Simple Trade Setup | HDFCBANK | 29-12-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:HDFCBANK
Observations:
1) On 1 day time frame, it closed just above 10DMA and still trading below 200DMA.
Please refer below chart : 1 day Time Frame.
2) Also on daily time frame, it made doji candle.
If it trades above today's high then it will be quick buy trade.
And if it trades below today's low then it will be quick short.
Please refer below chart : 1 day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date: 29-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
HDFCBANK
HDFC Bank holding to its supportHDFC bank has taken a beating like most banking stocks and is at its support. The only problem is that it has broken below the 200 Day EMA and if it doesn't climb up, it can go in for a very long correction. Hence, it is a wait and watch situation right now in this one.
HDFC BANK - Taking good support🔴DISCLAIMER
***** It's just for an educational purpose and so you must also follow your own technical analysis before taking up the trade ******
Aggressive traders enter at the breakout and conservative traders may give entry after retracement (Retracement is optional, we cannot expect every stock to take a retest after the breakout, it may also continue to have its bullish pressure after the breakout)
After reaching our targets, trail your stop loss to get maximum profit from the stock in a single trade
HDFC Bank BuyingStarted buying HDFC Bank for positional trade. Reason for buying:-
1. Channel Support Area
2. 200 Day SMA Area
3. Formation of Reverse Head And Shoulder ( Not completed )
Added only 30% position as Reverse head and shoulder pattern not broken yet. Shall be adding full when the pattern is broken.
Bulls unable to hold on, yet indices end in greenNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 21-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 16773.15
H 16936.40
L 16688.25
C 16770.85
EOD +248.15 points / -0.94%
SGX Nifty 21-12-21 @ 1930 = +25
FII DII = Not yet available
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a significant gap up and was able to sustain the same and kept moving up as the day progressed.
However, it then became obvious around 16940 levels where there is an earlier intraday resistance that the bears may not let the rally continue. And at 1300h, that is what happened and the sell-off continued and almost threatened to wipe out all the gains.
Finally, in the last hour Nifty managed to recover well and ended in the green.
Nifty has made a higher high and a higher low.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 60
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 16
Net = +44
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 246
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 95
Net = +151
POSITIVES
Both the indices ended the day in green.
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank were the leaders in lifting the indices and remained positive throughout.
Reliance also joined these two in helping Nifty not give up all the gains that had been made in the first half of the day.
NEGATIVES
The manner in which the indices fell in the PM session indicates that there are large sell orders around 16900-950 and it is unlikely that the bears would give up the territory that easily.
HDFC, SBIN, and Kotak Bank remain the problem scrips for the bulls as these are the scrips where every rise seems to be getting sold in to.
TRADING RANGE FOR 22 DEC 21
Nifty support = 16300-400
Nifty resistance = 16800-900-950-17000
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
For the 2nd in a row, Nifty OHLC was below 17000. This is an unusual sight in recent times. This also shows that the bears have not yet given up and any rally is likely to get sold into unless there is ferocity in the up move which was not seen on the horizon today.
Whenever FIIs are the net sellers on the previous day and Nifty is trading with a significant gap up and the same is held on to, it would be safe to expect a sell-off in the PM session followed by a recovery which may not be full.
Catching the last set of bears off guard and just when they have covered their shorts and switched to longs, comes the sharp sell-off which shakes the new longs out and before they can decide to re-enter, the fall is recovered in no time.
So it is necessary for traders to be better Mentalists than good traders as only such people would be able to go with the flow.
Yesterday’s massive fall was attributed to global Omicron fears even as India is for now better placed than the rest of the world. I am wondering what media would attribute the positivity in global indices to? Is Omicron gone? If we remove such noise, market moves and numbers would make better sense.
And here is my latest tweet about an observation made:
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link –
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
21-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
Christmas Sale in On! Will it be Bears or Bulls all the way fromNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 20-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 16824.25
H 16840.10
L 16410.20
C 16614.20
EOD -371 points / -2.18%
SGX Nifty 20-12-21 @ 1900h = +25
FII DII = -801 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a significant gap down and from there it never looked back and kept drifting and fell 400 points further from the opening level.
It appeared that the leakage is unlikely to be stopped as there was hardly any buying taking place.
Finally, around 1300h, either the shorters chose to cover or the bulls stepped in and the index managed to crawl and stumble upwards and ended above 16600.
