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Harmonic Patterns

Primary vs Secondary Market1. Introduction to Financial Markets Before delving into the specifics, it is essential to understand the structure of financial markets. Financial markets are platforms where buyers and sellers trade financial securities such as shares, bonds, and other instruments. They are broadly divided into two categories: Money Market – Deals with short-term instruments (less than one year) like treasury bills, certificates of deposit, and commercial papers. Capital Market – Deals with long-term instruments (more than one year), such as equity shares and debentures. Within the capital market, the primary and secondary markets function as two distinct segments that ensure a continuous cycle of capital mobilization and liquidity. 2. What is the Primary Market? The primary market, also known as the new issue market, is where new securities are created and sold to investors for the first time. It serves as a channel for companies, governments, and other entities to raise fresh capital directly from the public. When a company wants to raise funds for expansion, modernization, or new projects, it issues securities such as shares or bonds in the primary market. The funds raised go directly to the issuing entity, making it an essential source of capital formation. 2.1. Functions of the Primary Market Capital Formation: The primary market helps mobilize savings from investors and channel them into productive investments. Direct Fundraising: Companies can directly raise money from investors without relying on intermediaries like banks. Corporate Growth: It facilitates business expansion, modernization, and diversification by providing access to long-term funds. Government Funding: Governments use this market to issue securities for financing infrastructure and public projects. 2.2. Methods of Raising Capital in the Primary Market Public Issue (IPO and FPO): Initial Public Offering (IPO): When a company issues shares to the public for the first time to get listed on a stock exchange. Follow-on Public Offering (FPO): When an already listed company issues additional shares to raise more capital. Private Placement: Securities are sold to a select group of investors such as financial institutions, mutual funds, or high-net-worth individuals rather than the general public. Rights Issue: Existing shareholders are given the right to purchase additional shares in proportion to their current holdings, often at a discounted price. Preferential Allotment: Shares are issued to specific investors or promoters at a pre-determined price, often used for strategic partnerships or control consolidation. 2.3. Participants in the Primary Market Issuers (Companies, Governments) Investors (Individuals, Institutions, Foreign Investors) Intermediaries (Merchant Bankers, Underwriters, Registrars, Legal Advisors) Regulatory Bodies (SEBI in India, SEC in the U.S.) 2.4. Advantages of the Primary Market Helps in raising long-term funds for business growth. Enhances the company’s public profile after listing. Encourages public participation in industrial development. Promotes economic development through capital mobilization. 2.5. Challenges of the Primary Market High cost of issuing securities (legal, regulatory, and marketing expenses). Complex regulatory compliance procedures. Risk of under-subscription if investor sentiment is weak. Lengthy approval process for public issues. 3. What is the Secondary Market? The secondary market, commonly known as the stock market or aftermarket, is where existing securities are traded among investors after being issued in the primary market. In this market, investors buy and sell securities such as shares, bonds, and debentures among themselves. Unlike the primary market, the issuing company does not receive any funds from these transactions. The secondary market provides liquidity, price discovery, and opportunities for portfolio diversification. 3.1. Functions of the Secondary Market Liquidity Provision: Investors can easily sell their securities whenever they want, making investments more attractive. Price Discovery: Continuous buying and selling determine the market value of securities through supply and demand. Marketability: Securities can be traded quickly and efficiently through organized exchanges. Capital Allocation: Funds move from less productive to more profitable sectors through investor behavior. Economic Barometer: The performance of the stock market reflects the overall economic condition of a country. 3.2. Types of Secondary Markets Stock Exchanges – Organized markets like the NSE (National Stock Exchange) and BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) in India where securities are traded under regulatory supervision. Over-the-Counter (OTC) Markets – Decentralized markets where trading happens directly between parties without a centralized exchange. 3.3. Key Participants in the Secondary Market Investors (Retail, Institutional, Foreign) Stockbrokers and Dealers Stock Exchanges Market Makers Clearing and Settlement Agencies Regulators (e.g., SEBI) 3.4. Advantages of the Secondary Market Provides liquidity and easy exit options for investors. Encourages more participation by reducing investment risk. Promotes transparency through real-time pricing and regulation. Enhances capital allocation efficiency. Supports wealth creation through capital gains and dividends. 