Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Advantages of Option Trading
Option trading offers several benefits:
Leverage: Small premiums control large positions, magnifying potential returns.
Flexibility: Options can be used for income generation, speculation, or hedging.
Limited Risk for Buyers: The maximum loss for option buyers is limited to the premium paid.
Diverse Strategies: Traders can design complex setups for any market condition.
Portfolio Protection: Helps reduce downside risks without liquidating assets.
Because of these advantages, options have become integral to both institutional and retail trading strategies worldwide.
Harmonic Patterns
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Role of Options in Hedging and Speculation
Options serve two primary purposes—hedging and speculation.
Hedging: Investors use options to protect their portfolios from adverse price movements. For example, a fund manager expecting a market downturn might buy put options on an index to limit potential losses.
Speculation: Traders use options to bet on the direction of price movements with relatively low capital compared to buying stocks outright. For instance, buying a call option allows participation in a stock’s upside potential without investing the full stock price.
Thus, options balance the needs of both conservative and aggressive market participants.
Part 2 Intraday Master ClassStrategies in Option Trading
Options allow traders to build strategies tailored to market views—bullish, bearish, or neutral.
Some popular strategies include:
Covered Call: Selling a call option while holding the underlying asset to earn extra income.
Protective Put: Buying a put option to hedge against possible losses in a stock you own.
Straddle: Buying both a call and a put with the same strike and expiry to profit from volatility.
Strangle: Similar to a straddle but with different strike prices for the call and put.
Iron Condor: Combining multiple options to profit from low volatility conditions.
Such strategies help traders control risk and maximize profits under different market scenarios.
Divergence Secrets How Option Pricing Works
The price (premium) of an option is influenced by several factors, collectively known as the “Option Greeks”:
Delta: Measures how much the option price changes with a ₹1 change in the underlying asset.
Gamma: Indicates the rate of change of Delta.
Theta: Represents the time decay of the option’s value as it approaches expiry.
Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Indicates sensitivity to interest rate changes.
Additionally, the volatility of the underlying asset and time to expiry play crucial roles in determining option prices. Higher volatility increases the premium, as uncertainty boosts the potential for profit.
Option TradingTypes of Options: Calls and Puts
Options are divided into two main categories:
Call Options: The buyer of a call expects the underlying asset’s price to rise. For example, if a trader buys a call option on Reliance stock with a strike price of ₹2500, and the stock rises to ₹2600 before expiry, the trader can exercise the option and profit from the difference.
Put Options: The buyer of a put expects the asset’s price to fall. If the same Reliance stock falls to ₹2400, the put option buyer profits by selling at ₹2500 (the strike price).
Call and put options can be used separately or in combination to create complex strategies based on different market conditions.
Part 2 Support and Resistance Key Terminologies in Option Trading
To understand options, it’s important to know certain key terms:
Underlying Asset: The financial instrument on which the option is based (e.g., a stock like TCS or an index like NIFTY50).
Strike Price: The price at which the holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the asset.
Premium: The price paid by the buyer to acquire the option contract.
Expiry Date: The last date on which the option can be exercised.
In the Money (ITM): When exercising the option is profitable (e.g., for a call option, when the market price is above the strike price).
Out of the Money (OTM): When exercising the option would not be profitable.
At the Money (ATM): When the strike price and market price are almost equal.
Understanding these terms is essential for evaluating an option’s value and potential profit or loss.
IOC 1 Week Time Frame 📍 Key Levels to Monitor (weekly chart)
Support zone: ~ ₹150-155. This is a region where past moving averages / consolidation occurred (also near 200-week MA).
Near-term support: ~ ₹160. If price dips, watch for reaction around this level.
Resistance / breakout area: ~ ₹166-170. Past highs / pivot region. If price convincingly breaks above this with volume, higher targets could be triggered. In the daily technicals, pivot-classic R1 ~ ₹166.54.
Next upside potential: If breakout happens, next zone maybe ~ ₹175-180 (psychological+historic highs) — but only once structure is confirmed.
Risk trigger: A close below ~ ₹150 might shift trend bias to more neutral/weak.
LTF 1 Week Time Frame ✅ Key Levels to Watch
Support around ₹ 265-270, which has been noted as a level where price “is above … and as long as price remains above this level, the up-trend … might continue.”
Current futures price in the recent contract is approximately ₹ 271-273.
A potential upside breakout target (if momentum continues) could be near its 52-week high of ~ ₹ 273.57.
YESBANK 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Key Technical Levels & Indicators
Recent price around ₹22.60–₹22.70.
Support zones: ~ ₹22.22 (short term) and ~ ₹20.97 (medium term) according to MarketScreener.
Resistance: ~ ₹24.03 region.
Pivot (classic) for the day: ~ ₹22.58.
Daily technical indicator summary: Many moving averages show bullish (price above SMA/EMA) for 20/50/200 day on some sites.
Oscillators: RSI in mid-range (~46.6) signalling neither strongly overbought nor oversold.
Short-term trend: Many tools flag “bullish” in short, medium and long term.
Future Outlook: Sustaining the IPO and SME Momentum1. The Current Landscape: A Golden Era of Listings
Over the last few years, India’s IPO market has seen an unprecedented rise in activity. From digital-first startups to traditional manufacturers, companies of all sizes have turned to public markets to raise growth capital. The mainboard has been dominated by big-ticket issues from established corporations, while the SME segment—once overlooked—has emerged as a thriving hub of entrepreneurial listings.
According to data from stock exchanges, the SME IPO segment alone has outperformed expectations, with subscription levels often reaching several hundred times the offer size. The growing investor base, increased participation of retail and HNI investors, and digital platforms simplifying IPO applications have all contributed to this boom.
For SMEs, going public is not just about capital—it is a signal of credibility and stability. Listing on the NSE Emerge or BSE SME platforms allows smaller firms to attract investors, improve transparency, and access long-term funding that can drive business expansion.
2. Drivers Behind the IPO and SME Boom
Several macroeconomic and structural factors have contributed to the ongoing surge:
a. Economic Growth and Confidence
India’s steady GDP growth, expanding middle class, and digital transformation have fostered an environment where both investors and businesses feel optimistic about the future. Companies view the stock market as a vital source of capital, while investors see it as a means to participate in the nation’s growth story.
b. Regulatory Support
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has played a pivotal role by introducing reforms to streamline IPO processes, enhance disclosure norms, and strengthen investor protection. The SME platform, in particular, was designed to give smaller businesses a simplified path to listing without the burden of excessive compliance.
c. Retail Investor Participation
A massive influx of new retail investors, driven by fintech innovations and easy access to trading apps, has transformed the market landscape. The democratization of stock investing has increased demand for new IPOs, especially those offering early-stage growth potential.
d. Favorable Liquidity and Low Interest Rates
In recent years, global liquidity and relatively low domestic interest rates have made equities a preferred asset class. Investors, in search of better returns, have flocked to IPOs—especially those showing strong fundamentals and growth prospects.
e. Rise of Domestic Institutional Investors
Domestic mutual funds, insurance companies, and pension funds have become significant participants in IPOs, lending stability and depth to the market. Their involvement ensures that quality issues receive sustained institutional backing.
