HDFC Cup and Handle PatternHDFC was consolidating has fomed a cup and handle pattern.
Trade with caution, Manage your risk and use appropriate position sizing.
HDFC
HDFC cup and handle pattern 1D time frameHDFC forming cup and handle pattern in 1 day time frame. It gave a breakout of the pattern with above average volume and came for the retest . WE can buy if it makes any bullish candle closing above 2930. It is not giving any move because of the results that have to be declared on the 1st of November. If the results are positive we can see an upward move in the stock.
entry:2930
1st target: 3050
2nd target: 3350
Stoploss: 2680
in order to achieve the targets we must hold the stock for atleast a month depending on the momentum
NOTE: this is only for educational purpose not a buy or sell recommendation
HDFC at all time high.HDFC has given a breakout above its previous life time high which was tested three times and now it is trading succesfully above it, volume was above average during the breakout.Now it is a good time to enter long with a stop loss.
Other indicators:-
Momentum= RSI is in bullish zone i.e. above 60 on monthly, daily and weekly timeframe.
Trend= ADX's value is above 25 shows strong trend.
Relative Strength= HDFC is out performing both NIFTY50 and Financial Services Index.
Entry= above 2950
Stoploss= 2700
Target=3400
HDFC has given closing above 2910 levels. Seeming bullishNSE:HDFC has given a bullish closing today. It can show some more momentum in the coming days.
HDFC Chart Analysis, Entry!After a 5 month consolidation, gave a good breakout.
now its in uptrend, good MACD buy. Can enter now and enjoy the uptrend with patience or can wait till ATH resistance breakout at 2896 above.
if the earnings are impressive on NOV1st the stock may give good/high returns.
Importantly the volume is under consolidation, one high volume trade is enough to break the resistance.
Add this to your Watchlist.
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC | 22-10-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:HDFC
Trade Setup for Date 22-10-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC | 20-10-2021 [intraday]NSE:HDFC
Trade Setup for Date 20-10-2021:
Most of the levels will remains the same as per previous setup.
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC | 18-10-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:HDFC
Observations:
1) On 1 day time frame, it took good support from 21DMA and closed above critical level 2800.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date 18-10-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
IT "glitch" drags Nifty below 17950 from 18040+NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -11-10-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17867.55
H 18041.95
L 17839.10
C 17945.95
EOD - +50.75 points /+0.28%
SGX Nifty at 1930h =20points
FII DII = -1676 Crores.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened a mild gap up and then sold off to 8-10 low level and then, made a strong and sustained recovery to clear 18000 in style and then topped 18040 as well.
However, by then FTSE had opened and the usual nervousness walked in and then there was a sell-off over the next 3 hours.
Yet again, Nifty ended the day 90+ points below the ATH level achieved during the day.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 72
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 87
Net = -15
POSITIVES
Nifty hit an All Time High above 18000.
Nifty ended at yet another ATH close.
HDFC was very volatile but settled in the green on an EOD basis.
HDFC Bank seems to be pricing in a good result like how TCS did.
Bank Nifty hit a new ATH and also ended at a new ATH.
NEGATIVES
IT big heads dragged Nifty in a big way.
I do not recall TCS falling more than 3% post results in the recent past. Though this was to happen as it was at a very critical level below 4000.
Reliance lost more than 60 points after hitting an ATH of 2720.
TRADING RANGE FOR the coming week
Nifty 17700-750 is the support base. I am not sure about the resistance levels as price action in Infosys, Wipro, as well as HDFC Bank may keep driving Nifty as they get ready to receive their answer papers during the next few days.
Bank Nifty Support = 37500-700 appears to be a good support area. Since the ATH was hit today, I will let the index play its game for a couple of days and see where it ends the week before commenting on any resistance levels.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Nifty low for the day was just 1 point below 8-10 low and high for the day was 100 points above 8-10 high and yet Nifty managed to close only 50 points above 8-10 Close.
This seems to be a mathematical play!
The contribution by Nifty top 5 performers fell short by 15 points from the top 5 draggers of the Index. This is the kind of weakness and negativity that was driven by the IT index and that is why the subject line of the post.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
11-10-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC | 11-10-2021 [ INTRADAY]NSE:HDFC
Observations:
1) On 1 day time frame, it is resting above the critical zone of 2695 to 2720 level. Also it closed slightly below 50DMA which is placed at 2725.01 level.
