GOLD TRADING STRATEGY – FIRST NONFARM DATA UNDER TRUMP'S TERM! 📊 Key Market Events & Strategy for Today
Today is a high-impact trading day, with key economic data and events shaping the market. In Asia, many countries celebrate "The Golden Day", a traditional event where gold buying increases to attract prosperity and financial success. Historically, gold tends to rise during the Asian session on this day, driven by strong FOMO from retail traders.
During the Asian session, gold saw a strong push upward due to market FOMO, and now it is showing signs of consolidation before another potential bullish move. However, the real market mover today is the first-ever Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report under Trump’s presidency!
📌 Why is this NFP so important?
Investors are highly anticipating this report, as it sets the tone for the US economy under Trump.
Just two days ago, ADP data projected a much stronger-than-expected NFP, signaling a potential USD recovery amid the trade war scenario.
A strong NFP could fuel a short-term USD rally, leading to sharp price swings in gold.
📈 Trading Strategy for Asian & European Sessions
🔹 Key focus: Look for BUY entries at Continuation Patterns (CP) and important Fibonacci reaction levels on lower timeframes, as price movements will be faster due to FOMO-driven volatility.
🔍 Key Support Levels for Scalping Buys:
✅ 2859 - 2850 - 2842 - 2835 - 2822
🔍 Key Resistance Levels for Potential Tops:
🚨 2882 (previous high, potential retest) - 2892 - 2900
📊 Pre-NFP Trading Plan – Scalping & Positioning Strategy
📌 Asian & European Session Buy Setups
🎯 Buy Scalp: 2842 - 2840
❌ SL: 2836
🎯 TP Targets: 2846 - 2850 - 2854 - 2860 - 2865 - 2870
📊 Adjusted Buy Setup for the US Session (Pre-NFP Volatility)
🎯 Buy Scalp: 2836 - 2834
❌ SL: 2830
🎯 TP Targets: 2840 - 2844 - 2850 - 2854 - 2858 - 2865
🎯 Buy Zone: 2816 - 2814
❌ SL: 2810
🎯 TP Targets: 2820 - 2826 - 2830 - 2835 - 2840 - 2845 - ???
📊 Sell Setup – Testing the Highs Before NFP
🎯 Sell Scalp: 2880 - 2882
❌ SL: 2875
🎯 TP Targets: 2876 - 2872 - 2868 - 2864 - 2860 - ????
🚨 SELL ZONE will be updated in real-time in our channel!
👉 Given today’s high-impact event, the Admin team will closely monitor and update the best SELL entry levels live in our channel.
📌 REMEMBER: Today’s NFP release is a major event, so market volatility will be extreme.
✅ Strictly follow TP/SL to protect your account!
📩 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for real-time updates, market insights & high-accuracy trade setups! 🚀
💬 What’s your prediction for today’s NFP? Will gold break higher or crash? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Indianmarket
IPCA LABORATORIES - RETEST OF SUPPORT BREAKDOWNSymbol - IPCALAB
Ipca Laboratories has recently experienced notable price movements, trading near resistance levels after a good pullback from lower levels. Currently, the stock is trading near major resistance zone, which follows a period of strong recovery from its earlier lows. However, the trend appears bearish, and the sentiment is negative. This increases the likelihood of a sell-off from the ₹1500-₹1540 resistance zone, where the stock may face significant selling pressure.
Despite the recent price recovery, the stock is encountering selling pressure near these resistance levels, reflecting a similar trend seen in many healthcare stocks due to changing investor sentiments. As with other pharmaceutical companies, the stock could face volatility due to external factors such as regulatory updates, changes in pricing strategies, or new competition in the market.
Despite short-term fluctuations, the stock remains resilient due to strong fundamentals and an ongoing focus on key therapeutic segments. However, the short-term outlook might face a correction. This could trigger a move towards lower levels, but long-term growth remains intact based on strong earnings prospects and solid market positioning.
