Love is in the Air: Top Wedding Stocks in this season◉ Abstract
The Indian wedding industry is a huge part of the economy, worth about ₹10 lakh crore (around $130 billion), making it the fourth largest industry in India after food and groceries. Families spend a lot on weddings, often around ₹12 lakh (about $15,000), which is more than what they spend on their children's education. Every year, India sees around 80 lakh to 1 crore weddings, mostly during the busy season from October to December.
This industry includes important sectors like jewelry, clothing, hospitality, and travel, with bridal jewelry making up over half of all jewelry sales. As incomes rise and people spend more on luxury weddings, the industry is expected to grow even more, supported by government efforts to promote India as a top wedding destination.
Read full analysis here:
◉ Introduction
The Indian wedding industry is a vibrant and expansive sector, estimated to be worth approximately ₹10 lakh crore (around $130 billion), making it the fourth largest industry in India, following food and groceries. This industry is characterized by its cultural significance and economic impact, driving consumption across various sectors.
◉ Overview of the Indian Wedding Industry
● Economic Significance
➖ The Indian wedding economy is a major driver of economic activity, with families spending substantial amounts on weddings, often exceeding expenditures on education for children. On average, an Indian wedding costs around ₹12 lakh (approximately $15,000).
➖ The industry is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could expand by 3.7 times over the next five years due to rising incomes and changing consumer preferences.
● Wedding Season Dynamics
➖ India hosts about 80 lakh to 1 crore weddings annually, primarily peaking between October and December. This period coincides with festive seasons, further boosting spending.
➖ Weddings in India are known for their grandeur and can include elaborate celebrations lasting several days, often with thousands of guests.
◉ Three Major Sectors Within the Industry
The Indian wedding industry encompasses various sectors that contribute to its overall growth:
i. Jewellery:
➖ This sector is the largest beneficiary, with bridal jewellery accounting for over 50% of all jewellery sales in India.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. Titan NSE:TITAN
2. Kalyan Jewellers NSE:KALYANKJIL
3. Senco Gold NSE:SENCO
ii.Apparel:
➖ Weddings contribute to around 10% of the apparel market, with significant demand for bridal wear.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. Vedant Fashions NSE:MANYAVAR
2. Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail NSE:ABFRL
3. Arvind Fashions NSE:ARVINDFASN
4. Raymond NSE:RAYMOND
iii.Travel and Hospitality:
➖ Destination weddings are gaining popularity, leading to increased demand for hotels and travel services.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. The Indian Hotels NSE:INDHOTEL
2. EIH Limited NSE:EIHOTEL
3. Chalet Hotels NSE:CHALET
4. Interglobe Aviation NSE:INDIGO
◉ Future Prospects
The Indian wedding industry is expected to continue its robust growth trajectory due to:
● Increasing disposable incomes among the younger population.
● A growing trend towards luxury spending on weddings.
● Government initiatives like the "Wed in India" campaign aimed at promoting India as a premier wedding destination globally.
◉ Conclusion
In conclusion, the Indian wedding industry not only holds significant cultural importance but also serves as a powerful economic engine impacting various sectors across the country. As consumer preferences evolve and economic conditions improve, this industry is poised for substantial growth in the coming years.
Indianstockmarket
Idea purely on technical basis + NewsThis idea is purely basis current price action + volume and news. No other factors considered.
NSE:DHANI has shown promising signs of a potential turnaround, indicating a shift in sentiment following a period of indecision or stabilization.
The Diamond Bottom pattern emerges amidst a downtrend, characterized by the formation of higher highs and lower lows within a widening pattern.
Over time, this pattern evolves as the highs reach a peak and the lows begin to ascend, leading to a gradual narrowing of the trading range.
Upon the breakout above the boundaries of the diamond pattern, there's a notable indication of a substantial reversal, marking the onset of a fresh uptrend.
