ASIAN PAINTS LTD – Technical Analysis________________________________________
🧠 ASIAN PAINTS LTD – Technical Analysis
Ticker: NSE:ASIANPAINT | Sector: Decorative & Industrial Coatings
CMP: 2,491 ▲ (+1.9%)
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Neutral-to-Positive Setup – Educational Purposes Only)
________________________________________
📈 Technical Overview (For Educational & Informational Purposes Only)
🔹 Pattern Observed:
Price action indicates a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily timeframe – a structure often linked to volatility contraction and potential directional movement. The stock breached the upper trendline near 2,467 with an uptick in volume, indicating possible buyer interest.
🔹 Supporting Indicators:
— MACD: Bullish crossover
— 200 EMA: Price reclaimed above the long-term average
— RSI: Reading near 66, indicating strengthening momentum
— Bollinger Bands: Price broke above upper band + BB squeeze
— SuperTrend: Bullish
— Open = Low: Potential buyer strength
🔹 Volume Context:
Volume during the breakout session was ~2.02M – higher than average, suggesting institutional participation or increased trader interest.
________________________________________
🔼 Resistance Levels (Reference Zones)
R1: 2,518
R2: 2,545
R3: 2,583
🔽 Support Levels (Reference Zones)
S1: 2,452
S2: 2,413
S3: 2,387
________________________________________
📰 News Summary & Sentiment Context (Neutral View)
📌 Earnings:
Q1 FY26 PAT declined ~6% YoY to 1,100 Cr. Revenue slightly lower YoY but largely in-line with expectations. Decorative segment volume grew ~4%, which helped cushion margin pressures.
📌 Demand Trends:
Urban & project-led demand showing signs of recovery. Rural demand is stable. Some macroeconomic caution warranted due to external factors (e.g., job market uncertainties).
📌 Regulatory Update:
The CCI has initiated a probe on alleged market dominance following a complaint. The company has contested the investigation citing procedural inconsistencies.
📌 Market Mood:
Despite regulatory concerns, post-earnings sentiment appears improved. The stock has risen ~5.2% YTD and has been among recent Nifty outperformers.
________________________________________
📚 Educational Insight for Traders & Learners
The symmetrical triangle is a common consolidation pattern formed by converging trendlines. It reflects a balance of power between buyers and sellers. A breakout (especially with volume) can signify renewed directional bias.
In this case, the stock broke out above the resistance trendline, backed by volume and confirmation from technical tools (RSI > 60, MACD, BB squeeze, etc.).
Such breakouts are monitored by traders for swing or positional opportunities, provided risk is managed and external catalysts (like earnings and macro sentiment) are factored in.
✅ Key Reminder: Technical setups should be combined with proper position sizing, exit plans, and broader market context.
________________________________________
🔍 Trade Setup (For Educational Simulation Only)
Trade Details
🔹 Long Entry: ₹2,505.60
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ₹2,406.55
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1 | 1:2+
Pullback Trade Setup (Optional Re-Entry)
📍 Pullback Entry Zone: ₹2,491.20 – ₹2,505.60
📍 Protective Stop Zone: ₹2,465.87 – ₹2,453.60
📍 Risk-Reward Range: 1:1 | 1:2+
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made.
All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice.
Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content.
By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
Learntotrade
MAXHEALTH – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 MAXHEALTH – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
📌 Chart Overview
Symbol: `MAXHEALTH` (NSE)
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Pattern Identified: 🔺 Symmetrical Triangle
Breakout Confirmation: ✅ Bullish Engulfing
Volume on Breakout: 1.61M (above average)
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Technical Breakdown (For Educational Use Only)
🔹 Between June and August, MAXHEALTH consolidated into a symmetrical triangle, a classic pattern suggesting price compression.
🔹 A bullish breakout occurred with a strong engulfing candle on above average volume — a potential early signal of trend continuation.
🔹 The breakout occurred near the apex of the triangle, increasing its validity.
💡 Such breakouts are commonly followed by retests or follow through moves. This post is intended to help learners spot and study such setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 Key Reference Levels (Not Trade Levels)
As per the current chart structure, key reference levels for MAXHEALTH include resistance zones at ₹1,290.1, ₹1,306.3, and ₹1,332.6, which may act as potential supply areas in case of continued upward momentum. On the downside, important support zones are observed near ₹1,247.6, ₹1,221.3, and ₹1,205.1, where price could find buying interest if a pullback occurs. These levels are shared purely for technical context and educational study, not as trade recommendations.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Learning Takeaways
✅ Symmetrical Triangle: Indicates indecision and tightening price range. Breakout direction often sets near term tone.
✅ Bullish Engulfing Candle: A strong reversal pattern when formed post consolidation or at trendline breaks.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Adds credibility to breakout strength — look for rising volume on breakouts.
🔍 Always watch for follow up candles, possible pullbacks (retest entries), or invalidation zones to study trade structure in real world setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer & Educational Note
This content is strictly for educational and research purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and no buy/sell recommendations are being provided. All insights are based on personal analysis and experience and are not financial advice.
📘 This setup illustrates how combining price action (candlesticks), support/resistance zones, volume, and indicators like RSI or MACD can help build conviction in trades. However, trading—especially in derivatives like options—involves high risk, and losses can exceed the initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any position.
👉 Use strict risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no liability for any losses incurred.
By engaging with this content, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Technical Analysis________________________________________
🧠 KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Technical Analysis
Ticker: NSE:KAYNES | Sector: EMS & Semiconductors
Current Price: 6,172.00 ▲ (+9.5% on July 31, 2025)
Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
________________________________________
📈 Technical Overview
🔹 Chart Pattern Formed: Falling Wedge Breakout with extremely high volume confirmation
🔹 Breakout Zone: 6,000–6,050
🔹 Momentum Signals:
— RSI breakout above 60
— Strong bullish candle with rising volume
— VWAP and SuperTrend aligned bullish
🔹 Support Trendline Held on multiple touchpoints
🔹 Breakout Candle marked by heavy institutional volume
________________________________________
📰 Key Fundamental Developments
✅ Q1 FY26 PAT up ~50% YoY to 74.6 Cr
✅ Gross margin expanded to 41%, EBITDA margin to 16.8%
✅ Strategic acquisitions from Fujitsu (85 Cr domestic + 118 Cr JV with L&T)
✅ Strong order book visibility (~7,400 Cr)
✅ Raised 1,600 Cr via QIP to fund growth
________________________________________
📊 Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment: ✅ Positive
— Strong earnings beat and margin expansion
— Global expansion through Fujitsu JV
— Bullish commentary from major brokerages
— Institutional confidence via QIP and upgrades
________________________________________
🔼 Resistance Levels
6,400 – Immediate breakout target
6,834 – Top of consolidation range
7,285 – Medium-term resistance (historic supply zone)
🔽 Support Levels
5,970 – Breakout retest zone
5,700 – Structure base
5,170 / 4,864 – Deep support for longer-term invalidation
________________________________________
📌 What’s Catching Our Eye
🔹 Volume spike confirms genuine breakout
🔹 RSI, SuperTrend, VWAP – all flashing bullish
🔹 Back-to-back bullish closes after a 10 day contraction breakout
🔹 Volume & price action aligned across multiple timeframes
________________________________________
👀 What We’re Watching For
🔸 Follow-through momentum toward 6,400+
🔸 Whether breakout holds above 5,970 in coming sessions
🔸 Semiconductor line execution progress
🔸 Margin trends in upcoming quarters
________________________________________
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
⚠️ Rich valuations (~130x P/E) – limited room for disappointment
⚠️ Execution risk on new lines and acquisitions
⚠️ Global slowdown in electronics & macro headwinds
⚠️ Any delay in semiconductor segment scale-up
________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next
🔹 Retest of breakout zone (~6,000–6,050) possible
🔹 If held, expect momentum toward 6,400–6,800
🔹 Sideways consolidation likely if volumes taper
🔹 Strong close above 6,400 could initiate fresh uptrend leg
________________________________________
📈 Strategy Insight (For Educational Purposes Only)
— Aggressive Traders: Watch level of 6284
— Momentum Traders: Watch 6,050 retest for low-risk entry
— Risk Management: Position sizing + Capital risk – as per individual preference
________________________________________
💬 Why It’s On Our Watchlist
Kaynes blends EMS scale with high-margin ODM design and semiconductor upside. Rare in India’s listed space. Strong revenue visibility, global expansions, and balance sheet strength make it a high-conviction long-term story.
________________________________________
📉 If Price Comes Down…
5,700–5,800 is a critical support zone. Breakdown below this with volume = trend weakness. 5,400 is final demand zone before structural damage.
________________________________________
🪙 Educational Insight for Learners
This chart is a real-world example of a falling wedge breakout confirmed by volume. The key takeaway: price alone is not enough—watch volume, RSI, and structure. Never chase momentum without a plan. Always pair conviction with discipline.
________________________________________
🚨 Reminder: No stock is a “sure thing.” Use proper risk management. Stay rational when others get emotional.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made.
All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice.
Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content.
By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
DMART – A Clean Case Study in Patience & Price Action________________________________________
Ticker: NSE: DMART
Sector: Retail – Supermarkets & Hypermarkets
Market Cap: ≈ ₹2.78 lakh crore (approx as of July 30, 2025)
Current Price: ₹4,281.40 (up ~7% on July 30, 2025)
Technical Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
________________________________________
📢 DMart (Avenue Supermarts) Update – July 30, 2025:
If you’re a new investor tracking India’s retail space, DMart just gave us a masterclass in how market sentiment can flip fast — and why fundamentals still matter.
