Silver hold buy trade for Monday upmove will continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Silver trading at ₹156,850, holding firm above ₹156,500.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹156,500 / ₹155,800 / ₹155,200.
- Resistances: ₹157,200 / ₹157,800 / ₹158,500.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹156,500; corrective pullback risk below ₹155,800.
Harmonic Patterns
Gold mcx hold buy trade for Monday upmove will continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6
Gold XAUUSD retracement done AI tool showing upmove continued Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
HBL Engineering Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#HBLENGINE trading above Resistance of 1020
Next Resistance is at 1332
Support is at 759
Here is previous chart:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NATURALGAS - Approaching Harmonic CRAB PRZ (Short Term)
TF: 15 Minutes
CMP: 4.6464
Please note that this view is ONLY for the short term as the TF is 15 minutes. So plan your trade accordingly.
The ideal pattern target for the PRZ is 1.618 fib extension (of the XA leg) at 4.7740 and we should be expecting at least 50% pullback from that level.
If you are long, trail you SL strictly.
If you intend to play short here, better to wait for the price to reach and react at the PRZ zone and decide with better RR
Details are explained in the chart for better understanding.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Divergence Secrets What Are Options?
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) on or before a certain date (called expiry). There are two types of options:
Call Option – gives the right to buy.
Put Option – gives the right to sell.
The person who buys an option pays a fee known as the premium. The seller (also called the option writer) receives this premium and has the obligation to carry out the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise it.
Part 2 Intraday Trading Master ClassWhy Option Trading Is Growing Rapidly in India
In recent years, India has seen an explosive rise in options trading due to:
Weekly expiries (more opportunity)
Low entry capital
High liquidity in BankNifty and Nifty options
Rise of online brokerages
Wide availability of market data and tools
Social media awareness
Because of the leverage and excitement options offer, many new traders are drawn to them—though disciplined ones survive longer.
Part 1 Intraday Trading Master ClassWho Wins More—Option Buyers or Sellers?
Option buyers have limited risk and unlimited reward, but their probability of success is lower because:
Time decay works against them.
They need strong directional movement within a short time.
Option sellers (writers) have limited profit but higher probability of winning because:
Time decay works in their favor.
Markets stay range-bound more often than they trend strongly.
Thus, professional traders often prefer option selling strategies like:
Iron condor
Straddle
Strangle
Credit spreads
Covered calls
Retail traders, on the other hand, prefer buying options due to lower capital requirements.
Learn Candle PatternsCandlestick patterns are one of the most important tools in technical analysis, used by traders around the world to understand market psychology, predict price movement, and identify buying or selling opportunities. Each candle on the chart tells a story—who is in control (bulls or bears), the strength of the price move, and the potential reversal or continuation of the trend. When combined into patterns, candlesticks offer powerful signals that help traders make better decisions.
A single candlestick is made of four data points: open, high, low, and close. The body represents the open-to-close range, while wicks (shadows) show the highs and lows. Bullish candles generally close above the open, and bearish candles close below the open. Understanding this basic structure is essential before analyzing patterns.
Candlestick patterns are broadly categorized into reversal patterns and continuation patterns. Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend, while continuation patterns suggest the existing trend is likely to continue. These patterns can be single-candle, double-candle, or multi-candle formations.
WIPRO 1 Week Time Frame🔍 Key levels
Current price (approx): ₹ 236.49.
Recent weekly low zone / support: around ₹ 235–238. (Recent lows noted ~₹ 236.00)
Near-term resistance / recent highs: around ₹ 243–245.
Technical sentiment: The 1-week technical rating from one source shows a “Sell” bias.
🎯 Implication for the next week
If WIPRO holds above the support ~₹235-238, it could attempt a bounce toward ~₹243-245.
If support breaks below ~₹235, next downside risk could open up (so watch for a break).
Because sentiment is weak (Sell bias), expect any rebound to be modest unless strong catalyst appears.
TECHM 1 Week TIme Frame 📌 Current snapshot
The latest quoted price is around ₹1,442-₹1,451.
The 52-week range: low ~ ₹1,209 and high ~ ₹1,807.
On its daily chart, the stock is trading below its 52-week high and closer to recent support zones.
🎯 Potential trade / strategy scenarios
Bullish trigger: Break above ≈ ₹1,470 with volume → could open the way towards ~₹1,500+.
Bearish trigger: Break below ≈ ₹1,430-₹1,440 convincingly → risk of drop to ~₹1,395 or even ~₹1,350.
Range scenario: If it continues to trade between ~₹1,440-₹1,470 without breakout, then expect consolidation (sideways moves).
