Tata Power & Tata Communications: Dynamic Duo Poised for UpswingTata Power
The stock has shown a significant upward trend, reached at the 460 level, where it encountered strong resistance.
As a result, the price pulled back and found support around the 405 level, entered a consolidation phase.
During this phase, a Pole & Flag pattern developed on the chart, and with a recent breakout supported by robust trading volume, the stock is primed for further upward movement.
Tata Communications
Overall, the price is on an upward trajectory, consistently making higher highs and lows.
After hitting an all-time high close to the 2070 level, the price faced a notable rejection, resulted in a sharp decline followed by a consolidation phase.
During this period, an Ascending Triangle pattern developed, and the stock has recently achieved a successful breakout.
The current price action indicates that the stock is poised for another significant rally.
Indianstockmarket
THE MULTIBAGGER STOCK- RAJESH EXPORTS - 250% GAINWITH Global Leader in Gold business
Rajesh Exports Limited is one of the lucrative stock
REL which is in limelight from the days of fortune 500 list is nearly its 52 week low and the opportunity to its all time high is extreme
LIC holdings in RAJESH EXPORTS are above 10%
wih INDIA's growth story and increasing exports potential supporting the trends
CURRENT PRICE IS AROUND 290
ALL TIME HIGH- 1030
3.5 times from the CMP
ICICI Bank & M_M See Significant Open Interest GrowthICICI Bank
The current stock price is navigating through an ascending parallel channel, demonstrating a strong upward trend characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, the price has successfully breached the upper boundary of the parallel channel and is attempting to maintain its position above this breakout level.
A significant rise in future open interest—approximately 27%—has been observed for this stock.
This increase in both the stock price and future open interest suggests that major investors are optimistic regarding this stock.
As long as the price stays above the 1300 level, the overall sentiment is expected to remain positive.
Mahindra & Mahindra
The stock is experiencing a robust upward trend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows.
During this upward movement, the price has formed a bullish Pole & Flag pattern.
Recently, following a notable breakout accompanied by substantial trading volume, the stock has reached its all-time high.
Additionally, there has been a significant increase in future open interest, which has risen by nearly 16%.
This growth in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that major investors are confident about this stock.
The Banking-FMCG-Realty Trifecta Turbocharges Market Growth.Nifty Bank
The Bank Nifty is on a strong upward trend, consistently making higher highs and lows.
It has recently broken through its previous all-time high while moving within an ascending parallel channel, indicating potential for further gains.
Nifty FMCG
The FMCG sector is a major player in the market, and with a recent breakout, the index has reached its all-time high.
The price action indicates bullish momentum, suggesting it could continue to rise.
Nifty Realty
While the overall trend is positive, the realty sector has struggled to make a significant impact in recent months.
However, a bullish Pole & Flag pattern has appeared on the chart, signalled a possible continuation of the upward trend.
A recent breakout shows the index is active again.
Tech-Finance Synergy Could Boost Nifty This Week!Nifty It NSE:CNXIT
The IT index has been in a consolidation phase for an extended duration and developed a Cup & Handle pattern.
After breaking out, the index has effectively retested the breakout level and is now on an upward trajectory.
In the past week, the index gained approximately 3% and is showing robust strength, with expectations for further upward movement.
Nifty Private Bank NSE:NIFTYPVTBANK
The Private Bank index is currently experiencing a positive upward trend.
It previously established a Cup & Handle pattern, and following a breakout, the index saw substantial gains, consistently recording higher highs and lows.
After hitting an all-time high near the 26,650 level, the Private Bank index retraced to its immediate support zone and is now rising once more.
With a significant increase of almost 2.7% last week, the index seems to be in a bullish phase at present.
KOTAKBANK - Keep an eye if it breaks the trendlineOn a monthly chart, #KOTAKBANK is creating Lower Highs and price is unable to break the trendline. However, a good volume is building up and price is consolidating, creating an inside bar setup. 50 SMA once broken but reclaimed back, chances are it should move up, but if it doesn't be ready to go back to 1545 levels. From current price levels, there is room to grow easily up to 25% up and once the all time high is broken, around 40% up side is predicted from the all time high(2253) levels in a long term. It would be good to see how it reacts in upcoming days.
