. As long as it maintains above the 300 level, the price is likely to continue its upward trajectory.
NSE:ONGCLong
by GoodluckCapital
TCS & Just Dial - Getting Ready for a Bull Run After the market crash in 2020, the stock price experienced a significant upward movement and reached close to the 3,990 level, which was the previous all-time high for the stock. Subsequently, the stock entered a downtrend until the price found support near the 2,900 level. Following this, the stock price began to rise again and reached a new high in March’24 at around the 4,250 level. After a pullback, the stock successfully broke through the neckline of the Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern, which had formed during the entire consolidation phase. If this breakout sustains, we may witness a further price rally in the coming days. The stock price reversed its downward trend by breaking through the Ascending Triangle pattern upwards. After dropping near the 1,150 level, the stock rebounded strongly and started moving upwards. The stock price found support around the 520 level after a significant drop and started climbing. An Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern appeared on the chart during the consolidation phase, signaling a possible trend reversal. Following the breakout, the stock price moved upwards but faced resistance at a previous level. After a brief pullback, the stock price successfully broke through the resistance and continued to climb.
NSE:TCSLong
by GoodluckCapital
Infosys and Atul Ltd. Showing High Rise In Future OIINFY The stock price was strongly rejected near the 1,730 level and experienced a significant drop. Later on, the stock found support near the 1,380 level and started to climb. Once the price broke through its trendline resistance, it made a sharp upward movement and reached its previous resistance area. Due to the rising volume, there is an expectation that the stock could break through the resistance and continue to move upward. Additionally, the MACD indicator is showing strong momentum as it is trading above the zero level. ATUL The stock has been on a downward trajectory, consistently creating lower highs and lows. A recent breakthrough of the parallel channel has been noticed, accompanied by a rise in trading volume. Moreover, the RSI indicated a divergence amidst the downtrend, with the current RSI standing above 70, indicating strong buyer momentum. There is a potential for the price to move upwards from its current position.
NSE:INFYLong
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty FMCG - Price Action Indicates Robust Growth The chart clearly indicates that the index is experiencing a robust uptrend. Earlier, the price formed a bullish Pole & Flag pattern and surged upwards after breaking out. The index encountered a strong rejection near the 58,000 level, leading to a correction and deep consolidation. Despite attempting to surpass the resistance level, the price failed. Following a recent breakout, the price has successfully maintained its position above the breakout level, signalling a positive trend. Additionally, the current RSI is above 60, indicating the strength of the index.
NSE:CNXFMCGLong
by GoodluckCapital
Laurus Labs and Fine Organic - Reversal Breakout Alert! In the past, the stock found strong support around the 450 level, but when the price dropped below this support zone, it experienced a significant decline. The stock started to move upwards within a parallel channel after finding support around the 290 level. A recent bullish candle allowed the price to break through its trendline resistance with strong volume support. The stock also broke through the upper Bollinger Band and has been able to sustain its position above it. With the price showing strong upward momentum, there is potential for an upward movement from the current level. The stock price reached an all-time high of nearly 7,330 before dropping sharply to around 4,100. After the decline, the price entered a consolidation phase and traded in a Box pattern. A breakout has occurred recently, with the stock surpassing its previous range and trying to maintain its position. The rising volume suggests the possibility of an upward movement from the current level.
NSE:LAURUSLABSLong
by GoodluckCapital
Momentum Trading Picks: Welspun Corp & Himadri Speciality Chemic Price went through a significant consolidation after a big rally. Volume completely dried up during the consolidation phase. Price recently broke out strongly, surpassing its resistance area. Rising volume suggests buyers are becoming more interested in this stock. A bullish MACD crossover confirms the strong momentum in price. The price created a symmetrical triangle shape and stayed stable for a while. There was no trading volume during this time. Following the breakout, the price stabilized above the breakout point and then retraced. After a successful retracement, the price is now moving upwards with significant trading volume. A bullish MACD crossover confirms the strong momentum in price.
NSE:WELCORPLong
by GoodluckCapital