J-OIL
Nine-month-old support line becomes crucial for Brent oil bearsBrent oil sellers cheer a clear downside break of 200-DMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of March-October upside around 13-day low. While bearish MACD signals and descending RSI line, not oversold, favor the commodity sellers, an upward sloping trend line from March 23, around $68.70, is the key for the quote’s further downside. Should the commodity bears drop below $68.70, the 78.6% Fibo. and August month’s low, respectively near $66.20 and $65.10, will return to the charts before directing the British energy benchmark towards March’s low of $60.44.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the support-turned-resistance confluence around $73.50 will aim for a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $76.70 and then to July’s swing high near $78.50. In a case where Brent oil buyers manage to cross the $78.50 mark, the $80.00 psychological magnet and $82.80 will act as buffers during the run-up targeting the yearly peak of $86.60. To sum up, Brent oil bears tighten the grip but the ball may slip if the trend line support holds.
Brent Oil Future back to $90 ? PossibleNew Virus scare - Not so much.
Omicron Scare - Not so much.
Strategic Reserve band aid approach - Not Working.
Proper Cup n Handle Pattern on 4 Hours ? - Yes.
Oil and markets to come back now - Possible!
This is just a chart pattern discussion. Please trade your hard-earned money on advice of a registered stock market expert. I am a newbie trader :)
crude oil free fall from supply zone $79crude oil reversed from supply zone near $79
and intensified the selling pressure below our selling level $74
now downside demand zone is $67--$68... if broken than straight away $61
crude oil collapsed new Covid variant led to fears of renewed mobility restrictions, potentially hitting demand from the air travel market.
USOIL Trading Plan - 18/Nov/2021Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USOIL to go UP to complete this correction.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
CRUDE OIL at important juncture - 87, Trade Setups in Daily.Check 'CRUDE OIL at important juncture - 87, watch for Oil companies ' where i have explained the logic of these trades in details.
Sustaining above 87 will mean break of important resistance, change in structure.
Buyers are wiling to buy higher, enter with them.
1. BUY if it sustains above 87. Target 115.
Brent oil bears set to retake controls, 61.8% Fibo. eyedBrent oil fades bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of September-October upside, drops back below 200-SMA amid bearish MACD signals during early Friday. The UK benchmark for oil currently eyes 50% Fibo. level of $81.55 on the way to retest the early November trough surrounding $80.80. However, any further downside will be challenged by oversold RSI conditions and the $80.00 round figure.
On the contrary, 200-SMA guards immediate upside around $83.50, a break of which will direct the oil prices towards the monthly peak of $86.00. In a case where the Brent bulls refrain to pause around $86.00, October’s high near $87.00 and June 2012 low near $88.50 should gain the market’s attention. To sum up, Brent oil prices are set for a corrective pullback but the overall bulls trend remains intact.
Brent oil bears need $78.00 breakdown to retake controlsBrent oil prices consolidate the heaviest daily loss since late August, not to forget reversal from November 2014 levels, while picking up bids to $81.70 during early Thursday. The oil benchmark refreshed the multi-day top the previous day but overbought RSI joined firmer USD to drag the quote towards the first negative daily closing in six days. However, the quote stays inside a rising channel formation, not to forget remaining beyond a convergence of 100-SMA and a seven-week-old support line, to keep buyers hopeful of witnessing the fresh high above $84.00. In doing so, an upper line of the short-term rising channel, near $84.50, may play a role to trigger another pullback amid likely overbought RSI conditions, which if ignored could propel the upside moves toward the $90.00 threshold.
During the pullback moves, the stated channel’s support near $80.60, followed by the $80.00 psychological magnet, will be important for short-term traders to watch. Should oil prices drop below $80.00, the aforementioned support confluence around $77.80 will be in focus. Overall, oil bulls are tired but not out of the woods, which in turn seeks a strong catalyst for a pullback, highlighting today’s US debt ceiling vote and Friday’s NFP figures for conviction.
Brent oil buyers can ignore pullback towards monthly supportBrent oil consolidation the early week’s oversold RSI conditions while dropping back below $78.00 on Wednesday. However, an ascending support line from August 23 and 100-SMA, respectively around $76.70 and $75.00, will challenge the quote’s further weakness. Even if the British oil benchmark drops below $75.00, a horizontal line comprising multiple levels marked since August 30, near $73.50 will challenge the bears.
On the contrary, the corrective pullback will gain momentum beyond $79.00, targeting the $80.00. During the black gold’s further upside past $80.00, the May 2018 peak near $81.00 can offer an intermediate halt during the run-up to the three-year high of $86.95. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of the $87.00 will be an end to the bear’s reign.
I have taken long position on OILI took trade-in OIL on 17th Sept 2021. My entry was near 197.60 as (197.60 to190) is a demand zone for this stock. Given the current global scenario, I am a bit worried, but as a trader, emotion is the first thing you should have control over.
My entry-197.60
My Stop loss- 190
My 1st target- 205 (1:1)
My 2nd Target- 213 (1:2)
Please note that: Once my 1:1 is hit, I trail my Sl to my entry point.
I will update once Sl or Target is hit.
WARNING: THESE ARE MY PERSONAL VIEWS AND NOT TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS, I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY LOSS TAKEN ON MY VIEWS.
Brent Crude OilBrent crude oil has broken the trendline resistance and it looks like primary wave 5 has started, and within wave 5 , wave I and wave II are posiibly been completed and wave III should now unfold at $ 79.40 to $ 80.21, where wave III will be atleast equal to wave I, and on the down, the swing low of $ 70.89 will be now crucial support. one can go long at current levels or in dips (hopefully) with stoploss of $ 70.89
wave structure
key levels
macd in daily is positive, uptick and above zero line
rsi in daily is positive, uptick and also near 60
price tooked support from middle bollinger and now its above same
on weekly chart dmi is converging from negative to positive
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are for educational purpose only
Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing
Brent oil buyers can ignore pullback from 18-day topWith hurricane Ida easing to category 3 storm and the market sentiment dwindles over geopolitical, as well as covid, woes, Brent oil prices step back from multi-day high towards $72.00 during early Monday. The commodity’s Asian session run-up couldn’t cross the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July–August downside. However, a convergence of 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $71.80 restricts the quote’s short-term downside. Hence, oil buyers may remain hopeful unless breaking $71.80, after which the losses could mount as the sellers march towards 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, also comprising lows marked since July 20, around $68.20.
It’s worth noting that the fresh buying will aim for a clear upside break of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $73.35. Following that, a downward sloping trend line from early July, near $74.40, will be important to watch for Brent oil buyers. In a case where the commodity bulls manage to cross the $74.40 hurdle, late July top near $76.60 may offer an intermediate halt during the rally towards the last month’s high near $78.45.
CTS - #GBPCADThis analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.