Gold mcx 2450 points profit booked bought @121500 booked 123950Gold mcx 2450 points profit booked bought at 121500 on Friday today booked at 123950
Buy on dip will be continued
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Harmonic Patterns
How Geopolitical Events Influence Financial Markets1. Introduction to Geopolitics and Financial Markets
Financial markets—encompassing equities, bonds, commodities, foreign exchange, and derivatives—reflect the aggregate expectations of market participants regarding economic performance, corporate profitability, and global stability. Geopolitical events, by altering the perceived stability of economies, directly affect these expectations.
While domestic policies primarily influence local markets, geopolitical events often have transnational consequences. For example, a conflict in the Middle East can impact crude oil prices globally, which in turn affects inflation, interest rates, and stock markets worldwide. Similarly, U.S.-China trade tensions influence currency valuations, supply chains, and technology stocks globally.
2. Mechanisms of Geopolitical Influence
The impact of geopolitical events on financial markets occurs through several mechanisms:
a. Investor Sentiment and Risk Appetite
Markets are inherently psychological. Investors’ perceptions of risk and uncertainty drive buying or selling decisions. Geopolitical instability typically raises risk aversion, leading to capital flight from equities to safe-haven assets such as gold, U.S. Treasury bonds, and the Japanese yen.
Example: During the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, global equities declined sharply as investors feared economic disruption. Simultaneously, gold prices surged, reflecting a flight to safety.
b. Commodity Price Volatility
Many geopolitical events directly impact commodities. Oil, natural gas, and rare earth metals are particularly sensitive. Disruptions in supply from geopolitically unstable regions can trigger sharp price swings.
Oil Markets: The Middle East, home to major oil exporters, often becomes a focal point. Tensions in the Persian Gulf or sanctions on oil-producing nations like Iran can spike crude prices, increasing inflationary pressures worldwide.
Agricultural Commodities: Conflicts in regions like Ukraine, a major grain exporter, can lead to global shortages and food price inflation, affecting stock markets and consumer confidence.
c. Currency and Foreign Exchange Markets
Geopolitical events influence capital flows and currency valuations. Investors often move capital toward perceived “safe” currencies during crises.
Safe-Haven Currencies: U.S. dollar, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen often strengthen during geopolitical uncertainty.
Emerging Market Vulnerability: Countries with high external debt in foreign currencies may face currency depreciation when global risk aversion rises.
d. Trade and Investment Flows
Trade wars, sanctions, and diplomatic tensions disrupt global supply chains and investment flows. Companies with international exposure can experience declining revenues and stock devaluation.
Example: U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018-2019 caused volatility in global equities, particularly in technology stocks reliant on cross-border supply chains.
e. Central Bank and Policy Reactions
Geopolitical events influence monetary and fiscal policies. Central banks may adjust interest rates or intervene in currency markets to mitigate economic shocks. Fiscal authorities may introduce stimulus or impose trade restrictions, influencing liquidity and market valuations.
Example: In response to the Ukraine crisis, European Central Bank (ECB) and other global banks closely monitored inflationary pressures from rising energy prices, influencing bond yields and stock market sentiment.
3. Historical Case Studies
a. Middle East Conflicts and Oil Prices
The oil crises of the 1970s illustrate how geopolitical shocks affect global markets. Political instability in the Middle East led to oil embargoes by OPEC nations, causing energy prices to quadruple. Stock markets plummeted, inflation surged, and recessionary pressures emerged worldwide.
Impact: Oil-dependent industries suffered losses; inflation-indexed bonds gained popularity as hedges; emerging markets faced balance-of-payment crises.
b. 9/11 Terrorist Attacks
The September 11, 2001 attacks in the U.S. created immediate panic in financial markets.
Equities: The New York Stock Exchange closed for several days; the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell over 14% in the following week.
Currencies: The U.S. dollar initially weakened but later strengthened as U.S. government spending increased.
Safe-Haven Assets: Gold and Treasury bonds saw increased demand.
c. Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present)
The ongoing conflict has had multifaceted effects:
Energy Prices: European natural gas prices surged, leading to energy market instability.