Bearish RSI divergence in Nifty, indicating a potential decline!
Since October 2023, Nifty has demonstrated a robust upward trend, reaching an impressive peak of 25,333, marked an all-time high.
However, the index has recently faced a setback, pulled back from this peak and currently indicating a downward movement.
A significant bearish RSI divergence is evident on the daily chart, signaling a further potential decline for the index.
On the downside, important support levels are lies between 23,900 and 24,100.
It is crucial to recognize that a break below this support could lead to a significant drop in the index.
news base oppotunitynews:
the company entered into a partnership with Onix Renewable Ltd. to supply steel structures and single-axis trackers for solar energy projects, with plans to eventually expand into dual-axis trackers.
Onix Renewable Ltd., the partner company, is involved in various sectors of renewable energy and currently has 600 MW of projects underway, with an additional 2200 MW planned. The new partnership is expected to contribute to the success and durability of these solar projects.
Rama Steel Tubes has incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary named, Rama Defence on 31 August 2024. The new company will carry out business in the field of defence sector such as trading, importing, exporting, manufacturing, assembling and supplying of defence equipment, arms, ammunition, explosives and related military and security hardware etc
focus:
: rama steel ltd enter in 2 most demanding sectors defence and renewable energy.
: fuuture growth of these sectors are too high,
: after news in stock shows heavy fii inflows
market cap before news 1500 cr
current market cap 2052 cr
price before news 10.30
current price 13.46
target price 24-30
*boost post and follow us for more news and valuation base data and research
Sector-Based Analysis: Navigating Today's Market DynamicsTo complement my earlier NIFTY analysis, let's dive into the key sectors and their potential impact on today's market movement. Here’s a quick breakdown of the major indices to watch and how they could influence NIFTY's direction:
1. Banking Sector (BANKNIFTY):
Current Level: 51,383.95 (+32.95, +0.06%)
Analysis: The banking sector remains mildly positive today, reflecting stability in major financial stocks. Any sustained upward move in BANKNIFTY above 51,400 could provide additional momentum to NIFTY. However, if BANKNIFTY fails to hold above the 51,300 support level, it may trigger some selling pressure on NIFTY as well.
2. Financial Services (CNXFIN):
Current Level: 26,706.65 (+68.75, +0.29%)
Analysis: The financial services index is showing resilience with a modest uptick. A positive performance in this sector often signals broader market strength. The continuation of buying interest in this index above 26,700 would support a bullish view for NIFTY.
3. Information Technology (CNXIT):
Current Level: 42,940.00 (+152.40, +0.36%)
Analysis: CNXIT is gaining momentum and is a key driver today. Tech stocks are often considered safer bets, and a rally in this sector could act as a strong tailwind for NIFTY. Watch for a breakout above 43,000 for further bullish confirmation.
4. Auto Sector (CNXAUTO):
Current Level: 32,073.60 (-98.90, -0.31%)
Analysis: The auto sector is underperforming, with notable weakness visible in several major auto stocks. If CNXAUTO continues to decline, it could create a drag on NIFTY, particularly if other sectors also show signs of fatigue.
5. FMCG (CNXFMCG):
Current Level: 66,739.70 (+609.95, +0.95%)
Analysis: The FMCG sector is exhibiting strong buying interest and is currently one of the best-performing sectors. Positive movement here might help sustain NIFTY's overall sentiment, especially if consumer demand trends remain favorable.
6. Metals (CNXMET):
Current Level: 23,947.05 (-35.90, -0.15%)
Analysis: The metal sector is seeing some selling pressure today, possibly due to profit booking after recent gains. Any further downside in CNXMET could weigh on market sentiment, but if it stabilizes above 23,900, it might not have a significant negative impact on NIFTY.
