DXY bullish? ICT Concepts application.Hello Traders!
I mentioned in the last update of the BTC idea, how I started learning ICT concepts, around a month back. This is the first idea to be published based on those concepts. One must understand that these concepts are vast, and I've only begun it. Everything gets better with more and more practice.
1. Let's begin from 14th April 2023, where DXY market made a new swing low on the daily. We see a massive, fast move up. A 4hr swing high (white highlight) is broken. The market makes a double top (red highlights) and falls.
2. Since, a swing high was broken, we could look for potential moves up from the white 4hr POB (potential order block). This block also coincided with the 70.5% percent Fib level. This Fib was taken from an institutional level of 100.50. I know. Those who don't know ICT concepts find this amusing and, at times, even stupid. But it really does work. I initially was wary of using it but, the more I practice, the more I gain the confidence of doing this. Test it out yourself before you take my words.
3. Market moved up drastically just as was originally expected, grabbing the liquidity from above the double tops and creating a new swing high (neon highlight). ICT stresses on looking at equal lows or highs with suspicion. Every trader knows that the stops of the people who shorted and the orders of people willing to go long on the break of the high rest there, creating liquidity.
4. This new swing high gave us another window of likely opportunity. In my understanding, until a new swing low breaking the old swing low (blue highlight) is made, the market is primarily bullish.
5. More liquidity rests below the equal lows where the market has created the current support upon. It may not necessarily go for that liquidity pool, but it definitely can.
6. The new 4hr POB (fluorescent rectangle) could also hold potential for an up move.
I hope this gave you something new to learn today. If you already know ICT concepts, then that is amazing. I still have a long way to go.
All of this is only for educational purposes. Please take advice from your financial advisor before taking any financial risk.
Do use proper risk management.
Happy Trading!
Profits,
Market's Mechanic.
Ict
STUDY ( EOD )Understanding where the liquidity in the market is our edge, now note we are not anticipating a change in detraction, but a pullback after the swipe of liquidity at least 20-30 pips pullback, we take advantage of the pullback that why we go deeper to the ltf to look for entry, so we can get into the trade, and know where to get out
Trading with SMCThis is how you trade using SMC
1. First look for BOS
2.Then mark Swing High & Swing Low
3.Mark Bearish OB
4.Wait for Retracement to Bearish OB
4.1 -- Look for Counter trend LTF BOS
4.2 -- Look for Bullish OB
4.3 -- Take entry and target Bearish OB
5. Look for Bearish LTF BOS
6. Mark LTF Bearish OB & Take entry
Possible Scenarios for Bitcoin#BTCUSDT #Binance #4HR #Midterm #Elliottwave
- It’s been a while everyone. Today I’ve brought up some of the possible scenarios for Bitcoin based on the Elliott wave Theory. EW traders can refer to my insights and perspectives on midterm trends and major supports/resistances.
- Out of countless Elliott Wave counts, I’ve summarized those that are relatively more plausible and credible. All the cases here were interpreted assuming that the all-time high at 65K(on Binance Chart) is the start of a corrective waves, either as 5-3-5 corrective wave or 5-3-5-3-5 impulsive wave(regarding it as a wave A).
- First of all, let’s look at the scenario A. The swing low formed at 7/21 has been considered as the end of the 5-3-5-3-5 yellow bearish impulsive wave, and thus a whole green wave A. Then the bullish wave structure after that low can be interpreted as green wave B. In this case, Bitcoin is going through yellow wave B of the green wave C and their target prices are 50.8K~52.0K(valid until 8/18) and 53.3K~54.5K.
- Similarly, scenario B also indicates that Bitcoin is forming green wave B currently, but is a bit different that the start of the yellow wave A is at the low formed at 6/22 rather than 7/21. If bears become more dominant from this current price, we can target yellow wave B within the green wave B, at 36.5K~37.7K(valid until 8/29) and 32.8K~34.0K(valid until 9/20).
- Scenario C is one of my bearish counts, viewing that yellow bearish impulsive wave is still ongoing. Adapting the Elliott wave rule that the micro wave 5 of the macro wave 3 cannot be truncated, I have comprehended the low at 6/22 as the yellow wave 3. Hence, the upward wave after becomes yellow wave 4. In this case, we have to make sure that the recent high doesn’t overlap the end of yellow wave 1 which means if Bitcoin succeeds to make higher swing, this counting becomes invalid. The yellow wave 5 can be targeted at 32.8K~34.0K(Valid until 9/20) and 25.6K~26.9K.
- My bullish scenario is the last one. Here, I have considered the current circumstance that the green ABC corrective wave is done and we are now on a new bullish impulsive wave. Whether the end of the green wave C is the low at 6/22 or 7/21, the bullish wave structure can be interpreted as an impulsive wave. In other words, Bitcoin is on yellow wave 3 or 5 of the green wave 1. If Bitcoin shows some bullish movement, the target prices of the green wave 1 are 50.8K~52.0K(valid until8/18) and 53.3K~54.5K. On the other hand, if we observe failure of the swing high, then green wave 2 is to be targeted at 36.5K~37.7K(valid until 8/29) and 32.8K~34.0K(valid until 9/20).






