Agriculture: Ukraine’s role as a grain exporter caused disruptions in global food supply, raising prices.
Stock Markets: European equities experienced volatility due to geopolitical risk and economic sanctions.
Inflation: Energy-driven inflation forced central banks to revise monetary policies, impacting bond yields.
d. U.S.-China Trade War (2018-2019)
Tariffs and counter-tariffs created uncertainty in global trade and corporate earnings.
Stock Market Volatility: Technology and manufacturing sectors were most affected.
Supply Chains: Companies shifted manufacturing or sourcing to mitigate tariff impacts.
Emerging Markets: Countries integrated into global trade chains faced currency pressure and capital outflows.
4. Sectoral Impacts
Geopolitical events do not impact all sectors equally. Some sectors are more sensitive, while others may benefit:
Energy and Commodities: Oil, gas, and metals respond rapidly to geopolitical supply shocks.
Defense and Security: Military conflicts or heightened tensions often boost defense sector stocks.
Technology and Manufacturing: Global supply chains make these sectors vulnerable to trade restrictions and sanctions.
Consumer Goods: Inflationary pressures from geopolitical events reduce discretionary spending, affecting retail and luxury sectors.
5. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Impacts
a. Short-Term Volatility
Markets often react sharply to immediate news. High-frequency trading and algorithmic systems amplify reactions. Panic selling, liquidity crunches, and herd behavior dominate short-term responses.
Example: A missile strike or sudden announcement of sanctions can cause intraday or weekly spikes in volatility indices (e.g., VIX).
b. Long-Term Structural Changes
Some geopolitical events have enduring effects:
Supply Chain Restructuring: Companies may diversify sourcing to avoid future geopolitical risks.
Investment Patterns: Long-term capital allocation may shift to safer jurisdictions or sectors.
Energy Transition: Dependence on geopolitically unstable regions may accelerate renewable energy adoption.
6. Geopolitical Risk Measurement
Financial institutions use various tools to quantify and monitor geopolitical risk:
Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR): Measures newspaper coverage of geopolitical tensions.
Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Tracks policy-related uncertainties affecting markets.
Volatility Indices: Market-implied volatility reflects risk perception, e.g., VIX for equities.
Credit Default Swaps (CDS): Reflect sovereign and corporate risk perception in conflict zones.
These metrics help investors hedge, diversify, and manage exposure.
7. Investor Strategies Amid Geopolitical Events
Investors employ several strategies to mitigate or capitalize on geopolitical risk:
a. Diversification
Spreading investments across countries, sectors, and asset classes reduces exposure to localized shocks.
b. Safe-Haven Assets
Gold, U.S. Treasuries, and stable currencies act as hedges during geopolitical turmoil.
c. Hedging with Derivatives
Options, futures, and swaps allow investors to hedge currency, commodity, or equity exposure during uncertain periods.
d. Tactical Allocation
Shifting allocations toward sectors likely to benefit from geopolitical developments (e.g., defense, energy) can enhance returns.
8. Challenges in Predicting Geopolitical Impact
Despite advanced analytics, predicting financial market reactions to geopolitical events remains challenging:
Complex Interdependencies: Global markets are interconnected; an event in one region can have cascading effects.
Behavioral Biases: Investor sentiment can overreact or underreact, creating volatility.
Policy Uncertainty: Government interventions can unpredictably amplify or mitigate market responses.
Time Horizon: Markets may react differently in the short term versus long term.
9. Emerging Trends
The modern financial landscape shows evolving dynamics of geopolitical influence:
Cybersecurity Threats: Geopolitical tensions increasingly manifest in cyberattacks, affecting technology and critical infrastructure.
Climate Diplomacy: Conflicts over resources like water or energy can influence commodity markets.
Globalization vs. Regionalization: Trade wars and sanctions push some nations toward regional supply chains, altering investment flows.
Technology and AI: Geopolitical competition in AI and semiconductors creates sector-specific investment risks.
10. Conclusion
Geopolitical events shape financial markets through a complex interplay of investor psychology, commodity prices, currency valuations, trade flows, and policy interventions. While short-term reactions often manifest as volatility and panic selling, long-term effects can restructure industries, supply chains, and investment strategies.