3. The SME Edge: Empowering Grassroots Entrepreneurship
The SME platform is not just a mini version of the mainboard—it is a catalyst for grassroots economic growth. For small and medium enterprises, traditional financing options like bank loans are often limited due to lack of collateral or credit history. IPOs provide an alternative route to raise equity without diluting too much control or taking on debt.
Moreover, SMEs listed on the exchange gain visibility, attract partnerships, and establish brand credibility. Sectors such as manufacturing, IT services, pharmaceuticals, textiles, and renewable energy have been particularly active in this space.
The success of SME IPOs also reflects a shift in investor mindset. Investors are no longer solely focused on large-cap blue chips—they are now looking for early-stage growth stories that can multiply wealth over time. This behavioral change is instrumental in sustaining the SME ecosystem.
4. Challenges That Could Test the Momentum
While the outlook appears promising, sustaining the current momentum will not be without challenges.
a. Market Overvaluation
A surge in IPOs often brings with it concerns about inflated valuations. Companies may take advantage of bullish sentiment to price their offerings aggressively, leaving little room for post-listing gains. If too many IPOs underperform after listing, investor confidence can quickly erode.
b. Quality and Governance Concerns
Not all SMEs meet high corporate governance standards. Weak accounting practices, lack of transparency, or promoter-driven decision-making can hurt long-term investor trust. Regulators and exchanges need to ensure strict eligibility norms and monitoring.
c. Investor Overexuberance
Retail investors sometimes chase IPOs purely for short-term listing gains rather than evaluating fundamentals. This speculative behavior can lead to volatility and mispricing, potentially distorting the true value of companies.
d. Global Economic Uncertainty
External shocks—like rising oil prices, interest rate hikes in developed markets, or geopolitical tensions—can impact foreign inflows and dampen market sentiment. The IPO market, being sentiment-driven, is highly sensitive to such macro events.
e. Liquidity Constraints in SME Segment
Despite high subscription levels, secondary market liquidity in SME stocks remains limited. Thin trading volumes can make price discovery difficult, deterring institutional investors from entering the space.
5. The Role of Policy and Regulation in Sustaining Growth
To maintain the momentum in the IPO and SME markets, regulatory foresight and market discipline are crucial.
a. Strengthening Disclosure Norms
SEBI and stock exchanges must continue refining disclosure requirements, ensuring that companies provide detailed, accurate, and timely information. This helps investors make informed decisions and reduces the risk of mispricing.
b. Enhancing Market Infrastructure
Encouraging more market makers, improving liquidity mechanisms, and enabling seamless migration from SME platforms to the mainboard can sustain investor confidence and ensure market depth.
c. Investor Education
Empowering retail investors through awareness programs about risk management, valuation analysis, and long-term investing can reduce speculative tendencies. Financial literacy is vital for a healthy IPO ecosystem.
d. Supporting SME Ecosystem Development
Beyond listing, SMEs require policy support in areas like taxation, innovation funding, and export facilitation. A holistic ecosystem that nurtures entrepreneurship will naturally feed into the SME IPO pipeline.
6. Technological and Digital Innovations: The New Growth Lever
Technology is transforming how IPOs are managed, subscribed, and analyzed. Online platforms and digital brokers now enable seamless IPO participation with UPI integration, faster refunds, and transparent allotment processes.
Moreover, data analytics and AI-driven investment tools are helping investors assess company fundamentals more efficiently.
In the SME segment, digital transformation is allowing small firms to manage compliance, financial reporting, and investor relations more effectively. Blockchain-based record-keeping and e-KYC systems are further reducing operational risks and increasing trust in market systems.
As India continues to digitalize, technology will remain a cornerstone of the IPO ecosystem—driving transparency, reducing costs, and expanding investor access.
7. The Road Ahead: Building Sustainable Growth
Sustaining the IPO and SME momentum requires balance. A mature market is not one that constantly breaks records in listing numbers—but one that ensures the right companies, backed by solid fundamentals, reach investors at the right valuations.
a. Quality over Quantity
Regulators, underwriters, and exchanges should prioritize quality listings over mere volume. Encouraging companies with strong governance, profitability, and long-term growth potential ensures the integrity of the market.
b. Encouraging Long-Term Investment
Tax incentives or special frameworks for long-term investors in SMEs could encourage patient capital. Such measures can stabilize prices and encourage genuine ownership rather than speculative flipping.
c. ESG and Sustainability Focus
As global investors increasingly emphasize Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors, Indian IPOs and SMEs must align with these trends. Companies that adopt sustainable practices are more likely to attract foreign institutional capital.
d. Regional and Sectoral Diversification
Encouraging listings from tier-2 and tier-3 cities, as well as from sunrise sectors such as green energy, electric mobility, and digital infrastructure, can diversify the IPO landscape. This not only broadens economic participation but also decentralizes wealth creation.
8. Global Lessons: Learning from Mature Markets
India can draw valuable insights from global markets like the U.S. NASDAQ or Japan’s JASDAQ, where smaller enterprises have long leveraged capital markets for growth. These platforms emphasize strict listing standards, investor transparency, and efficient migration to larger exchanges.
Adopting similar best practices can strengthen India’s SME framework, making it globally competitive. Moreover, cross-border listings or foreign investor participation in SMEs can provide additional depth and capital flow.
9. Investor Sentiment and the Cycle of Confidence
At the heart of every IPO wave lies investor sentiment. Confidence breeds participation, and participation fuels growth. As long as investors continue to see tangible value creation—through robust earnings, transparent management, and steady post-listing performance—the momentum will sustain.
However, maintaining this sentiment requires market discipline. Regulators must curb speculative excesses, companies must deliver on promises, and investors must remain rational and informed.
10. Conclusion: The Path to a Resilient IPO and SME Ecosystem
The future of India’s IPO and SME markets is undoubtedly bright, but sustaining their growth demands maturity and foresight. The foundation has been laid—a dynamic entrepreneurial ecosystem, supportive regulations, and a digitally empowered investor base. The next phase must focus on strengthening fundamentals, promoting transparency, and fostering long-term value creation.
If India continues to blend innovation with discipline, its capital markets could evolve into one of the most robust and inclusive ecosystems globally. The IPO and SME momentum, therefore, is not just a passing phase—it represents the evolution of India’s financial identity, empowering both enterprises and investors to participate in the country’s growth journey.