7. Pharma (CNXPHARMA):
Current Level: 23,181.70 (-35.90, -0.15%)
Analysis: Pharma is relatively flat today. The sector's lack of direction indicates uncertainty among investors. However, if it stays above the 23,150 level, it may provide some support to the overall market.
Sector-Wise Conclusion:
The Banking, Financial Services, and FMCG sectors are showing positive momentum and are crucial to driving NIFTY higher today.
Auto and Metal sectors are underperforming; however, their impact might be mitigated if strength in other sectors persists.
Keep a close watch on CNXIT and BANKNIFTY for further clues on market direction. A strong performance in these sectors could be the catalyst needed for NIFTY to break its current resistance.
What to Watch Today:
A sustained uptrend in BANKNIFTY and CNXIT will be critical for a bullish continuation.
Any significant weakness in Auto or Metals could be a red flag for potential profit booking in NIFTY.
Monitor the FMCG sector closely; its outperformance could provide stability to the broader market.
Greenply vs Greenpanel: A Clash of Plywood and MDF Giants!About Companies
Greenply Industries NSE:GREENPLY is a prominent player in the plywood industry, dedicated to the production and trade of plywood and its associated products. Their extensive range features plywood, block board, wood flooring, medium density fiberboard, flush doors, and decorative veneers. Founded in 1984 by Shiv Prakash Mittal, the company operates out of Kolkata, India.
In 2018, Greenpanel Industries NSE:GREENPANEL emerged as a separate entity from Greenply Industries, concentrating on the manufacturing of MDF boards and related products. Their product lineup includes wood flooring, veneers, flush doors, and more.
Market Capitalization
● Greenply Industries - ₹ 4,751 Cr.
● Greenpanel Industries - ₹ 4,849 Cr.
Technical Aspects
Greenply
● The monthly chart reveals that the stock price encountered significant resistance around the 340 mark, resulting in a sharp decline that brought it down to the 70 level, where it found support.
● After an extented phase of consolidation, the stock formed a Double Bottom pattern.
● Once this pattern broke out, the price surged upward, and nearly 6.5 years later, in July 2024, the stock successfully broke through the previous resistance zone.
● Having maintained its position above this breakout level, the stock price is poised for further gains.
Greenpanel
● After reaching a remarkable high close to 625, the stock faced a considerable downturn.
● It later found a solid support at the 260 level, which set the stage for its recovery.
● Nevertheless, the stock ran into resistance around the 430 mark, caused another retreat to the previous support zone.
● Currently, with a fresh upward trend, the price exhibits significant growth potential.
Revenue Breakdown
● Greenply Industries generates a remarkable 77.4% of its total revenue from plywood and associated products, establishing itself as a dominant player with a 26% market share in the domestic plywood sector.
● In contrast, Greenpanel Industries focuses heavily on MDF boards, which make up an astounding 91% of its total sales, securing a 21% market share in the domestic MDF industry.
Sales & Profit Analysis
● Greenply
➖ In the last three years, this company has experienced an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 23% in sales.
➖ However, profit growth has been modest, increased by only 3% during the same period.
➖ The company currently holds an operating profit margin of 9%, which is deemed acceptable.
➖ In the fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have dropped to 5.44, down from 7.44 in FY2023.
● Greenpanel
➖ Over the past three years, this company has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 15% in sales.
➖ In contrast, profit growth has been exceptional, soaring at a 26% CAGR during the same period.
➖ Currently, the company boasts an operating profit margin of 16%, a noteworthy figure.
➖ However, in fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have declined to 11.64, down from 20.92 in FY2023.
Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ Greenply Industries currently has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 48.75, which is marginally above its 1-year median PE of 48.1, yet it aligns closely with the industry average PE of 48.75.
➖ On the other hand, Greenpanel Industries shows a current PE of 33.94, indicating it may be overvalued relative to its 1-year median PE of 25.2, but it appears undervalued when compared to the industry PE of 48.75.