In its Q1 FY26 results, DMart reported a modest 2% profit growth (₹830 cr), despite a solid 16% jump in revenue. This raised concerns among analysts about tight margins and intensifying competition, especially from fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) and quick-commerce players. Not surprisingly, the stock dipped around 2.6% post-results.
But fast-forward to late July, and the narrative flipped.
On July 30, DMart shares surged 7–8% intraday, marking their biggest rally since March, after announcing the opening of its 426th store and laying out a bold expansion plan. The market cheered the company’s strong growth visibility and confidence in its value-retail model. CEO Neville Noronha emphasized the importance of store additions, digital scaling via DMart Ready, and the company’s resilience in a competitive landscape.
On the digital front, online grocery sales grew 21% YoY to ₹3,502 cr in FY25 — a good sign of consumer shift — though losses widened as DMart expanded into new cities.
What’s the takeaway? For learners, this is a great example of how stocks don’t move just on earnings, but on future guidance, strategy, and investor confidence. DMart may not have wowed with profits this quarter, but its long-term vision still packs a punch.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis | Chart Pattern: Potential Breakout Brewing:
DMART has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart since April 2025 — a classic setup that often signals a big move ahead. On July 30, the stock showed signs of life with a strong 7% gain and a 5× volume spike, which usually reflects institutional accumulation and rising trader interest.
🔍 But here’s the key insight:
Despite the surge in volume, the price has not yet convincingly broken above the triangle’s upper trendline. This means there’s no valid price breakout yet — only a volume-based alert. For newer traders, this is a great example of why volume alone isn't enough. A true breakout needs a strong candle closing above the pattern, preferably with follow-through buying.
________________________________________
🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
₹4,403 – Recent swing high and immediate target if breakout confirms
₹4,526 – April top and near-term bullish milestone
₹4,728 – Long-term resistance if momentum builds up post-breakout
🔽 Important Support Levels:
₹4,078 – Breakout support zone and first pullback entry area
₹3,876 – Base of the triangle, also a structural support
₹3,753 – Deeper support, invalidation point if breached
________________________________________
🧭 Strategy Insight for New Traders:
This is a textbook case of a "breakout watchlist" setup. With strong bullish indicators — RSI > 60, MACD crossover, Supertrend flip, and a BB Squeeze breakout setup — the chart is preparing for a move. But confirmation is key.
✅ Wait for a clear breakout above the trendline with sustained volume
✅ Avoid chasing the move too early — breakout traps are common
✅ If the breakout confirms, ₹4,403 and ₹4,526 become logical targets
✅ A retest toward ₹4,080 could offer a low-risk long entry if supported by volume
________________________________________
🧠 Pro Note for Beginners: A breakout isn’t just about price jumping — it’s about structure, confirmation, and follow-through. Think of volume spikes as the "whispers" before the market makes a bold statement.
________________________________________
🔍 Fundamental Analysis:
If you’re just starting out in stock market investing, DMART offers an interesting case study—a well-run retail company with strong fundamentals and a clear growth story. As of July 2025, DMART has shown solid performance, especially in revenue growth, while keeping debt levels incredibly low.
In Q1 FY26, the company posted standalone revenues of ₹15,932 crore—up 16.2% YoY—highlighting strong consumer demand and steady growth momentum. Over the full FY25, consolidated revenue rose nearly 17% YoY, reflecting DMART’s consistent top-line performance. However, while revenues are rising fast, margins have seen slight compression. PAT (net profit) for FY25 stood at ₹2,707 crore with a PAT margin of 4.6%, down from 5% a year earlier.
DMART’s earnings per share (EPS) is growing steadily too—₹41.61 in FY25, up ~7% from last year. But with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of ~96x, the stock trades at a steep premium compared to peers, signaling that the market has high expectations for its future growth.
One of DMART’s biggest strengths is its minimal debt—the company operates with almost zero leverage, giving it exceptional financial flexibility. It also generates healthy free cash flows from its core retail operations, though its online grocery venture (DMart Ready) is still in the investment phase, posting losses as it expands.
From a valuation standpoint, DMART is expensive, no doubt. But investors are paying for its scalability, low-risk model, and disciplined management. With 415 stores across India and consistent quarterly additions, the company continues to grow organically while maintaining a lean balance sheet.
🔔 Bottom Line for Beginners: DMART is a financially strong and well-managed company with proven business fundamentals. But with a very high valuation and slowing profit growth, new investors should be cautious. It may be wise to watch for better entry points or wait for earnings to catch up with the price. For long-term investors with patience and a high-quality bias, it could still be a worthy contender—especially if margins and digital growth improve.
________________________________________
📈 DMART Chart Study – Educational Swing Trade Example:
Disclaimer: This is an educational post intended to help new traders understand breakout setups. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any stock or security. Always consult your registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
If you're learning how swing trades work, this DMART daily chart setup from July 30, 2025, offers a great example of how price action, volume, and key levels can come together. It’s a practical case study to understand the breakout trading concept.
________________________________________
🛠️ Trade Structure (For Educational Purposes)
Reference Entry Price: ₹4,324.00
Reference Stop Loss: ₹3,925.85
Risk-Reward Scenario: Approx. 1:1, with potential extension to 1:2+ (based on hypothetical higher target)
________________________________________
🔍 Key Chart Observations:
✅ Breakout Candle Formation: A strong bullish candle closed near its high — a typical sign of price strength.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Volume surged to 3.39 million shares, which is over 4× the daily average — often seen in breakout moves.
✅ Price Range Context:
• Support/Base Zone: Around ₹3,340
• Initial Target Zone: ₹4,557.70
________________________________________
📘 Educational Insights:
🔴 Risk-Reward Perspective: At the observed entry level, the risk-to-reward ratio was near 1:1 — not ideal for most strategies. A more efficient trade setup might occur on a pullback or with a more distant target.
🔄 Retest Possibility: If the price retraces to ₹4,150–₹4,200 with lower volume, that zone could serve as a reference for learners exploring re-entry setups (purely for study).
🧠 Capital Risk Planning: Risk management is crucial. Avoid risking more than 2–3% of total trading capital on any single idea, no matter how strong the pattern looks.
________________________________________
📌 Beginner Learning Point:
Breakout trading is more than just chasing big candles. A proper breakout setup usually involves volume surge, clear consolidation range, and defined risk management. Learning to combine these elements is key to developing trading discipline.
________________________________________
🧾 Why I’m Watching DMART — A STWP Perspective for Beginner Investors:
One of the best lessons I’ve learned in my investing journey is this: It’s better to buy a great business at a fair price than a fair business at a great price. And when I look at DMART (Avenue Supermarts Ltd.), I see the foundation of a truly great business — even if the price isn’t quite right just yet.
________________________________________
🛒 A Business Anyone Can Understand:
DMART isn’t chasing trends or building flashy tech. It’s focused on something much simpler — and far more reliable: selling everyday essentials. Groceries, home goods, basics — the things people need no matter what. And they do it efficiently, consistently, and affordably. That simplicity, when executed well, is a major strength.
________________________________________
🧱 A Strong, Repeatable Model:
What really impresses me is their cost discipline. DMART owns many of its stores, keeping rental costs low. They avoid unnecessary frills and instead focus on efficiency and tight operations. The result? A cost advantage that’s tough for others to beat. Even though retail has thin margins, DMART’s model is scalable, profitable, and built for the long haul.
________________________________________
👨💼 Led by a Trusted Name:
The company is backed by Radhakishan Damani — a man known for his patience, clarity, and capital discipline. He’s not in a rush to make headlines. He’s building something durable. And when you find great leadership combined with a focused business model, that’s a rare combo worth watching.
________________________________________
📉 Why This Stock Is on My Watchlist?
In one word: Valuation.
DMART often trades at 80–100 times earnings — which is expensive, even for a wonderful business. As an investor, I’d rather wait for a better deal than rush in and overpay. Great businesses can still turn into poor investments if you don’t get the price right. So for now, I’m staying patient.
________________________________________
📈 If the Price Comes Down…
If the market turns pessimistic or earnings grow into the valuation, DMART will be high on my buy list. Here’s why:
✅ A clean, debt-light balance sheet
✅ A brand people trust
✅ A scalable, cost-efficient model
✅ A long growth runway in India’s retail sector
✅ And thoughtful, no-drama leadership
________________________________________
🪙 Final Thought for New Investors:
As Warren Buffett says, “Time is the friend of the wonderful company and the enemy of the mediocre.”
DMART, in my view, is a wonderful company. I’d love to own it — but only when the price is right. Until then, I’ll keep watching, learning, and staying patient.
(Of course, one could consider buying a small quantity now and adding more on dips — a strategy that balances quality with prudence.)
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made.
All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice.
Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content.