Investors, traders, and policymakers must remain vigilant, continuously monitoring global developments and adopting risk management strategies to navigate uncertainty. The ability to anticipate, analyze, and respond to geopolitical risk is now a fundamental skill in modern financial market participation.
In a globalized world, no market exists in isolation—geopolitical events in one corner of the planet can ripple across continents, affecting everything from energy prices to equities, bonds, and currencies. Understanding these linkages is not just advantageous—it is essential for sustainable and resilient financial decision-making.
The Chart That Could Send $SOL to $6,000: Cup & Handle on 3W TFThe Chart That Could Send CRYPTOCAP:SOL to $6,000: Cup & Handle on 3W Timeframe
Solana is shaping one of the cleanest Cup & Handle patterns on the 3-Week chart, a formation that often signals the start of a massive long-term rally.
Technical Structure
🔹 Cup formed: $260 → $8 → back to $245 — a perfect rounded recovery base.
🔹 Handle forming: Price consolidating between $140–$245, building pressure before breakout.
🔹 Breakout trigger: Clean close above $245 (ATH zone) will confirm the move.
🔹 Targets:
– First target: $480–$500
– Extended target: $2,000–$6,000 if momentum mirrors the last 2200% run.
🔹 Major Support: $74–$90 zone.
What this really means: Solana is quietly preparing for its next macro expansion phase.
A confirmed breakout above ATH could kickstart one of the strongest alt rallies of this cycle.
Bias: Bullish on breakout confirmation
Timeframe: 3W / Long-Term Swing Setup
Plan: Watch $245 zone closely, breakout with volume = game on.
Note: NFA & DYOR
Bitcoin LTF Analysis & Market OutlookBitcoin LTF Analysis & Market Outlook
#Bitcoin still doesn’t look strong on LTF, and I’m expecting some more downside movement in the coming days. So if you’re holding high leverage longs, manage them carefully and always use strict stop loss.
Here’s the key structure to watch:
Resistance 1: $116,000
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to break and hold above this level, momentum stays weak and we could revisit the $100,000 zone again.
Resistance 2: $122,500
Only a confirmed breakout above this level can trigger the next leg toward a new ATH around $150,000.
Until then, play defense. Avoid emotional trades, don’t gamble with your hard-earned money, and only take entries backed by clear confluence, strategy, and discipline.
Remember: The market always rewards patience, not greed. Stay alert, follow structure, and let the setup come to you.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 13, 2025As of October 13th, I would like to share my bearish outlook on Bitcoin.
The first basis is the Shark pattern within the 1.13–1.414 range.
The Shark pattern, established by Scott Carney, is a modified harmonic pattern that defines its PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) within the 1.13–1.414 XA extension range.
This zone represents a region where the buying momentum tends to be exhausted after excessive price expansion,
and it is typically interpreted as an area where strong reversal pressure tends to emerge.
Currently, Bitcoin has entered this 1.13–1.414 range and is repeatedly testing the upper resistance zone.
Therefore, I believe the probability of a short-term bearish reversal is gradually increasing.
The second basis is that Wave 5 forms a 0.382 length ratio relative to Waves 0–3.
This is a Fibonacci-based structural relationship often observed in Elliott Wave Theory.
When Wave 5 fails to extend excessively and remains around 0.382 of Waves 0–3,
it typically indicates a phase of exhaustion, followed by a corrective or retracement phase.
Accordingly, I set the average target price around 111,350 USDT.
Depending on the future development of the chart,
I will provide updates on position management and any changes to this idea.
Thank you for reading.
Technical Analysis and Chart PatternsIntroduction to Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis (TA) is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements in financial markets. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on the intrinsic value of an asset, technical analysis relies on patterns, trends, and statistical indicators to identify trading opportunities. It is widely used across equity, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrency markets by traders of all timeframes, from intraday scalpers to long-term investors.
The foundation of technical analysis rests on three main assumptions:
Market Action Discounts Everything: All information, whether public or private, is already reflected in the current price of an asset.