● P/B Ratio
➖ Greenply has a PB ratio of 6.69, suggesting it is considerably overvalued.
➖ However, Greenpanel Industries has a PB ratio of 3.68, which, although somewhat high, does not indicate overvaluation.
● Intrinsic Value
● Greenply is presently valued at ₹984, a figure that is approximately 2.4 times its intrinsic worth of ₹158. This suggests that the stock is currently overvalued.
● Conversely, Greenpanel has a market price of ₹395, roughly 1.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹259, which similarly indicates that this stock is also overvalued at this time.
Product Demand analysis (Plywood vs MDF)
● Greenply presently has an inventory turnover ratio of 4.2, an improvement from 3.96 three years ago.
● In comparison, Greenpanel Industries shines with a current inventory turnover ratio of 5.08, a substantial increase from 3.71 three years earlier.
● These figures clearly indicate a rising demand for MDF products, highlighting a promising trend in the market.
Company Capex
● Greenply has significantly reduced its capital expenditure, slashing it to 123 crore from last year's 412 crore, indicating a lack of a robust capex program.
● In contrast, Greenpanel has made a remarkable leap in its capital investments, raising its capex to 344 crore from just 80 crore in the previous financial year.
Debt Analysis
● Greenpanel Industries stands strong with a manageable debt of 296 crores and a favorable debt to equity ratio of 0.22, indicating that debt is not a concern for the company. With an impressive interest coverage ratio of 16, Greenpanel is well-equipped to handle its loan repayments without any issues.
● Other side, Greenply Industries carries a higher debt burden of 549 crores, reflected in a debt to equity ratio of 0.77. With an interest coverage ratio of only 3.33, the company may face challenges in meeting its loan repayment obligations.
Cashflow Analysis
● Greenply has experienced an impressive increase in its operating cash flow, jumping to 111 crore from a mere 62 crore in FY23.
● Greenpanel Industries has struggled to convert its profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declined significantly to 135 crore from 337 crore in FY2023.
Shareholding Pattern
● Greenply
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are dramatically raising their investments. In the latest June quarter, their stake has surged to 4.91%, a notable increase from just 2.15% in June 2023.
➖ Meanwhile, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) currently hold 30.33% as of the June quarter, down from 32.41% last year.
● Greenpanel
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are consistently divesting their positions in this stock, with their current ownership now at a mere 2.12%, a significant drop from 4.3% a year ago
➖ In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are steadily boosting their investments, with their current stake rising to 26.71%, up from 21.60% in June 2023.
Some Important Facts
● Shifting Demand From Plywood to MDF
➖ Worldwide, the consumption ratio of MDF to plywood stands at 80:20; however, in India, this ratio is notably reversed, with plywood dominating at 20:80 as of 2022.
➖ Industry experts predict that by 2030, this ratio in India will shift to an even 50:50.
➖ This shift indicates significant growth opportunities for the MDF sector in India, particularly as it is poised to capture a larger share of the low and medium-grade plywood market, which currently makes up 85% of the plywood industry in the country.
MDF Industry Growth Drivers
● Growth of Online Home Décor Platforms
➖ The growth of online home décor platforms like Pepper Fry, Fab Furbish, and Urban Ladder has increased the need for ready-to-assemble (RTA) furniture, impacting the MDF industry directly.
● Reduction in Furniture Cycle Time
➖ The increasing popularity of stylish, comfortable furniture crafted from MDF has significantly reduced the home renovation timeline, slashing it from the previous 15 to 20 years down to just 7 to 8 years.
● Cost Advantage Over Plywood
➖ MDF is much cheaper than plywood because it is made from leftover wood materials, both hardwood and softwood.
Conclusion
➖ After examining all the factors, it appears that the MDF industry is poised for significant growth in the near future, outpacing the Plywood sector. As a result, companies such as Greenpanel Industries are likely to reap substantial benefits, which will have a direct positive effect on their share prices.