By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base________________________________________________________________________________📈 HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Momentum Trade Setup with Defined Risk
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 Overall View
Spot Price: ₹5590
Trend: Bullish Bias – Price sustaining above 5500 with momentum
Volatility: IV ~26–29%, relatively stable with mild contraction
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional long with partial risk spreads
________________________________________________________________________________
1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5700 CE @ ₹60.75
Why:
• Long Build-Up (+11.91% OI) with price ↑6.49% = bullish conviction
• Strike just ₹110 above spot → good balance of delta (0.41) and premium
• High TTV (₹89.9 Cr) and stable IV (~26.6%) → institutional activity
• CE 5600 also active, but 5700 is cleaner structure due to fresh longs
________________________________________________________________________________
2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Contrarian Trade – if present)
Best PE: Sell 5500 PE @ ₹59.5
Why:
• Short Build-Up on 5500 PE (+118.7% OI), but price ↓45.84% → strong put writing
• Spot comfortably above strike (₹5590), adding margin of safety
• IV stable → theta decay benefits seller
• Acts as support-level hold strategy in case of mild retracement
________________________________________________________________________________
3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 5700 CE / Sell 5800 CE
→ ₹60.75 / ₹34.15
Net Debit: ₹26.60
Max Profit: ₹100 (spread width) – ₹26.60 = ₹73.40
Max Loss: ₹26.60
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 2.75 ✅
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹3,990
Max Profit: ₹11,010
📊 Breakeven Point: ₹5726.60
📉 Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹5550 (invalidates breakout + weakens CE 5700)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
• Strong Long Build-Up at 5700 CE, resistance only mild at 5800
• High IVs make selling 5800 CE favourable → lowers net debit
• Defined risk with RR ≈ 1:2.75 fits your trade rule
• Market supports bullish continuation over 5600-5650 levels
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2)(safe = 1:1).
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
Psychology Is 80% of Trading Success But Most Traders Ignore ItPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Ignore It
“Have you ever entered a perfect trade… and still lost?”
Right direction.
Clear technical setup.
Trend confirmation was there.
Yet you closed early.
Or held a losing trade too long.
Or jumped back in out of revenge after a loss.
It wasn’t your system’s fault.
It was your psychology.
💡 Most traders don’t fail because of bad analysis – they fail because of poor emotional control
Let’s walk through some common real-life situations every trader has experienced at least once:
🎯 1. You closed your trade early – afraid the market might reverse
Case study:
A trader entered a long position on XAUUSD at a support zone (2360), aiming for TP at 2375.
But when price reached 2366, he closed out early – afraid to “lose profits.”
The market later hit his original TP perfectly.
➡️ This is classic loss aversion – the fear of losing what you’ve already gained.
🎯 2. You refused to cut a loss – hoping the price would come back
Case study:
A trader shorted EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price broke resistance and continued up.
Instead of cutting the loss, he widened his stop loss, holding onto hope.
The result? A bigger loss than planned.
➡️ This is denial – a refusal to accept you’re wrong, leading to emotional attachment to the trade.
🎯 3. You increased your position size after a winning streak
Case study:
After two strong wins, a trader feels confident and increases position size on the next trade…
Even though the setup isn’t as strong.
That trade ends in a loss – wiping out earlier profits.
➡️ This is overconfidence bias – a dangerous psychological state after wins.
📊 Technical skills only account for 20% – the remaining 80% is mastering yourself
You might:
Understand price structure
Use advanced indicators
Follow a solid trading system
But if you:
Break your stop loss rules
Scale up recklessly
Enter trades impulsively
Then your edge vanishes.
Success becomes inconsistent.
🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology
✅ Keep a trading journal – especially track your emotions
Ask: “Did I follow my plan? Or was I trading to ‘feel better’?”
✅ Never change SL or TP mid-trade
Stick to your original plan. Discipline builds consistency.
✅ Use demo accounts to train discipline, not to prove profitability
Treat each demo trade as if real money is at stake.
✅ Set mandatory “cool-off” periods after consecutive losses
For example: 2 losses = no trades for 24 hours.
✅ Practice waiting – patience is your most underrated tool
Pro traders often wait days for a valid setup. That’s not inactivity – that’s control.
🔁 Trading is not a search for the perfect system – it’s a journey of mastering your own mind
A strategy with only 55% win rate can still be highly profitable
…if paired with discipline, risk management, and emotional control.
But…
A system with 70% accuracy can still blow your account
…if your psychology breaks down under pressure.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
The financial markets reward those who can control themselves – not just those who analyze well.
You don’t need to be smarter than others.
You don’t need to master 10 indicators.
But you must be able to stay calm, act rationally, and follow your rules.
Knowledge lets you see the opportunity – but psychology determines if you survive it.
BALKRISIND – Zone Based Price Action Setup________________________________________________________________________________
📈 BALKRISIND – Zone Based Price Action Setup
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Min | 🗓 Date: 17th July 2025
🔍 Easy-to-Understand Setup for New Traders
________________________________________________________________________________
🚦 Key Zones to Watch
🔴 Top Range (Resistance) – 2779.00
🟠 Mid-Level Zones – 2730.30 | 2681.75
🟢 Bottom Range (Support) – 2633.20
________________________________________________________________________________
💡 What’s Happening on the Chart?
✅ Strong Up-Move seen from the support zone 📈
✅ Price is now consolidating below a tested Supply Zone (2779 - 2758)
✅ Volume spike shows interest near breakout
✅ A clean structure for price action-based planning 🔍
________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 How to Plan Trades (Educational Purpose Only):
🔼 Best Buy Setup:
• Entry: Above 2779 (Breakout signs)
• SL: Below 2730
• Target: R:R 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Reason: Trend continuation + price holding above key levels
🔽 Best Sell Setup:
• Entry: Near 2775–2780 (Supply Zone)
• SL: 2781.30
• Target: R:R 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Reason: Strong supply zone tested + limited upside + defined risk
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Simple Learning Points:
• ✅ Trade with the trend until price reaches an opposing zone
• 🧱 Use zones (not random entries) for planning
• 📉 If price enters Supply → look for bearish signs
• 📈 If price pulls back to Demand → look for bullish setups
________________________________________________________________________________
📦 Zone Markings for Reference:
• 🔴 Supply Zone: 2779 – 2758.20
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
________________________________________________________________________________
KEI – Bullish Continuation Setup with Breakout Potential________________________________________________________________________________
🚀 KEI – Bullish Continuation Setup with Breakout Potential
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Defined-Risk Bullish Spread (Short-Term Swing with OI Confirmation)
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 Overview
Overall Bias: Bullish with supportive Put buildup
Spot Price: ₹3933.3
Trend: Sustained uptrend with OI buildup on CE/PE sides
Volatility (IV): 40–42%, stable with light compression
Ideal Strategy Mix: Defined-risk bullish strategy like vertical call spread
________________________________________________________________________________
1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 3900 CE @ ₹145.05
Why:
• Highest OI among CEs (7.05L) with strong Long Buildup
• Good volume and premium correction (▼16.32%) = cheaper entry
• Spot just above strike → early breakout zone
• Stable IV (40.34) gives clean delta tracking
________________________________________________________________________________
2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 3850 PE @ ₹82.65
Why:
• Long Buildup (OI ↑10.3%) on PE shows bullish support
• Strike sits just below spot → safety buffer
• IV stable and theta erosion beneficial
• Rich premium for selling with bullish bias intact
________________________________________________________________________________
⚙️ 3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 3900 CE / Sell 4100 CE
Net Debit: ₹145.05 - ₹62.35 = ₹82.70
Max Profit: ₹200 - ₹82.70 = ₹117.30
Max Loss: ₹82.70
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 1.42 ✅ Within range
Lot Size: 175
Total Risk: ₹14,472.50
Max Profit: ₹20,527.50
Breakeven Point: ₹3982.70
Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹3879.32 (bullish spread invalidation below support)
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
• Strong Long Buildup on 3900 CE and 4100 PE creates clean structure
• Risk:Reward = 1:1.42 fits strategy filters
• IV cooling supports call spread entry
• Breakout continuation likely with defined risk
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).(Safe R:R – 1:1)
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊________________________________________________________________________________
PRESTIGE – Bullish Continuation with Aggressive Call Build-Up________________________________________________________________________________📈 PRESTIGE – Bullish Continuation with Aggressive Call Build-Up
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Options Trade Setup
________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹1,783.2
Trend: Uptrend resumption with aggressive Call OI build-up
Volatility: IV slightly falling in puts, rising in calls → good for defined risk bullish setups
Ideal Strategy Mix: Bullish with defined reward → Bull Call Spread or Naked CE
________________________________________________________________________________
1. 🔼 Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 1800 CE @ ₹49.10
Why:
• Strong Long Build Up with OI up 225%
• Massive volume (1.78L contracts) and ₹33.2 Cr TTV → clear interest
• Decent delta (approx. 0.5–0.55) → good sensitivity to price movement
• Strike closest to spot + high liquidity = ideal for directional trade
________________________________________________________________________________
2. 🔽 Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 1740 PE @ ₹28.6
Why:
• Price down 46% with high volume (4.2L) = put writing
• OI dropped 6.94% → likely unwinding from short bias
• Deep OTM with stable delta (-0.25 approx)
• Favorable if bullish view sustains and price stays above ₹1,740
________________________________________________________________________________
3. ⚙️ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Call Debit Spread → Buy 1780 CE + Sell 1820 CE
Net Debit: ₹57.3 - ₹41.1 = ₹16.2
Max Profit: ₹40 (spread) - ₹16.2 = ₹23.8
Max Loss: ₹16.2
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 1.47
Lot Size: 450
Total Risk: ₹7,290
Max Profit: ₹10,710
Why:
• 1780 CE shows explosive Long Build Up (OI ↑1031%) → active strike for bulls
• 1820 CE also shows strong Long Build Up (OI ↑1000%) → defined bullish target
• Much better R:R than 1800–1840 while staying aligned with trend
• Defined risk with improved capital efficiency and lower theta burn
________________________________________________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).(Safe R:R – 1:1)
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊________________________________________________________________________________
HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume📈 HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Short-Term HNI Swing Setup
__________________________________________________________________________________
📝 Price Action Summary – HDFCAMC
HDFCAMC has delivered a textbook price action breakout, marked by a wide-range bullish candle on 3x average volume — confirming strong institutional participation. After weeks of tight consolidation and multiple failed attempts near the ₹5,385 resistance zone, the price finally broke out with a clean close near day’s high, indicating minimal selling pressure and clear buyer dominance. The breakout follows a classic compression-before-expansion setup, with the previous range acting as a base for momentum. Importantly, the absence of upper wick, strong follow-through, and volume-backed surge signal genuine strength — not a false breakout. Price has now entered a discovery phase with open space toward ₹5,673–₹5,800. As long as ₹5,385 holds as support, the bulls remain in control, and dip buying remains a high-probability setup. This is a classic case of price action speaking louder than indicators — structure, strength, and story all aligned.