Other things to consider at current situation
- Volume is increasing
- Trading above 10 EMA, 50 EMA and 100 EMA
News
Dated: March 18, 2024
- Submitted the building plans to the Directorate of Town and Country Planning (DTCP) for approvals of 60 lac sq ft of residential development saleable area in Sector 104, Gurugram located on 8 lane Dwarka Express way. The Project is proposed to be launched in July’
- Submitted the building plans for development of saleable area of 2.6 lac sq ft of office space in Worli, Mumbai. The Project is expected to be launched in August’ 2024.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
Thangamayil shining: The strong financials caused a price surge!Company Overview
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (TMJL) is a rapidly growing company in India with a chain of retail jewellery stores in Tamil Nadu. They specialize in selling Gold, Silver, Diamonds, and Platinum, with gold being the main source of income. The majority of their ornaments are purchased from dealers in states like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Kerala, and West Bengal for sale in their stores. Established in 1947, Thangamayil is headquartered in Madurai, India.
Market Capitalization
● Current Market Cap - ₹ 5,128 Cr.
● Market Cap 3-years back - ₹ 802 Cr.
● The figures indicate that the company has increased over six times in the past three years, which is truly remarkable.
Revenue & Profit Growth
● In the last three years, this stock has demonstrated an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 28% in its sales figures.
● Meanwhile, the total profit growth during this period has been a modest 12%.
● The company has successfully maintained a operating profit margin of 6%, which has risen from 4% in FY24.
● For the fiscal year 2024, the earnings per share have seen a remarkable increase, soaring from 29.10 in fiscal year 2023 to 44.91.
Increasing Product Demand
● Inventory Turnover Ratio
➖ This ratio typically assists in determining whether the growth in sales is primarily due to rising product prices or if it is also influenced by increased demand for the product.
➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 3.14
➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 2.63
➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years.
Valuation
● P/E Ratio
The company's present price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 42.3, significantly higher than its 1-year median PE of 31. When we look at the industry average PE of 31.6, it indicates that the stock might be considered somewhat overvalued at this time.
● PEG Ratio
The company has a PEG ratio of 1.3, indicating that its current P/E ratio is valid.
● Intrinsic Value
➖ Thangamayil Jewellery is currently trading at ₹1870, which is nearly 2.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹764, indicating that the stock is overvalued at this moment.
➖ When we compare Thangamayil to its competitors, such as Titan and Kalyan Jewellers, some interesting insights emerge. Titan's current market price (CMP) stands at ₹3560, which is nearly 5.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹652. Meanwhile, Kalyan Jewellers has a CMP of ₹545, approximately 4.7 times its intrinsic value of ₹115.
➖ These numbers don't necessarily indicate that Titan and Kalyan Jewellers are overvalued; rather, they suggest that Thangamayil could be an attractive investment choice.
Debt Analysis
● Debt to Equity Ratio
➖ The company carries a debt of approximately ₹532 Cr., resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08.
➖ When discussing debt, it's important to note that for a small-cap company, this isn't necessarily a major concern. The key factor to consider is whether the company can consistently meet its loan interest payments.
➖ To assess this, we should examine the interest coverage ratio.
● Interest Coverage Ratio
With an interest coverage ratio of 5.62, it’s evident that the company is well-equipped to manage its loan interest payments regularly.
Cash Flow Analysis
● Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 330 crore from just 10 crore in FY23.
● The CFO/PAT ratio is currently at 0.74 of the five-year average, indicating that the company is quite proficient at converting its profits into cash.
Shareholding Pattern
● The promoters have maintained their 67.33% stake for the last three quarters.
● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been steadily raising their stakes since June 2023, now holding 1.08%.
● Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have also grown their stakes to 12.08% in June 2024, up from 11.46% in June 2023.
● At the same time, retail investors have been consistently selling their shares over the past few quarters.
Mutual Fund Holding
● Notable small-cap funds such as SBI Small Cap Fund and DSP Small Cap Fund have made substantial investments in this stock, representing 0.63% and 1.55% of their total assets under management, respectively.
● Additionally, ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund has recently added (in July 2024) its position in this stock, accounting for approximately 1.11% of its overall portfolio value.
