Nifty View 06-08-2024NSE:NIFTY
Nifty has rebounded from 23,890 to 24,350, a gain of approximately 450 points.
However, upon applying the Fibonacci retracement from 25,078 to 23,893, we observe that the 0.38 Fibonacci level coincides with the 24,350 zone.
Notably, Nifty encountered selling pressure once again at this level.
The market is currently experiencing significant selling pressure and a general sense of weakness.
At present, there are two potential outcomes.
1.
If Nifty decisively close below the 23890 zone, we can anticipate a potential decline towards the 23200 level in the near future.
2.
In the event that the Nifty holds the 23890 zone and establishes a double bottom formation, there is a possibility of a market reversal or a range-bound movement between the 24400 and 23900 zones.
Always respect SL & position sizing
===================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
===================
Disclaimer
Not SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any
decisions
you take on basis of our research
Intraday
MARKET CRASHNSE:NIFTY TVC:DJI
US market 1929 vs 2024
Is it just coincidence or is history going to repeat itself ??
Great Depression, was a worldwide economic downturn that began in 1929 and lasted until about 1939. It was the longest and most severe depression ever experienced by the industrialized Western world, sparking fundamental changes in economic institutions, macroeconomic policy, and economic theory.
Similarities and differences between the microeconomic conditions during the start of the 1929 market crash and those in 2024.
Similarities
Credit Expansion and Financial Innovation:
1929: The 1920s saw significant credit expansion, with many Americans buying stocks on margin (borrowing money to buy stocks), leading to inflated stock prices.
2024: Similarly, the 2020s have seen rapid credit expansion globally, with innovations in financial products and increased borrowing, contributing to elevated asset prices1.
High Leverage:
1929: High leverage was prevalent, particularly in the stock market, where investors borrowed heavily to invest.
2024: High leverage is also a concern today, not just in stock markets but across various sectors, including real estate and corporate debt1.
Financial Sector Vulnerabilities:
1929: The financial sector was vulnerable due to speculative investments and lack of regulation, leading to bank failures.
2024: Today’s financial sector, while more regulated, still faces vulnerabilities from high leverage and interconnected global markets1.
Economic Contraction:
1929: The U.S. experienced a severe economic contraction, leading to the Great Depression.
2024: There are concerns about economic contraction due to various factors, including high inflation, geopolitical tensions, and slowing growth in major economies.
Differences
Policy Responses:
1929: The policy response was slow and inadequate. The Federal Reserve’s actions were limited, and there was a lack of coordinated fiscal policy.
2024: Today’s policy responses are much more proactive. Central banks and governments have implemented significant monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize economies.
Globalization:
1929: The global economy was less interconnected, with the U.S. being the primary driver of the economic downturn.
2024: The global economy is highly interconnected, meaning economic issues in one region can quickly spread to others. This interconnectedness also allows for coordinated policy responses.
Technological Advancements:
1929: Technological advancements were limited, affecting communication and the speed of economic activities.
2024: Technological advancements have transformed economies, enabling faster communication, better data analysis, and more efficient markets1.
Regulatory Environment:
1929: There was minimal regulation of financial markets, contributing to speculative bubbles and bank failures.
2024: The regulatory environment is much stricter, with measures in place to prevent excessive risk-taking and ensure financial stability.
Conclusion
While there are some striking similarities between the microeconomic conditions of 1929 and 2024, particularly in terms of credit expansion, high leverage, and financial sector vulnerabilities, the differences in policy responses, globalization, technological advancements, and regulatory environments are significant. These differences suggest that while there are risks, the tools available to manage economic downturns are more robust today.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on the basis of our research.
Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd | A Trending sectorAmbika Cotton Mills Ltd | A Trending sector
Ambika Cotton Mills is engaged in manufacturing and selling specialty cotton yarn catering to the needs of manufacturers of premium branded shirts and t-shirts. Exports constitute significant portion of the operations. The company operates with total installed spindle capacity of 108288 (Previous Year 108288 Spindles) of compact facility housed in four units and Knitting facility of converting 40,000 Kgs of yarn per day into fabrics.
Market Cap =₹ 1,014 Cr. ROCE=20.7 % ROE=14.5 % Debt to equity=0.00
Promoter holding =50.2 % Profit Var 3Yrs=28.9 % Sales growth 3Years=10.8 %
Return on assets=12.4 %
company s almost debt free and having good sales and profit growth.
chart shows rounding bottom and consolidation period over .
its time to up move in momentum side.
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NIFTY VIEWNSE:NIFTY
NIFTY is giving Breakout
BUT IF THIS BO FAILS THEN WE CAN WITNESS QUICK FALL IN MARKET
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on the basis of our research.
Nifty Analysis for Monday 29 July 2024Nifty created sharp upside momentum in last 2 days, it's ultimate goal is 25000.
So I am providing highest probability intraday setup in Nifty50
My overview is bullish in nifty for Monday... it will good if Market opens gapdown or flat & creates a selling swing in first 30-45 mins then after creating a support price will bounce.
If Market opens gapup or flat and moves upside in first 30-45 min. then there is a very less probability of continuation so if Market creates M pattern then selling swing will be expected and intraday low break is min. expected.
Rising Wedge pattern breakout in METROPOLISMETROPOLIS HEALTHCARE LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Rising Wedge Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 2410+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 2034-.