The challenge ahead lies not in maintaining speed, but in ensuring direction—toward a sustainable, transparent, and inclusive market that stands the test of time.
Impact of Macro Events on Financial MarketsIntroduction
Financial markets are highly sensitive ecosystems that respond to a wide range of macroeconomic events. These events — such as changes in inflation, interest rates, GDP growth, geopolitical tensions, trade policies, or natural disasters — influence the way investors perceive risk and return. In simple terms, macro events set the tone of the market. They shape investor confidence, capital flows, and ultimately determine the direction of asset prices across equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities.
Understanding how macro events move markets is essential for traders, investors, and policymakers. This knowledge allows them to anticipate volatility, manage risk, and make informed decisions in a constantly changing global environment.
1. What Are Macro Events?
Macro events are large-scale economic or geopolitical developments that affect the overall economy rather than individual companies or sectors. These can be economic, political, or environmental in nature. Examples include:
Central bank monetary policy decisions (like interest rate hikes or cuts)
Fiscal policies (government spending and taxation)
Inflation and unemployment data releases
Global trade agreements or disputes
Natural disasters or pandemics
Political instability or wars
Technological disruptions or regulatory reforms
Each of these events sends ripples through financial systems — influencing investor sentiment, liquidity, and valuation across global markets.
2. The Economic Indicators That Drive Market Sentiment
Economic indicators are the heartbeat of financial markets. Investors closely monitor data releases to gauge the health of the economy and anticipate future policy moves. Some key indicators include:
a. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GDP growth signals the strength of an economy.
Rising GDP usually means higher corporate profits and stock market optimism.
Falling GDP or recessionary signs can push investors toward safer assets like government bonds or gold.
b. Inflation
Inflation reflects the general rise in prices of goods and services.
High inflation erodes purchasing power and prompts central banks to raise interest rates.
Low inflation can indicate weak demand and slow growth.
Both extremes can unsettle investors, as they affect future earnings and the cost of borrowing.
c. Interest Rates
Interest rate changes are one of the most direct macroeconomic influences on markets.
Rising rates make borrowing costlier and reduce the appeal of riskier assets like equities.
Falling rates encourage investment and consumption, often boosting stock prices.
d. Employment Data
Strong employment reports signal a healthy economy, but they can also increase fears of inflation and potential rate hikes. Weak job data, on the other hand, can trigger fears of slowdown but also raise expectations for policy support.
e. Consumer Confidence
This measures how optimistic consumers are about their financial situation and the overall economy. High confidence supports spending and market growth, while low confidence can lead to declines in demand and market pessimism.
3. Central Banks and Monetary Policy
The role of central banks — such as the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), or the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) — cannot be overstated. Through monetary policy tools, they control liquidity and influence interest rates, inflation, and currency value.
Tight Monetary Policy: When inflation rises, central banks often raise interest rates or reduce liquidity. This makes credit more expensive, curbing excessive speculation. Equity markets typically react negatively as borrowing costs rise and corporate profits shrink.
Loose Monetary Policy: When economic growth slows, central banks lower interest rates or engage in quantitative easing (injecting liquidity into the system). This usually boosts market sentiment, as investors chase higher returns in equities and other risk assets.
For instance, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes in 2022 to combat inflation triggered global stock market corrections and strengthened the U.S. dollar — affecting emerging market currencies and global capital flows.
4. Fiscal Policy and Its Market Impact
While central banks handle monetary policy, governments influence markets through fiscal policy — by adjusting taxation and spending.
Expansionary Fiscal Policy: Increased government spending or tax cuts boost economic activity and corporate earnings, supporting stock markets. However, if excessive, it can cause inflation and fiscal deficits.
Contractionary Fiscal Policy: Higher taxes or reduced spending can slow growth but help control inflation or reduce debt.
For example, massive fiscal stimulus packages during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020–2021) helped economies recover quickly but later contributed to inflationary pressures that shook global markets in 2022.
5. Geopolitical Events and Market Reactions
Political instability, wars, or trade conflicts create uncertainty, one of the biggest enemies of market stability.
Wars and Conflicts: Geopolitical tensions can disrupt global supply chains, raise commodity prices (especially oil), and trigger risk aversion.
Trade Wars: The U.S.-China trade war (2018–2019) is a prime example — tariffs and export restrictions hurt corporate earnings, global trade, and investor confidence.
Elections: Markets often react strongly to election outcomes that could change fiscal or regulatory policies.
Investors usually flock to safe-haven assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, or government bonds during such uncertain times.
6. The Role of Globalization and Cross-Market Connections
Today’s markets are deeply interconnected. A macro event in one country can quickly spread across borders through trade, investment, and capital flows.
For instance:
A slowdown in China’s manufacturing sector affects global commodity prices, impacting countries like Australia, Brazil, and India.
U.S. Federal Reserve policies influence currency and bond markets worldwide, especially in emerging economies dependent on foreign capital.
This interconnection means that investors must think globally — not just about domestic events — to understand market dynamics.
7. Natural Disasters and Pandemics
Events such as earthquakes, floods, or pandemics can have both short-term shocks and long-term consequences on financial markets.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused one of the fastest global market crashes in March 2020 as lockdowns halted economic activity. However, extraordinary monetary and fiscal support led to one of the strongest bull runs soon after.
Similarly, natural disasters can disrupt industries (like agriculture or energy) and affect insurance, logistics, and infrastructure-related stocks.
These events highlight how market resilience and adaptability are tested in the face of global crises.
8. Commodity Prices and Currency Movements
Commodities and currencies are heavily influenced by macroeconomic events:
Oil Prices: Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions or supply shortages increase production costs and inflation, hurting equity markets but benefiting energy stocks.
Gold: Acts as a safe haven during economic or political uncertainty.
Currency Fluctuations: A strong domestic currency can hurt exporters but benefit importers. Conversely, a weak currency boosts exports but raises inflation.
For example, the sharp fall in the Indian rupee during periods of rising U.S. interest rates often leads to foreign outflows from Indian equities as investors seek safety in the dollar.
9. Investor Psychology and Behavioral Shifts
Beyond economic logic, human behavior magnifies the effects of macro events.
Markets are driven by fear and greed. When macro events introduce uncertainty, panic selling or herd behavior can exaggerate price swings.
Overreaction: Investors might sell off stocks excessively during economic shocks.
Euphoria: During periods of economic optimism, investors might ignore risks and inflate asset bubbles.
Understanding behavioral finance helps explain why markets sometimes react irrationally to macro news — moving far more than economic fundamentals justify.
10. Technological and Structural Changes
Technological disruptions and financial innovations also qualify as macro events when they reshape entire industries or economic systems.
