BankNifty-Is this a wedge ? at 47700's (Intermarket Divergence)Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Consult your financial advisor before making any decisions.
Falling Wedge Pattern & Its Impact on Markets
A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend reversal or continuation depending on the context.
What is a Falling Wedge?
Shape: A downward-sloping, converging price pattern where both highs and lows form lower highs & lower lows.
Volume: Declining during the formation, followed by a breakout with increased volume.
Breakout Direction:
Typically upside.
Impact of a Falling Wedge
In a downtrend (reversal pattern) → bullish reversal signal
- Occurs after a downtrend.
- Signals a potential breakout to the upside.
- Traders look for price closing above resistance with higher volume.
Nifty Holds, BankNifty Slips – Intermarket Divergence in Play
Possible Wave 4 and Wave 5 expected to complete in the next few days. Nifty holding its recent low of 21965 while BankNifty makes a new low could be a classic case of intermarket divergence. Will this divergence lead to a reversal or further breakdown?
What is Intermarket Divergence?
Intermarket divergence occurs when two highly correlated markets or indices (Nifty & BankNifty in current scenario) move in opposite directions, indicating potential market shifts, trend reversals, or underlying weakness/strength.
BankNifty on 3rd March 2025
Nifty on 4th March 2025
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BankNifty is forming a falling wedge near 47700 lows, signaling a potential breakout ahead. Is a sharp reversal on the cards? Stay tuned for the next move.
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Howtotrade5waves
EURUSD – The Perfect Catch at 1.02! (Heading Upside in Wave 3?)Patience rewarded! EURUSD dipped right into the 1.02-1.04 box zone as projected in Jan & March 2024, marking the completion of Wave C before delivering a powerful bounce to 1.08883! 📈🔥
How many of you held steady?
From 0.95358, we identified a leading diagonal wave, signaling a long-term uptrend. The retracement to 1.02-1.04 (50-61.8%) was all part of the base-building phase, preparing for the next major wave—Wave 3! 🚀
📉 Wave C = Wave A projection hit the zone at 1.03118!
📍 Low: 1.01766 (61.8% retracement nailed!)
📈 Bounce: 1.08883 – The move begins!
Now, as the foundation is set, is EURUSD ready for its next wonder wave—Wave 3? Let’s wait and watch the magic unfold!
📊 Check the previous TradingView idea & last tweet for reference!
ONGC -Wave 5 Bottomed! OMG! - From Oil Rigs to Green Gigs!ONGC is making history, transitioning from oil dominance to renewable energy leadership.
On Feb 28, Last ONGC Idea on TradingView
I shared my TradingView idea, predicting Wave 5 completion at the bottom and expecting a bounce off the trendline. And here we are on March 6—ONGC surges from 215 lows to 232+ highs as of today’s close with a strong green candle.
ONGC’s Big Bet: A ₹9.25B Leap into Green Energy!
But that’s not all—ONGC just made a massive fundamental move, acquiring PTC Energy for ₹9.25B ($106M), adding 288 MW of operational wind power across three Indian states.
Why This is a Game-Changer
✅ India’s 500 GW non-fossil fuel target by 2030
✅ ONGC Green targeting 10 GW renewable energy portfolio
✅ Recent $2.3B Ayana Renewable Power acquisition with NTPC Green
Technical Perspective – The Power of Wave 5
Is Wave 5 bottom confirmed in some degree of the impulsive move which started falling from 345 highs as discussed and warned earlier in the Bigger Idea
Momentum building – are new highs incoming
From oil rigs to green gigs, ONGC is shifting gears fast. Is this just the beginning of an explosive rally?
Let us decode the waves.
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Abhishek
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ONGC- Is it ONGC or OUCH!!! (Will You Buy or Sell?) Elliott Wave20th Feb 2025
Last time, ONGC traded at ₹241 on February 20, 2025 , as shown in the snapshot. Today, February 28, 2025, the stock hit a low of ₹223. The big question—Is this a buying opportunity, or is more downside ahead?
Let’s break it down:
Double Divergence Unfolding
- The RSI image on the daily chart (shown above the price chart) indicates a potential reversal.
- Price is making lower lows, while RSI is making higher lows— a regular bullish divergence , signaling that the downtrend is losing strength.
Waiting for the Final Leg Downside ( Since 20th Feb 2025)
- Though the stock has dropped to ₹223 lows as of today ( 28th Feb 2025), we are possibly in the last phase of the correction before a reversal attempt.
Trendline Confluence – Price vs. RSI
- Price chart: The stock has touched a falling trendline three times (1st, 2nd, and 3rd touch points), which could act as dynamic support.
- RSI image: A rising trendline with three touch points suggests regular bullish divergence, strengthening the case for a potential bottom formation.
Andrew Cardwell’s RSI Magic
- According to Cardwell’s RSI principles, a rising RSI against a falling price often signals an upcoming reversal.
Final Thought
- If the RSI divergence holds, ONGC might be nearing a trend reversal, making this a potential buying opportunity.
- However, a break below ₹223 with increasing momentum could invalidate this setup, opening doors for further downside.
Would you buy at these levels, or are you waiting for more confirmation? Have a great weekend
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ONGC - The Big Idea - Did You Check Them?
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Abhishek
WaveTalks
BankNifty: Magic of Historical Levels- Can we hold 49183?(Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.)
As anticipated earlier in the day at 12:03 pm
BankNifty faced selling pressure right at the resistance zone of 49,600-49,665, leading to a sharp fall.
Sharp Fall After 45 mins of Patience at 12:45 pm
Was the sharp fall outcome of any pattern you recognise in ElliottWave - If so what is it?
Did you notice it halted in 49600-49665 zones & to be precise it was 49600---Wow!!!
Historical levels once again proved their significance, as we initially expected support near 49,350-49,375, but when momentum takes over, markets can surprise.
The big question ?
Will BankNifty hold at 49,183 & 48,900 (precisely 48,906), or are we set for a deeper plunge? The impulsive Y-Wave began at 47,845 in the WXYXZ proposed correction and if corrections tend to fully retrace, a test of those levels remains a possibility.
And what about Nifty? Could we see a slide towards 23,800? 🤔 Only time will tell.
Key Takeaways:
✅ Resistance worked like magic at 49,600-49,665.
✅ Support zones were tested but didn’t hold up in the sharp fall.
✅ Will 49,183 & 48,900 act as a base, or do we head lower to 47,845?
✅ Corrections often retrace fully—watch for further price action.
Historical levels remain key—markets have their own mind!
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