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Harmonic Patterns

Managing Losses and Drawdowns: The Psychology Behind DrawdownsUnderstanding Losses and Drawdowns A loss is the negative outcome of an individual trade, while a drawdown refers to the peak-to-trough decline in an account’s equity over a period of time. Drawdowns can be shallow and short-lived or deep and prolonged. Every trading system, no matter how robust, experiences drawdowns due to changing market conditions, randomness, and uncertainty. The problem is not the drawdown itself but how the trader reacts to it. Poor psychological responses often turn manageable drawdowns into catastrophic losses. Why Drawdowns Hurt So Much Psychologically Human psychology is not naturally suited for probabilistic environments like financial markets. Several deep-rooted psychological biases intensify the pain of drawdowns: Loss Aversion People feel the pain of losses roughly twice as strongly as the pleasure of gains. A 10% loss emotionally outweighs a 10% gain. During drawdowns, this bias magnifies fear and discomfort, pushing traders to make irrational decisions. Ego and Identity Attachment Many traders subconsciously link their self-worth to their trading performance. When losses occur, they don’t just feel financial pain—they feel personal failure. This emotional attachment makes it difficult to accept losses objectively. Recency Bias Traders tend to overweight recent outcomes. After a series of losses, the mind starts believing that losses will continue indefinitely, even if the strategy is statistically sound. This leads to abandoning good systems at the worst possible time. Need for Control Markets are uncertain, but the human brain craves control. Drawdowns expose the illusion of control, triggering anxiety and impulsive behavior such as overtrading, revenge trading, or excessive position sizing. Common Psychological Mistakes During Drawdowns Drawdowns often trigger destructive behaviors that worsen the situation: Revenge Trading: Trying to recover losses quickly by taking oversized or low-quality trades. System Hopping: Abandoning a strategy mid-drawdown and jumping to another, often just before the original strategy recovers. Freezing: Becoming so afraid of further losses that the trader stops executing valid setups. Risk Escalation: Increasing risk per trade to “get back to breakeven,” which usually deepens the drawdown. These behaviors stem from emotional reactions rather than rational analysis. Reframing Drawdowns as a Normal Cost One of the most powerful psychological shifts is reframing drawdowns as a business expense rather than a failure. Just as a business has operating costs, trading has unavoidable drawdowns. The goal is not to eliminate drawdowns but to keep them within acceptable limits. Professional traders expect drawdowns. They plan for them, measure them, and structure their risk management around them. When a drawdown occurs, it is seen as confirmation that the system is operating within normal statistical boundaries—not as a sign that something is broken. Risk Management as Psychological Protection Effective risk management is not just a mathematical tool; it is psychological armor. Fixed Risk Per Trade: Limiting risk to a small percentage (e.g., 0.5–2%) ensures that no single trade can cause emotional or financial devastation. Maximum Drawdown Limits: Predefining a maximum acceptable drawdown (for example, 10–15%) creates a safety net and reduces panic. Position Sizing Discipline: Smaller position sizes reduce emotional pressure, making it easier to follow the plan consistently. When risk is controlled, the mind remains clearer during losing streaks. Building Psychological Resilience Managing drawdowns requires emotional resilience, which can be developed over time: Process Over Outcome Focus Judge success by how well you followed your trading plan, not by short-term profits or losses. A well-executed losing trade is still a successful action. Statistical Confidence Deep understanding of your strategy’s historical performance—win rate, expectancy, and worst-case drawdowns—builds confidence during difficult periods. When you know what is “normal,” fear loses its power. Journaling and Self-Awareness Maintaining a trading journal that records not just trades but emotions helps identify psychological patterns. Awareness is the first step to control. Emotional Detachment Viewing trades as independent events rather than personal judgments reduces emotional volatility. You are not your P&L. The Role of Patience and Time Drawdowns often resolve not through action but through patience. Many traders fail because they cannot tolerate discomfort long enough for probabilities to play out. Markets reward discipline over time, not emotional reactions in the short term. Understanding that recovery from a drawdown mathematically requires time and consistency helps align expectations with reality. A calm, patient trader is statistically advantaged over an emotionally reactive one. Learning from Drawdowns Without Overreacting Not all drawdowns are meaningless. Some indicate genuine issues such as changing market regimes or flawed execution. The key is objective analysis, not emotional reaction. Traders should review drawdowns calmly, asking: Did I follow my rules? Has market structure changed? Is this within historical norms? If the drawdown is normal, continue. If something is structurally wrong, make measured adjustments—never impulsive ones. Conclusion Managing losses and drawdowns is primarily a psychological challenge, not a technical one. Drawdowns test discipline, patience, confidence, and emotional control. They expose weaknesses in mindset more than flaws in strategy. Traders who survive and thrive are those who accept drawdowns as inevitable, manage risk intelligently, and maintain emotional stability during periods of stress. Ultimately, success in trading is not about avoiding losses—it is about learning how to lose well. Those who master the psychology behind drawdowns transform adversity into endurance, and endurance into long-term profitability.