Indianstockmarket
NIFTY: Thursday - 16/02/2023Levels:
Support: 18015, 17970, 17920, 17880, 17815, 17735, 17650, 17500
Resistance: 18050, 18120, 18170-18200
OI Data:
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Nifty => Price: 18015.85
ATM: 18000 , ITM: 17950, 17900, 17850 , OTM: 18050, 18100, 18150
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Highest OI Call in Nifty per OI data: 18200
Highest OI Put in Nifty per OI data: 17800
Nearest Major Resistance in Nifty per OI data: 18250
Nearest Major Support in Nifty per OI data: 17950
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Trade setup:
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Trade | Level | SL | T1 | T2
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BUY | > 18050 | 18010 | 18150 | 18200
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SELL | < 17980 | 18020| 17900 | 17850
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NIFTY...READY TO RESUME THE BULL TREND...As per the Elliot wave analysis, the downtrend of Nifty moved in a 5-wave pattern.
Each impulse wave (ie waves 1,3 and 5) moved in 5 smaller waves.
Waves 3 and 5 were equal in length which was 1.23 times wave 1. This fits very well into the rules of the Elliot wave.
Waves 2 and 4 had a horizontal zigzag correction as expected.
We can expect corrective waves ABC upwards or the next 5 waves Elliot upward move as shown in the chart.
Double Bottom pattern Breakout in HALHAL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Double bottom Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullsih Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 2700+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss below 2550-.
RELIANCE: Head and Shoulders BreakoutTHEORY:
This pattern forms after an extensive upside rally. It consists of a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The left shoulder is formed after a big bull rally in which the volumes are quite large.
At the end of the left shoulder, a minor correction takes place on the downside which happens on the low volumes comparatively the starting of the left shoulder. After this, again an up move can be seen on large volumes forming a head whose top is above the left shoulder following a correction on lower volumes & completing the head.
The completion of the head must be below the top of the left shoulder. If the prices fall down below the low of the left shoulder then too this pattern remains intact. In the end, the right shoulder is formed usually on smaller volumes comparatively the previous two rallies.
Now if you connect the bottoms of the left shoulder, head & the right shoulder there will be a formation of the ‘Neckline‘. This line will act as a decision line. If the prices break this neckline & give closing below the line, this will be the confirmation of the breakdown of the H&S pattern.
However, it has been noticed that after breaking of the neckline the prices again attracted towards this neckline. We say this phenomenon as a retest of the neckline which will add some more confidence while trading this pattern.
After retesting if the prices again come down this will be the final confirmation of the downside movement of the price as shown below.
The bookish target of this pattern is taken as the vertical price range from the top of the head to the neckline & the bookish Stop loss should be the top of the right shoulder. However this stop loss can be big, so it is advised to keep a stop loss of 4-5% of the price range above the neckline.
May 29
TRADING STRATEGY: GO SHORT WITH SL OF 2590 & LOOK FOR THE TARGET OF 2460/1365 IN THE COMING WEEKS.
NOTE: IF THE STOCK BREAKS THE RESISTANCE OF 2632 THEN IT WILL BE A H&S FAILURE PATTERN, WHICH WILL CALL A BULLISH ALTERNATE SCENARIO.
Falling wedge pattern reversal in EICHERMOTEICHERMOT
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 3300+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 4000+ .
✅ Can Go Short in this stock by placing stop loss below 3050.
Bank Nifty: Monday - 23/01/23Bank Nifty Intraday Levels:
Chart:
Setup:
Levels:
Support: 42500, 42300, 42225, 42110, 41865, 41700
Resistance: 42625, 42700, 42900, 43000
OI Data:
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Bank Nifty => Price: 42506.8
ATM: 42500 , ITM: 42400, 42300, 42200 , OTM: 42600, 42700, 42800
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Highest OI Call in Bank Nifty per OI data: 42500
Highest OI Put in Bank Nifty per IO data: 42500
Nearest Major Resistance in Bank Nifty per OI data: 42900
Nearest Major Support in Bank Nifty per IO data: 42100
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Trade setup:
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Trade | Level | SL | T1 | T2
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BUY | > 42600 | 42500 | 42800 | 43000
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SELL | < 42450 | 42550 | 42250 | 42100
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Tata Communication: Long Setup
Showing two charts side-by-side - both 1H.
Left side: A clear Darvas Box breakout with good volume (more than average) and RSI is upticking above 60.
Right side: Alligator is wake up. The price line cut through the alligator. Lips - Teeth and Jaws are perfectly placed for an upmove.
SL: 1380. T can be 1430.
Alternatively 1400 Jan-25 CE at 30 with 20 as SL.
Market analysis in advance of the budget 2023Market analysis in advance of the budget
Hello every one, here is the market study. How is the market performing in terms of pre-budget volatility?
India VIX is rising, NSE:INFY NSE:HCLTECH IT stock results will be available today and in the following days,
As well as a market overview of the current market structure.
Watch till the end
Best good luck with your hard work and success.
Follow for more
channel pattern breakout in LAURUSLABSLAURUSLABS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of channel Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 391+.
✅Can Go Long in this stock by placing a stop loss above 378-.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:3+
Carborandum UniverseNSE:CARBORUNIV has the following features in 1H chart:
In 1H price actually creating a Pool and Flag pattern.
The main point is consolidation after a big volume rise.
Note: during consolidation phase: Volume always remains above the moving moving average.
RSI well placed
Alligator is showing clear uptrend.
Trade: BUY level around 925-920 with a SL of 910 for a probable target of 940.
Bank Nifty: Tuesday - 27/12/22Levels:
Support: 42550, 42250, 41900, 41400
Resistance: 43000, 43200, 43375, 43650
OI Data:
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Bank Nifty => Price: 42630.15
ATM: 42600 , ITM: 42500, 42400, 42300 , OTM: 42700, 42800, 42900
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Highest OI Call in Bank Nifty per OI data: 43000
Highest OI Put in Bank Nifty per IO data: 42000
Nearest Major Resistance in Bank Nifty per OI data: 43100
Nearest Major Support in Bank Nifty per IO data: 42400
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Trade setup:
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Trade | Level | SL | T1 | T2
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BUY | > 43000 | 42800 | 43200 | 43400
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SELL | < 42200 | 42400 | 42000 | 42800
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WHAT IS OPTION GREEKS ?NSE:BANKNIFTY
Introduction
Option trading is an exciting process and almost every market participant has at least experienced the thrill of trading options, almost all the time with unsatisfactory results.
To avoid such accidents an option trader seeks different tools to trade sucssessfully,
The most important of tools are the Option Greeks and they are usually the first metric looked upon by option traders.
What are Option Greeks?
Options are derivatives of underlying assets ( curd is a derivative of milk, so the change in the quality of milk will result in a change in the quality of the curd derived ) similarly, Greeks are a way to measure the sensitivity of the price of the option to various factors.
The price of the option premium does not always move in conjunction with the price of the underlying asset and it is important to understand the different factors that affect the change in the price of the premium. With the help of the option greeks, a trader will be able to measure the rate of change of different factors affecting the option premium.
# You can check the option greeks by using zerodha option chain or any other trading platform
What is DELTA?
The first Greek is Delta, which quantifies how much an option's price is projected to fluctuate for every $1 that the underlying securities or index changes in price.
For example,A Delta of 0.50 indicates that the option's price will fluctuate 50 point for every 100 point movement in the price of the underlying stock or index.
#Delta for call option ranges between 0 to 1 and for put option ranges between -1 to 0.
>ATM options have a delta of 0.5
>ITM option have a delta of close to 1
>OTM options have a delta of close to 0.
Delta = Change in option premium/ Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
#The following example should help you understand this better –
Nifty is currently trading at 16000
Option Strike = 15900 Call Option
Premium = 150
Delta of the option = + 0.60
Nifty is expected to reach 16200
What is the likely option premium value at 16200 ?