Fintech and digital currencies have changed how money flows globally.
AI-driven automation affects employment and productivity patterns.
Energy transitions toward renewables influence oil markets and corporate investments.
Each structural shift creates new winners and losers in financial markets, altering the global investment landscape.
11. Case Studies: Macro Events and Market Impact
a. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis
Triggered by the U.S. housing bubble and subprime mortgage defaults, it caused massive global market crashes. Investors fled risky assets, and central banks worldwide adopted unprecedented stimulus policies. This event reshaped global financial regulation and risk management practices.
b. COVID-19 Pandemic (2020)
Markets plunged amid lockdowns, but aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus soon led to a historic recovery. It demonstrated how quickly policy responses can stabilize markets during crises.
c. Russia-Ukraine War (2022)
The conflict disrupted global energy and grain supplies, spiking inflation worldwide. This led to tighter monetary policies globally and a volatile year for equities and bonds.
Each of these examples shows that macro events can both destroy and create market opportunities, depending on investor perception and timing.
12. How Traders and Investors Adapt
To navigate macro-driven markets, professionals use several strategies:
Diversification: Spreading investments across asset classes and geographies reduces exposure to single-event shocks.
Hedging: Using derivatives (like futures or options) to protect portfolios against adverse moves.
Top-down Analysis: Starting from macroeconomic trends to identify sectors and stocks likely to perform well.
Safe-haven Allocation: Holding assets like gold, U.S. Treasuries, or defensive stocks during uncertain times.
Understanding macro trends helps investors stay proactive rather than reactive.
13. The Role of Communication and Expectations
Sometimes, markets move not because of actual events, but because of expectations.
For example:
A central bank hinting at future rate hikes can move bond yields and stock prices even before the actual policy change.
Similarly, forward guidance from policymakers shapes how investors position themselves.
This psychological and anticipatory nature of markets means that information — not just action — can be a macro driver.
Conclusion
Macro events are the invisible hands guiding the pulse of global financial markets. Whether it’s a shift in central bank policy, a geopolitical crisis, or a breakthrough in technology, these forces determine how capital flows, how risk is priced, and how investors behave.
The ability to interpret macro signals and their potential ripple effects is what separates informed investors from the rest. In a world where markets are more interconnected than ever, no event occurs in isolation. Each policy decision, conflict, or data release sends waves across borders, influencing billions of dollars in market value within seconds.
Ultimately, understanding macro events is not just about predicting price movements — it’s about grasping how the global financial system breathes, reacts, and evolves in response to the constant rhythm of change.
The Rise of Jane Street in Global Finance1. Origins: A Humble Beginning with a Big Vision
Jane Street was founded in 2000 by a small group of traders — Tim Reynolds, Rob Granieri, Marc Gerstein, and Michael Jenkins — with a bold idea: to apply quantitative methods and technology-driven strategies to global trading. What set them apart from the start was their belief that trading was not just about speculation, but about solving complex mathematical problems efficiently.
Starting from a single office in New York City, the firm initially focused on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — a market that was then in its infancy. ETFs were relatively new instruments, combining the flexibility of stock trading with the diversification of mutual funds. Many financial institutions did not yet understand their pricing complexities, but Jane Street’s founders recognized a goldmine of opportunity in the arbitrage and market-making potential of ETFs.
Through deep statistical analysis, coding expertise, and mathematical precision, Jane Street became one of the first firms to specialize in ETF arbitrage, helping create fair prices and efficient markets for these instruments.
2. Building the Quantitative Core
While most traditional Wall Street firms relied on intuition, experience, and aggressive speculation, Jane Street built its identity around quantitative rigor. Every trading decision was backed by data, models, and algorithms rather than mere hunches.
The firm recruited heavily from top universities, hiring mathematicians, physicists, and computer scientists instead of traditional finance professionals. This helped create a culture that was more akin to a research lab than a typical trading floor.
The use of probabilistic modeling, machine learning, and statistical arbitrage allowed Jane Street to find small inefficiencies in markets across thousands of instruments — equities, bonds, currencies, and derivatives — and trade them profitably.
What truly distinguished Jane Street was its technology-first philosophy. The company built nearly all its systems in-house, ensuring tight control, low latency, and adaptability. Its trading infrastructure allowed for lightning-fast execution — critical in markets where prices change in microseconds.
3. Mastering ETF Trading and Market Making
Jane Street’s early specialization in ETFs paid off enormously. As ETFs exploded in popularity worldwide, the firm became one of the largest ETF liquidity providers globally.
By constantly quoting buy and sell prices, Jane Street played a key role in ensuring that ETFs traded smoothly, even during volatile market conditions. It became the “invisible hand” behind countless trades — earning small margins but at massive volume.
During major market events, such as the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, Jane Street’s market-making capabilities were crucial in maintaining stability and liquidity. While many financial institutions pulled back, Jane Street stepped in — buying when others were fearful, providing prices when markets froze, and helping ensure continuous trading.
Their performance during crises cemented their reputation as a reliable backbone of modern markets.
4. Expansion into Global Markets
After conquering ETF trading, Jane Street expanded aggressively into new asset classes and regions. Offices were established in London, Hong Kong, and Amsterdam, transforming the firm into a truly global powerhouse.
The firm’s trading universe now includes:
Equities and ETFs across every major exchange
Fixed income instruments such as bonds and treasuries
Commodities and energy derivatives
Currencies (FX) and cryptocurrencies
Options and futures across various asset classes
Despite this diversification, Jane Street maintained a disciplined approach — only entering markets where its data-driven methods could yield a sustainable edge.
The company also became known for its cross-asset trading strategies — using correlations between asset classes to identify opportunities. For instance, changes in bond yields could signal moves in currencies or equity sectors, allowing Jane Street to capture value across interconnected markets.
5. The Technology Advantage
Technology is the beating heart of Jane Street’s rise. The firm’s internal systems are highly sophisticated, capable of handling massive data volumes in real-time. Every aspect — from pricing models and risk management to communication tools — is custom-built.
Jane Street uses the programming language OCaml for most of its systems, which is unusual in finance. OCaml allows for functional programming, helping the firm maintain robust, error-resistant, and efficient codebases. This gives them a stability advantage over competitors using more traditional financial software stacks.
Moreover, the firm’s automation and low-latency trading systems enable it to make decisions and execute orders faster than the human eye can blink. Yet, unlike many high-frequency trading (HFT) firms, Jane Street avoids reckless speed races. Instead, it uses technology strategically — focusing on smart execution, risk-adjusted returns, and long-term sustainability rather than pure velocity.
6. Culture: Collaboration and Intellectual Rigor
One of Jane Street’s most defining characteristics is its culture. Unlike the cutthroat environment typical of Wall Street, Jane Street emphasizes collaboration, transparency, and intellectual curiosity.