F&O (Futures and Options) Trading1. What Are Derivatives?
Futures and Options are derivative instruments, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset. This underlying can be:
Stocks
Indices (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY)
Commodities
Currencies
The underlying’s price movement directly influences the F&O contract.
2. What Are Futures Contracts?
A Futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specific future date. Both parties are obligated to fulfill the contract.
Key Features of Futures
Obligation: Buyer must buy, seller must sell.
Standardized: Lot size, expiry date, and price movement rules are fixed by the exchange.
Margin Required: Traders don’t pay full contract value; they pay a margin (~10–20%), which offers leverage.
Daily MTM: Profits or losses are settled daily through Mark-to-Market.
Example
If you buy NIFTY Futures at 22,000 and NIFTY rises to 22,200, you gain 200 points × lot size.
If NIFTY falls, you face losses.
Where Futures Are Used
Speculation: To profit from price movements
Hedging: To protect portfolios from adverse market moves
Arbitrage: To profit from price differences between spot and futures markets
Futures are powerful but risky due to high leverage.
3. What Are Options?
An Option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation*, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price before (or on) expiry.
Two Types of Options
Call Option (CE) – Right to buy
Put Option (PE) – Right to sell
Two Sides of Options
Buyer (Holder): Pays premium, risk limited
Seller (Writer): Receives premium, risk can be unlimited
Strike Price
The price at which you may buy or sell the underlying.
Premium
The price paid by option buyers.
4. How Option Buyers Make Money
Call Buyer
Profits when underlying price goes above strike price + premium.
Put Buyer
Profits when underlying price goes below strike price – premium.
Buyers have limited loss (premium) and unlimited profit potential.
5. How Option Sellers Make Money
Sellers receive the premium upfront.
They profit when:
Price does not move beyond breakeven
Option expires worthless
Time decay eats option value
But sellers face unlimited loss risk, especially in naked selling.
That’s why option selling must be done with proper hedging and risk management.
6. Expiry and Settlement
F&O contracts expire on:
Weekly expiry: Every Thursday (Index options)
Monthly expiry: Last Thursday of every month
After expiry, contracts settle based on closing prices of the underlying.
7. Margin and Leverage
Futures require margin to control large positions.
Example:
NIFTY lot size: 50
NIFTY at 22,000 → Contract Value = 11,00,000
Margin required ≈ ₹1,40,000
This leverage amplifies gains and losses.
Options buyers pay only the premium, no margin.
Options sellers must pay heavy margins because of high risk.
8. Why Traders Use F&O?
A. Hedging
Investors use F&O to protect their portfolios.
Example:
If you own Reliance shares, you can buy a Put Option to hedge downside risk.
B. Speculation
Traders try to profit from price movements using leverage.
Example:
Buy BANKNIFTY 500-point movement with small capital by using options.
C. Arbitrage
Exploiting price differences between:
Spot and Futures
Option prices (mispricing)
Arbitrage is low-risk and often executed by institutions.
9. Option Pricing Factors
Option premiums are affected by:
1. Intrinsic Value
Value if exercised today.
2. Time Value
More time → higher premium.
3. Volatility
Higher volatility → higher premium.
4. Interest Rates
Small effect, but important for indices.
5. Demand/Supply
Market sentiment impacts prices.
The most important factors in India’s F&O market are volatility and time decay.
10. Greeks: The Heart of Options Trading
1. Delta
Measures price sensitivity.
Call Delta: 0 to 1
Put Delta: 0 to –1
2. Gamma
Rate of change of Delta.
3. Theta
Time decay.
Option buyers hate Theta; sellers love it.
4. Vega
Effect of volatility on premium.
5. Rho
Effect of interest rates (least used).
Understanding Greeks is essential for advanced F&O trading.
11. Popular F&O Strategies
Directional Strategies
Long Call
Long Put
Short Futures
Long Futures
Non-Directional Strategies
Straddle
Strangle
Iron Condor
Butterfly
Hedging Strategies
Protective Put
Covered Call
Collar Strategy
Traders use these based on market conditions and risk appetite.
12. Risks in F&O Trading
1. Leverage Risk
Small price movements can cause huge losses.
2. Unlimited Loss in Option Selling
Selling naked options is extremely risky.
3. Margin Shortfall
If losses exceed margin, broker issues margin calls.
4. Time Decay
Options buyers lose value every day.
5. Volatility Crush
After major events (budget, result days), volatility drops, premiums fall rapidly.
13. Benefits of F&O Trading
1. High Liquidity
Especially in NIFTY and BANKNIFTY.