__________________________________________________________________________________Trade Logic – Why This Setup:
Strong Price Structure: The stock has formed a bullish candle backed by a 20-day volume breakout, closing near the highs—indicating strong, sustained demand.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has cleanly broken out from a short-term base formed by multiple candle congestion. It's also trading above the prior resistance level of ₹5,385, confirming breakout strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Indicator Confluence: The RSI stands strong at 72, signaling bullish momentum. Additionally, the stock is breaking out of a Bollinger Band squeeze—an early sign of a potential momentum ignition. MACD, CCI, and Stochastic indicators are all aligned in bullish zones across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
EMA Alignment: The stock is trading above all major exponential moving averages (9, 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMA), suggesting healthy trend harmony and support at every timeframe.
VWAP Positioning: Current price action remains well above the daily VWAP, indicating buying interest from institutional players and strong demand zones building underneath.
Volume Spike: Today's volume was 1.61 million, compared to the 10-day average of 452,000—more than a 3x surge, confirming strong buyer conviction and institutional participation.
Open Upside Potential: There are no significant supply zones visible until ₹5,800–₹6,000, offering a clear path for price expansion and swing targets.
Sector Tailwinds: The financial services and AMC sector is witnessing renewed traction after positive earnings and improved fund flow trends, supporting broader strength in related counters.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Would I Enter Now?
YES – Enter Now or on Dip
Reason: Price has just cleared a major volume cluster with strong momentum. Waiting too long might mean missing the breakout. The best approach would be:
• Enter 50% now
• Add 50% near ₹5,495–₹5,485 if there’s an intraday dip
__________________________________________________________________________________ 📈 Resistance Zones
• 🔴 R1: 5,591.5 (possibly weak)
• 🔴 R2: 5,673
• 🔴 R3: 5,797
📉 Support Zones
• 🟢 S1: 5,385
• 🟢 S2: 5,261
• 🟢 S3: 5,179
__________________________________________________________________________________ Direction: Buy (Bullish Bias)
Entry Price: ₹5,510 (Current Market Price)
Alternate Entry: On slight dips to ₹5,485–₹5,495 (ideal risk-managed zone)
Stop Loss: ₹5,385
Reason: This is Support 1 and a key VWAP-based level from the recent volume structure. A breach here invalidates the bullish strength.
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:1 | 1:2 | +
__________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹5,510
Trend: Strong upward momentum
Volatility: Slightly cooling IV (esp. in puts), but still elevated → good for defined-risk strategies
Ideal Strategy Mix: Naked CE or Call Debit Spread (defined-risk bullish strategy)
1. 🔼 Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5400 CE @ ₹197.95
Why: Strong long buildup with rising OI, high volume, and solid delta — indicating institutional interest and momentum-backed directional strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ 2. 🔽 Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 5200 PE @ ₹26.5
Why: Strong put writing seen with rising OI and price drop, suggesting low downside risk and income potential if bullish trend holds.
__________________________________________________________________________________
3. ⚙️ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Call Debit Spread → Buy 5400 CE + Sell 5600 CE
Net Debit: ₹197.95 - ₹92.6 = ₹105.35
Max Profit: ₹200 (spread) - ₹105.35 = ₹94.65
Max Loss: ₹105.35
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 0.9
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹15,802.5
Max Profit: ₹14,197.5
Why: This call spread is ideal because both the 5400 CE and 5600 CE are showing strong long build-up, indicating that traders expect the price to move higher. The 5600 CE has a sharp 168% jump in open interest with high volume, suggesting it’s a realistic target zone. By using a spread (buying 5400 CE and selling 5600 CE), we reduce the upfront cost and limit losses while still capturing upside. It also protects against time decay if the stock consolidates before moving up.
__________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
__________________________________________________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this post with your trading community – let them benefit from clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
__________________________________________________________________________________
*********************************************************************************************************************
Caution: This is a result based stock
*********************************************************************************************************************
PATANJALI - OPTIONS TRADE SETUPPATANJALI OPTIONS TRADE SETUP – 17 JULY
Spot: ₹1859.6
Trend: Bullish
Volatility: Moderate IV rise (38–41%)
Lot Size: 300
________________________________________
1. Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 1860 CE @ ₹59.45
Why: Strong continuation signal with rising OI and price, heavy volume, and ideal gamma/vega mix for price moves.
________________________________________
2. Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
Best PE: Buy 1800 PE @ ₹31.3
Why: Defensive Put play with unusually high activity and rising IV → could work as hedge if breakdown begins below ₹1840.
________________________________________
3. Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 1860 CE / Sell 1920 CE
Net Debit: ₹59.45 - ₹35.5 = ₹23.95
Max Profit: ₹60 - ₹23.95 = ₹36.05
Max Loss: ₹23.95
Risk:Reward ≈ 1:1.5
Lot Size: 300
Total Risk: ₹7,185
Max Profit: ₹10,815
Why:
• Massive Long Buildup in CE chain (1820 to 1960), with 1860 CE leading in volume and OI surge
• 1860–1920 spread captures ideal move zone before resistance at 1960
• IVs rising moderately → favors debit spread entry
• PE chain showing Short Buildup, especially at 1800/1840/1880 → downside bets getting squeezed
• Balanced risk with great R:R (1:1.5) near breakout zone — clean bullish continuation setup
________________________________________
📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
________________________________________
⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________
Options Strategy Breakdown – For Educational Purpose Only________________________________________
📈 Options Strategy Breakdown – For Educational Purpose Only
🧠 Learn to Structure a Bull Call Spread Strategically
________________________________________
🔹 Stock Name: BSE
🔹 Spot Price: ₹2546
🔹 Lot Size: 375
🔹 Number of Lots: 1
🔹 Expiry Date: 31-July-2025
🕒 DTE (Days to Expiry): 16 Days
💡 Strategy Type: Bull Call Spread – Limited Risk | Limited Reward Option Structure
________________________________________
📘 Strategy Construction (Illustrative Example):
1️⃣ Buy Call Option – Strike: ₹2500 | Premium Paid: ₹125
2️⃣ Sell Call Option – Strike: ₹2600 | Premium Received: ₹76
🧮 Net Premium Outflow: ₹49
(₹125 - ₹76 = ₹49 * 375 = ₹18,375)
________________________________________
📊 Payoff Metrics (Illustrative & Hypothetical):
• 🔹 Breakeven Point: ₹2549.00
• 📈 Maximum Profit: ₹19,125 (When Spot ≥ ₹2600)
• ⚠️ Maximum Loss (Capital Deployed): ₹18,375 (if Spot ≤ ₹2500)
• 🔄 Real-Time PnL: Subject to market movement
• 🎯 Suggested Profit Booking Threshold: ₹18,375 (illustrative target)
• 🛑 Reversal Exit Point (Invalidation): Spot < ₹2487.75 (Support Violation)
________________________________________
📌 Why Learn This Strategy?
The Bull Call Spread is a risk-defined options strategy designed for moderately bullish views. It reduces premium cost compared to naked options and has a clearly capped loss and reward, making it suitable for learning proper risk management in derivatives trading.
________________________________________
🔍 Key Educational Takeaways:
• Helps manage premium exposure in trending markets
• Builds awareness of breakeven levels and invalidation points
• Encourages use of defined-risk structures over naked positions
• Promotes discipline and technical level-based exits
________________________________________
⚠️ Educational Disclaimer:
📢 This post is intended purely for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or solicitation to trade.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. All data shared above is illustrative and should not be considered as buy/sell advice.
Trading in derivatives involves risk. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any financial decisions.
📘 Past performance or setup structure does not guarantee future results.
Always do your own research and use strict risk management.
________________________________________
💬 Want more educational breakdowns like this?
Drop a comment or message!
🔁 Share this with fellow learners to help them build structured option strategies.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for charts, clean setups, and educational content based on price action, zones, and risk-managed trades.
________________________________________
HEROMOTOCO – Option Chain + Price Action Intraday Setup________________________________________
📊 HEROMOTOCO – Option Chain + Price Action Intraday Setup
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Min Timeframe
📅 Date: July 15, 2025
🎯 For Educational Purpose Only
________________________________________
🔍 Chart Observations:
• Clean rally supported by increasing volume.
• Price nearing the Top Range / Resistance at ₹4465.
• A visible Demand Zone formed between ₹4328.80–₹4310.70 with a strong bounce.
• Volume spike confirms strong buying interest near demand levels.
________________________________________
🔢 Option Chain Insights:
🔼 Call Side Activity:
• 4500 CE: Massive Long Build Up — OI +111.76%, premium ₹52.3 → Suggests strength.
• 4450 CE: Also saw strong Long Build Up with rising premium.
• 4400 CE: Witnessed aggressive Short Covering, adding fuel to bullish momentum.
📈 Interpretation: Option writers are unwinding shorts on 4400, and 4500 is seeing heavy buildup — bullish sentiment.
🔽 Put Side Activity:
• 4400 PE: Sharp Short Build Up, IV at 34.5 → Puts being sold aggressively = Bullish bias.
• 4300 PE: Also saw strong Short Build Up, with OI rising despite falling premiums.
