HDFCBANK
HDFC Bank at Major Support LevelsNSE:HDFCBANK has been hammered by the markets and is currently taking support at 200 Weekly EMA. This level has been touched or breached by the bank only thrice before today in more than 2 decades. This is certainly challenging for the bank and while it looks oversold, I would only buy above the current resistance of ~1700+ as this level has been a very strong resistance. Do not ignore technicals.
Huge selling in HDFC. How to trade it tomorrow.One side fall in the stock has impacted the indices too.
HDFC bank, is heavy weight in index, fell 140 point or 8.5% created a sell off.
It took a retest of 200 ema and has closed below both the averages. It may give another red candle tomorrow.
There stock has closed around a support zone and chance of testing 1500 levels are high.
Short position can be created below 1535 levels and targets can be trailed if the market remain in red.
Support levels:- 1505, 1470-80
The results are not that bad to make the stock fell so much. Some long term investors can accumulate some quantity.
Wait for a price action and enter only confirm trades.
Hdfc bank chart studyHdfc bank spot at 1720
Weekly time frame
Symmetrical triangle pattern
Horizontal resistance as per previous life high reversal levels,
over here life high levels would play an important role,
going ahead keep watch on daily price action, if not able to break above life high levels and sustain counter can give good retracement, of 5-7-10%
counter have already give good rally from 1460 to 1720 levels around 20%
keep watch, above life high levels if we see consecutive close than the view gets invalid and below that we can play it accordingly
18 Jan ’24 — BankNifty bounces of from the support @ 45399 😔BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
What happened with BankNifty today was more or less as per the script. The opening 4mts gave us some idea of what to expect, the reason being the bounce from 45399 support. Even though the opening was gap-down, adequate selling pressure was not there to take out the support level. Ideally, it had to be taken out via the gap itself - and that did not happen.
4mts chart
BN impressed with a midday rally of 747pts to close the gap. Later it gave away 58% of those points to close at 45762, down 350pts ~ 0.76% vs yesterday. We would not know how long this correction phase persist, deep down - we prefer to see a broader bear rally.
There is a thing or two about the bear market. Have you seen videos of how Bear catches fish in the river? It goes to those areas called rapids where the Fish has to jump to escape the current. The bear has to just stand at those levels with his mouth wide open - the fish automatically goes straight in as it cannot maneuver mid-air. Bear market price action is more or less similar - the retail traders are helpless and out of the driving seat. If they survive, it will just be at the mercy of the big boys.
63mts chart
The stance is still bearish and the first target is 45399 and it has to be taken out pretty soon. The longer we wait out, the dip buyers will re-emerge. Other support areas nearby are 44542 and 44068 - if the momentum carries, then we should be testing them this month itself.
HDFC BANK : Near strong support area Exciting Bullish Pattern Alert! 🐂
📊 Pattern: Ascending Traingle
📌 Symbol/Asset: HDFC BANK
🔍 Description: Stock has is trading in a pattern from last 3 years.
Now Stock is around the support.
We can see good bounce from 1450-1480 levels if support is sustained
👉 Disclosure: We are not SEBI registered analysts, this is not a buy or sell recommendation.
17 Jan ’24 — BankNifty & Nifty are both bearish now - Consensus BankNifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has fallen 1274 points ~ -2.69%. It may not look so dangerous, but keep in mind we had a swing range of 2328pts ~ 4.82% between the high to the low of the week. Of these 2328pts, 2060pts ~ 88.4% came just today.
16mts chart
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
We opened 1423pts ~ -2.96% gap down today. The first 2 candles were green showing some fightback to reclaim the 47465 S/R which we just broke. BankNifty’s support break was the major highlight anyway - It was right below the bullish trend line and above the bearish trend line yesterday. The breakdown from there was the real impact.
