Nifty, Banknifty and top stocks analysis for tomorrow + levelsDespite a considerable gap down opening, the indices were able to recover well in the last half an hour. This was largely thanks to stocks like ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Reliance, etc. With Reliance earnings announcement scheduled for today, could the markets be ready for a 'dhamaka' on Monday?
ICICIBANK
ICICI Bank: Bank on it for a good moveCurrently, ICICI Bank made a rebound after a correction. Levels of 747, 765 and 805 can be immediate resistance on the way up.
If the rebound fails, then, look for strong support at 710, below which 692 is another support zone.
Also, 734-682 looks like consolidation range and hopefully the stock should stay in this range if it falls.
Going bullish, a target of 843 and 974 in the medium to long term looks probable.
Nifty ends above 18200, Bank Nifty held back by HDFC BankNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 12-1-22
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 18170.40
H 18227.95
L 18128.80
C 18212.35
EOD +156.60 points / +0.87%
SGX Nifty 12-1-22 @ 1915h = +77
FII DII = +330 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a 100+ point gap up and wobbled a bit but then made steady progress throughout the day with some choppiness.
The leading scrips of Nifty as well as Bank Nifty,were quite volatile which made it hard for the indices to move up consistently.
Nifty managed to close above 18200 with a slight drop in the India Vix.
The indices have made higher highs and higher lows.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 109
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 34
Net = +75
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 289
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 94
Net = +189
POSITIVES
Reliance, ICICI Bank, Infosys, and Kotak Bank helped the indices rally.
Reliance closed above 2500.
NEGATIVES
Underperformance by HDFC Bank and TCS.
HDFC was unable to sustain above 2750 and went sideways.
FIIs are back in sell mode with 1,002 Crores.
TRADING RANGE FOR 13 JAN 22
Nifty support = 17800-17900
Nifty resistance = 18250-300-400
Bank Nifty Support = 37200-500
Bank Nifty resistance = 38800-900-39000-39200
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Nifty OHLC was above 18100 - in fact, above 18100. The last time it happened was on 15-11-21, so it took almost 2 months for the Index to circle back. Any move upwards from here would mean resumption of the uptrend which was given up from 16-11-21.
And Bank Nifty made another day in a row above 38000 as far its OHLC levels are concerned. Today’s low was 38600+ so it is a very good sign.
However, when looking at a granular level, Bank Nifty could manage to close 8 points above the opening price level. Bank Nifty moved in a narrow range drifting on the downside. HDFC Bank held it back forcibly as it came down 1%+ from the day high.
TCS was very nervous ahead of its results so its reaction to the results is going to be quite interesting in the opening hour. I think after a long time 3 IT companies from Nifty 50 would see the market reaction on the same day following the release of its quarterly results. So Nifty may go all over and the moves could be wild and volatile.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the link to the video:
youtu.be
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
12-1-22
Not SEBI registered
The post is for educational & informational purposes only.
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Nifty batting 18003, Bank Nifty 38347. Will this rally sustain?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 10-1-22
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 17913.30
H 18017.45
L 17879.15
C 18003.30
EOD +190.60 points / +1.07%
SGX Nifty 10-1-22 @ 1905h = -42
FII DII = Not yet available
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 100 points and after the initial hesitation and break of the opening low, it resumed its journey on the way up.
It then faced resistance around 17960-70 and then made another attempt to cross the level and failed and fell back to 17900 zone and then just before noon, it made a steady yet choppy ride up the ladder.
Nifty closed above 18000 and has now broken the great resistance at 18000.
The indices have made higher highs and higher lows.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 103
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 17
Net = +86
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 437
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 01
Net = +436
POSITIVES
Nifty closed above 18000 and Bank Nifty well above 38200.
Infosys regained its positivity and led from the front.
It is also good to see HDFC managing to stay well above 2600 and helping Nifty gain steadily.
ICICI Bank, SBIN, and Kotak Bank lifted Bank Nifty yet again.
NEGATIVES
TCS fell 100 points from its opening high.
India Vix has not yet cooled down despite the indices going up so strongly.