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Silver mcx this week booked 20000 points huge profit holding buyParameter Data Asset Name Silver (SILVER) MCX Mar 2026 Futures Price Movement 🟥 Strong Intraday Correction (LTP: ₹2,09,000 | -0.95%) Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS (Accumulate near S1/S2 levels) SMC Structure 🟩 Aggressive Bullish Order Flow (Structure: Break of Structure - BOS) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above ₹2,11,000 | 🟩 Liquidity Void: ₹1,99,000 Probability 🟩 70% (For a bounce-back after testing the 20-DEMA) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Strong fundamental supply-side narrative) Max Pain 🟨 ₹2,05,000 (Based on current options concentration) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 50/200-DEMA; Testing 10-DEMA for support. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹2,06,500, S2: ₹1,99,000, S3: ₹1,95,000 Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹2,11,000, R2: ₹2,15,500, R3: ₹2,20,000 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 62 (Cooling from 80), ADX: 32 (Strong Trend) Market Depth 🟨 High Liquidity (Heavy participation in Mar/May contracts) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Annualized Volatility >35%) Source Ledger MCX Real-time / COMEX Global Arbitrage OI 🟩 13.12 K (Decreasing OI indicates profit booking from longs) PCR 🟩 1.25 (Bullish - Puts being written at lower strikes) VWAP 🟥 LTP < VWAP (Bearish intraday bias below ₹2,10,200) Turnover 🟩 Very High (Top traded commodity on MCX today) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish Deep Crab (Completing near R1 zone) IV/RV 🟥 IV Expansion (Premiums expensive due to record highs) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Market pricing in further "melt-up" scenarios) Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting price stability into expiry) Block Trades 🟩 Large Buy Blocks recorded at ₹2,04,000 level earlier. COT Positioning 🟩 Commercials Short / Non-Commercials Extreme Long Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Decoupling from Gold (Outperforming Gold significantly) ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Physically-backed ETFs hitting 5-year highs) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (Retail sentiment at 92/100) OFI 🟥 -1200 Contracts (Net selling pressure in the last hour) Delta 🟥 Negative Intraday Delta (Aggressive market sell orders) VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band: ₹2,04,100 | Upper Band: ₹2,14,500 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Sector Leader (Silver > Base Metals > Precious Metals) Market Phase 🟩 Advanced Markup / Blow-off Top potential
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
1
Gold mcx this week we booked 5500 points profit, holding buy nowParameter Data Asset Name Gold (GC) MCX Feb 2026 Futures Price Movement 🟥 Bearish Intraday / Bullish Macro (LTP: ₹1,33,772 | -0.56%) Current Trade 🟨 WAIT & WATCH (Seek reversal near S1/S2 levels) SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (Deep pullback into internal demand zone) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above ₹1,34,520 | 🟩 Liquidity Void: ₹1,33,100 Probability 🟨 65% (For consolidation at current base before bounce) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟨 Medium (High volatility due to BoJ & USD fluctuations) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,34,000 (Based on 31 Dec Expiry Options chain) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price above 200-DEMA; Testing 20-DEMA support. Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,33,110, S2: ₹1,32,450, S3: ₹1,31,500 Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,34,520, R2: ₹1,35,350, R3: ₹1,35,970 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 54 (Neutralizing), ADX: 28 (Trend strength fading) Market Depth 🟨 Balanced (Heavy sell-side absorption near R1) Volatility 🟩 High (Intraday range expansion observed) Source Ledger MCX Real-time / Global Spot Sync OI 🟥 Short Build-up (Slight increase in OI with falling prices) PCR 🟩 1.16 (Bullish bias maintained in options) VWAP 🟥 Below VWAP (Price trading below intraday average) Turnover 🟩 High (Volume confirms the significance of the drop) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Cypher (Developing on 4H timeframe) IV/RV 🟩 IV: 13.0% (Slight expansion during the fall) Options Skew 🟩 Bullish (Calls still trading at premium for far-month) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Market stabilizing post-BoJ impact) Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying seen at lower ₹1,33,500 levels COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Managed money remains heavily long) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Negative with DXY (Dollar strength is the current headwind) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Return of ETF demand as US rates cool) Sentiment Index 🟨 Greed (Cooling off from Extreme Greed) OFI 🟥 Negative (Sell orders dominating the order book) Delta 🟥 Cumulative Delta: Negative (Aggressive sellers active) VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band Support: ₹1,33,480 Rotation Metrics 🟨 Commodity Sector Lead (Still outperforming Equities) Market Phase 🟨 Markup Phase / Consolidation
