BankNifty - Did You Miss The Explosive Move from 51000 ? Disclaimer:
This is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or products. Consult Your Financial Advisor
As per last idea we proposed that holding 51000 & above BankNifty Index can push upside towards 52050 & Above 52100 - can look for 52900-53100
Happy We achieved 78% of the target & got the maximum points of 1500 points in the Index
Last Idea
What Next ?
Index again forming a similar looking pattern from the highs of 52577 -recent highs & safe traders can look for short term downside moves falling below 52100 towards 51855 - Yesterday's low & 51250 / 51000 respectively.
Regards,
WaveTalks
Abhishek
Leading Diagonal
HDFC Bank / BankNifty - The Giant Cracks & Index Melts 4000 +Disclaimer:
This is for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or products.
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Recap from 25th Sep 2024
Giant Crack Alert: BankNifty’s drop from 54,467 on 26th Sep 2024 to 50,194 by 7th Oct 2024 got its hint from the HDFC idea published on 25th Sep. When a giant like HDFC cracks, imagine the shockwaves across the entire index!
HDFC - Will it take U-Turn from 1800 — Indeed It was giant crack from 1788
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Short Term
Strong Support Zone
50900-51000 - Avoid taking any buy or long positions below 51000 . Safe Traders to Buy if Index crosses above 51356 & holds above. Risky Traders can look for buying opportunities until Index holds above 51000 or drops close to 51000
Minor Resistance
51925 - 52050 is the minor resistance zone so any bounce upside holding 51000 can halt in this zone & crossing above 52100 - It can push towards strong resistance zone 52900-53100
Strong Resistance
52900-53100
Wishing You A Happy & Prosperous Diwali 2024
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
BankNifty ( Elliott Wave) - Will 51700+ Be The Short Term TopDisclaimer:
This is not a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Please consult your financial advisor.
Explore the latest Bank Nifty analysis with WaveTalks. Will 51700+ be the short-term top? Discover insights and potential market moves as we decode the whispers of the market. Stay informed with WaveTalks - Market Whispers!
Let's Jump In ...
As discussed in the last idea published on 29th August, it was suggested that holding the 50938 / 50939 critical level, Index can make new highs beyond 51404 which is very much possible. The market tested traders' patience on Friday, 30th August, and continued to do so on Monday, 2nd September, and even on 3rd September, with many feeling the urge to give up. However, bulls were fortunate as a last-minute explosive move took BankNifty from 51400 to 51750—a 350-point jump towards the end of the session.
Now, with U.S. markets trading in deep red, with major indices like S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq all down more than 1%, the big question arises: Has the BankNifty pattern we’ve been discussing since last week finally completed? Are we about to fall below 50939, potentially slipping down to the 50300 support level?
Only time will reveal the answers to these questions.
Maruti Suzuki - Will it fly Above 12555 Disclaimer:
This is not a solicitation to buy or sell. Consult your Financial Advisor before trading.
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As discussed earlier on 19th Aug ...Above 12555 ...Will Maruti Make An Attempt to Fly & Will it reach the upper trendline & make new highs beyond 13680
Will it Complete One of the Most Important ElliottWave Structure & Its pending Wave 5 on Upside
What Level You Should Avoid Trading ? So Many Questions But Only time Know's the Exact Answer
Catch Me in Next Episode of WaveTalks- Market Whispers! Can You Hear Them? ....
BankNifty -Tower Bottom Unveiled: Bulls Magical SpellWaveTalks - Market Whispers! Can You Hear Them?...
August 13th: The Bulls' Last Stand
As we approached August 13th, 2024, the market was rife with tension. With stops being hit left and right, I made it clear at 12:55 pm in the last post that the bulls weren’t giving up without a fight. It was a crucial moment—one where patience and strategy were key. The market flirted with disaster, yet I advised holding the line, suggesting that the critical level… would be our stronghold.
August 14th: The Calm Before the Storm
The following day was a test of nerves. The market kept everyone guessing, moving in unpredictable waves. But I didn’t waver. I updated my social media followers, pointing out that while the expected gap-up didn’t materialize, it was a blessing in disguise. Why? Because it set the stage for an even bigger opportunity. I highlighted that crossing 49,960 could trigger an upside move for safe traders , while risk-takers should stay alert as some kind of accumulation happening close to 49654.
