HINDALCO
Metal Index Long term analysisMetal stocks have shown long term weakness with respect to BSE500, with support at 6000 levels. Another interesting point to note is that the index has short upward cycles but downward trends tend to drag out for 2 to 3 times the timelines of the upward trends, notable exception being the trend between 2005 and 2008.
Both the MACD and the relative strength indices are beginning to show a reversal downward and the upward trend seems to be losing steam. Hence quite likely that downward movement will begin anytime between now and Feb. So this is a good time to go bearish on the metal futures.
Hindalco Head and ShoulderRecent head and shoulder formation on Hindalco. Following this the stock has seen a sharp reversal and is currently at a critical support point of 150. The weekly charts indicate overbought levels on the stock. The 20-50 EMA crossover is at a tipping point. If there is a sharp bounce from the current levels then 162.5 is the next resistance.
Yesterday 12/26 there was a bulk purchase of Hindalco worth 100 cr. This could well be a positive indicator of further upward movement for this scrip.
Hindalco looking strong enough to target 176.37 or 195.92 Hindalco trading in up trend and looking to continue existing trend targeting long term resistance 176.37 in near term or may in a week as first target, if breaks 176.37 as second target 195.92, it is forming a wide rising wedge, risky trader can go long in this stock at CMP, conservative traders may wait if stock touches 160.00 then enter long for better entry price.