Reliance barely managed to stay positive and this could prove to be a worrisome scrip.
TRADING RANGE FOR 10 JAN 22
Nifty support = 17600-700
Nifty resistance = Every 50 points
Bank Nifty Support = 36800-37000
Bank Nifty resistance = 38500-38700-39000
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
The underlying tone of the indices was very strong as Nifty low was 60+ points above the close of 7-1. Likewise, Bank Nifty low was almost 200 points above the close of 7-1-. These two levels would now act as important supports and the gap between the two would attract the indices as and when there is some sort of profit booking or compliance with the global cues.
On the back of a buy-back offer, TCS made an opening high of 3979 and then lost 100 points and ended the day at 3879. So the euphoria was over and those who had the news already banked gains and brought down the scrip to level.
It is a bit surprising that the indices have ignored the negative sentiment in FTSE and closed on a very strong note. To some extent, this is worrisome as well. If and when they correct, that is likely to be sharp and quick.
Even the domestic cues on the Covid front are not encouraging and India Vix has also not cooled down, yet even sensitive scrips like IRCTC, IndiGo, and Inox Leisure have performed well. This in a way is a good sign as long as it indicates the ability of these companies to weather the adverse impacts.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the link to the video:
youtu.be
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
10-1-22
Not SEBI registered
The post is for educational & informational purposes only.
---
ICICI BANKNSE:ICICIBANK is the best fundamental company in the banking sector.
After the gap up of 25th Oct stock fills the gap on the daily time frame, and now taking very strong support from 734 level.
Investors can buy this dip of 10% from the all-time high, it will be a very good investment for future.
ICICI Bank - Breakout from neck lineNote: This is for educational purpose only. Please do not trade in F&O based on this analysis.
There seems to be a bullish breakout in W pattern from the neck line. Price is rising with rising volumes. Relative strength of the stock is more. RSI at 64 indicates bullish momentum as well.
SL: 730
Simple Trade Setup | ICICIBANK| 30-12-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:ICICIBANK
Trade Setup for Date: 30-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Simple Trade Setup | ICICIBANK | 28-12-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:ICICIBANK
Observations:
1) On 1 day time frame, it came back again above 100DMA.
100DMA is placed at 732.02. So level of 730-732 will work as immediate support level.
Please refer below chart : 1 day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date: 28-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
this is the hourly chart of icici bank futuresthis is the hourly chart of icici bank futures
there was a strong supply zone made on the 21st of December (marked) and it was respected this morning when the markets corrected as well. it also does resemble the bullish double bottom pattern and it happening in the hourly timeframe could be a strong signal.
I connected the dots to find that the chart might be making a new uptrend from the 717.30 levels and the first resistance is immediately at 739.85. this level will be acting as a very crucial level.
traders will have an opportunity to buy if the candles cross 740 with momentum for a target of 771 or sell if it resists the level again for a target of around 717.00
I frankly wouldn't sell as the indices may show an up-move and test the upper trendline.
*education purpose only
ICICIBANK SHORTI hope you can now see how ICICIBANK represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Examples presented in these charts are for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
Is Nifty getting ready to end this week above 17000?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 22-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 16865.55
H 16971.00
L 16819.55
C 16955.45
EOD +184.60 points / +1.10%
SGX Nifty 22-12-21 @ 1835 = +12
FII DII = +770 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a good gap-up and then shot up to cross 16900 for some time and then sold-off as usual.
It then recovered in a slow paced market with some amount of choppiness and never looked back to retest the lows. It rose almost 100 points in the final hour even though FTSE was showing a somewhat negative bias.
Nifty has made a higher high and a higher low.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 101
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 9
Net = +92
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 318
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 4
Net = +314
POSITIVES
Bank Nifty ended above 35000 is a good sign and Nifty managed to close above 16950 is also a good sign.
Reliance, SBI, ICICI Bank, and Kotak Bank are looking better than what they were a couple of sessions back. This would impact the sentiment positively and help steady the indices.