3.5. Challenges in the Secondary Market High volatility leading to speculative trading. Market manipulation and insider trading risks. Dependence on investor sentiment and global market movements. Requires strong regulatory oversight to maintain transparency. 4. Interconnection Between Primary and Secondary Markets Though distinct in function, both markets are interdependent. The success of one greatly influences the other: A vibrant secondary market encourages more investors to participate in the primary market, as they know they can later sell their holdings. The price performance of securities in the secondary market affects the pricing of future issues in the primary market. Companies with a strong secondary market performance find it easier to raise capital through follow-on public offerings (FPOs) or rights issues. Thus, both markets work together to maintain liquidity, investor confidence, and capital formation in the economy. 5. Role of Regulatory Authorities In India, both the primary and secondary markets are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). It ensures transparency, fairness, and protection of investor interests. Key regulations include: SEBI (Issue of Capital and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations for primary market. SEBI (Stock Brokers and Sub-Brokers) Regulations and Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements (LODR) for secondary markets. Other important institutions include: NSE and BSE: For trading and listing. NSDL and CDSL: For depository services. Clearing Corporations: For settlement of trades. 6. Importance of Primary and Secondary Markets in Economic Growth Both markets play a vital role in the development of the economy: Mobilization of Savings: Channels idle savings into productive investments. Wealth Creation: Provides opportunities for investors to grow their wealth. Industrial Growth: Enables companies to access funds for expansion. Employment Generation: Increased business activity leads to job creation. Financial Inclusion: Encourages retail investor participation. Efficient Resource Allocation: Funds are directed toward the most productive uses. 7. Modern Developments in Capital Markets Technological and regulatory innovations have revolutionized both markets: Online IPO applications through ASBA and UPI. Algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading in secondary markets. Introduction of REITs and InvITs to diversify investment options. Blockchain and AI-based platforms for greater transparency. Globalization of capital markets through cross-border listings and foreign investments. 8. Challenges and Future Outlook While both markets have evolved significantly, challenges persist: Market volatility due to global uncertainties. Information asymmetry and insider trading. Regulatory compliance becoming complex. Investor awareness and financial literacy gaps. The future, however, appears promising. With better digital infrastructure, stronger governance, and increased retail participation, both primary and secondary markets are expected to play even greater roles in driving economic growth. Conclusion The primary and secondary markets form the twin pillars of the capital market, each performing complementary functions vital for economic prosperity. The primary market fuels growth by providing fresh capital to enterprises, while the secondary market ensures liquidity, investor confidence, and continuous valuation of securities. A well-functioning primary market cannot exist without a robust secondary market—and vice versa. Together, they ensure that capital moves efficiently from savers to investors, driving innovation, industrialization, and wealth creation. As technology advances and regulatory frameworks strengthen, the synergy between these two markets will continue to shape the financial future of nations across the globe.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
Swing Trading SecretsMastering Short-to-Medium Term Market Moves. 1. Understanding the Essence of Swing Trading Swing trading lies between day trading and long-term investing. Day traders open and close positions within a single day, while investors may hold assets for months or years. Swing traders, however, aim to profit from short-term price swings caused by shifts in market sentiment, news, or momentum. The main goal of a swing trader is to identify a stock that is likely to move strongly in one direction — up or down — and enter the trade at the beginning of that move. Traders typically use a combination of technical analysis, volume studies, and trend confirmation tools to spot these opportunities. Key Characteristics of Swing Trading: Holding period: 2 days to 3 weeks. Focus on short-term price trends. Reliance on chart patterns and indicators. Moderate risk and higher flexibility. Works well in volatile markets. Swing trading is ideal for traders who cannot watch the market all day but still want to take advantage of short-term market opportunities. 