ITC
ITC - Short after the initial upswingITC, as predicted in the last 2 posts on ITC (linked below) is trading in a value area.
Today, it made a huge bullish marubuzo traversing the range of value area and closed just below the resistance of 203.
However it did so with lot less volume when compared with its past breakout; which is primarily why I don't see it sustaining the bullish behaviour.
The effects of Earning Release are already history, however a pending Dividend declaration may drive the stock upwards.
206 is the key level to watch out for that to happen. Also look out for volumes in play.
The stock may see some upward movement before commencing its downward journey.
Short below 203 for Targets of 200, 197 and 194.
If it sustains 206 with high volumes - Buy 205CE or 210CE July options and sit back relax, buy some sunfeast biscuits (please do not smoke!) & wait for it to make new highs.
In case of gap openings; follow ORB on 15 min candle.
Wait for the results for trading on MondayITC as forecasted in my previous cup breakout analysis is in a historical price value area between 194 and 203.
Depending on how the results are vis-a-vis expectations of the market movers (MF, banks, investors); the breakout may happen in either direction or a side-ways movement.
For breakout up; wait for a close above 206
Fore breakout below; wait for a close below 190.
The value area is open for scalping.
ITC will go down ? What are the reasons ?Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Consult your financial adviser before any decision. This is only for education purpose.
ITC 4H Chart : Dark cloud cover already activated, see the following chart
IS ITC READY TO CHANGE ITS UP DIRECTION TO DOWN SEE YOURSELF !!Hi Traders & Investors,
ITC ANALYSIS
Almost a few weeks ago, I posted my analysis on ITC where I mentioned two conditions is quoting for your consideration " If this is taken out on a 2hr time frame then the structure will change and the price will move down further. On the contrary, If the price consolidates or not taken out then uptrend will resume." You can see price did not break blue color line ( in previous fig it was slightly down but here I moved a little bit up.). Basically I was expecting the uptrend that is why I wrote trend will resume. Though I showed an evening star pattern in a white circle that got activated at that time. so that effect was assumed to take price near the blue zone. Had I got time last week to update then you would have got upward information too? Showing the last chart to understand the better view of the picture with the latest one.
Trade plan for next week.
1. See a white color circle showing an evening star pattern on the blue and white upper zone. Today trading the price made a dark cloud circled in red on the same tested zone. This shows that it is tough for the price to break this upper zone upside. Though this pattern is not activated till yet. But hope to get activated soon.
2. A red color zone is in fig to go further down this is the second condition to take it out on 2 hr time frame.
3. If price takes support at the blue down line Then a pullback can be seen to the yellow upper line. So be careful at this point. Yellow resistance line should be used to sell the stock only when this line is not taken out on 2 hr time frame. keeping a stop loss at the high of the breached candle of the yellow line.
4. On the contrary, if the price takes out a yellow line with the above-mentioned condition then the trend will change to upside.
5. On taking the blue line out on a 2hrs time frame you will see the price moving to the white red lower zone.
To understand the taken-out condition I provide the detail in one of my posts. Attaching with this blog.
YOGESH VATS
Disclaimer:- I do not suggest any buying or selling in the real market better to consult your financial advisor. This work is purely for educational purposes.
NIFTY50 KEY LEVELS SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 24/06/2020 WEDNESDAYKey Levels for NIFTY50: INTRADAY CHART ANALYSIS
UPPER BREAKOUT~10509
FIRST TARGET~10550
INTERIM RESISTANCE~10599
FINAL RESISTANCE~10651
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LOWER BREAKOUT~10443
FIRST TARGET~10410
INTERIM SUPPORT~10372
FINAL SUPPORT~10331
My views are for educational purposes only.
Please trade with caution and consult your financial adviser before trading.