IDEA
'JUST DIAL' YOUR BROKER AND START BUYINGDouble bottom in monthly charts.
Breach of trend in weekly and daily.
Heavy volume on green days only.
The company just bought back shares last week around 395-400 levels.
are few reasons to long on this counter.
i will also mention - apart from trading, i see potential for investment on this counter too with target of atleast 650.
The company shall be a leader in the mainstream indices in future.
Animesh Vashisht
Sun Pharma: Looking better Sun Pharma
Last time when stock was at 482, we were not very confident for a big move past 505.
The stock made a high of 509, came down till 466 and is now back at 483 levels. How ever this time the chart looks much better.
After the stock made a low of 432 on 14-Aug-2017, the stock has now given higher top (490---499---509) :: higher bottom (432--459 --466) so far
And if 460 /466 zone is held, the stock has every chance of making higher top breaking past the blue line (around 500 levels) & head higher towards 567 / 640 zone.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
SBI: Whats the story...SBI
CMP 256
Observations
- trading in ascending channel since Feb 2016
- currently at lower end of channel
-trading below 50 day EMA
- trading below 200 day EMA
View going forward
Scenario 1
- stock is at major trendline support & if the stock holds on to current level then
- the stock may see a bounce towards either 50 day EMA currently around 278 or max towards mid red line of channel around 295-305 levels
- and then we may see a bigger fall
Scenario 2
- The stock breaks past the channel support
- takes support around green line (around 244)
- on bounce finds resistance at 200 day EMA
- & falls again
Given the chart setup
- likely short term target 269-278
- & if we seen rejection on any bounce then the target over medium term looks likely to be around 220-196
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Tata Motors: Got the bounce... What next...???On 5th Sept we discussed 2 possible scenarios for Tata Motors that we are looking at...
1st was Tata Motors holding 374 on the downside and jumping towards 405-416 levels
The stock made a low of 374.05 precisely and has managed to crawl back above 405 levels...
Now if we see Tata Motors share price getting rejected here... then we are starring at the bigger trade potential on the downside with target potential of 348.
This is more of a positional trade and pattern gets invalidated if stock closes above 426
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Tata Motors: Island formationTata Motors
Observations
- Last year on 31-May-2016 the stock opened with a significant gap up & closed at 459 up 38 points from its previous day close of 421
- This year On 8-Aug-2017, the stock opened significantly lower and closed at 380 down 36 points from its previous day close of 416
- the gaps have occurred from similar levels 421 and 416 respectively and of similar magnitudes on a closing basis (38 & 36 points respectively)
- thereby forming an island of trade of more than 1 year
Scenario 1
The stock goes up... sees price rejection and falls down
Scenario 2
Stock gets sold in to and falls deeper
Strategy 1
Buy at current levels for target of 405-415
If the stock sees price rejection around the 416-422 zone then sell for downside target of 344-348 and probably even 322
Strategy 2
The stock goes below 374 and is unable to recover above 384 then sell with minor stop of 384 for target of 344-348
- wait for a bounce back. if we see price rejection again in the zone of 362-380, then sell for deeper targets
Take care & safe trading...!!!
PERSISTENT SYSTEM - (LONG) WEEKLY MULTIPLE BOTTOM SUPPORT.Stock price has reached its long term support of multiple historical bottoms placed around 555 on the weekly chart
RSI is placed around 40 and showing some strength.
Stochastic oscillator has reached oversold zone and just crossed its signal line upside, indicating the chances of bullish trend reversal.
Stock is on the verge of forming bullish engulfing candlestick pattern on the weekly chart
So One can buy NSE:PERSISTENT @ 560, for a target of 625 and keep stop loss at 545. - SB7 INVESTMENTS.
Nifty viewSince the rise from 9455 to 10137 levels Fibonacci levels have played a vital role is identifying key support & resistance levels...
Levels------------------------------------ Fib retracement-------------------------- Fib Level
- closing low at 9710----------------- 61.8% of 9448-10137 -----------------------9711
- high of 9947 --------------------------61.8% of 10137-9685 ----------------------9965
-low of 9740 ---------------------------76.40% of 9685-9947 -----------------------9747
Nifty is at imp Fib zone around 9867-9898 zone...
We are also seeing range contraction and triangle formation....
Whether Nifty upside gets capped @ Fib levels or we get a triangle breakout... It will be interesting to see Nifty price behavior tomorrow.
Take care & safe trading...!11
Shree Renuka Sugar: Enjoy the sweetest thing...!!!Shree Renuka Sugar
CMP 15.66
On 21 June, when stock was @ Rs 13, we highlighted how chart is indicating good times for Renuka Sugar is round the corner...
Well today the stock is up 20%...
No one can time the market.... but when time comes you can surely make the most of it...
All we need to do is...
- Do our homework...
- Identify key levels
- Understand Risk Reward ratios
- Be ready with a Plan &
- let the story unfold itself...!!
Study and Patience are 2 key things...
Enjoy your week end
Take care & happy investing..!!!
GSFC: Stock is up but view is bearishGSFC
CMP 119.3
Observations
- 20 day EMA crossing below 50 day EMA
- 122-124 important resistance level
- 112-108 important support zone
- below 115 Head and shoulders pattern starts getting stronger
- Probability of the stock going lower increases if it takes out 112-108 levels
- Target zone for the pattern 94 / 86
- View gets invalidated if stock sustains above 124 for time being...
Take care and safe trading...
Plastiblends: Breakout looks good and trend is up... BULLISHPlastiblends
Cmp 593
Observations from chart:
- the stock has given a breakout & has come out of ascending triangle
- consolidation phase within triangle is of nearly 10 months in 1st chart
- this is generally a low volume stock with occasional spikes in volume
- MFI & RSI are currently in overbought zone
-- in the short term, stock may retrace & test breakout zone around 560 & confirm if reversal of role i.e earlier resistance to act as support zone now holds true...
Given the set up
- Any dips towards 560 provide good opportunity to go long for target of 680 over medium term & 840 over medium to long term.
One of my friend who follows Fundamental Analysis to the core is quite bullish on the stock & has a 3 fold target over longer term.
Do review and check with your financial advisor before taking any decision...
As always, review your trading plan
& Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Take care & safe investing.....!!!
Delivery by IDEA with a target of 128By IDEA at 92.35 target 127.9 sl 80.
There's strong Bullish Engulfing pattern formed in weekly chart. This's such a good time to enter IDEA. Because this's now moving after deep correction, consolidation and volatility . It has closed above the middle band of Bollinger Bands and the RSI and Volume also looks very positive stock catching. Things looks like an IDEA can fill your your pockets very soon...
(Analysis is based on Bullish Engulfing pattern)
IDEA - Potential Continuation Pattern It is been observed on the hourly chart that the price action is forming a continuation pattern after breaking downward channel pattern.
It shall be a good opportunity to take a part in it once it closes above 93 levels.
I shall update the targets later.
#Watchlist
Regards
"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing"-Warren BuffettHave projected my views on the chart itself...
It is the downtrend in VIX which is helping push / maintain Nifty in the upward direction...
Keep a close eye on Volatility index as it may be an early indicator to signal a reversal in market.
And if VIX starts moving up towards 24 some time later this year (it has tested 24 levels each year in the last 5 years), and barring once during 2014 election time, on 4 other occasions whenever that has happened Nifty has seen a fall of 10-15 % magnitude. You definitely would not want to be a buyer in that market...
Take care and safe trading...!!!
IDEA - LONG - SHORT TERMThe RSI is placed at 37. It is bounced back from 31 levels and showing some strength.The 200 DMA is Acting as Resistant. Stock has Tried to Break the 200 DMA Resistance few days back and Failed to Break it. It is going to Test the 200 DMA as the RSI is indicating a Support at 37 which is bounced back from 31 levels. So one Can Initiate LONG on IDEA at CMP for a Target of 89.45 With a Stop loss Placed at 82.9.
IDEA - Strangle Option StrategyCMP - 100
This is a direction-neutral strategy. I used it previously too. ( see in related idea )
Here I am buying,
95 PE - 3.5
105 CE - 3.5
Why ? Because it has moved a lot and I am expecting it to move further.
Caution : Experts do due diligence. New traders can look into this and paper-trade.