2. The Secret Foundation: Understanding Market Cycles The first secret of swing trading mastery is understanding market cycles. Every market moves in repetitive phases — accumulation, uptrend, distribution, and downtrend. a. Accumulation Phase This is when smart money (institutional investors) starts buying an asset quietly after a downtrend. The price moves sideways, showing low volatility and volume. Secret tip: Look for subtle increases in volume and higher lows — signs of accumulation before a breakout. b. Uptrend Phase Once accumulation is complete, price begins to rise with increasing momentum. Swing traders thrive here — buying on pullbacks or breakouts. Secret tip: Use moving averages like the 20-day EMA to confirm trend continuation. c. Distribution Phase In this stage, big players start taking profits. The market may move sideways again with false breakouts. Secret tip: Watch for divergences in RSI or MACD — a classic sign of distribution. d. Downtrend Phase Selling pressure increases, creating a bearish phase. Swing traders can profit from short-selling opportunities here. Secret tip: Trade with the trend — look for pullbacks to resistance levels to enter shorts. Understanding where the market stands in this cycle is a hidden key to timing your trades effectively. 3. Technical Secrets of Successful Swing Trading Swing trading is built on the foundation of technical analysis. The most successful swing traders rely on chart patterns, indicators, and price action. a. Chart Patterns Recognizing chart patterns can help predict future price moves. Bullish patterns: Ascending triangle, cup and handle, flag, double bottom. Bearish patterns: Descending triangle, head and shoulders, double top. These patterns signal continuation or reversal of trends, guiding entry and exit points. b. Moving Averages Moving averages smooth price data and reveal the underlying trend. 20-day EMA: Ideal for short-term trend confirmation. 50-day SMA: Used to identify medium-term trend direction. Golden Cross: When 50-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA — strong bullish sign. c. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI measures momentum. Buy when RSI is below 30 (oversold) and starts turning up. Sell when RSI is above 70 (overbought) and begins to fall. d. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) MACD helps identify momentum shifts. Bullish signal: MACD line crosses above the signal line. Bearish signal: MACD line crosses below the signal line. e. Volume Analysis Volume confirms price movement. A breakout with high volume is more trustworthy than one with low volume. Secret tip: Combine volume with candlestick patterns to detect genuine breakouts. 4. Price Action Secrets: Reading the Story Behind Candles Price action is the purest form of market analysis — studying the movement of prices without relying too heavily on indicators. a. Support and Resistance Support is where the price tends to bounce up, while resistance is where it usually faces selling pressure. Secret tip: Strong swing entries occur near these zones with confirmation candles like hammers or engulfing patterns. b. Candlestick Signals Certain candlestick formations indicate strong market sentiment: Bullish engulfing: Reversal signal after a downtrend. Hammer: Shows rejection of lower prices — potential bottom. Doji: Indicates indecision — potential reversal ahead. c. Breakouts and Retests Breakouts above resistance or below support are strong signals. However, waiting for a retest before entry helps avoid fake moves. 5. Risk Management Secrets: Protecting Your Capital No swing trading secret is more powerful than proper risk management. Even with the best analysis, losses are inevitable. The key is to limit losses and let profits run. a. Position Sizing Never risk more than 1–2% of your total trading capital on a single trade. Calculate your position based on the stop-loss distance. b. Stop-Loss Placement Set stop-loss below the most recent swing low (for buy trades) or above swing high (for short trades). Secret tip: Use ATR (Average True Range) to set dynamic stop-losses based on volatility. c. Reward-to-Risk Ratio Always aim for a minimum 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. This means if you risk ₹1000, your target should be at least ₹2000. d. Trailing Stop As the price moves in your favor, use a trailing stop to lock in profits. This ensures you capture bigger moves without exiting too early. 6. Psychological Secrets: Mastering Your Mind Trading psychology often determines success more than strategy. The secret lies in discipline, patience, and emotional control. a. Avoid Impulsive Decisions Don’t trade just because you “feel” the market will move. Wait for confirmation from technical setups. b. Stick to Your Plan Have a predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss for every trade. Avoid changing them mid-trade out of fear or greed. c. Control Overtrading Swing trading doesn’t require multiple trades daily. Fewer, high-quality trades often produce better results. d. Embrace Losses Losses are part of the game. Learn from them instead of chasing revenge trades. e. Journal Every Trade Maintain a detailed trading journal — entry reason, outcome, emotions, and lessons learned. This is one of the most underrated swing trading secrets. 