NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 9th December 2025Only few bullish levels (without buffer) are marked on chart 26033/56 seems to be make or break level.
If NIFTY sustain below 25938 below this bearish then 25892/74 support below this more bearish then 25843/30 strong level this is the same price were market made open= low on 26th nov very very strong level and last hope 25761 below this wait
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip) The market is anticipated to form a floor (bottom).
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Harmonic Patterns
RENDER will hit $15?CRYPTOCAP:RENDER Technical Update
Price is in a bearish corrective phase and currently reacting at the 0.618 Fib zone ($1.55–$1.25), A key area for potential bullish reversal. Holding this zone increases the probability of a strong upside continuation toward $4.6 / $8 / $13 / $20.
If this support breaks, the next major demand lies at the 0.786 Fib level (~$0.84), considered the optimal accumulation zone before any trend shift.
Key Zones:
0.618 Support: $1.55–$1.25
0.786 Support: $0.84
Targets: $4.6 / $8 / $13 / $20
NFA Always DYOR
USDJPY MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS USDJPY’s long-term and daily trend remain bullish, and today’s candle is closing strong above the 10 EMA—clear momentum resuming after the corrective pullback. On 15m I’ve got a clean sweep + BOS + FVG. I’m waiting for a pullback into my level during Asia/Frankfurt/London. First target: previous day’s high; second: 156.180.
If the previous day’s high clears before my entry triggers, the setup becomes invalid and I’ll reassess. The entry also lines up with a 4H flip zone where former resistance may act as support. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Setup quality ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Crude oil mcx still in range buy on dip 5150 amd sell 5420-5450Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Crude Oil MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟢 ₹5,423.00/BBL (Reference: Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (Approx. +0.74% from previous close)
Current Trade 🟢 Expansion Phase (Bullish Breakout) Active
SMC Structure 🟢 Short-term Bullish (Decisive Breakout from Multi-month Descending Trendline and resistance, confirming a structural shift)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Supply/Trap Zone: ₹5,433 - ₹5,480 (Immediate overhead resistance/Short-term liquidity target)
Demand/Liquidity Zone: ₹5,303 - ₹5,350 (Previous Resistance now acting as major support/Order Block)
Probability 🟢 High (70% probability for upward trend continuation towards ₹5,520)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟢 High (Strong confluence of technical breakout and fundamental support)
Max Pain ₹5,400 (Options Max Pain for current weekly expiry)
DEMA Levels 🟢 Bullish (Price has reclaimed and is trading above key DE-MAs)
Supports Pivot: ₹5,362.00, S1: ₹5,326.66, S2: ₹5,305.27 (Key structural support)
Resistances R1: ₹5,433.00, R2: ₹5,520.00, R3: ₹5,602.00
ADX/RSI/DMI ADX (14): 🟢 > 25 (Trend Strength is improving)
+DI (14): 🟢 Dominant (Strong Bullish Direction)
RSI (14): 🟡 ~48.00 (Neutral, but ample room for upside)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate/High (Price fluctuation expected near breakout levels)
Source Ledger MCX/CME/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (Increased Call & Put OI near ATM suggests active participation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.47 (Active Strike PCR) / 0.79 (Overall Dec Expiry OI PCR): (Mixed/Bullish in short-term options, but slightly bearish in overall OI)
VWAP Price is trading above the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟢 High (High Volume accompanying the breakout)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (ATM IV: 10.47%, in line with historical volatility)
Options Skew Implied bullish bias based on Put OI accumulation
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Global WTI data suggests net long speculative buying)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral (Decoupled from Nifty/equity indices)
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🟢 Bullish (Sentiment improving post-breakout)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟢 Buy-side pressure (Confirmed by research data)
Delta 🟢 Positive (Overall directional bias is up)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟢 Positive (Sustaining higher levels)
Market Phase 🟢 Expansion (New bullish move initiated)
Copper buy on dip will continue AI tool data given 1115,1140 comParameter Data Data
Asset Name Copper MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟢 ₹1097.85/KGS (Reference: Dec 8, 2025 Close)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (+0.41% / ₹4.50 change)
Current Trade 🟢 Expansion Phase (Bullish) Active
SMC Structure 🟢 Bullish Order Flow (Price has demonstrated a strong Break of Structure - BOS above ₹1080.00)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Supply/Trap Zone: ₹1105.00 - ₹1118.00 (Intraday High/Next Fibonacci Target)
Demand/Liquidity Zone: ₹1070.00 - ₹1080.00 (Major Order Block/Previous Swing Low)
Probability 🟢 High (70% probability for continued upward momentum)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟢 High (Strong confluence of price, volume, and ADX/DMI)
Max Pain N/A (Minimal relevance for high-momentum commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟢 Bullish (Price is trading well above 20-DEMA and 50-DEMA)
Supports S1: ₹1088.10 (Intraday Low), S2: ₹1080.00 (Breakout Level), S3: ₹1070.00
Resistances R1: ₹1103.95 (Intraday High), R2: ₹1118.00, R3: ₹1130.00 (All-time High Region)