4mts chart
The option prices were absolutely crazy, especially on the CALL side. The premiums remained elevated right till 15.00. The PUT options on the other hand (far OTM) had given up the premiums even though it had some unusual surge in the opening minutes. Most of the traders would not have capitalized on the premium spike as by the time they punched the orders, the premium would have evaporated.
63mts chart
The price action today paves the way for further downward action. Primarily both Nifty and BankNifty are in the same stance (bearish) and secondly, N50 has just violated the ascending channel whereas BN steered clear on 1st Jan. The biggest issue is that the next support comes at 45399 followed by 44542 and both indicate steep cuts.
17 Jan ’24 — How the Mighty has fallen! HDFCBK takes down N50 ⬇️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday “We would like to give one more opportunity for Nifty to hold its ground. We would start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and wait for Nifty to fall below 21913 to go bearish.”
4mts chart
Not only did Nifty50 open 360pts gap-down, but it broke the 21913 support. This was the laxman rekha for us below which we had to go bearish. It all started when HDFCBK -8.44% started giving up points like crazy. The results announced were alright per se, but the signs of NPA going up and EPS staying the same would have unnerved the FIIs. Nifty ended up losing another 100pts to close at -2.09%. When was the last time you saw a 2% or more fall in Nifty50. Even when SPX and NDQ had multiple episodes of 2%+ falls, Nifty50 was showcasing its resilience.
63mts chart
Yesterday Nifty was at the top end of the ascending channel and today it closed right at the bottom end. From 26th Oct 2023, Nifty has always respected the bottom part of the ascending channel. The next support comes up at 21491 and falling below that would also mean we are breaking the channel. We changed the stance from neutral to bearish in the opening minutes, hope you got the email via TradingView minds when we pivoted.
HDFC View in 30 minFrom last couple of day it's follow a down trend in 30 min timeframe. and now it create a double bottom with good volume and we can see MAX VOLUME is in 1674.05 .
After break trend line with good volume the level of 1690 we can se a good move from 1690-1705 or 1720.
After 1690 level break as expected we can see a bullish divergency at MACD . (as expected just tell this advance )
1704 is a resistance 1
1720.90 is resistance 2
support 1: 1674
Support 2: 1668
03 Jan ’24 — BankNifty holds the line today, Bears still around.BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
BN just fell 742pts ~ 1.53% between the last expiry and today, logically it got only 4 working days as the last expiry was on a Thursday. A 742pts move is nothing considering the shape BN is currently in. Since the stance is now bearish, we are hoping for a build-up in the momentum soon.
63mts chart link
BankNifty Today Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
So both BN and N50 have the same stance of “bearish” now. Usually, when the directional bias is the same for both these indices, we expect the markets to cover some ground quickly.
4mts chart link
Except for the opening candle, BN had a pretty boring day otherwise. BN was keeping the losses under control on Nifty. And the banks ICICIBANK, AXISBANK & KOTAKBANK were trending in the opposite direction of HDFCBANK. Yesterday it was the real opposite - HDFC was staying cool while the others were dropping.
The expiry was meaningful today with frequent surges of volatility swinging the strike premiums. Even though BN managed to tread above water for some time, there were no visible signs of a bullish recovery.
16mts chart link
We are quite safely away from the channel now. To renter it, BN will have to rise to 48600+ tomorrow. If it doesn't, then it's in the bear’s control. We continue to look for shorting opportunities with the first target as 47006.
02 Jan ’24 — BankNifty below the channel, Bears taking control?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish
All checkboxes ticked for a bearish trend reversal. Firstly, we got confirmation when we breached the ascending channel bottom line. Secondly, there was no attempt to retrace once we started falling. The low of the day was hit towards the end of session.
4mts chart link - click here
BankNifty has been the torchbearer for the trend reversals. Of late we were worried that the baton may be passed on to NiftyIT. The leader earlier and now is still BankNifty - today’s move was quite indicative of that. If it goes as per the script, we should be seeing further followthrough by Nifty & FinNifty tomorrow.