The positive sentiment was prevalent was mostly throughout the market with almost 70% of the NSE scrips for which the Advance-Decline ratio is worked out showing a positive close.
NEGATIVES
HDFC continues to show weakness at higher levels and as a result even HDFC Bank seems to have been impacted as unlike yesterday, it ended on a muted close.
16985-17000 is a hard line to cross.
TRADING RANGE FOR 23 DEC 21
Nifty support = 16600-700 revised upwards considering the fact the low for the day was 16800+.
Nifty resistance = 16985-17000-17050-17100-200
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
Though the last 2 sessions have ended in good green, on a closing basis, Nifty is still below the 17-12-21 level. This is therefore likely to play out as the beginning of a tough line of resistance.
Despite a weak FTSE, our indices ended in good green which is a surprise considering the fact that the tendency so far has been to be sold off as and when FTSE is in the red. Maybe there is something that is likely to unfold tomorrow in the opening hour.
Bank Nifty was 421 points of which 318 were from SBIN, ICICI Bank, and Kotk Bank. It is good to see SBI and Kotak Bank turning in as positive contributors. Now only HDFC Bank should remain non negative for the index to move up.
What do you feel about this?
Here is the link to the video:
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
22-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
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Simple Trade Setup | ICICIBANK | 22-12-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:ICICIBANK
Most of all the levels and trade setup remains same as per previous.
Trade Setup for Date: 22-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Bulls unable to hold on, yet indices end in greenNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS 21-12-21
In this post, I talk about the analysis for the day and the trading range for tomorrow. The video discusses with the help of the charts how the indices as well as leading stocks performed during the day and their likely play tomorrow.
O 16773.15
H 16936.40
L 16688.25
C 16770.85
EOD +248.15 points / -0.94%
SGX Nifty 21-12-21 @ 1930 = +25
FII DII = Not yet available
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS using 5 Minutes Chart
Nifty opened with a significant gap up and was able to sustain the same and kept moving up as the day progressed.
However, it then became obvious around 16940 levels where there is an earlier intraday resistance that the bears may not let the rally continue. And at 1300h, that is what happened and the sell-off continued and almost threatened to wipe out all the gains.
Finally, in the last hour Nifty managed to recover well and ended in the green.
Nifty has made a higher high and a higher low.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 5 Lifters contributed = 60
Top 5 Draggers contributed = 16
Net = +44
BANK NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
Top 3 Lifters contributed = 246
Top 3 Draggers contributed = 95
Net = +151
POSITIVES
Both the indices ended the day in green.
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank were the leaders in lifting the indices and remained positive throughout.
Reliance also joined these two in helping Nifty not give up all the gains that had been made in the first half of the day.
NEGATIVES
The manner in which the indices fell in the PM session indicates that there are large sell orders around 16900-950 and it is unlikely that the bears would give up the territory that easily.
HDFC, SBIN, and Kotak Bank remain the problem scrips for the bulls as these are the scrips where every rise seems to be getting sold in to.
TRADING RANGE FOR 22 DEC 21
Nifty support = 16300-400
Nifty resistance = 16800-900-950-17000
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
For the 2nd in a row, Nifty OHLC was below 17000. This is an unusual sight in recent times. This also shows that the bears have not yet given up and any rally is likely to get sold into unless there is ferocity in the up move which was not seen on the horizon today.
Whenever FIIs are the net sellers on the previous day and Nifty is trading with a significant gap up and the same is held on to, it would be safe to expect a sell-off in the PM session followed by a recovery which may not be full.
Catching the last set of bears off guard and just when they have covered their shorts and switched to longs, comes the sharp sell-off which shakes the new longs out and before they can decide to re-enter, the fall is recovered in no time.
So it is necessary for traders to be better Mentalists than good traders as only such people would be able to go with the flow.
Yesterday’s massive fall was attributed to global Omicron fears even as India is for now better placed than the rest of the world. I am wondering what media would attribute the positivity in global indices to? Is Omicron gone? If we remove such noise, market moves and numbers would make better sense.
And here is my latest tweet about an observation made:
What do you feel about this?
Here is the video link –
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
21-12-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
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