7. Secret Strategies That Work a. Moving Average Crossover Strategy Use the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. Buy when 20 EMA crosses above 50 EMA (bullish crossover). Sell when 20 EMA crosses below 50 EMA (bearish crossover). Combine this with RSI confirmation for accuracy. b. Breakout Pullback Strategy When price breaks a key resistance, wait for a pullback (retest) to enter. This avoids false breakouts and improves entry timing. c. Fibonacci Retracement Strategy Use Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to identify potential pullback zones during a trend. Combine with price action for confirmation. d. Volume Spike Strategy Sudden volume increase indicates strong institutional participation. When volume spikes with a bullish candle, it often signals the start of a big swing. e. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Analyze higher time frames (like daily or weekly) for trend direction and lower time frames (4-hour or 1-hour) for entries. This alignment increases trade success probability. 8. Swing Trading Tools and Platforms a. Charting Platforms TradingView MetaTrader 4/5 Thinkorswim b. Scanning Tools Use screeners to identify stocks showing breakout patterns or high momentum: Finviz TrendSpider StockEdge (for Indian markets) c. News and Data Sources Stay updated with earnings announcements, interest rate decisions, and global events — these can influence swing trades significantly. 9. Swing Trading in Indian Markets In India, swing trading opportunities are abundant due to high market liquidity and volatility in mid-cap and large-cap stocks. Best Sectors for Swing Trading: Banking and Financials (HDFC Bank, SBI, ICICI) IT Stocks (Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra) Energy (ONGC, Reliance Industries) Auto and Pharma sectors Secret Tip for Indian Swing Traders: Focus on F&O stocks with strong volume and price momentum. These tend to show cleaner technical patterns and stronger moves. 10. Common Mistakes and Hidden Lessons Even experienced swing traders make costly mistakes. Recognizing them early can save your capital. Common Mistakes: Ignoring stop-loss or moving it further. Trading against the trend. Overusing leverage. Entering late after a big move. Lack of patience and consistency. Hidden Lessons: Consistency beats intensity. One good trade can make up for multiple small losses. Never trade when emotionally unstable. Backtesting your strategy builds confidence. 11. The Future of Swing Trading: Technology and AI AI-based tools, algorithmic trading, and real-time data analytics are changing swing trading. Predictive models now identify trend reversals faster than ever. However, human intuition and discipline still remain irreplaceable. The future lies in combining data-driven insights with human strategy. Conclusion Swing trading is an art and a science. It demands a sharp eye for patterns, deep understanding of market cycles, strong discipline, and emotional intelligence. By mastering these swing trading secrets, traders can capture lucrative short-term moves while maintaining control over risk. The true secret, however, lies not in finding the “perfect” strategy — but in consistency, patience, and continuous learning. Markets evolve, but principles of discipline and risk management never change. Whether you trade Indian equities or global markets, swing trading rewards those who respect the process and stay committed to mastering it.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
1
Advanced Trading Methods: Mastering Modern Market Strategies1. The Foundation of Advanced Trading Before diving into the methods, it’s essential to understand what makes a trading approach “advanced.” Advanced trading involves: Complex analytical frameworks: Using mathematical and statistical models to identify opportunities. Data-driven decision-making: Reliance on historical and real-time market data. Algorithmic execution: Automating trades for efficiency and precision. Risk-adjusted performance: Focusing on consistent, sustainable returns rather than speculative profits. Behavioral mastery: Understanding and managing human emotions and biases. An advanced trader combines multiple dimensions — strategy, analysis, risk management, and psychology — into a cohesive trading system. 2. Algorithmic and Quantitative Trading a. Algorithmic Trading Algorithmic trading (or “algo trading”) uses computer programs to automatically execute trades based on predefined criteria such as price, volume, and timing. Algorithms help eliminate emotional bias and execute trades faster than human capability. Key types of algorithmic strategies: Trend-following algorithms: Identify momentum patterns using moving averages or breakouts. Mean reversion algorithms: Assume prices will revert to historical averages after deviations. Arbitrage strategies: Exploit temporary price differences between related instruments. Market-making algorithms: Provide liquidity by continuously quoting buy and sell prices. Statistical arbitrage: Use statistical models to detect short-term mispricings between correlated assets. Algorithmic trading dominates global market volumes, with institutions using complex systems that analyze thousands of data points in milliseconds. b. Quantitative Trading Quantitative (quant) trading relies on mathematical modeling and statistical analysis to forecast price movements. Quant traders design models that identify high-probability trade setups. Quantitative models include: Factor models: Evaluate stocks based on fundamental factors like earnings, growth, or volatility. Machine learning models: Use AI to detect nonlinear relationships in large datasets. Time-series models: Predict future price movements from historical trends using ARIMA, GARCH, or Kalman filters. Quantitative trading requires programming knowledge (Python, R, MATLAB) and a strong grasp of probability, calculus, and econometrics. 