Key Resistance levels: ₹1500, ₹1540, ₹1548
Key Support levels: ₹1460, ₹1434, ₹1400
There are no signs of a significant trend reversal, and growth could resume from lower levels should the stock maintain its strong performance fundamentals.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
BULL FLAG FORMATION IN ADANI GREEN ENERGY - SWING TRADESymbol - ADANIGREEN
CMP 988
Adani Green Energy Limited, incorporated in 2015, is a holding company of several subsidiaries carrying business of renewable power generation within the group and is primarily involved in renewable power generation and other ancillary activities.
In Adani Green Energy, a bullish flag formation has developed. A breakout from this formation is expected to drive the price towards 1240, representing an approximate upside of 26% from the current level. I am initiating a long position in the Futures at the current market price 988
Additionally, I plan to increase my position near the 970-965 price range and will maintain the long position with a stop loss at 938
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Gold’s Momentum: Will Trump’s Inauguration Drive XAUUSD to $2,75🌍 Market Overview
The financial world is closely watching gold prices as Donald Trump prepares to take office on January 20, 2025. With gold trading above $2,700, the market anticipates fresh momentum to push prices even higher.
💡 Insight:
Gold has solidified its uptrend in recent weeks, becoming a safe-haven asset amidst uncertainty. Whether XAUUSD can hit $2,750 depends on market sentiment and USD developments.
📊 Key Points to Watch This Week
Trump’s Policies:
His first statements will set the tone for USD. A dovish approach or heightened uncertainty could support gold.
📊 Key Technical Levels
$2,723 - $2,725: The primary resistance zone that, if broken, could lead gold to test $2,748.
$2,748 - $2,750: Key zone to watch for a potential breakout continuation.
Support Levels:
$2,694 - $2,690: The immediate support zone within the Fibonacci retracement at the 50% level.
$2,679 - $2,682: A critical support zone, aligning with the Fibonacci 61.8% level, which acts as a bullish defense.
$2,662 - $2,657: The 0.786 retracement level, representing deeper correction possibilities
DXY (USD Index):
The dollar is hovering near key support levels. A downside break could fuel gold’s rally further.
Market Sentiment:
During political transitions, investors often turn to gold as a safe-haven asset. This could sustain gold’s short-term uptrend.
🚀 Trading Strategy Ideas
Key Drivers for Gold:
Geopolitical tensions: Trump’s trade or international policies could boost gold.
Fed rate expectations: USD might weaken if rate cut expectations rise.
Investor sentiment: A risk-off market environment will likely drive gold higher.
Scenario Planning:
Bullish Case: If prices break $2,723, the next target is $2,750.
Bearish Case: If DXY strengthens, gold may pull back to $2,680.
🤔 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will surpass $2,750 this week?
👉 Comment below and follow me for more in-depth insights from CMF – Core Market Flow!
Sensex: Double Bottom BrokenThe Sensex has broken the double bottom support at 77,575, signaling a bearish breakdown structure. The next key level to watch is 76,000, which is now on the radar for potential testing.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
NIFTY BANK: Will It Bounce Back or Continue Falling? NIFTY BANK remains trapped in a falling channel, with key support and resistance levels coming into play. As the price consolidates, traders are watching closely for signs of a breakout or further downside movement.
Key Points:
1. Resistance Zones:
- 50,926.75
- 50,689.45
- 50,444.40
- 50,204.15
2. Support Levels:
- 49,957.80
- 49,721.60
- 49,473.10
- 49,259.55
3. Current Setup:
- NIFTY BANK is trading within a falling channel, indicating bearish momentum.
- The recent bounce from the lower support zone suggests possible short-term recovery, but resistance levels overhead could limit upside moves.
- Key Fibonacci retracement levels align with the channel's resistance, adding weight to the potential breakout or rejection.
How to Trade This:
- Bullish Strategy:
- Look for a breakout above 50,204.15 with strong volume.
- Targets: 50,444.40 and 50,689.45.
- Stop Loss: Below 49,957.80.