📉 Interpretation: Put writers are confident on downside support holding.
________________________________________
✅ Trade Plan Breakdown:
🔼 1. Best Buy – "Buy on Dip to Demand"
• Entry: ₹4328 – ₹4310 (Demand Zone)
• SL: ₹4306
• Risk Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Logic: Re-entry near demand zone + strong put writing + bullish volume = trend continuation
________________________________________
🔽 2. Best Sell – "Fade the Supply"
• Entry: ₹4460 – ₹4465 (Supply Zone)
• SL: ₹4475
• Risk Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Logic: Price near resistance with possible exhaustion. CE premiums elevated → good short-risk area
________________________________________
🟢 3. Best CE – "Momentum Play Above ₹4465"
• Strike: 4500 CE
• Trigger: If price breaks above ₹4465 with volume
• Logic: LTP ₹52.3 with Long Build Up, high delta (0.47) → Ready for breakout rally
________________________________________
🔴 4. Best PE – "Rejection Trade Below ₹4430"
• Strike: 4400 PE
• Trigger: If spot breaks below ₹4430
• Logic: LTP ₹95.75, Short Build Up suggests hedge-unwinding or trap possibility on failure
________________________________________
📦 5. Applicable Demand and Supply Zones
• Demand Zone: ₹4328.80 – ₹4310.70 (SL: ₹4306.30)
• Supply Zone: ₹4460 – ₹4465
• Mid-level Zones:
o Watch for support at ₹4373.15
o Breakdown area at ₹4281.60
• Bottom Range Support: ₹4190.00
________________________________________
💬 STWP Summary View:
The sentiment is strongly bullish, backed by long buildup in calls and short buildup in puts. If price breaks above ₹4465, momentum CE trades can fly. But supply pressure could give quick fade setups for scalpers too.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Read Before Trading):
• This setup is shared for educational purposes only.
• No investment advice or trade recommendation is being made.
• Always use proper risk management.
• STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• Markets involve risk. Trade with a plan, not with emotions.
________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts or questions below ⬇️
🔁 Share with your trading circle to help them navigate zone-based trades.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for smart charts, clean setups & demand-supply backed analysis.
📊 Let the price guide you — trade with patience, charts, and clarity!
________________________________________
HERO MOTOCORP LTD – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS________________________________________
📈 HERO MOTOCORP LTD – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
📆 Date: July 15, 2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily Chart
🔍 Educational Breakdown – For Learning & Study Use Only
________________________________________
🔹 Price Action Zones
• 🔴 Top Range (Supply Zone / Resistance): ₹4,486.70
• 🟢 Bottom Range (Demand Zone / Support): ₹4,158.10
Price has recently broken out from a symmetrical triangle pattern, heading toward the marked supply zone. The demand zone at ₹4,158 has been tested multiple times and held firm, acting as the base for this breakout.
________________________________________
🔹 Chart Pattern: ✅
The stock formed a tight triangle consolidation, compressing between a rising support and horizontal resistance. Today’s breakout candle, backed by volume, confirms a bullish resolution of the pattern.
________________________________________
🔹 Reversal Candlestick Patterns
A large bullish engulfing candle has cleared recent highs with strength. Closing near the high, it signals conviction and opens the path for a continued up-move.
________________________________________
🔹 Technical Indicators
• RSI: Crossed above 60 — strength building
• MACD: Positive crossover confirming trend reversal
• VWAP: Price comfortably trading above — supports trend
• Bollinger Bands: Post-squeeze breakout with wide expansion
• Volume: Breakout supported by 20-day volume high — adds strong confirmation
________________________________________
📌 What’s Catching Our Eye:
The volume spike is significant — over 1.76M with breakout from both triangle resistance and VWAP. Add to that a BB Squeeze release, and the setup gets stronger technically.
________________________________________
👀 What We’re Watching For:
If price sustains above ₹4,454, it may move into the next resistance cluster: ₹4,525.97 → ₹4,599.93 → ₹4,730.87. On dips, ₹4,188 and ₹4,158 become important demand zones to monitor for re-entries.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
A failed follow-up tomorrow or close below ₹4,405 could invalidate the momentum. Also, overbought conditions without volume expansion may lead to a false breakout near ₹4,486.
________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next:
If bullish momentum sustains, the stock may first target ₹4,599 and then ₹4,695. Resistance is expected near ₹4,525–₹4,599 range. A clean breakout above ₹4,486 could invite strong follow-up buying.
________________________________________
📊 Trade Plan (Based on Reason and Charts)
🔼 Bullish Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: ₹4,454 – ₹4,465
Stop-loss: ₹4,405.63
Risk–Reward: ~1:1 to 1:2
Reason: Triangle breakout + BB Squeeze + RSI/MACD confirmation + VWAP support
🔽 Bearish Trade Setup:
Only if the price rejects ₹4,486.7 and breaks below ₹4,405:
Entry: Below ₹4,405
SL: ₹4,465
Risk–Reward: ~1:1 to 1:2
Reason: Failed breakout + supply pressure at top range
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________
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________________________________________
Maruti - Strong Option Chain Signals for Potential Trade Setups________________________________________________________________________________
MARUTI
Bias: Bullish Bias
Strong Long Build-Up across Call strikes (12700–13500)
Simultaneous Short Build-Up on Puts — classic bullish confirmation
________________________________________________________________________________
Best CE:
Strike: 12800
LTP: ₹138.3
OI: 5,14,100 (+78,350 | +17.98%)
Volume: 17,570
Build-Up: Long Build-Up
Interpretation: High OI addition + price rise = active bullish bets at 12800
________________________________________________________________________________
Best PE:
Strike: 12600
LTP: ₹159
OI: 1,05,700 (+76,600 | +263.23%)
Volume: 10,114
Build-Up: Short Build-Up
Interpretation: Strong put writing at 12600 suggests immediate support here
________________________________________________________________________________
Best Strategy:
Bull Call Spread or Naked Call Buy
(Buy 12800 CE, Sell 13200 or 13500 CE for risk-defined play)
- Directional bullish play
- Room to run till 13200–13500 zone based on fresh CE buildup
- Ideal if Spot sustains above 12600
________________________________________________________________________________
Why:
- Long Build-Up seen from 12700 CE to 13500 CE
- Spot = ₹12650, and 12600 PE has heavy Put writing → firm base
- Call Short Covering seen at 12500, 12600 → unwinding resistance
- IVs are rising on PEs, falling on CEs → supports bullish sentiment
- 12800 CE has highest Long Build-Up + Volume → key upside breakout strike
- Above 12800, next resistance zones visible around 13200–13500 based on CE action
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
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Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
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🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
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CAMS – Rising Wedge in Focus ________________________________________________________________________________
📈 CAMS – Rising Wedge in Focus
🕒 Chart Type: Daily
________________________________________________________________________________
What’s Catching Our Eye:
CAMS is forming a Rising Wedge, a technical structure that often leads to strong directional moves. The price is nearing the upper boundary of the wedge, indicating possible breakout or reversal. This contraction in range is typically followed by expansion — and smart traders are watching closely.
________________________________________________________________________________
What We’re Watching For:
Price holding above ₹4201.40 could trigger interest from early participants. On the flip side, a breakdown below ₹4090.50 may signal failure of the wedge structure. For more confirmation-driven entries, one may wait for a proper breakout or breakdown candle with volume.
________________________________________________________________________________
Volume Footprint Analysis:
As expected in wedge formations, volume has compressed. A breakout supported by volume expansion could validate the move and offer confidence in continuation. Volume is the key trigger to watch once the wedge resolves.
________________________________________________________________________________ Option Structure Insight:
For educational purposes, one could observe a neutral hedge approach using options:
– Buy 4200 CE
– Buy 4100 PE
This can potentially help capture a sharp move in either direction. Once the move confirms, the opposite leg can be exited to ride the trend with managed risk.
Price Action Logic:
Rising wedge formations typically form after a directional up-move and narrow into a tightening range. This is often followed by an impulsive expansion phase. CAMS is showing that exact setup. The price is sandwiched between key resistance at ₹4200+ and demand near ₹3880.
________________________________________________________________________________
💼 Sector Tailwinds:
CAMS, operating within the mutual fund RTA space, benefits from India's rising retail participation and SIP growth. The digitalisation of mutual fund flows, compliance demand, and data-based services lend long-term support to this sector. These factors offer fundamental strength to this technical setup.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
– A close below ₹4085 could invalidate the bullish wedge setup
– Current price behavior reflects compression, but indicators like Stochastic may suggest near-term overbought conditions
– Avoid chasing — wait for confirmation via breakout + volume or a proper retest candle
– Do not over-leverage in a low-volume wedge structure — focus on proper R:R and sizing
________________________________________________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next:
If the wedge breaks upward and sustains above ₹4201.40 with volume, price expansion may be observed toward ₹4330–₹4450 zone. On the downside, a breakdown below ₹4090.50 may trigger a move toward the ₹3950–₹3880 support cluster. Watch for confirmation in the next 2–3 sessions before taking directional exposure.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 How to Trade CAMS (For Educational Use Only):
🔹 Breakout Trade Plan
• Entry: Above ₹4201.40
• Stop Loss: Below ₹4090.50 (closing basis preferred)
• Pullback Entry: If price returns to ₹4095–₹4105 zone and shows bounce confirmation
• Risk-Reward: Start with 1:1, trail for 1:2+
• Position Sizing: Based on risk, never overexpose in a wedge
🔹 Options Strategy (Educational View)
• Buy CAMS 4200 CE
• Buy CAMS 4100 PE
• Exit the losing leg once direction confirms with price + volume breakout
________________________________________________________________________________
📍 Levels to Keep an Eye On:
The first key level to observe is ₹4201.40 — a break above this may attract early interest from aggressive participants as it represents the upper boundary of the rising wedge. On the downside, ₹4090.50 acts as the breakdown level; if breached, it could suggest structural weakness and a potential shift in trend.