63mts chart link - click here
The last time we tried to breach the channel bottom line was on 21st Dec. It ended up as a trap for the bears. This time around, we have 6 candles created below the bottom line, and 5 of them in RED. Hope is not a keyword, but the bears have to cling to something to create momentum. We have anyway revised the stance to bearish with the first target being 47462 followed by 46939.
HDFC bank - What next ?Today, HDFC Bank is down by more than 4% due to some news of target reduction.
As HDFC Bank is a market mover, a big fall in HDFC bank can trigger a correction in broader Indian markets, especially banking sectors.
However, news based moves are mostly a trap for retail investors.
Weekly TF analysis of HDFC bank shows formation of ascending triangle pattern since 2020. The immediate support below the trendline for HDFC bank is 1520 which can be best buy levels.
Lets wait and watch what is unfolding in HDFC bank.
HDFC Analysis for 2nd January 2024HDFC follow a trendline as per I draw.
Nearest strong Support at :1696
If tomorrow price break the trend line then your buying entry will be available after price settle up 1705.
Next Support area 1684.55
MACD and RSI is indicate bearish for intraday.
In a day timeframe Log term HDFC is bullish . If you are an investor then you can buy on dip.
26th Dec ’23 - BankNifty stance changed to neutral, IV going upBankNifty Analysis
Was quite surprised to see BankNifty following the ascending channel’s bottom trendline with a near correlation. Only for a brief period, we traded in RED, once BN pulled itself above water - it was able to hold its level quite strongly.
4mts chart link - click here
KOTAKBANK, AXISBANK, and HDFCBANK were trading in green giving BN a much-needed green cushion. Even then there was no strong bullish momentum today - it was just that the bears did not have any control today.
63mts chart link - click here
On the higher timeframe, BN is still inside the ascending channel. The bears are unable to exert any pressure post 20th December. Since BN is not ceding ground, I have to change my status from bearish to neutral for tomorrow. This week BankNifty and Nifty are expiring together on Thursday, which means we have no instruments expiring tomorrow 27th Dec.
India VIX rose 7.08% today almost touching the 15 levels. Looks like VIX is creating an interim bottom. My EMA’s will show a golden crossover in 2 days if we continue the rising trend. After the news broke out about the drone attack on 2 vessels carrying Indian nationals - I seriously thought we would have a negative reaction today. Seems like the markets were not at all bothered. My next question is, will the market react to this news tomorrow? - “blast outside the Israel embassy in Delhi”
VIX 1D chart - click here
21st Dec ’23 - BankNifty leads from the front, stance is NEUTRALBankNifty Analysis
I initially thought the wolf in the sheep’s costume was NiftyIT today spoiling the fun of the Bears. The real culprit was BankNifty - the way it defended its turf today was more than amazing. Even though we had a lower opening, HDFCBANK was staying strong at one end. You know pretty well that HDFCBK alone can drive up/down the index as its weight on the index is manipulatively sizeable.
4mts chart link - click here
Just like a Tug-of-War, HDFCBK was at the rear end acting as the anchor. It bolted itself to the ground and ensured BN was not slipping. Somehow it worked. The first thing BN did was to retest the lower end of the ascending channel i.e. between 10.07 to 10.55. Once it broke out - it retested the same line from a support perspective i.e. b/w 13.55 to 14.11. The 2nd test was rejected which gave it massive momentum to break free (upside). The next stop was right at the top end of the channel i.e. b/w 14.47 to 15.19. You might have to see the encircled portion in the chart to know what I am referring to.
63mts chart link - click here
Can you believe - All the candles today were GREEN. We started at the lower end of the channel and ended at the top boundary stopped only by the bell. Today’s price action almost nullified yesterday’s move and seeing the way BN fought back, I wish to change my stance to neutral for tomorrow. Will go bearish once 47400 gives away and will go bullish if the ATM is taken out. The options premium did not have any excesses today indicating that a big move may not be expected - will update you via TV minds if I see something interesting tomorrow.