Prices Move in Trends: Markets follow trends rather than random movement, and identifying these trends can help traders profit.
History Tends to Repeat Itself: Human psychology drives market behavior, and patterns formed in the past tend to recur under similar conditions.
1. Key Principles of Technical Analysis
Trend Analysis
Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Indicates bullish sentiment.
Downtrend: Characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Indicates bearish sentiment.
Sideways/Range-bound Trend: Occurs when prices move horizontally, often leading to breakout opportunities.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent further decline. Often a buying opportunity.
Resistance: A price level where selling pressure prevents further rise. Often a selling opportunity.
Breakouts and Breakdowns: Breaching these levels can signal the start of new trends.
Volume Analysis
Volume reflects the intensity of a price movement.
Rising prices with increasing volume confirm trends, whereas divergences (e.g., rising price with falling volume) indicate potential reversals.
Momentum Indicators
Measure the speed and strength of price movements.
Examples: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator.
Moving Averages
Smooth out price fluctuations to identify trends.
Common types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Crossovers (e.g., 50-day SMA crossing 200-day SMA) are key trading signals.
2. Chart Types
Understanding chart types is crucial for recognizing patterns:
Line Charts
Simple representation connecting closing prices.
Useful for identifying long-term trends but lacks intraday information.
Bar Charts
Displays open, high, low, and close (OHLC) for each period.
Provides more detailed insight into market sentiment.
Candlestick Charts
Originated in Japan; visually appealing and widely used.
Each candlestick shows open, high, low, and close, forming recognizable patterns that signal market direction.
Point and Figure Charts
Ignores time; focuses solely on price changes.
Useful for identifying strong trends and breakout points.
3. Chart Patterns
Chart patterns are visual representations of market psychology, helping traders anticipate future price action. They can be broadly categorized into reversal and continuation patterns.
3.1 Reversal Patterns
Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend.
Head and Shoulders
Signifies a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Features a left shoulder, a head (higher peak), and a right shoulder.
The neckline is the support level; breaking it confirms the trend reversal.
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Opposite of the standard head and shoulders.
Signals reversal from bearish to bullish.
Double Top
Occurs after an uptrend; two peaks at roughly the same level.
Breaking the support level between the peaks signals a downtrend.
Double Bottom
Occurs after a downtrend; two troughs at a similar level.
Breaking the resistance confirms a bullish reversal.
Triple Top/Bottom
Less common but more reliable than double tops or bottoms.
Indicates stronger resistance or support levels.
3.2 Continuation Patterns
Continuation patterns suggest that the existing trend is likely to continue.
Triangles
Ascending Triangle: Bullish; flat resistance and rising support. Breakout likely upwards.
Descending Triangle: Bearish; flat support and descending resistance. Breakout likely downwards.
Symmetrical Triangle: Neutral; breakout direction depends on the preceding trend.
Flags and Pennants
Short-term consolidation patterns after strong moves.
Flags: Rectangular consolidation; pennants: small symmetrical triangles.
Typically continue in the direction of the previous trend.
Rectangles (Trading Ranges)
Horizontal consolidation between support and resistance.
Breakout indicates trend continuation.
3.3 Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick patterns provide detailed insight into market sentiment:
Single Candlestick Patterns
Doji: Indicates indecision; potential reversal if appearing after a strong trend.
Hammer/Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend.
Shooting Star: Bearish reversal after an uptrend.
Multiple Candlestick Patterns
Engulfing Pattern: Bullish or bearish reversal depending on candle alignment.
Morning Star/Evening Star: Signals trend reversal.
Three White Soldiers/Three Black Crows: Strong trend continuation patterns.
4. Indicators and Oscillators
Technical analysis often combines chart patterns with indicators:
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages, MACD, ADX (Average Directional Index)
Momentum Indicators
RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands, Average True Range (ATR)
Volume Indicators
On-Balance Volume (OBV), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
5. Technical Analysis in Trading Strategy
Technical analysis is integrated into different trading strategies:
Day Trading
Focuses on intraday price movements using candlestick patterns and intraday indicators.
