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KOTAKBANK

Indices Go All Over, Yet End Almost Jaise TheNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -09-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17312.85 / 17379.65 / 17302.7 / 17369.25 H-L = 77 points VIX 13.94 / -3.26% FII DII: +1127 Crores Likely open: From the above, it looks like a flat to positive open but what may happen in the world markets tomorrow CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS A gap-down open was immediately bought into and NIFTY attempted to take out the closing high of yesterday and then gradually sold off. It was a choppy day for the index being the expiry day as there were many tussles between the big heads. The range for the day was only 77 points. NIFTY ended the day in mild green and also held 17300 levels as the low for the day was 17302. Some consolation from yesterday. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters NESTLE 14 BAJAJ FINSERV 07 BHARTI AIRTEL 07 TCS 04 GRASIM 03 TOTAL 35 The Laggards SBI LIFE 11 HDFC BANK 08 RELIANCE 05 BAJAJ FINANCE 05 TITAN 04 TOTAL 33 Lifter - Draggers = +02 POSITIVES NIFTY ended the day in the mild green. NIFTY ended the week at a new ATH though it does not appear to be decisive. NIFTY did not break 17300 on an intraday basis. FIIs DIIs have together bought in excess of 1000 Crores. NEGATIVES NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400. BANK NIFTY range was just less than 300 points which were evident from the choppy movements and it ended in the red below 36700. The leaders lack momentum and traction. KOTAK BANK appeared strong at the open but by EOD, it has closed on the 200 DMA line - fence-sitting as usual. TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 13-09-21 17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY. BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS There were 3 spells on the 5-minute chart of BANK NIFTY that seemed to have been triggered by Algos. These occurred in the candle starting from 1305, 1435, and 1455. The range was more or less similar but the pact varied. I observed this as I had my trades on and just as I thought I may have to exit the trade at a loss, it spiked and my trade was still in play. The 1455 candle and the one that followed it were game-changers. I was waiting for a dip before 1500h and had kept 36500 CE ready to hit Buy. The premium plummeted and was down 40+ points to 92. As I opened the window and was about to hit the Buy button, I saw that it was back at 132. The point where I had thought of exiting! And then it kept spiking! And in the final 10 minutes, it appeared to be an open secret that the expiry will be below 36700 as the index went above 36700 and immediately dipped and that sealed the fortunes of 36700 CE writers in green. The above series of events makes me wonder if the expiry drama is all staged by those who have the muscle power. From a low of 92 on that candle of 1455-1500, it added 90 more points in premium and the Option expired at 182 . Another interesting thing on the BANK NIFTY chart of 5 minutes chart is the W pattern - is this on account of psychology or algology? What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 09-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
BANK NIFTY rescues NIFTY for a changeNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -08-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17375.75 / 17383.4 / 17254.20 / 17353.5 H-L = 149 points VIX 14.41 / -3.29% FII DII: -802 Crores Likely open: BANK NIFTY holds the key. Based on the numbers looks a flat to a positive open. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS NIFTY played negative today and did not even bother to go past the opening high made and ended the day just below the P Close. In the process, it has not only done a lower high but also made a lower low by drifting towards 17250 and dangerously close it. Soon as Europe opened, the sell-off started and lasted for an hour or so, and then, there was the usual jerks-driven relief rally only to end flat. On the daily charts, it has formed a hammer pattern indicating good bounce from the lower areas. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters KOTAK BANK 03 HDFC BANK 03 ICICI BANK 02 TITAN 02 HUL 01 TOTAL 11 The Draggers NESTLE 04 INFOSYS 04 TCS 04 BAJAJ FINANCE 03 RELIANCE 03 TOTAL 18 Lifter - Draggers = -07 The above is what mattered in the end. It looks like the rest of the scrips had no role to play or it was too insignificant by EOD. POSITIVES NIFTY ended flat and recovered more than 90 points after the sell-off. BANK NIFTY changed the corner and was the savior for NIFTY. Even though the private banks have not contributed significantly, their not being negative helped the indices to maintain their levels. RELIANCE and HDFC recovered well from their respective lows which came in handy in ensuring that NIFTY closes flat. NEGATIVES NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400. NIFTY breached the recent swing lows and drifted towards 17250. INFOSYS and TCS have been showing continued weakness. MARUTI has been falling yet again after a good recovery a couple of sessions ago. FIIs DIIs remain net sellers. TRADING RANGE FOR 08-09-21 17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY. BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS The price action in INFOSYS appeared to be managed if one looks at the candles for the last 2 hours. There were spikes and sell-off as if 1700 CE writers had a point or two to prove in ending the day below 1700. MARUTI fell more than 1.5% but it seems to have made no impact on NIFTY which is indeed surprising as, at one stage, the fall was close to 100 points. The star of the day was KOTAK BANK as it almost single-handedly changed the tide for NIFTY and therefore BANK NIFTY. The strong up move prompted other banks to also chip in. It now needs to be seen if it can hold on to the momentum possibly created by it being included in the LIC IPO proceedings. Interesting expiry tomorrow - will the God that rings in Auspicious Beginnings help NIFTY close the week at a new ATH? Or will the IT biggies with RELIANCE like to keep dragging NIFTY? Wait and Watch! What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 08-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
Simple Trade Setup|KOTAKBANK|25-08-2021|Bullish Divergence?(2)NSE:KOTAKBANK Observations: 1) On 15 min time frame it has been making lower lows in price chart but on RSI it is making higher lows. Which can work as regular bullish divergence. Please refer below chart. 2) On 1 hour time frame it has been making higher lows in price chart buy on RSI it is making lower lows. Which can work as hidden bullish divergence. Please refer Chart below: 1 hour time frame. ------------------------------------- Trade Setup for Date 25-08-2021: 1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action. 2) If it opens flat and goes down then pay attention to RSI if RSI takes support from this trendline then it will be buy trade signal coming but buy trade entry will start only on breakout of 1710 level. 3) Also use 1hour chart in the meantime to check and judge RSI. I will try if I can post update during live market in the comment section to update you. 4) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand. 5) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tommorrow. Please refer below chart for levels. Hope I made it easy to understand it. Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
NSE:KOTAKBANK
by Trading_hawk
23
Simple Trade Setup|KOTAKBANK|24-08-2021|Bullish Divergence?NSE:KOTAKBANK Observations: 1) On 1 hour time frame we can see it made higher low, while RSI made lower low. This can be act as hidden bullish divergence. Please refer Chart below: 1 hour time frame. 2) On 15min Time frame, we can see it made almost flat lows in price action, while RSI is making higher lows. This can be act as Exagerrated Bullish Divergence. Please refer Chart below: 15 min time frame. ------------------------------------- Trade Setup for Date 24-08-2021: 1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action. 2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand. Please refer below chart for levels. Hope I made it easy to understand it. Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
NSE:KOTAKBANK
by Trading_hawk
23
FIIs drag Nifty from around 16600NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -23-08-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 16592.25 / 16592.5 / 16395.7 / 16496.45 H-L = 197 VIX 13.69 / -2.35% FII DII: +89 Crores Likely open: Positive with resistance around 16550-600. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS A 150 point gap-up opening in Nifty was immediately sold in to. Nifty made a higher and a higher low. Nifty almost retested the lows of the lows of Friday and then made a good recovery of 100 points but could not hold on to 16500 on a closing basis. A hammer sort of candle has been created on the daily charts. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters TCS 18 BAJAJ FINANCE 12 RELIANCE 11 HCL TECH 10 BAJAJ FINSERV 09 TOTAL 60 The Draggers ADANI PORTS 8 GRASIM 6 M&M 5 ITC 4 TATAMOTORS 4 TOTAL 27 Lifter - Draggers = +33 The above explains how Nifty managed to close above the P Close of 16450. POSITIVES Nifty made a good recovery of 100 points from the lows. Nifty closed above 16450. TCS kept climbing higher and RELIANCE is inching up which is helping Nifty. BANK NIFTY managed to close above 35100. HDFC twins have held onto their respective important levels of 2700 and 1500. NEGATIVES Nifty failed to close above 16500 and a major barrier for the bulls has been lost for now at 16500-600 range. BANK NIFTY went lower than the Friday lows and was down 800 points from its high for the day. FIIs have once again sold in excess of 1,000 Crores indicating some more weakness. TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 23-8-21 The Nifty baseline stays at 16300-350. The resistances are now from 16500 onwards. BANK NIFTY support base also slides to 34800-35000 and resistance at 35200-35500. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS TATAMOTORS has been experiencing unusual selling pressure and has lost more than 10% since it's high earlier in the month. MARUTI is witnessing very volatile and choppy moves around 6825-6850 and is unable to hold on to 6900+ levels. Though it fell in the last few minutes, it quickly recovered to close around the FIB level which is causing wild swings. This indicates that there is something for the 4 wheeler manufacturers that is not known to us. Even on a 5-minute chart, BANK NIFTY looks better placed than NIFTY. What do you feel? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 23-8-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT