GBPUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS On GBPUSD. the weekly fib of the last impulsive leg shows price reacting from 38.2%, suggesting a potential multi-week bullish trend. On 4H, I’ve got a clean sweep + BOS + FVG, so I’m waiting for a deeper correction into my zone around 1.3230 for longs toward the previous weekly high. If that weekly high clears early (before my entry triggers), I’ll reassess the bias.
If the downside leg towards Entry forms any high-quality short setup, I’ll update and consider it.
The long zone aligns with 38.2–50% on the daily fib + OTE of last impulsive move up in 4h , and the equilibrium (50%) of the last 4H downswing—beautiful stacked confluences. This is an A+ / 5-star setup for me. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Setup quality ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Harmonic Patterns
EURUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS weekly bias: Bullish (targeting pwh)
1D bias : Bearish ( targeting pdl)
EU’s Last weekly close is bullish, but daily bias is still bearish. On 15m I’ve got an OTE + sweep + BOS + FVG, so I’m looking for a short from my marked level, targeting the previous daily low. If that low clears before London open, the setup is invalid. If price reaches ~1.15110, I’ll then look for longs toward the previous weekly high.
Only drawback: 4H is bouncing from a discounted zone, but the daily still has room to drop. So I’m aware of the 4H bounce, but the higher-timeframe downside keeps the short valid for now. Let’s see how it plays out.
setup quality rating :⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- okako trading
Nifty Swing/Positional Outlook: Is the Top for the Year Near?View : Cautious on current highs; anticipating a potential short-term top or consolidation.
My End-of-Year Market Thesis
It looks like the Nifty might be forming a significant top for the current year, potentially before the Christmas vacation period fully kicks in. This view is based on the cyclical nature of the market and the expected seasonal reduction in trading volume.
The Big Player Factor : As we approach year-end, many large institutional investors and FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) often take their profits off the table and head for the holidays. This withdrawal of major market participants typically leads to a notable decrease in liquidity and momentum.
Anticipating the Next Move : Without the consistent buying pressure from these "big players," the market will likely do one of two things:
1) A Deep Correction : We could see a sharp, volume-driven decline as domestic traders and profit-takers step in.
2) Consolidation : The index might enter a tight, sideways range at the current elevated levels, waiting for fresh cues.
Watch for key levels marked on chart .. The next significant move will likely be decided when the FIIs and big players return to the market in full force in the first or second week of January.
Disclaimer : This is purely a personal analysis and market outlook. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 8th December 2025If NIFTY sustain above 26186 then 26247/83 above this bullish then around 26371/414 above more bullish this wait
If NIFTY sustain below 26175 below this bearish then 2636/124 support below this more bearish below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty ( bullish tactical approach: buy on dip) The market is anticipated to form a top for this expiry.
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
XAUSD/GOLD 4H SELL PROJECTION 07.12.251. Major Rejection Zone
Price tapped into the Huge Liquidity Collection Zone (yellow zone).
Strong rejection with bearish candlestick formations (Engulfing + Spinning Top).
2. Pattern Confirmation
Double Top formation at Resistance R1–R2.
Neckline broken and candle closed below – confirming trend reversal.
Break of a major triangle pattern also supports bearish continuation.
3. Entry Zone
Entry marked at 4,207.97 zone after retest and bearish confirmation.
Confluence with:
Resistance Rejection
Structure Break
Bearish candle patterns
4. Stop Loss (SL)
SL placed at 4,243.17, above the wick and liquidity grab zone.
5. Take Profit (TP)
Targeting Premium Zone around 4,146.62.
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1 : 2
🎯 Final Sell Projection
Expecting price to drop towards 4,146–4,150 zone after rejection from liquidity and break of structure.
Bearish candlestick confirmation increases probability of continuation move.
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels
🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels
🚫 NO-TRADE zone
🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels
🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels
📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic)
✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart)
The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE.
❌ Why no trade here?
Price is compressing sideways.
No fresh demand or supply.
Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building.
Best area to wait for breakout above or below.
🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
✔ Buy Trigger
Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply
When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms:
Supply removed
Trend continuation
Buyers taking control
🛑 Buy Stop-Loss
Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level:
SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone)
Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout.
🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels
TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350
TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone)
TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues
📌 Why Buy?
Break above previous high
Clean imbalance above (room to move)
Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS)
Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265
🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE.
✔ Sell Trigger
Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand)
This confirms:
Demand removed
Trend shift to bearish
Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range
🛑 Sell Stop-Loss
SL above failed demand zone:
SL = 4,150 – 4,170
🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels
Use the marked blue lines:
TP1 → 3,991
TP2 → 3,952
TP3 → 3,901
TP4 → 3,762 (extended target)
📌 Why Sell?
