The Outperformer's Guide: Top Stocks from Each SectorThis analysis highlights key sectors and stocks to watch.
1. Nifty IT NSE:CNXIT
● The Nifty IT sector has demonstrated resilience during the recent negative market sentiments.
● Notably, it has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern and expected to breakout soon.
➖ Stock to Watch - Coforge NSE:COFORGE
● The stock is currently trading just below its all-time high with a strong uptrend.
● Investors can consider accumulating shares on any dips.
2. Nifty Finance NSE:CNXFINANCE
● The Nifty Finance sector has recently breached its trendline support and is now approaching its next key support level, ranging from 22,500 to 22,700.
➖ Stock to Watch - Axis Bank NSE:AXISBANK
● The stock is currently trading at its support level, offering a potential short to mid-term trading opportunity.
3. Nifty PSU Bank NSE:CNXPSUBANK
● The Nifty PSU Bank sector has consolidated within a range and is nearing its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - State Bank of India NSE:SBIN
● The stock is approaching its trendline support level.
● A buying opportunity may arise if the price reaches the 770 level.
4. Nifty Pharma NSE:CNXPHARMA
● After experiencing a downturn, the Nifty Pharma sector is now approaching its trendline support level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Divis Laboratories NSE:DIVISLAB
● The price is overall in an uptrend.
● Following a record peak, the stock is now nearing its trendline support level.
● The best buy zone is between 5,500 and 5,600.
5. Nifty Media NSE:CNXMEDIA
● The Nifty Media sector is expected to witness a potential pullback towards the 1,720-1,760 level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Network18 Media NSE:NETWORK18
● The stock is trading just above its trendline support zone, presenting a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
6. Nifty Realty NSE:CNXREALTY
● The Nifty Realty index is currently trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
● The stock is trading at the support zone and expected to rise soon.
7. Nifty FMCG NSE:CNXFMCG
● After a downfall, index is approaching its trendline support level
➖ Stocks to Watch - Varun Beverages NSE:VBL
● VBL is trading above its support zone, offering a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
8. Nifty Metal NSE:CNXMETAL
● The Nifty Metal sector is trading above its support zone,
➖ Stocks to Watch - Ratnamani Metals & Tubes NSE:RATNAMANI
● The stock price has formed an Ascending Triangle pattern and is currently trading above the support level.
9. Nifty Oil & Gas NSE:NIFTY_OIL_AND_GAS
● The Nifty Oil & Gas sector is also trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Aegis Logistics NSE:AEGISLOG
● The stock price is close to breaking through its trendline resistance.
● If it can maintain its position above this level, a rally may be imminent.
10. Nifty Auto NSE:CNXAUTO
● Lastly, the Nifty Auto sector is trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Eicher Motors NSE:EICHERMOT
● Eicher Motors is consolidating within a rectangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout.
Indianstockmarket
A Healthcare Face-Off: Apollo vs. Narayana◉ Abstract
India's hospital industry is growing rapidly, valued at ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 5.8-8.0% from 2024 to 2032. Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya are two leading players, with Apollo being the largest private hospital network and Narayana Hrudayalaya known for cost-effective cardiac care. Narayana Hrudayalaya appears undervalued with a P/E ratio of 33.5 and more profitable (ROCE: 27%), making it an attractive investment option. Apollo Hospitals seems overvalued with a P/E ratio of 83.4 but remains viable for strategic entry points. Both companies are poised for growth driven by increasing healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion.
Read full analysis here........
◉ Introduction
The hospital industry in India is experiencing significant growth, with the market valued at approximately ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023. Projections indicate a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% to 8.0% from 2024 to 2032, potentially reaching between 13.87 lakh cr. and 16.33 lakh cr. ($164.4 B - $193.6 B) by 2032, depending on various market analyses.
◉ Growth Drivers of the Indian Hospital Industry
● Increased Healthcare Expenditure:
➖ Rising public and private spending on healthcare, with government health expenditure aiming for 2.5% of GDP by 2025.