ADX/RSI/DMI ADX (14): 🟢 26.66 (Strong Trend in place)
+DI (14): 🟢 29.76 (Strong Bullish Direction)
RSI (14): 🟡 67.45 (Nearing Overbought, but supports strong trend)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate (9-Day Hist. Volatility: 18.86%)
Source Ledger MCX/CME/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (8,322 contracts, up by +4.64% OI Change - indicating fresh long build-up/short covering)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is trading above the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate (Volume 7035 contracts, moderate for the session)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (IV is generally in line with current RV)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (LME/COMEX data suggests net long speculative positioning)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟢 Positive (Positive correlation with risk assets/Gold is also firm)
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🟢 Bullish (Market breadth is positive)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🟢 Positive (Implied directional bias)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟢 Positive (Sustaining higher levels)
Market Phase 🟢 Expansion (Bullish Trend in place)
Nasdaq currently at avoid zome wait for fed event buy on dip Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures (NQ)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🟡 25,780.75 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement 🟢 Positive (+48.75 points / +0.19%)
Current Trade 🟡 Contraction/Range-Bound Active
SMC Structure 🟡 Indecisive/Compressing (Price consolidating between major Supply/Demand structures)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Upper Supply Zone: 25,805 - 25,936 (Breakout Area)
Lower Demand/Pivot: 25,560 - 25,677 (Decision Zone)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for range continuation, 45% for upside breakout)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟡 Medium (High uncertainty ahead of Fed meeting)
Max Pain Requires specific options data
DEMA Levels 🟡 Neutralizing (Price near key moving averages)
Supports Structural Pivot: 25,560, S1: 25,428, S2: 25,297
Resistances Supply Zone: 25,936, R1: 26,100, R2: 26,400 (ATH)
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🟡 59.74 (Neutral/Bullish side)
ADX (14): 🔴 < 10 (Very Weak Trend Strength)
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟡 Moderate/Tight (Price compression implies low realized volatility)
Source Ledger CME Group/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟢 High (307,182 contracts - indicating strong participation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 0.98 (Near 1.0, indicating balanced/neutral options positioning)
VWAP Price is trading near the daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate (Volume: 28,993 contracts on last available data)
Harmonic Pattern No clear or active major pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (Implied Volatility: 16.73%)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning 🟢 Bullish (Tech sentiment improving)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟢 Positive (S&P 500, Dow futures also up fractionally)
ETF Rotation 🟡 Mixed (Constituent stocks showing mixed signals)
Sentiment Index 🟡 Cautiously Bullish (Rate cut expectations supporting risk appetite)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🟡 Neutral (Net directional bias is balanced)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🟡 Sector Rotation (Potential move from defensive to risk-on tech names)
Market Phase 🟡 Contraction (Price compression/tight range)
Zydus lifescienceIn weekly time frame forming Half bat pattern NSE:ZYDUSLIFE
only educational purpose
information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Investors are advised to carefully review all materials and consult with a financial advisor considering their own financial situation and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The disclaimer also often includes statements about no guarantees or warranties regarding the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of the information provided and emphasizes that investments can fluctuate in value and there is a risk of loss
Nifty sell recommended today morning if 25900 break then 25500 Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Nifty 50 (NSEI)
Last Traded Price (LTP) 🔴 25,960.55 (Reference: Dec 8, 2025 Close)
Price Movement 🔴 Negative (approx. -0.86% down)
Current Trade 🔴 Expansion Phase (Bearish) Active
SMC Structure 🔴 Bearish Order Flow (26,000 ke neeche decisive daily close, confirming a Break of Structure - BoS)
Trap/Liquidity Zones Demand Zone: 25,700 - 25,800 (Major structural support/Lower channel boundary)
Probability 🔴 High (75% chance of retesting 25,700 in the near term)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🔴 High (Strong technical indicators support the sell-off)
Max Pain 26,100 (For current weekly expiry)
DEMA Levels 🔴 Bearish Cross (Price trading below 20-day and 50-day DE-MA)
Supports S1: 25,900, S2: 25,700, S3: 25,600
Resistances R1: 26,096 (Previous day close), R2: 26,240 (Max Call OI), R3: 26,350
ADX/RSI/DMI RSI (14): 🔴 35.37 (Sell/Oversold territory ki taraf)
ADX (14): 🔴 39.94 (Strong Trend Strength - Bearish)
Moving Averages: 🔴 Strong Sell
Market Depth Requires live data
Volatility 🟢 High (India VIX: 10.76, up 4.26%)
Source Ledger NSE India/API Data Aggregate
OI (Open Interest) 🟡 High (Index futures OI is high)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟡 1.1924 (OI based, neutral to slightly overbought)
VWAP Price is trading below daily VWAP.