Nifty has thus breached all important levels on the way down and made lower highs and lower lows.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 10
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 160
Net = -150
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 00
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 778
Net = -778
POSITIVES
I am not sure why Cipla and Dr Reddy’s bounced up - if the up move was on account of Omicron, it is not good in the overall interest of the markets.
The only other consolation was that 16400 on Nifty and 34000 on Bank Nifty were not breached.
NEGATIVES
There is no dearth of negatives today so I better restrict the same as follows:
For Nifty – Reliance and HDFC twins were the pain points.
For Bank Nifty - HDFC Bank, SBIN, and ICICI Bank were the pain points.
TRADING RANGE FOR 21 DEC 21
I did not expect this kind of paper support levels on the charts and I am not sure whether I will be able to draw any lines tomorrow as well.
So let us wait and watch how this plays out.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Bank Nifty has clearly underperformed to Nifty as it is down more than 3% on EOD basis. This is a significant fall and was responsible for the turmoil in the markets today as well.
On an EOD basis, Bank Nifty is down 1178 points of which 778 have been contributed by HDFC Bank, SBIN, and ICICI Bank. This itself shows what would have been the intensity of the selling pressure.
With today’s fall, the much awaited Santa Claus rally has turned into a Christmas Sale on a Red Monday! We have been pushed back by a few months by the price action in the last 2-3 sessions in particular.
The India Vix is significantly high and the moves remind me of the Mar 2020 type of price action where the indices used simply drift at market open.
And here is my latest tweet on the Big Daddy of the Moving Averages:
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link –
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
20-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---
#BANKNIFTY SWING OR INTRADAY TRADE#we will make only profit.
1st 1 hour RSI on Bottom.
2nd If you Use Indicator MACD so 15 or 30 min try to Enter in a Bullish Zone.
3rd I Just follow Trend Line or Support .
4th Set your Stop loss 35510.00 or Jetna aap Dane ko Ready ho.
5th If Today Market Start Gap Down or Can't Take Support Don't DO Any Trade.
6th Play safe in Market There is No Guaranty in NOV<DEC<JAN Because Market Crash Any Time With Small Useless NEWS
#If you need any help comment or message me.
HDFC Bank is on the verge of Support LineLook at HDFC Bank Chart, on Friday had taken support from it's trendline and able to close his day above the trendline successfully. But on tomorrow, need to look at that level again because if breakdown will happen then we can see share price trading near by 1400 level.
Elliott Wave Pattern RecognitionElliot wave pattern recognition on HDFC Charts during the period on 2020-21.
hdfc bank looks tired the biggest private sector lender looks tired at as far as i see
although dont expect a very heavy fall
a time correction possibility in the counter seems very high
i see it in range 1340 to 1580 for coming 1 year ahead
my view will negate on closing above 1567 mark on weekly frame
Intraday Tradein HDFCBANK on 14 Dec 2021oday watch out the levels for HDFCBank .
wait for the Double confirmation for the Best ebtry and the stoploss
Target Where your greed Ends...Lol
Don't Advice to take the trade on my Levels. Take it on your own risk
I will not be Responsible for any kind of loss & profit
Intraday Trade Logic in HDFCBANK on 13 Dec 2021Intraday Trade Logic in HDFCBANK on 13 Dec 2021
While watching out chart pattern in daily basis or hourly basis i got 2 position to trade :-
Buying
short Selling
After Watching out Feb 2 ,24 , March 4 ,9 candles i got Buying level i.e 1538 , As the price is sustaining the above level it was giving good RR wise proit
But As today market opened below the level (1538) i tried to watch if any i get S.S opportuniy and i got it
Similary ,
As if the price was sustained above 1538 we get good upmove wise versa if price below it good get downward good move.
watching out March 31 , Jul 8 , Aug 18 , Nov 22 , 24 , Dec 3 , 9 i got
Entry Point i.e :- 1536
SL :- 1538
Target 1520.05
Expected Target : between 1509-1505.15
Logic Behind Trailing Stoploss :- If we watch Dec 10 th opening Candle purely it's been rejected from our expected levels
Trade Executaion:-
5 min TF:-
Today Market opend below the levels . opeing candle formed with good volume
At 10:10 to 10-20 it was seen that candle is not sustaining the above levels but trade must be taken after double confirmation that's my thought process.lol
watch out volume of the 10:45 candle that sustained above 1536 is less than the previous candle
Now, i got double confirmation for shorting at 10:55 candle which has more sellers volume
so took the entry after the candle close i.e at 11 AM candle
Exited at 1509
Check out RR Ratio
IF YOU LIKE THE LOGICS PLEASE DO LIKE ...THANKING YOU .