There are no large egos or “star traders” — everyone is encouraged to question, debate, and improve processes collectively. Meetings are analytical discussions rather than emotional arguments. Success is attributed to teams, not individuals.
The firm also has a flat organizational structure, where even junior employees are encouraged to contribute ideas. This approach fosters creativity and innovation — allowing new strategies to emerge from any level of the company.
Employees describe the culture as “academic yet pragmatic,” where curiosity is celebrated, and errors are treated as learning opportunities. This philosophy has helped Jane Street maintain consistency even as it scaled into a global enterprise.
7. The Role in Modern Market Liquidity
In today’s interconnected global markets, liquidity providers like Jane Street play an indispensable role. They ensure that buyers and sellers can transact efficiently without large price disruptions.
Jane Street’s algorithms continuously analyze order books, macroeconomic trends, and microstructure signals to offer tight bid-ask spreads — meaning better pricing for all market participants.
As markets have become more fragmented, with trades spread across dozens of exchanges, Jane Street’s ability to aggregate and balance liquidity across them gives it an enormous competitive advantage.
It’s estimated that the firm now trades trillions of dollars’ worth of securities annually, often accounting for a significant share of ETF trading volume globally.
8. Moving into Fixed Income and Cryptocurrencies
While equities and ETFs remain its backbone, Jane Street has successfully diversified into fixed income and digital assets — two of the most complex trading domains.
In fixed income markets, the firm became a major player in US Treasuries, corporate bonds, and interest rate derivatives. Its data-driven methods allow it to handle the opacity and illiquidity typical of bond markets more efficiently than many traditional banks.
Jane Street’s move into cryptocurrencies was another milestone. Unlike many firms that viewed crypto as speculative, Jane Street approached it with the same quantitative precision it applies to any asset. By becoming an early market maker for Bitcoin ETFs and crypto derivatives, it helped bring institutional stability to digital asset markets.
This adaptability — the ability to understand and trade emerging asset classes — showcases why Jane Street continues to stay ahead of the curve.
9. Risk Management and Discipline
For all its success, Jane Street’s longevity is built on one thing above all: risk control.
The firm operates on the principle that surviving bad days is more important than maximizing profits on good ones. Every trade is evaluated not just for potential return, but for its risk-adjusted value.
Sophisticated real-time risk management systems continuously monitor the firm’s positions across all markets, ensuring exposure stays within carefully defined limits.
Jane Street famously avoids “directional bets.” It doesn’t try to predict where markets will go — instead, it focuses on relative value trading, capturing small inefficiencies that exist between related securities. This disciplined, non-speculative philosophy has kept the firm stable even during turbulent times.
10. Jane Street’s Role in the 21st-Century Market Ecosystem
Today, Jane Street is more than a trading firm — it is a systemic player in global finance. Its algorithms help maintain efficient pricing across continents, its liquidity keeps ETFs and bonds flowing smoothly, and its risk discipline serves as a model for modern financial engineering.
Unlike investment banks, Jane Street doesn’t advise clients or manage portfolios; its business model is purely trading-based. Yet its impact rivals that of major banks.
As markets become increasingly electronic, data-driven, and cross-asset, firms like Jane Street are shaping the future architecture of global finance — where human intuition and machine intelligence coexist in harmony.
11. The Legacy and the Road Ahead
Jane Street’s rise reflects a broader transformation in finance — the shift from intuition-driven trading to algorithmic precision. It represents how intellectual humility, technological excellence, and a focus on long-term sustainability can outperform greed and speculation.
As artificial intelligence, blockchain, and decentralized finance (DeFi) evolve, Jane Street’s future will likely involve deeper integration of AI-powered models, quantum computing simulations, and global regulatory engagement.
But if its history is any guide, the firm will continue to adapt — quietly, intelligently, and effectively — without the need for flashy publicity or loud declarations.
Conclusion
The story of Jane Street is not just the story of a trading firm; it’s a story about the evolution of modern finance itself.
From its origins in ETF arbitrage to becoming one of the most dominant forces in global liquidity, Jane Street has shown that success in markets today comes not from speculation but from discipline, technology, collaboration, and continuous learning.
It stands as a testament to what finance can achieve when math meets markets, when data meets discipline, and when humility meets innovation.
In a world that often celebrates noise, Jane Street thrives in silence — executing billions in trades daily, quietly shaping the very structure of the global financial system.
Part 1 Support and Resistance Introduction to Option Trading
Option trading is a type of derivative trading where investors buy and sell contracts that give them the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell an underlying asset (such as stocks, indices, or commodities) at a predetermined price within a specified period. The two basic types of options are Call Options and Put Options. A Call Option gives the holder the right to buy an asset, while a Put Option gives the holder the right to sell. Unlike futures, options provide flexibility and limited risk for buyers because they can choose not to exercise the contract if the market moves against them. This characteristic makes options one of the most versatile financial instruments in modern markets.
The Role of Sub-Brokers in India’s Financial MarketIntroduction
India’s financial market is one of the fastest-growing in the world, driven by rising participation from retail investors, a robust regulatory framework, and increasing digitalization. Within this ecosystem, sub-brokers have historically played a vital role as intermediaries who connect investors to the stock market through registered stockbrokers.
Although technological advancements and new regulatory norms have transformed their traditional role, sub-brokers continue to be significant, especially in expanding the reach of capital markets into smaller towns and rural areas. Their contribution lies not only in client acquisition but also in investor education, market accessibility, and financial inclusion.
Who is a Sub-Broker?
A sub-broker is an individual or entity who acts as an agent on behalf of a stockbroker to facilitate buying, selling, and trading of securities for clients. They do not hold direct membership of a stock exchange but work under a registered stockbroker who has that membership.
Essentially, a sub-broker serves as a bridge between the investor and the main broker. Before 2018, sub-brokers were directly registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). However, SEBI later discontinued new registrations under this category, directing intermediaries to register instead as Authorised Persons (APs) under brokers.
Evolution of Sub-Brokers in India
The journey of sub-brokers in India is tied closely to the growth of the Indian stock market.
1. Pre-Demat Era
Before the introduction of electronic trading in the 1990s, the stock market was largely paper-based and operated through physical share certificates. Investors relied heavily on personal connections and local agents—who acted as early sub-brokers—to execute trades and manage portfolios.
2. Post-Demat and Online Trading
With the establishment of National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Central Depository Services (CDSL) in the 1990s, trading moved online. Sub-brokers began using digital platforms provided by brokers to execute client trades more efficiently, allowing them to serve a wider base of investors.
3. SEBI’s Regulatory Transformation
SEBI introduced strict norms to bring transparency to sub-broker operations. However, as technology simplified client onboarding, SEBI decided in 2018 to merge the “sub-broker” category into Authorised Persons to streamline supervision and compliance under brokers. Despite the name change, the function remains nearly identical — connecting clients to brokers and markets.
Registration and Compliance Framework
A sub-broker (or now an Authorised Person) must be associated with a SEBI-registered trading member or broker.
Key Requirements:
Broker Association: Must have a written agreement with a SEBI-registered broker.
Education and Experience: Generally, a graduate with sound knowledge of the stock market is preferred.
Infrastructure: Should have office space, internet access, and client service capacity.
KYC and AML Compliance: Must ensure all clients undergo Know-Your-Customer verification and follow Anti-Money Laundering norms.
Revenue Sharing Agreement: Income is typically commission-based, agreed mutually between the sub-broker and the broker.
Transition to Authorised Persons (APs):
After SEBI discontinued the sub-broker category, all existing sub-brokers were required to migrate to the AP model. This made regulatory control more streamlined and reduced duplication in supervision.
Functions of Sub-Brokers in the Financial Market
Sub-brokers perform several crucial functions that contribute to the health and expansion of India’s capital markets.
1. Client Acquisition and Onboarding
One of the most vital roles of sub-brokers is identifying potential investors, guiding them through account opening procedures, and ensuring compliance with KYC requirements. They help new investors, especially in smaller cities, understand trading basics and invest safely.
2. Trade Execution Support
Sub-brokers assist clients in executing trades through the broker’s platform. They explain market orders, stop-loss mechanisms, and portfolio diversification strategies, ensuring investors make informed decisions.
3. Investor Education
For many first-time investors, the sub-broker acts as a teacher. They provide insights into how the stock market works, how to interpret trends, and how to avoid common pitfalls. Their role as educators has been crucial in spreading market literacy across semi-urban and rural regions.
4. Advisory and Relationship Management
Sub-brokers often offer personalized guidance on stock selection, mutual funds, derivatives, or IPOs based on client risk profiles. They maintain long-term relationships by providing continuous portfolio updates and market insights.
5. Expanding Market Reach
Sub-brokers are instrumental in expanding the capital market’s reach. Many investors in Tier II and Tier III cities access stock markets for the first time through local sub-brokers, bridging the urban-rural investment gap.
6. After-Sales and Customer Service
Beyond trade execution, sub-brokers handle client grievances, documentation, and other service issues. Their local presence ensures clients receive quick and reliable support.
Revenue Model of Sub-Brokers
Sub-brokers primarily earn through commission-sharing with the broker. The typical structure involves:
Brokerage Sharing: A certain percentage (ranging from 40% to 80%) of the brokerage charged to clients is shared with the sub-broker.
Incentives: Brokers may offer incentives for achieving higher trading volumes or for onboarding a specific number of clients.
Advisory Fees: In some cases, sub-brokers may charge clients directly for financial advisory or portfolio management services (if authorized).
This model allows sub-brokers to scale their income with client activity while maintaining flexibility in operations.
Technological Transformation and Its Impact
The digital revolution in India’s financial services has redefined the role of sub-brokers.
1. Rise of Discount Brokers
Discount brokers such as Zerodha, Groww, and Upstox have simplified trading through mobile apps and zero-commission models. This reduced dependence on human intermediaries, impacting the traditional sub-broker structure.
2. Digital Client Onboarding
Online KYC, e-signatures, and instant account openings have made it easier for clients to join directly through digital platforms. Sub-brokers now use digital tools for faster onboarding and data management.
3. Hybrid Model Emergence
While online platforms dominate in metros, sub-brokers have adopted a hybrid model—using technology to execute trades but maintaining personal relationships to guide clients, especially those uncomfortable with technology.
4. Data-Driven Advisory
Modern sub-brokers use analytical tools, AI-based platforms, and CRM systems to provide smarter investment advice, track client portfolios, and generate better returns.
Challenges Faced by Sub-Brokers
Despite their importance, sub-brokers face several challenges in the evolving market environment.
1. Regulatory Changes
The shift from sub-broker to Authorised Person created confusion initially, requiring re-registration and adjustment to new norms.
2. Reduced Commissions
With the advent of discount brokers offering low-cost trading, sub-brokers have faced declining commission margins, affecting their income potential.
3. Technological Competition
Automated trading platforms and robo-advisors are reducing the need for manual guidance, especially among tech-savvy investors.
4. Compliance Burden
Strict KYC, reporting, and data privacy requirements demand administrative and technological investments that small sub-brokers may struggle to afford.
5. Market Volatility
Income of sub-brokers is linked to trading volumes. During market downturns, when investor participation drops, their revenue can fall sharply.
Regulatory Oversight by SEBI
SEBI has established a robust framework to ensure that sub-brokers or authorised persons operate transparently.
Key Regulations Include:
Mandatory association with SEBI-registered brokers.
Clear disclosure of revenue-sharing arrangements.
Strict prohibition against unauthorized trading or mis-selling.
Maintenance of investor grievance redressal mechanisms.
Continuous compliance audits and reporting.
These measures safeguard investor interests and maintain trust in the capital market.
Role in Financial Inclusion
Sub-brokers are essential in extending financial inclusion by:
Introducing stock market participation in smaller towns.
Encouraging investments in mutual funds and IPOs.
Helping individuals understand long-term wealth creation through equities.
Assisting in systematic investment planning (SIPs) and retirement planning.
Their local presence and personalized service have helped thousands of first-time investors navigate the complexities of financial markets.
The Future of Sub-Brokers in India
The future of sub-brokers lies in adaptation and evolution.
1. Shift to Advisory and Wealth Management
Instead of relying solely on trade commissions, many sub-brokers are transitioning to financial advisory, mutual fund distribution, and insurance services to diversify income.
2. Partnership with Digital Platforms
Collaborations with online brokers and fintech firms allow sub-brokers to leverage technology while maintaining a local relationship-driven model.
3. Focus on Tier II and Tier III Cities
As India’s smaller cities witness growing disposable income, sub-brokers will play a key role in onboarding new investors and expanding the financial ecosystem.
4. Upskilling and Certification
Continuous training in financial products, regulatory compliance, and technology will help sub-brokers remain competitive in the evolving landscape.
Conclusion
Sub-brokers have been a cornerstone of India’s financial market journey — from paper-based trading floors to digital stock exchanges. Their role as connectors, educators, and facilitators has expanded access to the market, empowered retail investors, and strengthened the foundation of financial inclusion.
Even though the structure has evolved into the Authorised Person model, the essence of their contribution remains unchanged. As India moves toward deeper capital market participation and digital finance, sub-brokers who embrace technology, transparency, and advisory-based services will continue to play an irreplaceable role in shaping the next phase of India’s financial growth.
Arbitrage as the Invisible Hand of Market BalanceUnderstanding the Concept of Arbitrage and Why Cross-Market Opportunities Exist.
Introduction: The Timeless Appeal of Arbitrage
In the world of finance and trading, arbitrage is one of the oldest and most reliable concepts for making profits with minimal risk. The idea is simple yet powerful — taking advantage of price discrepancies for the same asset across different markets or instruments. Arbitrageurs act as the balancing agents of the financial ecosystem. By exploiting small differences in prices, they help maintain market efficiency and price stability.
While it might sound straightforward — buy low here, sell high there — in practice, arbitrage is an intricate process driven by technology, timing, and global financial linkages. Cross-market arbitrage, in particular, shows how interconnected today’s world is, where an event in New York or London can instantly impact prices in Mumbai or Singapore.
Let’s delve deeper into what arbitrage means, its types, and why cross-market opportunities continue to exist despite the rise of advanced trading systems and AI-driven algorithms.
1. What is Arbitrage?
Arbitrage is the practice of simultaneously buying and selling an asset in different markets to profit from the difference in price. The key here is simultaneity — both transactions occur at the same time to lock in a risk-free profit.
In essence, arbitrage ensures that the law of one price holds true: an identical asset should have the same price across all markets. When this is not the case, arbitrageurs step in, quickly exploiting the gap until prices converge again.
Example:
Suppose shares of Company X trade at ₹1,000 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and ₹1,005 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). A trader can buy on NSE and sell on BSE simultaneously, earning ₹5 per share in profit before transaction costs. While this seems small, when executed at scale with automation, such trades can generate significant returns.
2. The Core Principle: The Law of One Price
At the heart of arbitrage lies the law of one price, which states that in an efficient market, identical assets should trade for the same price when exchange rates, transaction costs, and other frictions are considered.
If gold is priced at ₹6,000 per gram in India and $70 per gram in the U.S., and the exchange rate is ₹85 per dollar, then ₹6,000/₹85 = $70.5 per gram — nearly identical. Any meaningful difference would invite traders to move gold (physically or virtually) from one market to another until prices align.
However, real-world markets aren’t always perfectly efficient, which gives rise to temporary price imbalances — and hence, arbitrage opportunities.
3. Types of Arbitrage in Financial Markets
Arbitrage comes in several forms, each suited to different asset classes and market structures. Below are the most common:
a) Spatial (Geographical) Arbitrage
This is the classic form of arbitrage where an asset is bought in one location and sold in another. Common examples include commodities, currencies, or stocks listed on multiple exchanges.
b) Temporal Arbitrage
This occurs when traders exploit price differences across time periods. For instance, buying a stock today and selling a futures contract for delivery next month when the future price is higher.
c) Statistical Arbitrage
Here, traders use quantitative models to identify mispriced securities based on historical relationships. It’s not purely risk-free but relies on probability and mean reversion.
d) Triangular Arbitrage (Currency Markets)
In the forex market, triangular arbitrage involves exploiting discrepancies among three currency pairs. For instance, if EUR/USD, USD/GBP, and EUR/GBP don’t align mathematically, a trader can profit by cycling through the three conversions.
e) Merger or Risk Arbitrage
This form occurs during corporate events such as mergers or acquisitions. Traders speculate on price movements between the target company’s current price and the offer price.
f) Cross-Market Arbitrage
This involves exploiting price differences for the same or related assets across different markets or asset classes — such as spot and futures, or equity and derivatives markets.
Cross-market arbitrage is increasingly important in today’s globalized, interconnected trading landscape.
4. Understanding Cross-Market Arbitrage
Cross-market arbitrage happens when traders take advantage of price differences for the same security, index, or commodity across multiple exchanges or platforms — often across borders.
For example, if Reliance Industries trades at ₹2,500 on the NSE but ₹2,507 on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) as a derivative instrument, an arbitrageur could buy the cheaper one and sell the higher-priced version, profiting from the spread until prices converge.
This form of arbitrage often occurs between:
Spot and futures markets (cash-and-carry arbitrage)
Domestic and international exchanges
Equity and derivative markets
Cryptocurrency exchanges across countries
The profit margins may be narrow, but in high-volume or algorithmic environments, these trades can yield consistent gains.
5. Why Do Cross-Market Opportunities Exist?
If markets are efficient, one might wonder — why do such price differences exist at all? Theoretically, arbitrage should eliminate inefficiencies quickly. However, several real-world frictions allow opportunities to emerge and persist, at least temporarily.
Let’s explore the main reasons:
a) Market Segmentation
Not all investors have access to all markets. Regulatory barriers, currency restrictions, or exchange-specific membership requirements can create segmented markets, allowing the same asset to trade at different prices.
For instance, Chinese A-shares often trade at higher valuations on mainland exchanges compared to Hong Kong-listed H-shares of the same company due to limited investor access in mainland markets.
b) Currency Exchange Rates
When assets are priced in different currencies, exchange rate movements can create temporary mispricing. Even slight discrepancies in forex rates can lead to arbitrage between markets.
c) Liquidity Differences
Some markets are more liquid than others. Lower liquidity can lead to price delays or inefficiencies, allowing faster traders to exploit differences between high-liquidity and low-liquidity venues.
d) Information Asymmetry
Not all markets react to information simultaneously. If news reaches one market faster, prices there adjust sooner, creating short-lived arbitrage opportunities elsewhere.
e) Transaction Delays and Infrastructure Gaps
Even in an era of high-frequency trading, minor lags in data transmission or order execution can result in tiny but exploitable differences between exchanges.
f) Demand and Supply Imbalances
Cross-market demand differences — due to institutional orders, fund flows, or hedging needs — can push prices temporarily away from equilibrium, creating room for arbitrage.
g) Regulatory and Tax Factors
Different tax structures, capital controls, or transaction charges across countries can cause effective price differences for the same asset.
6. How Arbitrage Helps Maintain Market Efficiency
Arbitrage isn’t just about making profits — it plays a crucial stabilizing role in the global financial system.
Whenever arbitrageurs exploit price gaps, their actions force prices back toward equilibrium. For example, buying in the cheaper market increases demand (raising the price) while selling in the expensive market increases supply (lowering the price). This self-correcting mechanism ensures that prices remain aligned across regions and instruments.
In this sense, arbitrage acts as a natural regulator of market inefficiencies, contributing to:
Price uniformity
Efficient capital allocation
Market liquidity
Reduced volatility
7. The Role of Technology in Arbitrage
In earlier decades, arbitrage required manual observation, phone calls, and physical trade execution. Today, it’s dominated by algorithms and high-frequency trading (HFT).