In case of an upward breakout, we are closely monitoring the ₹4330–₹4450 zone as a possible price expansion area. If the breakdown plays out instead, the ₹3950–₹3880 zone becomes important as a potential reaction area or demand test.
Historically, the ₹3880–₹3950 range has shown signs of buyer interest and may act as a demand zone if retested. On the upside, ₹4320–₹4400 has acted as supply in the past and could present resistance if the price extends higher.
A close below ₹4085 would invalidate the bullish wedge structure and may require a reassessment of directional bias.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
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How would you prefer to approach this — breakout entry or pullback into zone?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
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________________________________________________________________________________
MANKIND PHARMA – Descending Triangle Breakout________________________________________________________________________________📈 MANKIND PHARMA – Falling Trendline Breakout | Strong Reversal Candle | Volume Spike
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 Price Action:
MANKIND PHARMA has executed a decisive breakout above a falling trendline on the daily chart, breaking out of a multi-week descending structure. The price action had been consolidating within a triangular pattern, and on July 9, it registered a powerful wide-range bullish candle, closing at 2526.60 — well above the recent consolidation highs. This move came from a structured base with two strong pivot lows and now places the stock back into a strong bullish trajectory. The breakout is not random; it’s backed by structure, momentum, and confirmation — suggesting potential for a trend continuation if sustained.
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Chart Pattern:
The chart shows a descending triangle breakout with compression near the apex. This setup builds pressure and usually resolves in the direction of volume. The move out of this pattern has occurred with authority, marked by a clean range expansion and bullish follow-through above resistance. This is a momentum-confirming breakout, which opens up room toward testing higher resistance zones.
________________________________________________________________________________
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Strong Bullish Candle
Open = Low (Intraday strength)
Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow-type price action
Aligned with Volume Spike and Trendline Breakout
________________________________________________________________________________
🔊 Volume Analysis:
The breakout is accompanied by more than 2x the 20-day average volume, signaling real participation — not just speculative noise. Delivery volumes are notably strong, and volume came after a phase of tight consolidation, which indicates a possible transition from quiet accumulation to active participation by stronger hands.
________________________________________________________________________________
📈 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Daily): 66 – strong, trending up
MACD: Bullish crossover, both on Daily and Weekly
CCI: 220 – highly bullish momentum territory
Stochastic: 94 – overbought but confirming momentum
SuperTrend & VWAP: Clearly bullish
Bollinger Band: Price is expanding beyond upper band — volatility expansion in motion
________________________________________________________________________________
🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔻 Supports:
2448.27 – Immediate support (previous breakout zone)
2369.93 – Structure base support
2322.27 – Last defense before breakout invalidation
Bottom Range / Demand Zone: 2115.1 – Long-term accumulation zone
🔺 Resistance Zones:
2574.27 – First supply zone; watch for price reaction
2621.93 – Medium-term resistance; previously rejected here
2700.27 – Higher timeframe swing resistance
Top Range: 2998.4 – Long-term resistance; breakout confirmation if crossed
________________________________________________________________________________
👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
What stands out is the confluence breakout — trendline, structure, volume, and indicators are all pointing in the same direction. The BB squeeze, RSI breakout, and strong candle together make this a multi-signal setup — rarely do we get such alignment across tools.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 What We’re Watching For:
Will the price hold above 2448–2526 for the next couple of sessions? If yes, this breakout can see momentum continuation toward 2574+. Any low-volume pullback toward the trendline or support zone could be a low-risk re-entry. If it fails to hold above the breakout candle, momentum could fade.
________________________________________________________________________________
✅ Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea):
Entry: Above 2543.60 (post-breakout confirmation or clean retest of 2448–2455 zone)
Stop Loss: 2404.95 (on a closing basis)
Risk Reward Strategy: 1:1 initially, trail for 1:2+ if volume expands
Avoid chasing: Let the price validate with sustained volume above breakout
________________________________________________________________________________
💼 Sector Tailwinds:
The pharmaceutical sector is seeing renewed investor interest post-COVID, with growing focus on specialty products, chronic therapy lines, and export-led growth. MANKIND is among the strongest consumer-pharma brands with consistent results and brand recall — adding fundamental strength to this technical breakout.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Risk to Watch:
A close below 2448 could invalidate this setup
The overbought Stochastic means minor pullbacks or shakeouts are possible
Don’t chase — always confirm the breakout with a retest or follow-through candle
Over-positioning during volatility can lead to poor R:R trades
________________________________________________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next:
If this breakout holds, we may see follow-through toward 2574.27 in the short term. Strong volume above 2540+ can unlock upside toward 2621+. However, if the price closes below 2448, we may be dealing with a failed breakout — a scenario to strictly avoid. Watch next 2–3 sessions for clarity.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 How to Trade MANKIND PHARMA (For Educational Use Only):
🔹 Breakout Trade Plan
Entry: Above 2543.60
Stop Loss: 2404.95 (Closing basis)
Pullback Entry: Into 2448 zone with bounce candle
Risk-Reward: Start with 1:1, then trail to 1:2+
Position Sizing: Risk-calibrated, never go all-in
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
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What’s your ideal approach to this setup — breakout entry or pullback into zone?
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🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
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________________________________________________________________________________
EMAMI LTD – Strong Bullish Breakout | Volume Spike________________________________________________________________________________
📈 EMAMI LTD – Strong Bullish Breakout | Volume Spike | Structure-Based Trade Idea
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 Price Action:
EMAMI LTD has delivered a decisive breakout from its recent compression phase after trading sideways between 570–585 for several sessions. On July 9, the stock posted a wide-range bullish candle, closing at 609.15, backed by high delivery and breakout volume. The candle formed with an open = low structure, a strong intraday move, and solid closing near the high, confirming buyer dominance. This marks a shift in control from range-bound consolidation to potential momentum continuation.
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Chart Pattern:
This breakout is from a Box Compression Zone, where the stock had been moving within a tight band. This is a textbook bullish compression breakout, often seen before short-term trend expansions. The range contraction, followed by a sudden expansion with volume, signals that smart money may be entering. Though not a VCP, the narrowing of ranges followed by a strong candle reflects controlled buildup and release of bullish pressure.
________________________________________________________________________________
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Bullish Engulfing
Open = Low Candle
Momentum Continuation Candle
The current candle also fits the "Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow" setup logic, especially useful for short-term intraday/momentum traders from an educational lens.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔊 Volume Analysis:
Volume on July 9 crossed 3x the 20-day average, showing an institutional-grade breakout. What's more important is that this move comes after multiple low-volume sessions, which indicates that the base was silent before this burst — classic sign of accumulation followed by breakout. The presence of a BB squeeze and volume compression breakout confirms the start of a volatility expansion phase.
________________________________________________________________________________
📈 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Daily): 65 – strong and rising
MACD: Bullish crossover on Daily, but flat on Weekly/Monthly
CCI: 319 – strong bullish momentum reading
Stochastic: 85 – in a bullish zone, showing follow-through possibility
SuperTrend & VWAP: Bullish bias confirmed
BB Squeeze: Compression off, likely start of expansion
These indicators align well to show a breakout backed by momentum and volume expansion.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔺 Resistance Zones to Watch:
629.23 – First key level where supply may come in
649.32 – Major resistance from previous swing
678.63 – Long-term resistance zone
Top Range: 653.35 – Official top of the recent consolidation base
🔻 Support Levels:
579.83 – Immediate support post-breakout
550.52 – Minor swing base
530.43 – Deeper demand level from which recent trend started
Bottom Range (Demand Zone): 507.70 – Long-term structural support
________________________________________________________________________________
👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
What stands out in this chart is the confluence of breakout signals — RSI breakout, engulfing candle, Bollinger squeeze off, and high delivery volume — all firing together. The open-low bullish bar is not just random price movement; it's a statement from buyers that they're ready to defend this zone.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 What We’re Watching For:
We’re watching if EMAMI can sustain above 609–620 for the next couple of sessions. A consolidation above this zone will indicate strength. On the flip side, any rejection and close back below 579.83 will raise flags. We're also watching for any mild retest toward 580–585 on low volume, which can offer a secondary low-risk entry opportunity.
________________________________________________________________________________
✅ Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea):
Breakout Entry: Above 620 with follow-through or retest confirmation
Pullback Buy: Into the 579.83–585 support zone with a strong bounce candle
Stop Loss: 560.33 (structure-based, on closing basis)
Risk-Reward Lens: Start with a 1:1 target; trail for 1:2+ based on structure — avoid fixed upside projections
________________________________________________________________________________
💼 Sector Tailwinds:
The FMCG and personal care space is seeing renewed demand due to rising rural consumption, price stability in raw materials, and stronger brand-led companies gaining market share. EMAMI, with a wide product portfolio, is well-positioned to benefit. Fundamentally, the stock is also recovering from long-term price compression — aligning well with the recent breakout.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Risk to Watch:
A close below 579 will invalidate the breakout setup
Indicators are strong but slightly stretched, so chasing blindly can invite volatility
The price must confirm above 620+ for the trend to gain broader legs
Always wait for follow-through before committing fresh capital
________________________________________________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next:
If EMAMI sustains above 609–620, the stock could gradually move toward 629.23 and test higher levels like 649.32. But if it fails to hold above the breakout candle, we may see a pullback to 580–585. Either way, price and volume in the next 2–3 sessions will confirm whether this is a false breakout or the start of a real trend.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 How to Trade EMAMI LTD (For Educational Use Only):
Breakout Plan (Hypothetical Setup):
🔹 Entry: Above 620 only if follow-through confirmation candle appears
🔹 Stop Loss: 560.33 (on closing basis)
🔹 Pullback Buy: Into 580–585 with same SL, if bullish reversal shows
🔹 Risk-Reward: 1:1 minimum; trail for more
🔹 Position Sizing: Use capital allocation based on risk tolerance — never go all-in on breakout
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
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What would be your ideal trade in EMAMI — breakout follow-through or support pullback?