If it able to sustain above 2725 level then we can see again bullish trend in HDFC from this support level.
If it breksdown this support range 2695 level then we can see down move continue.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date 11-10-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respsective level considering how price action works near that level.
Nifty rebounds in style but ends below 17800NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -07-10-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17810.55
H 17857.55
L 17763.80
C 17790.35
EOD +144.35 points /+-0.82%
SGX Nifty @ 1735h 17847 / +25 points
FII DII = It is a bit early for the data to be released. DIIs may have sold.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
A strong 150 point gap up opening and then it moved in a sideways range and as FTSE open neared, it headed higher but could not decisively cross 17850 even on a 5-minute chart for more than one candle.
The expiry blues entered in the last hour and Nifty drifted towards 17800 and then broke the level as 17800 CE would have been written aggressively.
It gave up most of the gains made during the day and closed below 17800.
The daily chart indicates a Doji as the Open and Close prices were quite close.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 98
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 20
Net = +78
POSITIVES
Auto and IT leaders took the lead and held Nifty higher. The supremacy was evident as even the HDFC twins could not drag Nifty as they may have liked to do.
ICICI Bank closed above 700.
Reliance held on to the greener zone.
HDFC Bank held on to 1600 plus levels.
NEGATIVES
HDFC ended in red and is finding it hard to sustain closings above 2750.
Except for ICICI Bank, all leading banks ended in the red and that is what prevented Bank Nifty from attempting a hit to 38000.
TRADING RANGE FOR 8-10-21
Nifty 17600-650-700 is the support base. Resistance regrettably is at every nook and corner of the charts starting from 17800-820-850-900.
Bank Nifty Support = 37200-400 appears to be a good support area. Resistance 37800-38000-38200.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
If you closely look at the OHLC numbers and intraday charts of the indices, you would realize that the moves for the day were such that they negated what happened yesterday.
The indices are just around the levels where they were on EOD 5-10-21. This means that we are still not out of the woods.
Tomorrow is the RBI policy so there may be some jerks experienced, however, in he recent times, the announcements have become a non-event.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
7-10-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
Energy Crisis takes the Force out of Nifty - slips below 17600NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -06-10-21
Apology:-- Yesterday’s post had incorrectly mentioned that Nifty hits a new ATH and closed at a new ATH. This had occurred due to some issues with the device and the doc file got corrupted. I am thankful to those who pointed out the error and still liked the contents.
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17861.50
H 17884.60
L 17613.15
C 17646.00
EOD -176.3 points / -0.97%
SGX Nifty @ 1850h 17655 / +25 points
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a mild gap-up and hit the day’s high around the resistance below 17900 and then broke the P Close.
It bounced back from there and retested the high area and then soon after FTSE opened in the strong negative, the sell-off began.
There was some recovery from the support line of 17710-15 which was sold in to twice and then Nifty drifted towards 17600.
The ended at 17646 which was almost 1% down from the P Close.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 26
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 74
Net = -48
POSITIVES
Hdfc twins ended in the green and saved the Indices from sliding further and stopped them from creating more panic.
NEGATIVES
It is very easy - except for the positive, it is all negative.
VIX shot up 5%+.
FII-DIIs are net sellers for 1800 Crores.
TRADING RANGE FOR 6-10-21
Nifty 17600-650 was put to litmus test and tomorrow being weekly expiry, I am placing another lower-level support at 17550. Resistance regrettably are at every nook and corner of the charts.
Bank Nifty Support = 37200-400 was well respected but in view of the weekly expiry, a lower level support of 37000-37200 is also added. Resistance 37800-38000-38200.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
I now need to learn how to read and trade FTSE as Nifty is doing only that. After 1230h for now and from Oct end, from 1330h, Nifty would follow FTSE only.
I am wondering if we should list the FTSE-IN index on NSE for AM trading!
I know global cues and crisis have some impact on our markets, but what I am unable to gather is in what way would it impact our market to an extent that scrips start falling like a pack of cards!
Look at how Reliance and ICICI Bank have fallen from their day high levels!
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
6-10-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
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