2. Hedging Power
Protects portfolio from adverse moves.
3. Leverage
Makes it possible to trade large positions with moderate capital.
4. Strategy Flexibility
Works in bull, bear, and sideways markets.
5. Potential for High Returns
When used correctly.
14. F&O in Indian Markets
India is one of the world’s largest F&O markets due to:
High retail participation
Weekly indexes options
Attractive margins
High volatility in indices
Index Options (NIFTY & BANKNIFTY) dominate over stock options.
15. How to Trade F&O Safely
Use stop-loss always
Avoid naked option selling
Stay aware of global markets
Track volatility (India VIX)
Use hedged strategies
Do not overleverage
Maintain discipline
Book profits regularly
Conclusion
F&O trading is a powerful tool for traders and investors, offering leverage, hedging benefits, and the ability to profit from different market conditions. However, F&O trading carries significant risk, especially due to leverage, time decay, and volatility. With proper risk management, strategy, and knowledge of options Greeks, traders can use F&O to enhance returns and protect their portfolios. For beginners, understanding the basics and practicing with small positions is crucial before jumping into advanced strategies or large trades.
IIFL 1 Week View📊 Current snapshot
Last quoted price: approx ₹540.75 (as of 11 Nov 2025).
1-week return: ~ +0.09%.
52-week high / low: ~ ₹559.75 / ~ ₹279.80.
🔍 1-Week level view
Given the current price and recent behaviour, here are some approximate support/resistance zones for the coming week:
Support zone: around ₹ 520-530. (if price dips, this may be an area where buyers step in)
Resistance zone: around ₹ 555-560. (near the recent high end of the range)
Neutral range: ~₹ 530-550 — staying in this band if no strong momentum emerges.
Upside breakout scenario: if it convincingly breaks above ~₹ 560, the next target may be ~₹ 570-580.
Downside break scenario: if it falls below ~₹ 520, it could test ~₹ 500 or lower in the short term.
⚠️ Important caveats
These levels are approximate and depend on market flow, volume, sector news.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell; treat as informational only.
NBFC stocks like IIFL can be sensitive to credit/regulation news, which can quickly shift the technicals.
The “1-week” view means the horizon is short; volatility could cause levels to be breached.
TATASTEEL 1 Week View🔍 Current context
The stock is trading around ₹ 176–177 (as of mid-Nov 2025).
On a weekly basis, technical indicators suggest a mixed to weak bias: for example, on daily timeframes many moving averages and indicators show “Sell” signals.
On the weekly timeframe (Moneycontrol data) the moving averages, MACD, RSI etc are showing outperform (“bullish”) signals.
Key support/resistance pivot levels:
Resistance (Classic) ~ ₹ 185.31, ₹ 189.25, ₹ 194.40
Support (Classic) ~ ₹ 176.22, ₹ 171.07, ₹ 167.13
52‐week high ~ ₹ 186.94, 52‐week low ~ ₹ 122.62
🎯 1-Week Trading Levels & Potential Strategy
Given the above, here are plausible levels and scenarios for the next week:
Upside target: If the stock picks up momentum, a breakout above ~ ₹ 180-185 opens the way toward ~ ₹ 189-190 (resistance).
Downside risk: If weakness persists, a drop below ~ ₹ 176 could test support around ~ ₹ 171–172, and potentially down to ~ ₹ 167.
Key trigger level: The ~ ₹ 176 region is a hinge. Holding above gives chance for upside; failing it shifts the bias downward.
⚠️ Caveats
A 1-week timeframe is quite short; factors such as global steel demand, raw material costs, and domestic policy can impact quickly.
Technicals are only one piece of the puzzle — fundamentals, news, sector dynamics matter.
The conflicting signals (daily weak vs weekly stronger) mean the stock may trade sideways or range-bound in the short run.
Event-Driven and Earnings Trading1. What Is Event-Driven Trading?
Event-driven trading is a strategy built around identifiable catalysts that cause sudden price movements. Traders analyze upcoming events, estimate the market reaction, and position themselves before or after the event.
Typical Events That Move Markets
Earnings announcements
Macroeconomic data releases – GDP, CPI, PMI, payrolls
Central bank decisions – rate hikes, policy statements
Corporate announcements – mergers, acquisitions, buybacks
Regulatory changes
Product launches & strategic updates
Geopolitical events – elections, wars, sanctions
Commodity inventory reports – crude oil, natural gas, metals
Event traders must understand how these triggers affect sentiment, volatility, and liquidity.
