HDFCBANK AnalysisI have drawn here support and resistance line with candle stick chart.
Near 1555 is support which is mid term support line .
And saw that there is price resistance in same zone previously with charts and if break that level in downside then we can see some good correction n hdfcbank.
If you see candles last 5 days lower high formation is happening means downside is already in shape but confirmation will be there is break 1555 level untill confirmation will not be there till that time analysis is neutral on hdfcbank.
RSI and ROC is also near top in daily chart hence this analysis is based on few points that i used to make trade.
I will take the stop loss in the trade when resistance line get break upside.
HDFCBANK
Are we really in a Bull Market with daily Sell-offs?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -14-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17420.35 / 17438.55 / 17367.05 / 17380.00
H-L = 77 points
VIX 13.58 / -3.21%
FII DII: +1330 Crores
Likely open: Positive Gap-up provided it is able to stay above today’s close for an hour or so.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS - 15 Minutes Chart
A gap-up open and then a new ATH was flagged and then the usual drifting game started with the mandatory sell-off just after 1300h and then sideways moves that resulted in yet another ATH Close, but well below the ATH as well as daily high by 58 points.
The daily chart indicates that there is a series of Doji-type candles - do they suggest a continuation pattern or exhaustion?
I am not sure about it.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
TCS 09
HCL TECH 07
LT 07
KOTAK BANK 06
INDUSIND BANK 05
TOTAL 34
The Laggards
HDFC 12
HDFC BANK 07
NESTLE 04
INFOSYS 04
HUL 04
TOTAL 33
Lifter - Draggers = +1
POSITIVES
NIFTY closed at a new ATH and also hit a new ATH.
TATAMOTORS, KOTAK BANK, TCS, and LT have shown strong momentum.
NIFTY was resilient to a great extent as the day low was above 17350 and almost a 100 points above the low of the earlier session.
FIIs have bought in excess of 1400 Crores.
NEGATIVES
RELIANCE, HDFC twins, and INFOSYS ended up dragging the indices from the higher plains.
NIFTY is closing a well 58 points below the ATH.
BANK NIFTY though ended in the green continues to under perform.
TRADING RANGE FOR 15-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
They say looks are deceiving. And NIFTY is doing exactly the same. It is in a bull market, has made an ATH close after hitting an ATH high that was 58 points above the closing price.
The first few minutes register a high and then the drifting game starts which at times results in sell-off and if it falls around 17300 or below, it bounces back and ends flat.
I have been writing for over 2 years but I have not seen such situations happening around ATH levels.
The manner in which the prices move of some of the heavyweights gives an indication that what is happening appears to be stage-managed as the candles on the daily charts would confirm so.
When an index or a stock is at ATH, the path of least resistance should be on the upside. However, in the case of NIFTY, it is on the downside and that is what is surprising. INFOSYS, RELIANCE, HDFC BANK are being used to cap the upside in NIFTY for now as these three on their combined strength can lift NIFTY way beyond 17500.
In the end, patience and the ability to read the intent of the market and the scrips is more likely to pay off than anything else.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
14-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
HDFC BANK AGGRESIVE COUNTER TREND TRADE SETUPLevels mentioned on the chart with probable Price Action to follow....
Be Proactive Trader
Better Insight, Better Trade Execution
Views are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk. ''I HAVE A RIGHT TO BE WRONG''
"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
Jai Hind
Dhiraj Singh Bais
Warrior at Battle field
5 days in a row, Nifty ends FlatNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -13-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17363.55 / 17378.35 / 17269.15 / 17355.3
H-L = 77 points
VIX 14.03 / +0.65%
FII DII: +860 Crores
Likely open: Positive Gap-up provided it is able to stay above today’s close for an hour or so.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS - 5 Minutes Chart
A gap-down open with an attempt to cross the P Close was immediately sold in to and within the next hour, the day’s low was hit.
NIFTY breached 17300 with relative ease and found support around intraday pivot points of 17274.
The relief rally was steady and was held on to by NIFTY.
One more indecisive close on the Daily charts.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
TCS 14
HDFC 08
BAJAJ FINSERV 07
KOTAK BANK 05
HINDALCO 05
TOTAL 49
The Laggards
RELIANCE 44
ICICI BANK 20
HDFC BANK 13
HUL 04
ADANI PORTS 02
TOTAL 83
Lifter - Draggers = -34
POSITIVES
NIFTY closed above 17350.
INFOSYS recovered from the lows of the day to end flat.
HDFC is looking good around 2850.
MARUTI seems to be witnessing renewed buying interest.
FIIs have bought in excess of 1400 Crores.
NEGATIVES
RELIANCE single-handedly pulled NIFTY down and two of the heavyweights of BANK NIFTY were badly influenced by the negativity and they too joined the draggers team.
BANK NIFTY closed below 36500.
HDFC BANK is experiencing unusual weakness which is leading to nervousness in ICICI BANK as well.
TRADING RANGE FOR 14-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
It is strange indeed that around ATH levels, the path of least resistance for NIFTY is downward.
One of the worrying things is that now NIFTY does not face strong buying support around 17300 and quickly drifts towards 17250.
The tendency to make lower lows with a flat closing is not what one would expect in a bull market especially around the ATH levels.
FTSE was quite positive and yet we ended in the red - another instance where our indices have chosen to ignore the global cues even when they were positive.
RELIANCE made a low around the FIB level of the daily charts. If the level is held, NIFTY may well be able to catch up soon.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
13-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
Indices Go All Over, Yet End Almost Jaise TheNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -09-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17312.85 / 17379.65 / 17302.7 / 17369.25
H-L = 77 points
VIX 13.94 / -3.26%
FII DII: +1127 Crores
Likely open: From the above, it looks like a flat to positive open but what may happen in the world markets tomorrow
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
A gap-down open was immediately bought into and NIFTY attempted to take out the closing high of yesterday and then gradually sold off.
It was a choppy day for the index being the expiry day as there were many tussles between the big heads. The range for the day was only 77 points.
NIFTY ended the day in mild green and also held 17300 levels as the low for the day was 17302. Some consolation from yesterday.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
NESTLE 14
BAJAJ FINSERV 07
BHARTI AIRTEL 07
TCS 04
GRASIM 03
TOTAL 35
The Laggards
SBI LIFE 11
HDFC BANK 08
RELIANCE 05
BAJAJ FINANCE 05
TITAN 04
TOTAL 33
Lifter - Draggers = +02
POSITIVES
NIFTY ended the day in the mild green.
NIFTY ended the week at a new ATH though it does not appear to be decisive.
NIFTY did not break 17300 on an intraday basis.
FIIs DIIs have together bought in excess of 1000 Crores.
NEGATIVES
NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400.
BANK NIFTY range was just less than 300 points which were evident from the choppy movements and it ended in the red below 36700.
The leaders lack momentum and traction. KOTAK BANK appeared strong at the open but by EOD, it has closed on the 200 DMA line - fence-sitting as usual.
TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 13-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
There were 3 spells on the 5-minute chart of BANK NIFTY that seemed to have been triggered by Algos. These occurred in the candle starting from 1305, 1435, and 1455. The range was more or less similar but the pact varied.
I observed this as I had my trades on and just as I thought I may have to exit the trade at a loss, it spiked and my trade was still in play. The 1455 candle and the one that followed it were game-changers.
I was waiting for a dip before 1500h and had kept 36500 CE ready to hit Buy. The premium plummeted and was down 40+ points to 92. As I opened the window and was about to hit the Buy button, I saw that it was back at 132. The point where I had thought of exiting! And then it kept spiking!
And in the final 10 minutes, it appeared to be an open secret that the expiry will be below 36700 as the index went above 36700 and immediately dipped and that sealed the fortunes of 36700 CE writers in green.
The above series of events makes me wonder if the expiry drama is all staged by those who have the muscle power. From a low of 92 on that candle of 1455-1500, it added 90 more points in premium and the Option expired at 182 .
Another interesting thing on the BANK NIFTY chart of 5 minutes chart is the W pattern - is this on account of psychology or algology?
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
09-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
BANK NIFTY rescues NIFTY for a changeNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -08-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17375.75 / 17383.4 / 17254.20 / 17353.5
H-L = 149 points
VIX 14.41 / -3.29%
FII DII: -802 Crores
Likely open: BANK NIFTY holds the key. Based on the numbers looks a flat to a positive open.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
NIFTY played negative today and did not even bother to go past the opening high made and ended the day just below the P Close.
In the process, it has not only done a lower high but also made a lower low by drifting towards 17250 and dangerously close it.
Soon as Europe opened, the sell-off started and lasted for an hour or so, and then, there was the usual jerks-driven relief rally only to end flat.
On the daily charts, it has formed a hammer pattern indicating good bounce from the lower areas.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
KOTAK BANK 03
HDFC BANK 03
ICICI BANK 02
TITAN 02
HUL 01
TOTAL 11
The Draggers
NESTLE 04
INFOSYS 04
TCS 04
BAJAJ FINANCE 03
RELIANCE 03
TOTAL 18
Lifter - Draggers = -07
The above is what mattered in the end. It looks like the rest of the scrips had no role to play or it was too insignificant by EOD.
