Union Bank of India: Long-Term Head & Shoulders PatternUnion Bank of India has delivered a decisive long-term breakout on the monthly timeframe after completing a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, marking a major structural shift in trend. The pattern has been in formation for several years, with a well-defined left shoulder, a deep head near the bottoming zone, and a higher right shoulder, clearly reflecting gradual accumulation after prolonged weakness.
The most important technical development is the clean breakout above the neckline resistance, which had capped price action for multiple years. This neckline breakout is supported by strong bullish candles, indicating conviction from long-term participants rather than short-term speculation. Such breakouts on higher timeframes often signal the beginning of a multi-year uptrend rather than a temporary rally.
From a projection perspective, the measured move derived from the head-to-neckline height suggests a primary upside target near the 240+ zone, followed by an extended target around 280+. If momentum sustains and the broader banking sector remains supportive, the structure also opens the door for a long-term projected target near 325+, aligning with the full pattern height projection shown on the chart.
Risk remains clearly defined in this setup. As long as the price holds above the neckline breakout zone, the bullish structure remains intact. Any sustained move back below this level would weaken the breakout thesis and shift the view back to consolidation. This makes the trade favorable from a risk–reward standpoint, as downside risk is limited relative to the potential upside.
Overall, Union Bank of India is transitioning from a prolonged basing phase into a new bullish cycle. Such high-timeframe pattern breakouts are often accompanied by volatility in the initial phase, but structurally they favor positional and long-term investors, especially when managed with disciplined risk control.
Long
