11 Jan ’24 — Gap-up spoils the market dynamics, Nifty PostMortemNifty Weekly Analysis
The close we had on 4th Jan was 21669.6, the close today is 21669.4. Nifty moved -0.2pts this expiry. Unbelievably flat! Would have been a dream come true for traders who took home short iron fly & short straddle last week.
16mts chart link
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday “The last candle which is strongly GREEN is standing out. It looks like the 21491 support is respected for now. If we fall below that tomorrow, we will not hesitate to switch back the stance to bearish.”
4mts chart link
See how the gap-up changed the dynamics today. Firstly, there was nothing special to have a gap-up of 68pts. Secondly, this got sold into but the selling was not aggressive enough to bring down the markets lower than yesterday’s close. The price move from 14.03 to 14.11 where we got a fall of 75pts looked like a warning shot. Surprisingly there was someone at the other end, buying all of those dips. Despite those swings, the options premium were all dead and good for nothing. Far OTM sellers would have fell asleep watching the charts today.
63mts chart link
Nifty looks perfectly neutral from here, the moment the support of 21491 gives away - we can start looking for bearish opportunities. To go bullish the ATH has to be taken out. With the IT majors TCS and INFY declaring the results - we should have a strong swing direction tomorrow. Our stance stays neutral.
Ironfly
RELIANCE can be good for income option strategiesReliance: the heavyweight counter is trading in a tight range
with support can be seen at 2250 areas while hurdles at 280-2410 zones
the counter need to surpass this range for any effective trade
however good for option strategies like IRON FLY, IRON CONDOR, STRADDLE SHORT with a hedge, and calender strategy as well
Option strategy for Nifty next week here we will create an IRON CONDOR
IT is an options strategy consisting of two puts (one long and one short) and two calls (one long and one short), and four strike prices, all with the same expiration date. The iron condor earns the maximum profit when the underlying asset closes between the middle strike prices at expiration.
ideally nifty will stay above 17250-200 and below 17850-17900
thus a condor strategy can be applied for next week
with Short selling 17250 PE & 17850 CE
and making a 200-point away strike as a hedge for any uncalled event!!
this will give credit and the yield would be pasted in the comment one can check sharesvalley & my username for getting in touch for more
OPTIONS ARE GREAT TOOL FOR hedging
IRON FLY STRATEGY FOR NIFTY 10 MAR EXPIRYIron Fly is a non directional strategy that works very well in a sideways market. I was of the view that the market would be sideways for the reasons mentioned in the video. This worked very well for the weekly expiry and it is used very often in confusing markets such as this.
This was one of my first attempts at vocally explaining strategies so I may not have been as clear in the details.
Let me know if you have any questions about this strategy in the comments. Please LIKE if you would want to see more content like this. :)
NIFTY | Weekly expiry discussion | Short straddle / Iron FlyNIFTY | Weekly expiry discussion | Short straddle / Iron Fly
Quick fall and sharp recovery immediately, expecting some consolidation in this zone like it happened previously.
Can create a dynamic range bound statergy for tomorrow's expiry - limited risk. If market moves violantly we can do adjustment trade by going market direction and come out with no loss or with minimum profit.
CMP : 13520
Sell 13500 CE @ 82
Sell 13500 PE @ 59
Buy 13700 CE @ 9
Buy 13300 PE @ 15
Max Profit : 8558
Max Loss : 6368
Margin required : 60000/-
Just one day trade.
NIFTY | RSI mild negative divergence | Sideways?NIFTY | RSI mild negative divergence | Doesn't looks bullish not a great time to short too. Expecting some range bound this week.
Lets try Short straddle with hedge it becomes Iron Fly - 17/12/2020 Expiry - Credit Statergy - Defined and good risk reward
CMP : 13513
Sell 13500 PE @ 101
Sell 13500 CE @ 108
Buy 13300 PE @ 37
Buy 13700 CE @ 36
Premium collecting : Rs.209/-
Insurance : 73/-
Max Loss : Rs.4815/-
Max Profit : Rs.10110/-
1) No adjustment required if ready to accept this small loss of 4815/-
2) Margin required approx 62000/-
3) While exiting in between should exit from all the positions