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🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
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________________________________________________________________________________
PG ELECTROPLAST – Volume Breakout from Tight Base________________________________________________________________________________
📈 PG ELECTROPLAST – Volume Breakout from Tight Base | Bullish Momentum Brewing
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 Price Action:
PG ELECTROPLAST LTD has shown an impressive breakout from a tight base, rising from the 735–755 congestion zone with a wide-range bullish candle on July 9. The candle had an open = low structure, closed near the high, and was backed by massive volume. This signals clear buying strength and suggests that bulls are stepping in after a period of low volatility and sideways movement. The stock had been trading in a narrow band and has now broken out with strong conviction, hinting at the beginning of a possible trend reversal or a short-term momentum rally.
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Chart Pattern:
The chart displays a tight base breakout from a multi-week compression zone. While not a textbook wedge or flag, the narrowing range combined with flat moving averages suggested the stock was coiling up for a move. The breakout candle pierced the upper end of the range, with volume confirming that it wasn't a false push. This kind of price behaviour often leads to trend expansion — especially when confirmed by broader volume activity.
________________________________________________________________________________
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Open = Low Structure
Strong Bullish Range Candle
This combination, particularly when seen after a base, is a strong signal of fresh buying interest. It also fits the “Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow” short-term momentum logic, especially for educational model trades.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔊 Volume Analysis:
The breakout was supported by a 10-day volume breakout, with volumes spiking over 3x the average. This is not just intraday noise — it reflects strong delivery participation and genuine interest. Volume spike at breakout is a key sign of smart money involvement. Moreover, the spike occurred from a compressed base, which adds further weight to the strength of the breakout.
________________________________________________________________________________
📈 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Daily): 56 — rising from neutral territory, not yet overbought
MACD: Bullish crossover active on Daily & Monthly
Stochastic: 90 on Daily – indicates strong upward momentum
CCI: 155 – overbought but in a bullish continuation zone
Bollinger Bands: Price broke out of a tight squeeze zone — start of volatility expansion phase
BB Squeeze + Bullish VWAP: Adds confirmation that the trend is beginning to expand
________________________________________________________________________________
🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔺 Resistance Levels:
810.43 – First resistance to watch above current price
832.12 – Prior swing level; price may pause or consolidate here if momentum continues
867.33 – Longer-term resistance zone, marked as a level of interest
Top Range: 1054.2 – Long-term weak resistance zone that triggered the previous major selloff
🔻 Support Levels:
753.53 – Closest support below breakout
718.32 – Well-tested swing level; acted as floor in recent range
696.63 – Important structural support
Bottom Range (Demand Zone): 597.05 – Major long-term support, last zone from where price rallied strongly
________________________________________________________________________________
👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
The combination of price compression, bullish engulfing breakout, and high volume participation makes this setup stand out. Volume is not just high — it’s clean and backed by structure. The candle formation, RSI breakout, and BB squeeze all come together, creating a powerful setup for momentum continuation. This kind of alignment is rare and usually signals smart money entry.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 What We’re Watching For:
The most critical zone is the 796.90 breakout level. If price sustains above it for the next couple of sessions, the structure remains intact. We’re also watching for a possible retest toward the 753–755 zone — if the stock pulls back there on low volume and bounces again, it may offer a low-risk entry setup. Continuation beyond 810 could build momentum, but we will rely on risk-reward and price behaviour — not predictions.
________________________________________________________________________________
✅ Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea):
Breakout Entry: Above 796.90, only on follow-through or sustained closing above breakout zone
Pullback Entry: Into the 753.53–755 support zone if the price stabilizes and shows a bullish reversal
Stop Loss: Structure-based, below 736.95 (on closing basis)
Risk-Reward Thinking: Look for 1:1 initially, then trail the stop as the move develops; no fixed projections — price action will guide the outcome
________________________________________________________________________________
💼 Sector Tailwinds:
PG ELECTROPLAST operates in the electronics and contract manufacturing sector — two spaces getting a major boost from PLI schemes, China+1 shift, and rising domestic demand. India’s push toward import substitution, rising middle-class consumption, and government incentives are all helping businesses like PG scale up. This provides a strong macro tailwind to any technical strength seen on charts.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Risk to Watch:
If price slips back below 753, the breakout weakens
A close below 736.95 negates the breakout setup and could invite selling pressure
Indicators are showing strength, but slightly stretched — so expect volatility and avoid over positioning
Never trade based only on breakout excitement — always wait for confirmation and manage risk first
________________________________________________________________________________
🔮 What to Expect Next:
If the price holds above 796.90, the path toward 810.43 may open up quickly. Sustained volume and consolidation near highs would indicate strength, while sharp rejection could signal a trap. A minor pullback to support zones (753–755) could offer a second opportunity if structure holds. The next few candles will tell us whether this breakout becomes a trend or just a temporary spike.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 How to Trade PG ELECTROPLAST (For Educational Use Only):
Breakout Plan (Hypothetical):
🔹 Entry: Above 796.90 (only if price sustains)
🔹 Stop Loss: 736.95 (closing basis; risk-controlled)
🔹 Trade Logic: Use position sizing as per capital and SL distance
🔹 Risk-Reward: Look for 1:1 minimum, trail for 1:2+ if structure expands — don’t fix targets, let the chart lead
🔹 Pullback Buy: Into 753–755 zone with same SL (if structure supports)
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Where would you look for a trade in PG — breakout follow-through or pullback into the support zone?
Share your thoughts or questions in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Share this with your trading community
✅ Follow STWP for clean technical setups backed by price action and volume
🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Logic
________________________________________________________________________________
METROPOLIS – Big Volume Breakout + Price Action + Momentum___________________________________________________________________________
📈 METROPOLIS – Big Volume Breakout | Strong Momentum Building |
Price Action | Volume Structure
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
___________________________________________________________________________
Price Action: METROPOLIS HEALTHCARE LTD has delivered a strong breakout on the daily chart, moving out of a multi-week consolidation zone between 1880–1910 with a wide-range bullish candle on July 9. This breakout above the key resistance of 2110.9 comes with a clean structure, strong closing, and sharp momentum — now placing the stock near its 52-week high. The accumulation phase is likely over, and this price action suggests the beginning of a new trend. As a key player in the diagnostics sector, METROPOLIS is gaining renewed attention post-COVID, with the healthcare space showing strong tailwinds and fresh investor interest.
___________________________________________________________________________
Chart Pattern: The chart is showing a Flat Base Breakout following a multi-week consolidation, indicating the potential beginning of a new momentum leg within the broader structure. Notably, the base was tight and shallow, which is considered a strong bullish signal as it reflects controlled accumulation and limited profit-booking. This clean breakout hints at renewed strength and the possibility of sustained upside if volume and structure hold.
___________________________________________________________________________
Candlestick Pattern: NA
___________________________________________________________________________
Volume Analysis: The volume analysis strongly supports the breakout, with trading volume on the breakout day soaring to over 5 times the average of the past 20 sessions. This surge was not just in quantity but also in delivery volume, signaling that the move was backed by genuine long-term accumulation rather than intraday speculation. As the classic saying goes, “volume precedes price” — and this sharp spike clearly points to smart money entering the stock, lending credibility to the breakout and hinting at further upside potential.
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Technical Indicators: The technical indicators paint a strongly bullish picture. The RSI on the daily timeframe is at 84, which, while overbought, reflects strength and momentum rather than exhaustion. The MACD has triggered a bullish crossover, with a steadily rising histogram indicating a healthy momentum buildup. Both CCI and Stochastic oscillators are deep in bullish territory — CCI above 300 and Stochastic over 88 — highlighting the intensity of the current uptrend. Additionally, the price has expanded beyond the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting the start of a volatility expansion phase, which often accompanies strong directional moves.
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Support & Resistance: The stock has given a decisive breakout above ₹2110.9, which now acts as a strong reference point and the official top of its recent consolidation range. This level was pierced by a bullish candle backed by high volume, confirming strength and conviction in the move. Ahead, the stock faces its first hurdle at ₹2157, a short-term resistance just above the breakout zone where minor profit-booking may emerge. Beyond that, ₹2256.1 marks a key medium-term resistance aligned with a previous swing high — a level to watch closely if the rally continues on solid volume. For positional traders, ₹2401.3 stands as a distant resistance zone that, while weak, could be relevant if momentum accelerates. On the downside, ₹1912.7 offers immediate support, being the level that held firm during base formation. If deeper retracements occur, ₹1767.5 and ₹1668.4 are layered supports where the price previously showed strength. At the very base lies ₹1315, the major long-term demand zone — a structural support that triggered the prior trend and serves as the final defence in case of any broad weakness.
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What’s Catching Our Eye: The price has decisively broken above a multi-week resistance zone, and what makes this move stand out is the massive volume backing it. This isn't just a random spike — it's a structured breakout with all the internals lining up beautifully. Momentum indicators like RSI, MACD, CCI, and Stochastic are all in bullish alignment, confirming that the strength is real and not a one-off event. This kind of confluence often signals the start of a meaningful trend, not just a short-lived rally.