August 16th: The Magical Spell Unfolds
Post-Independence Day, on August 16th, the market delivered a performance that was nothing short of magical. It was as if the entire week had been leading up to this moment. The day began with a gap-up ( Instead of green big candle it was gap up equivalent to bullish green tower required for Tower bottom patter with accumulation in between), and after briefly retracing to the 49,870s, Bank Nifty launched into a powerful rally, surging past 50,500. This move confirmed the formation of a Tower Bottom pattern—a bullish candlestick formation that signaled the beginning of a new uptrend- is it a new up trend or some relief to bulls, only time knows -what next?
The Tower Bottom: A Bullish Reversal
This Tower Bottom pattern wasn’t just any signal; it was the market’s way of announcing that the accumulation phase at 49,654 had reached its tipping point. With this pattern confirmed, the path to 50,800+ became clearer than ever. The market, as I’ve always said, is a battlefield where only the swift and the strategic survive. Those who heeded the call to cut losses quickly if the key levels broke were well-prepared for this bullish reversal.
The Road Ahead: 50,800+ in Sight
With the Tower Bottom pattern in play, Bank Nifty is now set on a course towards our first target of 50,800+. This move is a testament to the power of technical analysis, patience, and unwavering discipline. The market has shown its hand, and for those who were ready, the rewards are already being reaped.
This was not just a trade—it was a lesson in precision, timing, and understanding the subtle cues of the market. The week may have been truncated, but the gains were anything but small. Keep your eyes on the prize as we approach our next milestone, for the journey is far from over.
Regards
WaveTalks
Nifty Reaches 24,500 Target: Elliott Wave Analysis Disclaimer:
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Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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General Election 2024: Impact on Nifty
The 2024 General Election resulted in a clear victory for the existing NDA government, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing a third term. This political stability had a positive impact on the Indian market index, Nifty.
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Pre-Exit Poll Movement
Before the election results were declared, we proposed an outlook for Nifty to reach 24,500 as a pre-exit poll objective. This prediction was published on TradingView as "Pre-Exit Poll Outlook - Bulls above 22,400 " on 31st May 2024.
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Achievement of Target
Following the election results, Nifty saw a significant rise from the lows of 21,281 on June 4, 2024, and successfully reached our proposed target of 24,500 on July 12, 2024. However, there was a knee-jerk reaction as the index failed to surpass the 400-seat mark announced during the election campaigns, leading to some volatility when the actual results were declared on June 4, 2024.
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Unfolding Structure: The Leading Diagonal
Since early March 2024, we have been discussing the potential for an explosive upside based on a leading diagonal pattern, also known as a Rising Wedge in traditional analysis. This Elliott wave pattern typically indicates a bullish trend, especially in the context of the 2024 General Election. We believed in the bullish scenario and termed it the "Leading Diagonal," expecting significant market movement.
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Why I Believe in Wave Analysis
As a Wave Analyst, my journey began with a curiosity about the market's patterns and behaviors. Eight years ago, in 2016, I started writing for TradingView and was given an opportunity to look into India Business for the brand during its early expansion years in India. On a personal front, I progressed to learn the nuances of wave analysis and started applying them to publicly traded liquid financial instruments. The results were astounding, providing 90-100% accuracy in the analysis. The science behind wave analysis is robust, but it does come with the limitation of alternate views if the price breaches the cardinal rules. More details on this will be discussed in my upcoming book on wave analysis (no ETA available at the moment).
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Pattern Analysis
Rising Wedge:
Often seen as bearish or bullish from a traditional technical analysis point of view, Elliott Wave analysis goes one step further by identifying the pattern's nature as bullish or bearish and can complement the unfolding events.
General Election 2024:
The election acted as a catalyst for the bullish trend.
Patience Rewarded:
Participants who held their positions since October 2023 are now reaping the benefits.
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Future Outlook
Key Psychological Level: 24,500
Nifty holding above the 24,500 level is crucial. If the index continues to bounce above this level, we anticipate the bull run to persist.
Target: 27,620
Our next target is 27,620, where the current rising wedge in Wave-1 should travel 162% of the minimum distance if this is to be Wave-3.
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Additional Insights
Reliance Long Term:
Nifty Explosive Series Episodes Starting Comex Copper:
These episodes as published on TradingView earlier, hinted at an explosive Nifty to unfold and how Dr. Copper’s move supported the outlook. This should be discussed as a different branch of technical analysis called Intermarket relations in my book, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment.
In conclusion, the political stability from the 2024 General Election has propelled Nifty into a strong bullish trend, with a key psychological level at 24,500 and a future target of 27,620.
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Regards From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Banknifty - Leading Diagonal Scenario (Fall 51800 to 51000)As we discussed in the Sunday Video... This is the alternate scenario of waves unfolding & if Index faces resistance in 51800-51900 zone, it can slip & complete the proposed 5th wave of an unfolding leading diagonal downside.
