XAUUSD 4 PHASE | BULL VS BEAR - KEY LEVEL TO WATCH BULLISH VS BEARISH SCENERIO
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and sustains above 5165, bullish momentum may push gold toward the 5175 – 5200 resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below 5138, selling pressure could drive the market toward 5122 – 5100 support levels.
Market Phase Levels
Accumulation Zone: 5120 – 5140
Range Market: 5140 – 5165
Distribution Zone: 5175 – 5190
Market Up: Above 5200
⬇️ Market Down: Below 5120
Intraday Trading Strategy
Sell Setup (Preferred)
Entry: 5160 – 5175
TP: 5140 → 5122 → 5100
SL: Above 5190
Buy Setup (Reversal Trade)
Entry: 5120 – 5130
TP: 5150 → 5170
SL: Below 5105
⚠️ Disclaimer: Trade with proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Icttrading
XAUUSD (15M) – Liquidity Sweep → Distribution SetupPrice is currently trading inside a clearly defined range.
Previous sell-side liquidity has already been swept from the equal lows, triggering a sharp displacement to the upside. This move looks corrective rather than impulsive.
Key observations:
Upside move is targeting equal highs / range high liquidity.
Area near the range high aligns with premium zone + likely supply.
Expecting buy-side liquidity grab above highs to trap late longs.
Plan & Bias:
Allow price to run the highs and complete the liquidity sweep.
Watch for bearish shift in market structure (MSS) on lower timeframe near the range high.
Look for short entries on retest of supply / FVG after MSS.
Target is a range rotation back to sell-side liquidity near the range lows.
Narrative:
Classic range manipulation. Market clears the downside, entices breakout buyers at the highs, then distributes and reverses. Patience until liquidity is taken, then execution.
📌 Bias remains short after buy-side liquidity is swept.
BTCUSD · 15M · SMC BiasPrice is currently compressing inside a higher-timeframe premium discount equilibrium, respecting a clear range structure.
HTF Context
Equal highs / liquidity resting above the range highs.
Premium zone overhead aligned with prior supply + inducement.
Discount zone below marked by clean HTF demand.
LTF Narrative
Market already delivered a strong impulsive leg up.
Current consolidation suggests liquidity engineering, not continuation.
Upside push toward the equal highs is likely a liquidity grab, not acceptance.
Expectation
Sweep of buy-side liquidity into the premium zone.
Immediate reaction from supply.
Sharp displacement to the downside targeting:
Range low
Discount imbalance
HTF demand below
Execution Plan
No chasing longs in premium.
Wait for:
Liquidity sweep above highs
Bearish displacement
LTF MSS confirmation
Shorts favored post confirmation.
Targets trail into discount until opposing demand shows intent.
XAUUSD (D1) – Elliott ABC pattern activeLana sells the pullback, waits to buy at major liquidity 💛
Quick summary
Timeframe: Daily (D1)
Elliott view: Price is likely developing an ABC corrective structure after a strong rally
Strategy: Sell the B-wave pullback into supply, buy only when price returns to strong liquidity
Context: Precious metals started 2026 strong, but short-term volatility and re-accumulation swings are still expected
Fundamental backdrop (supports the bigger trend)
Gold and silver opened 2026 with strong momentum, extending the best run since the late 1970s. Goldman Sachs remains bullish on precious metals and continues to highlight an aggressive long-term target (around $4,900 for gold).
Lana’s key point: the long-term bull cycle can remain intact, but the market still needs healthy corrections to reset liquidity and build new structure.
Technical view (D1) – Elliott ABC structure
On the Daily chart, after the powerful top, gold dropped sharply, forming a clean Wave A. The current structure suggests:
Wave B: a corrective rebound into resistance/supply
Wave C: a potential move back down into liquidity zones before the next major direction is confirmed
This ABC lens helps avoid getting trapped when the news looks bullish, but price is still in a corrective phase.
Key levels from the chart
1) Sell zone (B-wave supply)
Sell: 4435 – 4440
This zone aligns with marked resistance and a Fibonacci pullback cluster (0.236 / 0.382). If price retraces here and shows rejection, it’s a strong area to look for B-wave selling pressure.
2) Buy zone (major liquidity – potential C-wave completion)
Buy Liquidity: 4196 – 4200
This is the strongest liquidity area on the chart. If Wave C plays out, Lana will look for buying opportunities here with clearer risk control.
3) Deeper accumulation liquidity
Accumulate liquidity: the lower accumulation area highlighted on the chart
If the market sweeps deeper than expected, this is the region where longer-term buyers may step in.
Trading plan (Lana’s approach)
Primary idea: Sell rallies into 4435–4440 if price shows weakness (B-wave rejection).
Primary buy plan: Wait for price to revisit 4196–4200 and confirm support (liquidity absorption).
If price breaks and holds above the sell zone, Lana stops selling and waits for a new structure to form.
Note on early-year behavior
The first weeks of the year often bring “messy” moves as liquidity returns and positioning resets. Lana will only trade at planned zones and avoid entries in the middle of the range.
This is Lana’s personal market view and not financial advice.
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Last week gold moved in a range, as we analyzed and closed below the high of previous week. Weekly candle is indecision candle and now price is near to all time high level. Coming week, we may see a range bound market crating both buy and sell side scenario till price break all time high with volume and conviction. We should track price movement cautiously within the range.
We may also witness a breakout of all time high if market and global events/news support it….
1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures.
2. Now it is choppy till breakout the all-time high or support level.
3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now.
4. There is a POI nesting multiple PD arrays including daily FVG. We may see reversal from this level.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Weekly Analysis of BTC with Buy/Sell scenarios...We analyzed three weeks back that BTC would be in range for some time before taking any further move, And BTC is following same analysis and trapped within a small range since then. BTC prediction of last week also worked perfectly well and market kept in consolidation mode itself. BTC is still in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may develop ABC pattern or reversal at identified daily FVG level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well.
We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame.
1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K.
2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs.
3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal.
4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Weekly analysis BTC with high RnR scenariosBTC is now in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may also develop ABC pattern or reversal at daily level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well.
We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame.
1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K.
2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs.
3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal.
4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR trade scenario.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe.
🧠 Key Highlights:
Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent.
Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS.
The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone.
Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance:
Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs.
Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone.
Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays.
Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone.
🛠 Tools Applied:
PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI
Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D.
Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.