Intraday Trade Logic in HDFCBANK on 13 Dec 2021Intraday Trade Logic in HDFCBANK on 13 Dec 2021
While watching out chart pattern in daily basis or hourly basis i got 2 position to trade :-
Buying
short Selling
After Watching out Feb 2 ,24 , March 4 ,9 candles i got Buying level i.e 1538 , As the price is sustaining the above level it was giving good RR wise proit
But As today market opened below the level (1538) i tried to watch if any i get S.S opportuniy and i got it
Similary ,
As if the price was sustained above 1538 we get good upmove wise versa if price below it good get downward good move.
watching out March 31 , Jul 8 , Aug 18 , Nov 22 , 24 , Dec 3 , 9 i got
Entry Point i.e :- 1536
SL :- 1538
Target 1520.05
Simple Trade Setup | HDFCBANK | 13-12-2021 [ INTRADAY ]NSE:HDFCBANK
Observations:
1) On 1day time frame, it is between 10DMA and 21DMA.
On Friday, it closed just below 21DMA.
10DMA is placed at 1517.15 level and 21DMA is placed at 1524.43 level.
If it trades above 1525 level then it will work as support.
Otherwise immediate support range will be 1515-1517 level.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
2) On 15min time frame, we can see that it is forming kind of rounding bottom or mostly cup and handle pattern.
But still major breakout level is 1560 level.
If it gives sustainable breakout of 1560 level then we can see good up-move.
But breakout of this parallel channel will surely take it to 1560 level range.
Please refer below chart : 15 min Time Frame.
But for recent pattern, we can see that it has been trading in uptrend parallel channel.
And it is currently as base support.
Please refer below chart : 15 min Time Frame.
-------------------------------------
Trade Setup for Date: 13-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Morning Fall, Afternoon bounce back & a flat EODNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 10-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17476.05
H 17534.35
L 17405.25
C 17511.30
EOD -5.55 points / -0.03%
SGX Nifty 10-12-21 @ 2000h = +46 points
FII DII = -706 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a mild gap down and then sold off to test 17450 levels and then immediately bounced back and made high for the day and then met with the long standing resistance around 17540 and fell in a gradual manner.
In the process it made failed attempts to retest 17500 and then fell further towards 17400.
For almost an hour, Nifty could not make u its mind as there was an intense fight going on between the bulls and the bears around 17400 levels.
Eventually, bulls managed to win and made a sustained and steady recovery but failed to close above the previous close.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 95
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 93
Net = +2
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 97
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 88
Net = +9
POSITIVES
Nifty closed the week above 17500 and Bank Nifty above 37100. This is a good relief after seeing a lot of negativity in the last few days.
It is good to see non heavyweight stocks helping Nifty stay neutral and in case of Bank Nifty scrips like IDFC First Bank also putting in a great show.
The Advance-Decline ratio is around 60-40 which is good considering the fact that the market was quite choppy especially in the session up to 1300h.
NEGATIVES
FIIs keep selling and not sure when this is likely to stop.
HDFC twins and Kotak Bank kept the indices under pressure throughout the day.
Choppiness is prevalent in the market but India Vix is going down. This is a confusing situation and I view it as a negative for the traders.
The indices have made a lower high and Bank Nifty has also made a lower low.
TRADING RANGE FOR 12-17 Dec 21
Nifty Support = 17200-300 may well be the new base.
Nifty resistance = 17550-600-625-700-800
Bank Nifty Support = 36200-500-800
Bank Nifty resistance = 37200-500-700-38000
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Here is my tweet posted in the morning related to Bank Nifty:
37000 was fought heavily by the bulls and bears in the last hour yesterday and the bulls just managed to win. Today, the bears did not allow the bulls to take it easy and 37000 became a hard line to sustain. However, today as well, the bulls managed to close the day above 37000 and at 37105 to be precise. This is a positive sign.
The first half till 1300h was very choppy for both the indices. India Vix was for sometime in the positive but as the indices started forming intraday base, it started falling. The recovery in indices was welcome, however, premium decays were seen in both the indices even on 37000 and 17500 CEs compared to the previous close as well the EOD prices.
I generally like situations where the deputy leader scrip rallies and supports the indices. It shows that as and when the big head is down, the deputy is capable enough to hold the fort. This was the case with TCS which overshadowed Infosys today.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link --
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
10-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
---