The Breakout Retest Play: 5 Stocks to Consider1. Infosys NSE:INFY
● The stock has formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after the breakout, it rose significantly, reaching an all-time high near 1,990.
● Currently, the stock is trading slightly above the breakout level following a minor pullback.
➖ Best buy level: 1790 - 1830
2. ITC NSE:ITC
● The stock encountered resistance between the 470 and 480 levels multiple times.
● After breaking through this range, the price surged to an all-time high of 528.
● The price then faced rejection at this peak and has since retreated to the breakout level, where it is now rising again.
➖ Best buy level: 470 - 480
3. Lupin NSE:LUPIN
● The stock achieved a breakout after nearly nine years in August 2024.
● Following an initial upward movement, the stock price pulled back for a retest and is now trending upward once more.
➖ Best buy level: 2000 - 2050
4. Birlasoft NSE:BSOFT
● After breaking out of the Rounding Bottom pattern, the stock price surged to an all-time high of 856 before declining.
●The stock is currently trading at the breakout level, which appears to be a strong support.
➖ Best buy level: 550-560
5. Emami NSE:EMAMILTD
● After a prolonged consolidation, the stock developed an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
● Following the breakout, the price surged to an all-time high of 860 but faced strong rejection from that level.
● The stock is now approaching a retest of the previous breakout level.
➖ Best buy level: 595 - 600
Indianstockmarket
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
Gas Sector Gathers Steam: IGL & MGL's Future Open Interest JumpsIGL
● The stock has undergone a consolidation phase, formed an Ascending Triangle pattern.
● Following a breakout, it surged to an all-time high near ₹570 before experiencing a decline.
● Currently, a Rounding Top pattern has emerged, and after a gap down, the price is testing its trendline support.
● Importantly, there has been a notable increase in future open interest of about 25%, indicating that investors are eager to purchase at more favorable price levels.
MGL
● After encountering resistance around the ₹1550 level, the stock price dropped to ₹1200.
● From this support level, it made a strong recovery, breaking through resistance to achieve an all-time high close to ₹1990.
● However, selling pressure has led to a pullback to the previous breakout level.
● Like IGL, MGL has also experienced a significant rise in future open interest of approximately 16%.
● This trend suggests that investors are interested in accumulating shares at a lower price.
CCL Products (India) Ltd Looks Good!Script - NSE:CCL
Pattern: Symmetrical Continuation Triangle
The recent price movement indicates a breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling a probable continuation of the previous uptrend.
In a Bullish Symmetrical Continuation Triangle, there are two trendlines converging as prices form lower highs and higher lows. During this consolidation, trading volume typically decreases as the price fluctuates within a tightening range, reflecting uncertainty among market participants.
However, prior to the triangle's apex, there's a significant breakout above the upper trendline accompanied by a notable surge in trading volume. This breakout confirms the pattern as a continuation of the uptrend observed before the consolidation phase.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
AGI Greenpac Ltd. - Looks Good!NSE:AGI
This stock has formed a pattern called Double Bottom.
A "double bottom" is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to predict a potential reversal of a downtrend. It typically occurs after a prolonged decrease in price and consists of two distinct lows at approximately the same level, separated by a moderate peak.
target price for the intermediate-term in the range of 955.00 to 965.00.
Also The MACD has also generated a bullish signal.
RSI above 60.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
DIVISLAB's Open Interest Jumps 6%: Bullish Sentiment BuildsFollowing a strong upward trend, the stock encountered significant resistance near the 5,300 level, resulting in a steep drop.
Afterward, the price found support near the 2,700 mark and managed to bounce back.
During this consolidation phase, the stock price has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern.
With a clear breakout, the price is now set for an upside rally.
A notable increase in future open interest—around 6%—has been recorded for this stock.
This rise in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that significant investors hold a positive outlook on this stock.
Nifty's Dark Clouds Gather: Bearish Sentiment Takes HoldAfter reaching a high near 26,280, the index encountered considerable resistance and subsequently fell.
A Head & Shoulders pattern is currently developing, leading to a negative sentiment in the market.