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
2
Copper Upmove will continue buy on dip 1155-1170, final 1500++ Parameter Data Asset Name Copper (HG) MCX Dec 2025 Futures Price Movement 🟩 Bullish Trend / Intraday Sideways (LTP: ₹1,114.20 | +0.22%) Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS (Targeting ₹1,125 near-term) SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Markup Phase (Market in a parabolic wave 5) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply Zone: ₹1,119 - ₹1,124 | 🟩 Demand Zone: ₹1,100 - ₹1,105 Probability 🟩 75% (Persistence of supply-side deficit supports rally) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Strongly backed by global smelter output cuts) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,100 (Highest Put OI concentration for Dec expiry) DEMA Levels 🟩 Above 20, 50, & 200-DEMA (Clear trend alignment) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,110, S2: ₹1,100, S3: ₹1,082 Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,119.55, R2: ₹1,125, R3: ₹1,147 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 66 (Near Overbought), ADX: 34 (Strong Bull Trend) Market Depth 🟩 High Volume (Heavy accumulation seen in Jan/Feb far-month) Volatility 🟨 Moderate (CVOL Index cooling slightly to 27.2) Source Ledger MCX Real-time / LME Global Benchmark Sync OI 🟥 Short Covering (LTP up +0.22%, OI down -1.64%) PCR 🟩 1.32 (Highly Bullish positioning in Dec contracts) VWAP 🟩 Above VWAP (Intraday strength sustained above ₹1,112) Turnover 🟩 Increasing (Reflects institutional interest in base metals) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish Butterfly (Forming near multi-year channel top) IV/RV 🟨 Stable (Implied Volatility not yet pricing in a crash) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Oversized premium on ₹1,150 strike calls) Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive Delta Decay (Supporting bulls into the year-end) Block Trades 🟩 Adani Copper/Mine Deals providing long-term floor. COT Positioning 🟩 Extreme Net Long (Speculators heavily positioned for $12k LME) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Inverse with DXY (Dollar rebound remains the only threat) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Base metal ETFs gaining at expense of agriculture) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (Retail traders chasing the breakout) OFI 🟩 Positive (Buy-side orders outnumbering sell-side at ₹1,112) Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Positive (Aggressive buyers dominant) VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper Band: ₹1,121 | Lower Band: ₹1,106 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Industrial Lead (Base Metals outperforming Precious Metals) Market Phase 🟩 Vertical Markup / Blow-off Phase
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold shows bullish near 4355 bearish close indicates reversal.Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with the price moving up to 4355. However, the market closing with bearish pressure indicates a potential reversal. The 4355 level is an important resistance point, and traders might consider entering a sell trade here. Setting a stop loss at 4374 would provide some room for price action to fluctuate while keeping risk in check. If the resistance at 4355 holds, the market could retrace towards 4320, which is the next key support level. The confirmation of this move should be based on the price action around the resistance zone. Traders should be cautious and monitor the market closely for any signs of a breakout above 4374, which would invalidate this bearish setup. It's important to always use proper risk management, and adjusting the stop loss accordingly if the market behaves differently than expected can help reduce potential losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
Crude mcx sell on rise until 5150 not break weekend avoid tradeParameter Data Asset Name Crude Oil (CL) MCX Jan 2026 Futures Price Movement 🟥 Strong Bearish Momentum (LTP: ₹5,077 | -0.76%) Current Trade 🟥 SELL ON RISE (Resistance near ₹5,150) SMC Structure 🟥 Bearish Order Flow (Clear lower-high sequence) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: ₹5,230 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: ₹4,950 Probability 🟩 70% (Continuation toward ₹5,000 psychological support) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Trend aligned with global macro/geopolitical stance) Max Pain 🟨 ₹5,100 (Highest Call writing at ₹5,100-₹5,200 strikes) DEMA Levels 🟥 Below 20, 50, 100 & 200-DEMA (Strong Bearish Grip) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹5,030, S2: ₹4,960, S3: ₹4,880 Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹5,150, R2: ₹5,230, R3: ₹5,310 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 34 (Oversold but trending), ADX: 31 (Strong Trend) Market Depth 🟥 Sell-Side Dominant (High volume on red candles) Volatility 🟩 High (ATR expanding as prices test new lows) Source Ledger MCX Real-time / NYMEX WTI Sync OI 🟥 Short Build-up (OI up +10.91% with falling prices) PCR 🟥 0.58 (Bearish sentiment in January Options) VWAP 🟥 LTP < VWAP (Trading below intraday average of ₹5,110) Turnover 🟩 High (Reflects panic selling and long unwinding) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Bearish AB=CD (Targeting the ₹4,900 zone) IV/RV 🟩 IV: 31.4% (Normalizing after the weekly spike) Options Skew 🟥 Put Skew (Expensive Puts as traders hedge downside risk) Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging adding weight to the fall) Block Trades 🟥 Large Sell Blocks observed at ₹5,180 level. COT Positioning 🟥 Non-Commercials Reducing Longs (Managed money exiting) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with DXY (Dollar strength hurting oil) ETF Rotation 🟥 Outflows (Capital moving out of Energy into Staples/Utilities) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Fear (Prices hitting multi-year lows) OFI 🟥 Negative (Heavy distribution at ₹5,100 resistance) Delta 🟥 Cumulative Delta: Strongly Negative VWAP Bands 🟨 Lower Band: ₹5,010 | Upper Band: ₹5,190 Rotation Metrics 🟥 Sector Laggard (Energy is the weakest 2025 sector) Market Phase 🟥 Markdown / Capitulation Phase