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What We’re Watching For: The key question now is whether the price can sustain above ₹2110.9, the breakout level, without slipping back into the previous range — a crucial sign of breakout validation. We're also keeping an eye out for a healthy pullback toward the ₹1880–₹1910 zone, which could offer a far better risk-reward entry if the uptrend remains intact. Most importantly, the bigger picture is in focus: Is this the beginning of a larger trend aiming for ₹2400+, or are we simply witnessing a short-term momentum burst? The next few sessions will be critical in answering that.
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Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea): A low-risk buying opportunity opens above ₹2110.9, but only if the price sustains this breakout for a day or two — confirming strength and avoiding a false breakout scenario. Alternatively, a pullback to the ₹1880–₹1910 zone could offer an excellent risk-reward setup, especially if accompanied by a clear bullish reversal signal (like a strong candle or volume spike). In both cases, keep a strict stop loss at ₹1839 on a closing basis to protect against deeper downside.
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Sector Tailwinds: The diagnostic sector continues to build long-term strength in the post-COVID landscape, as healthcare awareness and preventive testing become mainstream. Investors are increasingly allocating capital toward healthcare services, recognizing their structural growth potential. Add to that the rising urban demand for quality diagnostics and the company's strong brand trust, and you get a solid layer of fundamental support fueling this rally — making the technical breakout even more meaningful.
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Risk to Watch: If the price fails to hold above ₹2110 and starts slipping below ₹1910, there’s a real risk of this breakout turning into a false move. While the current momentum is strong, indicators are overheated, which increases the chances of a short-term pullback or shakeout. Most importantly — no confirmation means no trade. Avoid chasing blindly; let the price action validate the move before committing capital.
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What to Expect Next: The stock may see a sideways move or a minor pullback toward the ₹1910 zone as it digests the breakout. However, if the price holds above the breakout level, we could see a continuation move toward ₹2157–₹2256 in the near term. The key to watch is volume — if the stock holds near highs with rising volume over the next 2–3 sessions, it could trigger a strong trending move, confirming that smart money is firmly in control.
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How to Trade METROPOLIS (For Educational Use Only):
Here’s a simple Breakout Trade Plan based on current structure and volume confirmation:
🔹 Entry: Above ₹2110.9 — either on a successful retest of the breakout level or a clean follow-through candle with strength
🔹 Stop Loss: ₹1839 (on closing basis) to protect capital in case of breakdown
🔹 Risk-Reward: Aim for 1:1 initially, then trail for 1:2+ if momentum holds
🔹 Position Sizing: Adjust based on your capital, risk appetite, and SL range — avoid going all-in; stay disciplined with allocation
📌 Always follow your trading plan. This setup is for educational and analysis purposes only.
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⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
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💬 Found this helpful?
What would be your ideal entry in this METROPOLIS setup — breakout follow-through or demand zone pullback?
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this with your trading community
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🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Logic
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DMART – Earnings Incoming________________________________________________________________________________📈 DMART – Earnings Incoming: What’s the Right Time to Enter an Options Trade?
📆 Result Date: 11th July 2025 (Friday)
🕒 Strategy Style: Beginner + STWP HNI Learning Setup
🔍 For Educational Purposes Only
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🧠 What's the Setup?
DMART is announcing results on Friday, 11th July. We’re expecting a strong move — either up or down — because of mixed expectations around revenue and margins.
When you trade options around results, timing your entry is just as important as selecting the right strikes.
Let’s simplify it ⬇️ ________________________________________________________________________________✅ Option 1: Enter on 10th July (Thursday, After 2 PM)
💡 This is the ideal time for most traders.
🟢 Better option prices (not too inflated yet)
🟢 Good liquidity for smooth entry
🟢 Gives you overnight time to plan
🟢 You avoid the Friday panic crowd
🎯 STWP Suggested Strategy:
Buy 4300 CE + 4100 PE = ~₹180 total premium
This is called a Long Strangle – You win if the stock moves sharply up or down after results.
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Option 2: Enter on 11th July (Friday, Before 2 PM)
🔸 You might think, "Let me wait till Friday to get more clarity" — but there’s a catch:
❌ Option prices become expensive (high IV)
❌ Bid-ask spreads get wide (hard to enter)
❌ No time to react if results come intraday
❌ You’re stuck with weekend gap risk without prep
Unless you're experienced or scalping early, it’s not ideal for beginners.
________________________________________________________________________________🎯 Best Timing Rule – STWP Style:
📌 Enter on 10th July between 2:00 PM – 3:15 PM
Why?
You’ll lock in a clean setup with decent pricing and avoid stress.
📆 Exit Plan:
Hold through the weekend → Exit on Monday (14th July) if stock moves sharply 🔥
________________________________________________________________________________🧠 Alert:
Set alerts at:
₹4450 (Upside)
₹3950 (Downside)
If either hits on Monday, trail the winning side and exit the losing leg.
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📚 This is a learning example – not a trade recommendation.
Options carry risk. Please manage your capital and don’t trade blindly.
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
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NAUKRI - Demand Zone + Key Levels________________________________________________________________________________
📊 INFO EDGE (NSE: NAUKRI) – Beginner Chart Study | Demand Zone + Key Levels
🕒 Chart Timeframe: 15-Min | 📆 Updated: July 8, 2025
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🔍 What the Chart Shows:
NAUKRI recently bounced from a clearly defined demand zone and is now trading near a key mid-level. This educational post is meant to help understand how price behaves around such zones.
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✅ Zones to Observe for Strength (Upside):
• Above 1489.00: Price sustaining above this top range may indicate strength.
• Between 1432.35 and 1404.10: This broader zone has acted as support earlier. If revisited, watch how price behaves here.
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⚠️ Neutral / Observation Area:
• Around 1459.40 (near 1460.65): Price is consolidating near this level. It’s better to observe and wait for more clarity from price movement and volume.
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🔻 Zones to Observe for Weakness (Downside):
• Between 1460.65 – 1489.00: If price reacts negatively here (e.g., rejection candles or high supply volume), observe how it develops.
• Below 1402.85: This would invalidate the previous demand zone. Further weakness could be possible if price closes below.
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🧠 Learning Takeaways for Traders:
• Avoid trades in the middle zone without clear confirmation.
• Always wait for bullish or bearish patterns and supporting volume before considering action.
• Structure and levels help guide observation – not prediction.
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📌 Levels Recap:
• Top Range (Resistance): 1489.00
• Mid Resistance: 1460.65
• Mid Support: 1432.35
• Bottom Range: 1404.10
• Demand Zone Reference: 1414.20 – 1404.90 | SL Reference Level: 1402.85 (used for structure observation only)
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⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Join the Discussion (Comments):
✅ Was this chart structure easy to understand?
✅ How do you look at such supply and demand zones in your charting?
✅ Want more beginner-focused educational charts? Drop a 💬 below.
✅ If you're learning technical analysis, follow for more such breakdowns.
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KOTAKBANK – Strong Call Long Build-Up________________________________________________________________________________
📈 KOTAKBANK – Strong Call Long Build-Up Signals Possible Upside Attempt
🕒 Chart: 15-Min | 📆 July 8, 2025
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🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye:
Buyers are aggressively building positions in multiple Call strikes from ₹2200 to ₹2320, hinting at bullish sentiment returning.
________________________________________________________________________________📌 What We’re Watching For:
If price sustains above ₹2240–₹2241.5, we may see a move toward ₹2300+ in the short term.
________________________________________________________________________________📌 OI Inference:
Call side is witnessing Long Build-Up (2240–2320, even 2400 CE), while Put side is under Short Build-Up, showing Put sellers are confident the downside is limited.
________________________________________________________________________________🔁 Trend Bias:
🟢 Bullish to Range-Bound – as long as price holds above ₹2200 with rising Call OI and falling PE premiums.
________________________________________________________________________________🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning:
• Major Call strikes like 2240, 2260, 2300 under Long Build-Up
• 2200 CE shows Short Covering – a sign of prior bearish positions being exited
• Puts are mostly under Short Build-Up = downside cushion building
• Volatility is low = option buyers betting on directional breakout
________________________________________________________________________________📍 Important Levels to Mark:
🔺 Top Range (Resistance): ₹2241.5
🔻 Bottom Range (Support): ₹2111
🟢 Demand Zone: NA
🔴 Supply Zone: NA
________________________________________________________________________________🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
✅ Buy (Equity): Above ₹2241.5 with strength and follow-through
✅ Sell (Equity): Only below ₹2200 if fresh PE Long Build-Up appears
✅ Best CE to Buy: ₹2240 CE or ₹2260 CE if price sustains above ₹2240
❌ Avoid Put Buying: Most Put options are under Short Build-Up (bearish bets getting closed)
📌 Strategy Idea (Low Risk):
Bull Call Spread – Buy ₹2240 CE, Sell ₹2300 CE
→ Works well if stock rises, and risk stays limited
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Invalidation Levels:
🔻 Below ₹2200 = Long view weakens
🔺 Above ₹2241.5 = bullish breakout confirmed
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is only for educational purposes.
STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
Please consult a financial advisor before making trades.
STWP is not responsible for any trading decisions based on this content.
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💬 Will KOTAKBANK break out above ₹2240 or stay stuck?
⬇️ Share your view in the comments!
🔁 Repost this if you’re tracking the zone
✅ Follow STWP for clean Options + Price Action setups
🚀 Let’s trade with clarity and confidence!
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