- Bearish Strategy:
- If the price fails to sustain above 49,957.80, consider short positions.
- Targets: 49,721.60 and 49,473.10.
- Stop Loss: Above 50,204.15.
Bottom Line:
NIFTY BANK is at a critical juncture, with the potential for either a breakout to the upside or a continuation of the downtrend. Keep an eye on key levels and trade with caution, as the next move could be decisive!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
Only for educational purposes.
This content is not a recommendation to buy and sell.
Not SEBI REGISTRAR.
Morepen Lab Near Key Support – Big Move Ahead?Morepen Laboratories (NSE: MOREPENLAB) - A Critical Technical Setup
In-Depth Chart Analysis
1. Descending Trendline Resistance:
• The stock is moving within a descending triangle pattern, with a clear downward trendline acting as resistance since the peak around ₹120.
• Currently, the stock is approaching this trendline near ₹80. A breakout above this level, supported by strong volume, could trigger bullish momentum.
2. Key Moving Averages:
• 200-Day EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The 200-day EMA is positioned at ₹69.66, which serves as a critical long-term support. The stock has tested this level multiple times, indicating its importance.
• The price is hovering slightly above the EMA, suggesting the stock is at a decisive point for trend confirmation.
3. Support Levels:
• ₹69.66: Immediate support lies here, aligning with the 200-day EMA. If this level holds, the stock could see a bounce toward higher resistance levels.
• ₹65.00 and ₹55.00: If the stock fails to hold ₹69.66, it could slide to ₹65.00, a psychological support, and then to ₹55.00, which marks a previous consolidation zone.
4. Resistance Levels:
• ₹80.00: The descending trendline converges with this resistance. A breakout above ₹80.00 could open the path to ₹95.00.
• ₹95.00: A crucial horizontal resistance zone. Beyond this, ₹115.00 could be the next major target.
5. Volume Profile:
• Recent volume spikes near support levels suggest accumulation by long-term investors.
• Watch for increasing volume during any breakout above ₹80.00, which would confirm strong buying interest.
6. Bollinger Bands:
• The price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating oversold conditions.
• A rebound toward the middle or upper band could align with a breakout above the ₹80.00 resistance.
7. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• The RSI is nearing the oversold zone, typically a precursor to a potential reversal.
8. Symmetrical Triangle Formation:
• The stock’s current price action within a triangle pattern indicates consolidation. A breakout above the upper trendline or a breakdown below the lower support will dictate the next directional move.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
• A breakout above ₹80.00 with high volume can propel the stock to test ₹95.00 in the short term.
• Sustaining above ₹95.00 could lead to a rally toward ₹115.00, marking a significant reversal of the bearish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
• A breakdown below ₹69.66 would indicate the continuation of the descending triangle, leading to lower levels like ₹65.00 and ₹55.00.
• Increased selling pressure or market weakness could exacerbate the downside.
About Morepen Laboratories
Company Overview:
Morepen Laboratories is a pharmaceutical and healthcare company specializing in Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs), formulations, and diagnostics. With a strong domestic presence and growing exports, the company’s key products include Loratadine (an anti-allergic API) and well-known OTC brands like Burnol and Dr. Morepen.
Financial Highlights:
• Revenue: The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by exports and rising healthcare demand in India.
• Margins: Operating margins are moderate, with scope for improvement as exports scale up.
• Debt Levels: A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects strong financial stability.
• Cash Flow: Positive operating cash flow highlights effective financial management.
Growth Drivers:
1. Increasing demand for APIs globally, especially in regulated markets.
2. Expansion into diagnostics and OTC segments, with a focus on high-margin products.
3. Government incentives under the “Make in India” initiative for the pharmaceutical sector.
4. Investment in R&D to create niche formulations and increase market penetration.
Conclusion:
The stock is at a pivotal technical and fundamental point. A decisive breakout above ₹80.00 could signal the start of a bullish trend, while a breakdown below ₹69.66 might lead to further downside.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult a certified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SOUTHBANK By KRS Charts2nd Jan 2025 / 1:05 PM
Why SOUTHBANK ❓
1. Fundamentally Stable Company ✅
2. Wave Count seems like 4th Wave is about to Finish. 👍
3. Currently taking support on 100 EMA 1W Timeframe with Bullish Doji candle.
4. Descending Flag Pattern Breakout with Retest with bullish trait 📈
Initial Target - ~34 Rs.
SL 1W Closing below 100 EMA
Nifty to Kick-Start the Year with a Pause!● A detailed examination of the daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting a bearish outlook.
● However, the index is currently hovering above the critical support level of 23,500, while attempting to establish a foothold above the 200-period EMA, a key dynamic support.
● Furthermore, options data indicates a significant concentration of put writers at the 23,500 strike price, lending additional credence to the support zone.
● Given these technical and sentimental factors, we expect the index to remain in a consolidative phase over the next month, as market participants await a clear catalyst for direction.
FMCG SECTOR - Overview | Educational PostWhy the FMCG Sector is a Must-Have for Long-Term Investment
- I am highly bullish on the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector, particularly in the context of a booming economy like India's This sector is fundamentally driven by the robust Indian consumption theme, which continues to expand rapidly due to the country’s growing middle class, increasing urbanization, and rising disposable incomes.
- For those looking to build a robust and resilient investment portfolio, the FMCG sector is indispensable. Its alignment with the Indian consumption growth story, coupled with its recession-proof nature, makes it a compelling long-term play. Including FMCG stocks in your portfolio can provide both stability and growth, making it a must-have sector for any prudent investor.
MONTHLY TF VIEW:
I) Key Drivers of FMCG Sector Growth
1. Stable Demand: FMCG products, ranging from food and beverages to household and personal care items, are essential for daily life. This ensures a steady and non-cyclical demand, making the sector resilient to economic fluctuations.
2. Consumer Behavior: Indian consumers are becoming increasingly brand-conscious and willing to spend more on quality and convenience, driving premiumization trends within the FMCG space.
3. Urbanization and Lifestyle Changes: With more people moving to urban areas, there is a noticeable shift towards packaged and ready-to-use products. This urbanization trend is set to continue, providing a sustained growth trajectory for FMCG companies.
II) Recession-Proof Investment
The FMCG sector is renowned for its defensive characteristics, especially during economic downturns. Even in times of recession, the consumption of essential goods remains relatively unaffected. We can see how the sector managed to outperfrom even in COVID pandemic like situation. This recession-proof nature provides a safeguard for investors, ensuring stable returns even in volatile market conditions.
III) Long-Term Investment Theme
Investing in the FMCG sector is not just about stability; it’s about tapping into a growth story that aligns perfectly with India's long-term economic prospects. Companies in this sector are continuously innovating, expanding their product lines, and enhancing distribution networks to capture greater market share.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- These are my personal views.
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
Aurobindo Pharma - Long Trade SetupHello, Auropharma near the resistance level of 1275 . You can enter long when price is crossed above 1275.
*Confirmation of Trend Strength: A breakout above resistance indicates strong upward momentum and confirms the existing uptrend. This increases the likelihood of further price appreciation.
* Reduced Risk: Trading with the trend minimizes the risk of opposing a large number of market participants who are also betting on the continuation of the uptrend.
* Momentum: Breakouts often trigger a surge in buying pressure as traders rush to capitalize on the upward move, further propelling prices higher.
* Clear Entry Signal: The breakout provides a well-defined entry point, allowing traders to enter the market with precision and confidence.
Aurobindo Pharma - Long Trade SetupHello, Auropharma near the resistance level of 1275 . You can enter long when price is crossed above 1275.
*Confirmation of Trend Strength: A breakout above resistance indicates strong upward momentum and confirms the existing uptrend. This increases the likelihood of further price appreciation.