➖ Expanding middle class with higher disposable incomes and greater access to health insurance.
● Technological Advancements:
➖ Adoption of healthcare technologies such as telemedicine and robotic automation, improving service delivery.
➖ National Digital Health Blueprint promoting innovations in e-health.
● Policy Support and Foreign Investment:
➖ Favourable government policies allowing 100% FDI in healthcare, attracting significant investments.
➖ Public-private partnerships enhancing healthcare access, especially in underserved areas.
● Demand for Specialized Services:
➖ Increasing incidence of lifestyle diseases driving demand for specialized healthcare.
➖ Growth in medical tourism as India becomes a preferred destination for cost-effective treatments.
These factors are collectively propelling the growth of the hospital industry in India, positioning it for a promising future.
◉ Key players in the Indian hospital sector
1. Apollo Hospitals leads the sector with a market capitalization of approximately ₹98,646 Cr, establishing itself as the largest private hospital network in India.
2. Max Healthcare closely follows, boasting a market capitalization of around ₹97,820 Cr.
3. Fortis Healthcare is another key participant in the market, with a market capitalization of ₹48,249 Cr.
4. Global Health also ranks among the premier healthcare institutions, holding a market capitalization of ₹28,786 Cr.
5. Narayana Hrudayalaya is recognized for its cost-effective cardiac care services and maintains a notable market share with a market capitalization of ₹26,086 Cr.
In this report, we will conduct an in-depth analysis and comparison between two of India's leading healthcare providers, Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya. This comprehensive evaluation will assess their technical and fundamental aspects,
◉ Company Overviews
● Apollo Hospital NSE:APOLLOHOSP
Apollo Hospitals was founded in 1983 by Dr. Prathap C Reddy, a visionary in the evolution of modern healthcare in India. As the first corporate hospital in the country, Apollo Hospitals is celebrated for leading the charge in the private healthcare transformation.
Today, Apollo Hospitals stands as Asia's leading integrated healthcare services provider, boasting a strong footprint throughout the healthcare landscape. This includes a diverse range of services such as hospitals, pharmacies, primary care and diagnostic clinics, as well as various retail health models.
● Narayana Hrudalaya NSE:NH
Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited is involved in providing medical and healthcare services both in India and abroad. It functions through two main divisions: Medical and Healthcare Related Services, and Others. The organization is responsible for acquiring, owning, and managing a variety of healthcare facilities, including hospitals, clinics, health centres, diagnostic centres, and nursing homes, among other related operations. Its range of services encompasses cardiology, cardiac surgery, nephrology, urology, neurology, neurosurgery, endocrinology, orthopaedics, internal medicine, obstetrics, gynaecology, pediatrics, neonatology, gastroenterology, and oncology. Additionally, the company is active in the health insurance sector. Established in 2000, its headquarters is located in Bengaluru, India.
◉ Technical Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ The stock faced a significant obstacle near the 5,800 level, resulted in a steep drop.
➖ It later found support around 3,500 and rebounded.
➖ Following an extended period of consolidation, the price developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
➖ A breakout ensued, leading to a price increase, but it encountered resistance close to 6,800, which triggered a pullback to the breakout point.
➖ Following a successful retest, the price surged past the previous high, reaching a new peak at 7,545.
➖ However, due to prevailing negative market sentiments, the price has since retraced and is currently trading just above its immediate support zone.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The stock price is overall in an uptrend.
➖ After reaching an all-time high close to the 1,445 level, the price experienced a decline and has since entered a consolidation phase.
➖ A Symmetrical Triangle pattern has formed on the chart.
➖ We expect an upward breakout from this pattern, which could lead to a significant price rally.
◉ Relative Strength
➖ The chart reveals that both Apollo and Narayana Hrudayalaya have underperformed the Nifty Healthcare index. Although Apollo has given a descent 31% return, Narayana lagged significantly, yielding a modest 17% return. In contrast, the Nifty Healthcare index delivered an impressive 41% return.
◉ Service Wise Revenue Breakdown
● Apollo Hospitals
The company operates through three primary segments, each contributing significantly to its revenue.
➖ Healthcare services account for approximately 52% of total revenue, forming the largest share.
➖ The retail pharmacy business generates nearly 41% of total sales, while the retail health and diagnostics segment contributes the remaining 7%.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The company operates exclusively in the healthcare services sector, deriving all its revenue from this single segment.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
Year-over-Year
➖ The company's fiscal year 2024 performance was marked by strong growth, with revenue reaching ₹19,059 crore, a 15% increase from ₹16,612 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA surged to ₹2,394 crore, up from ₹2,065 crore in FY23, while the EBITDA margin improved to 13% from 12%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ In the latest quarter ending September 2024, the company achieved its highest-ever sales of ₹5,589 crore, significantly up from ₹5,086 crore in June 2024. This quarter-on-quarter growth has been consistent since March 2022.
➖ EBITDA for the quarter was an impressive ₹816 crore, a 21% increase from ₹675 crore in June 2024.
➖ Diluted EPS (LTM) rose substantially to ₹83.31 from ₹72.13 in June 2024.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
Year-over-Year
➖ In FY24, our company achieved remarkable sales growth, surging 11% to ₹5,018 crore from ₹4,525 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA soared to ₹1,173 crore, up from ₹987 crore in the same period, with an impressive EBITDA margin of 23%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ Our quarterly sales reached an all-time high of ₹1,400 crore in September, representing a 4% increase from ₹1,341 crore in June.
➖ Although EBITDA growth was modest, it still improved to ₹308 crore in September from ₹304 crore in June 2024.
➖ However, Diluted EPS experienced a decline, dropping to ₹38.85 from ₹39.72.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ Apollo Hospitals' current P/E ratio stands at 83.4, down from its 1-year median of 107.7. However, this remains significantly above the industry average of 56.9, indicating overvaluation.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's P/E ratio of 33.5 is slightly above its 1-year median of 32.8 and substantially below the industry average, suggesting undervaluation.
● P/B Ratio
➖ Apollo's P/B ratio of 13.15 indicates considerable overvaluation compared to the industry average of 7.18.
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya's P/B ratio of 8.14 also suggests overvaluation, albeit to a lesser extent.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Narayana's PEG ratio of 0.49 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to Apollo's considerably higher PEG of 2.43.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya ROCE - 27% in FY24
The significant difference in ROCE between the two healthcare giants underscores Narayana Hrudalaya's superior profitability. Narayana's impressive ROCE of 27% demonstrates its ability to efficiently utilize its total capital, comprising both equity and debt, to generate substantially higher returns.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, surging 39% to ₹1,920 crore in FY24 from ₹1,377 crore in FY23. This robust growth underscores the company's efficiency in converting profits into cash, highlighting its strong financial health and liquidity position.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya has shown sluggishness in turning profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declining 2% to ₹1,067 crore in FY24 from ₹1,085 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals' debt stands at ₹7,371 crore, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, which, although relatively high, is not alarming. However, the company's low interest coverage ratio of 4.69 raises concerns about its ability to service its debt. This vulnerability may complicate repayment of borrowed loans, potentially straining Apollo's financial stability.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's debt of ₹1,703 crore and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 indicate robust financial health. Furthermore, its impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.34 suggests the company is well-positioned to manage its debt obligations, ensuring greater financial flexibility and stability.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ In the September quarter, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) increased their stake in Apollo Hospitals to 45.37%, up from the previous quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) reduced their holdings to 19.94%, a significant decrease from 24.77% in the last quarter.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya witnessed a decline in institutional investor holdings. FIIs reduced their stake to 9.69%, down from 10% in the previous quarter.
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also decreased their holdings to 7.9%, down from 8.22% in the June quarter.
◉ Conclusion
Following a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, we conclude that Narayana Hrudalaya appears to be favorably positioned from a valuation perspective, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
However, this does not diminish Apollo Hospitals' potential. Although the stock currently appears overvalued, investors can consider accumulating shares during dips, making it a viable option for those seeking strategic entry points.
The healthcare sector's promising growth trajectory, fueled by rising healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion, positions both companies for potentially excellent returns in the near future.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 23,710 / Sell Below 23,500
Current Price: 23,559
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 23,559, just below the buy signal level.
It's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 23,550 to 23,700 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,800 and 23,900.
Sell: If the price breaks below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,400 and 23,300.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Nifty Trading Outlook for 11th November 2024Nifty Trading Signal:
Buy above 24,220
Target: 24,300
Sell below 24,100
Targets: 24,050, 24,890
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. This trading analysis is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets involves substantial risk and may result in significant losses. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
INDHOTEL & PAGEIND Shock Dalal Street with Q2 Gains, Stocks SoarThe Indian Hotels
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: IHCL's consolidated net profit soared by 232% year-on-year to ₹554.6 crore, up from ₹167 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: The company achieved a revenue increase of 27.4%, reaching ₹1,826 crore, compared to ₹1,433 crore a year ago.
● EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) rose by 40% to ₹565 crore, with an EBITDA margin of 29.9%.
◉ Operational Highlights
● IHCL's hotel segment revenue grew by 16%, supported by a strong occupancy rate of 75% in its international portfolio.
● The company signed 42 new hotels, expanding its portfolio to 350 properties globally.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock has broken through its previous resistance and is nearing the upper boundary of its ascending channel.
● A breakout above this level could fuel further gains.
Page Industries
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: Increased by 30% to ₹195.25 crore, up from ₹150.27 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: Rose by 11.06% to ₹1,246.27 crore, compared to ₹1,122.11 crore a year ago, supported by a 6.7% increase in sales volume (55.2 million pieces sold).
● EBITDA: Grew by 22.1% to ₹281.5 crore, reflecting improved operational efficiency and stable input costs.
◉ Strategic Outlook
● The company is focused on digital transformation and e-commerce initiatives, maintaining its margin guidance for FY25 at 19-21%, which underscores its commitment to sustained profitability.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock's uptrend remains intact, with higher highs and lows.
● Recent breakout, accompanied by strong volume, suggests the rally will continue.
SENSEX 5000 Points Santa Claus Rally Coming Soon ? It's that time of the year again!
After the Doom and Gloom of October comes the Rays of hope in November and the ' Trump Effect ' may ensure that Santa comes early to the markets this year.
There is just a small matter of a recent Swing low (78768) to be undercut, and then we can see the liquidity return to the markets by way of cheaper rates (just how long can RBI hold out!?), Chinese outflows and World Peace! (God Bless Donald J Trump). Nominal technical Target for the rally could be in the range of about +5000 points (>6.42%).
Get Ready for Merry Christmas ! 🎅
Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Value Investing?Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Analysis
The stock is displaying a promising bullish candlestick pattern , signaling a potential halt to its recent downtrend and a possible upward turn in the short term.
There is price and psi divergence seen on daily chart, which is positive indication.
Moreover, the stock seems to present an appealing value investment opportunity based on two crucial valuation metrics:
Price/Book Ratio of 0.69 : This indicates that the stock price is relatively low compared to the company's book value, reflecting a potentially undervalued asset.
Price/Cash Flow Ratio of 14.12 : This ratio suggests that the share price is reasonably low when weighed against the company's generated cash flow, indicating a potentially favorable investment in terms of cash flow generation.
Additionally, the Earnings Yield of 18% signifies the return the company generates on each invested dollar, indicating a relatively robust performance in generating earnings.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
Nifty 50 Near-Term ForecastCurrent Price and Resistance:
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading around 24,492.
There's a notable resistance level around 25,065, where previous price action struggled to move higher. This level acts as a potential cap for upward movement.
Support Levels:
A significant support line is marked around 23,996, below the current trading level.
If the price breaches this level, it could suggest a further downside, with a possible drop toward lower support zones.
Projected Downtrend:
The orange line indicates a possible downward movement from the current levels if resistance at 25,065 holds.
This downtrend projection suggests that the Nifty 50 could move lower, potentially testing the support near 23,996.
If the index falls below this support, the next projected move takes it further down toward the 22,000 level, indicating a deeper correction.
Possible Reversal:
After reaching a lower level near 22,000, there’s a projected rebound shown with an upward arrow.
This suggests a potential reversal or bounce-back from these lower levels, which could present a buying opportunity.
SHARDACROP & DBCORP: Two Bright Spots in a Challenging MarketSharda Cropchem
● The stock price is evidently experiencing a robust upward trend.
● After a brief consolidation phase, it developed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and following a breakout, it has surged to an all-time high.
● The increasing buying volume suggests that the stock could continue to rise significantly.
D.B. Corp
● The stock price is currently moving within an Ascending Parallel channel.
● After reaching an all-time high around the 404 mark, the stock experienced a pullback to its trendline support level.
● Having rebounded from this support, the stock price is now poised for upward movement.
The Breakout Retest Play: 5 Stocks to Consider1. Infosys NSE:INFY
● The stock has formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after the breakout, it rose significantly, reaching an all-time high near 1,990.
● Currently, the stock is trading slightly above the breakout level following a minor pullback.
➖ Best buy level: 1790 - 1830
2. ITC NSE:ITC
● The stock encountered resistance between the 470 and 480 levels multiple times.
● After breaking through this range, the price surged to an all-time high of 528.
● The price then faced rejection at this peak and has since retreated to the breakout level, where it is now rising again.
➖ Best buy level: 470 - 480
3. Lupin NSE:LUPIN
● The stock achieved a breakout after nearly nine years in August 2024.
● Following an initial upward movement, the stock price pulled back for a retest and is now trending upward once more.
➖ Best buy level: 2000 - 2050
4. Birlasoft NSE:BSOFT
● After breaking out of the Rounding Bottom pattern, the stock price surged to an all-time high of 856 before declining.
●The stock is currently trading at the breakout level, which appears to be a strong support.
➖ Best buy level: 550-560
5. Emami NSE:EMAMILTD
● After a prolonged consolidation, the stock developed an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
● Following the breakout, the price surged to an all-time high of 860 but faced strong rejection from that level.
● The stock is now approaching a retest of the previous breakout level.
➖ Best buy level: 595 - 600
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
Gas Sector Gathers Steam: IGL & MGL's Future Open Interest JumpsIGL
● The stock has undergone a consolidation phase, formed an Ascending Triangle pattern.
● Following a breakout, it surged to an all-time high near ₹570 before experiencing a decline.
● Currently, a Rounding Top pattern has emerged, and after a gap down, the price is testing its trendline support.
● Importantly, there has been a notable increase in future open interest of about 25%, indicating that investors are eager to purchase at more favorable price levels.
MGL
● After encountering resistance around the ₹1550 level, the stock price dropped to ₹1200.
● From this support level, it made a strong recovery, breaking through resistance to achieve an all-time high close to ₹1990.
● However, selling pressure has led to a pullback to the previous breakout level.
● Like IGL, MGL has also experienced a significant rise in future open interest of approximately 16%.
● This trend suggests that investors are interested in accumulating shares at a lower price.
CCL Products (India) Ltd Looks Good!Script - NSE:CCL
Pattern: Symmetrical Continuation Triangle
The recent price movement indicates a breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling a probable continuation of the previous uptrend.
In a Bullish Symmetrical Continuation Triangle, there are two trendlines converging as prices form lower highs and higher lows. During this consolidation, trading volume typically decreases as the price fluctuates within a tightening range, reflecting uncertainty among market participants.
However, prior to the triangle's apex, there's a significant breakout above the upper trendline accompanied by a notable surge in trading volume. This breakout confirms the pattern as a continuation of the uptrend observed before the consolidation phase.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
AGI Greenpac Ltd. - Looks Good!NSE:AGI
This stock has formed a pattern called Double Bottom.
A "double bottom" is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to predict a potential reversal of a downtrend. It typically occurs after a prolonged decrease in price and consists of two distinct lows at approximately the same level, separated by a moderate peak.
target price for the intermediate-term in the range of 955.00 to 965.00.
Also The MACD has also generated a bullish signal.
RSI above 60.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
DIVISLAB's Open Interest Jumps 6%: Bullish Sentiment BuildsFollowing a strong upward trend, the stock encountered significant resistance near the 5,300 level, resulting in a steep drop.
Afterward, the price found support near the 2,700 mark and managed to bounce back.
During this consolidation phase, the stock price has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
With a clear breakout, the price is now set for an upside rally.
A notable increase in future open interest—around 6%—has been recorded for this stock.
This rise in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that significant investors hold a positive outlook on this stock.
Nifty's Dark Clouds Gather: Bearish Sentiment Takes HoldAfter reaching a high near 26,280, the index encountered considerable resistance and subsequently fell.
A Head & Shoulders pattern is currently developing, leading to a negative sentiment in the market.
If the neckline is broken, the index may quickly decline to the 24,000 level. This level will be critical in assessing whether the index can bounce back or if it will drop below the support level.
Piramal Enterprises Ltd by KRS Charts13th Sept 2024 / 10:48 AM
Why PEL❓
1. Bird View in PEL seems Sideways to Bullish can be Good Opportunity at this level for Long Term Investment. ⬆️
2. Elliot Wave Count, let's direct talk about current wave where PEL standing is (III) Wave is started in smaller cycle < which is part of 3rd Wave in medium cycle 🤩
3. W pattern is about to Break giving little early entry as per wave counts. 👌
Target is major Resistance as we can see in Chart. 🎯
Note - Wave count is speculative So Focus should be on Target 1 for now only. 🙏
BANKNIFTY - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - BANKNIFTY
BANKNIFTY is currently trading at 53920
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BANKNIFTY Futures at CMP 53920
I will be adding more position if 54400 comes & will hold with SL 54720
Targets I'm expecting are 52800 - 51800 - 51100 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NIFTY50 - TIME FOR A SHORT TRADE?Symbol - NIFTY50
NIFTY50 is currently trading at 25905
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting NIFTY50 Futures at CMP 25905
I will be adding more position if 26100 comes & will hold with SL 26230
Targets I'm expecting are 25370 - 25010 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least.
Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal.
So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe.
As it's evident:
In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region.
Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return.
Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered.
Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery.
The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations:
19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level.
Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000).
Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800.
It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence
My Expectation:
There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550).
Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level.
We shall see what will happen next.
So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO.
Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see.
Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
#RELIANCE: Big Investment Opportunity In Making±Dear Traders,
We are seeing some major correction on Reliance since last few weeks, in our technical view price is yet to drop further towards our designated buying zone. Expect a swift buy from our identified key level, even possible to see a continuous bull run taking price above 3500 region. If you agree to our view please like and comment for more.
COFORGE & ECLERX: Two IT Underdogs on the Rise!COFORGE
The stock displayed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, and following the breakout, the price saw a substantial rise, subsequently created another bullish formation called Pole & Flag.
Recently, the price has broken through and is expected to continue its upward trend.
ECLERX
This chart also reveals the presence of an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
Following a recent breakout, the price is positioned for an upward movement.
Cosmic Collision: DLF & Oberoi Realty Clash in Real-Estate Space◉ Abstract
The Indian real estate market is growing fast and is expected to reach $1 Trillion by 2030. Two big companies in this field are DLF and Oberoi Realty. DLF makes most of its money from commercial properties mainly through rental income, while Oberoi Realty focuses on homes.
Both companies are doing well, but Oberoi Realty is growing faster and making more profit. DLF's stock price might go up soon after being stable for a long time. Oberoi Realty's stock has been going up steadily. Both companies don't have too much debt and are attracting investors. DLF seems expensive when you look at its price compared to earnings, while Oberoi Realty looks like a better deal. Oberoi Realty is also spending more on growing its business.
In the end, both companies are in a good position to benefit from India's growing economy and increasing demand for real estate.
◉ Introduction
The Indian real estate sector has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand, policy reforms, and infrastructure development. Two prominent players, DLF Limited and Oberoi Realty Limited, have been at the forefront of this growth, shaping the country's urban landscape. Both companies have established themselves as leaders in the industry, with a strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail segments.
◉ Indian Real Estate Sector: Future Growth Prospects
India's real estate market is expected to register significant growth in the coming years, driven by a number of factors. Here's a quick summary of the key trends:
● Market size and GDP contribution: The market size is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030, up from US$ 200 billion in 2021, and contribute 15.5% to GDP by 2047.
● Residential market growth: The residential market is witnessing strong growth, with the value of home sales reaching an all-time high of Rs. 3.47 lakh crore (US$ 42 billion) in FY23. Demand is surging in top 8 cities across mid-income, premium, and luxury segments.
● Retail and office space: The retail and office space segments are also growing rapidly. Gross leasing in top 7 cities crossed 60 million sq ft for the first time in 2023, with technology companies leading leasing activity.
● Data centers: Data center demand is on the rise, with an expected increase of 15-18 million sq ft by 2025.
● Housing shortage: There is a significant housing shortage in urban areas, with the current shortage estimated at 10 million units. An additional 25 million units of affordable housing are required by 2030.
Overall, the Indian real estate sector presents a promising picture for growth and development. The sector is benefiting from a number of factors, including a growing economy, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes. This is leading to strong demand for both residential and commercial properties.
◉ Company Overviews
● DLF NSE:DLF
DLF Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on colonization and real estate development across India. Their activities encompass land acquisition, project planning, construction, and marketing. The company specializes in developing and selling residential projects, while also managing commercial office spaces and retail properties, including malls and hospitality ventures. Notably, it owns The Lodhi Hotel and Hilton Garden Inn in New Delhi, as well as the DLF Golf & Country Club in Gurugram. Additionally, DLF is involved in leasing, maintenance, power generation, and recreational services. Established in 1946, DLF Limited is headquartered in Gurugram and operates as a subsidiary of Rajdhani Investments and Agencies Private Limited.
● Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
Oberoi Realty Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate development and hospitality in India. It operates in two main segments: Real Estate and Hospitality. The company develops and sells various projects, including residential, commercial, hospitality, retail, and social infrastructure. It also leases office and retail spaces. Additionally, it manages hotel operations, which include room sales, food and beverage services, and related offerings, as well as constructing residential apartments and providing property management services. Established in 1998, the company is based in Mumbai, India.
◉ Market Capitalization
● DLF - ₹ 2,26,256 Cr. ($26.8 B)
● Oberoi Realty - ₹ 68,970 Cr. ($8.2 B)
◉ Relative Strength
The chart vividly demonstrates that neither company has managed to surpass the performance of the real estate sector over the past year. The realty sector has achieved an impressive return of 94%, while DLF and Oberoi Realty have delivered returns of 73% and 67%, respectively.
◉ Technical Aspects
● DLF
➖ Since its listing in July 2007, DLF reached an impressive peak of ₹ 1046 in January 2008.
➖ However, the stock faced a significant decline following the Lehman Brothers crisis later that year.
➖ After enduring a lengthy period of consolidation lasting eight years, the price stabilized around ₹ 66 in February 2016 and began its upward trajectory.
➖ Now, after nearly 17 years of consolidation, the stock is trading just below a critical resistance level, with a breakout anticipated in the near future.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Since its launch in December 2010, Oberoi Realty has shown a consistent upward trajectory
➖ During this ascent, the stock formed a Bullish Pennant pattern, and after breaking out, it surged to an all-time high of ₹ 1970 in September 2024.
➖ Currently, it is trading just below this peak. Analysts expect the stock to continue its upward momentum and reach new heights in the coming days.
◉ Revenue Breakdown
● DLF
DLF mainly generates its revenue from real estate development, concentrating on both commercial and residential areas. Significantly, the commercial real estate sector contributes a considerable 74% of the company's total revenue, largely through rental income.
