KIRLPNU - Horizontal Range BreakoutKIRLPNU - Horizontal Range Breakout
Rally and Consolidation:
The stock initially had a significant uptrend (seen in April-May), followed by a sideways correction with lower highs and higher lows.
This consolidation took the form of a descending channel (marked by red arrows at the highs and green arrows at the lows), which lasted for about four months from June to early October.
Support and Resistance:
The stock consistently tested the support zone near ₹1,230-1,250 (green arrows).
It also faced resistance near ₹1,400-1,450 (red arrows) multiple times during this period.
Breakout:
Recently, the stock has given a breakout above the channel resistance (black trendline) with a sharp spike in volume (seen near the end of the chart).
This breakout signals a potential new uptrend.
Volume Confirmation:
The breakout is supported by a noticeable increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying interest.
Targets and Stop Loss:
Target 1: ₹1,500 (immediate resistance from previous highs)
Target 2: ₹1,600-1,650 (next resistance levels based on prior rally)
Stop Loss: ₹1,290 (below recent support and moving averages)
Kirloskarpneumatic
Kirloskar Pneumatic Breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on RSI close below 30 (or use any other method of your liking)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After a consolidation since January 2022, BSE:KIRLPNU has given a breakout today. Buy with a stop just below ₹490.
Strengths: -
1. June 2022 Quarterly Sales growth is at 61% and TTM Profit growth is at 130%
2. Debt to equity at 0.00 (less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 90.4 (greater than 3 is good), Current Ratio at 1.63 (greater than 1.5 is good)
3. Dividend yield at 0.79% (consistent dividend payer since 2011)
4. Credit rating agency has reaffirmed the ratings of the company on February 2022 (please go through the credit rating report for better understanding)
Weaknesses: -
1. Stock is trading at 5.06 times its book value
2. Company has a low return on equity of 11.9% for last 3 years
3. 10 year and 5 year average ROE less than 15%
4. High Debtor days
5. Promoter Stake decreasing since March 2021
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. Do trade or invest at your own risk, I am not responsible for any losses and won't claim anything from your profits either. Take financial advices from your advisors before jumping in.