If the neckline is broken, the index may quickly decline to the 24,000 level. This level will be critical in assessing whether the index can bounce back or if it will drop below the support level.
Piramal Enterprises Ltd by KRS Charts13th Sept 2024 / 10:48 AM
Why PEL❓
1. Bird View in PEL seems Sideways to Bullish can be Good Opportunity at this level for Long Term Investment. ⬆️
2. Elliot Wave Count, let's direct talk about current wave where PEL standing is (III) Wave is started in smaller cycle < which is part of 3rd Wave in medium cycle 🤩
3. W pattern is about to Break giving little early entry as per wave counts. 👌
Target is major Resistance as we can see in Chart. 🎯
Note - Wave count is speculative So Focus should be on Target 1 for now only. 🙏
BANKNIFTY - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - BANKNIFTY
BANKNIFTY is currently trading at 53920
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BANKNIFTY Futures at CMP 53920
I will be adding more position if 54400 comes & will hold with SL 54720
Targets I'm expecting are 52800 - 51800 - 51100 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NIFTY50 - TIME FOR A SHORT TRADE?Symbol - NIFTY50
NIFTY50 is currently trading at 25905
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting NIFTY50 Futures at CMP 25905
I will be adding more position if 26100 comes & will hold with SL 26230
Targets I'm expecting are 25370 - 25010 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least.
Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal.
So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe.
As it's evident:
In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region.
Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return.
Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered.
Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery.
The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations:
19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level.
Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000).
Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800.
It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence
My Expectation:
There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550).
Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level.
We shall see what will happen next.
So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO.
Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see.
Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
#RELIANCE: Big Investment Opportunity In Making±Dear Traders,
We are seeing some major correction on Reliance since last few weeks, in our technical view price is yet to drop further towards our designated buying zone. Expect a swift buy from our identified key level, even possible to see a continuous bull run taking price above 3500 region. If you agree to our view please like and comment for more.
COFORGE & ECLERX: Two IT Underdogs on the Rise!COFORGE
The stock displayed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, and following the breakout, the price saw a substantial rise, subsequently created another bullish formation called Pole & Flag.
Recently, the price has broken through and is expected to continue its upward trend.
ECLERX
This chart also reveals the presence of an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern.
Following a recent breakout, the price is positioned for an upward movement.
Cosmic Collision: DLF & Oberoi Realty Clash in Real-Estate Space◉ Abstract
The Indian real estate market is growing fast and is expected to reach $1 Trillion by 2030. Two big companies in this field are DLF and Oberoi Realty. DLF makes most of its money from commercial properties mainly through rental income, while Oberoi Realty focuses on homes.
Both companies are doing well, but Oberoi Realty is growing faster and making more profit. DLF's stock price might go up soon after being stable for a long time. Oberoi Realty's stock has been going up steadily. Both companies don't have too much debt and are attracting investors. DLF seems expensive when you look at its price compared to earnings, while Oberoi Realty looks like a better deal. Oberoi Realty is also spending more on growing its business.
In the end, both companies are in a good position to benefit from India's growing economy and increasing demand for real estate.
◉ Introduction
The Indian real estate sector has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand, policy reforms, and infrastructure development. Two prominent players, DLF Limited and Oberoi Realty Limited, have been at the forefront of this growth, shaping the country's urban landscape. Both companies have established themselves as leaders in the industry, with a strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail segments.
◉ Indian Real Estate Sector: Future Growth Prospects
India's real estate market is expected to register significant growth in the coming years, driven by a number of factors. Here's a quick summary of the key trends:
● Market size and GDP contribution: The market size is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030, up from US$ 200 billion in 2021, and contribute 15.5% to GDP by 2047.
● Residential market growth: The residential market is witnessing strong growth, with the value of home sales reaching an all-time high of Rs. 3.47 lakh crore (US$ 42 billion) in FY23. Demand is surging in top 8 cities across mid-income, premium, and luxury segments.
● Retail and office space: The retail and office space segments are also growing rapidly. Gross leasing in top 7 cities crossed 60 million sq ft for the first time in 2023, with technology companies leading leasing activity.
● Data centers: Data center demand is on the rise, with an expected increase of 15-18 million sq ft by 2025.
● Housing shortage: There is a significant housing shortage in urban areas, with the current shortage estimated at 10 million units. An additional 25 million units of affordable housing are required by 2030.
Overall, the Indian real estate sector presents a promising picture for growth and development. The sector is benefiting from a number of factors, including a growing economy, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes. This is leading to strong demand for both residential and commercial properties.
◉ Company Overviews
● DLF NSE:DLF
DLF Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on colonization and real estate development across India. Their activities encompass land acquisition, project planning, construction, and marketing. The company specializes in developing and selling residential projects, while also managing commercial office spaces and retail properties, including malls and hospitality ventures. Notably, it owns The Lodhi Hotel and Hilton Garden Inn in New Delhi, as well as the DLF Golf & Country Club in Gurugram. Additionally, DLF is involved in leasing, maintenance, power generation, and recreational services. Established in 1946, DLF Limited is headquartered in Gurugram and operates as a subsidiary of Rajdhani Investments and Agencies Private Limited.
● Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
Oberoi Realty Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate development and hospitality in India. It operates in two main segments: Real Estate and Hospitality. The company develops and sells various projects, including residential, commercial, hospitality, retail, and social infrastructure. It also leases office and retail spaces. Additionally, it manages hotel operations, which include room sales, food and beverage services, and related offerings, as well as constructing residential apartments and providing property management services. Established in 1998, the company is based in Mumbai, India.
◉ Market Capitalization
● DLF - ₹ 2,26,256 Cr. ($26.8 B)
● Oberoi Realty - ₹ 68,970 Cr. ($8.2 B)
◉ Relative Strength
The chart vividly demonstrates that neither company has managed to surpass the performance of the real estate sector over the past year. The realty sector has achieved an impressive return of 94%, while DLF and Oberoi Realty have delivered returns of 73% and 67%, respectively.
◉ Technical Aspects
● DLF
➖ Since its listing in July 2007, DLF reached an impressive peak of ₹ 1046 in January 2008.
➖ However, the stock faced a significant decline following the Lehman Brothers crisis later that year.
➖ After enduring a lengthy period of consolidation lasting eight years, the price stabilized around ₹ 66 in February 2016 and began its upward trajectory.
➖ Now, after nearly 17 years of consolidation, the stock is trading just below a critical resistance level, with a breakout anticipated in the near future.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Since its launch in December 2010, Oberoi Realty has shown a consistent upward trajectory
➖ During this ascent, the stock formed a Bullish Pennant pattern, and after breaking out, it surged to an all-time high of ₹ 1970 in September 2024.
➖ Currently, it is trading just below this peak. Analysts expect the stock to continue its upward momentum and reach new heights in the coming days.
◉ Revenue Breakdown
● DLF
DLF mainly generates its revenue from real estate development, concentrating on both commercial and residential areas. Significantly, the commercial real estate sector contributes a considerable 74% of the company's total revenue, largely through rental income.
● OBEROIRLTY
The company predominantly earns around 97% of its revenue from the real estate development sector. Furthermore, it also participates in the hospitality industry, which adds the remaining 3% to its overall revenue.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● DLF
➖ Over the past three years, DLF has recorded a modest compounded annual growth rate of 6% in sales.
➖ Despite this, the company has seen remarkable profit growth, which surged by 33% during the same timeframe.
➖ Currently, DLF enjoys a robust operating profit margin of 33%, an increase from 30% in FY23.
➖ In fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have jumped to 11.02, up from 8.22 the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in EPS over the last four years.
● OBEROIREALTY
➖ In the last three years, Oberoi Realty has achieved an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 30% in sales.
➖ Profit growth has closely mirrored this success, with a CAGR of 34% during the same period.
➖ The company currently boasts an outstanding operating profit margin of 55%, a figure that continues to rise.
➖ While the EPS growth from FY23 to FY24 is modest, with EPS standing at 52.99 compared to 52.38 the previous year, the overall trend in EPS has been positive over the last four years.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ DLF's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 79.6, slightly exceeding its 1-year median P/E of 76.7. However, when juxtaposed with the industry average of 34.4, it becomes evident that DLF is significantly overvalued at this time.
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty presents a P/E ratio of 31.50, which is just above its 1-year median P/E of 29.6. Yet, when compared to the industry P/E of 34.4, it appears to be undervalued.
● P/B Ratio
➖ DLF's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.74, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to the industry average of 3.54.
➖ Similarly, Oberoi Realty also seems overvalued with a P/B ratio of 4.98.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Oberoi Realty's PEG ratio of 1.83 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to DLF's considerably higher PEG of 4.79.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ DLF ROCE - 6% in FY24
➖ OBEROIRLTY ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ These numbers clearly demonstrate that Oberoi Realty is more profitable than DLF, as it efficiently leverages its total capital—comprising both equity and debt—to yield higher returns.
◉ Capex Analysis
● DLF
➖ The cash flow statement for DLF reveals a negative capital expenditure, indicating that the company is selling or disposing of its existing capital assets.
➖ This suggests a strategic decision to reduce its portfolio of office spaces and similar fixed assets, as they are no longer deemed necessary.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty has ramped up its capital expenditure from 601 crore to 677 crore compared to the previous year.
➖ This increase is a positive sign for the company, reflecting its ambition for expansion and growth in the market.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ DLF has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, rising to 2,539 crore from 2,375 crore in FY23.
➖ Oberoi Realty has also performed exceptionally well, transforming its cash from operations to an impressive 2,810 crore, marking a significant recovery from a considerable negative of 2,383 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ DLF demonstrates robust financial health with a manageable debt level of 4,894 crores and an impressive debt to equity ratio of just 0.12, signaling that debt is not a significant issue for the company.
➖ On the other hand, Oberoi has a debt of 2,495 crores, resulting in a debt to equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates that the company is also not worried about its debt situation.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● DLF
➖ Currently, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) possess a 16.17% stake, reflecting a decline from the previous quarter.
➖ On the other hand, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings to 4.81% as of the June quarter, a slight rise from 4.77% in the last quarter.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have made a notable increase in their investment in this stock, now holding 18.05%, up from 16.96% in the last quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stake to 12.30%, down from 12.83% in the March quarter.
◉ Conclusion
After a comprehensive assessment of the technical and financial metrics, we have concluded that Oberoi Realty has surpassed DLF in terms of valuation, profitability, revenue growth, and future expansion prospects. However, this does not imply that DLF cannot enhance its performance in the future. In fact, DLF is on the verge of a significant multi-year breakthrough, and if this happens, it could create an excellent opportunity for investors to take advantage of any price declines.
In the end, both companies exhibit strong growth potential as they are leaders in the real estate sector. As the economy continues to grow, both Oberoi Realty and DLF are well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion.
NIFTY... 26000 TARGET IN 2024!Guys... I am sharing my analysis of Nifty over a longer time frame.
The Elliot waves are marked on the chart. Nifty is currently in the wave 3 of the primary cycle.
This primary cycle runs in smaller intermediate waves.
Wave 1 started on April 2023;
Wave 3 from November 2023;
Expecting wave 4 to end by April 2024, and we can expect wave 5 to begin from May 2024.
So, as per this analysis, we can see a red candle in April month - the wave 4 correction, which is likely to end around 21400 - 21500 levels.
Wave 5, which is likely to begin in May, is likely to last till December 2024, taking nifty to 26000 levels (approximately 26400).
In this, wave 3 is 1.23 times wave 1, and wave 5 is 1.618 times wave 1.
Hopefully we get to witness a 20 - 25% rally in Nifty this year :)
This is only my analysis & remember the market is always RIGHT!
BALRAMPUR CHINI - SWING TRADE ON SHORT SIDESymbol - BALRAMCHIN
BALRAMCHIN is currently trading at 610
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BALRAMCHIN Futures at CMP 610
I will be adding more position if 630 comes & will hold with SL 640
Targets I'm expecting are 575 - 550 - 530 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Tata Power & Tata Communications: Dynamic Duo Poised for UpswingTata Power
The stock has shown a significant upward trend, reached at the 460 level, where it encountered strong resistance.