2. Why Event-Driven Trading Works
Events catch the market unprepared. Most traders react emotionally. Institutions reposition portfolios. Algorithms trigger stop-loss cascades.
This creates:
Temporary price inefficiencies
Gaps between expectation and reality
Large moves driven by volume spikes
High volatility that offers fast profits
Event trading is attractive because you know when the event will occur, unlike general price prediction where timing is uncertain.
3. Core Approaches in Event-Driven Trading
There are three main ways to trade events:
(A) Pre-Event Trading (Positioning Before the Event)
You take a position based on expectations.
Example:
If a company historically beats earnings, traders may buy before the results.
Advantages
Reduced risk because price elasticity is known
Follows historical patterns
You set clear risk parameters
Disadvantages
If expectations fail, price can gap sharply
Requires strong data analysis
(B) Intraday Event Trading (Trading During the Event)
This involves trading the reaction as the event unfolds.
For example:
Fed meeting volatility
GDP release
Corporate earnings call
Key benefit:
You trade the actual response, not the prediction.
(C) Post-Event Reaction Trading
The safest and most reliable approach.
You let the dust settle, wait for direction clarity, and then trade.
Why it works:
Market overreacts initially. Then a more realistic price trend develops.
4. Understanding Earnings Trading
Earnings trading is the most popular event-driven strategy worldwide. Every quarter, listed companies declare their financial results, providing enormous trading opportunities.
Key Earnings Metrics
EPS (Earnings Per Share)
Revenue growth
Margins
Guidance (future outlook)
Debt & cash flow
Sector performance
But profits in earnings trading come not from what the company reports—but from how the market reacts.
5. Pre-Earnings Trading Strategies
(A) Expectation vs Reality Play
Stocks move based on expectations priced in before earnings.
If expectations are too high, even good earnings cause a drop.
(B) Historical Pattern Analysis
Some stocks behave consistently around earnings:
Apple and Amazon often see extreme volatility
Banks trade strongly on NIM expectations
IT companies react primarily to guidance
(C) Options Trading Before Earnings
Popular strategies:
Straddle (volatility play)
Strangle
Iron condor
Covered call
These strategies profit from volatility crush or price spikes.
6. Trading the Earnings Reaction
(A) Gap Up / Gap Down Breakouts
If a stock gaps up with strong volume after positive earnings, it typically continues higher.
Rules for confirmation:
Volume 2–3× average
Breakout above resistance
No immediate sell-off
Gap-downs behave similarly in the opposite direction.
(B) Trend Continuation Setup
After earnings, if a stock establishes a clear direction for 30–60 minutes, the trend usually continues for the day or week.
(C) Fade the Overreaction
Markets sometimes overreact.
Example:
Stock drops 10% on earnings but fundamentals remain solid.
Institutions start buying the dip.
Fading the panic move becomes profitable.
7. Key Skills Required for Event-Driven & Earnings Trading
To trade events successfully, you need:
1. Fundamental Understanding
Know:
Why the event matters
What outcome is priced in
How the result compares to forecasts
2. Technical Analysis
Focus on:
Support & resistance
Volume profile
Breakout levels
Trend confirmation
Opening range
3. Volatility Management
Events bring volatility.
You must:
Use tight stop losses
Reduce position size
Avoid emotional entries
4. Risk Management
The most important element.
Successful event-driven traders always:
Risk 1–2% per trade
Avoid overleveraging
Accept gaps and slippages
8. Tools Used by Event-Driven Traders
Professional traders rely on:
Economic calendars (for macro events)
Earnings calendars
Volatility indicators
Options implied volatility (IV)
Volume and order flow analysis
Live news feeds
Pre-market scanners
These tools help identify catalysts early and plan trades.
9. "Trade for Success" Framework for Event & Earnings Trading
To consistently profit, follow this structured approach:
Step 1: Identify the Event
Look for high-impact events with predictable timelines.
Step 2: Study Past Behavior
Analyze the stock’s or asset’s previous reactions to similar events.
Step 3: Analyze Market Expectations
What the market expects determines the reaction more than the event itself.
Step 4: Plan Scenarios
Prepare three possible outcomes:
Positive surprise
In-line results
Negative surprise
And plan trades for each.
Step 5: Use Controlled Position Sizes
Never go all-in on events.
Step 6: Attack Only High-Quality Setups
Trade only when:
Momentum is clear
Volume confirms
Trend sustains
Market sentiment supports
Step 7: Execute With Discipline
Event trading is fast-paced—no hesitation.
Step 8: Exit Strategically
Lock profits early. Avoid greed.
10. Common Mistakes to Avoid
Overtrading during events
Ignoring the guidance in earnings
Trading purely based on news headlines
Entering without confirmation
No stop-loss planning
Letting emotions dictate actions
Avoid these to achieve consistent success.
Conclusion
Event-driven and earnings trading is one of the most powerful ways to profit from the stock market. Events create volatility, volatility creates opportunity, and opportunity creates profit—if traded with discipline.
Success lies not in predicting the event, but in understanding market expectations, managing risk, and trading the reaction with precision. With the right preparation, structured planning, and emotion-free execution, event-driven trading can become a reliable, repeatable, and highly profitable approach.
JSWSTEEL 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Key Levels
Support zone: ~ ₹1,175–₹1,158 (some analyses list support at ~₹1,175, ~₹1,168, ~₹1,158)
Immediate resistance zone: ~ ₹1,192–₹1,209 (resistance at ~₹1,192, ~₹1,202, ~₹1,209)
Pivot point (daily-style): ~ ₹1,070.90 (from one pivot table)
📌 My commentary
The chart suggests if the price falls below ~₹1,175–₹1,158, further downside risk may increase in the short term.
On the upside, a breakout above ~₹1,200–₹1,209 could signal upside momentum building.
Because the pivot (~₹1,070) is significantly lower than current prices in many analyses, it may be less relevant for very short-term trades but still a longer-term structural reference.
NIFTY getting rejected from BAT PRZ - To test 25730TF: 15 MInutes
Shared Sensex chart earlier today on this formation..
Price is getting rejected from the PRZ of the Harmonic Bat Pattern.
We could expect 50% pullback as per the set up, and the 50% retracement is placed at 25730
The PRZ also happens to be 1.618% fib extension from the lows, so, if one wants to consider it as a 3rd wave target..
Ideally, we could expect one more leg up to go past 26K after this correction (in EW terms), assuming, we have completed 3 and 4th in play (to end at 25700-25750 range)
Finally, the 25750 zone GAP needs to be filled sooner or later.. which, confluences with the Harmonic/EW targets.
lets see how the price unfolds in the coming sessions..
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
ONGC 1 Day Time Frame 🎯 Key levels to watch on the 1-day chart
Support zone: ~ ₹ 245-243 region (falls in line with support zones and moving average base)
Near support: ~ ₹ 248-250 (if price returns toward pivot/support)
Resistance zone: ~ ₹ 253-257 region (prior resistance, pivot R1, chart resistance).
If ONGC breaks above ~₹ 257 with conviction, next higher resistance might be ~ ₹ 260+ (depending on trend).
If ONGC breaks down below ~₹ 243 (support zone) with volume, possible further drop toward ~₹ 241 or ~₹ 225 in longer term.
Bank Nifty 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Current snapshot
Index value: ~ ₹ 58,380.
Recent daily range: approx ₹ 58,050 to ₹ 58,467.
Technical momentum indicators: On the daily timeframe, moving averages are all signalling “outperform”.
📈 Key support & resistance levels
From recent technical commentary:
Resistance 1: ~ ₹ 58,467
Resistance 2: ~ ₹ 58,613.80
Support 1: ~ ₹ 58,188.10
Support 2: ~ ₹ 57,611.50
Additional broader support zone: ~ ₹ 58,000-58,150; a break below opens risk to ~ ₹ 57,700.
NYKAA 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Current price & basic data
Last close ~ ₹256.95.
Intraday range: ~ ₹255.03 to ₹258.60 (based on current session)
52-week range: ~ ₹154.90 (low) to ₹268.25 (high).
🎯 My 1-Day level suggestion
Resistance: ~ ₹260 to ₹265 (if price rises above ~₹257-₹258 today)
Support: ~ ₹250 to ₹252 (if price falls from current)
If I were trading intraday: I’d wait for a clear breakout above ~₹260 with volume for a long, or breakdown below ~₹250 for a short/exit.
bearish retest I warned on Oct31 played out EXACTLY as projectedThe bearish retest I warned about on Oct 31 played out EXACTLY as projected
I clearly said CRYPTOCAP:BTC would dump again after filling the FVG at $106K–$107K and that’s exactly what happened.
BTC dropped from $107K → $98K (-9%) and from our retest entry, we’re now 15% in profit.
Hope you enjoyed the analysis and booked gains.
Now watch the 0.5–0.618 FIB zone closely.
✔️ If it holds → strong bounce possible
❌ If it fails → BTC could slide below $80K
I’ve been warning about this dump since BTC was above $120K+.
Structure always wins.
NFA & DYOR
USDCHF MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.






