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
DATAMATCIS GLOBAL SERVICE LIMITED ANALYSISTHIS IS MY CHART OF THE WEEK PICK FOR LEARNING PURPOSE DATAMATICS GLOBAL SERVICE LTD- The current price of DATAMATICS is 826.05 rupees I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows- 1. It's retesting the zone which acted as a good resistance in 2023. Before it acted as resistance and now it should act as some support. 2. This stock has seen some great buying since 2021. It has consolidated in between and continued it's run. It has got time correction which was required. 3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks. 4. The risk and reward is favourable. 5. The stock is one of the outperformers in this market. The structure is great as of now. It has also outperformed it's sector. 6. Another good part- The overall sector has shown some decent strength and have good momentum. I am expecting more from this in coming weeks. I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that. My SL is at 713.55 rupees. I will be managing my risk.
NSE:DATAMATICSLong
by Its_Bhushan
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading How Option Trading Works When a trader buys a call option, they expect the price of the underlying asset to rise above the strike price before expiration. If the price rises significantly, the trader can either exercise the option or sell it in the market for a profit. Similarly, buying a put option reflects a bearish view, where the trader expects prices to fall. Option sellers, on the other hand, earn income through the premium received. However, selling options involves higher risk, as losses can be substantial if the market moves sharply against the position.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 1 Ride The Big MovesWhat Are Options? An option is a financial derivative contract that derives its value from an underlying asset such as a stock, index, commodity, or currency. The contract gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price, known as the strike price, on or before a specified date called the expiration date. The seller (or writer) of the option has the obligation to fulfill the contract if the buyer chooses to exercise the option. There are two main types of options: Call Options: Give the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Options: Give the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. The buyer pays a price known as the premium to the seller for acquiring this right.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Candle Pattern What Are Candlestick Patterns? Candlestick patterns originate from Japanese rice traders and represent the open, high, low, and close of price. They are especially useful for identifying short-term reversals, continuations, and market indecision. Common Mistakes Traders Make Trading patterns without confirmation Ignoring higher timeframes Overtrading every pattern Forgetting risk management Ignoring market context and trend Patterns work best when aligned with: Trend direction Support & resistance Volume Broader market sentiment
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Mid-Cap TradingUnlocking Multi-Bagger Moves Through Strategy, Patience, and Discipline Mid-cap trading has long been regarded as the sweet spot for investors and traders seeking multi-bagger returns—stocks that can grow two, three, five, or even ten times over a period of time. Positioned between large, stable blue-chip companies and highly volatile small-cap stocks, mid-cap companies offer a unique balance of growth potential and relative stability. When approached with the right framework, mid-cap trading can become one of the most powerful wealth-creation strategies in the equity market. Understanding Mid-Caps and Their Multi-Bagger Potential Mid-cap stocks typically belong to companies with a market capitalization that reflects a business in transition. These firms have already proven their business models, survived early-stage risks, and built a customer base, yet they are still far from saturation. This stage of corporate life is crucial because earnings growth can accelerate rapidly when market share expands, operating leverage kicks in, and new business segments mature. Multi-bagger moves often emerge when a mid-cap company transitions into a large-cap. During this phase, valuation re-rating plays a critical role. As profits grow consistently, institutional investors begin accumulating the stock, analysts initiate coverage, liquidity improves, and the market starts assigning higher valuation multiples. This combination of earnings growth and multiple expansion is what fuels explosive price appreciation. Why Mid-Caps Outperform Over Market Cycles Historically, mid-cap stocks have outperformed large-caps over long market cycles because they combine scalability with innovation. Large companies grow slowly due to size constraints, while small companies face survival risks. Mid-caps sit in the middle—big enough to withstand economic shocks but agile enough to adapt, innovate, and