As a result, the price pulled back and found support around the 405 level, entered a consolidation phase.
During this phase, a Pole & Flag pattern developed on the chart, and with a recent breakout supported by robust trading volume, the stock is primed for further upward movement.
Tata Communications
Overall, the price is on an upward trajectory, consistently making higher highs and lows.
After hitting an all-time high close to the 2070 level, the price faced a notable rejection, resulted in a sharp decline followed by a consolidation phase.
During this period, an Ascending Triangle pattern developed, and the stock has recently achieved a successful breakout.
The current price action indicates that the stock is poised for another significant rally.
THE MULTIBAGGER STOCK- RAJESH EXPORTS - 250% GAINWITH Global Leader in Gold business
Rajesh Exports Limited is one of the lucrative stock
REL which is in limelight from the days of fortune 500 list is nearly its 52 week low and the opportunity to its all time high is extreme
LIC holdings in RAJESH EXPORTS are above 10%
wih INDIA's growth story and increasing exports potential supporting the trends
CURRENT PRICE IS AROUND 290
ALL TIME HIGH- 1030
3.5 times from the CMP
ICICI Bank & M_M See Significant Open Interest GrowthICICI Bank
The current stock price is navigating through an ascending parallel channel, demonstrating a strong upward trend characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, the price has successfully breached the upper boundary of the parallel channel and is attempting to maintain its position above this breakout level.
A significant rise in future open interest—approximately 27%—has been observed for this stock.
This increase in both the stock price and future open interest suggests that major investors are optimistic regarding this stock.
As long as the price stays above the 1300 level, the overall sentiment is expected to remain positive.
Mahindra & Mahindra
The stock is experiencing a robust upward trend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
During this upward movement, the price has formed a bullish Pole & Flag pattern.
Recently, following a notable breakout accompanied by substantial trading volume, the stock has reached its all-time high.
Additionally, there has been a significant increase in future open interest, which has risen by nearly 16%.
This growth in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that major investors are confident about this stock.
The Banking-FMCG-Realty Trifecta Turbocharges Market Growth.Nifty Bank
The Bank Nifty is on a strong upward trend, consistently making higher highs and lows.
It has recently broken through its previous all-time high while moving within an ascending parallel channel, indicating potential for further gains.
Nifty FMCG
The FMCG sector is a major player in the market, and with a recent breakout, the index has reached its all-time high.
The price action indicates bullish momentum, suggesting it could continue to rise.
Nifty Realty
While the overall trend is positive, the realty sector has struggled to make a significant impact in recent months.
However, a bullish Pole & Flag pattern has appeared on the chart, signalled a possible continuation of the upward trend.
A recent breakout shows the index is active again.
Tech-Finance Synergy Could Boost Nifty This Week!Nifty It NSE:CNXIT
The IT index has been in a consolidation phase for an extended duration and developed a Cup & Handle pattern.
After breaking out, the index has effectively retested the breakout level and is now on an upward trajectory.
In the past week, the index gained approximately 3% and is showing robust strength, with expectations for further upward movement.
Nifty Private Bank NSE:NIFTYPVTBANK
The Private Bank index is currently experiencing a positive upward trend.
It previously established a Cup & Handle pattern, and following a breakout, the index saw substantial gains, consistently recording higher highs and lows.
After hitting an all-time high near the 26,650 level, the Private Bank index retraced to its immediate support zone and is now rising once more.
With a significant increase of almost 2.7% last week, the index seems to be in a bullish phase at present.
KOTAKBANK - Keep an eye if it breaks the trendlineOn a monthly chart, #KOTAKBANK is creating Lower Highs and price is unable to break the trendline. However, a good volume is building up and price is consolidating, creating an inside bar setup. 50 SMA once broken but reclaimed back, chances are it should move up, but if it doesn't be ready to go back to 1545 levels. From current price levels, there is room to grow easily up to 25% up and once the all time high is broken, around 40% up side is predicted from the all time high(2253) levels in a long term. It would be good to see how it reacts in upcoming days.