Indianstocks
BAJAJ HOUSING FINANCE Camarilla BOThere has been downtrend in the stock and recently it has changed the trend for current monthly R3 & S3 is under previous month R3 & S3 which gives indication that there will move once R4 or S4 is broken.
However Yesterday R4 has broken which gives clear indication of upward movement.
Buy - 146.69
SL 138
Target 164.04
Timeframe 30 days
This idea is purely for educational purpose. Please do your due diligence before investing.
TRENT Stock: Key Levels, Trends, and Trading StrategiesTrend Analysis
Primary Uptrend:
The stock has been following a strong upward channel, as shown by the blue trendlines.
Over the past months, the price has consistently respected these trendlines, indicating strong investor confidence and sustained buying pressure.
Current Channel Movement:
The price is trading within a secondary ascending channel, showing shorter-term consolidation within the broader trend.
This setup suggests that while the uptrend remains intact, the stock is in a phase of measured growth.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
₹6,688.75: A critical near-term support level, highlighted in red. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the short-term channel.
₹6,353.25: The major support level that the price must hold to sustain the broader uptrend.
Resistance Levels:
₹7,081.15: A key resistance zone, which the stock has been testing recently.
₹7,234.70 and ₹7,445.10: Further resistances that could come into play if the stock breaks out above ₹7,081.15.
₹7,644.10: The ultimate resistance in the current setup, beyond which the stock could experience strong bullish momentum.
Volume Analysis:
A noticeable volume spike occurred during the last leg of the uptrend, signaling strong accumulation by investors.
Current volume trends are more subdued, suggesting a period of consolidation, which often precedes a breakout.
Key Observations
Bullish Flag Formation:
The stock is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often leads to further upside. A breakout above ₹7,081.15 could confirm this pattern.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If the stock breaks ₹7,081.15 with strong volume, it could rally toward ₹7,234.70 and eventually ₹7,644.10.
Bearish Case:
If the stock breaches ₹6,688.75, the next support at ₹6,353.25 will be crucial to watch.
TRENT stock exhibits strong upward momentum, making it an attractive option for traders. A breakout above ₹7,081.15 could signal further gains, while buying near ₹6,688.75 support levels offers a favorable risk-reward setup. As always, implementing strict stop-loss levels and sound risk management is crucial to handle potential market volatility effectively.
Breakout Blitz: 3 Stocks to Supercharge Your Portfolio◉ Affle (India) NSE:AFFLE
● In the midst of an upward trend, the stock previously formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after a breakout, the price experienced a significant surge.
● However, around the 1,715 level, the stock encountered substantial resistance, leading to a decline followed by a period of consolidation.
● Recently, another Rounding Bottom pattern has been developed, and with a recent breakthrough, the stock is now trading at an all-time high, with expectations for continued growth.
◉ KFin Technologies NSE:KFINTECH
● The stock price is evidently trending upward, characterized by a succession of higher highs and higher lows.
● After effectively breaking out of the Rounding Bottom pattern, the stock saw a significant increase, approaching its previous all-time high around the 1,190 level.
● However, it encountered substantial resistance at that point, leading to a pullback and a subsequent consolidation phase.
● Now, following a recent breakout, the stock has positioned itself above the breakout zone and is ready for a potential upward rally.
◉ EID Parry NSE:EIDPARRY
● After a period of consolidation, the stock price has developed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern.
● Following the breakout, the price initially climbed sharply but soon entered a significant consolidation phase, resulting in the formation of a Broadening pattern.
● Currently, the stock has achieved a breakthrough and is set to enjoy additional gains.
Love is in the Air: Top Wedding Stocks in this season◉ Abstract
The Indian wedding industry is a huge part of the economy, worth about ₹10 lakh crore (around $130 billion), making it the fourth largest industry in India after food and groceries. Families spend a lot on weddings, often around ₹12 lakh (about $15,000), which is more than what they spend on their children's education. Every year, India sees around 80 lakh to 1 crore weddings, mostly during the busy season from October to December.
This industry includes important sectors like jewelry, clothing, hospitality, and travel, with bridal jewelry making up over half of all jewelry sales. As incomes rise and people spend more on luxury weddings, the industry is expected to grow even more, supported by government efforts to promote India as a top wedding destination.
Read full analysis here:
◉ Introduction
The Indian wedding industry is a vibrant and expansive sector, estimated to be worth approximately ₹10 lakh crore (around $130 billion), making it the fourth largest industry in India, following food and groceries. This industry is characterized by its cultural significance and economic impact, driving consumption across various sectors.
◉ Overview of the Indian Wedding Industry
● Economic Significance
➖ The Indian wedding economy is a major driver of economic activity, with families spending substantial amounts on weddings, often exceeding expenditures on education for children. On average, an Indian wedding costs around ₹12 lakh (approximately $15,000).
➖ The industry is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting it could expand by 3.7 times over the next five years due to rising incomes and changing consumer preferences.