Turnover 🟡 Moderate/High (Volume was higher than average due to selling)
Harmonic Pattern No active pattern.
IV/RV 🟡 Moderate (IV is rising with VIX)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades Needs specific data
COT Positioning No standard Nifty COT data released by CFTC
Cross-Asset Correlation 🔴 Negative (Negative correlation with USD/INR which is rising - 90.17)
ETF Rotation 🔴 Outflow (Index-linked ETFs mein selling pressure)
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Market breadth is negative)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Overall directional bias is down)
VWAP Bands Requires live data
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Sector Rotation (Realty aur IT mein zyada selling)
Market Phase 🔴 Expansion (Bearish Move)
GBPUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking for a counter-trend short on GBPUSD. I ultimately want longs around 1.32500, so near-term bias is slightly bearish. On 15m I’ve got a clean liquidity sweep + BOS + FVG, so I’m taking the short as a corrective play. Setup is solid but counter-trend, so it’s a 3-star setup. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Setup Quality ⭐⭐⭐
Natural we avoid buying in Friday upmove today fall done avoid Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) ₹448.30/mmBtu (Based on Image/Live Data Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement (Day) 🔴 Highly Negative (-8.14%)
Current Trade 🔴 Strong Correction/Sell Active (Breakdown from highs)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for S1 test)
Confidence 🟡 Medium (Extreme Volatility, Indicators are conflicting)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5
Max Pain Data not available for MCX Futures
OI 🟡 Mixed (Some contracts show decrease in OI, indicating long liquidation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is likely trading below key VWAP levels due to the sharp fall.
Turnover 🟢 High (High volume accompanies the sharp price drop)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🔴 High (Extreme Price Change -8.14% suggests high volatility)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning NYMEX data still suggests institutional buying, but profit booking is seen.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Due to the sharp single-day correction)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Implied directional bias due to price fall)
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Negative (Price rotation towards lower supports)
Source Ledger Internal/API Data Aggregate & Image Input
Silver mcx upmove will continue buy on dip new ATH will comeParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver (SILVER1!) MCX Mar 2026 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH / Buy on Dips (Wait for a clear bounce near S1)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bearish (-0.29% approx. from previous close)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow / High-level consolidation phase.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above ₹1,84,400 (Falsi breakout possibility). Liquidity Target: ₹1,80,600 - ₹1,80,000 (Strong demand zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,80,647 (Immediate Pivot/Demand) 🟩 S2: ₹1,78,942 (Key Technical Support) 🟩 S3: ₹1,76,894 (Major Structural Support/20 DEMA)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,84,400 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,86,448 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,88,153 (Major High/Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 58% Upside Continuation (Trend is strong, but correction due)
Confidence 🟨 22/30 (High structural conviction, low short-term momentum conviction)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Strong long-term bullish trend)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 70-73 range (Overbought/High Momentum) / ADX \approx 32 (Strong Trend)
Market Depth 🟩 Slightly Bullish (Low volume selling, quick absorption expected at supports)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp, two-sided moves expected)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, Industrial Demand Data, COT Positioning
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Contraction (Short-covering ke baad, fresh long buildup ka intezaar hai)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 Favorable/Bullish (Options data lower support levels par strong buying dikha raha hai)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong trending market)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (Options market mein koi extreme panic nahi)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand hai)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par buying interest high)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with XAUUSD / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Global Silver ETF inflows strong hain)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Positive (Buy-side flow active hai, lekin profit booking bhi)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside momentum ka indication)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke upper side par trade kar raha hai
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary correction)
Silver XAGUSD buy on dip will continue new ATH will come AI DataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver COMEX (XAGUSD Spot)
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Trend is Bullish, but price is near R1/ATH. Fresh entry only on breakout or S1 retest)
Price Movement 🟩 Strong Bullish/Consolidation (+0.10% approx.)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (ATH Breakout) / Price testing major supply/resistance zone.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Trap Zone: Above $59.50 (Potential ATH liquidity grab). Liquidity Target: $57.00 - $57.50 (Previous ATH retest zone).