Ujjivan Small Finance bank good to study NSE:UJJIVANSFB
Its on Near to support of FIB ZONE
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
KRBL Good to keep on RadarNSE:KRBL
Its on the verge of new Breakout
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
BDL On the verge of BreakoutNSE:BDL
Good to keep on the radar
As its on the verge of new breakout of Flag n pole
Always respect SL & position sizing
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
========================
Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
NCC looking good for Short term investment; 20% ReturnFundamentally good stock,
Good For short term investment in cash market'.
Leave a " Like If you agree ".👍
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.
Entry: 335/ 321
target: 342- 355- 393 - 400
sl: 321
major stoploss / support: 311
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Enter only after breaking & close above " Yellow box " mentioned.
'
'
Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
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Refer old ideas attached below
Follow for regular updates👍
Bank Nifty 03/07/2024Scenario 1:
If Open Drive is Gap Up: If Price will test the Level @ 52420 to 52470.
The Price May Reject @ This level (52420 - 470) and Expected to Fall Till 51995 to 51838.
51838 Is the Major Support Level.
It is very Hard to price Break this level.
Scenario 2:
If Open Drive is Gap Down : If Price will test the Level @ 51995 to 51837.
The Price May Reject @ This level (51995 - 51837) and Expected to rally Till 52420.
Bank Nifty 02/07/2024If Price rejects @ 52716, Bank Nifty will test 52168 . If the zone Breaks , Then it will test Secondary Buying Zone level of 52046.
Once it is tested the Zone 52046, there is buying Opportunity in intraday.
Expected both Bear and Bull Market on 02/07/2024 as explained in the market
XAUUSD - Positional Short SetupCMP - 2326.41 on 30.06.24
The price movement in recent sessions is analyzed on the chart. If it does not cross and sustain above the 2340-50 levels, this setup remains valid with a short view.
Possible targets may be 2280/2200.
The setup becomes invalid if the price sustains above 2350 for a couple of days.
One has to choose the position size following risk management. Always think about the exit/stop loss while entering into a trade.
This illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
Dalmia Bharat - Double Bottom Chart PatternThe "Double Bottom" pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that suggests the end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. When observed in Dalmia Bharat's stock chart, this pattern indicates a potential increase in the stock's price. It took almost 2 months to complete the pattern.
Key Characteristics:
Shape: The pattern consists of two distinct troughs at approximately the same price level 1700, resembling a "W" shape.
Neckline: The highest point between the two bottoms forms the "neckline." A breakout above this level confirms the pattern.
Volume: Volume often decreases during the formation of the pattern and increases on the breakout above the neckline, confirming the bullish reversal.
Current Scenario for Dalmia Bharat:
Breakout: Dalmia Bharat's stock has already broken out above the neckline, indicating a confirmed bullish reversal.
Retest: The stock is currently retesting the neckline, a common occurrence where the price returns to the breakout level to test its new support.
Implications:
Market Sentiment: The successful retest of the neckline can strengthen the bullish sentiment, suggesting that the previous resistance level has now become support.
Entry Point: The retest provides an opportunity for investors to enter a long position at a potentially lower risk, as the new support level is confirmed.
Target Price: The target price can often be estimated by measuring the distance from the bottoms to the neckline and projecting it upward from the breakout point. Target level 2000 - 2050
Example:
If Dalmia Bharat's double bottom pattern had bottoms at ₹1,700 and a neckline at ₹1,850, the distance is ₹150. Following the breakout, the target price could be around ₹2,000 (₹1,850 + ₹150).
In summary, the double bottom pattern in Dalmia Bharat suggests a bullish reversal, and the current retest of the neckline is a critical juncture. If the retest holds, it may present a favorable entry point for investors, reinforcing the likelihood of an upward trend.
Regards
Arvind Yadav. Cfa
Arvind Share Academy
Reversal Double Top Pattern in BIOCONBIOCON LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 1 Hour Time Frame stock Showing Reversal of Double Top Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Below 326-.
📈 There have chances of breakdown of Support level too.
📈 After breakdown of Support level this stocks can gives strong downside rally upto below 303-.
📈 Can Go short in this stocks by placing a stop loss Above 365+.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -21/06/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 23610 level and then possible upside rally up to 23730 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23560 level then the downside target can go up to the 23440 level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -14/06/2024Nifty will be FLAT opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading above 23440 level and then possible upside rally up to 23560 in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23380 level then the downside target can go up to the 23260 level.
Bullish Flag pattern breakout in BSOFTBIRLASOFT (INDIA) LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Hour Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Bullish Flag Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 763+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 670-.
Avanti Feeds Ltd | Momentum pattern BOAvanti Feeds Ltd | Momentum pattern BO
Avanti Feeds is a leading provider of high quality shrimp feed, best technical support to the farmer and caters to the quality standards of global shrimp customers
Financial :strong
Market Cap = 7,554 Cr. ROCE =18.3 % ROE = 13.4 %
Debt to equity = 0.00 Promoter holding = 43.3 %
Quick ratio = 3.84 Current ratio = 5.52 Piotroski score =8.00
Profit Var 3Yrs = -7.62 % Sales growth 3Years = 7.32 % Return on assets = 11.4 %
this is pure symmetrical triangle pattern break out with large volume.
as well as RSI also shows in full momentum zone .
you should watch this stock for long term.
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PNB, Intraday View for 10-JuneThe price is trading in the compression zone or in the neutral zone.
For intraday the levels of S1-122 and R1-130 are important to watch.
Above 130 - Uptrend
Below 122 - Downtrend.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.