3. Technical Mastery: Advanced Charting and Indicators a. Multi-Time Frame Analysis Professional traders analyze price behavior across multiple time frames to align long-term trends with short-term setups. For instance, a trader may confirm an uptrend on the weekly chart and then enter trades on the 1-hour chart to optimize timing. b. Advanced Indicators Ichimoku Cloud: Combines support, resistance, and momentum in one view. Volume Profile: Analyzes traded volume at each price level to identify high-liquidity zones. Fibonacci Extensions: Predict potential price targets during strong trends. Bollinger Band Width: Measures volatility expansion or contraction phases. Average True Range (ATR): Quantifies market volatility for dynamic stop-loss placement. c. Harmonic Patterns and Elliott Wave Theory Advanced traders often use harmonic patterns (like Gartley, Bat, and Butterfly) to identify high-probability reversal zones based on Fibonacci ratios. Similarly, Elliott Wave Theory interprets market psychology through wave structures, forecasting long-term cycles of optimism and pessimism. 4. Price Action and Market Structure While indicators are helpful, many professional traders rely heavily on price action — pure price movement without lagging indicators. Key components include: Supply and Demand Zones: Identify institutional order blocks where price reacts strongly. Liquidity Pools: Areas where stop-losses cluster, often targeted by large players. Break of Structure (BOS): A shift in market trend confirmed by price breaking a significant high or low. Order Flow Analysis: Uses volume and bid-ask data to visualize market participant behavior. By mastering market structure, traders can anticipate institutional activity instead of reacting to it. 5. Derivative-Based Trading Methods Advanced traders frequently use derivatives — such as options, futures, and swaps — to manage risk and enhance returns. a. Options Trading Options offer strategic flexibility through structures like: Delta-neutral strategies: Profiting from volatility (e.g., straddles, strangles). Spreads: Combining multiple options to manage directional exposure and cost. Covered Calls and Protective Puts: Hedging long-term investments. b. Futures and Hedging Futures allow traders to speculate on or hedge against price movements in commodities, indices, and currencies. Advanced traders manage leverage, margin requirements, and roll-over costs to maintain efficient positions. c. Volatility Trading Volatility is an asset in itself. Advanced traders use instruments like the VIX index, volatility ETFs, or implied volatility analysis to construct trades that profit from market uncertainty. 6. Statistical and Probabilistic Methods Trading success depends on probability, not certainty. Advanced traders apply statistical techniques to quantify and manage uncertainty. Core techniques include: Monte Carlo simulations: Model potential trade outcomes over thousands of iterations. Backtesting: Testing strategies on historical data to evaluate robustness. Optimization and curve fitting: Fine-tuning parameters without overfitting. Risk-reward ratio and expectancy: Measuring expected profit per trade over time. Sharpe and Sortino ratios: Evaluating risk-adjusted returns. Probability-based thinking helps traders focus on edge and consistency rather than outcome-driven emotions. 7. Automated Trading and Artificial Intelligence AI-driven trading is the frontier of modern finance. Machine learning models can adapt and learn from new data, identifying patterns human traders might miss. Applications of AI in trading: Natural Language Processing (NLP): Analyzing news sentiment and social media for market signals. Reinforcement learning: Algorithms that self-improve through simulated environments. Neural networks: Detecting nonlinear price relationships and predicting future volatility. Robo-advisors: Automated portfolio management systems optimizing asset allocation. AI allows for dynamic, adaptive systems that continuously refine themselves based on performance metrics. 8. Risk Management and Position Sizing Even the best strategy fails without proper risk control. Advanced traders use sophisticated models to preserve capital. Risk control techniques include: Value at Risk (VaR): Estimates potential loss under normal conditions. Kelly Criterion: Determines optimal bet size to maximize long-term growth. Drawdown control: Limiting capital losses through daily, weekly, or cumulative limits. Diversification and correlation analysis: Reducing systemic risk by balancing asset exposure. Position sizing based on volatility, confidence level, and account equity ensures consistent performance and psychological stability. 9. Behavioral Finance and Trading Psychology Human emotions — fear, greed, overconfidence, and loss aversion — are the greatest obstacles to advanced trading success. Advanced traders master: Cognitive discipline: Following systems regardless of emotional impulses. Journaling: Tracking trades to analyze patterns and improve decision-making. Mindfulness and focus: Maintaining calm under market pressure. Probabilistic mindset: Accepting uncertainty as part of the process. Professional performance depends not only on technical skill but also on emotional intelligence and mental resilience. 10. Global and Macro Trading Approaches Global markets are interconnected — interest rates, currency movements, and geopolitical events all impact prices. Advanced traders use macro trading strategies to exploit these relationships. Examples include: Interest rate arbitrage: Trading based on central bank policy differentials. Currency carry trade: Borrowing in low-interest currencies to invest in high-yield ones. Commodities and inflation plays: Using gold or oil to hedge against inflationary trends. Intermarket analysis: Studying how equities, bonds, and commodities influence each other. A strong understanding of macroeconomics enhances timing, positioning, and portfolio management across global markets. 11. Portfolio Construction and Risk Parity Advanced traders think beyond individual trades — they manage portfolios as integrated ecosystems. Modern portfolio techniques include: Risk parity models: Allocating capital based on volatility rather than nominal value. Dynamic rebalancing: Adjusting exposure as market conditions evolve. Correlation clustering: Ensuring diversification across uncorrelated assets. Performance attribution: Measuring which strategies contribute most to returns. This systematic approach maximizes risk-adjusted growth over the long term. 12. The Role of Technology and Infrastructure Modern trading success depends on robust infrastructure. Advanced tools include: Low-latency servers for high-frequency execution. API integrations for data feeds and brokerage automation. Backtesting platforms such as QuantConnect or MetaTrader. Data visualization tools like Tableau or Python dashboards. Access to real-time data, high-quality execution, and cloud-based analytics transforms strategy into actionable performance. 13. Continuous Learning and Strategy Evolution Markets evolve — and so must traders. The best professionals constantly refine their systems. Steps to long-term mastery: Research: Stay updated with financial innovation and emerging technologies. Experimentation: Test new strategies under controlled environments. Mentorship and community: Learn from experienced traders and data scientists. Performance review: Regularly evaluate metrics and adapt. Trading is a lifelong pursuit of improvement and adaptation. Conclusion Advanced trading is not about complexity for its own sake — it’s about building a structured, data-driven, risk-managed, and psychologically stable approach to the markets. The journey from intermediate to advanced trader involves mastering the synergy between technology, analysis, and human behavior. By combining algorithmic precision, quantitative modeling, disciplined psychology, and continuous learning, traders can transform their craft into a professional, scalable, and sustainable enterprise. In the modern financial landscape, knowledge truly is the most powerful form of capital — and advanced trading methods are the foundation upon which lasting success is built.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 05, 2025Hello everyone. I hope you are all having a peaceful day. Today, I am writing to share my Bitcoin short position view as of October 5th. The first basis is the 1.902 CRAB pattern. In a traditional Crab pattern, the 1.618 extension of the XA leg is regarded as the main PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), but in practice, it is often observed that additional extension values such as 1.902XA are formed. This zone is an area where the price, after an excessive extension, tends to reverse sharply, and it is one of the regions within harmonic patterns where strong volatility and reversal signals frequently appear. Currently, Bitcoin is encountering resistance around this 1.902XA level, which increases the probability of a short-term bearish reversal. The second basis is that wave N and wave M are forming a 1:1 length ratio. In other words, both waves are proceeding with equal length, which resembles the AB=CD structure—a fundamental form of harmonic patterns. Such wave symmetry indicates that the market is moving in a consistent rhythm, and when two waves complete with the same length, that point often acts as a reversal signal. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 119,168 USDT. As the chart continues to develop, I will provide updates to this idea to inform you about my position management. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – October 05, 2025Hello everyone. I hope you are all having a peaceful day. Today, I am writing to share my short position perspective on Ethereum as of October 5th. The first basis is the 1.13 Alternate Bat (ALT BAT). The Alternate Bat is a variation of the harmonic pattern established by Scott Carney, and its core principle lies in defining the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) where point D is located at 1.13 times the XA leg (=1.13XA). The convergence of these ratios creates a relatively narrow and reliable retracement (or reversal) zone, so when D is positioned around 1.13XA, it is necessary to carefully observe the potential for a short- or mid-term reversal. The second basis is that an arbitrary wave N forms a 0.618 length ratio (that is, N ≒ 0.618 × M) with another arbitrary wave M. Among Fibonacci ratios, 0.618 (61.8%) is one of the representative standards used in Elliott Wave and harmonic analyses for measuring wave length and retracement. When one wave exhibits approximately 61.8% of another’s length, that point tends to act as a natural retracement or termination zone, and the reliability increases especially when it overlaps with other technical grounds. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 4,415 USDT. As the chart movement unfolds, I will provide updates on position management through revisions to this idea. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
Natural gas as said yesterday more fall pending today done 275Natural gas yesterday said more fall pending today same is done , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver 153000 target hit ,next week 54$ on comex will come Silver buy on dip will continue 54$ will come on comex next week How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver 51.20 target hit then profit booking 54 $ come next week Silver as said earlier 51.20 $ target hit . Silver buy on dip 54$ we will see on next week How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Good will make new ATH next week buy on dip Gold buy on dip recommended bounce from support area , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
As said earlier buy on dip willon gold new ATH next week Gold new ATH will come in next week buy on dop on support , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Part 11 Trading Master ClassWhat Is Option Trading? Option trading is a form of derivatives trading, where investors buy or sell contracts that give them the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (such as stocks, indices, or commodities) at a predetermined price before or on a specific date. Unlike stocks, which represent ownership in a company, options represent a financial contract derived from the price movement of another asset — hence, they are part of the derivatives market. There are two main types of options: Call Options: Give the holder the right to buy an asset at a set price. Put Options: Give the holder the right to sell an asset at a set price. Each option contract involves: Strike Price: The agreed-upon price for buying/selling the asset. Expiry Date: The last date the option can be exercised. Premium: The price paid to buy the option.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
Part 3 Trading Master Class With ExpertsTypes of Option Traders Different traders use options for different purposes. Here’s how: Speculators – Trade options to profit from short-term market moves. Hedgers – Use options to protect their existing investments (like insurance). Income Traders – Sell options regularly to collect premium income. Arbitrageurs – Exploit price differences between spot and derivatives markets. For example, a portfolio manager holding stocks may buy put options to safeguard against sudden market falls. Meanwhile, a retail trader may sell call options to earn regular premium income.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 2 Trading Master Class With ExpertsHow Option Trading Works Let’s take a practical example: Suppose you buy a Nifty 50 Call Option with a strike price of ₹22,000, expiring in one month, by paying a premium of ₹100 per lot (lot size 50). If Nifty moves up to 22,500 before expiry — your call option becomes profitable because you can buy at 22,000 (strike) and sell at 22,500 (market price). If Nifty falls to 21,800 — your option becomes worthless, and you lose only the ₹100 premium. In short, your risk is limited to the premium paid, but your profit potential is unlimited (for call buyers). Similarly, for a put option, profits come when the market goes down.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
NETWEB 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Current Intraday Levels Current Price: ₹4,063.60 Day’s High: ₹4,125.9 Day’s Low: ₹3,821.00 VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): ₹4,034.65 Volume Traded: Approximately 2.4 million shares Market Cap: ₹22,894 crore 52-Week Range: ₹1,251.55 – ₹4,479.00 Circuit Limits: Upper: ₹4,756.30; Lower: ₹3,170.90 The stock has shown a notable rise today, breaking above the ₹4,000 mark and approaching its day high. This movement follows a recent dip to ₹4,014.35, indicating a rebound in investor sentiment
NSE:NETWEBLong
by Knowledgehub
NMDCNMDC in Daily time frame formed crab harmonic pattern Disclaimer Information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Investors are advised to carefully review all materials and consult with a financial advisor considering their own financial situation and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The disclaimer also often includes statements about no guarantees or warranties regarding the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of the information provided and emphasizes that investments can fluctuate in value and there is a risk of loss.
NSE:NMDCShort
by gprakasamgp
Tata Consumer Products Ltd (TATACONSUM)- Analysis Bullish Levels -Above 1122 first target can be around 1187 to 1207 very important level bullish only if sustains above this for 2 weeks tne 1283 to 1351 above this more bullish Bearish levels :- if sustain below 1078 to 1065 then bearish if sustains for 2-3 days then 1050 below this more bearish then 1007 thne 968 good support with SL if 941 and last hope and very strong level 831 with SL of 801 **Consider some Points buffer in above levels **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:TATACONSUM
by PrashantTaralkar
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 10th October 2025Lot of near by levels, it hard to judge important levels when market is closed. I will try my best to judge the important levels. My views for tomorrow is sell on rise. If NIFTY sustain above 25183/85 above this bullish then around 25192/99 then 25206/13 above this more bullish then around 25225/229 strong level and if it comes then watch for around 25252/275 or 25298/311 level above this wait If NIFTY sustain below 25181/178 below this bearish around 25171/169/167 strong level if sustain below this more bearish 25155/153 then 24141/139 then 25113/11 or 25097/83 below this wait Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar
1
Cup & Handle Formation, Pivot Breakout, and Downtrend Line (DTL)This TradingView chart displays a classic cup and handle pattern marked by a rounded lower-level base and a pivot breakout zone. Price consolidates under a descending trendline (DTL), which it recently broke, signaling a potential bullish trend continuation. Moving averages support the ascending momentum after the breakout, while quarterly earnings and financial data reinforce fundamental strength. This setup serves as a prime example of blending technical patterns with fundamental insights for strategic trade entries.
NSE:GARUDA
by TradeTravel_Explore
APOLLOTYRE Price ActionApollo Tyres is currently trading in the range of 479 to 492. The last recorded price was about 487, following a recent day’s high of 491.5 and a low of 479.65. The volume on the last trading day exceeded 5.8 lakh shares, with an average delivery percentage around 50%. The stock is experiencing mild upward price momentum on short-term technicals, with several recent bullish EMA crossovers on daily charts. Financially, the market capitalisation is about ₹30,800 crore. The trailing P/E ratio stands high over 36, while the P/B is just above 2. The EPS has seen a notable YoY decline. Over the last month, price movement has been flat to slightly positive, while medium-term (six months) shows a rise of more than 20%. Returns over the past year remain negative. The 52-week high is 557, and the low is 371. Analyst consensus is positive with several recent buy ratings and a target clustered around the ₹590 level. The overall trend is positive in the short term, supported by technical indicators, while valuation remains elevated.
NSE:APOLLOTYRELong
by KamalKJoshi
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact. Analysis of Core Drivers 1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices. 2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market. 3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid. Trading Strategy Downward Support: Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive. Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged. Upward Resistance: Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum. Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100. Trading Recommendations: We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area. I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100. Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily35753702