Break of key structure level (4,096)
Below range → trend continuation short
Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances)
Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation
🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation)
✔ Buy Logic
Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone
Break above 4,265 = buyers win
Price targets previous supply zones
✔ Sell Logic
If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses
Market enters markdown phase
Lower supports become liquidity targets
$AVAX on the Edge — $100 Breakout or $3 Crash?CRYPTOCAP:AVAX Is Approaching a Critical Technical Turning Point: Here’s What the Chart Really Shows
#AVAX is currently trading in a bearish market structure, but the chart is setting up for a major decision zone that could define its long-term trajectory.
Major Resistance Pressure Building
AVAX has tapped the Red trendline resistance 4 times, creating a historically strong barrier.
However, repeated tests have weakened the level, and the next approach, the 5th attempt near the $30 region, carries a significantly higher probability of a breakout.
A confirmed breakout here could shift momentum aggressively, opening the path toward the $100 zone.
Bearish Structure Still Dominant
Price has already lost key support and continues to trade below the $16–$17 zone, which has now flipped into resistance.
This is the first structure level bulls must reclaim to regain momentum.
High-Probability Accumulation Zone
The $10–$8 support zone remains the most critical area on the chart:
👉 June 2021: +1461% rally from this zone.
👉 September 2023: +650% rally within six months.
If AVAX revisits this zone again, it would represent the 3rd historical test, which has previously acted as a powerful accumulation region and could offer strong long-term upside potential.
Critical Breakdown Level
A loss of the $8 support would invalidate the bullish structure and expose AVAX to a potential freefall toward $3–$2, where no major historical support exists.
This is a pure technical-analysis view. Not financial advice. Always DYOR.
NZDCADThe pair remains in a downtrend and overall bearish, but I see a potential counter-trade opportunity. This could set up as a “buy to sell” scenario. I’ll be watching for a possible bounce toward the upside before resuming shorts. First area of interest is around the 0.8100 level, where I’ll wait patiently to see how price reacts.
USDJPYIt looks like price completed its objective just before Friday’s news release, after which USD dropped sharply. From a technical perspective, structure has flipped from bullish to bearish. A clean correction to the upside into the 148.0 supply zone followed by a drop would make perfect sense. I’ll be watching to see if this develops into a swing move.
AUDJPY SHORTSAUDJPY – Short Setup Idea
Bulls are clearly showing weakness — just look at the 4H chart on the right. The climb has been slow and corrective, suggesting a lack of strong momentum to the upside.
Price has recently reached into a 4H supply zone. At first glance, it looked as though the zone was invalidated, but on closer analysis, the move primarily mitigated a past price void/imbalance. For that reason, I still consider the short setup valid.
I am looking for a potential swing opportunity to the downside. My stop-loss is placed above the most recent significant 15-minute high, as a break of that level would invalidate the idea and I would no longer want to be in the trade.
15min Flip did happen.
This setup offers favorable risk-to-reward potential if price respects the supply zone and continues lower.
GBPJPYAs you can see price is clearly in an downtrend. Nice push to the downside, and nice recovery back up. And with 4 points being made ( H,L,HL,LL) downtrend is confirmed. I marked 4H supply that aligns with 202.000 handle.
While on the 4H is a downtrend, on daily timeframe, price is in a bullish leg and now coming up from filling the imbalance. Now if I was paying attention I could get into buys at the bottom and trap the market. However that was not the case.
That can cause price to go higher and break through our supply. But that is why we wait for confirmation on smaller timeframes before entering the trade.
Remember, no confiration - no entry.
USDJPY SELLS📉 USD/JPY – Bearish Trend With Clean Supply Rejection
As we can see, UJ is clearly in a bearish trend, confirmed by the red dots on the left chart, where price continues to create new lows.
Price recently retraced into a well-defined Supply zone around the 156.000 level. On the right chart, structure flipped after tapping the zone, giving a clean confirmation and creating a high-quality entry opportunity.
My first partials are placed at the 15-minute low, with the remaining targets marked by the red lines below.
The struggle of a trader no one talks aboutWhy Chart Reading is Easy, Trading is Hard
Reading a chart is an intellectual activity.
Trading is an emotional activity.
When you're reading a chart, you're using the prefrontal cortex — the rational part of your brain responsible for calculation, logic, pattern recognition. Here, you're objective. You see the trend clearly. You think, “If price breaks this level, I’ll buy. If it fails, I’ll exit.”
But when money is on the line, another part of your brain takes control — the amygdala.
---
The Amygdala: The Trader's Hidden Enemy
The amygdala is the ancient survival system of the brain. It helped humans run from tigers, stay alert to threats, and survive danger.
To the amygdala, losing money = threat to survival.
So when price goes slightly against you, even if it’s normal market noise, the amygdala screams:
• EXIT! YOU’RE IN DANGER!
• WHAT IF IT CRASHES?
• WHAT IF YOU LOSE EVERYTHING?
Suddenly, the same breakout you trusted now looks like a bull trap.
A healthy pullback looks like a reversal.
A small red candle feels like the start of a collapse.
You don’t see the chart anymore.
You see fear.
The brain starts creating patterns that don’t exist — just like seeing shapes in clouds. That’s why traders cut winners early, hold losers too long, chase entries, hesitate to click buy, and exit at the worst time.