Technical Aspects
● From a technical standpoint, this stock appear to be currently overextended. Any pullbacks could provide a valuable opportunity to take positions.
● Stock Volume & Delivery surged by 3.4 times & 3.2 times respectively vis-a-vis their 5 day average with a 5.48% move in price.
Conclusion
While the company primarily functions in Tamil Nadu, it's fascinating to note that this state accounts for the largest portion (40%) of India's overall gold consumption. Furthermore, the company is gearing up to make its mark in the Chennai market by launching a flagship store along with 3-4 satellite locations.
Given the increasing demand for gold jewelry, we anticipate that Thangamayil Jewellery will thrive in the industry in the years ahead.
Crisil: The Credit Rating Agency is Set for Significant Growth!
The price is currently on an upward trajectory, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
After hitting resistance around the 3,740 level, the stock price pulled back but found strong support near the 2,700 level.
It then bounced back and surpassed its previous resistance.
This breakout was significant, as it emerged from the Rounding Bottom pattern that had formed during the consolidation phase.
Following the breakout, the stock price stabilized just above the breakout zone for a while.
Then, with a dramatic surge, the stock reached an all-time high of ₹6200.
However, a wave of selling pressure caused the price to drop back to its trendline support.
At present, the stock price is steadily climbing, indicating promising growth potential.
SHARDACROP & DBCORP: Two Bright Spots in a Challenging MarketSharda Cropchem
● The stock price is evidently experiencing a robust upward trend.
● After a brief consolidation phase, it developed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and following a breakout, it has surged to an all-time high.
● The increasing buying volume suggests that the stock could continue to rise significantly.
D.B. Corp
● The stock price is currently moving within an Ascending Parallel channel.
● After reaching an all-time high around the 404 mark, the stock experienced a pullback to its trendline support level.
● Having rebounded from this support, the stock price is now poised for upward movement.
INDHOTEL & PAGEIND Shock Dalal Street with Q2 Gains, Stocks SoarThe Indian Hotels
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: IHCL's consolidated net profit soared by 232% year-on-year to ₹554.6 crore, up from ₹167 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: The company achieved a revenue increase of 27.4%, reaching ₹1,826 crore, compared to ₹1,433 crore a year ago.
● EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) rose by 40% to ₹565 crore, with an EBITDA margin of 29.9%.
◉ Operational Highlights
● IHCL's hotel segment revenue grew by 16%, supported by a strong occupancy rate of 75% in its international portfolio.
● The company signed 42 new hotels, expanding its portfolio to 350 properties globally.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock has broken through its previous resistance and is nearing the upper boundary of its ascending channel.
● A breakout above this level could fuel further gains.
Page Industries
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: Increased by 30% to ₹195.25 crore, up from ₹150.27 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: Rose by 11.06% to ₹1,246.27 crore, compared to ₹1,122.11 crore a year ago, supported by a 6.7% increase in sales volume (55.2 million pieces sold).
● EBITDA: Grew by 22.1% to ₹281.5 crore, reflecting improved operational efficiency and stable input costs.
◉ Strategic Outlook
● The company is focused on digital transformation and e-commerce initiatives, maintaining its margin guidance for FY25 at 19-21%, which underscores its commitment to sustained profitability.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock's uptrend remains intact, with higher highs and lows.
● Recent breakout, accompanied by strong volume, suggests the rally will continue.
Bank Nifty Analisys for 29th November 2024Yesterday BN opened bullish and failed to break 52600 levels and came down and took support 51750 - 780(from where market opened gap up on 25th nov). Fall continued till 1pm after that bank nifty took support and was in range from 51780 to 51980.
Support : 51780,51178 - 51200
Resistance : 52240, 52590-52600
The Outperformer's Guide: Top Stocks from Each SectorThis analysis highlights key sectors and stocks to watch.
1. Nifty IT NSE:CNXIT
● The Nifty IT sector has demonstrated resilience during the recent negative market sentiments.
● Notably, it has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern and expected to breakout soon.
➖ Stock to Watch - Coforge NSE:COFORGE
● The stock is currently trading just below its all-time high with a strong uptrend.
● Investors can consider accumulating shares on any dips.
2. Nifty Finance NSE:CNXFINANCE
● The Nifty Finance sector has recently breached its trendline support and is now approaching its next key support level, ranging from 22,500 to 22,700.
➖ Stock to Watch - Axis Bank NSE:AXISBANK
● The stock is currently trading at its support level, offering a potential short to mid-term trading opportunity.
3. Nifty PSU Bank NSE:CNXPSUBANK
● The Nifty PSU Bank sector has consolidated within a range and is nearing its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - State Bank of India NSE:SBIN
● The stock is approaching its trendline support level.
● A buying opportunity may arise if the price reaches the 770 level.
4. Nifty Pharma NSE:CNXPHARMA
● After experiencing a downturn, the Nifty Pharma sector is now approaching its trendline support level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Divis Laboratories NSE:DIVISLAB
● The price is overall in an uptrend.
● Following a record peak, the stock is now nearing its trendline support level.
● The best buy zone is between 5,500 and 5,600.
5. Nifty Media NSE:CNXMEDIA
● The Nifty Media sector is expected to witness a potential pullback towards the 1,720-1,760 level.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Network18 Media NSE:NETWORK18
● The stock is trading just above its trendline support zone, presenting a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
6. Nifty Realty NSE:CNXREALTY
● The Nifty Realty index is currently trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
● The stock is trading at the support zone and expected to rise soon.
7. Nifty FMCG NSE:CNXFMCG
● After a downfall, index is approaching its trendline support level
➖ Stocks to Watch - Varun Beverages NSE:VBL
● VBL is trading above its support zone, offering a short to mid-term trading opportunity.
8. Nifty Metal NSE:CNXMETAL
● The Nifty Metal sector is trading above its support zone,
➖ Stocks to Watch - Ratnamani Metals & Tubes NSE:RATNAMANI
● The stock price has formed an Ascending Triangle pattern and is currently trading above the support level.
9. Nifty Oil & Gas NSE:NIFTY_OIL_AND_GAS
● The Nifty Oil & Gas sector is also trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Aegis Logistics NSE:AEGISLOG
● The stock price is close to breaking through its trendline resistance.
● If it can maintain its position above this level, a rally may be imminent.
10. Nifty Auto NSE:CNXAUTO
● Lastly, the Nifty Auto sector is trading above its support zone.
➖ Stocks to Watch - Eicher Motors NSE:EICHERMOT
● Eicher Motors is consolidating within a rectangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout.
A Healthcare Face-Off: Apollo vs. Narayana◉ Abstract
India's hospital industry is growing rapidly, valued at ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 5.8-8.0% from 2024 to 2032. Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya are two leading players, with Apollo being the largest private hospital network and Narayana Hrudayalaya known for cost-effective cardiac care. Narayana Hrudayalaya appears undervalued with a P/E ratio of 33.5 and more profitable (ROCE: 27%), making it an attractive investment option. Apollo Hospitals seems overvalued with a P/E ratio of 83.4 but remains viable for strategic entry points. Both companies are poised for growth driven by increasing healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion.
Read full analysis here........
◉ Introduction
The hospital industry in India is experiencing significant growth, with the market valued at approximately ₹8.35 lakh cr. ($98.98 B) in 2023. Projections indicate a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% to 8.0% from 2024 to 2032, potentially reaching between 13.87 lakh cr. and 16.33 lakh cr. ($164.4 B - $193.6 B) by 2032, depending on various market analyses.
◉ Growth Drivers of the Indian Hospital Industry
● Increased Healthcare Expenditure:
➖ Rising public and private spending on healthcare, with government health expenditure aiming for 2.5% of GDP by 2025.
➖ Expanding middle class with higher disposable incomes and greater access to health insurance.
● Technological Advancements:
➖ Adoption of healthcare technologies such as telemedicine and robotic automation, improving service delivery.
➖ National Digital Health Blueprint promoting innovations in e-health.
● Policy Support and Foreign Investment:
➖ Favourable government policies allowing 100% FDI in healthcare, attracting significant investments.
➖ Public-private partnerships enhancing healthcare access, especially in underserved areas.
● Demand for Specialized Services:
➖ Increasing incidence of lifestyle diseases driving demand for specialized healthcare.
➖ Growth in medical tourism as India becomes a preferred destination for cost-effective treatments.
These factors are collectively propelling the growth of the hospital industry in India, positioning it for a promising future.
◉ Key players in the Indian hospital sector
1. Apollo Hospitals leads the sector with a market capitalization of approximately ₹98,646 Cr, establishing itself as the largest private hospital network in India.
2. Max Healthcare closely follows, boasting a market capitalization of around ₹97,820 Cr.
3. Fortis Healthcare is another key participant in the market, with a market capitalization of ₹48,249 Cr.
4. Global Health also ranks among the premier healthcare institutions, holding a market capitalization of ₹28,786 Cr.
5. Narayana Hrudayalaya is recognized for its cost-effective cardiac care services and maintains a notable market share with a market capitalization of ₹26,086 Cr.
In this report, we will conduct an in-depth analysis and comparison between two of India's leading healthcare providers, Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudayalaya. This comprehensive evaluation will assess their technical and fundamental aspects,
◉ Company Overviews
● Apollo Hospital NSE:APOLLOHOSP
Apollo Hospitals was founded in 1983 by Dr. Prathap C Reddy, a visionary in the evolution of modern healthcare in India. As the first corporate hospital in the country, Apollo Hospitals is celebrated for leading the charge in the private healthcare transformation.
Today, Apollo Hospitals stands as Asia's leading integrated healthcare services provider, boasting a strong footprint throughout the healthcare landscape. This includes a diverse range of services such as hospitals, pharmacies, primary care and diagnostic clinics, as well as various retail health models.
● Narayana Hrudalaya NSE:NH
Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited is involved in providing medical and healthcare services both in India and abroad. It functions through two main divisions: Medical and Healthcare Related Services, and Others. The organization is responsible for acquiring, owning, and managing a variety of healthcare facilities, including hospitals, clinics, health centres, diagnostic centres, and nursing homes, among other related operations. Its range of services encompasses cardiology, cardiac surgery, nephrology, urology, neurology, neurosurgery, endocrinology, orthopaedics, internal medicine, obstetrics, gynaecology, pediatrics, neonatology, gastroenterology, and oncology. Additionally, the company is active in the health insurance sector. Established in 2000, its headquarters is located in Bengaluru, India.
◉ Technical Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ The stock faced a significant obstacle near the 5,800 level, resulted in a steep drop.
➖ It later found support around 3,500 and rebounded.
➖ Following an extended period of consolidation, the price developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
➖ A breakout ensued, leading to a price increase, but it encountered resistance close to 6,800, which triggered a pullback to the breakout point.
➖ Following a successful retest, the price surged past the previous high, reaching a new peak at 7,545.
➖ However, due to prevailing negative market sentiments, the price has since retraced and is currently trading just above its immediate support zone.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The stock price is overall in an uptrend.
➖ After reaching an all-time high close to the 1,445 level, the price experienced a decline and has since entered a consolidation phase.
➖ A Symmetrical Triangle pattern has formed on the chart.
➖ We expect an upward breakout from this pattern, which could lead to a significant price rally.
◉ Relative Strength
➖ The chart reveals that both Apollo and Narayana Hrudayalaya have underperformed the Nifty Healthcare index. Although Apollo has given a descent 31% return, Narayana lagged significantly, yielding a modest 17% return. In contrast, the Nifty Healthcare index delivered an impressive 41% return.
◉ Service Wise Revenue Breakdown
● Apollo Hospitals
The company operates through three primary segments, each contributing significantly to its revenue.
➖ Healthcare services account for approximately 52% of total revenue, forming the largest share.
➖ The retail pharmacy business generates nearly 41% of total sales, while the retail health and diagnostics segment contributes the remaining 7%.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ The company operates exclusively in the healthcare services sector, deriving all its revenue from this single segment.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Apollo Hospitals
Year-over-Year
➖ The company's fiscal year 2024 performance was marked by strong growth, with revenue reaching ₹19,059 crore, a 15% increase from ₹16,612 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA surged to ₹2,394 crore, up from ₹2,065 crore in FY23, while the EBITDA margin improved to 13% from 12%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ In the latest quarter ending September 2024, the company achieved its highest-ever sales of ₹5,589 crore, significantly up from ₹5,086 crore in June 2024. This quarter-on-quarter growth has been consistent since March 2022.
➖ EBITDA for the quarter was an impressive ₹816 crore, a 21% increase from ₹675 crore in June 2024.
➖ Diluted EPS (LTM) rose substantially to ₹83.31 from ₹72.13 in June 2024.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
Year-over-Year
➖ In FY24, our company achieved remarkable sales growth, surging 11% to ₹5,018 crore from ₹4,525 crore in FY23.
➖ EBITDA soared to ₹1,173 crore, up from ₹987 crore in the same period, with an impressive EBITDA margin of 23%.
Quarter-over-Quarter
➖ Our quarterly sales reached an all-time high of ₹1,400 crore in September, representing a 4% increase from ₹1,341 crore in June.
➖ Although EBITDA growth was modest, it still improved to ₹308 crore in September from ₹304 crore in June 2024.
➖ However, Diluted EPS experienced a decline, dropping to ₹38.85 from ₹39.72.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ Apollo Hospitals' current P/E ratio stands at 83.4, down from its 1-year median of 107.7. However, this remains significantly above the industry average of 56.9, indicating overvaluation.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's P/E ratio of 33.5 is slightly above its 1-year median of 32.8 and substantially below the industry average, suggesting undervaluation.
● P/B Ratio
➖ Apollo's P/B ratio of 13.15 indicates considerable overvaluation compared to the industry average of 7.18.
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya's P/B ratio of 8.14 also suggests overvaluation, albeit to a lesser extent.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Narayana's PEG ratio of 0.49 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to Apollo's considerably higher PEG of 2.43.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ Narayana Hrudalaya ROCE - 27% in FY24
The significant difference in ROCE between the two healthcare giants underscores Narayana Hrudalaya's superior profitability. Narayana's impressive ROCE of 27% demonstrates its ability to efficiently utilize its total capital, comprising both equity and debt, to generate substantially higher returns.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, surging 39% to ₹1,920 crore in FY24 from ₹1,377 crore in FY23. This robust growth underscores the company's efficiency in converting profits into cash, highlighting its strong financial health and liquidity position.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya has shown sluggishness in turning profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declining 2% to ₹1,067 crore in FY24 from ₹1,085 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ Apollo Hospitals' debt stands at ₹7,371 crore, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, which, although relatively high, is not alarming. However, the company's low interest coverage ratio of 4.69 raises concerns about its ability to service its debt. This vulnerability may complicate repayment of borrowed loans, potentially straining Apollo's financial stability.
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya's debt of ₹1,703 crore and debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 indicate robust financial health. Furthermore, its impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.34 suggests the company is well-positioned to manage its debt obligations, ensuring greater financial flexibility and stability.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● Apollo Hospitals
➖ In the September quarter, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) increased their stake in Apollo Hospitals to 45.37%, up from the previous quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) reduced their holdings to 19.94%, a significant decrease from 24.77% in the last quarter.
● Narayana Hrudalaya
➖ In contrast, Narayana Hrudalaya witnessed a decline in institutional investor holdings. FIIs reduced their stake to 9.69%, down from 10% in the previous quarter.
➖ Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also decreased their holdings to 7.9%, down from 8.22% in the June quarter.
◉ Conclusion
Following a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, we conclude that Narayana Hrudalaya appears to be favorably positioned from a valuation perspective, presenting an attractive investment opportunity.
However, this does not diminish Apollo Hospitals' potential. Although the stock currently appears overvalued, investors can consider accumulating shares during dips, making it a viable option for those seeking strategic entry points.
The healthcare sector's promising growth trajectory, fueled by rising healthcare demands and infrastructure expansion, positions both companies for potentially excellent returns in the near future.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 23,710 / Sell Below 23,500
Current Price: 23,559
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 23,559, just below the buy signal level.
It's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 23,550 to 23,700 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,800 and 23,900.
Sell: If the price breaks below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,400 and 23,300.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Nifty Trading Outlook for 11th November 2024Nifty Trading Signal:
Buy above 24,220
Target: 24,300
Sell below 24,100
Targets: 24,050, 24,890
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. This trading analysis is for informational purposes only and is not intended as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets involves substantial risk and may result in significant losses. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
SENSEX 5000 Points Santa Claus Rally Coming Soon ? It's that time of the year again!
After the Doom and Gloom of October comes the Rays of hope in November and the ' Trump Effect ' may ensure that Santa comes early to the markets this year.
There is just a small matter of a recent Swing low (78768) to be undercut, and then we can see the liquidity return to the markets by way of cheaper rates (just how long can RBI hold out!?), Chinese outflows and World Peace! (God Bless Donald J Trump). Nominal technical Target for the rally could be in the range of about +5000 points (>6.42%).
Get Ready for Merry Christmas ! 🎅
Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Value Investing?Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Analysis
The stock is displaying a promising bullish candlestick pattern , signaling a potential halt to its recent downtrend and a possible upward turn in the short term.
There is price and psi divergence seen on daily chart, which is positive indication.
Moreover, the stock seems to present an appealing value investment opportunity based on two crucial valuation metrics:
Price/Book Ratio of 0.69 : This indicates that the stock price is relatively low compared to the company's book value, reflecting a potentially undervalued asset.
Price/Cash Flow Ratio of 14.12 : This ratio suggests that the share price is reasonably low when weighed against the company's generated cash flow, indicating a potentially favorable investment in terms of cash flow generation.
Additionally, the Earnings Yield of 18% signifies the return the company generates on each invested dollar, indicating a relatively robust performance in generating earnings.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
Nifty 50 Near-Term ForecastCurrent Price and Resistance:
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading around 24,492.
There's a notable resistance level around 25,065, where previous price action struggled to move higher. This level acts as a potential cap for upward movement.
Support Levels:
A significant support line is marked around 23,996, below the current trading level.
If the price breaches this level, it could suggest a further downside, with a possible drop toward lower support zones.
Projected Downtrend:
The orange line indicates a possible downward movement from the current levels if resistance at 25,065 holds.
This downtrend projection suggests that the Nifty 50 could move lower, potentially testing the support near 23,996.
If the index falls below this support, the next projected move takes it further down toward the 22,000 level, indicating a deeper correction.
Possible Reversal:
After reaching a lower level near 22,000, there’s a projected rebound shown with an upward arrow.
This suggests a potential reversal or bounce-back from these lower levels, which could present a buying opportunity.
The Breakout Retest Play: 5 Stocks to Consider1. Infosys NSE:INFY
● The stock has formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after the breakout, it rose significantly, reaching an all-time high near 1,990.
● Currently, the stock is trading slightly above the breakout level following a minor pullback.
➖ Best buy level: 1790 - 1830
2. ITC NSE:ITC
● The stock encountered resistance between the 470 and 480 levels multiple times.
● After breaking through this range, the price surged to an all-time high of 528.
● The price then faced rejection at this peak and has since retreated to the breakout level, where it is now rising again.
➖ Best buy level: 470 - 480
3. Lupin NSE:LUPIN
● The stock achieved a breakout after nearly nine years in August 2024.
● Following an initial upward movement, the stock price pulled back for a retest and is now trending upward once more.
➖ Best buy level: 2000 - 2050
4. Birlasoft NSE:BSOFT
● After breaking out of the Rounding Bottom pattern, the stock price surged to an all-time high of 856 before declining.
●The stock is currently trading at the breakout level, which appears to be a strong support.