● OBEROIRLTY
The company predominantly earns around 97% of its revenue from the real estate development sector. Furthermore, it also participates in the hospitality industry, which adds the remaining 3% to its overall revenue.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● DLF
➖ Over the past three years, DLF has recorded a modest compounded annual growth rate of 6% in sales.
➖ Despite this, the company has seen remarkable profit growth, which surged by 33% during the same timeframe.
➖ Currently, DLF enjoys a robust operating profit margin of 33%, an increase from 30% in FY23.
➖ In fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have jumped to 11.02, up from 8.22 the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in EPS over the last four years.
● OBEROIREALTY
➖ In the last three years, Oberoi Realty has achieved an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 30% in sales.
➖ Profit growth has closely mirrored this success, with a CAGR of 34% during the same period.
➖ The company currently boasts an outstanding operating profit margin of 55%, a figure that continues to rise.
➖ While the EPS growth from FY23 to FY24 is modest, with EPS standing at 52.99 compared to 52.38 the previous year, the overall trend in EPS has been positive over the last four years.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ DLF's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 79.6, slightly exceeding its 1-year median P/E of 76.7. However, when juxtaposed with the industry average of 34.4, it becomes evident that DLF is significantly overvalued at this time.
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty presents a P/E ratio of 31.50, which is just above its 1-year median P/E of 29.6. Yet, when compared to the industry P/E of 34.4, it appears to be undervalued.
● P/B Ratio
➖ DLF's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.74, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to the industry average of 3.54.
➖ Similarly, Oberoi Realty also seems overvalued with a P/B ratio of 4.98.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Oberoi Realty's PEG ratio of 1.83 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to DLF's considerably higher PEG of 4.79.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ DLF ROCE - 6% in FY24
➖ OBEROIRLTY ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ These numbers clearly demonstrate that Oberoi Realty is more profitable than DLF, as it efficiently leverages its total capital—comprising both equity and debt—to yield higher returns.
◉ Capex Analysis
● DLF
➖ The cash flow statement for DLF reveals a negative capital expenditure, indicating that the company is selling or disposing of its existing capital assets.
➖ This suggests a strategic decision to reduce its portfolio of office spaces and similar fixed assets, as they are no longer deemed necessary.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty has ramped up its capital expenditure from 601 crore to 677 crore compared to the previous year.
➖ This increase is a positive sign for the company, reflecting its ambition for expansion and growth in the market.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ DLF has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, rising to 2,539 crore from 2,375 crore in FY23.
➖ Oberoi Realty has also performed exceptionally well, transforming its cash from operations to an impressive 2,810 crore, marking a significant recovery from a considerable negative of 2,383 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ DLF demonstrates robust financial health with a manageable debt level of 4,894 crores and an impressive debt to equity ratio of just 0.12, signaling that debt is not a significant issue for the company.
➖ On the other hand, Oberoi has a debt of 2,495 crores, resulting in a debt to equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates that the company is also not worried about its debt situation.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● DLF
➖ Currently, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) possess a 16.17% stake, reflecting a decline from the previous quarter.
➖ On the other hand, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings to 4.81% as of the June quarter, a slight rise from 4.77% in the last quarter.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have made a notable increase in their investment in this stock, now holding 18.05%, up from 16.96% in the last quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stake to 12.30%, down from 12.83% in the March quarter.
◉ Conclusion
After a comprehensive assessment of the technical and financial metrics, we have concluded that Oberoi Realty has surpassed DLF in terms of valuation, profitability, revenue growth, and future expansion prospects. However, this does not imply that DLF cannot enhance its performance in the future. In fact, DLF is on the verge of a significant multi-year breakthrough, and if this happens, it could create an excellent opportunity for investors to take advantage of any price declines.
In the end, both companies exhibit strong growth potential as they are leaders in the real estate sector. As the economy continues to grow, both Oberoi Realty and DLF are well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion.