IDEA
Futures & Options data analysis & view for 22 AprilIn our previous post we had mentioned that if Nifty has to go down, it has to break below 20 day EMA in the next 2 days.
That is what we have precisely seen. Opening scene of Day 2 – Nifty opens & stays below 20 day EMA throughout the day. We have accordingly suggested a trade in that post during market hours.
Let’s analyse the data for the day…
FIIs net sold 17.7K Contracts in Index Futures worth Rs 1070.57 Cr
Futures data analysis
- FIIs added 196 Contracts in Long position and 17.9K Contracts were shorted by them
- Retail participants added 9K Long contracts & squared off 1589 short contracts
- Pro traders added 3.5K Long contracts & squared off 2.9K short contracts
Options data analysis
Call option
- FIIs bought 5.8K Call options & 7.1K Calls were shorted by them
- Retail participants bought 1.07 Lakh Call options & 66.2 K Calls were shorted by them
- Pro traders bought 4.2K Lakh Call options & 44.3 K Calls were shorted by them
Put option
- FIIs bought 3.4K Put options & 4.8K Puts were shorted by them
- Retail participants booked profits / exited in 35.6K Puts Long contracts & exited from 26K Put Short contracts
- Pro traders added 7.47 K Put Long contracts & squared off 3K Put shorts
All in all, retail participants have gone aggressive on the Long side. They are net buyers in Futures and are net Call Long. (They were net Call buyers on 20th April too, suggesting a lot of people might have tried to average their position). FIIs are net short in Futures & keeping it light in options & Pro traders are net buyers in Futures but have balanced their position by adding Call Shorts & net buying some Put options.
Important levels on the lower side 8925 / 8868 / 8822 / 8750
Important levels on the upper side 9030 / 9061 / 9118 / 9196
Level of 8860-8874 is very important.
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A note to all my retail friends who are reading and following me
- please do not try to average positions in options
- Do not enter the trade first and then Hope for things to happen.
It's your money. You have to make things happen and YOU CAN... Just Invest some time in learning.
All the best & Take care...!!!
Weekly Expiry: F&O Data analysis & important levels for 9 AprilIn our previous post we had given support levels of 8744 and 8688. Do notice, Nifty opened at 8688 close to 8680 level and managed to close the day at 8748 just a tad above 8744 support levels. In between we saw a roller coaster kind of a ride… From 140 points down in early trade to a rally of 478 points from the lows and then again a 430 point drop from the highs…
In Futures Segment
FIIs sold 7.7K contracts worth 413 Cr.
FIIs booked profits and squared off 5041 Long Contracts. They also added 2668 Short contracts
Retail Clients squared off 1255 Long contracts and also exited 4027 contracts from Short position.
Pro traders added 6578 Long contracts and exited 898 contracts from Short position.
Option Data Analysis
On the Call option front FIIs exited a marginal 734 Contracts from their Long position and added 7336 Call Short Position
Retail traders were active in Call Options adding 1.07 Lakhs Long contracts and adding 63.8K Short contracts
Pro traders bought 11375 Call Long and also created fresh 46400 Short Contracts
On the Put Option front, FIIs added 8720 Put Long contracts and also added 7490 Put Short contracts
Retail traders added 12541 Put Long and created 13007 Put Short contracts.
All in all, Retail participants have gone aggressive on Call Long side, FIIs are playing it light and Pro traders again are playing a balanced game by going Long in Futures and Selling Call Options.
Support 8744 / 8680 / 8653 / 8618
Resistance 8820 / 8905 / 8986 / 9027
Tomorrow being a weekly expiry and also being a truncated weekly closing, it will be an interesting day. Maximum Call Option activity happened at 8900 and 9000 Strike Price. Given the activity, Nifty Level of 8986 – 9027 will hold the key for the day and looks likely to be the upper cap for expiry.
Take care & safe trading…!!!
Trade setup for BankniftyPersonally, I feel Banknifty is in a downtrend as the US just released their unemployment data, which has increased compared to the previous year
Take trade according to your risk capacity and analysis
If you have any doubts, comment down below
Please drop a like on the post!
Stay safe!
Nifty Possibilities in Upcoming WeekPURELY TECHNICAL
Optimistic View - Nifty retraces to 7500 and rebounds back to current levels to complete a double bottom formation before breaking resistance @ 8900, in which case the target would be 10,000 (Max Call OI). This will become the next crucial resistance level.
Pessimistic View - Nifty retraces to 7500, either stays within 7500-8900 level or breaks lower to 6800 (Long term support level for Nifty - check monthly chart). Note - 8000 to act as short term support (Max Put OI).
Hey you reading this, would love to know what your views are. Do share buddy, thanks!
PS- I also see H&S ;)
Neutral on BPCLBPCL can move either side.
Chart analysis shows it has broken the support zone and should head down towards 360 levels
But privatisation and fall in crude oil price can push the price up.
Due to coronavirus, the market is mostly based on the news rather than technical.
Upside target of 503
Bharti Airtel: Like a Phoenix rising Bharti Airtel
CMP 540
Telecom sector had been out of flavor for a long time now.
However the current chart pattern reflects things have changed and possibly changed for the good. Bharti Airtel has now broken above the parallel channel after 12 long years.
Could this be a signal that the worst is over...
Only time will tell.
But the current setup suggests any dips especially towards 510-485 levels is a good entry opportunity in the stock and the target for current set up comes around 786-820 levels
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Idea Mid Term BuyIdea share price has been following trend within trend with ascending triangle. Hope it will touch level Rs 20 to 30. then sudden down or range bound possible.
Short term target Rs 10 to 12
Mid term target Rs 20 to 30
Duration 20 to 90 Days
Disclaimer: Stock Market Is Subject To Market Risk. Buy Sell Is Your Choice.
Cheers!
Vikas Gupta
Long on BPCLBPCL has broken the weekly trendline (white colored line) and also retested it on last friday.
BPCL has yet to break the green trendline , which would confirm the bullish flag pattern and shift BPCL's momentum towards bullish .
BPCL has used the orange line, which was previously a resistance, as a support and is ready to bounce up.
Target 500 with SL at 460