➖ Best buy level: 550-560
5. Emami NSE:EMAMILTD
● After a prolonged consolidation, the stock developed an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
● Following the breakout, the price surged to an all-time high of 860 but faced strong rejection from that level.
● The stock is now approaching a retest of the previous breakout level.
➖ Best buy level: 595 - 600
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
Gas Sector Gathers Steam: IGL & MGL's Future Open Interest JumpsIGL
● The stock has undergone a consolidation phase, formed an Ascending Triangle pattern.
● Following a breakout, it surged to an all-time high near ₹570 before experiencing a decline.
● Currently, a Rounding Top pattern has emerged, and after a gap down, the price is testing its trendline support.
● Importantly, there has been a notable increase in future open interest of about 25%, indicating that investors are eager to purchase at more favorable price levels.
MGL
● After encountering resistance around the ₹1550 level, the stock price dropped to ₹1200.
● From this support level, it made a strong recovery, breaking through resistance to achieve an all-time high close to ₹1990.
● However, selling pressure has led to a pullback to the previous breakout level.
● Like IGL, MGL has also experienced a significant rise in future open interest of approximately 16%.
● This trend suggests that investors are interested in accumulating shares at a lower price.
CCL Products (India) Ltd Looks Good!Script - NSE:CCL
Pattern: Symmetrical Continuation Triangle
The recent price movement indicates a breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling a probable continuation of the previous uptrend.
In a Bullish Symmetrical Continuation Triangle, there are two trendlines converging as prices form lower highs and higher lows. During this consolidation, trading volume typically decreases as the price fluctuates within a tightening range, reflecting uncertainty among market participants.
However, prior to the triangle's apex, there's a significant breakout above the upper trendline accompanied by a notable surge in trading volume. This breakout confirms the pattern as a continuation of the uptrend observed before the consolidation phase.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
AGI Greenpac Ltd. - Looks Good!NSE:AGI
This stock has formed a pattern called Double Bottom.
A "double bottom" is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to predict a potential reversal of a downtrend. It typically occurs after a prolonged decrease in price and consists of two distinct lows at approximately the same level, separated by a moderate peak.
target price for the intermediate-term in the range of 955.00 to 965.00.
Also The MACD has also generated a bullish signal.
RSI above 60.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
DIVISLAB's Open Interest Jumps 6%: Bullish Sentiment BuildsFollowing a strong upward trend, the stock encountered significant resistance near the 5,300 level, resulting in a steep drop.
Afterward, the price found support near the 2,700 mark and managed to bounce back.
During this consolidation phase, the stock price has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
With a clear breakout, the price is now set for an upside rally.
A notable increase in future open interest—around 6%—has been recorded for this stock.
This rise in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that significant investors hold a positive outlook on this stock.
Nifty's Dark Clouds Gather: Bearish Sentiment Takes HoldAfter reaching a high near 26,280, the index encountered considerable resistance and subsequently fell.
A Head & Shoulders pattern is currently developing, leading to a negative sentiment in the market.
If the neckline is broken, the index may quickly decline to the 24,000 level. This level will be critical in assessing whether the index can bounce back or if it will drop below the support level.
Piramal Enterprises Ltd by KRS Charts13th Sept 2024 / 10:48 AM
Why PEL❓
1. Bird View in PEL seems Sideways to Bullish can be Good Opportunity at this level for Long Term Investment. ⬆️
2. Elliot Wave Count, let's direct talk about current wave where PEL standing is (III) Wave is started in smaller cycle < which is part of 3rd Wave in medium cycle 🤩
3. W pattern is about to Break giving little early entry as per wave counts. 👌
Target is major Resistance as we can see in Chart. 🎯
Note - Wave count is speculative So Focus should be on Target 1 for now only. 🙏
BANKNIFTY - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - BANKNIFTY
BANKNIFTY is currently trading at 53920
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BANKNIFTY Futures at CMP 53920
I will be adding more position if 54400 comes & will hold with SL 54720
Targets I'm expecting are 52800 - 51800 - 51100 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!