expand aggressively. Another reason for outperformance is information inefficiency. Many mid-cap companies are under-researched compared to large-caps. This creates opportunities for traders and investors who are willing to dig deeper into financial statements, management commentary, and industry trends. When the broader market eventually recognizes the company’s true potential, prices adjust sharply upward. Identifying Mid-Caps with Multi-Bagger Potential Successful mid-cap trading begins with stock selection. Not every mid-cap becomes a multi-bagger, and the key lies in identifying companies with sustainable growth drivers. Strong revenue and profit growth, improving return ratios (ROE and ROCE), manageable debt levels, and positive operating cash flows are foundational traits. Equally important is management quality. Visionary and ethical leadership with a clear growth roadmap often separates average performers from extraordinary ones. Companies expanding capacity, entering new markets, launching innovative products, or benefiting from sectoral tailwinds tend to deliver outsized returns. Sector trends also matter. Mid-caps operating in sunrise industries—such as renewable energy, specialty chemicals, defense manufacturing, digital infrastructure, healthcare, and niche financial services—often enjoy long growth runways. When company-specific execution aligns with favorable macro and sectoral trends, multi-bagger potential increases significantly. Technical Timing in Mid-Cap Trading While fundamentals identify what to buy, technical analysis helps decide when to buy. Mid-cap stocks often move in strong momentum phases punctuated by periods of consolidation. Breakouts from long bases, volume expansion, higher-high and higher-low structures, and relative strength versus benchmark indices are classic technical signs of an emerging multi-bagger. Because mid-caps can be volatile, risk management is crucial. Traders often scale into positions rather than investing all at once, adding exposure as the trend confirms itself. Using trailing stop-losses protects capital while allowing profits to run—an essential principle in capturing large moves. Holding Through Volatility: The Psychological Edge One of the biggest challenges in mid-cap trading is holding onto winners. Multi-bagger stocks rarely move in a straight line. They experience corrections, profit-booking phases, and market-wide drawdowns. Weak hands exit early, while disciplined traders use volatility as a filter rather than a trigger to panic. Emotional control plays a decisive role. Fear during corrections and greed during rallies can derail even the best analysis. Successful mid-cap traders develop the patience to hold quality stocks through temporary noise, focusing instead on long-term business performance and trend structure. The Role of Institutions and Liquidity A key phase in a mid-cap’s journey toward becoming a multi-bagger is institutional participation. As mutual funds, insurance companies, and foreign investors accumulate shares, liquidity improves and price movements become more directional. Tracking shareholding patterns and volume behavior can offer valuable clues about smart money involvement. However, traders must also remain cautious. Overcrowded mid-cap trades can lead to sharp corrections if growth expectations fail to materialize. Continuous monitoring of earnings consistency and guidance is essential to avoid value traps. Risk Management and Capital Allocation Mid-cap trading is not about betting everything on a single idea. Diversification across sectors and themes helps reduce portfolio risk. Position sizing based on volatility and conviction ensures that no single stock can cause irreversible damage to capital. Equally important is knowing when to exit. If fundamentals deteriorate, growth slows significantly, or the technical trend breaks decisively, disciplined exits preserve capital for better opportunities. Multi-bagger investing is as much about avoiding permanent losses as it is about chasing big gains. Conclusion: Mid-Caps as Engines of Wealth Creation Mid-cap trading offers one of the most compelling paths to multi-bagger returns in equity markets. It blends growth, opportunity, and manageable risk when approached with a structured process. By combining strong fundamental analysis, precise technical timing, sound risk management, and psychological discipline, traders can position themselves to capture extraordinary moves. In essence, mid-cap multi-baggers are not found by chance—they are identified early, accumulated patiently, and held with conviction. For those willing to do the work and stay committed through market cycles, mid-cap trading can transform capital growth from incremental to exponential.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
Bitcoin AI tool data Analysis showing accumulation on lower pricParameter Data Asset Name Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Spot Price Movement 🟨 Neutral/Consolidation (LTP: $88,000 | +1.12% 24h) Current Trade 🟨 ACCUMULATE (Spot buying preferred over high-leverage) SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation within Bullish Macro (Testing 4H Order Block) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: $92,000 | 🟩 Liquidity Pool: $84,450 Probability 🟨 60% (Likely range-bound movement until year-end expiry) Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟨 Medium (Elevated volatility due to Dec 26 OpEx) Max Pain 🟨 $86,800 (Current Options Max Pain level) DEMA Levels 🟨 Trading below 20-DEMA; Testing 50-DEMA support ($85.6k) Supports 🟩 S1: $84,450, S2: $81,200, S3: $78,500 Resistances 🟥 R1: $91,500, R2: $98,000, R3: $110,000 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI: 48 (Neutral), ADX: 24 (Trend losing momentum) Market Depth 🟩 High ($27B Open Interest maintained) Volatility 🟥 High (30-day realized volatility near 45%) Source Ledger Binance / Deribit / CME Aggregate OI 🟩 $27.00B (Stable OI suggesting long-term conviction) PCR 🟥 0.38 - 0.58 (Put/Call ratio indicates heavy Call selling) VWAP 🟩 Above VWAP (Intraday recovery sustained above $87,200) Turnover 🟩 Increasing (High volume on the $87k rebound) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Potential Gartley (Completing near $84k support) IV/RV 🟥 IV: 57% - 58% (Option premiums elevated due to risk) Options Skew 🟥 -5% (Put Skew) (Downside protection is expensive) Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative (Dealer hedging creating friction near $90k) Block Trades 🟩 Whale Accumulation detected at $85,000–$86,000 range. COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Asset managers increasing long exposure) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟥 Negative with DXY (Inverse move with USD continues) ETF Rotation 🟨 Neutral (Outflows slowing; IBIT seeing renewed interest) Sentiment Index 🟨 Fear/Neutral (Flipping from Greed last month) OFI 🟩 Positive (Bid-side orders gaining strength at $87.5k) Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Neutralizing (Sellers losing steam) VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper: $90,100 | Lower: $85,800 Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging Alts (Solana/Ethereum showing 3-4% strength) Market Phase 🟨 Re-accumulation Phase
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
BSE Ltd –19 Dec 2025-Intraday Bearish Setup | 15 Points CapturedMarket Structure Insight After an initial upside move, price failed to sustain above the key Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5–0.618). This area acted as a strong supply zone, clearly visible on the chart. 🔔 BTR Indicator Signal BTR generated a clear Bearish Signal inside the supply zone Multiple rejection candles confirmed seller dominance Momentum shifted from bullish retracement to bearish continuation 🧭 Trade Plan Short Entry: Near Fib 0.618 rejection zone, BTR Generate Short Signal at 2700 Stop Loss: Above supply zone high Target: Demand zone / previous low Exit: Near 2685 as price entered demand zone ✅ Result: +15 Points Intraday Gain 📌 Why This Setup Worked ✔ Fibonacci retracement confluence ✔ BTR bearish confirmation ✔ Lower high formation ✔ Strong demand zone for clean exit ✔ Disciplined risk management
NSE:BSEShort
by Adijohn
ETH UNDER PRESSURE - BREAKDOWN Ethereum slipped below the $3,000 support, following heavy selling in spot ETH ETFs. Net outflows hit $224.7M in a single day, the largest exit in weeks, extending total ETF selling to $286.5M over the past three days. Notably, BlackRock and Grayscale led the withdrawals, with zero inflows recorded across funds. This breakdown triggered a liquidation cascade, wiping out nearly $168M in ETH long positions and driving price down toward the $2,895 zone. 📉 Technical View: ETH remains under bearish pressure, forming a bearish flag while a confirmed death cross keeps downside risk elevated. Unless price reclaims resistance near $3,170, the structure points toward a potential move to the $2,620 support zone. ⚠️ Market Takeaway: Momentum favors the downside for now. Bulls need a strong reclaim of key resistance to shift sentiment — otherwise, volatility remains skewed against longs.
Short
by tradewith_ritik
Reliance Industries Stock Analysis: Fibonacci Breakout volume 📈 Overview Reliance Industries Limited (NSE: RELIANCE) has demonstrated a strong bullish move on the 4-hour chart, breaking above key Fibonacci retracement levels with rising volume. As of December 19, 2025, the stock is trading at ₹1,566.90, up ₹22.90 (+1.48%) from the previous session. This surge, coupled with technical indicators, suggests potential continuation toward higher resistance zones. 🔍 Key Technical Indicators Fibonacci Retracement Levels Drawn from the swing high of ₹1,580.20 to the swing low of ₹1,466.70: 0.236 Level: ₹1,493.50 0.382 Level: ₹1,510.05 0.5 Level: ₹1,523.45 0.618 Level: ₹1,536.85 0.786 Level: ₹1,555.90 1.0 Level: ₹1,580.20 The current price has broken above the 0.786 level, indicating bullish strength and a potential test of the 1.0 level at ₹1,580.20. Volume Analysis Latest Volume: 5.68M Rising volume confirms the breakout, suggesting strong buyer interest and momentum. 📊 Price Action Insights Current Price: ₹1,566.90 High: ₹1,574.20 Low: ₹1,551.00 Trend: Bullish breakout above 0.786 Fibonacci level Candlestick patterns show strong green candles with minimal wicks, indicating decisive upward movement. The breakout above ₹1,555.90 (0.786 level) is significant, as it often precedes a retest of the swing high. 📌 Trading Strategy Bullish Scenario Entry: Above ₹1,566.90 Target 1: ₹1,580.20 Target 2: ₹1,595.00 Stop Loss: Below ₹1,551.00 Bearish Scenario (if reversal occurs) Entry: Below ₹1,551.00 Target 1: ₹1,536.85 Target 2: ₹1,523.45 Stop Loss: Above ₹1,566.90 🧠 Sentiment & Momentum Market Sentiment: Bullish Momentum: Strong, supported by volume and breakout structure 📅 Timeframe Consideration This analysis is based on the 4-hour chart, suitable for: Swing traders targeting multi-day moves Intraday traders seeking confirmation from higher timeframes 📌 Final Thoughts Reliance Industries is showing strong bullish momentum with a breakout above key Fibonacci levels. Traders should monitor price action near ₹1,580.20 for potential resistance or continuation. Volume confirms the move, making this setup ideal for short-term gains.