Swing Trading
Capitalizes on short to medium-term trends using support/resistance and chart patterns.
Position Trading
Long-term trend following; relies on moving averages, trendlines, and breakout patterns.
Algorithmic Trading
Combines TA rules with automated systems for high-frequency trading.
6. Advantages of Technical Analysis
Quick decision-making due to focus on charts and indicators.
Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes.
Helps identify entry and exit points with greater precision.
7. Limitations of Technical Analysis
Reliance on historical data; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Can produce false signals in highly volatile or low-volume markets.
Requires experience and discipline to interpret patterns accurately.
8. Combining Technical Analysis with Other Tools
Many traders combine TA with fundamental analysis to improve accuracy.
Sentiment analysis, news events, and macroeconomic data can enhance decision-making.
Risk management is essential: stop-loss, position sizing, and portfolio diversification mitigate losses.
Conclusion
Technical analysis and chart patterns provide traders with a structured way to interpret market behavior. While no method guarantees success, mastery of TA enables traders to identify high-probability setups, manage risk, and make informed decisions. With the right combination of pattern recognition, indicator use, and disciplined execution, technical analysis can be a powerful tool in the trader’s arsenal.
By understanding trends, patterns, support/resistance levels, and combining them with indicators and sound risk management, traders can navigate financial markets with greater confidence and precision.
Nifty Future - Harmonic CRAB at the PRZ
TF: 15 minutes
CMP: 25420
The Harmonic Crab pattern is in play and is now at the resistance/PRZ zone of 25400-420
Please be informed that, more often than not, price action at the PRZ is frequently extended beyond the 1.618 fib level (since this pattern itself is known as Extension pattern).
First confirmation of the pullback is break and trade below VWAP (intraday), now placed at 25355
This is an extreme pattern, hence, price volatility is expected
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
ORIENTELEC 1 Day View 📊 Intraday Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
₹201.10
₹199.70
₹198.60
Resistance Levels:
₹203.50
₹204.70
₹206.00
These levels are derived from recent price action and pivot point analysis.
🔍 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 62.39 — indicates a bullish momentum without being overbought.
Moving Averages: The stock is above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), suggesting a positive long-term trend.
MACD: Neutral at 0.000, implying no strong directional momentum.
🔁 Pivot Points (Daily)
Central Pivot Point: ₹202.18
Resistance: ₹203.54 (R1), ₹204.65 (R2), ₹206.01 (R3)
Support: ₹201.07 (S1), ₹199.71 (S2), ₹198.60 (S3)
These levels are based on standard pivot point calculations and can help identify potential reversal zones.
Whales loading $ARB – next 10x play in the makingWhales loading AMEX:ARB – next 10x play in the making
ARB/USDT faced a heavy sell-off during the recent crash, dropping over 77% within hours. But here’s the twist, it bounced back 238% from that low, showing strong market confidence.
What’s even more impressive: price never closed below the key support at $0.25, confirming this zone as a strong accumulation area for the long term.
Technical Overview:
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming after reclaiming demand zone
Support Held: $0.25 zone defended multiple times
Momentum: Bullish recovery with strong volume inflow
Bias: Long-term accumulation
Spot Accumulation Zone: $0.30 – $0.25
Targets: $0.58 / $1.18 / $2.43
Long-Term Potential: If the upcoming Altcoin Season kicks in, AMEX:ARB has the strength to deliver up to 10x returns from the current range.
NFA & DYOR
Natural gas as said yesterday more fall pending, bounce come Natural gas as said yesterday more fall possible 269 near come the. Bounce from support, start buying on dip near 270 -268
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
TAO/USDT did as I Mentioned and Now ready to $1000?GETTEX:TAO Update 🚀
Our $300–$250 entry got filled perfectly during the retracement, just as planned.
Now GETTEX:TAO is up 48% from our accumulation zone and momentum looks strong.
Technically, structure is still bullish:
✅ Strong Bounced Back
✅ Volume expansion
✅ FVG confirmation
I’m eyeing $1000 as my first major target in this bull run.
Smart Money bought the dip. Now the trend does the talking.