Strictly ------No Sell ---------Above 51800 ---------------------------------------------------
Downside Target - 51000 Approx.
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Nifty Explosive (Part 3): From 22,000 to 23,000 in Record Time!
Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Nifty Index Outlook - May 24, 2024
Overview
In our last analysis, we emphasized the importance of having both a primary plan (Plan A) and an alternative plan (Plan B). This approach prepares us for achieving similar outcomes through different routes. If Plan A fails, we quickly switch to Plan B. A strong alignment between both plans often predicts significant market movements.
Recent Market Movements
In our last discussion on the Nifty Index in the "Nifty: Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23,000+" series, we predicted a rally if the Nifty crossed the 22,000 mark. Indeed, Nifty surged nearly 1,000 points in just 10 days, closely aligning with our predictions and nearly touching the 23,000 mark.
Last Idea - Nifty : Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23000+
Current Market Outlook
Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Resistance: 23,000
If Nifty surpasses the 23,000 mark, it will confirm that the bulls are in charge, echoing the market optimism that began in early 2014, a period that marked a significant turning point after years of struggle.
Future Expectations
Looking ahead, the next crucial juncture is whether Nifty can sustain its momentum above the 23,000 level or if it will face resistance. Surpassing 23,000 would be an extremely powerful signal, indicating readiness for a significant breakthrough before the 2024 General Election results are announced.
Facing resistance below 23000 mark, a pause & bulls come back before election results are out on 4th June 2024.
Conclusion
The Nifty Index's performance has closely aligned with our previous analyses, demonstrating strong potential to surpass the 23,000 level. As the market approaches this critical threshold, our dual-plan strategy continues to guide our expectations and strategic decisions, ensuring we're well-prepared for various market scenarios.
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Comex Copper = Explosive Nifty to Unfold in 2024 ?Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Copper Outlook
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1. Setting the Stage for Explosive Moves:
- Copper is recognized as a barometer of economic growth, and its performance can provide insights into broader market movements.
- In January 2023, I predicted copper would see explosive growth in 2023-2024. This was confirmed in November 2023 when the corrective wave 2 completed in a truncated wedge pattern, providing a strong foundation for significant gains.
Comex Copper in Nov 2023 ( Explosive Wave to Unfold Next?)
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2. Rising Demand:
- Copper cathode demand reached 598,000 tonnes (81.2% of the previous year's total) by November 2023.
- Imports of copper cathode, scrap, and wire rods soared by 174%, 56%, and 13% year-on-year, respectively.
- This robust demand hints at double-digit growth in FY24. The Indian government's focus on infrastructure, clean energy, and consumer spending is expected to sustain this growth.
3. Production Challenges and Future Solutions:
- India's smelting capacity was halved due to facility closures, turning the nation from a net exporter to a significant importer.
- The upcoming Adani smelter (5 lakh tonnes capacity) and potential reopening of the Sterlite smelter in 2024 could help India reclaim its status as a net copper exporter.
Nifty / BankNifty Outlook
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1. Explosive Moves Expected:
- The Nifty index started forming a well know rising pattern around the 18,800-19,000 zone in October to November 2023, suggesting a significant move ahead. This famous pattern was rising wedge.
- This pattern was debated on WaveTalks as either an ending or leading diagonal, offering different implications for future market moves.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis Insights:
- Applying Elliott Wave Analysis gave clarity to potential market paths, allowing for strategic decisions at tops and bottoms.
- As patterns unfolded as expected for Copper, the market outlook became increasingly clear for equities as Copper is a barometer of economic growth.
3. Conclusion:
- The Indian equity markets, particularly Nifty and BankNifty, appear set for more explosive moves.
- Time will reveal how far the markets can go, but the whispers of the market suggest significant growth ahead.
Signing off from WaveTalks: Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
EURUSD Fall - Classic Equality Count in Play | C = A WaveDisclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers!, can you hear them
13th Jan 2024 - B: Wave completed at the tops of 1.11393
Long Term Outlook
From its low at 0.95358, we're seeing a leading diagonal wave signaling a potential long-term uptrend. As previously discussed, big gains might be ahead. Once short term completes & the base is formed as discussed in short term analysis, EURUSD will move into next sequence of wonder to behold waves which is Wave 3. Let us wait & have patience for magic to unfold.
Short Term Outlook
It's building a base, possibly dipping to 1.02-1.04, a 50-61.8% retracement from the 0.95358 low to the 1.12757 high in July 2023.
Wave C = Wave A falls to 1.03118 falls in the projected zone suggesting a stronger possibility for Wave-C ending in the box zone 1.02 to 1.04 as discussed earlier
From
WaveTalks
(Market Whispers!, Can you hear them)
Abhishek
Nifty 50- Elliot Wave Count SHORT!Attached: Nifty 50 Hourly Chart as of 25th April 2023 EOD
A Leading Diagonal in form of ABCDE in Wave 1/ A and then a Pullback in Wave 2/ B
And Now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave has started
Targets for this Wave Down are anywhere from:
17600 to 17340
Note: Alternatively the Leading Diagonal could also be Wave 4 and 5th Wave is complete and so Wave 2 can Dip down to Previous 4th Wave Low which also comes to approx 17575 as our 1st Target
HCLTECH- Bears in Control!Attached: HCLTECH Daily Price Chart Live Market as of 20th April 2023
Pay attention to the following:
1) Formation of a Double Top/ Distribution Pattern
2) A Leading Diagonal Structure marked as ABCDE , so a 3rd Wave Down can play out
3) The Elliot Wave marking signaling end of (B) Wave and (C) Wave Down pending
IT Sector is the Weakest already and there are clear Headwinds from a Fundamental standpoint for IT Stocks
HCL Technologies has Earnings today so you can expect some Big Move on the Short Side
With exiciting termination wave -An Leading Diagonal in SUZLON.Review the " Leading-Diagonal ": As you know, Leading Or Ending Diagonals one of two types of motive waves, the other being in impulse wave. The Leading Diagonal is a terminating wave pattern that is form the 1st wave position of impulse waves or as wave A. This is an example here live - SUZLON. We have an Leading diagonal in the 1st wave position of an impulse wave. Now what's exciting about this real-time example:
1) We've throw if you connect the trend lines which connect the extremes of waves 1 and 3 and extend that forward in time. The wave 5th is a bit of price movement above that trend-line which is refer to as Throw-Over. I actually like to see that because that is sign of termination of wave 1st as higher degree or wave 5 of (1).
2) The high price at 13.1, we've also seen spike in volume which is even another sign of termination of termination of wave 1st as higher degree or wave 5 of (1).
These both sign are sharp resolution and dynamic nature of the structure, meaning terminating wave pattern. This is why I'm so exciting to this post and probably one of the most exciting as "Elliott wave patterns" for me.
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The Diagonal Triangles are easy to identify, and its introduce dramatic reversals in price, typically to the origin of the pattern and then some! Furthermore, the parameters of this wave pattern are easily discernible and useful in formulating a trade plan
The signs that indicate that a Diagonal Triangle is complete : 1. The presence of throw-over and 2. a spike in volume.
Throw-Over: it occurs most often in wave 5 when prices moderately exceed the trend-line connecting the extremes of waves 1 and 3.
A spike: in volume occurs when there is unusually large volume, and it typically occurs in unison with throw-over.
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I am really exiting to see next move.
Nifty 50- Chart update 1HRAll rules of Leading diagonal is followed in Nifty. The correction may be deeper in case of Leading
Diagonal, generally the retracement for a diagonal is supposed to be in the range of .618 to .786.
The range between 15400-15600 is a good zone to accumulate. Long may be initiated near the rectangle shown.
Please do your analysis before opting for a trade/investment.
Regards
NIFTY - UPDATE ELLIOTT WAVE CORRECTIONGuys, first of all I would say sorry to you.
I am not updating the chart as usual, Last analysis was about nifty and we recommended nifty to Long at exact bottom.
Our target of nifty is about 17300 and that will be achieved, but pardon me its not a bull rally, its a corrective rally.
We may touch around 15700-15600 levels as I can see in nifty and then we can see a rally towards 17000, plz excuse me, if not exactly, we will reach approx levels.
Your likes motivate me to do some adventures....plz hit like.
Long may only be initiated near 15600-15650 levels, and that will be a money minting wave...!
Pls do follow, share and like the chart if you really like my charts.
If i went wrong what stop loss you supposed to place is.......! plz comment.
Thank you, yours only.
Regards
DOW JONES: A leading diagonalIndex is unfolding as a leading diagonal of which 4th wave is already concluded and right now we are into the last stages to complete the 5th wave of this leading diagonal which will bring the index below the level of 30635 in the near term. Traders should remain short for the minimum target region of 30600-30000 in the coming weeks with stop loss of 32600.
Nifty forming Leading diagonal patternWave 4 expected to end near 16450.
Wave 5 pending we will see it getting completed tomorrow near 16300-250.
Consolidation is then expected as ABC correction. Not much happening this week.
Fall should continue next week.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.