NSE:RELIANCE
by RealforexsignalsDworldforum
ACTUSDT – Sell Setup (Futures | Intermediate)ACTUSDT – Sell Setup (Futures | Intermediate) ACTUSDT is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to sustain above the recent resistance zone. Price action suggests sellers are regaining control, with lower highs forming and momentum shifting to the downside. A sell-stop entry at 0.02797 is planned to confirm continuation below support. If bearish momentum accelerates, price is expected to move toward 0.02739 as the first target, followed by 0.02677, which aligns with the next demand zone. The stop loss at 0.02884 is placed above the invalidation level to protect against false breakdowns. Overall, the structure favors continuation selling as long as price remains below resistance and broader market sentiment stays neutral to bearish.
Short
by tradewith_ritik
Gold comex be ready for downmove heavy fall AI data showsParameter Data Asset Name 🟨 Gold Futures (COMEX / GC - Feb '26) Price Movement 🟩 Strong Bullish ($4,357.90 / +0.73% Today) Current Trade 🟩 BUY ON DIPS (Targeting $4,398 ATH & $4,425) SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (Strong acceptance above 4300 shelf) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Liquidity Sweep: Below 4330 / 🟥 Trap: Above 4385 Probability 🟩 78% Bullish Continuation Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Strong Central Bank & ETF backing) Max Pain 🟨 $4,250 (Significant Put Concentration) DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price > 50-DEMA $4,125 & 200-DEMA) Supports 🟩 S1: 4334 / S2: 4300 / S3: 4245 Resistances 🟥 R1: 4375 / R2: 4382 (ATH) / R3: 4425 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 ADX 35 (Strong Trend) / RSI 69.9 (Near Overbought) Market Depth 🟩 High (Strong bid stacking at 4320-4330) Volatility 🟨 Moderate (CVOL 19.8) / Increasing into Year-end Source Ledger CME Group, LBMA, WGC, LSEG OI (Open Interest) 🟩 466,073 (Rising - New Longs Entering) PCR (Options) 🟩 1.45 (Bullish / Put Writing Dominant) VWAP 🟩 $4,342.50 (Trading above Mean Value) Turnover 🟩 High (Increased institutional block trades) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Impulse Wave 3 in progress) IV / RV 🟨 Neutral (IV range-bound despite price surge) Options Skew 🟩 Positive (Heavy demand for $4500 Calls) Vanna / Charm 🟩 Positive (Supportive of price stability into expiry) Block Trades 🟩 Heavy Inflows in Feb 2026 Monthly Contracts COT Positioning 🟩 Speculative Net Longs: 204.6K (Strong conviction) Cross-Asset Corr. 🟩 Negative with DXY / Positive with Silver ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (98.33 MOz Global Holdings) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (79/100) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Aggressive Buying at the 4340 handle Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Upward Sloping VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper Deviation (Caution on fresh entries at R1) Rotation Metrics 🟨 Lagging Silver (Gold-Silver Ratio falling) Market Phase 🟩 Markup / Expansion Phase
COMEX:GC1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver this week booked 19000 points profit will fall now 205k-Parameter Data Asset Name ⬜ Silver MCX (March 2026 Futures) Price Movement 🟥 Consolidation/Profit Booking (₹2,05,290 / -1.03%) Current Trade 🟨 BUY ON DIPS (Zone: ₹2,01,500 - ₹2,03,500) SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Order Flow (Breakout from consolidation base) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above ₹2,07,800 / 🟩 Liquidity: ₹1,99,000 Probability 🟩 74% Upside Continuation Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Strong Industrial & Domestic Wedding Demand) Max Pain 🟨 ₹2,00,000 (Major Put Concentration for Dec Expiry) DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price > 20-DEMA ₹1,82,300 & 50-DEMA) Supports 🟩 S1: 2,03,280 / S2: 2,01,120 / S3: 1,99,000 Resistances 🟥 R1: 2,07,833 (ATH) / R2: 2,08,810 / R3: 2,10,270 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 ADX 32 (Strong) / RSI 68 (Cooling from Overbought) Market Depth 🟩 High (Significant buy-side interest at ₹2L milestone) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (IV 48%+) / High speculative turnover Source Ledger MCX, IBJA, Silver Institute, LSEG OI (Open Interest) 🟩 12,094 (Short Covering & New Long accumulation) PCR (Options) 🟩 2.15 (Heavy Put Writing - Strong Support at ₹2L) VWAP 🟩 ₹2,04,850 (Price currently oscillating near anchor) Turnover 🟩 ₹36,050 Lacs (High institutional volume) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Parabolic impulse wave 3) IV / RV 🟥 IV > RV (Markets pricing in ₹5,000+ daily swings) Options Skew 🟩 Positive (Heavy demand for ₹2.2L Call strikes) Vanna / Charm 🟨 Neutral (Approaching Dec 24 Options Expiry) Block Trades 🟩 Large accumulation seen at the ₹2,01,600 level COT Positioning 🟩 Managed Money: Net Long (Record positions) Cross-Asset Corr. 🟩 Positive with Gold / Strong Inverse with USD/INR ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Nippon/ICICI Silver ETFs) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (88/100) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Positive (Aggressive bids at S1/S2 levels) Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Strongly Upward VWAP Bands 🟨 Reverting to Mean (Targeting Mid-Band) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Outperforming Nifty & Gold (YTD Leader) Market Phase 🟩 Markup / Parabolic Phase
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold this week we booked 5000 points profit fall expected nowParameter Data Asset Name 🟨 Gold MCX (Feb 2026 Futures) Price Movement 🟩 Bullish Bias (₹1,34,840 / +0.25% Today) Current Trade 🟩 BUY ACTIVE (Target: ₹1,35,970 / ₹1,37,000) SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow (Higher Highs on Daily) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply Trap: Above ₹1,35,380 / 🟩 Demand Zone: ₹1,33,100 - ₹1,33,850 Probability 🟩 80% Upside Continuation Risk Reward 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 Extreme High (Supported by RBI Rate Cut & Wedding Demand) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,32,000 (Concentrated Put Support) DEMA Levels 🟩 Extreme Bullish (Price well above 50 & 200 DEMA) Supports 🟩 S1: 1,33,850 / S2: 1,33,110 / S3: 1,31,500 Resistances 🟥 R1: 1,35,350 / R2: 1,35,970 / R3: 1,37,000 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 ADX 35 (Strong Trend) / RSI 68 (Cooling but Bullish) Market Depth 🟩 High (Large buy blocks seen at ₹1,34,000) Volatility 🟨 Elevated (ATR High) / Expected to surge before Christmas Source Ledger MCX, RBI Bulletin, World Gold Council (WGC) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Rising (Long buildup in Feb '26 contract) PCR (Options) 🟩 1.19 (Healthy Bullish Bias for Dec 30 Expiry) VWAP 🟩 ₹1,34,620 (Price holding above the anchor) Turnover 🟩 Heavy (Strong institutional participation) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Impulse Wave 3 Expansion) IV / RV 🟥 IV High (Hedging costs increasing for Feb expiry) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Traders paying premium for OTM Calls) Vanna / Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting price drift higher into year-end) Block Trades 🟩 Large Volume Spikes at ₹1,34,200 level COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Domestic institutions increasing hedge) Cross-Asset Corr. 🟩 Strong Inverse with INR / Positive with Silver ETF Rotation 🟩 Positive (UTI & Nippon Gold ETFs seeing inflows) Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (85/100) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Aggressive Bidding on minor pullbacks Delta 🟩 Positive (Buyers outnumbering sellers at the bid) VWAP Bands 🟨 Testing Upper Band (Possible short-term breather) Rotation Metrics 🟨 Relative Outperformer vs Nifty 50 Market Phase 🟩 Expansion Phase (Bull Market)
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 19th December 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25823/34 above this bullish then around 25845/49 then 25869/80/90/25904/12 above this more bullish above this wait more levels marked on chart If NIFTY sustain below 25792/86 below this bearish then 25764 below this more bearish then 25693/87/66 strong level below this more bearish then 25595/90/68 below this wait Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar
1