Ascending Triangle in formation. Price Action:
1. **Ascending Channel**: The price is still moving within an upward sloping channel. Currently, the stock seems to be testing the lower trendline of the channel, which has served as support in the past. A break below this level could lead to a deeper correction, while a bounce off this support could trigger a rally toward the upper end of the channel.
2. **Downtrend Line**: There is a descending trendline acting as resistance for the recent price action. This line connects the peaks from July 2023 onward. If the price breaks this resistance, it may signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
3. **Volume**: The volume bars show a spike in recent sessions, indicating increased activity. This could be a sign that the stock is approaching a pivotal point. If the price breaks either above the descending trendline or below the channel, this volume could support the momentum in that direction.
### RSI:
1. **Current RSI**: The RSI is around 52.79, close to the neutral zone. This indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at the moment, but the RSI is still following a downtrend line, meaning the momentum is not strongly in favor of the bulls just yet.
### Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: If the price can break above the descending trendline, it might resume its uptrend within the channel. The target would be the upper boundary of the channel, around ₹220-₹240. The volume increase supports this possibility, but the RSI trendline needs to be broken for stronger confirmation.
2. **Bearish Scenario**: A break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish trend. This could lead to a more significant downside move, with potential support around ₹150-₹160. The RSI divergence could further support this breakdown scenario.
### Conclusion:
L&T Finance Ltd. is at a critical point, balancing between its support and resistance levels. The next few trading sessions will be key in determining the direction—whether the stock breaks out above the downtrend line and continues upward or breaks down below the channel and sees a correction.
Posted for my own analysis as I learn to trade based on the technicals.