* Reduced Risk: Trading with the trend minimizes the risk of opposing a large number of market participants who are also betting on the continuation of the uptrend.
* Momentum: Breakouts often trigger a surge in buying pressure as traders rush to capitalize on the upward move, further propelling prices higher.
* Clear Entry Signal: The breakout provides a well-defined entry point, allowing traders to enter the market with precision and confidence.
The Week Ahead for Nifty: Trends and InsightsLast week, the Nifty index faced strong selling pressure, driven by various global economic factors.
◉ Current Scenario
● At present, the Nifty is trading near its 200 EMA, just above 23,500, a level with high put writer concentration, indicating potential support.
● Conversely, the 24,000 level will act as an immediate resistance due to the high number of Call contracts open at that position.
◉ Expected Market Movement
● This week is likely to be muted for the Nifty.
● If the index slips below 23,400, the next support level will be 23,000.
● A major upward move is expected only if the Nifty surpasses 24,800.
Nifty Index Futures: Key Technical Insights for December 2024The Nifty Index Futures chart highlights significant market developments, signaling potential shifts in momentum. Here’s a concise analysis:
Key Highlights
Trendline Breakdown:
The long-standing upward channel has been breached, indicating bearish pressure.
Bearish Patterns:
A confirmed head-and-shoulders pattern with a neckline breakdown suggests further downside.
Emerging lower highs and lower lows confirm a bearish trend structure.
Critical Levels:
Resistance: 24,400 and 25,000.
Support: 23,625, 23,222, and 21,827.
Scenarios:
Bullish: A recovery above 24,400 could target 25,000.
Bearish: Sustained trading below 23,625 may lead to 23,222 or lower.
Trade Plan:
Short Trade: Consider shorting below 23,625 with a stop-loss at 24,000 and targets at 23,222 and 21,827.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 17th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 24,730 on a 15-minute chart
Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 24,555 on a 15-minute chart
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the candle that closes above 24,730 on a 15-minute time frame.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the candle that closes below 24,555 on a 15-minute time frame.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
JSWENERGYReasons to consider going long on JSWENERGY
1. Bullish Reversal Patterns:
• The green candle on horizontal support could signify a potential reversal.
2. 200-Day Moving Average as Support:
• The 200-day moving average is a key long-term support level. A bounce from this level often attracts institutional interest and signals strength in the stock.
3. Relative Strength vs. Nifty:
• Positive relative strength suggests that JSWENERGY is outperforming the broader market, making it a strong candidate for an uptrend continuation.
4. Sector Support:
• Nifty Energy index taking support on its horizontal support increases the likelihood of a sector-wide bounce, which could positively impact JSWENERGY.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
1. Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, signaling the beginning of bullish momentum. This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
2. Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
ICICI Bank is likely to stay in its channel, No breakouts!ICICI bank has had a really good year, outperforming its rivals with 31.1% Returns in last 1 year while its main competitor HDFC sits at 13.9%. ICICI Bank is already trading slightly above its 3 Year Median PE.
All this points that a breakout from ICICI's current parallel channel is very less likely, and the bank is going to continue to stay in this channel only.
The lows will be formed either at bottom line of the channel or center line. This will create technical BUY signals for this stock.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Builds Momentum for Rebound◉ Since its launch, the stock has faced a dramatic decline, dropped nearly 80% from its peak.
◉ Once it found support around the 12.5 mark, the stock began to rise again, formed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern in the process.
◉ After breaking out, the price surged to an all-time high near the 61 level, only to experience another notable drop.
◉ At present, the stock is trading at the previous breakout point and is expected to rebound shortly.
NIFTY is bearish below 23263 - Nifty Bearish Level (Important)Nifty has found support at 23263 - please be aware to exit or reduce your positions if the suggested level is broken,
you can also think of shorting the markets with a timeline of trade for 3 Months (that means, atleast stay in shorts for three months if as long as markets is below 23263).
I strongly suggest you to save this post or remember the level which can prove to be very important opportunity for taking a trade.
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