LONG
Eicher Motors Double BottomEicher motors has fallen from its high by about 20% and we may be looking at a double bottom reversal as it rests on the 200EMA.
According to option chain data, 3100 is a strong support.
According to Multi strike OI, calls graph is falling which shows a bullish Singal and puts graph is rising which shows an even more bullish signal.
Targets of T1 and T2 with stop loss below 3050,
safer traders can wait for the break of the trendline but it may mess up the entry price
Keep It Simple
WATCH OUT for VoltasVoltas is so far away from its ATH and it is in the process of forming abeautiful cup with handle.
On the break of the handle, the trendline and the 50ema will also be broken. If such a break is seen on high volume, a beautiful long position can be taken for a long term trade or even an INVESTMENT
Updating this early so people can be on the lookout for a wonderful opportunity
Points to Note:
1. Handle is showing a valid shakedown on low volume which is important as it is sort of a trap for sellers.
2. Handle is above the 10SMA and in the upper half of the cup
3. Voltas is at a considerable low from its ATH and such a powerful pattern at a low is a money minting machine
Keep It Simple
Cash flow vibrationsIn the previous post we started to analyze the Cash flow statement. From it, we learned about the existence of three cash flows - operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow. Like three rivers, they fill the company's "lake of cash" (that is, they go with a "+" sign).
However, there are three other rivers that flow out of our lake, preventing it from expanding indefinitely. What are their names? They have absolutely identical names: operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow (and they go with a "-" sign). Why so? Because all of the company's outgoing payments can also be divided into these three rivers:
Operating payments include the purchase of raw materials, the payment of wages - everything related to the production and support of the product.
Financial payments include repayment of debt and interest on it, payment of dividends, or buyback of shares from shareholders.
Investment payments include the purchase of non-current assets (say, the purchase of additional buildings or shares in another company).
If the inflows from the three rivers on the left are greater than the outflows into the rivers on the right, then our lake will increase in volume, meaning that the company's cash balances will grow.
If the outflows into the three rivers on the right are greater than the inflows from the rivers on the left, the lake will become shallow and eventually dry up.
So, the cash flow statement shows how much our lake has increased or decreased over the period (quarter or year). This report can be presented as four entries:
Each value of A, B, and C is the difference between what came into our lake from the river and what flowed out of the lake by the river of the same name. That is, the value can be either positive or negative.
How can we interpret the meanings of the different flows? Let's break down each of them.
Operating cash flow . In a fundamentally strong company, it is the most stable and powerful river. The implication is that it should be the main source of "water" for our lake. Negative operating cash flow is an indicator of serious problems with the business because it means it is not generating money.
Investment cash flow . This is the most unpredictable river, as sometimes it can be very powerful and sometimes it can flow like a thin trickle. This is due to the fact that the purchase or sale of non-current assets (recall that these may be buildings, equipment, shares in other companies) does not occur as regularly as operational activities. A sudden negative investment flow tells us about some big purchase. Shareholders do not always view such events positively, as they may consider it an unwise expenditure or a threat to dividend payments. Therefore, they may start to sell their shares, which causes their price to drop. If a big purchase is perceived as an opportunity to reach the next level and capture more market share, then we may see exactly the opposite effect - an increase in share price.
Financial cash flow . A negative value of this cash flow can be seen as a very positive signal because it means that the company is either actively reducing its debt to creditors, or using the money to pay dividends, or spending the money to buy its own stock (*), or maybe all of these together.
(*) Here you may ask, why would a company buy its own stock? Management sometimes does this when they are confident in the success of their business and want to support the growth of their stock. The company becomes a major buyer of its own stock for some time so that it begins to grow. The process itself is called share buyback .
Positive financial cash flow, on the other hand, signals either an increase in debt or the sale of its own stock. As far as debt is concerned, you can't say that loans are bad for business. But there has to be a measure. But the sale by a company of its own shares is already an alarming signal to the current shareholders. It means that the company doesn't have enough money coming out of operating cash flow.
There is another type of cash flow that is not a separate "river," but is used as information about how much cash the company has left to meet its obligations to creditors and shareholders. This is Free cash flow .
It is simple to calculate: just subtract one of the components of the investment cash flow from the operating cash flow. This component is called Capital expenditures (often abbreviated as CAPEX). Capital expenditures include outgoing payments that go toward the purchase of non-current assets , such as land, buildings, equipment, etc.
(Free cash flow = Operating cash flow - Capital expenditures)
Free cash flow can be characterized as the "living" money that a company has created over a period, which can be used to repay loans, pay dividends, and buyback stocks from shareholders. If free cash flow is very weak or even negative, it is a reason for creditors, shareholders and investors to think about how the company is doing business.
This concludes my discussion of the cash flow statement topic. Next time, let's talk about the magic ratios that you can get from a company's financial statements. They greatly facilitate the process of fundamental analysis and are widely used by investors around the world. We will talk about the so-called Financial Ratios . See you soon!
Trendline and Range StockThis is simple Monthly Chart of COLGATE PALMOLIVE (COLPAL) and it is respecting the trendline and the resistance line, thus in a UPTREND CHANNEL since 2009.
Long term trend always prevails in the market, Even if someone is stuck in a stock at wrong time but if its longer trend is in uptrend there are high chances that it will recover some day.
High time frame analysis has its own benefits such as higher returns, less follow up , dividends and other benefits. It could be seen as an investment perspective as well.
This time there is a BULLISH HAMMER candle made in february 2023 at the support of the trendline. This is the one of the simple analysis which shows that investment and trading in the market is easy and doesn't require rocket science. This is a favorable RISK-REWARD opportunity with a very small Stop loss at the low of the last hammer Candle.
ENTRY can be made at the current market price of 1488
STOPLOSS can be on the closing basis on the last candle i.e. at 1430 (Logic behind closing basis is that it is currently in an Uptrend so if it wants to go in a downtrend it will require a strong downside closing confirmation for the same otherwise if the price goes below the low of the last candle, Buyers may come and can take the price up again)
REWARD - the first target would be the last swing/Resistance that is 1674 and then at its last high of 1800 and then next target would be the resistance which is likely to be 2000.
*this is a Monthly Analysis, so requires longer patience.
*keep position Sizing according to your Risk Appetite.
*Market is simple, don't make it complicated, Simple things works, It is just a probability Game.
One can take ReEntry if it gives another opportunity but be ready to give SL.
GAIL - Cup & Handle BO Technical Observations:
1) Cup & Handle Formation (Daily Framework)
2) Falling Trendline has been Broken & the Price has made a healthy retracement.
3) RSI at a Healthy 60.82 Zone
NSE:GAIL
Ps: Not a Buy Call/Investment Advice - Market Analysis Idea Sharing Only - Please Do Your Own Research.
Happy Investing, Stay Safe & Protect Your Capital
USDINR Feb 2023USDINR is in a range since Oct 2022
Likely to break out of this 4 month range to give good targets
Targets analyzed & marked in chart as per flag length considered at higher low and breakout point.
But if the price action shows a Bearish Candle at third top, it is likely to swing down & retrace before breakout.
Range for Feb could be 83.25 - 82.5
Chaman Lal : Looking Strong and Bullish
Good Day ,
Hello Traders,
CLSEL looking very strong and it had formed a big rounding bottom since May 2022 till now. It will take a little bit time to move ahead.
Next possible target 136. One can stay long with Stop Loss at 100.
Bigger target of 164 will come when it start sustaining above 136 and show more strength.
Time Frame : Daily
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is for educational purposes.
Please trade as per your risk and do consult with your financial advisor before taking any
trading decisions..
If you really like the analysis , please do comments, LIKE and Follow me.
Cash flow statement or Three great riversToday we're going to start taking apart the third and final report that the company publishes each quarter and year - it's Cash flow statement.
Remember, when we studied the balance sheet , we learned that one of the company's assets is cash in accounts. This is a very important asset because if the company doesn't have money in the account, it can't buy raw materials, pay employees' salaries, etc.
What, in general, is a "company" in the eyes of an accountant? These are assets that have been purchased on credit or with equity, for the purpose of earning a net income for its shareholders or investing that income in further growth.
That is, the source of cash in a company's account may be profits . But why do I say "may be"? The point is that it's possible to have a situation where profits are positive on the income statement, but there is no money physically in the account. To make sense of this, let's remember the workshop I use in all the examples. Suppose our master sold all of his boots on credit. That is, he was promised payment, but later. He ended up with a receivable in assets and, most interestingly, generated revenue. The accountant will calculate the revenue for these sales, despite the fact that the shop hasn't actually received the money yet. Then the accountant will deduct the expenses from the revenue, and the result will be a profit. But there is zero money in the account. So what should our master do? The orders are coming in, but there is nothing to pay for the raw materials. In such circumstances, while the master is waiting for the repayment of debts from customers, he himself borrows from the bank to top up his current account with money.
Now let us make his situation more complicated. Let us assume that the money borrowed he still does not have enough, and the bank does not give more. The only thing left is to sell some of his property, that is, some of his assets. Remember, when we took apart the assets of the workshop , the master had shares in an oil company. This is something he could sell without hurting the production process. Then there is enough money in the checking account to produce boots uninterrupted.
Of course, this is a wildly exaggerated example, since more often than not, profits are money, after all, and not the virtual records of an accountant. Nevertheless, I gave this example to make it clear that cash in the account and profit are related, but still different concepts.
So what does the cash flow statement show? Let's engage our imagination again. Imagine a lake with three rivers flowing into it on the left and three rivers flowing out on the right. That is, on one side the lake feeds on water, and on the other side it gives it away. So the asset called "cash" on the balance sheet is the lake. And the amount of cash is the amount of water in that lake. Let's now name the three rivers that feed our lake.
Let's call the first river the operating cash flow . When we receive the money from product sales, the lake is filled with water from the first river.
The second river on the left is called the financial cash flow . This is when we receive financing from outside, or, to put it simply, we borrow. Since this is money received into the company's account, it also fills our lake.
The third river let's call investment cash flow . This is the flow of money we get from the sale of the company's non-current assets. In the example with the master, these were assets in the form of oil company stock. Their sale led to the replenishment of our notional money lake.
So we have a lake of money, which is filled thanks to three flows: operational, financial, and investment. That sounds great, but our lake is not only getting bigger, but it's also getting smaller through the three outgoing flows. I'll tell you about that in my next post. See you soon!
Medium-term bullish breakout possibility Recent golden cross on daily timeframe, consolidation over 200,50 and 20 daily EMAs and price compression just below strong resistance.
SL: 21200
TP 1: 31200
DISCLAIMER: not a financial advice, just personal perspective of the market published only for entertainment purposes.
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returns
midcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
wait for retracement and go for entry,
fundamentally good stock
try to hold for long term
but keep stoploss as we provided
incase of breaking our stoploss then there is a small down trend happens
(more probably it wont break it)
.
.
refer my old idea given below in the related ideas
DELTACORP Out of Bears control ??!!!Chart pattern insist me the above titled opinion
REASONS
1. DELTACORP is trading inside a expanding triangular pattern .
2. It is seen respecting the pattern till now.
3. Currently , it is in the upswing move(in white channel pattern ) inside the expanding triangle pattern.
4. DECEMBER 23 & 26 candles make the Bullish harami pattern at the perfect support level .(with volume spike)
5. 238 is the resistance level( Breakout of the yellow trendline) to cross for the expected up move !!
6. Target & SL mentioned in the chart.
There may be swing inside the white and yellow line before breakout. Let's see!!
Day closing below 185 - Strict SL .
In the chart , I tried to show the broader (Monthly timeframe) view ( in the form of a snapshot ) .....Hope it helps....if confusing, feel free to ask!!
Let's wait and watch how it moves!!!
Note - Just sharing my view......not a tip nor advice!!!
What should I look at in the Income statement?The famous value investor, Mohnish Pabrai , said in one of his lectures that when he visited Warren Buffett, he noticed a huge handbook with the financial statements of thousands of public companies. It's a very dull reading, isn't it? Indeed, if you focus on every statement item - you'll waste a lot of time and sooner or later fall asleep. However, if you look at the large volumes of information from the perspective of an intelligent investor, you can find great interest in the process. It is wise to identify for yourself the most important statement items and monitor them in retrospect (from quarter to quarter).
In previous posts, we've broken down the major items on the Income statement and the EPS metric:
Part 1: The Income statement: the place where profit lives
Part 2: My precious-s-s-s EPS
Let's now highlight the items that interest me first. These are:
- Total revenue
The growth of revenue shows that the company is doing a good job of marketing the product, it is in high demand, and the business is increasing its scale.
- Gross profit
This profit is identical to the concept of margin. Therefore, an increase in gross profit indicates an increase in the margin of the business, i.e. its profitability.
- Operating expenses
This item is a good demonstration of how the management team is dealing with cost reductions. If operating expenses are relatively low and decreasing while revenue is increasing, that's terrific work by management, and you can give it top marks.
- Interest expense
Interest on debts should not consume a company's profits, otherwise, it will not work for the shareholders, but for the banks. Therefore, this item should also be closely monitored.
- Net income
It's simple here. If a company does not make a profit for its shareholders, they will dump its shares*.
*Now, of course, you can dispute with me and give the example of, let's say, Tesla shares. There was a time when they were rising, even when the company was making losses. Indeed, Elon Musk's charisma and grand plans did the trick - investors bought the company's stock at any price. You could say that our partner Mr. Market was truly crazy at the time. I'm sure you can find quite a few such examples. All such cases exist because investors believe in future profits and don't see current ones. However, it is important to remember that sooner or later Mr. Market sobers up, the hype around the company goes away, and its losses stay with you.
- EPS Diluted
You could say it's the money the company earns per common share.
So, I'm finishing up a series of posts related to the Income statement. This statement shows how much the company earns and how much it spends over a period (quarter or year). We've also identified the items that you should definitely watch out for in this report.
That's all for today. In the next post, we will break down the last of the three financial statements of a public company - the Cash flow statement.
Goodbye and see you later!
Break of cup pattern1.Break of trendline in 1day
2.Break of cup pattern and retest have been done
3.RSI of kirlfer in position to rally
Recommended for BTST trade with 3-4% returns