NFa & DYOR
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips.
Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
EURGBP MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts Factors That Affect Option Trading Decisions
When trading options, traders must analyze several aspects beyond just price direction:
Market Volatility: Options thrive on volatility. High volatility increases premiums.
Time to Expiry: The closer to expiry, the faster time decay (Theta effect).
Trend and Technical Analysis: Price patterns, volume, and support/resistance levels guide strike selection.
Implied Volatility (IV): It reflects the market’s expectation of future movement.
Events: Earnings announcements, policy decisions, and global news can move volatility and price sharply.
A skilled trader combines these factors with proper strategy and money management.
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – October 13, 2025Today, I would like to share my bearish outlook on Ethereum as of October 13.
The first basis for this view lies in the 0.707 Fibonacci retracement zone.
The 0.707 level is positioned between the traditional 0.618 and 0.786 ratios and is widely recognized in practical chart analysis as a zone where reversals frequently occur after an excessive retracement.
In particular, the 0.707 area is often interpreted as the final attempt by buyers, and resistance reactions at this level generally serve as signals of trend reversal.
Currently, Ethereum is facing upward pressure near this 0.707 ratio, suggesting that the likelihood of a short-term bearish reversal is gradually increasing.
The second basis is that the length ratio between arbitrary waves M and N is 1:1.618.
This forms a golden ratio structure, which aligns with a typical pattern where a corrective (retracement) wave appears after an asymmetrically extended impulsive wave.
In other words, when Wave N extends to 1.618 times the length of Wave M, it indicates that the market has entered an overheated phase—often followed by a corrective decline.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 3,840 USDT.
Depending on the subsequent development of the chart,
I will provide updates on this idea, including position management and any notable changes.
Thank you for reading.
Gold 95 points profit booked , bought at 3995 booked at 4090Gold booked 95 points profit.
Buy on dip will be continued
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts Option Chain and Market Data
Traders analyze the option chain—a table showing available strikes, premiums, and open interest.
Key Insights from Option Chain:
Open Interest (OI):
High OI at a strike → strong support or resistance zone.
Change in OI:
Helps identify where traders are building positions.
Put-Call Ratio (PCR):
Indicator of market sentiment.
PCR > 1 → bullish sentiment; PCR < 1 → bearish.
Option chain analysis helps identify market bias, expected ranges, and potential breakout zones.
CRUDE OIL By KRS ChartsDate: 2nd July 2025 / 19:35
Why Crude Oil ?
1. Starting with 1H Tf. Accumulation is visible with LLs to Sideways and now HHs & HLs
2. Crude oil Price is currently in Buy Zone with strong support.
3. Recent Gap Dow is likely to be Shakeout for Buyers.
4. In Bigger Timeframe price has made Low in March is likely to be the bottom as per Wave thoery.
5. After that bottom price on Higher low side price accumulating.
6. From Here it seems like bullish side trades will be better option for Crude Oil for Targets which are mentioned in Chart. (Medium Term View).
DMARTHello & welcome to this analysis
DMART has usually reversed regularly from Harmonic Patterns as can be seen in this chart in daily time from a
Bullish Reciprocal ABCD
to a
Bearish Deep Crab
to now forming a
Bullish Reciprocal ABCD
If it sustains above 4200 then it could give a probable bounce/reversal to 4400 & 4550 indicating a good risk : reward ratio
All the best
Trade Setup: DMART | Rally–Base–Rally zone 14AUG25🟢 Trade Setup: DMART (Avenue Supermarts Ltd)
- 📅 Entry Date: Oct 06, 2025
- 💰 Buy Price: ₹4375
- 🔍 Setup Logic: Rally–Base–Rally zone identified around 14AUG25, signaling bullish continuation
- 🧠 Bias: Anticipating momentum build-up into the 14AUG25 zone
- ⏳ Exit Plan: Will exit before Oct 20, 2025 (14 days from entry)
- 📌 Exit Price: To be updated post execution
- 📊 Trade Type: Positional, short-term momentum play
- 🛡️ Risk Note: Time-based exit strategy, not dependent on price target
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EURCHF MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.