CASTROLIND Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have BC and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase C, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Spring
We have spring in Phase C
Major Sign of Strength
we have MaSOS in phase D with good volume indicating institutions are present in buying.
Final View
Bullish on the stock
CASTROLIND Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have BC and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase C, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Spring
We have spring in Phase C
Major Sign of Strength
we have MaSOS in phase D with good volume indicating institutions are present in buying.
Final View
Bullish on the stock
Angleone is destined to stage a comeback!Technical Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
● The stock had previously consolidated and established a Rounding Bottom pattern.
● Following the breakout, the price surged, hitting an impressive all-time high of 3,880.
● However, it then began to decline, ultimately dropping to the support level around 2,000.
● A robust rebound from this support, accompanied by significant volume, indicates that the stock is poised for another upward movement.
● The potential targets to watch for are:
➖ 1st Target - 3,400 level
➖ 2nd Target - 3,880 level.
Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
● The daily chart reveals that following the breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern, the price is currently in a consolidation phase, poised for a significant upward movement.
● The trading volume has surged notably in recent days, signalling that big market participants are showing keen interest.
Technical Indicators (Daily Timeframe)
RSI
● Current RSI of this stock is 61.37, which indicates the strength of buyers.
MACD
● MACD line has crossed over the signal line from the below, indicates a robust bullish momentum is in play.
ADX & DI
● ADX value surpassing 20 with +DI positioned above the -DI, indicates the strength of the trend.
BUY PLAN IN UJJIVAN SMALL FINANCE BANKDISCLAIMER:- This is not an financial advice, I will not recommend anyone to buy/sell
any assets just based on this. Please make your own analysis.
TRADE ANALYSIS: -
- Fundamentally stock seems to be good. Financial sector has been beaten down for a while. I personally believe in sectoral rotation and time has not yet come for financial sector. While financial sector seems bullish in near future, stock like UJJIVANSFB can give good returns as its relatively undervalued and has lot of potential to upside. Big funds such as FII and DII, both has been accumulating this stock for a while.
- Technically I see a cup and handle pattern being formed in longer timeframe
Dixon & Bajaj-Auto Showing High Rise in Future OIDIXON
Following a significant upward trend, the stock price experienced a correction and later established a Double Bottom pattern.
Recently, a breakout occurred, backed by strong volume, suggesting that the price is set for further gains.
Additionally, a notable increase in future open interest—nearly 11%—has been recorded.
This rise in both stock price and future open interest signals that big investors are optimistic about this stock.
As long as the price remains above the 12,900 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive.
BAJAJ-AUTO
During the upward movement, the price experienced a brief consolidation phase, resulted in the formation of a Rounding Bottom pattern.
Recently, a breakout occurred, supported by significant volume, suggested that the stock price is poised to maintain its upward trajectory.
Moreover, there has been a remarkable surge in future open interest, climbed nearly 19%.
This increase in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that big investors are bullish about this stock.
As long as the price remains above the 10,000 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive.
SHYAMMETL & RPSGVENT - Cup & Handle Breakout!!SHYAMMETL
Following an upward trend, the stock price encountered resistance around the 740 level, resulting in a correction that brought the price down to the 530 level, where it established support.
Subsequently, the price entered a consolidation phase before successfully breaking through its trendline resistance.
With a surge, the stock price climbed back to its previous resistance level but faced rejection once more.
After a period of consolidation just below this resistance level, the price ultimately broke out with significant volume support.
During this time, a cup & handle pattern emerged, and with this breakout, that pattern was also surpassed.
If the price can hold above this breakout point, we could witness another rally in the days ahead.
RPSGVENT
After a tough rejection around the 840 level, the price started to decline.
Once it successfully broke through the trendline resistance, the stock price jumped back to its earlier resistance level but was rejected again.
After a period of consolidation just beneath that resistance level, the price has finally made a breakthrough recently, supported by substantial volume.
A cup and handle pattern formed during this period, and with the breakout, that pattern was also exceeded.
If the price remains above this breakout level, there could be more upward movement.