This is not lack of knowledge.
This is biology.
---
Junk Food and Trading: The Same Battlefield
Think of junk food.
Most people know it’s unhealthy. They know what to eat and what to avoid. They can explain calories, fat, insulin spikes — they’re logical about it.
But late at night, when emotions rise, cravings hit.
A samosa, burger, or chips suddenly look irresistible.
Thoughts change like this:
Before:
"I shouldn't eat junk."
During craving:
"One bite won't harm."
"I’ll start eating clean tomorrow."
"I worked hard today — I deserve this."
This is the same brain mechanism.
• Rational brain knows the correct decision
• Amygdala creates justification to satisfy emotion
Charts work the same way.
When you don’t have skin in the game, you’re rational.
When you're holding a live trade, your amygdala creates excuses, fears, hope — stories that blind you.
You begin to see a bullish chart as bearish, or see reversal even when it doesn’t exist. Just like junk food — you convince yourself into the wrong decision.
Not because you're stupid.
Because you're human.
---
So How Do You Beat This?
You don’t fix it by reading more books or analyzing more charts.
You fix it by training your emotional system, not just your analytical one.
Professional traders aren’t better at reading charts — they're better at managing what their mind does after entering a chart.
The goal is not to eliminate emotions.
The goal is to act despite them.
---
Final Thought
Charts are easy to read.
But trading them requires you to fight the most ancient part of your biology.
When logic meets money,
the market is no longer outside —
the real market is inside your brain.
Win there, and price will follow.
$PEPE TA Update: What PEPE Head & Shoulder Pattern Say?CRYPTOCAP:PEPE TA Update: What PEPE Head & Shoulder Pattern Say?
Head & Shoulders = Bearish
70% retracement possible ( Neck Line Support Broken )
Key Support $0.000006, Now Strong neckline support became strong resistance
Below NeckLine Support = 50-70% drop to $0.00000150
Hold & reclaim $0.000006 = bullish Reversal
NFA & DYOR
Muthoot Finance Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#MUTHOOTFIN trading above Resistance of 3743
Next Resistance is at 4422
Support is at 3007
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Part 2 Intraday Master Class How Beginners Should Approach Options
For beginners:
Start with index options (Nifty/BankNifty) – deep liquidity.
Avoid naked selling – too risky.
Focus on simple strategies like:
Buying Calls/Puts
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Always trade with a clear stop-loss.
Understand Greeks before complex trades.
Keep position size small in the beginning.
Part 1 Intraday Master Class Risks in Options Trading
Although options offer leverage, they come with risks:
1. Time Decay (Theta Loss)
Options lose value as expiry approaches.
2. Volatility Crush
Premiums drop sharply when IV falls.
3. Unlimited Loss for Sellers
Selling naked calls/puts is extremely risky.
4. Liquidity Risk
Illiquid options have high spreads, causing slippage.
5. Sudden Market Swings
Gaps and news events can invalidate strategies.
Proper risk management is essential.
Muthoot Finance Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#MUTHOOTFIN trading above Resistance of 3077
Next Resistance is at 3743
Support is at 2498
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
DOMS is in a bullish continuation setupDOMS Industries is offering a clean range‑breakout swing setup with defined supports and two upside objectives, suitable for a 2–6 week holding period if momentum sustains
Setup overview
Structure: Stock is trading above primary support ₹2,488 and secondary support ₹2,430, consolidating just below the resistance band around ₹2,640–2,650 on the daily chart.
Bias: As long as price holds above ₹2,430, the broader post‑IPO uptrend and recent higher‑low structure remain intact, favouring a bullish breakout continuation play.
Trade plan (conservative breakout)
Entry: Buy on a daily close above ₹2,646 with strong volume (resistance breakout confirmation).
Stop-loss: ₹2,488 on a closing basis (below primary support and recent swing lows).
Targets:
Target 1: ₹2,765 (primary target / mid‑range supply).
Target 2: ₹2,890 (full target just below previous higher band).
Reward–risk: From ₹2,646 entry, downside to SL ≈ ₹160 (~6%), upside to T1 ≈ ₹120 (~4.5%) and to T2 ≈ ₹245 (~9%), so partial booking at T1 and running balance to T2 keeps effective R:R attractive.
Alternate plan (buy on dip to support)
Entry zone: ₹2,500–2,520 near current price if the stock pulls back intraday while still closing above ₹2,488.
Stop-loss: ₹2,430 closing basis (secondary support).
Targets: Same T1 ₹2,646, then ₹2,765 and ₹2,890; once T1 is hit, trail SL to just below ₹2,580 and then below each higher swing low.
So, the fundamental picture (24% revenue growth, ~₹240–250 crore PAT run‑rate) supports taking trades towards ₹2,765–2,890, but the 60–70x PE band argues for: smaller position size, strict SL at ₹2,430–2,488, and systematic profit‑taking as price climbs through your targets.
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