● Wedding Season Dynamics
➖ India hosts about 80 lakh to 1 crore weddings annually, primarily peaking between October and December. This period coincides with festive seasons, further boosting spending.
➖ Weddings in India are known for their grandeur and can include elaborate celebrations lasting several days, often with thousands of guests.
◉ Three Major Sectors Within the Industry
The Indian wedding industry encompasses various sectors that contribute to its overall growth:
i. Jewellery:
➖ This sector is the largest beneficiary, with bridal jewellery accounting for over 50% of all jewellery sales in India.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. Titan NSE:TITAN
2. Kalyan Jewellers NSE:KALYANKJIL
3. Senco Gold NSE:SENCO
ii.Apparel:
➖ Weddings contribute to around 10% of the apparel market, with significant demand for bridal wear.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. Vedant Fashions NSE:MANYAVAR
2. Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail NSE:ABFRL
3. Arvind Fashions NSE:ARVINDFASN
4. Raymond NSE:RAYMOND
iii.Travel and Hospitality:
➖ Destination weddings are gaining popularity, leading to increased demand for hotels and travel services.
Stock to keep on radar from this sector:
1. The Indian Hotels NSE:INDHOTEL
2. EIH Limited NSE:EIHOTEL
3. Chalet Hotels NSE:CHALET
4. Interglobe Aviation NSE:INDIGO
◉ Future Prospects
The Indian wedding industry is expected to continue its robust growth trajectory due to:
● Increasing disposable incomes among the younger population.
● A growing trend towards luxury spending on weddings.
● Government initiatives like the "Wed in India" campaign aimed at promoting India as a premier wedding destination globally.
◉ Conclusion
In conclusion, the Indian wedding industry not only holds significant cultural importance but also serves as a powerful economic engine impacting various sectors across the country. As consumer preferences evolve and economic conditions improve, this industry is poised for substantial growth in the coming years.
Thangamayil shining: The strong financials caused a price surge!Company Overview
Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (TMJL) is a rapidly growing company in India with a chain of retail jewellery stores in Tamil Nadu. They specialize in selling Gold, Silver, Diamonds, and Platinum, with gold being the main source of income. The majority of their ornaments are purchased from dealers in states like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Kerala, and West Bengal for sale in their stores. Established in 1947, Thangamayil is headquartered in Madurai, India.
Market Capitalization
● Current Market Cap - ₹ 5,128 Cr.
● Market Cap 3-years back - ₹ 802 Cr.
● The figures indicate that the company has increased over six times in the past three years, which is truly remarkable.
Revenue & Profit Growth
● In the last three years, this stock has demonstrated an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 28% in its sales figures.
● Meanwhile, the total profit growth during this period has been a modest 12%.
● The company has successfully maintained a operating profit margin of 6%, which has risen from 4% in FY24.
● For the fiscal year 2024, the earnings per share have seen a remarkable increase, soaring from 29.10 in fiscal year 2023 to 44.91.
Increasing Product Demand
● Inventory Turnover Ratio
➖ This ratio typically assists in determining whether the growth in sales is primarily due to rising product prices or if it is also influenced by increased demand for the product.
➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 3.14
➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 2.63
➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years.
Valuation
● P/E Ratio
The company's present price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 42.3, significantly higher than its 1-year median PE of 31. When we look at the industry average PE of 31.6, it indicates that the stock might be considered somewhat overvalued at this time.
● PEG Ratio
The company has a PEG ratio of 1.3, indicating that its current P/E ratio is valid.
● Intrinsic Value
➖ Thangamayil Jewellery is currently trading at ₹1870, which is nearly 2.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹764, indicating that the stock is overvalued at this moment.
➖ When we compare Thangamayil to its competitors, such as Titan and Kalyan Jewellers, some interesting insights emerge. Titan's current market price (CMP) stands at ₹3560, which is nearly 5.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹652. Meanwhile, Kalyan Jewellers has a CMP of ₹545, approximately 4.7 times its intrinsic value of ₹115.
➖ These numbers don't necessarily indicate that Titan and Kalyan Jewellers are overvalued; rather, they suggest that Thangamayil could be an attractive investment choice.
Debt Analysis
● Debt to Equity Ratio
➖ The company carries a debt of approximately ₹532 Cr., resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08.
➖ When discussing debt, it's important to note that for a small-cap company, this isn't necessarily a major concern. The key factor to consider is whether the company can consistently meet its loan interest payments.
➖ To assess this, we should examine the interest coverage ratio.
● Interest Coverage Ratio
With an interest coverage ratio of 5.62, it’s evident that the company is well-equipped to manage its loan interest payments regularly.
Cash Flow Analysis
● Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 330 crore from just 10 crore in FY23.
● The CFO/PAT ratio is currently at 0.74 of the five-year average, indicating that the company is quite proficient at converting its profits into cash.
Shareholding Pattern
● The promoters have maintained their 67.33% stake for the last three quarters.
● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been steadily raising their stakes since June 2023, now holding 1.08%.
● Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have also grown their stakes to 12.08% in June 2024, up from 11.46% in June 2023.
● At the same time, retail investors have been consistently selling their shares over the past few quarters.
Mutual Fund Holding
● Notable small-cap funds such as SBI Small Cap Fund and DSP Small Cap Fund have made substantial investments in this stock, representing 0.63% and 1.55% of their total assets under management, respectively.
● Additionally, ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund has recently added (in July 2024) its position in this stock, accounting for approximately 1.11% of its overall portfolio value.
Technical Aspects
● From a technical standpoint, this stock appear to be currently overextended. Any pullbacks could provide a valuable opportunity to take positions.
● Stock Volume & Delivery surged by 3.4 times & 3.2 times respectively vis-a-vis their 5 day average with a 5.48% move in price.
Conclusion
While the company primarily functions in Tamil Nadu, it's fascinating to note that this state accounts for the largest portion (40%) of India's overall gold consumption. Furthermore, the company is gearing up to make its mark in the Chennai market by launching a flagship store along with 3-4 satellite locations.
Given the increasing demand for gold jewelry, we anticipate that Thangamayil Jewellery will thrive in the industry in the years ahead.
Crisil: The Credit Rating Agency is Set for Significant Growth!
The price is currently on an upward trajectory, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows.
After hitting resistance around the 3,740 level, the stock price pulled back but found strong support near the 2,700 level.
It then bounced back and surpassed its previous resistance.
This breakout was significant, as it emerged from the Rounding Bottom pattern that had formed during the consolidation phase.
Following the breakout, the stock price stabilized just above the breakout zone for a while.
Then, with a dramatic surge, the stock reached an all-time high of ₹6200.
However, a wave of selling pressure caused the price to drop back to its trendline support.
At present, the stock price is steadily climbing, indicating promising growth potential.
SHARDACROP & DBCORP: Two Bright Spots in a Challenging MarketSharda Cropchem
● The stock price is evidently experiencing a robust upward trend.
● After a brief consolidation phase, it developed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and following a breakout, it has surged to an all-time high.
● The increasing buying volume suggests that the stock could continue to rise significantly.
D.B. Corp
● The stock price is currently moving within an Ascending Parallel channel.
● After reaching an all-time high around the 404 mark, the stock experienced a pullback to its trendline support level.
● Having rebounded from this support, the stock price is now poised for upward movement.
INDHOTEL & PAGEIND Shock Dalal Street with Q2 Gains, Stocks SoarThe Indian Hotels
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: IHCL's consolidated net profit soared by 232% year-on-year to ₹554.6 crore, up from ₹167 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: The company achieved a revenue increase of 27.4%, reaching ₹1,826 crore, compared to ₹1,433 crore a year ago.
● EBITDA: Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) rose by 40% to ₹565 crore, with an EBITDA margin of 29.9%.
◉ Operational Highlights
● IHCL's hotel segment revenue grew by 16%, supported by a strong occupancy rate of 75% in its international portfolio.
● The company signed 42 new hotels, expanding its portfolio to 350 properties globally.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock has broken through its previous resistance and is nearing the upper boundary of its ascending channel.
● A breakout above this level could fuel further gains.
Page Industries
◉ Key Financial Metrics
● Net Profit: Increased by 30% to ₹195.25 crore, up from ₹150.27 crore in the same quarter last year.
● Revenue: Rose by 11.06% to ₹1,246.27 crore, compared to ₹1,122.11 crore a year ago, supported by a 6.7% increase in sales volume (55.2 million pieces sold).
● EBITDA: Grew by 22.1% to ₹281.5 crore, reflecting improved operational efficiency and stable input costs.
◉ Strategic Outlook
● The company is focused on digital transformation and e-commerce initiatives, maintaining its margin guidance for FY25 at 19-21%, which underscores its commitment to sustained profitability.
◉ Technical Standings
● The stock's uptrend remains intact, with higher highs and lows.
● Recent breakout, accompanied by strong volume, suggests the rally will continue.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Builds Momentum for Rebound◉ Since its launch, the stock has faced a dramatic decline, dropped nearly 80% from its peak.
◉ Once it found support around the 12.5 mark, the stock began to rise again, formed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern in the process.
◉ After breaking out, the price surged to an all-time high near the 61 level, only to experience another notable drop.
◉ At present, the stock is trading at the previous breakout point and is expected to rebound shortly.
TCS FOR SWING TRADETCS Swing Trade Idea
Timeframe: Weekly
Observation:
TCS has entered a strong demand zone on the weekly chart, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of an upward trend. The price action suggests that buyers are actively defending this zone, providing a solid risk-to-reward opportunity.
Analysis:
Demand Zone: Clearly visible on the weekly timeframe, supported by historical price reactions.
Volume Profile: Higher buying volumes observed near the demand zone, adding conviction.
Risk-Reward Setup: Place a stop-loss slightly below the demand zone with targets at key resistance levels (based on Fibonacci or previous highs).
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please do your due diligence before trading.