POSITIVES
NIFTY ended flat and recovered more than 90 points after the sell-off.
BANK NIFTY changed the corner and was the savior for NIFTY.
Even though the private banks have not contributed significantly, their not being negative helped the indices to maintain their levels.
RELIANCE and HDFC recovered well from their respective lows which came in handy in ensuring that NIFTY closes flat.
NEGATIVES
NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400.
NIFTY breached the recent swing lows and drifted towards 17250.
INFOSYS and TCS have been showing continued weakness.
MARUTI has been falling yet again after a good recovery a couple of sessions ago.
FIIs DIIs remain net sellers.
TRADING RANGE FOR 08-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
The price action in INFOSYS appeared to be managed if one looks at the candles for the last 2 hours. There were spikes and sell-off as if 1700 CE writers had a point or two to prove in ending the day below 1700.
MARUTI fell more than 1.5% but it seems to have made no impact on NIFTY which is indeed surprising as, at one stage, the fall was close to 100 points.
The star of the day was KOTAK BANK as it almost single-handedly changed the tide for NIFTY and therefore BANK NIFTY. The strong up move prompted other banks to also chip in. It now needs to be seen if it can hold on to the momentum possibly created by it being included in the LIC IPO proceedings.
Interesting expiry tomorrow - will the God that rings in Auspicious Beginnings help NIFTY close the week at a new ATH? Or will the IT biggies with RELIANCE like to keep dragging NIFTY?
Wait and Watch!
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
08-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
RELIANCE & INFOSYS Save the day for NIFTY NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -03-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17399.35 / 17429.55 / 17345.55 / 17377.8
H-L = +84 points
VIX 15.11 / +3.92%
FII DII: -42 Crores
Likely open: Unable to read - as today US markets are also closed so indices may consolidate again unless a heavyweight does some interesting moves.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
NIFTY crossed 17400 as well in the first half an hour but failed to hold on to the same.
NIFTY ended the day on yet another ATH close.
A higher high and a higher low has been created.
On the Daily charts a Doji has been formed indicating indecision.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
RELIANCE 28
INFOSYS 23
WIPRO 11
HCL TECH 06
GRASIM 03
TOTAL 71
The Draggers
HDFC BANK 10
ICICI BANK 05
KOTAK BANK 04
IOC 03
ITC 02
TOTAL 24
Lifter - Draggers = +47
The towering presence of RELIANCE & INFOSYS changed the fortunes for NIFTY.
POSITIVES
INFOSYS has made a strong recovery and is now coming close to the ATH levels hit a few days ago.
RELIANCE closed at ATH of 2400+.
NIFTY hit a new ATH above 17400.
NIFTY closed in the green despite pressure from BANK NIFTY.
NEGATIVES
HDFC BANK, ICICI BANK & KOTAK BANK dragged BANK NIFTY and therefore NIFTY as well.
BANK NIFTY closed near the day’s low and below 36600.
FII DII is net negative of 42 Crores.
BANK NIFTY could not go closer to 37000.
TRADING RANGE FOR WB 07-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base. I do not know what the upper levels may be.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
BANK NIFTY trading range was 369 points only which means that the index is getting ready for a big move on either side. It has the tendency to surprise the participants so we will need to wait and watch.
NIFTY ended in the green only because of RELIANCE & INFOSYS. RELIANCE fell sharply from the day’s high of 2480+ to end at 2425.
RELIANCE and BANK NIFTY hold the key for tomorrow.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
06-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title as well as its contents can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
#hdfcbank could bounce bullish divergence and change in polarity#HDFCBANK after breakout beginning of month it has retraced to resistance zone which could result in
change in polarity bounce in addition it now has bullish momentum reverse divergence as well both on daily
that could take it back to 1598 at least. remember both are not confirmed yet.
however make note that there is resistance up there at 1641 but that has enough points to trail for a swing trade
something is about to happen in HDFCNSE:HDFC
break the channel
good up move
now ready for one more up move??????
lets see what will happen
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC BANK | 02-09-2021NSE:HDFCBANK
Trade Setup for Date 02-09-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tomorrow.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
HDFCBANK Trading on Long-term TrendlineHDFCBANK is trading on the long-term trendline support since Mar'2020. The stock broke down from the trendline with a gap and is now retesting the trendline once again. Could this be a precursor to an impending fall in the stock in the coming days/weeks? We will be tracking the price closely and update this section as we get more info.