Modern arbitrageurs use advanced systems to:
Track price discrepancies in microseconds
Execute simultaneous trades across exchanges
Manage massive volumes with minimal latency
Technological advancements such as co-location (placing servers near exchange data centers), API connectivity, and AI-driven analytics have transformed arbitrage from human-driven intuition to machine-executed precision.
However, this also means that arbitrage opportunities now close much faster — often within milliseconds — requiring traders to invest heavily in technology.
8. Risks and Challenges in Arbitrage
While arbitrage is considered “risk-free” in theory, in reality, several factors can turn it risky:
Execution Risk: Prices may change before both sides of the trade are completed.
Latency Risk: Delays in order processing can erase profits.
Transaction Costs: Fees, taxes, and slippage can turn a profitable trade into a loss.
Regulatory Restrictions: Some countries restrict cross-border or high-frequency trading.
Currency Risk: Exchange rate fluctuations can alter effective profits.
Thus, while arbitrage is low-risk compared to speculative trading, it demands precision, capital, and infrastructure to succeed consistently.
9. Real-World Examples of Cross-Market Arbitrage
a) NSE–BSE Price Differentials
Large-cap Indian stocks often trade simultaneously on both exchanges. Automated systems constantly scan for minute price differences to execute cross-exchange arbitrage.
b) SGX–Nifty Futures Arbitrage
For years, the SGX Nifty index futures in Singapore traded slightly differently than Indian NSE Nifty futures. Arbitrageurs would buy in one market and sell in the other, balancing the two indices.
c) Cryptocurrency Exchanges
Crypto markets, being decentralized and fragmented, often exhibit significant cross-exchange price differences. For instance, Bitcoin might trade at a premium in South Korea compared to the U.S. — known as the “Kimchi Premium.”
10. The Future of Arbitrage in a Globalized Market
As technology continues to advance and global connectivity deepens, traditional arbitrage margins are shrinking. However, new forms of arbitrage are emerging, especially with the rise of:
Digital assets and tokenized securities
Decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms
Algorithmic and machine-learning-based trading strategies
Cross-market inefficiencies will likely persist in newer, evolving markets where regulatory fragmentation, liquidity gaps, and data asymmetry continue to exist.
In other words, while arbitrage profits might be slimmer, the scope of opportunities is expanding — not disappearing.
Conclusion
Arbitrage is more than just a trading strategy — it’s a mechanism that keeps the global financial system efficient and interconnected. By seizing fleeting opportunities born from imperfections, arbitrageurs ensure that prices reflect true value across geographies and instruments.
Cross-market opportunities exist because no market is perfectly efficient. Differences in time zones, liquidity, regulation, and information flow continuously create temporary imbalances. For traders equipped with speed, strategy, and precision, these moments translate into consistent profits — and for the broader system, into greater market harmony and stability.
In a world that trades 24/7 across borders, arbitrage will always find a way — adapting to new technologies, instruments, and markets — remaining one of the purest expressions of financial logic and opportunity.
Will SUI/USDT hit $20 in current bull market or future?SUI Testing Final Demand Zone: Reversal Imminent?
SUI is currently testing a major re-accumulation zone around $2.1 – $1.8, which previously acted as a strong demand area.
A liquidity grab below this level could trigger a sharp reversal, similar to the last time price swept lows before a massive rally.
The structure remains valid as long as this zone holds.
Once price reclaims the $2.7–$3.0 resistance, momentum could shift strongly bullish, targeting the $4.8 zone, and eventually the $20 macro target if the trend continues.
Support: $2.1 – $1.8
Resistance: $2.7 / $4.8
Macro Target: $20
Of course, NFA & Always DYOR
ACC good profits growth but no price growth - very low pe ratiohigh probable for a bounce - since every-time stock touches the long-term trendline it bounces at least 40-50% + stock pe at a very low point.
2025 Company pe at 15
2020 covid crash pe was 17
2008 crash pe was 8
Company is almost debt free.
Stock P/E 15.0
Sector PE at 50
Market Cap ₹ 34,958 Cr.
ROCE 17.4 %
ROE 13.2 %
looks like a decent movement can happen above 1850-1900 range
and lets look for a volume expansion
this is a likely longterm play on an every-green stock
$ONDO Could Be the Next 20x Gem: Are You Ready?LSE:ONDO Could Be the Next 20x Gem: Are You Ready?
Currently in bearish breakdown, but if price falls below $0.50, IMO best accumulation zone starts.
Strong Support Zones:
Support 1: $0.53–$0.46
Support 2: $0.24–$0.20
Targets (Long Term): $5 / $10 (~20x from entry if filled)
Manage risk & DYOR, huge upside if supports hold!
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 31st October 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25986/91 or 26005 above this bullish then 26069/76 or 97/26107 above this more bullish 26154/64/84/94 then above this wait
If NIFTY sustain below 25877 below this bearish then around 25854/47/35/31 then 25817/11 strong level below this more bearish then 25779/75 then 25761/52 then last hope 25724/14 below this wait
My view :-
For the purpose of your study and analytical review only, my strategy is a 'sell on rise for 31st oct and also 3rd November (Monday)' approach. I must emphasize that this analysis carries an inherent risk of being inaccurate, and the use of stringent risk management protocols is absolutely essential for trade protection
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
NSE ABREL – Identifying Trap Scenarios and Confirmation TriggersNSE ABREL has constructed a corrective A-B-C formation on the daily timeframe chart. The price has fallen 50% from the all-time high of 3410 within 13 months. Wave (B) occurred at 2537.9, where Wave (c) completed the 5-wave cycle at 1635. If the price breaks and closes above 1976, traders can buy for the following targets: 2080 – 2140 – 2185+.
Why can’t we label it early?
We can assume wave (C) is 100% agreed upon without any confirmation. It can be a huge mistake if the price falls below 1880 again; this could signal a complex corrective extension.
Our targets are up to the upper band only because the alternate count says this bounce might still be a wave 4. The move is sharp, but corrective wave 4 rallies often look impulsive.
The trend remains down until the channel is broken.
Important Factors:
Volume Analysis:
Volume on the latest bars is increasing, but not enough to scream “trend reversal”. We need a volume breakout, not just price.
Failure Zone:
Rejection at 1976 = Ugly pullback to 1730 -1700.
Invalidation:
Closing below the Fibonacci retracement 0.618 at 1611 will make this count invalid due to the formation of new lower lows.
Alternative count:
We will look for one more downward move of the ending diagonal (Wave E) before printing the bottom!
Crude sell recommended on weekends, 5310-5270 support Crude sell rise recommended during weekends 5310-5270 support if break then more fall
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Copper as said many times buy on dip , 1045-1060 next Copper continuously buying recommended buy on dip will be continued 1055-1060 next target
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels






