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.60, which means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to
change by 0.60 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 200 points (16200 – 16000), hence the premium is supposed to increase by
= 200*0.60
= 120
the new option premium is expected to trade around 150 + 120 = 270
What ia gamma?
Gamma is used to measure the delta’s change relative to the changes in the price of the underlying asset.
If the price of the underlying asset increases by 1point, the option’s delta will change by the gamma amount.
The gamma value will also range between 0 and 1.
Gamma = Change in an options delta / Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
What is Theta?
The Theta or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
theta is always shown as negative number because option value is depriciating as the time is passing.
Theta is the biggest enemy of option buyer cause it reduces the favourable outcome of option buyer by depriciating the option price.
for example,A Theta of -15 indicates that the option premium will lose -15 points for every day that passes by.
if an option is trading at Rs.290/- with a theta of -15 then it will trade at Rs.275/- the following day when other factors remain constant.
Theta = Change in an option premium / Change in time to expiry.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as a time to expiry approaches. This is also called the ‘Time Decay’ graph.
What is Vega ?
It is intended to tell you how much an option’s price should move when the volatility of the underlying security or index increases or decreases. It is the change of an option premium for a given change (typically 1%) in the underlying volatility.
1. Vega measures how the implied volatility (IV) of a stock affects the price of the options on that stock.
2. Volatility is one of the most important factors affecting the value of options.
3.A drop in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to lose value.
4. An increase in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to gain value.
Vega = Change in an option premium / Change in volatility.
What can option Greeks do for you?
1.Help you measure the possibility that an option will expire in the money (Delta).
2.Estimate how much the Delta will change when the stock price changes (Gamma).
3.Get a feel for how much value your option might lose each day as it approaches expiration (Theta).
4.Understand how sensitive an option might be to large price swings in the underlying stock (Vega).
“With the help of Greeks, an options trader can make more analyzed decisions about which options to trade, which strike price to trade and when to trade.
Since there are a variety of market factors that can affect the price of an option in some way, assuming all other factors remain unchanged,
we can use Greeks and determine the impact of each factor when its value changes.”
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Happy Trading!
Nifty: Friday - 23/12/22Levels:
Support: 18050, 17980
Resistance: 18150, 18250, 18350, 18430
OI Data:
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Nifty => Price: 18127.35
ATM: 18150 , ITM: 18100, 18050, 18000 , OTM: 18200, 18250, 18300
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Highest OI Call in Nifty per OI data: 18500
Highest OI Put in Nifty per OI data: 18100
Nearest Major Resistance in Nifty per OI data: 18350
Nearest Major Support in Nifty per OI data: 17950
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Trade setup:
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Trade | Level | SL | T1 | T2
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BUY | > 18150 | 18100 | 18250 | 18300
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SELL | < 18070 | 18120| 18000 | 17950
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Nifty Is above 18000 but Buyer dominance Required for Bull RallyFinally, the Nifty is trading above 18000 but Buyer domination is necessary for the bull run to break the resistance and downtrend line.
Following a good breakout, we may see a bullish surge; but, if the breakout fails, we may see a price reversal and the price may fall.
RBL Bank: Trend Reversal is imminentNSE:RBLBANK is about to show excellent breakout.
Price is crossing the 200 DMA. It is basically a trend reversal as the order will be: Price cut the 200 DMA, then 21 DMA will cut the 200 DMA and then 50 DMA will cut the 200 DMA, uptrend starts.
Volume is high.
A Bullish Engulfing candle is formed in daily chart engulfing whole 1 week price action.
Long build up is seen in OI data.
Trade : Buy above 153 (200 DMA), SL: 148. T: 158, 164 .. long term 200.
Option Strategy
Looking at the OI data here is what I can see:
Call side: Short covering is happening in 145 strike.
Call side: From 147.5 upto 160 .. all strikes has long build up.
Put side: Upto 150 short build up is happening.
So once price stays above 153, can simply buy 155 Call option (CMP: 5.35 with SL: 4.50, T: 7)
Note
Typically, when a very big engulfing candle is formed in chart, there is always a possibility that next few days price can consolidation within the range of the candle (143-152) from price action perspective.