Supports 🟩 S1: $57.07 (Key Pivot/First Support) 🟩 S2: $55.76 (Strong Technical/Pivot) 🟩 S3: $54.63 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: $59.51 (Immediate Resistance/Pivot) 🟥 R2: $60.64 (2nd Pivot Resistance) 🟥 R3: $61.96 (3rd Pivot Resistance/Short Term Target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟩 65% Upside Continuation (Strong fundamental/structural factors)
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Trend and structure both strong; volatility is high)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for spot commodities)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price well above 20/50 DEMA (Structural uptrend intact)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI (14) \approx 70.89 (Overbought). ADX (14) \approx 32 (Strong trending market)
Market Depth 🟩 Skewed Towards Buy-Side (Deep order book at lower levels)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟥 High/Rising Volatility (Sharp swings expected)
Source Ledger COMEX, Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) Inventories, ETF Flows, DXY Correlation
OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Long Buildup (High OI, confirming strong long positions)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟩 N/A - Favorable/Bullish (General options positioning supports trend)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading significantly above VWAP (Very bullish short-term bias)
Turnover 🟩 High (High volume trading due to squeeze/demand)
Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Cup and Handle Pattern (Target \approx 65.00 expected, confirming bullish continuation)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral (No extreme downside protection demand)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral-to-Positive (Call-side option demand slightly higher)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Strong institutional conviction)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators heavily net long, adding to momentum)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with Gold / 🟥 Strong Inverse with DXY
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Silver ETFs mein record inflows)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (High market optimism)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Strongly Positive (Buy-side flow dominant)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Market momentum ki confirmation)
VWAP Bands 🟥 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Sign of over-extension)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity/Metals leading the rotation
Market Phase 🟩 Mark-Up (Strong uptrend, pullbacks are buying opportunities)
Gold mcx buy on dip will continue until 129200 not break AI dataParameter Data Data
Asset Name Gold (GC) MCX Dec 2025 Futures
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Breakout/Breakdown Strategy)
Price Movement 🟨 Consolidation/Slightly Bullish (+0.21% up at 11:37 AM IST)
SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow / Currently in Distribution/Consolidation at resistance.
Trap/Liquidity Zones Bullish Liquidity: Above ₹1,31,000. Bearish Trap: Below ₹1,29,500.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,29,800 (Psychological/Technical) 🟩 S2: ₹1,29,450 (Key Support/21-day EMA area) 🟩 S3: ₹1,28,750 (Major Structural Support)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,30,950 (Immediate Resistance/Supply) 🟥 R2: ₹1,31,450 (Strong Supply Zone) 🟥 R3: ₹1,31,700 (High-side Target/Major Resistance)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Probability 🟨 55% Continuation Upside (Macro trend is stronger, but short-term correction risk)
Confidence 🟨 18/30 (Fed uncertainty ke kaaran short-term conviction moderate hai)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance for commodity futures)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 21/50 DEMA (Short & Mid-term bullish)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14) \approx 50-60 range (Neutral/Positive). ADX \approx 23 (Trend strength moderate)
Market Depth 🟨 Balanced (Buying pressure lower levels par active hai)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🟨 Rising Volatility (High volatility expected due to FOMC meeting)
Source Ledger MCX, COMEX, US Fed Rate Cut Expectations, DXY Movement
OI (Open Interest) 🟨 Flat/Minor Decrease (Traders are cautious at highs)
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) 🟨 Neutral-to-Bullish (Options data suggests support)
VWAP 🟩 Price trading above daily VWAP (Intraday bias positive)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate/Tepid (Highs par volume kam hai)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Strong uptrend, no immediate reversal pattern)
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Neutral-to-Positive (Upside protection demand normal)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (No extreme bias)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Advanced Options Greek Data)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buys Detected (Lower levels par strong buying interest)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Speculators maintain bullish positioning)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Inverse with USD Index (DXY) is active
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows Continuing (Global ETFs mein gold buying jaari hai)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed/Optimistic (Bullish sentiment market mein haavi hai)
OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Slightly Positive (Buy-side flow active hai)
Delta 🟩 Call Delta Active (Upside move ki tayyari)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price Upper Band ke aas-paas hai (Minor consolidation expected)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Commodity Complex Strong (Risk-on rotation commodities mein hai)
Market Phase 🟨 Mark-Up/Consolidation (Bullish phase mein temporary rest)
Good XAUUSD buy on dip until 4185 not break 4245,70,4310 target Parameter Data
Reason 🟨 Structural Highs & Range Trade: Price ek ajeeb (unusual) range ya structural high par trade kar raha hai. Major breakout ya breakdown ke liye confirmation ka intezaar hai.
Asset Name Gold Comex (XAUUSD, Spot) 4,203.00
Price Movement Neutral/Avoid: R1: 4,215.00, R2: 4,230.00, R3: 4,250.00. S1: 4,200.00 break hone par downside possible towards S2: 4,185.00, S3: 4,150.00.
Current Trade 🟨 AVOID: Price 4,200 ke psychological level ke aas-paas hai. Wait for a clear conviction above R1 or below S1.
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation: Price 4200-4215 ki choti range mein hai. FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 4190.
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟨 Trap Zone: Small retail long positions above 4205. Liquidity Target: Above 4215.
Probability 48% (Low conviction due to tight range).
Risk Reward 🟨 1 : 1.2
Confidence 🟨 12/30 (40%) (Momentum aur Flow dono kamzor hain).
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Minimal relevance).
DEMA Levels 🟨 DEMA 20/50: Price inke bahut kareeb trade kar raha hai, koi clear directional bias nahi hai.
Supports 🟨 S1: 4,200.00 (Psychological), 🟨 S2: 4,185.00, 🟩 S3: 4,150.00.
Resistances 🟥 R1: 4,215.00 (Immediate barrier), 🟥 R2: 4,230.00, 🟥 R3: 4,250.00.
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI (14): 50.5 (Dead Neutral). ADX (14): 15.1 (Non-trending/Weak).
Market Depth 🟨 Level 3 (20-Depth): Order book tight hai, high liquidity entry points missing hain.
Volatility 🟥 IV/RV: Volatility bahut kam hai; market flat rehne ki ummeed hai.
Source Ledger 🟨 Verified: CME Group Feeds, LSEG/Refinitiv. Latency Guard enforced. (User provided Override/Price).
OI 🟨 Open Interest: Flat/Minor decrease, suggesting traders are waiting.
PCR 🟨 Put Call Ratio (OI): 1.05 (Slightly neutral-to-bullish, but flat).
VWAP 🟨 Current Price is exactly near VWAP (4,203.50).
Turnover 🟥 Low: Aaj turnover kam hai.
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A: No immediate pattern detected.
IV/RV 🟨 IV Skew: Flat.
Options Skew 🟨 Options Skew: Neutral.
Vanna/Charm 🟨 N/A (Neutral).
Block Trades 🟨 Block Trades: Last 6 hours mein koi significant block trade nahi hua.
COT Positioning 🟨 COT Positioning: Net Long positions stable hain.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Correlation: Inverse correlation with DXY (Dollar Index) weak hai.
ETF Rotation 🟨 ETF Rotation: Neutral inflows.
Sentiment Index 🟨 Sentiment Index: 51 (Neutral).
OFI 🟨 Order Flow Index: Balanced buy/sell pressure.
Delta 🟨 Cumulative Delta: Neutral.
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price VWAP bands ke center mein hai.
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Rotation: No clear sector/asset rotation impacting Gold.
Market Phase 🟨 Contraction: Tight consolidation expected.
Last Pump Before the Rate Cut?My base scenario remains simple: a liquidity push to take out recent highs on rate-cut expectations, followed by a correction.
Bitcoin
Long setup is still valid, but structural support is weak.
If the market avoids political catalysts (e.g., unexpected Trump comments), a sweep of the recent high remains likely.
Key level to hold: 92,000 USDT
If this level is defended, long setups are justified toward a liquidity grab above current highs.
Ethereum
Plan remains unchanged.
ETH has been showing relative strength and is on track for a local high breakout, as discussed earlier.
Altcoins - Still Weak
Most alts remain in HTF discount zones and fail to break out. This is the only factor that adds moderate risk to the bullish continuation.
ZEC (watchlist short idea)
ZEC is interesting only after a pump, not before it.
A short becomes valid if price tests the 1D FVG, and only after a breakout from the current range.
Avoid pre-positioning - short setup is early until we leave the range.
Summary
BTC: bullish continuation if 92,000 support holds.
ETH: aligned with the plan — higher liquidity levels ahead.
ALT market: weak; selective setups only.
ZEC: potential short after a pump into 1D FVG, not before.
Part 8 Trading Master Class Option Buyer vs Option Seller
Option Buyer
Pays premium
Risk is limited to premium
Profit potential is unlimited (for call) or large (for put)
Needs a strong directional move
Time decay works against the buyer
Option Seller
Receives premium
Risk can be unlimited (if market moves sharply)
Profit is limited to premium received
Benefits from sideways market
Time decay works in seller’s favour
Option sellers usually need more capital because of higher risk.
Part 7 Trading Master Class How Option Pricing Works
The price of an option (premium) depends on many factors:
1. Underlying Price
If the market moves in the option’s direction (up for call, down for put), the premium rises.
2. Strike Price
Closer the strike to current price, higher the premium.
3. Time to Expiry
More time → higher premium (more chances of movement)
4. Volatility
Higher volatility → higher premium.
5. Interest rates and dividends
These have minor effects but still influence pricing models.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Types of Option Based on Moneyness
In-The-Money (ITM)
Call Option: Strike < Market Price
Put Option: Strike > Market Price
At-The-Money (ATM)
Strike = Market Price (closest)
Out-Of-The-Money (OTM)
Call Option: Strike > Market Price
Put Option: Strike < Market Price
OTM options are cheaper but riskier.
NIFTY - BEARISH BAT or ABC corrective rise?TF: 15 Minutes
CMP: 26136
If we consider this as an ABC rise of the entire fall from 26320 levels, then it should halt at 26170 odd and reverse.
In Harmonic pattern, BEARISH BAT formation is visible and the desired target for this is at 26270
Lets see how the price unfolds
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
usdjpy shortA major currency pair in forex that shows how many Japanese yen are needed to buy one US dollar. Traders watch it for interest-rate differences, risk sentiment, and Bank of Japan vs. Federal Reserve policy. It’s known for strong trends and volatility, especially around economic data release
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Advantages of Option Trading
1. Limited Risk for Buyers
Buyers can only lose the premium.
2. Leverage
You control a big position with small capital.
3. Flexibility
Can be used for speculation, hedging, income, blending multiple strategies.
4. Huge Earning Potential
Strong moves give massive percentage returns.
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesPopular Option Trading Strategies
Some commonly used strategies:
1. Covered Call
Hold stock + sell a call option for income.
2. Protective Put
Buy a put to hedge stock holdings.
3. Straddle
Buy ATM Call + ATM Put → profits during big movements.
4. Strangle
Buy OTM Call + OTM Put → cheaper than straddle.
5. Iron Condor
Sell OTM Call + Put and hedge with further OTM options.
Used in sideways markets.
6. Spread Strategies (Bull Call Spread, Bear Put Spread)
Buy one option and sell another to reduce cost and risk.
Part 1 Ride The Big MovesTips for Beginners
✔ Start with buying options
You learn direction and risk without big losses.
✔ Focus on one index (like Nifty)
Better to understand one market deeply.
✔ Avoid trading near major news
Volatility can be unpredictable.
✔ Manage risk
Never trade with full capital.
✔ Keep emotions low
Discipline outweighs excitement in option trading.






















